1.Comprehensive Application of AHP-CRITIC Hybrid Weighting Method, Grey Correlation Analysis and BP-ANN in Optimization of Extraction Process of Qizhi Prescription
Qun LAN ; Yi CHENG ; Zian LI ; Bingyu WU ; Jinyu WANG ; Dewen LIU ; Yan TONG
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2025;31(8):176-186
ObjectiveBased on analytic hierarchy process(AHP)-criteria importance through intercriteria correlation(CRITIC) hybrid weighting method, grey relational analysis and backpropagation artificial neural network(BP-ANN), to optimize the water extraction process of Qizhi prescription, so as to provide an experimental basis for optimization of the preparation process of this prescription and the establishment of quality standards. MethodsL9(34) orthogonal test was employed, and the AHP-CRITIC hybrid weighting method was utilized to determine the weight coefficients of the quality fractions of various components, including astragaloside Ⅳ, polygalaxanthone Ⅲ, calycosin-7-O-β-D-glucoside, tenuifolin, and 3,6′-disinapoylsucrose, as well as the dry extract yield. The comprehensive score of each factor level combination in the orthogonal test were calculated as evaluation indicator to select the optimal extraction process parameters. The effects of extraction times, extraction time, and solvent dosage on the aqueous extraction process of the formula were investigated through intuitive analysis, variance analysis, and grey relational analysis. Meanwhile, a BP-ANN model was established to reverse-predict the optimal extraction process parameters of Qizhi prescription, and the optimized process parameters were validated. ResultsThe weight coefficients of the five index components(astragaloside Ⅳ, tenuifolin, calycosin-7-O-β-D-glucoside, polygalaxanthone Ⅲ, and 3,6′-disinapoylsucrose) and dry extract yield were 25.7%, 20.82%, 16.41%, 12.45%, 15.96% and 8.67%, respectively. The optimized extraction process parameters were extracted 3 times with 8, 6, 6 times the amount of water, each time for 1 h. The network prediction results of BP-ANN test samples were consistent with the orthogonal test results, and the mean square error(MSE) of the predicted and measured values of the network was <1%. The water extraction process of Qizhi prescription analyzed and predicted by relevant mathematical models was stable and feasible, which could effectively improve the extraction efficiency of the active ingredients of Astragali Radix and Polygalae Radix, and the average comprehensive score of the validation test was 90.85 with the relative standard deviation(RSD) of 1.55%. ConclusionThis study establishes a water extraction process for compound Qizhi granules, and the optimized extraction process can effectively improve the extraction efficiency of active ingredients, which provides useful references for the optimization of preparation process and the establishment of quality standards for other clinical experience formulas.
2.Analysis of Brain Absorption Components and Their Distribution of Tianyuan Zhitong Prescription Based on UPLC-Q-TOF-MS and DESI-MSI
Yi CHENG ; Qun LAN ; Bingyu WU ; Jinyu WANG ; Dewen LIU ; Yan TONG
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2024;30(12):166-172
ObjectiveTo investigate the brain absorption components of Tianyuan Zhitong prescription and their distribution based on ultra-high performance liquid chromatography-quadrupole-time-of-flight mass spectrometry(UPLC-Q-TOF-MS), desorption electrospray ionization mass spectrometry imaging(DESI-MSI) and hyperspectral imaging techniques. MethodTen BALB/c mice were randomly divided into blank group(n=3) and administration group(n=7), the administration group was gavaged with 0.3 mL of Tianyuan Zhitong prescription liquid at a concentration of about 5 g·mL-1 of the raw material, and the blank group was gavaged with an equal volume of normal saline, and the whole brain of the mice were taken for the preparation of tissue homogenates and frozen sections, respectively. The tissue homogenates were qualitatively analyzed by UPLC-Q-TOF-MS for the brain absorption components in positive and negative ion modes, frozen sections were used for imaging to observe the distribution of these components in the brain. Cytoviva dark-field enhancement microscope was used to perform hyperspectral imaging scanning on the brain sections of mice from each group, and the scattered light data of at least 1 000 pixels in the visible-near-infrared(400-1 000 nm) band in the microscopic field of view were collected and average spectrum were created, which were used to compare the components in the brain tissues of mice from the blank and administration groups. ResultA total of 27 brain absorption components of Tianyuan Zhitong prescription were identified by UPLC-Q-TOF-MS, including 10 organic acids, 5 glycosides, 4 alkaloids, 1 phenol, 4 flavonoids, 2 phthalides and 1 other compound, which were mainly derived from Gastrodiae Rhizoma, Chuanxiong Rhizoma, vinegar-processed Corydalis Rhizoma, Ziziphi Spinosae Semen and processed Morindae Officinalis Radix. A total of 14 components were identified by mass spectrometry imaging, of which ferulic acid, tetrahydropalmatine and N-methyl dehydroberberine