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Incidence and Mortality of Thyroid Cancer in Zhejiang Cancer Registration Areas in 2021 and Trends from 2000 to 2021

Caiying XIANG ; Ying CHEN ; Debing WANG ; Li XIE ; Huizhang LI ; Lingbin DU ; Mei LU ; Yanfei QIU

China Cancer.2025;34(10):756-763. doi:10.11735/j.issn.1004-0242.2025.10.A002

[Purpose]To analyze the incidence and mortality of thyroid cancer in Zhejiang cancer registration areas in 2021 and trends from 2000 to 2021.[Methods]Based on cancer data from 22 registries across Zhejiang Province between 2000 and 2021,the crude incidence/mortality rates,age-standardized incidence/mortality rates of thyroid cancer by Chinese and world standard population(ASIRC/ASMRC,ASIRW/ASMRW),cumulative rate(0～74 years old)and truncated rate(35～64 years old)were analyzed.Joinpoint regression model was employed to calculate the annual percentage change(APC)and average annual percentage change(AAPC)with 95％confidence in-terval(CI)for analyzing trends of thyroid cancer incidence and mortality rates from 2000 to 2021.[Results]The crude incidence rate of thyroid cancer increased from 3.62/105 in 2000 to 79.66/105 in 2021,and ASIRC rose from 3.11/105 to 69.49/105(AAPC=15.55％,95％CI:14.65％～16.61％).The AAPC for ASIRC was slightly higher in female(15.54％,95％CI:14.71％～16.49％)than that in male(15.02％,95％CI:13.53％～16.82％).The increase was significantly more pronounced in rural areas(AAPC=23.34％,95％CI:21.48％～25.33％)compared to urban areas(AAPC=14.12％,95％CI:13.15％～15.43％).Among age groups,the age group of 15～44 years old showed the fastest increase in crude incidence rate(AAPC=20.37％,95％CI:18.46％～22.31％),followed by the age group of 45～64 years old(AAPC=18.41％,95％CI:16.65％～20.19％).Between 2000 and 2021,the crude mortality rate of thyroid cancer rose from 0.34/105 to 0.56/105(AAPC=5.52％,95％CI:3.45％～7.70％),the trend of ASMRC was relatively stable.[Conclusion]From 2000 to 2021,the incidence of thyroid cancer in Zhejiang Province increased markedly,especially among females and younger to middle-aged adults,while the age-standardized mortality rate remained stable.

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Incidence and Mortality of Lung Cancer in Zhejiang Cancer Registration Areas in 2021 and Trends from 2000 to 2021

Zongxue CHENG ; Yumeng DING ; Huizhang LI ; Zesheng CHEN ; Le WANG ; Jue XU ; Lingbin DU

China Cancer.2025;34(10):747-755. doi:10.11735/j.issn.1004-0242.2025.10.A001

[Purpose]To analyze the incidence and mortality of lung cancer in Zhejiang cancer regi-stration areas in 2021 and trends from 2000 to 2021.[Methods]Using data from Zhejiang cancer registration areas from 2000 to 2021,the crude rate,age-standardized rate by Chinese standard population(ASRC)and the world standard population(ASRW),and composition ratio were calcu-lated to describe the incidence and mortality in 2021.Joinpoint regression was employed to ana-lyze temporal trends over the 22 years,calculating the annual percentage change(APC),average annual percentage change(AAPC),and their 95％confidence intervals(CI).[Results]The crude incidence rate of lung cancer in 2021 was 128.58/105,with an ASRC of 68.74/105,ac-counting for 24.22％of all cancers;the crude mortality rate was 51.55/105,with an ASRC of 21.58/105,constituting 27.98％of all cancer deaths.Both crude incidence rate(AAPC=5.73％,P＜0.001)and ASIRC(AAPC=4.14％,P＜0.001)of lung cancer showed significant increasing trends from 2000 to 2021.The crude mortality rate increased slowly(AAPC=1.76％,P＜0.001),while the ASMRC(AAPC=-0.40％,P=0.035)exhibited a modest decline.The increase in incidence was more pronounced in females than males,though no statistically significant difference was observed in mortality trends.The incidence rates in urban and rural areas showed similar growth trends;the crude mortality rate in rural areas was growing significantly faster than that in urban areas,and the decline in the ASRC was only statistically significant in urban areas.The incidence rate was in-creasing in all age groups.The mortality rate was declining among younger people(＜65 years old).The age group of 15～44 years old demonstrated a greater increase in incidence and a sharper decline in mortality than those aged 45 years old and above.[Conclusion]From 2000 to 2021,Zhejiang Province experienced a marked rise in lung cancer incidence with escalating disease burden.Despite severe population aging,ASRC of mortality declined steadily,reflecting effective prevention and control measures.

