6.Development and validation of a prognostic prediction model for patients with stage Ⅰ to Ⅲ colon cancer incorporating high-risk pathological features.
K X LI ; Q B WU ; F Q ZHAO ; J L ZHANG ; S L LUO ; S D HU ; B WU ; H L LI ; G L LIN ; H Z QIU ; J Y LU ; L XU ; Z WANG ; X H DU ; L KANG ; X WANG ; Z Q WANG ; Q LIU ; Y XIAO
Chinese Journal of Surgery 2023;61(9):753-759
Objective: To examine a predictive model that incorporating high risk pathological factors for the prognosis of stage Ⅰ to Ⅲ colon cancer. Methods: This study retrospectively collected clinicopathological information and survival outcomes of stage Ⅰ~Ⅲ colon cancer patients who underwent curative surgery in 7 tertiary hospitals in China from January 1, 2016 to December 31, 2017. A total of 1 650 patients were enrolled, aged (M(IQR)) 62 (18) years (range: 14 to 100). There were 963 males and 687 females. The median follow-up period was 51 months. The Cox proportional hazardous regression model was utilized to select high-risk pathological factors, establish the nomogram and scoring system. The Bootstrap resampling method was utilized for internal validation of the model, the concordance index (C-index) was used to assess discrimination and calibration curves were presented to assess model calibration. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to plot survival curves after risk grouping, and Cox regression was used to compare disease-free survival between subgroups. Results: Age (HR=1.020, 95%CI: 1.008 to 1.033, P=0.001), T stage (T3:HR=1.995,95%CI:1.062 to 3.750,P=0.032;T4:HR=4.196, 95%CI: 2.188 to 8.045, P<0.01), N stage (N1: HR=1.834, 95%CI: 1.307 to 2.574, P<0.01; N2: HR=3.970, 95%CI: 2.724 to 5.787, P<0.01) and number of lymph nodes examined (≥36: HR=0.438, 95%CI: 0.242 to 0.790, P=0.006) were independently associated with disease-free survival. The C-index of the scoring model (model 1) based on age, T stage, N stage, and dichotomous variables of the lymph nodes examined (<12 and ≥12) was 0.723, and the C-index of the scoring model (model 2) based on age, T stage, N stage, and multi-categorical variables of the lymph nodes examined (<12, 12 to <24, 24 to <36, and ≥36) was 0.726. A scoring system was established based on age, T stage, N stage, and multi-categorical variables of lymph nodes examined, the 3-year DFS of the low-risk (≤1), middle-risk (2 to 4) and high-risk (≥5) group were 96.3% (n=711), 89.0% (n=626) and 71.4% (n=313), respectively. Statistically significant difference was observed among groups (P<0.01). Conclusions: The number of lymph nodes examined was an independent prognostic factor for disease-free survival after curative surgery in patients with stage Ⅰ to Ⅲ colon cancer. Incorporating the number of lymph nodes examined as a multi-categorical variable into the T and N staging system could improve prognostic predictive validity.
Male
;
Female
;
Humans
;
Prognosis
;
Neoplasm Staging
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Nomograms
;
Lymph Nodes/pathology*
;
Risk Factors
;
Colonic Neoplasms/surgery*
7.Predictive value of MRI pelvic measurements for "difficult pelvis" during total mesorectal excision.