were mainly distributed in the cerebral cortex, vitamin B5, vemonoic acid and ricinoleic acid were mainly distributed in the hypothalamus, elemicin, octadecenic acid and octadecanoic acid were mainly distributed in the cortex and hypothalamus, while senkyunolide B, ligustilide, linoleic acid, 9,12-octadecadienoyl ethyl ester and spinosin were distributed in most regions of the brain tissues. Hyperspectral imaging showed that in the visible-near-infrared band range, the average spectrum of the brain tissues of mice in the administration group was significantly red-shifted, indicating that there were differences in the physical properties or contents of the chemical components in the brain between mice in the blank group and those in the administration group, and further verified the results of mass spectrometry imaging. ConclusionThrough the combination of UPLC-Q-TOF-MS and imaging techniques, the pharmacodynamic components of Tianyuan Zhitong prescription in the treatment of headache and the regional characteristics in brain tissue are clarified, which can provide reference for the selection of the index components of the research on the quality standard of this prescription and the research on the mechanism of the pharmacological effect.
3.Significance and role of apprenticeship education in Traditional Chinese Medicine curriculum of western medical institutions
Dan YANG ; Ziman YU ; Yi LIU ; Xiaohu SHI ; Lan JIANG ; Yamin ZHANG ; Guangchan JING ; Qunli WU
Basic & Clinical Medicine 2024;44(4):582-584
The apprenticeship education of Traditional Chinese medicine(TCM)is an important pathway for the cultivation of talents in TCM education.The combination of institutional education and apprenticeship education is considered to be the most suitable educational model that aligns with the inherent characteristics of TCM education.The current status of TCM education in western medical institutions and the main challenges include the difficulty in transitioning between western and Chinese medical reasoning and limited clinical internship hours for TCM.The strengths and features of TCM apprenticeship education lie in cultural heritage,classical teachings,mentorship,practice orientation and personalized education.Therefore,integration of TCM apprenticeship education and clinical internships for western medical students represents a new educational model for medical undergraduates.
4.Implementation of surveillance,prevention and control of healthcare-asso-ciated infection in maternal and child healthcare institutions:A nation-wide investigation report
Shuo LI ; Xi YAO ; Hui-Xue JIA ; Wei-Guang LI ; Xun HUANG ; Shu-Mei SUN ; Xi CHENG ; Qing-Lan MENG ; Xiang ZHANG ; Jing-Ping ZHANG ; Ya-Wei XING ; Qing-Qing JIANG ; Lian-Xuan WU ; Bing-Li ZHANG ; Xiao-Jing LIU ; Liu-Yi LI
Chinese Journal of Infection Control 2024;23(3):323-329
Objective To investigate the implementation of surveillance,prevention and control measures for healthcare-associated infection(HAI)in maternal and child healthcare(MCH)institutions,and provide policy evi-dence for optimizing HAI prevention and control in MCH institutions.Methods Stratified sampling was conducted among the MCH institutions at provincial,municipal and county levels in 8 provinces/autonomous regions.A uni-fied questionnaire was designed and the online survey was conducted through"Questionnaire Star".Results The data from 123 MCH institutions were included in the analysis.90.24%of the MCH institutions carried out compre-hensive surveillance on HAI.The ratios of MCH institutions which implemented targeted surveillance on HAI in neonatal intensive care unit(NICU),surgical site infection,multidrug-resistant organisms(MDROs)and HAI in intensive care units(non-NICU excluded)were 89.66%,85.96%,80.77%,and 74.19%,respectively.51.22%MCH institutions adopted information surveillance system on HAI cases.94.31%MCH institutions carried out surveillance on hand hygiene compliance.Over 90%MCH institutions carried out surveillance on environment hy-giene in high-risk departments.71.54%MCH institutions conducted centralized cleaning,disinfection,sterilization and supply for reusable medical instruments in the central sterile supply department(CSSD).Over 90%MCH insti-tutions established three-level pre-examination triage systems.86.18%set up transitional wards.MCH institutions generally adopted a management model with established effective communication,full appointment visits,and sepa-rate visits for special medical groups,such as registered pregnant women,high-risk newborns,healthcare groups,and long-term rehabilitation patients.However,the ratio of institutions conducting on-line follow-up visits was less than 50%.Conclusion MCH institutions have generally carried out comprehensive and targeted surveillance on HAI.Information surveillance need to be facilitated.Hand hygiene and environmental hygiene surveillance has been popularized to a certain extent at all levels of MCH institutions.The cleaning,disinfection,sterilization,and supply processes of reusable medical devices in a few MCH institutions are not standardized.Special medical populations get effective management.On-line healthcare is to be further promoted.