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Incidence and Mortality of Prostate Cancer in Zhejiang Cancer Registration Areas in 2021 and Trends from 2000 to 2021

Xiayan ZHU ; Huanqing TAO ; Le WANG ; Huizhang LI ; Qiongyan LI ; Lingbin DU

China Cancer.2025;34(10):775-782. doi:10.11735/j.issn.1004-0242.2025.10.A004

[Purpose]To analyze the incidence and mortality of prostate cancer in Zhejiang cancer registration areas in 2021 and the trends from 2000 to 2021.[Methods]Data of prostate cancer incidence and mortality in Zhejiang cancer registration areas from 2000 to 2021 were collected.The crude incidence/mortality rates,age-standardized incidence/mortality rates by Chinese stan-dard population(ASIRC/ASMRC)and world standard population(ASIRW/ASMRW),cumulative rates(0～74 years old)were calculated.Joinpoint regression model was used to estimate the annual percentage change(APC)and average annual percentage change(AAPC)to assess trends.[Results]In 2021,6 683 new prostate cancer cases were reported in Zhejiang cancer registration areas,the crude incidence rate and ASIRC of prostate cancer were 61.21/105 and 26.78/105,respec-tively.The number of prostate cancer deaths was 1 036,the crude mortality rate and ASMRC were 9.49/105 and 3.28/105,respectively.From 2000 to 2021,a total of 30 876 new prostate cancer cases and 7 458 deaths were reported.The average crude incidence rate was 25.50/105,and the ASIRC was 13.35/105;the crude mortality rate and ASMRC rates were 6.16/105 and 2.82/105,respectively.The ASIRC was higher in urban areas(13.58/105)than that in rural areas(12.84/105),while the ASMRC was lower in urban areas(2.60/105)than that in rural areas(3.33/105).From 2000 to 2021,both the ASIRC and ASMRC showed significant upward trends in Zhejiang cancer registration areas with AAPC of 13.88％(95％CI:11.43％～16.08％,P＜0.001)and 4.35％(95％CI:2.21％～6.18％,P＜0.001),respectively.[Conclusion]Prostate cancer incidence in Zhejiang Province had risen rapidly in last two decades,with rural areas facing a heavier mortality burden.Special attention should be paid to the elderly male population in rural areas,and the three-level prevention strategy should be strengthened to reduce the disease burden.

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Incidence and Mortality of Gastric Cancer in Zhejiang Cancer Registration Areas in 2021 and Trends from 2000 to 2021

Xiaoqin LI ; Lili SONG ; Yuduo WANG ; Jingze HUANG ; Xue LI ; Huizhang LI ; Wei WU ; Wujun WU ; Lingbin DU

China Cancer.2025;34(10):792-803. doi:10.11735/j.issn.1004-0242.2025.10.A006

[Purpose]To analyze the incidence and mortality of gastric cancer in Zhejiang cancer registration areas in 2021,and trends from 2000 to 2021.[Methods]The data of gastric cancer were obtained from Zhejiang cancer registration areas.The crude incidence/mortality rates,age-specific rates,and age-standardized incidence/mortality rates by Chinese standard population(ASRC)and the world standard population(ASRW)were calculated.The temporal trends were ana-lyzed by calculating annual percentage change(APC)and average annual percentage change(AAPC).[Results]A total of 7 602 new cases and 4 178 deaths of gastric cancer were reported in 2021.The incidence and mortality rates of gastric cancer in men were significantly higher than those in women;the incidence rate in urban areas was significantly higher than that in rural areas,while the mortality was slightly lower than that in rural areas.From 2000 to 2021,the ASRC of inci-dence rate decreased from 16.80/105 to 16.08/105(without statistical significance):an upward trend was observed from 2000 to 2009,whereas a downward trend became apparent from 2009 to 2021.From 2000 to 2021 the ASRC of mortality rate decreased from 13.59/105 to 8.02/105 with an AAPC of-2.62％(P＜0.001).The decline rate of female mortality rate(AAPC=-2.68％,95％CI:-3.61％～-1.68％,P＜0.001)was slightly higher than that of male(AAPC=-2.44％,95％CI:-3.06％～-1.61％,P＜0.001).[Conclusion]In 2021,both the incidence and mortality rates of gastric can-cer in Zhejiang Province were lower than the national average in China,which ranked 6th and 4th among all types of cancer.From 2000 to 2021,the overall burden of gastric cancer in Zhejiang Province showed a downward trend.