Z SUN ; W Y HOU ; J J LIU ; H D XUE ; P R XU ; B WU ; G L LIN ; L XU ; J Y LU ; Y XIAO
Chinese Journal of Gastrointestinal Surgery 2022;25(12):1089-1097
Objective: Total mesorectal resection (TME) is difficult to perform for rectal cancer patients with anatomical confines of the pelvis or thick mesorectal fat. This study aimed to evaluate the ability of pelvic dimensions to predict the difficulty of TME, and establish a nomogram for predicting its difficulty. Methods: The inclusion criteria for this retrospective study were as follows: (1) tumor within 15 cm of the anal verge; (2) rectal cancer confirmed by preoperative pathological examination; (3) adequate preoperative MRI data; (4) depth of tumor invasion T1-4a; and (5) grade of surgical difficulty available. Patients who had undergone non-TME surgery were excluded. A total of 88 patients with rectal cancer who underwent TME between March 2019 and November 2021 were eligible for this study. The system for scaling difficulty was as follows: Grade I, easy procedure, no difficulties; Grade II, difficult procedure, but no impact on specimen quality (complete TME); Grade III, difficult procedure, with a slight impact on specimen quality (near-complete TME); Grade IV: very difficult procedure, with remarkable impact on specimen quality (incomplete TME). We classified Grades I-II as no surgical difficulty and grades III-IV as surgical difficulty. Pelvic parameters included pelvic inlet length, anteroposterior length of the mid-pelvis, pelvic outlet length, pubic tubercle height, sacral length, sacral depth, distance from the pubis to the pelvic floor, anterior pelvic depth, interspinous distance, and inter-tuberosity distance. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to identify the factors associated with the difficulty of TME, and a nomogram predicting the difficulty of the procedure was established. Results: The study cohort comprised 88 patients, 30 (34.1%) of whom were classified as having undergone difficult procedures and 58 (65.9%) non-difficult procedures. The median age was 64 years (56-70), 51 patients were male and 64 received neoadjuvant therapy. The median pelvic inlet length, anteroposterior length of the mid-pelvis, pelvic outlet length, pubic tubercle height, sacral length, sacral depth, distance from the pubis to the pelvic floor, anterior pelvic depth, interspinous distance, and inter-tuberosity distance were 12.0 cm, 11.0 cm, 8.6 cm, 4.9 cm, 12.6 cm, 3.7 cm, 3.0 cm, 13.3 cm, 10.2 cm, and 12.2 cm, respectively. Multivariable analyses showed that preoperative chemoradiotherapy (OR=4.97,95% CI: 1.25-19.71, P=0.023), distance between the tumor and the anal verge (OR=1.31, 95% CI: 1.02-1.67, P=0.035) and pubic tubercle height (OR=3.36, 95% CI: 1.56-7.25, P=0.002) were associated with surgical difficulty. We then built and validated a predictive nomogram based on the above three variables (AUC = 0.795, 95%CI: 0.696-0.895). Conclusion: Our research demonstrated that our system for scaling surgical difficulty of TME is useful and practical. Preoperative chemoradiotherapy, distance between tumor and anal verge, and pubic tubercle height are risk factors for surgical difficulty. These data may aid surgeons in planning appropriate surgical procedures.
Humans
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Male
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Middle Aged
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Female
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Retrospective Studies
;
Laparoscopy/methods*
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Pelvis/pathology*
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Rectal Neoplasms/pathology*
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Magnetic Resonance Imaging
;
Treatment Outcome
8.Intravenous infusion of methylene blue to visualize the ureter in laparoscopic colorectal surgery.
D Q WU ; Y S YANG ; W F ZHANG ; Z J LV ; Z F YANG ; Yong LI
Chinese Journal of Gastrointestinal Surgery 2022;25(12):1098-1103
Objective: Intraoperative localization of the ureter can contribute to accurate dissection and minimize ureteral injury in colorectal surgery. We aim to summarize a single center's experience of fluorescence ureteral visualization using methylene blue (MB) and explore its visualization efficiency. Methods: This is a descriptive case-series-study. Clinical data of patients who had undergone laparoscopic colorectal surgery and fluorescence visualization of the ureter in the Gastrointestinal Surgery Department of Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital from March 2022 to May 2022 were retrospectively collected. Patients with incomplete surgery videos, renal insufficiency, or allergic reactions were excluded. MB was infused with 0.9% NaCl at 1.0 mg/kg in 100 mL of normal saline for 5 to 15 minutes during laparoscopic exploration. Imaging was performed using a device developed in-house by OptoMedic (Guangdong, China) that operates at 660nm to achieve excitation of MB. Clinical information, MB dosage, rate of successful fluorescence, time to fluorescence, operation time, blood loss, intraoperative blood oxygen levels, pathological staging, changes in renal function, and post-operative complications were retrospectively analyzed. Results: The study cohort comprised 27 patients (24 men and 3 women) with an average age of (60.25±16.95) years and an average body mass index of (21.72±3.42) kg/m2. The dosage of MB was 0.3-1.0 mg/kg and the infusion time was 5-15 minutes. Fluorescence signals were detected in all patients. The median time to signal detection was 20 (range, 10 to 40) minutes after MB infusion. The range of intraoperative blood oxygen fluctuation averaged 2.5% (range, 0 to 7.0%). The median change in creatine concentration was -1.3 (range, -17.2 to 29.2) µmol/L. No patients had complications associated with use of MB. Fluorescence visualization of the ureter was very valuable clinically in two patients (thick mesentery, stage T4). Conclusion: MB is a safe and effective means of visualizing the ureter by fluorescence during laparoscopic colorectal surgery, especially when the procedure is difficult. MB in a dosage of less than 1 mg/kg can slowly infused for more than 5 minutes during laparoscopic exploration. During the infusion, attention must be paid to blood oxygen fluctuations.