5.Two new isocoumarins from cave-derived Metarhizium anisopliae NHC-M3-2
Rong-xiang WU ; Jie-lan GUO ; Hua HUANG ; Jing-jing LIAO ; Yi HAO ; Fan-dong KONG ; Li-man ZHOU ; Chao-jun ZHANG
Acta Pharmaceutica Sinica 2024;59(9):2588-2593
Extracting extracts of secondary metabolites from the karst cave fungus
6.Exploration on the Medication Rules of HUANG Li in Treating Recurrent Angina Pectoris After Percutaneous Coronary Intervention for Coronary Heart Disease
Shi-Yi TAO ; Xian-Wen TANG ; Lin-Tong YU ; De-Shuang YANG ; Rui-Qi YAO ; Lan-Xin ZHANG ; Jia-Yun WU ; Li HUANG
Journal of Guangzhou University of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2024;41(6):1598-1606
Objective To explore the medication rules of Professor HUANG Li for the treatment of recurrent angina pectoris after percutaneous coronary intervention(PCI)for coronary heart disease by data mining method.Methods The prescriptions for effective cases of recurrent angina pectoris after PCI for coronary heart disease treated by Professor HUANG Li in the outpatient department of China-Japan Friendship Hospital were collected.SPSS Statistics 26.0 software and SPSS Modeler 18.0 software were used for frequency statistics,analysis of the therapeutic actions,properties,flavors and meridian tropism of the prescribed herbs as well as association rule analysis,cluster analysis and factor analysis of the herbs.Results A total of 344 Chinese medicine prescriptions were obtained,involving 209 herbs,with a cumulative frequency of 5 874 times.The top 30 Chinese medicinals were named as the high-frequency Chinese medicines,and the herbs with the frequency over 100 times in descending order were Astragali Radix,Chuanxiong Rhizoma,Puerariae Lobatae Radix,Rhodiolae Crenulatae Radix et Rhizoma,Notoginseng Radix et Rhizoma,Poria,Dalbergiae Odoriferae Lignum,Atractylodis Macrocephalae Rhizoma,Curcumae Rhizoma,Sparganii Rhizoma,Dioscoreae Rhizoma,Citri Reticulatae Pericarpium,Pinelliae Rhizoma Praeparatum,Codonopsis Radix,and Glycyrrhizae Radix et Rhizoma.The high-frequency Chinese medicinals were mostly classified as blood-activating and stasis-resolving drugs and qi-replenishing drugs.The medicinal properties of the drugs were characterized by being warm,mild,or cold,the flavors were predominated by being sweet,pungent or bitter,and the medicinals usually had the meridian tropism of the spleen,lung and liver meridians.A total of 30 association rules were mined out,cluster analysis yielded 5 herbal groups,and factor analysis yielded 11 groups of common factors.Conclusion For the treatment of cardiovascular diseases,Professor HUANG Li follows the theory of qi,blood and water,and especially pays more attention to the ascending and descending of qi movement.For qi deficiency and blood stasis contribute to the basic pathogenesis of recurrent angina pectoris after PCI,the therapy of benefiting qi,activating blood and removing stasis is recommended.Moreover,the simultaneous regulation of five zang-organs and simultaneous use of the cold and warm herbs are performed,and the herbs of benefiting qi and invigorating spleen,resolving phlegm and inducing diuresis,tranquilizing mind,promoting qi and dissipating masses,and activating blood to eliminate stasis are used for adjuvant therapy.
