1.Comparison of the prediction effects of LSTM, SARIMA and SARIMAX models on the incidence of hand, foot, and mouth disease
ZHANG Xiaoqiao ; ZHANG Xiaodie ; ZHAO Zhenxi ; XIE Pengliu ; DAI Min
Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;37(3):280-284,287
Objective:
To compare the effects of seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) , seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average with exogenous regressors (SARIMAX) and long short-term memory neural network (LSTM) models in predicting the incidence of hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD).
Methods:
Monthly incidence data of HFMD in Kunming City from 2010 to 2019 were collected. SARIMA, SARIMAX and LSTM models were established using the monthly incidence of HFMD from 2010 to 2018 to predict the monthly incidence of HFMD from January to December 2019. The prediction performance of the three models was compared using mean squared error (MSE), root mean squared error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE) and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE). The optimal prediction model was selected based on the principle of minimizing MSE, RMSE, MAE and MAPE.
Results:
The HFMD cases were reported every month in Kunming City from 2010 to 2019, with the incidence fluctuating between 188.27/105 and 363.15/105. The disease exhibited a biennial high-incidence bimodal distribution. Among the four evaluation indicators for the training and testing sets, the LSTM model had the smaller values: MSE was 63.182 and 102.745, RMSE was 7.949 and 10.136, MAE was 6.535 and 7.620, and MAPE was 46.726% and 31.138%. The LSTM model performed the better, followed by the SARIMA model, while the SARIMAX model had the relatively poorest performance.
Conclusion
The LSTM model outperforms the SARIMA and SARIMAX models in predicting the incidence of HFMD.
2.Analysis of chloroplast genomes from Salvia miltiorrhiza and its congeneric species
Jindong YANG ; Zhenxi FANG ; Chengyang NIE ; Ruibing CHEN ; Qing LI ; Lei ZHANG
Journal of Pharmaceutical Practice and Service 2025;43(6):275-282
Salvia miltiorrhiza Bunge (Lamiaceae) is a medicinal plant widely used in Traditional Chinese Medicine for treating cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases. Chloroplasts are double-membrane-bound, chlorophyll-containing organelles and responsible for photosynthesis in plant cells. The structural information of chloroplast genomes serves as the foundation for precise exogenous gene insertion, site selection, and chloroplast genome modification. In this study, a comprehensive analysis and comparison of 125 chloroplast genomes from S. miltiorrhiza and 76 congeneric species were conducted, focusing on sequence characteristics, codon usage bias, simple sequence repeats (SSRs), contraction/expansion of chloroplast genome boundaries, and phylogenetic relationships, which could provide a theoretical foundation for advancing chloroplast genetic engineering, genetic diversity analysis, molecular breeding, and species identification within the Salvia genus.
3.Evaluation of the Safety and Efficacy of Bone Cement in Experimental Pigs Using Vertebroplasty
Zhenhua LIN ; Xiangyu CHU ; Zhenxi WEI ; Chuanjun DONG ; Zenglin ZHAO ; Xiaoxia SUN ; Qingyu LI ; Qi ZHANG
Laboratory Animal and Comparative Medicine 2025;45(4):466-472
ObjectiveThe full name of vertebroplasty is percutaneous vertebroplasty (PVP). It is a clinical technique that injects bone cement into the diseased vertebral body to achieve strengthening of the vertebra. The research on the safety and efficacy of bone cement is the basis for clinical application. In this study, vertebroplasty is used to evaluate and compare the safety and efficacy of Tecres and radiopaque bone cement in experimental pigs, and to determine the puncture method suitable for pigs and the pre-clinical evaluation method for the safety and efficacy of bone cement. MethodsTwenty-four experimental pigs (with a body weight of 60-80 kg) were randomly divided into an experimental group (Group A) and a control group (Group B). Group A was the Tecres bone cement group, and Group B was the radiopaque bone cement group, with 12 pigs in each group. Under the monitoring of a C-arm X-ray machine, the