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Incidence Trends of Elderly Breast Cancer in China and Globally from 1990 to 2021 and Prediction of Future Trends from 2022 to 2035

Weijia KONG ; Yuting SUN ; Yuansha GE ; Guanghui ZHU ; Xiaoyu ZHU ; Jie LI

China Cancer.2025;34(10):813-820. doi:10.11735/j.issn.1004-0242.2025.10.A008

[Purpose]To analyze the incidence and changing trends of elderly breast cancer(de-fined as diagnosis at age ≥ 60 years old)in China and globally from 1990 to 2021,and to predict its trends from 2022 to 2035.[Methods]Data on the number of new cases and crude incidence rate of elderly breast cancer in China and globally were extracted from the 2021 Global Burden of Disease Study(GBD)database.The age-standardized incidence rate(ASIR)was calculated by sex and age group.The Joinpoint regression model was used to calculate the annual percentage change(APC)and average annual percentage change(AAPC),to describe the incidence trend of elderly breast cancer from 1990 to 2021.The Bayesian age-period-cohort(BAPC)model was applied to predict the incidence of elderly breast cancer from 2022 to 2035.[Results]From 1990 to 2021,the number of new breast cancer cases among elderly individuals globally increased from 416 444 to 1 023 776,while in China,the number rose from 26 371 to 158 085.The ASIR increased from 89.04/105 to 94.73/105 globally and from 27.24/105 to 58.40/105 in China.By sex,the ASIR of el-derly females increased from 155.19/105 to 170.54/105 globally and from 49.13/105 to 106.00/105 in China;the ASIR of elderly males increased from 2.78/105 to 4.72/105 globally and from 1.69/105 to 6.81/105 in China.By age group,from 1990 to 2021,the incidence rates of breast cancer in elderly female and male both peaked in the age group of 85～89 years old globally.In China,the most significant increases in incidence rates were observed in the age group of 60～64 years old for elderly females and the age group of 70～74 years old for elderly males;these two age groups had the highest incidence rates in their respective sexes in 2021.Joinpoint analysis showed that the ASIR of elderly breast cancer in China presented a continuous upward trend from 1990 to 2021(AAPC=2.51％),with the fastest growth during 2016-2019(APC=5.14％).The global ASIR showed only a slight fluctuating upward trend(AAPC=0.20％),with significant increases only during 1990-1995 and 2003-2010.Predictions from the BAPC model indicated that by 2035,the global ASIR of elderly breast cancer would reach 107.84/105(192.26/105 for females and 6.02/105 for males),while the ASIR in China would reach 104.35/105(188.08/105 for females and 13.32/105 for males).[Conclusion]From 1990 to 2021,the incidence of elderly breast cancer showed an upward trend both in China and globally,with a particularly pronounced increase in elderly male.The disease burden of elderly breast cancer in China is expected to continue increasing in the future,necessi-tating strengthened primary and secondary prevention measures,as well as optimized screening programs for the elderly population to reduce disease risks and improve prognosis.