7.Chinese expert consensus on blood support mode and blood transfusion strategies for emergency treatment of severe trauma patients (version 2024)
Yao LU ; Yang LI ; Leiying ZHANG ; Hao TANG ; Huidan JING ; Yaoli WANG ; Xiangzhi JIA ; Li BA ; Maohong BIAN ; Dan CAI ; Hui CAI ; Xiaohong CAI ; Zhanshan ZHA ; Bingyu CHEN ; Daqing CHEN ; Feng CHEN ; Guoan CHEN ; Haiming CHEN ; Jing CHEN ; Min CHEN ; Qing CHEN ; Shu CHEN ; Xi CHEN ; Jinfeng CHENG ; Xiaoling CHU ; Hongwang CUI ; Xin CUI ; Zhen DA ; Ying DAI ; Surong DENG ; Weiqun DONG ; Weimin FAN ; Ke FENG ; Danhui FU ; Yongshui FU ; Qi FU ; Xuemei FU ; Jia GAN ; Xinyu GAN ; Wei GAO ; Huaizheng GONG ; Rong GUI ; Geng GUO ; Ning HAN ; Yiwen HAO ; Wubing HE ; Qiang HONG ; Ruiqin HOU ; Wei HOU ; Jie HU ; Peiyang HU ; Xi HU ; Xiaoyu HU ; Guangbin HUANG ; Jie HUANG ; Xiangyan HUANG ; Yuanshuai HUANG ; Shouyong HUN ; Xuebing JIANG ; Ping JIN ; Dong LAI ; Aiping LE ; Hongmei LI ; Bijuan LI ; Cuiying LI ; Daihong LI ; Haihong LI ; He LI ; Hui LI ; Jianping LI ; Ning LI ; Xiying LI ; Xiangmin LI ; Xiaofei LI ; Xiaojuan LI ; Zhiqiang LI ; Zhongjun LI ; Zunyan LI ; Huaqin LIANG ; Xiaohua LIANG ; Dongfa LIAO ; Qun LIAO ; Yan LIAO ; Jiajin LIN ; Chunxia LIU ; Fenghua LIU ; Peixian LIU ; Tiemei LIU ; Xiaoxin LIU ; Zhiwei LIU ; Zhongdi LIU ; Hua LU ; Jianfeng LUAN ; Jianjun LUO ; Qun LUO ; Dingfeng LYU ; Qi LYU ; Xianping LYU ; Aijun MA ; Liqiang MA ; Shuxuan MA ; Xainjun MA ; Xiaogang MA ; Xiaoli MA ; Guoqing MAO ; Shijie MU ; Shaolin NIE ; Shujuan OUYANG ; Xilin OUYANG ; Chunqiu PAN ; Jian PAN ; Xiaohua PAN ; Lei PENG ; Tao PENG ; Baohua QIAN ; Shu QIAO ; Li QIN ; Ying REN ; Zhaoqi REN ; Ruiming RONG ; Changshan SU ; Mingwei SUN ; Wenwu SUN ; Zhenwei SUN ; Haiping TANG ; Xiaofeng TANG ; Changjiu TANG ; Cuihua TAO ; Zhibin TIAN ; Juan WANG ; Baoyan WANG ; Chunyan WANG ; Gefei WANG ; Haiyan WANG ; Hongjie WANG ; Peng WANG ; Pengli WANG ; Qiushi WANG ; Xiaoning WANG ; Xinhua WANG ; Xuefeng WANG ; Yong WANG ; Yongjun WANG ; Yuanjie WANG ; Zhihua WANG ; Shaojun WEI ; Yaming WEI ; Jianbo WEN ; Jun WEN ; Jiang WU ; Jufeng WU ; Aijun XIA ; Fei XIA ; Rong XIA ; Jue XIE ; Yanchao XING ; Yan XIONG ; Feng XU ; Yongzhu XU ; Yongan XU ; Yonghe YAN ; Beizhan YAN ; Jiang YANG ; Jiangcun YANG ; Jun YANG ; Xinwen YANG ; Yongyi YANG ; Chunyan YAO ; Mingliang YE ; Changlin YIN ; Ming YIN ; Wen YIN ; Lianling YU ; Shuhong YU ; Zebo YU ; Yigang YU ; Anyong YU ; Hong YUAN ; Yi YUAN ; Chan ZHANG ; Jinjun ZHANG ; Jun ZHANG ; Kai ZHANG ; Leibing ZHANG ; Quan ZHANG ; Rongjiang ZHANG ; Sanming ZHANG ; Shengji ZHANG ; Shuo ZHANG ; Wei ZHANG ; Weidong ZHANG ; Xi ZHANG ; Xingwen ZHANG ; Guixi ZHANG ; Xiaojun ZHANG ; Guoqing ZHAO ; Jianpeng ZHAO ; Shuming ZHAO ; Beibei ZHENG ; Shangen ZHENG ; Huayou ZHOU ; Jicheng ZHOU ; Lihong ZHOU ; Mou ZHOU ; Xiaoyu ZHOU ; Xuelian ZHOU ; Yuan ZHOU ; Zheng ZHOU ; Zuhuang ZHOU ; Haiyan ZHU ; Peiyuan ZHU ; Changju ZHU ; Lili ZHU ; Zhengguo WANG ; Jianxin JIANG ; Deqing WANG ; Jiongcai LAN ; Quanli WANG ; Yang YU ; Lianyang ZHANG ; Aiqing WEN
Chinese Journal of Trauma 2024;40(10):865-881
