1.Advances in clinical research of CAR-T immunotherapy for systemic rheumatic diseases
Zhi LI ; Mengying ZHANG ; Chuanmiao ZHU ; Li MAO ; Hui PENG
Chinese Journal of Clinical Pharmacology and Therapeutics 2024;29(8):937-946
Systemic rheumatic disease is a kind of autoimmune disease which is caused by the dys-function of autoimmune cells and the damage of multiple systems and organs.Traditional immuno-suppressants play an important role in the treat-ment of systemic rheumatic diseases,but there are still a considerable number of refractory systemic rheumatic diseases that do not respond well to tra-ditional immunosuppressant therapy,and new ther-apeutic methods need to be explored.Chimeric an-tigen receptor T cell therapy(CAR-T)immunothera-py was initially used for the treatment of malig-nant hematological diseases and has shown good efficacy.Recently,CAR-T immunotherapy has also achieved remarkable efficacy in refractory systemic lupus erythematosus.It brings new hope for the treatment of systemic rheumatic diseases.This arti-cle summarizes the progress of clinical application of CAR-T immunotherapy in systemic rheumatic dis-eases in recent years,aiming to enhance clinicians'cognition of CAR-T immunotherapy and promote the further development of CAR-T immunotherapy in systemic rheumatic diseases.
2.The first female case of human monkeypox in Yunnan Province
Yang ZHOU ; De-Li QI ; Zheng-Ji CHEN ; Zhi-Peng MAO ; Min DAI ; Yu-Dong GAO ; Si-Yi LUO ; Shao-Hua PAN ; Hong-Hai SU
Chinese Journal of Zoonoses 2024;40(6):599-603
This is the first reported case of a female with monkeypox infection in Kunming City,Yunnan Province.An epi-demiological investigation was conducted to provide a scientific basis for the prevention and control of monkeypox epidemics in China,especially for early detection in females in accordance with the"Monkeypox prevention and control program(2023 ver-sion)".Diagnosis was performed as described in the"Monkeypox Diagnosis and Treatment Guidelines(2022 version)".Speci-mens were collected for laboratory testing.The epidemiological investigation determined that the female patient had sexual in-tercourse with her newly married husband once before disease onset and the husband hid his history of male homosexual sex.The laboratory test results of the woman and her husband were positive for the nucleic acid of the monkeypox virus.Both had typical clinical symptoms,including rash.The epidemiological investigation,clinical symptoms,laboratory test results,and previous epidemic data of monkeypox in Yunnan province confirmed the woman as the first female infected with monkeypox in Yunnan Province and her husband was the presumed source of infection.
3.Efficacy and safety of DEB-TACE combined with lenvatinib in the treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma with portal vein tumor thrombus
Ling-Zhi ZHANG ; Qing-Dong WANG ; Mao-Jun YAN ; Peng-Chao FU ; Song LIU ; Guang-Ji YU
Chinese Journal of Current Advances in General Surgery 2024;27(8):627-632
Objective:To assess the efficiency and safety of combining lenvatinib with DEB-TACE for the treatment of unresectable large hepatocellular carcinoma,accompanied by PVTT,in order to provide insights into its potential as a therapeutic approach.Method:Patients with hepa-tocellular carcinoma and portal vein tumor thrombus,who were diagnosed and treated at Linyi Can-cer Hospital between June 2019 and June 2021,were chosen as the subjects of this study.Patient allocation into the experimental group(23 cases)and control group(27 cases)was based on indi-vidual preferences,ensuring a random distribution of participants.The DEB-TACE treatment was administered to the control group,while the experimental group received a combination of DEB-TACE and lenvatinib.The effectiveness of lenvatinib was assessed in the immediate post-surgery period,the patients'survival was monitored,and any associated side effects were documented.Result:3 months after treatment,the objective remission rates of the experimental group and the control group were 91.31%and 66.67%,and the disease control rates were 100%and 77.78%.The difference was statistically significant(P<0.05).3 months after treatment,the regression rates of tumor thrombus in the experimental group and the control group were 60.87%and 29.63%,the difference was statistically significant(P<0.05).The progression free survival time of the experi-mental group and the control group was 11 months and 8 months,the difference was statistically significant(P<0.05);The median survival time of the experimental group and the control group was 20 months and 14 months,and the difference was statistically significant(P<0.05).The main ad-verse reactions of the experimental group were hypertension,diarrhea,hand foot syndrome,rash,fatigue,loss of appetite,etc.,all of which were less than or equal to grade 3,and could be basically relieved after symptomatic treatment.Conclusion:The combination of DEB-TACE and lenvatinib is proven to be a safe and well-tolerated treatment for unresectable large hepatocellular carcinoma with portal vein tumor thrombus.This therapy not only effectively controls tumor progression but also prolongs survival time.