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Analysis of the Mortality and Probability of Premature Mortality of Colorectal Cancer in Jinshan District of Shanghai from 1980 to 2023

Xiaoyun ZHU ; Xia GAO ; Wenxia XIA ; Nannan ZHANG ; Qi SHU ; Zhenjuan LI

China Cancer.2025;34(10):821-827. doi:10.11735/j.issn.1004-0242.2025.10.A009

[Purpose]To analyze the trends of mortality and probability of premature mortality caused by colorectal cancer in Jinshan District of Shanghai from 1980 to 2023.[Methods]The death database of Jinshan District from 1980 to 2023 were established based on the death reports from the medical institutions and public security bureau at all levels.The crude mortality rate,age-standardized mortality rate by Chinese standard population and world standard population(ASRC and ASRW),age-specific mortality rate,probability of premature mortality,annual percentage change(APC)and average annual percentage change(AAPC)of colorectal cancer were calculated.[Results]The crude mortality rate of colorectal cancer increased from 1980 to 2023(AAPC=2.36％,P＜0.001)and the ASRW of colorectal cancer decreased at the same period(AAPC=-1.02％,P=0.003).The ASRW of colorectal cancer in male and female showed a decreasing trend from 1990 to 1999(APC=-5.08％,-7.85％,P=0.007,0.011),but there was no significant change in other periods.The age-specific mortality rate increased with age and reached the peak at the age group of 70～74 years old during 1980-1989,75～79 years old during 1990-1999,80～84 years old during 2000-2009 and 2010-2019,85 years old and above during 2020-2023(109.22/105,77.56/105,113.78/105,172.82/105 and 236.58/105,respectively).The probability of premature mortality of colorectal cancer decreased in male and female(AAPC=-1.10％,-2.41％,P=0.047,＜0.001),but there was no change after the year of 2000.[Conclusion]The overall mortality rate of colorectal cancer in Jinshan District showed a decreasing trend from 1980 to 2023,but the standardized mortality rate and the probability of premature mortality had not shown a significant downward trend since 2000.

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Trend Analysis and Future Forecast of Thyroid Cancer Incidence by Sex in China from 1990 to 2021

Xiangrui FU ; Wen LI ; Yurong LIU ; Xuan ZHANG ; Wenli LU ; Yuan WANG

China Cancer.2025;34(10):804-812. doi:10.11735/j.issn.1004-0242.2025.10.A007

[Purpose]To analyze the changes in the incidence trend of thyroid cancer from 1990 to 2021,and to predict the future incidence from 2022 to 2030.[Methods]We collected data related to the incidence of thyroid cancer among Chinese residents from 1990 to 2021 in the Global Bur-den of Disease 2021(GBD 2021)study,analyzed the trend of thyroid cancer incidence using the Joinpoint regression model,and constructed a Bayesian age-period-cohort(BAPC)model to pre-dict the future incidence of thyroid cancer during the years of 2022-2030,based on the inci-dence data during the years of 1990-2021.[Results]From 1990 to 2021,the age-standardized incidence rate(ASIR)of thyroid cancer in China showed a fluctuating upward trend,and the ASIR of thyroid cancer in China in 2021 was 2.47/105,slightly lower than the global average(2.91/105)in the same year.In 2021,there were significant differences in new cases and incidence rate of thyroid cancer between men and women,with the incidence rate of women being higher than that of men.Among them,the number of new cases in women was 27 915,the crude incidence rate was 4.02/105,and the ASIR was 2.87/105;in men,the number of new cases was 20 189,the crude incidence rate was 2.77/105,and the ASIR was 2.11/105.Between 1990 and 2021,the increase in the number of new cases,the crude incidence rate,and the ASIR of men in China was much larger than that of women.The ASIR of thyroid cancer in both male and female showed an in-creasing trend,while the average annual percentage change(AAPC)in female was lower than that in male.There were significant gender differences in the age-specific incidence rates of thyroid cancer.In 2021,the incidence rate of women was higher than that of men in the Chinese population＜75 years old,whereas the incidence rate of men was higher than that of women in the population≥75 years old.From 1990 to 2021,the incidence rates of the Chinese male population aged 45～59 years old and ≥75 years old increased significantly;and the incidence rate of the Chinese fe-male popu-lation aged 50～74 years old increased significantly.Projections showed that the ASIR of overall,male and female standardized incidence rates in 2030 increased to 2.90/105,2.44/105 and 3.26/105 respectively.[Conclusion]The incidence rate of thyroid cancer in China is on the rise,with the incidence rate of women being higher than that of men,but the incidence rate of men has increased more than that of women,and the gap between the incidence rates is narrow-ing,and the peak age of incidence of men is mostly in the senior age group.

