1.Application of time series and machine learning models in predicting the trend of sickness absenteeism among primary and secondary school students in Shanghai
WANG Zhengzhong, ZHANG Zhe, ZHOU Xinyi, YUAN Linlin, ZHAI Yani, SUN Lijing, LUO Chunyan
Chinese Journal of School Health 2025;46(3):426-430
Objective:
To analyze the temporal variation patterns of sickness absenteeism among primary and secondary school students in Shanghai, so as to explore models suitable for predicting peaks and intensity of absenteeism rates.
Methods:
The seasonal and trend decomposition using loess (STL) method was used to analyze the seasonal and long term trend changes in sickness absenteeism among primary and secondary school students from September 1 in 2010 to June 30 in 2018, in Shanghai. A hierarchical clustering method based on Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) was employed to classify absenteeism symptoms with similar temporal patterns. Based on historical data, the study constructed and evaluated different time series algorithms and machine learning models to optimize the accuracy of predicting the trend of sickness absenteeism.
Results:
During the research period, the average new absenteeism rate due to illness was 16.86 per 10 000 person day for every academic year, and the trend of sickness absenteeism exhibited both seasonality and a long term upward trend, reaching its highest point in the 2017 academic year (22.47 per 10 000 person day). The symptoms of absenteeism were divided into three categories: high incidence in winter and spring (respiratory symptoms, fever and general discomfort, etc.), high incidence in summer (eye symptoms, nosebleeds, etc.) and those without obvious seasonality (skin symptoms, accidental injuries, etc.).The constructed time series models effectively predicted the trend of absenteeism due to illness, although the accuracy of predicting peak intensity was relatively low. Among them, the multi layer perceptron (MLP) model performed the best, with an root mean squared error (RMSE) of 8.96 and an mean absolute error (MAE) of 4.37, reducing 36.51% and 39.02% compared to the baseline model.
Conclusion
Time series models and machine learning algorithms could effectively predict the trend of sickness absenteeism, and corresponding prevention and control measures can be taken for absenteeism caused by different symptoms during peak periods.
2.Expression and Clinical Significance of MIS18BP1 in Bladder Cancer Tissues
Wenjing CAO ; Yulin WANG ; Yuqing ZHAI ; Zongliang ZHANG ; Jiangshui YUAN ; Weiqing SONG
Cancer Research on Prevention and Treatment 2024;51(3):163-168
Objective To explore the expression, correlation with clinicopathologic parameters, and clinical significance of MIS18 binding protein 1 (MIS18BP1) in bladder cancer. Methods TCGA and GEO databases were used to analyze the mRNA expression of MIS18BP1 in tumors and controls, and the results were verified via qRT-PCR. UALCAN online database was utilized in the analysis of the expression of MIS18BP1 and its correlation with clinicopathological parameters and the degree of immune cell infiltration. Immunohistochemistry was employed to analyze the expression of MIS18BP1 in bladder cancer and its relationship with clinicopathological features. The ROC curve was applied to evaluate the diagnostic value of MIS18BP1 mRNA in bladder cancer. Results Bioinformatics analysis and qRT-PCR results revealed the increased expression of MIS18BP1 mRNA in bladder cancer compared with that in the control group (
3.The role of CB2 in accelerating orthodontic tooth movement
Dengying FAN ; Haoyan ZHAI ; Huijuan LIU ; Yuan ZHAO ; Dongna LI ; Xing QIAO ; Wenjing KANG ; Dechao ZHU ; Chunyan LIU
Acta Universitatis Medicinalis Anhui 2024;59(2):212-218
Objective To explore the effect of cannabinoid receptor 2(CB2)on orthodontic tooth movement(OTM)rate and periodontal tissue reconstruction of pressure area in mice.Methods Thirty CB2-/-male mice and thirty littermate control WT male mice were individually accepted the orthodontic appliance at their age of 6 weeks.The mice were respectively scarified at 3 days,7 days,14 days and 21 days after the operation.Then the tooth movement distance was examined through the stereomicroscope.Hematoxylin-eosin staining was performed to explore the biological responses of periodontium at the distal mesial root pressure area.Anti-tartrate acid phospha-tase staining was performed to calculate the number and distribution of osteoclasts at the distal mesial root pressure area,and MMP-9 was evaluated by immunohistochemistry to examine the number of MMP-9(+)monocytes and multinucleated cells in the same district as the TRAP staining.Results Compared with those WT mice at 3,7,14 and 21 days,OTM distance showed a gradual increased tendency according with experimental time over 21 days.The widths of periodontal ligament on the pressure side were markedly greater in CB2-/-mice than WT mice at 7,14 and 21 days(P<0.000 1).The numbers of TRAP positive osteoclasts were significantly greater in CB2-/-mice than those in WT mice at 14 days of OTM(P<0.001).MMP-9 immunohistochemical staining showed that the number of MMP-9(+)monocytes and multinucleated cells was more in CB2-/-mice than that in WT mice at 14 days of OTM(P<0.05).Conclusion The absence of CB2 accelerates orthodontic tooth movement under or-thodontic force.The absence of CB2 reinforces bone resorption in orthodontic tooth movement compressive area dur-ing orthodontic tooth movement.