4.Effect of head acupuncturing therapy combined with massaging key head acupoints on language and cogni-tive function in children with autism
Yaxin YANG ; Mao HUANG ; Xin WANG ; Yaru ZHI ; Xuemeng SHI ; Hongjin REN ; Wanying PENG
The Journal of Practical Medicine 2023;39(23):3132-3136
Objective To explore the effect of head acupuncturing therapy combined with massaging key head acupoints on language and cognitive function in children with autism.Methods 60 children with autism who visited the Department of Pediatric Rehabilitation of our hospital from January 2021 to June 2022 were selected as subjects,who were then randomly divided into the conventional group treated with the conventional rehabilitation training and the combination group treated with head acupuncturing therapy combined with massaging the key acu-points,apart from conventional rehabilitation training 30 cases in each group.The cognitive function,developmental status,and parental quality of life before and after the treatment were compared between the two groups,and so were the language function and safety.Results There were no significant differences in the scores by Autism Behavior Checklist(ABC)and Childhood Autism Rating Scale(CARS),adaptability scores,language scores,and individual-social interaction scores between the conventional group and the combination group before the treatment(P>0.05).After the treatment,the scores by ABC and CARS were significantly decreased in both groups,and the scores of the combination group were significantly lower than those in the conventional group(P<0.05);The adaptability scores,language,individual-social interaction scores were significantly increased in both groups,and the scores of the combined group were significantly higher than those of the conventional group(P<0.05).The abnormal rates of symbolic expression,language comprehension,action-oriented subjects,and language development delay in the combined group were all significantly lower than those in the conventional group(P<0.05).There was no significant difference in the scores by the QL-Index between the conventional group and the combined group before the treatment(P>0.05),but after the treatment,the QL-Index scores of the conventional group and the combination group were increased,and the score of the combination group was significantly higher than that of the conventional group(P<0.05).The results of blood routine,urine routine,stool routine,liver function,and kidney function in both groups were not significantly abnormal.There was one case of mild swelling and pain at the acupunctured site in the combination group,which was improved without intervention.Conclusion Head acupuncturing therapy combined with massaging the key head acupoints can improve language function,cognitive function,and development of autis-tic children.In addition,it can enhance parental quality of life and have a high level of safety.
5.Survival analysis of patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma treated with adjuvant chemotherapy after radical resection based on CoxPH model and deep learning algorithm.
Jia Lu CHEN ; Xiao Peng YU ; Yue TANG ; Chen CHEN ; Ying He QIU ; Hong WU ; Tian Qiang SONG ; Yu HE ; Xian Hai MAO ; Wen Long ZHAI ; Zhang Jun CHENG ; Jing Dong LI ; Zhi Min GENG ; Zhao Hui TANG ; Zhi Wei QUAN
Chinese Journal of Surgery 2023;61(4):313-320
Objective: To establish a predictive model for survival benefit of patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) who received adjuvant chemotherapy after radical resection. Methods: The clinical and pathological data of 249 patients with ICC who underwent radical resection and adjuvant chemotherapy at 8 hospitals in China from January 2010 to December 2018 were retrospectively collected. There were 121 males and 128 females,with 88 cases>60 years old and 161 cases≤60 years old. Feature selection was performed by univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis. Overall survival time and survival status were used as outcome indicators,then target clinical features were selected. Patients were stratified into high-risk group and low-risk group,survival differences between the two groups were analyzed. Using the selected clinical features, the traditional CoxPH model and deep learning DeepSurv survival prediction model were constructed, and the performance of the models were evaluated according to concordance index(C-index). Results: Portal vein invasion, carcinoembryonic antigen>5 μg/L,abnormal lymphocyte count, low grade tumor pathological differentiation and positive lymph nodes>0 were independent adverse prognostic factors for overall survival in 249 patients with adjuvant chemotherapy after radical resection (all P<0.05). The survival benefit of adjuvant chemotherapy in the high-risk group was significantly lower than that in the low-risk group (P<0.05). Using the above five features, the traditional CoxPH model and the deep learning DeepSurv survival prediction model were constructed. The C-index values of the training set were 0.687 and 0.770, and the C-index values of the test set were 0.606 and 0.763,respectively. Conclusion: Compared with the traditional Cox model, the DeepSurv model can more accurately predict the survival probability of patients with ICC undergoing adjuvant chemotherapy at a certain time point, and more accurately judge the survival benefit of adjuvant chemotherapy.