materials were implanted into the 1st lumbar vertebra (L1) and 4th lumbar vertebra (L4) of the pigs via percutaneous puncture using the unilateral pedicle approach. The animals were euthanized at 4 weeks and 26 weeks after the operation, respectively. The L4 vertebrae were taken for compressive strength testing, and the L1 vertebrae were taken for hard tissue pathological examination to observe the inflammatory response, bone necrosis, and degree of osseointegration at the implantation site. ResultsThe test results of compressive strength between groups A and B showed no significant difference at 4 weeks and 26 weeks after bone cement implantation (P > 0.05). Observation under an optical microscope (×100) revealed that at 4 weeks postoperatively, both groups A and B showed that the bone cement was surrounded by proliferative fibrous tissue, with lymphocyte infiltration around it. The bone cement was combined with bone tissue, the trabecular arrangement was disordered, and osteoblasts and a small amount of osteoid were formed. At 26 weeks postoperatively, bone cement was visible in both groups A and B. The new bone tissue was mineralized, the trabeculae were fused, the trabecular structure was regular and dense with good continuity, and no obvious inflammatory reaction was observed. ConclusionIn experimental pig vertebrae, there were no significant differences observed in the compressive strength, inflammation response, bone destruction, and integration with the bone between Tecres and non-radiopaque bone cement. Both exhibited good biocompatibility and osteogenic properties. It indicates that using vertebroplasty to evaluate the safety and efficacy of bone cement in pigs is scientifically sound.
4.Correlation analysis of muscle mass and functional mobility in patients with cerebral small vessel disease
Hongyang XIE ; Cuiqiao XIA ; Zhenxi XIA ; Nan ZHANG ; Jie SHEN ; Hongyi ZHAO ; Yonghua HUANG
Chinese Journal of Cerebrovascular Diseases 2024;21(8):514-524
Objective To investigate the correlation between muscle mass and gait parameters in patients with cerebral small vessel disease(CSVD),as well as the impact of reduced muscle mass on the occurrence of falls in CSVD patients.Methods This study was employed a cross-sectional design.Ninety-five inpatients with CSVD confirmed by the Department of Neurology of the Seventh Medical Center of Chinese People's Liberation Army General Hospital from January 1,2022 to June 1,2023 were included consecutively.The 95 patients with CSVD were divided into two groups,namely the reduced muscle mass group and the normal muscle mass group,based on the criteria of appendicular skeletal muscle mass(ASM)≤7.0 kg/m2 for males and ASM ≤5.7 kg/m2 for females as reduced muscle mass.Baseline data(sex,age,years of schooling,number of accompanying diseases[hypertension,hyperlipidemia,diabetes,angina pectoris,myocardial infarction,and migraines]),cognitive function assessment results(mini-mental status examination[MMSE],verbal fluency test[VFT],clock drawing test[CDT],and trail-making test part-B[TMT-B]),gait characteristics(basic gait parameters[gait speed,stride time,stride length,stride frequency]and reanalysis gait parameters[variation coefficient of gait speed,stride time,stride length,stride frequency,and time-phase coordination index,gait asymmetry index]),CSVD imaging findings(cerebral microbleeds,lacunar infarcts,and white matter hyperintensities),and history of falls.The differences in baseline data,cognitive function assessment results,and gait characteristics between the reduced muscle mass group and the normal muscle mass group were compared and analyzed.Linear regression was used to analyze the correlation between muscle mass and gait parameters.The 95 CSVD patients were divided into fall group and non-fall group,and the differences in baseline data,cognitive function assessment results,gait characteristics,CSVD imaging findings,and muscle mass between the two groups were compared.Binary Logistic regression analysis was used to evaluate the impact of reduced muscle mass on falls.Results(1)The majority of patients in the reduced muscle mass group were females(67.7%[21/31]).There was a statistically significant difference in the sex distribution between the reduced muscle mass group and the normal muscle mass group(x2=6.143,P=0.013).There were no statistically significant differences in the other baseline characteristics and cognitive function between the two groups(all P>0.05).