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Incidence and Mortality of Female Breast Cancer in Zhejiang Cancer Registration Areas in 2021 and Trends from 2000 to 2021

Yan LI ; Hongrui HUANG ; Xu MA ; Dan LUO ; Le WANG ; Huizhang LI ; Lingbin DU ; Yiping WU ; Yanfei QIU

China Cancer.2025;34(10):764-774. doi:10.11735/j.issn.1004-0242.2025.10.A003

[Purpose]To analyze the incidence and mortality of female breast cancer in Zhejiang cancer registration areas in 2021 and the trends from 2000 to 2021.[Methods]The data of cancer inci-dence,mortality and population data reported by cancer registration areas in Zhejiang Province from 2000 to 2021 were collected.The crude incidence/mortality rates,age-standardized rates ad-justed by Chinese standard population(ASIRC,ASMRC)and world standard population(ASIRW,ASMRW),cumulative rates(0～74 years old),truncated rates(35～64 years old),proportion of fe-male breast cancer and age-specific rate were calculated.The average annual percentage change(AAPC)of female breast cancer incidence and mortality rates in Zhejiang from 2000 to 2021 was calculated using Joinpoint software.[Results]In 2021,there were 7 262 new cases of female breast cancer in Zhejiang cancer registration areas,accounting for 12.70％of all new female can-cer cases.The crude incidence rate,ASIRC and ASIRW were 65.71/105,42.03/105 and 39.22/105,respectively.The cumulative incidence rate(0～74 years old)was 4.26％,and the truncated rate(35～64 years old)was 98.34/105.The ASIRC in urban and rural areas were 43.15/105 and 40.15/105,respectively.There were 992 deaths of female breast cancer,accounting for 6.97％of all female cancer deaths.The crude mortality rate,ASMRC and ASMRW were 8.98/105,4.62/105 and 4.47/105,respectively.The cumulative mortality rate(0～74 years old)was 0.48％,and the truncated rate(35～64 years old)was 8.89/105.The ASMRC in urban and rural areas were 4.79/105 and 4.34/105,respectively.The incidence rate of female breast cancer reached the peak at the age group of 60～64 years old,and the mortality rate reached the peak at the age group of 85 years old and above.From 2000 to 2021,the crude incidence rate,ASIRC and ASIRW of female breast cancer in Zhejiang cancer registration areas showed significant increasing trends(all P＜0.05).The crude mortality rate and ASMRW of female breast cancer also showed significant increasing trends(all P＜0.05).[Conclusion]The incidence rate of female breast cancer in Zhejiang Province was higher than the national average,while the mortality rate was lower than the national average in 2021.Both the incidence and mortality rates showed increasing trends from 2000 to 2021.Fur-thermore,distinct urban-rural disparities existed in both incidence and mortality characteristics.

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Incidence and Mortality of Colorectal Cancer in Zhejiang Cancer Registration Areas in 2021 and Trends from 2000 to 2021

Yunfeng ZHU ; Yi ZHOU ; Tianjing GAO ; Enning LU ; Xiaofei CHEN ; Zhongjie ZHU ; Weimiao WU ; Huizhang LI ; Lingbin DU ; Chunxiao JIANG ; Yanfei QIU