6.A nomogram for preoperative prediction of lymph node metastasis in patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma based on inflammation-related markers.
Xiao Peng YU ; Jia Lu CHEN ; Yue TANG ; Chen CHEN ; Ying Hong QIU ; Hong WU ; Tian Qiang SONG ; Yu HE ; Xian Hai MAO ; Wen Long ZHAI ; Zhang Jun CHENG ; Xiao LIANG ; Jing Dong LI ; Chuan Dong SUN ; Kai MA ; Rui Xin LIN ; Zhi Min GENG ; Zhao Hui TANG ; Zhi Wei QUAN
Chinese Journal of Surgery 2023;61(4):321-329
Objectives: To construct a nomogram for prediction of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) lymph node metastasis based on inflammation-related markers,and to conduct its clinical verification. Methods: Clinical and pathological data of 858 ICC patients who underwent radical resection were retrospectively collected at 10 domestic tertiary hospitals in China from January 2010 to December 2018. Among the 508 patients who underwent lymph node dissection,207 cases had complete variable clinical data for constructing the nomogram,including 84 males,123 females,109 patients≥60 years old,98 patients<60 years old and 69 patients were pathologically diagnosed with positive lymph nodes after surgery. Receiver operating characteristic curve was drawn to calculate the accuracy of preoperative imaging examinations to determine lymph node status,and the difference in overall survival time was compared by Log-rank test. Partial regression squares and statistically significant preoperative variables were screened by backward stepwise regression analysis. R software was applied to construct a nomogram,clinical decision curve and clinical influence curve,and Bootstrap method was used for internal verification. Moreover,retrospectively collecting clinical information of 107 ICC patients with intraoperative lymph node dissection admitted to 9 tertiary hospitals in China from January 2019 to June 2021 was for external verification to verify the accuracy of the nomogram. 80 patients with complete clinical data but without lymph node dissection were divided into lymph node metastasis high-risk group and low-risk group according to the score of the nomogram among the 858 patients. Log-rank test was used to compare the overall survival of patients with or without lymph node metastasis diagnosed by pathology. Results: The area under the curve of preoperative imaging examinations for lymph node status assessment of 440 patients was 0.615,with a false negative rate of 62.8% (113/180) and a false positive rate of 14.2% (37/260). The median survival time of 207 patients used to construct a nomogram with positive or negative postoperative pathological lymph node metastases was 18.5 months and 27.1 months,respectively (P<0.05). Five variables related to lymph node metastasis were screened out by backward stepwise regression analysis,which were combined calculi,neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio,albumin,liver capsule invasion and systemic immune inflammation index,according to which a nomogram was constructed with concordance index(C-index) of 0.737 (95%CI: 0.667 to 0.806). The C-index of external verification was 0.674 (95%CI:0.569 to 0.779). The calibration prediction curve was in good agreement with the reference curve. The results of the clinical decision curve showed that when the risk threshold of high lymph node metastasis in the nomogram was set to about 0.32,the maximum net benefit could be obtained by 0.11,and the cost/benefit ratio was 1∶2. The results of clinical influence curve showed that when the risk threshold of high lymph node metastasis in the nomogram was set to about 0.6,the probability of correctly predicting lymph node metastasis could reach more than 90%. There was no significant difference in overall survival time between patients with high/low risk of lymph node metastasis assessed by the nomogram and those with pathologically confirmed lymph node metastasis or without lymph node metastasis (Log-rank test:P=0.082 and 0.510,respectively). Conclusion: The prediction accuracy of preoperative nomogram for ICC lymph node metastasis based on inflammation-related markers is satisfactory,which can be used as a supplementary method for preoperative diagnosis of lymph node metastasis and is helpful for clinicians to make personalized decision of lymph node dissection for patients with ICC.
7.Effects of three-dimensional bioprinting antibacterial hydrogel on full-thickness skin defect wounds in rats.