(2)Compared to the normal muscle mass group,patients in the reduced muscle mass group had slower gait speed([0.72±0.16]m/s vs.[0.94±0.15]m/s),longer stride time([1.22±0.12]s vs.[1.08±0.08]s),shorter stride length([0.84±0.19]m vs.[1.00±0.14]m),and lower step frequency([100±9]steps/min vs.[112±8]steps/min).The coefficients of variation for gait speed(11.579[8.163,15.870]%vs.7.304[5.873,9.959]%),stride time(3.876[2.778,5.769]%vs.2.480[1.874,3.001]%),stride length(7.800[5.400,10.700]%vs.5.600[4.100,7.950]%),step frequency(5.313[3.568,7.272]%vs.3.674[3.099,5.082]%),and time-phase coordination index(5.894[4.392,9.080]%vs.3.828[3.031,5.972]%)were all increased,and the differences were statistically significant(all P<0.05).There was no statistically significant difference in gait asymmetry index between the two groups(P>0.05).Further analysis with sex and lacunar infarction as potential confounding factors showed that there were statistically significant differences in baseline gait parameters between the normal muscle mass group and the reduced muscle mass group(all P<0.01).In the reanalysis of gait parameters,only the differences in the coefficients of variation for gait speed and stride time were statistically significant(both P<0.05).(3)When analyzing ASM as a continuous variable,age and CDT as potential confounders,and stratifying by sex,the results showed that in male patients,baseline gait parameters(gait speed,stride time,stride length,and step frequency with 95%CI ranging from 0.057 to 0.152,-0.105 to-0.023,0.013 to 0.097,and 1.686 to 8.854,respectively),as well as coefficients of variation for stride time(95%CI-0.016 to-0.003)and stride length(95%CI-0.026 to-0.006),were correlated with muscle mass reduction(all P<0.05).In female patients,gait speed(95%CI0.034 to 0.166)and coefficient of variation for gait speed(95%CI-0.059 to-0.010),stride time(95%CI-0.110 to-0.011),coefficient of variation for stride time(95%CI-0.025 to-0.001),and stride length(95%CI 0.018 to 0.163)were correlated with muscle mass reduction(all P<0.05).(4)Muscle mass reduction was an independent risk factor for falls(OR,5.044,95%CI 1.840 to 13.827,P=0.002).Conclusions The preliminary analysis of this study suggests that there is a certain correlation between muscle mass and gait parameters in patients with CSVD.Additionally,the study indicates that a decrease in muscle mass among CSVD patients may increase the risk of falls.Therefore,it is important to prioritize the management of muscle mass in CSVD patients.
5.The enhanced genomic 6 mA metabolism contributes to the proliferation and migration of TSCC cells.
Lei XI ; Ying YANG ; Ying XU ; Fangming ZHANG ; Jinghui LI ; Xiyang LIU ; Zhenxi ZHANG ; Quan DU
International Journal of Oral Science 2022;14(1):11-11
In contrast to the well-established genomic 5-methylcytosine (5mC), the existence of N6-methyladenine (6 mA) in eukaryotic genomes was discovered only recently. Initial studies found that it was actively regulated in cancer cells, suggesting its involvement in the process of carcinogenesis. However, the contribution of 6 mA in tongue squamous cell carcinoma (TSCC) still remains uncharacterized. In this study, a pan-cancer type analysis was first performed, which revealed enhanced 6 mA metabolism in diverse cancer types. The study was then focused on the regulation of 6 mA metabolism, as well as its effects on TSCC cells. To these aspects, genome 6 mA level was found greatly increased in TSCC tissues and cultured cells. By knocking down 6 mA methylases N6AMT1 and METTL4, the level of genomic 6 mA was decreased in TSCC cells. This led to suppressed colony formation and cell migration. By contrast, knockdown of 6 mA demethylase ALKBH1 resulted in an increased 6 mA level, enhanced colony formation, and cell migration. Further study suggested that regulation of the NF-κB pathway might contribute to the enhanced migration of TSCC cells. Therefore, in the case of TSCC, we have shown that genomic 6 mA modification is involved in the proliferation and migration of cancer cells.