China Cancer.2025;34(10):783-791. doi:10.11735/j.issn.1004-0242.2025.10.A005

[Purpose]To analyze the incidence and mortality of colorectal cancer in Zhejiang can-cer registration areas in 2021 and its temporal trends from 2000 to 2021.[Methods]Data from 22 cancer registries in Zhejiang Province in 2021 that met the quality standards were included.The crude incidence/mortality rate,age-standardized incidence/mortality rates by Chinese standard population(ASIRC/ASMRC)and by world standard population(ASIRW/ASMRW),and cumulative incidence(mortality)rate for 0～74 years old were calculated.Trends from 2000 to 2021 were ana-lyzed using the Joinpoint regression model by calculating the annual percentage change(APC)and average annual percentage change(AAPC).[Results]In 2021,the number of new colorectal cancer cases in Zhejiang cancer registration areas was 12 265,with 4 323 deaths.ASIRC and ASMRC were significantly higher in men(32.74/105 and 10.11/105)than those in women(20.78/105 and 5.99/105).Urban areas showed higher ASIRC and ASMRC(28.27/105 and 8.06/105)than rural areas(24.12/105 and 7.85/105).The age-specific incidence and mortality rates of colorectal cancer in Zhejiang Province showed an increasing trend with age,with a peak of 219.63/105 in the age group of 80～84 years old.The age-specific mortality rate peaked in the age group of 85 years old and above,with a peak of 199.65/105.From 2000 to 2021,ASIRC in Zhejiang Province showed an upward trend(AAPC=2.23％,P＜0.001),ASMRC showed a marginal increase(AAPC=0.78％,P=0.067).[Conclusion]The incidence of colorectal cancer in Zhejiang Province had been on a continuous rise in the past 22 years,and health education and early screening should be empha-sized.

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Epidemiological Characteristics of Pancreatic Cancer in 2020 and Its Change Trend from 2010 to 2020 in Cancer Registration Areas of Gansu Province

Qian SUN ; Junguo HU ; Yuqin LIU ; Yancheng YE ; Qinghua CAI ; Hongzong WANG

China Cancer.2025;34(5):377-384. doi:10.11735/j.issn.1004-0242.2025.05.A007

[Purpose]To analyze the incidence and mortality of pancreatic cancer in 2020 and the change trend from 2010 to 2020 in cancer registration areas of Gansu Province.[Methods]The data of pancreatic cancer from 2010 to 2020 were collected from cancer registries in Gansu Province.The crude incidence/mortality rate,age-standardized incidence/mortality rate by Chinese standard population(ASIRC/ASMRC)and world standard population(ASIRW/ASMRW),0～74 years old cumulative rate and proportion of pancreatic cancer were calculated.Joinpoint 4.7.0 software was used to calculate the average annual percentage change(AAPC)of ASIRC/ASMRC of pancreatic cancer in cancer registration areas of Gansu Province from 2010 to 2020.[Results]In 2020,a total of 838 new cases of pancreatic cancer were reported in the cancer registration areas of Gansu Province,with a crude incidence rate of 6.52/105,ASIRC and ASIRW of 4.03/105 and 4.49/105 respectively,accounting for 2.50％of all malignant tumor incidence.In 2020,702 cases of pan-creatic cancer deaths were reported in the cancer registration areas of Gansu Province,with a crude mortality rate of 5.46/105,ASMRC and ASMRW of 3.25/105 and 3.73/105,respectively,ac-counting for 3.98％of all malignant tumor deaths.From 2010 to 2020,a total of 2 413 cases of pancreatic cancer were reported in cancer registration areas in Gansu Province,accounting for 1.90％of all malignant tumors in the province.The crude incidence rate of pancreatic cancer was 5.28/105,the ASIRC was 4.18/105,the ASIRW was 4.63/105,and the cumulative rate of 0～74 years old was 0.49％.From 2010 to 2020,a total of 1 871 pancreatic cancer deaths were reported in cancer registration areas of Gansu Province,accounting for 2.38％of all malignant tumor deaths in the province.The crude mortality rate was 3.92/105,the ASMRC was 3.09/105,the ASMRW was 3.50/105,and the cumulative rate of 0～74 years old was 0.36％.In terms of sex and region,the incidence and mortality of pancreatic cancer from 2010 to 2020 in men were higher than those in women,and higher in rural areas than those in urban areas.From 2010 to 2020,the incidence and mortality were at a low level under the age of 44 years old,and increased significantly after 45 years old,reaching a peak in the age group of 80～84 years old.ASIRC showed no significant change from 2010 to 2020 with an AAPC of 0.41 1％(P＞0.05).From 2010 to 2020,the ASMRC showed an significantly increasing trend with an AAPC of 6.515％(P=0.014).[Conclusion]From 2010 to 2020,the ASRIC of pancreatic cancer in Gansu Province showed no significant change,while the ASMRC showed a significantly in-creasing trend.The incidence and mortality rates were higher in men than those in women and higher in rural areas than those in urban areas.Middle-aged and elderly men in rural areas are the key groups of prevention and treatment of pancreatic cancer,so targeted prevention and control measures should be carried out.

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