Rong Hua JIN ; Zhen Zhen ZHANG ; Peng Qin XU ; Si Zhan XIA ; Ting Ting WENG ; Zhi Kang ZHU ; Xin Gang WANG ; Chuan Gang YOU ; Chun Mao HAN
Chinese Journal of Burns 2023;39(2):165-174
Objective: To explore the effects of three-dimensional (3D) bioprinting gelatin methacrylamide (GelMA) hydrogel loaded with nano silver on full-thickness skin defect wounds in rats. Methods: The experimental research method was adopted. The morphology, particle diameter, and distribution of silver nanoparticles in nano silver solution with different mass concentrations and the pore structure of silver-containing GelMA hydrogel with different final mass fractions of GelMA were observed by scanning electron microscope and the pore size was calculated. On treatment day 1, 3, 7, and 14, the concentration of nano silver released from the hydrogel containing GelMA with final mass fraction of 15% and nano silver with final mass concentration of 10 mg/L was detected by mass spectrometer. At 24 h of culture, the diameters of inhibition zone of GelMA hydrogel containing final mass concentration of 0 (no nano silver), 25, 50, and 100 mg/L nano silver against Staphylococcus aureus and Escherichia coli were detected. Fibroblasts (Fbs) and adipose stem cells (ASCs) were isolated respectively by enzymatic digestion using the discarded prepuce after circumcision from a 5-year-old healthy boy who was treated in the Department of Urology of the Second Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University School of Medicine in July 2020, and the discarded fat tissue after liposuction from a 23-year-old healthy woman who was treated in the Department of Plastic Surgery of the Hospital in July 2020. The Fbs were divided into blank control group (culture medium only), 2 mg/L nano sliver group, 5 mg/L nano sliver group, 10 mg/L nano sliver group, 25 mg/L nano sliver group, and 50 mg/L nano sliver group, which were added with the corresponding final mass concentrations of nano sliver solution, respectively. At 48 h of culture, the Fb proliferation viability was detected by cell counting kit 8 method. The Fbs were divided into 0 mg/L silver-containing GelMA hydrogel group, 10 mg/L silver-containing GelMA hydrogel group, 50 mg/L silver-containing GelMA hydrogel group, and 100 mg/L silver-containing GelMA hydrogel group and then were correspondingly treated. On culture day 1, 3, and 7, the Fb proliferation viability was detected as before. The ASCs were mixed into GelMA hydrogel and divided into 3D bioprinting group and non-printing group. On culture day 1, 3, and 7, the ASC proliferation viability was detected as before and cell growth was observed by live/dead cell fluorescence staining. The sample numbers in the above experiments were all 3. Four full-thickness skin defect wounds were produced on the back of 18 male Sprague-Dawley rats aged 4 to 6 weeks. The wounds were divided into hydrogel alone group, hydrogel/nano sliver group, hydrogel scaffold/nano sliver group, and hydrogel scaffold/nano sliver/ASC group, and transplanted with the corresponding scaffolds, respectively. On post injury day (PID) 4, 7, 14, and 21, the wound healing was observed and the wound healing rate was calculated (n=6). On PID 7 and 14, histopathological changes of wounds were observed by hematoxylin eosin staining (n=6). On PID 21, collagen deposition of wounds was observed by Masson staining (n=3). Data were statistically analyzed with one-way analysis of variance, analysis of variance for repeated measurement, Bonferroni correction, and independent sample t test. Results: The sliver nano particles in nano silver solution with different mass concentrations were all round, in scattered distribution and uniform in size. The silver-containing GelMA hydrogels with different final mass fractions of GelMA all showed pore structures of different sizes and interconnections. The pore size of silver-containing GelMA hydrogel with 10% final mass fraction was significantly larger than that of silver-containing GelMA hydrogels with 15% and 20% final mass fractions (with P values both below 0.05). On treatment day 1, 3, and 7, the concentration of nano silver released from silver-containing GelMA hydrogel in vitro showed a relatively flat trend. On treatment day 14, the concentration of released nano silver in vitro increased rapidly. At 24 h of culture, the diameters of inhibition zone of GelMA hydrogel containing 0, 25, 50, and 100 mg/L nano silver against Staphylococcus aureus and Escherichia coli were 0, 0, 0.7, and 2.1 mm and 0, 1.4, 3.2, and 3.3 mm, respectively. At 48 h of culture, the proliferation activity of Fbs in 2 mg/L nano silver group and 5 mg/L nano silver group was both significantly higher than that in blank control group (P<0.05), and the proliferation activity of Fbs in 10 mg/L nano silver group, 25 mg/L nano silver group, and 50 mg/L nano silver group was all significantly lower than that in blank control group (P<0.05). Compared with the that of Fbs in 0 mg/L silver-containing GelMA hydrogel group, the proliferation activity of Fbs in 50 mg/L silver-containing GelMA hydrogel group and 100 mg/L silver-containing GelMA hydrogel group