4.The role of reactive oxygen species in periodontitis and periodontal tissue regeneration
Haoyan ZHAI ; Yuan ZHAO ; Dengying FAN ; Chunyan LIU
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2024;28(14):2254-2260
BACKGROUND:Reactive oxygen species is a double-edged sword in the development of periodontitis and the regeneration of periodontal tissue.Low concentration of reactive oxygen species induces the differentiation of periodontal fibroblasts,and excessive reactive oxygen species will cause damage to periodontal tissue.In the process of inflammation,the accumulation of reactive oxygen species in periodontal tissue induces damage to cells and tissues through a variety of signaling pathways or through redox reactions. OBJECTIVE:To review the double-edged sword effect of reactive oxygen species in periodontitis and periodontal tissue regeneration,thereby providing potential targets and treatment ideas for the clinical treatment of periodontitis and periodontal tissue regeneration. METHODS:Databases of CNKI and PubMed were searched for relevant articles published from April 1990 to April 2023 with the key words of"periodontal tissue engineering,periodontal defect,regeneration of periodontal tissue,chronic periodontitis,reactive oxygen species,oxidative stress,antioxidative stress,oxidative injuries,free radicals,reactive nitrogen species"in Chinese and English,respectively.By reading the titles and abstracts,repetitive studies or irrelevant literatures were excluded.Finally,77 articles were included for review. RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:Reactive oxygen species are a kind of free radicals with high reactivity.When bacteria invade,reactive oxygen species are released in large quantities by the respiratory explosion of neutrophils and play a double-edged sword role in the body through their redox reactions or as pleiotropic physiological signal transmitters.In periodontitis,low concentrations of reactive oxygen species can kill invading pathogenic bacteria,but high concentrations of reactive oxygen species promote the secretion of inflammatory factors through JNK,RANK,Wnt/β-Catenin and other pathways,promote immune damage or directly damage tissues through oxidative reactions or through other ways to aggravate periodontitis.In the process of periodontal tissue regeneration,low concentrations of reactive oxygen species can promote the proliferation and differentiation of periodontal ligament stem cells through Nrf2 and other pathways and can promote the secretion of vascular endothelial growth factor to promote vascular regeneration.This provides seeds and a nutrient environment for periodontal tissue regeneration,which is extremely important for promoting periodontal tissue regeneration.However,high concentrations of reactive oxygen species will reduce the activity of periodontal ligament stem cells and damage endothelial cells,which are not conducive to vascular regeneration.This will inhibit wound healing and periodontal tissue regeneration.Therefore,it is important to explore the role of reactive oxygen species in the development of periodontitis and periodontal tissue regeneration and to discover the potential mechanism of its action and to explore the appropriate concentration for its role in reducing periodontal inflammation and promoting periodontal tissue regeneration for the future treatment of periodontitis and periodontal tissue regeneration in clinical practice.Using reactive oxygen species as a target to explore ways to reduce periodontal inflammation and promote periodontal ligament stem cell activity and vascular regeneration may become a clinically effective method for treating periodontitis and promoting periodontal tissue regeneration.