Patients with severe trauma require an extremely timely treatment and transfusion plays an irreplaceable role in the emergency treatment of such patients. An increasing number of evidence-based medicinal evidences and clinical practices suggest that patients with severe traumatic bleeding benefit from early transfusion of low-titer group O whole blood or hemostatic resuscitation with red blood cells, plasma and platelet of a balanced ratio. However, the current domestic mode of blood supply cannot fully meet the requirements of timely and effective blood transfusion for emergency treatment of patients with severe trauma in clinical practice. In order to solve the key problems in blood supply and blood transfusion strategies for emergency treatment of severe trauma, Branch of Clinical Transfusion Medicine of Chinese Medical Association, Group for Trauma Emergency Care and Multiple Injuries of Trauma Branch of Chinese Medical Association, Young Scholar Group of Disaster Medicine Branch of Chinese Medical Association organized domestic experts of blood transfusion medicine and trauma treatment to jointly formulate Chinese expert consensus on blood support mode and blood transfusion strategies for emergency treatment of severe trauma patients ( version 2024). Based on the evidence-based medical evidence and Delphi method of expert consultation and voting, 10 recommendations were put forward from two aspects of blood support mode and transfusion strategies, aiming to provide a reference for transfusion resuscitation in the emergency treatment of severe trauma and further improve the success rate of treatment of patients with severe trauma.
8.Genetic Variation of SH2B3 in Patients with Myeloid Neoplasms
Qiang MA ; Rong-Hua HU ; Hong ZHAO ; Xiao-Xi LAN ; Yi-Xian GUO ; Xiao-Li CHANG ; Wan-Ling SUN ; Li SU ; Wu-Han HUI
Journal of Experimental Hematology 2024;32(4):1186-1190
Objective:To observe the genetic variation of SH2B3 in patients with myeloid neoplasms.Methods:The results of targeted DNA sequencing associated with myeloid neoplasms in the Department of Hematology,Xuanwu Hospital,Capital Medical University from November 2017 to November 2022 were retrospectively analyzed,and the patients with SH2B3 gene mutations were identified.The demographic and clinical data of these patients were collected,and characteristics of SH2B3 gene mutation,co-mutated genes and their correlations with diseases were analyzed.Results:The sequencing results were obtained from 1 005 patients,in which 19 patients were detected with SH2B3 gene mutation,including 18 missense mutations(94.74%),1 nonsense mutation(5.26%),and 10 patients with co-mutated genes(52.63%).Variant allele frequency(VAF)ranged from 0.03 to 0.66.The highest frequency mutation was p.Ile568Thr(5/19,26.32%),with an average VAF of 0.49,involving 1 case of MDS/MPN-RS(with SF3B1 mutation),1 case of MDS-U(with SF3B1 mutation),1 case of aplastic anemia with PNH clone(with PIGA and KMT2A mutations),2 cases of MDS-MLD(1 case with SETBP1 mutation).The other mutations included p.Ala567Thr in 2 cases(10.53%),p.Arg566Trp,p.Glu533Lys,p.Met437Arg,p.Arg425Cys,p.Glu314Lys,p.Arg308*,p.Gln294Glu,p.Arg282Gln,p.Arg175Gln,p.Gly86Cys,p.His55Asn and p.Gln54Pro in 1 case each.Conclusion:A wide distribution of genetic mutation sites and low recurrence of SH2B3 is observed in myeloid neoplasms,among of them,p.Ile568Thr mutation is detected with a higher incidence and often coexists with characteristic mutations of other diseases.