was all significantly decreased on culture day 1 (P<0.05); the proliferation activity of Fbs in 50 mg/L silver-containing GelMA hydrogel group was significantly increased (P<0.05), while the proliferation activity of Fbs in 100 mg/L silver-containing GelMA hydrogel group was significantly decreased on culture day 3 (P<0.05); the proliferation activity of Fbs in 100 mg/L silver-containing GelMA hydrogel group was significantly decreased on culture day 7 (P<0.05). The proliferation activity of ASCs in 3D bioprinting group show no statistically significant differences to that in non-printing group on culture day 1 (P>0.05). The proliferation activity of ASCs in 3D bioprinting group was significantly higher than that in non-printing group on culture day 3 and 7 (with t values of 21.50 and 12.95, respectively, P<0.05). On culture day 1, the number of dead ASCs in 3D bioprinting group was slightly more than that in non-printing group. On culture day 3 and 5, the majority of ASCs in 3D bioprinting group and non-printing group were living cells. On PID 4, the wounds of rats in hydrogel alone group and hydrogel/nano sliver group had more exudation, and the wounds of rats in hydrogel scaffold/nano sliver group and hydrogel scaffold/nano sliver/ASC group were dry without obvious signs of infection. On PID 7, there was still a small amount of exudation on the wounds of rats in hydrogel alone group and hydrogel/nano sliver group, while the wounds of rats in hydrogel scaffold/nano sliver group and hydrogel scaffold/nano sliver/ASC group were dry and scabbed. On PID 14, the hydrogels on the wound surface of rats in the four groups all fell off. On PID 21, a small area of wounds remained unhealed in hydrogel alone group. On PID 4 and 7, the wound healing rates of rats in hydrogel scaffold/nano sliver/ASC group were significantly higher than those of the other three groups (P<0.05). On PID 14, the wound healing rate of rats in hydrogel scaffold/nano sliver/ASC group was significantly higher than the wound healing rates in hydrogel alone group and hydrogel/nano sliver group (all P<0.05). On PID 21, the wound healing rate of rats in hydrogel alone group was significantly lower than that in hydrogel scaffold/nano sliver/ASC group (P<0.05). On PID 7, the hydrogels on the wound surface of rats in the four groups remained in place; on PID 14, the hydrogel in hydrogel alone group was separated from the wounds of rats, while some hydrogels still existed in the new tissue of the wounds of rats in the other three groups. On PID 21, the collagen arrangement in the wounds of rats in hydrogel alone group was out of order, while the collagen arrangement in the wounds of rats in hydrogel/nano sliver group, and hydrogel scaffold/nano sliver/ASC group was relatively orderly. Conclusions: Silver-containing GelMA hydrogel has good biocompatibility and antibacterial properties. Its three-dimensional bioprinted double-layer structure can better integrate with new formed tissue in the full-thickness skin defect wounds in rats and promote wound healing.
Male
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Rats
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Animals
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Humans
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Hydrogels/pharmacology*
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Bioprinting
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Metal Nanoparticles
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Rats, Sprague-Dawley
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Silver/pharmacology*
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Soft Tissue Injuries
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Anti-Bacterial Agents
8. The ameliorative effects of Hypericum perforatum extract on high altitude cerebral edema in hypoxic rats
Xiao-Xia HEN ; Jun-Yi MA ; Yi-Clan ZHENG ; Peng WANG ; Zhi-Qiang YANG ; Mao-Xing LI ; Zhi-Qiang YANG
Chinese Pharmacological Bulletin 2022;38(3):454-459
Aim To study the ameliorative effects of Hypericum perforatum extract(HPE)on high altitude cerebral edema(HACE)in hypoxia rats.Methods A large low-pressure oxygen chamber was used to simulate the hypoxia environment at an altitude of 7 500 m.The pathological changes of HPE on the brain tissues of HACE rats were observed,and the water content,oxidative stress and inflammatory factors related indicators of brain tissues were detected.Results Through administered HPE by gavage,the histopathological damage of HACE rats was improved,the concentration of nuclear pyknosis was reduced,the degree of vacuolization was reduced,and the inflammatory response was alleviated.At the same time,HPE decreased the water content and the contents of MDA,H2O2,IL-1β,IL-6,VEGF and TNF-α in brain tissues of HACE rats,while increased the content of GSH and the activities of T-SOD and CAT.Conclusions HPE can ameliorate HACE in hypoxic rats to some extent,the mechanism of which may be related to ameliorating oxidative stress injury and reducing inflammation response.Hypericum perforatum is expected to be developed as a drug preparation for the treatment of HACE.