5.Pathogenesis and Differentiated Treatment Strategies of Childhood Tic Disorders Based on WANG Xugao's “Thirty Methods of Treating the Liver”
Rui ZHAI ; Juan DUAN ; Yuan LI ; Yanlin JIANG ; Congxiao ZHOU ; Zhenhua YUAN ; Da LI ; Junhong WANG
Journal of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2024;65(2):149-153
Based on WANG Xugao's “thirty methods of treating the liver”, it is believed that the occurrence and development of childhood tic disorders follow the dynamic progression from liver qi disease to liver fire disease and then liver wind disease. The basic pathogenesis of three stages are characterized by binding constraint of liver qi, liver fire hyperactivity, and internal stirring of liver wind. Moreover, liver-blood deficiency and stagnation, and malnutrition of liver yin as the main point in terms of the imbalance of liver qi, blood, yin, and yang should be considered, as well as the imbalance relationship of the five zang organs such as the involvement of other organs and the gradually reach of the other organs. Guided by the principles of “thirty methods of treating the liver”, the treatment of tic disorders in liver qi stage should focus on soothing the liver and rectifying qi, soothing the liver and unblocking the collaterals, using Xiaochaihu Decoction (小柴胡汤) and Sini Powder (四逆散). The treatment of tic disorders in liver fire stage involves clearing, draining and resolving liver heat, using Longdan Xiegan Decoction (龙胆泻肝汤), Xieqing Pill (泻青丸), Danggui Longhui Pill (当归龙荟丸), and Huagan Decoction (化肝煎). The treatment of tic disorders in liver wind stage involves extinguishing wind and subduing yang, using Lingjiao Gouteng Decoction (羚角钩藤汤) and Liuwei Dihuang Pill (六味地黄丸). Throughout the treatment process, attention should be paid to harmonizing the liver's qi, blood, yin, and yang, as well as addressing the pathology of other organs.
6.Exploring the Mechanism of Action of Jintiange Capsules in Regulating SMSC-Exos miRNA and Articular Chondrocytes mRNA for the Treatment of Osteoarthritis in Rats Based on Transcriptome
Zhichao WANG ; Xue ZHANG ; Xiaofei ZHANG ; Yajun SHI ; Dongyan GUO ; Fei LUAN ; Bingtao ZHAI ; Junbo ZOU ; Puwei YUAN
Chinese Journal of Modern Applied Pharmacy 2024;41(11):1464-1475
OBJECTIVE
To confirm the therapeutic effect of Jintiange capsules on osteoarthritis(OA) and the potential mechanism of synovial mesenchymal stem cell exosomes(SMSC-Exos) and articular chondrocytes(ACs) in the treatment of OA based on high-throughput sequencing technology.
METHODS
Type Ⅱ collagenase-induced OA rats were used for efficacy verification through general behavioral observation, bipedal balance difference experiment, mechanical foot reflex threshold, Micro-CT observation, and Safranin O-Fast Green staining. SMSCs and ACs were cultured in suitable concentration of drug-containing serum, and mRNA sequencing was performed on ACs in the control, model, and Jintiange capsules groups, as well as miRNA sequencing on SMSC-Exos. Differential expressed mRNAs and miRNAs were screened and target genes were predicted. The common differential expressed genes between SMSC and ACs were obtained by intersecting the differential expressed genes, and a miRNA-mRNA regulatory network was constructed using Cytoscape software. The expression trend analysis of common differential expressed genes was conducted, as well as the correlation analysis between differential expressed gene mRNA and miRNA, Micro-CT efficacy indicators, and differential expressed gene mRNA.
RESULTS
Under the pathological state of OA, the expression of miRNA-23a-3p, miRNA-342-3p, miRNA-146b-5p, miRNA-501-3p, and miRNA-214-3p were down-regulated, while miRNA-222-3p, miRNA-30e-3p, miRNA-676-3p, and miRNA-192-5p were up-regulated (P<0.05). The expressions of these miRNAs were significantly reversed after intervention with drug-containing serum of Jintiange capsules. There was a certain correlation between Micro-CT efficacy indicators, mRNA and miRNA.