Male
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Humans
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Female
;
Adult
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Middle Aged
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Aged
;
Ureter/surgery*
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Methylene Blue
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Infusions, Intravenous
;
Colorectal Surgery
;
Laparoscopy/methods*
;
Digestive System Surgical Procedures
9.A cohort study on the influence of the chronic diseases on activities of daily living of the elderly aged 65 years and over in China.
Z Y LI ; J L WU ; J J LI ; L J PEI
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2019;40(1):33-40
Objective: To understand the influence of chronic diseases on the risk of impaired activities of daily living (ADL) of the elderly. Methods: Baseline data of 10 501 elderly individuals recruited by the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey in 2002 were used, and follow up for this population was conducted until 2014. Cox Proportional Hazard Model was used to estimate the hazards ratios (HR) for the associations between five kinds of chronic diseases, the number of chronic diseases and the risk of ADL impairment in different age groups of the elderly. Results: Hypertension increased the risk of ADL impairment in the elderly of all age groups, which increased the ADL impaired risk by 43% (HR=1.43, 95%CI: 1.14-1.79) in group aged 65-74 years, 21% (HR=1.21, 95%CI: 1.02-1.43) in group aged 75-89 years and 20% (HR=1.20, 95%CI: 1.02-1.43) in group aged 90-105 years, respectively. Diabetes and cerebrovascular disease increased the ADL impaired risk by 102%(HR=2.02, 95%CI: 1.29-3.17), and 79% (HR=1.79, 95%CI: 1.24-2.58) in group aged 65-74 years, respectively. 'Suffering from one chronic disease' increased the ADL impaired risk by 13% (HR=1.13, 95%CI: 1.02-1.25), and suffering from two or more chronic diseases increased the ADL impaired risk by 25% (HR=1.25, 95%CI: 1.13-1.40) in all the age groups. Suffering from two or more chronic diseases increased the ADL impaired risk by 50% (HR=1.50, 95%CI: 1.21-1.87) in group aged 65-74 years and 17% (HR=1.17, 95%CI: 1.01-1.38) in groups aged 75-89 years. Conclusions: Hypertension was one of the most important risk factors for the impaired ADL in the elderly population in all age groups. Hypertension, diabetes, cerebrovascular disease or comorbidity increased the risk of impaired ADL in group aged 65-74 years.
Activities of Daily Living
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Aged
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Aged, 80 and over
;
China
;
Chronic Disease
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Cohort Studies
;
Humans
;
Longitudinal Studies
;
Risk Factors
10.Effect of intervention programs regarding community "5+1" staged diabetes target management on patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus.
S ZHANG ; W L DONG ; F MAO ; Y Y JIANG ; L WU ; Q L LOU ; H D WU ; Y Q ZHANG ; S N MA ; Z P REN ; J Q DONG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2019;40(2):170-174
Objective: To analyze the effect of intervention programs and influencing factors regarding the community "5+1" staged diabetes target management on patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and to provide evidence for improving the quality of life (QOL). Methods: A total of 12 community health service centers from Shanxi province, Jiangsu province, and Ningxia Hui autonomous region were selected as intervention group and control group, by stratified cluster sampling method. "5+1" model was used in intervention groups and basic public health services model was applied in control groups for this two-year follow-up. Data was collected through a questionnaire on demographic and disease-related information, while the QOL was measured with SF-36. Multiple linear regression and conducted by SAS 9.4. Results: A total of 2 467 subjects were included at baseline and 1 924 had completed a two-year-long management service. After intervention programs being implemented, the net effect of PCS score between the intervention and the control groups was 13.6, with the net effect of MCS score as 29.8. Results from the multiple linear regression showed that the main factors affecting PCS scores included age, type of medical insurance, baseline PCS score and regions of residency. Main factors related to MCS score included age, type of medical insurance, baseline MCS score, hypertension, and region of residency. Conclusion: Community "5+1" staged diabetes target management model presented favorable effect of improving the QOL on T2DM patients.
Community Health Services/organization & administration*
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Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/therapy*
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Humans
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Hypertension
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Program Evaluation
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Quality of Life
;
Self Care
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Self-Management
;
Surveys and Questionnaires

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