9.Pelvic Injury Discriminative Model Based on Data Mining Algorithm.
Fei-Xiang WANG ; Rui JI ; Lu-Ming ZHANG ; Peng WANG ; Tai-Ang LIU ; Lu-Jie SONG ; Mao-Wen WANG ; Zhi-Lu ZHOU ; Hong-Xia HAO ; Wen-Tao XIA
Journal of Forensic Medicine 2022;38(3):350-354
OBJECTIVES:
To reduce the dimension of characteristic information extracted from pelvic CT images by using principal component analysis (PCA) and partial least squares (PLS) methods. To establish a support vector machine (SVM) classification and identification model to identify if there is pelvic injury by the reduced dimension data and evaluate the feasibility of its application.
METHODS:
Eighty percent of 146 normal and injured pelvic CT images were randomly selected as training set for model fitting, and the remaining 20% was used as testing set to verify the accuracy of the test, respectively. Through CT image input, preprocessing, feature extraction, feature information dimension reduction, feature selection, parameter selection, model establishment and model comparison, a discriminative model of pelvic injury was established.
RESULTS:
The PLS dimension reduction method was better than the PCA method and the SVM model was better than the naive Bayesian classifier (NBC) model. The accuracy of the modeling set, leave-one-out cross validation and testing set of the SVM classification model based on 12 PLS factors was 100%, 100% and 93.33%, respectively.
CONCLUSIONS
In the evaluation of pelvic injury, the pelvic injury data mining model based on CT images reaches high accuracy, which lays a foundation for automatic and rapid identification of pelvic injuries.
Algorithms
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Bayes Theorem
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Data Mining
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Least-Squares Analysis
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Support Vector Machine
10.Global and Regional Trends and Projections of Infective Endocarditis-Associated Disease Burden and Attributable Risk Factors from 1990 to 2030.
Li-Jin LIN ; Ye-Mao LIU ; Juan-Juan QIN ; Fang LEI ; Wen-Xin WANG ; Xue-Wei HUANG ; Wei-Fang LIU ; Xing-Yuan ZHANG ; Zhi-Gang SHE ; Peng ZHANG ; Xiao-Jing ZHANG ; Zhao-Xia JIN ; Hong-Liang LI
Chinese Medical Sciences Journal 2022;37(3):181-194
Objective To forecast the future burden and its attributable risk factors of infective endocarditis (IE). Method We analyzed the disease burden of IE and its risk factors from 1990 to 2019 using the Global Burden of Disease 2019 database and projected the disease burden from 2020 to 2030 using a Bayesian age-period-cohort model. Results By 2030, the incidence of IE will increase uncontrollably on a global scale, with developed countries having the largest number of cases and developing countries experiencing the fastest growth. The affected population will be predominantly males, but the gender gap will narrow. The elderly in high-income countries will bear the greatest burden, with a gradual shift to middle-income countries. The incidence of IE in countries with middle/high-middle social-demographic indicators (SDI) will surpass that of high SDI countries. In China, the incidence rate and the number of IE will reach 18.07 per 100,000 and 451,596 in 2030, respectively. IE-associated deaths and heart failure will continue to impose a significant burden on society, the burden on women will increase and surpass that on men, and the elderly in high-SDI countries will bear the heaviest burden. High systolic blood pressure has become the primary risk factor for IE-related death. Conclusions This study provides comprehensive analyses of the disease burden and risk factors of IE worldwide over the next decade. The IE-associated incidence will increase in the future and the death and heart failure burden will not be appropriately controlled. Gender, age, regional, and country heterogeneity should be taken seriously to facilitate in making effective strategies for lowering the IE disease burden.
Male
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Humans
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Female
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Aged
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Global Burden of Disease
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Bayes Theorem
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Global Health
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Risk Factors
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Cost of Illness
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Endocarditis
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Heart Failure

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