CONCLUSION
Jintiange capsule has obvious efficacy in the treatment of OA, and its mechanism may be related to the promotion of SMSC-Exos targeting ACs to transport miRNA and then regulate Serpinb10, Ntn1, Il1b, Tgm2, Megf10, Il11, Cd40, Slc15a3, Pou2f2 and other genes.
7.The effects of Epimedium koreanum Nakai on liver function in rats with kidney yang deficiency and kidney yin deficiency pattern models based on the"You Gu Wu Yun"theory
Xiyi PENG ; Lin ZHANG ; Yuqi ZHAI ; Shuwei YU ; Yuan TIAN ; Zhaojuan GUO ; Song YANG ; Ting WANG
Journal of Beijing University of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2024;47(11):1562-1572
Objective This study explored the effects of Epimedium koreanum Nakai(EK)on liver function in normal,kidney yang deficiency(KYANGDS),and kidney yin deficiency(KYINDS)rats based on the theory of"You Gu Wu Yun."The study also investigated the connection between EK-induced liver injury and symptoms.Methods Seventy-two male SD rats were divided into normal,KYANGDS,and KYINDS groups using the random number table method.The KYANGDS model was established through intramuscular injection of 20 mg/kg of hydrocortisone,whereas the KYINDS model was established through daily gavage of 160 mg/kg of thyroid tablet suspension for 14 consecutive days.After successful modeling,the rats were divided into the normal,EK low-dose,EK high-dose,KYANGDS,KYANGDS+EK low-dose,KYANGDS+EK high-dose,KYINDS,KYINDS+EK low-dose,and KYINDS+EK high-dose groups using the random number table method.Animals in the drug groups were administered low(0.26 g/kg)and high(0.77 g/kg)EK extract doses through continuous gavage.The other groups received drinking water once a day for 28 consecutive days.Changes in body mass were monitored during the administration period,and serum alkaline phosphatase(ALP),alanine transaminase(ALT),aspartate transaminase(AST),direct bilirubin,indirect bilirubin(IBil),and total bilirubin(TBil)were measured at the end of administration using biochemical analyzers.The liver weight,visceral body ratio,and visceral brain ratio were measured.Hematoxylin and eosin staining were performed to observe the pathological changes in the liver.Results Compared with the normal group,the EK high-dose group showed a decrease in body weight on the 21st day during the drug administration period and an increase in IBil(P<0.05);the KYANGDS group had lower body weight at each measurement time point from the third to the 28th day,higher ALP,and lower liver weight(P<0.05).Compared with the KYANGDS group,the KYANGDS+EK high-dose group had decreased ALP levels(P<0.05).The pathological damage of liver tissue in each KYANGDS administration group improved,the presence of fat vacuoles were reduced,and pathological scores show a decreasing trend.Compared with the KYINDS group,KYINDS+EK high-dose group exhibited a higher IBil level and a lower visceral brain ratio(P<0.05).Conclusion EK has a small effect on the liver function of rats with KYANGDS within the dose range;however,it has a specific hepatogenic impact on normal and KYINDS rats,and EK-induced liver injury and the symptoms may be associated with each other.
8.Research status of mechanisms of pancreatic islet beta cell injury in type 2 diabetes
Yan-Hui ZHAI ; Yong-Lin LIANG ; Dong AN ; Yuan-Yuan ZHANG ; Fei SU ; Xiao-Wen GUAN ; Xiang-Dong ZHU
The Chinese Journal of Clinical Pharmacology 2024;40(16):2442-2446
The number of type 2 diabetes(T2DM)accounts for more than 90%of all Diabetes mellitus(DM).The decrease of islet β cell mass and dysfunction are the core links of T2DM.With the prolongation of the course of disease,the number and function of β cells are gradually attenuated,and the damage mechanism has not been elucidated.At present,it is believed that it is closely related to metabolic stress,abnormal regulation of insulin secretion,changes in islet microenvironment,mitochondrial damage,glycolipid toxicity and dedifferentiation of islet β cells.Therefore,the mechanism of islet β cell damage in T2DM is summarized and elaborated in order to provide some reference for the precise intervention of T2DM.