9.Influence of Methylenetetrahydrofolate Reductase C677T Polymorphism on High-Dose Methotrexate Toxicity in Pediatric Mature B-cell lymphoma Patients
Jia-Qian XU ; Juan WANG ; Su-Ying LU ; Yan-Peng WU ; Lan-Ying GUO ; Bo-Yun SHI ; Fei-Fei SUN ; Jun-Ting HUANG ; Jia ZHU ; Zi-Jun ZHEN ; Xiao-Fei SUN ; Yi-Zhuo ZHANG
Journal of Experimental Hematology 2024;32(6):1733-1737
Objective:To investigate the effect of genetic polymorphism of MTHFR C677T (rs1801133) on methotrexate (MTX) related toxicity in pediatric mature B-cell lymphoma patients. Methods:Fifty-eight intermediate and high risk patients under 18 years of age with mature B-cell lymphoma who received 5 g/m2 MTX (24 h intravenous infusion) in Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center from August 2014 to December 2021 were included,and their toxicity of high-dose MTX (HD-MTX) were monitored and analyzed. Results:Among the 58 pediatric patients,the number of CC,CT,and TT genotypes for MTHFR C677T was 33,19 and 6,respectively. A total of 101 courses of HD-MTX therapy were counted,of which plasma MTX level>0.2 μmol/L at 48 h post-MTX infusion were observed in 35 courses,≤0.2 μmol/L in 66 courses. Inter-group comparison showed that plasma MTX level>0.2 μmol/L at 48 h post-MTX infusion increased the risk of developing oral mucositis (P<0.05). Compared with wild-type (CC genotype),patients in the mutant group (CT+TT genotype) were more likely to develop myelosuppression,manifested as anemia,leucopenia,neutropenia and thrombocytopenia. However,plasma MTX level at 48 h was not associated with MTHFR C677T gene polymorphism. Conclusion:The risk of developing oral mucositis in children with mature B-cell lymphoma is associated with plasma MTX concentration. Polymorphism of MTHFR C677T gene is not related to plasma MTX concentration in children with mature B-cell lymphoma,but is related to grade Ⅲ to Ⅳ hematological toxicity.
10.Trend and genotype characteristics of single-center HPV infection in Tian-jin area based on ARIMA model
Yang LI ; Gui-Lan TAN ; Yi LI ; Xiao-Yuan XIE ; Shu LI ; Fang WU ; Xia LIU
Chinese Journal of Infection Control 2024;23(10):1249-1257
Objective To construct time-series by adopting autoregressive integrated moving average(ARIMA)model for analyzing the trend and genotype characteristics of single-center human papillomavirus(HPV)infection in Tianjin area.Methods A total of 7 236 female patients who underwent HPV testing in a hospital from January 2018 to December 2022 were selected.HPV infection status and genotype distribution in Tianjin area from 2018 to 2022 were compared.ARIMA model time-series was constructed,and model fitting was analyzed.The number of HPV infections in 2023 was predicted and compared with the actual occurrence,the predictive performance of the model was evaluated.Results HPV infection rate in Tianjin area from 2018 to 2022 was 14.41%,with the highest rate(15.47%)in the age group of 31-40 years.Among the positive specimens,the proportion of single type HPV infection was the highest,accounting for 73.54%(767/1 043),with high-risk HPV being the main type.The highest infection rates of low-risk and high-risk types were type HPV-6(2.59%)and type HPV-16(16.06%),re-spectively.ARIMA model was constructed,and the optimal model was ARIMA(0,1,2)(0,1,1)12,with akaike in-formation criterion(AIC)and bayesian information criterion(BIC)values of 3.877 and 4.005,respectively.There was no statistical significance in Ljung-Box Q=8.828 showed by white noise test(P>0.05).The number of HPV infection in 2023 was predicted by the model.The overall trend of the actual value and the predicted value was basi-cally consistent,RMSE,MAPE and MAE of the model were 6.289,34.149 and 4.706,respectively,suggesting that the model had a good prediction effect.Conclusion Among the female population in Tianjin area,HPV infec-tion is mainly caused by single,high-risk type,with HPV-16 having the highest infection rate.There is seasonal variation in HPV infection in Tianjin.ARIMA model has good prediction effect on the prevalence trend of HPV in-fection,which is suitable for short-term prediction.

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