AlkB Homolog 1, Histone H2a Dioxygenase/metabolism*
;
Carcinoma, Squamous Cell/pathology*
;
Cell Line, Tumor
;
Cell Movement/genetics*
;
Cell Proliferation
;
Gene Expression Regulation, Neoplastic
;
Humans
;
Site-Specific DNA-Methyltransferase (Adenine-Specific)/metabolism*
;
Tongue Neoplasms/metabolism*
6.Influencing factors of the male children with autism spectrum disorders
Xuena XU ; Chang LIU ; Hanchu ZHANG ; Yangyang LYU ; Xin ZHOU ; Zhenxi WANG ; Yunlong DOU ; Cenghua YONG ; Yingying ZHANG ; Dandan CAI ; Hengjuan ZHU ; Shengli LI ; Baoqiang YUAN
Chinese Journal of Behavioral Medicine and Brain Science 2019;28(4):349-353
Objective To explore the influencing factors of the onset of autism spectrum disorder in male children.Methods Totally 151 male children with autism spectrum disorder were selected as case group and 119 healthy male children matched with the age of the case group in the same administrative region were taken as the control group.All children were assessed with the questionnaire for children's autism etiology and risk factors.Results (1) The differences in children having anorexia and partial eclipse (x2 =50.763,P<0.01),father's age during pregnancy (x2 =11.441,P=0.043),place of pregnancy (x2 =50.763,P<0.01),hypertension of pregnancy (x2 =5.693,P=0.026),intrauterine hypoxia (x2 =9.332,P=0.002),umbilical cord around the neck(x2 =18.483,P<0.01),parents smoking and drinking history during pregnancy (x2 =13.660,P=0.008),parental smoking (x2 =12.901,P=0.005) and alcohol consumption (x2 =8.386,P=0.039) during pregnancy,birth height of child (x2 =8.870,P=0.031),amniotic fluid pollution (x2 =4.561,P=0.043),participation time of artificial feeding,major caregivers,delayed development indicators in infants and young children and whether or not the harmonious parent-child relationship were statistically significant(P<0.05).(2) Children with anorexia and partial diet (OR =12.284,95% CI =2.768-54.507),living in rural areas during pregnancy (OR =17.251,95% CI =1.899-1 56.745),parents' history of smoking and drinking (OR =6.191,95% CI =1.678-22.838),and intrauterine hypoxia during pregnancy (OR=38.859,95%CI=2.944-512.930) may be risk factors for male autism spectrum disorder.Conclusion To correct children's anorexia bias,improve the living environment in pregnancy,reduce pregnancy complications and avoid exposure to tobacco and alcohol pollution during maternal pregnancy can be an effective entry point for the prevention and control of autism spectrum disorders in male children.
7. Combined effect of noise and hydrogen cyanide on noise-induced hearing loss in a metal electroplating enterprise
Sheng ZHANG ; Jianguo HUANG ; Jianguo WU ; Jincai CHEN ; Zipeng LAN ; Lilin WEN ; Zhenxi ZHENG ; Hanqin WANG
China Occupational Medicine 2018;45(04):480-484
OBJECTIVE: To study the combined effect of noise and hydrogen cyanide on noise-induced hearing loss( NIHL)in a metal electroplating enterprise. METHODS: The judgment sampling method was used to select 663 workers in a largescale metal electroplating enterprise as the study subjects. Among them,186 workers exposed to noise alone were designated as noise group; 138 workers exposed to hydrogen cyanide alone were designated as hydrogen cyanide group; and161 workers exposed to noise and hydrogen cyanide were designated as combined effect group,and 178 workers without exposure from occupational disease risk factors were designated as control group. Questionnaires survey and pure tone audiometry were used for analyzing the effects of combined noise and hydrogen cyanide exposure on NIHL. RESULTS: The hearing loss detection rate of the study subjects was 40. 4%. The hearing loss detection rates in the control group,noise group,hydrogen cyanide group,and combined effect group were 17. 4%,47. 8%,32. 6% and 64. 0%,respectively. The detection rate of hearing loss in the control group was lower than that in the other three groups( P < 0. 008). The NIHL detection rates in the combined effect group and the noise group were higher than that in the hydrogen cyanide group( P <0. 008). The hearing loss detection rate of the combined effect group was higher than that of the noise group and the hydrogen cyanide group( P < 0. 008). Ordinal multi-categorical logistic regression model results showed that after adjusting confounding factors such as age,length of service,gender,marital status,smoking,alcohol drinking,we found hydrogen cyanide exposure,noise exposure,and combined exposure to hydrogen cyanide and noise had effects on workers' hearing(P < 0. 05). The risk of hearing loss in workers exposed to noise and hydrogen cyanide was higher than that of workers exposed to noise alone or hydrogen cyanide alone. CONCLUSION: There is a combined effect of noise and hydrogen cyanide in this metal electroplating enterprise,which can increase the risk of NIHL in workers.
8.Analysis of the surgical treatment of the tumors in infratemporal fossa by mandibular swing approach
Zhibiao GAO ; Yuanming WANG ; Wenjuan ZHANG ; Zhenxi BAI
Journal of Practical Stomatology 2016;32(6):827-829
Objective:To analyse the effects of mandibular swing approach in the treatment of the tumors in infratemporal fossa. Methods:11 patients with tumors in infratemporal fossa treated by the surgical operation with mandibular swing approach. The mandi-ble cut was at the front of foramina mentale in 5 cases, at the front of mandible angle in 4 cases and at the middle of chin in 2 cases re-spectively. Results:According to the nature, location, size and the relationship of the tumors with peripheral nerve and blood vessels, flexible selection of the position of mandibular cut could fully expose and completely remove the infratemporal fossa tumor. Conclusion:Surgical treatment of the tumors in infratemporal fossa by mandibular swing approach is safe and effective.
9.Surgical treatment of trigeminal neuralgia of the third division by nerve avulsion inside and outside the mandibular cannel
Zhenxi BAI ; Zhibiao GAO ; Xia XIAO ; Xing FAN ; Wenjuan ZHANG
Journal of Practical Stomatology 2016;32(5):667-669
Objective:To study the effects of the surgical treatment of nerve avulsion inside and outside the mandibular cannel.Methods:34 patients with trigeminal neuralgia of the third division,received neurotomy and avulsion of inferior alveolar nerve in the mandibular cannel above the lingual or through the mental foramen,concurrently with the avulsion of buccal nerve.Patients were fol-lowed up for 2-4 years.Results:All the operations were successfully completed,The wounds were well-healed.All patients felt that pain disappeared in the area innervated by inferior alveolar nerve.During the 2-4 years of follow-up,no recurrence was found.Conclusion:Inferior alveolar nerve neurotomy and avulsion in the mandibular cannel is simple,safe and effective in the treatment of trigeminal neuralgia of the third division.
10.Clinical study on intermaxillary traction screws used in internal fixation in the treatment of jaw fracture
Zhenxi BAI ; Zhibiao GAO ; Xia XIAO ; Wenjuan ZHANG ; Xing FAN
Journal of Practical Stomatology 2015;(2):219-224
Objective:To analyse the methord and effects of intermaxillary traction(IMT)screws used in the treatment of jaw frac-ture.Methods:In the treatment of 1 68 cases of jaw fracture IMT screws were used for the restoration of normal and stable occlusion. The screw number,position,traction effect and postoperative complications of the treatment were analysed.Results:705 screws were used in 168 patients,4 screws were used in each of 147 cased (88%),6 in 12(7%),5 in 9(5%).336(47.7%)screws were fixed between the roots of first and second premolar,292(41 .4%)between the roots of canine and first premolar,50 (7.1%)be-tween the roots of second premolar and first molar,27(3.8%)between the other tooth roots.Normal postoperative occlusion relation was achived by the use of screws in 92 cases without traction.Occlusion disharmony or deviation was found in 76 cases by the used of screws and was restored to normlal by 1 4-day traction in 71 cases.The total efficiency of the treatment was 97%.Pain of the mucosa surrounding the screws was observed in 23 cases (1 3.7%).Root damage,traction screw loosening and adjacent tooth dislocation were observed in 1 3(1 .8%),1 1 (1 .6%)and 2(0.3%)cases respectively.Conclusion:For the fixation of IMT screws,the posi-tions between tooth root from canine to first molar were most common and safe.The fixation point should be in 5 ~8mm below the gin-gival margin.Use of 4-6 screws can meet treatment need.


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