9.Analysis of the efficacy and safety of preoperative programmed death protein-1 inhibitor combined with chemotherapy in immunotherapy-sensitive patients with locally advanced gastric cancer or adenocarcinoma of the esophagogastric junction
Yingjie LI ; Peng YUAN ; Jianning ZHAI ; Yunfeng YAO ; Luxin TAN ; Zhongwu LI ; Xiaoyan ZHANG ; Aiwen WU
Chinese Journal of Gastrointestinal Surgery 2024;27(7):684-693
Objective:To evaluate the short-term efficacy and safety of a preoperative combination of programmed cell death protein-1 (PD-1) inhibitor with either oxaliplatin + capecitabine (CapeOx) or oxaliplatin + tegafur gimeracil oteracil potassium (SOX) in the treatment of locally advanced immunotherapy-sensitive gastric cancer (LAGC) or adenocarcinoma of the esophagogastric junction (AEG).Methods:The cohort of this retrospective descriptive case series comprised patients with LAGC or AEG whose cancers had been determined to be immunotherapy- sensitive by endoscopic biopsy before treatment in the Gastrointestinal Cancer Center, Unit III, Peking University Cancer Hospital and Institute from 1 August 1 2021 to 31 January 2024. Patients with any one of the following three characteristics were immunotherapy-sensitive: (i) PD-L1 combined positive score (CPS) ≥5; (ii) microsatellite instability-high (MSI-H) / mismatch repair deficiency (dMMR); or (iii) Epstein-Barr virus-encoded RNA (EBER) positivity. All study patients received PD-1 inhibitors combined with CapeOx or SOX as a neoadjuvant or conversion treatment strategy before surgery. Patients with immune system diseases, distant metastases, or human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 positivity were excluded. Factors analyzed included pathological complete response, clinical complete response, major pathological response, R0 resection rate, surgical conversion rate, and safety of the treatment, including immune-related adverse events (irAEs) and surgical complications.Results:The study cohort comprised 39 patients (28 men and 11 women) of median age 62 (range 44–79) years. After the above-described preoperative treatment, radical resection of the 14 tumors that were initially considered unresectable was achieved (surgical conversion rate: 14/14). Twenty-three of the remaining 25 patients underwent radical resection. The last two patients achieved clinical complete responses and opted for a "non-surgical strategy" (watch and wait). Overall, 37 patients (94.9%) underwent radical resection, with an R0 resection rate of 100% (37/37), pathological complete response rate of 48.6% (18/37), and major pathological response rate of 62.2% (23/37). Of the 24 patients with CPS ≥ 5 (non-MSI-H/dMMR and non-EBER positive), 11 achieved pathological complete responses and one with CPS=95 achieved a clinical complete response. Of the eight patients with MSI-H/dMMR, six achieved pathological complete responses and one a clinical complete response. Of the seven patients with EBER positivity, one achieved a pathological complete response. After excluding patients with major pathological complete responses, there was a statistically significant difference in CPS scores between preoperative biopsy specimens and postoperative surgical specimens in 13 patients (7.769±5.570 vs. 15.538±16.870, t=2.287, P=0.041). All patients tolerated preoperative immunotherapy well; nine patients (9/39, 23.1%) had Grade I–II irAEs. There were no Grade III–IV irAEs. The five patients with pyloric obstruction before treatment tolerated normal diets after treatment. The incidence of postoperative complications among all patients who underwent surgery was 18.9% (7/37), including one case of Grade IIIA anastomotic leakage, one of Grade IIIA intestinal obstruction, one of Grade II abdominal hemorrhage, two of Grade II abdominal infection, one of Grade I intestinal obstruction. Additionally, one patient developed COVID-19 postoperatively. All patients recovered with symptomatic treatment. Conclusion:We found that preoperative treatment of patients with LAGC or AEG of one of three types (CPS≥5, dMMR+MSI-H, and EBER positivity) with a PD-1 inhibitor combined with CapeOx or SOX chemotherapy achieved promising effectiveness and safety, with high surgical conversion, R0 resection, and complete response rates.
10.Screening and analysis of ferroptosis related genes in peripheral blood mononuclear cells of patients with systemic lupus erythematosus
Kang TAO ; Yuan TIAN ; Shifei LI ; Bing NI ; Xiaoqiang CHEN ; Zhifang ZHAI
Chinese Journal of Rheumatology 2024;28(2):93-98
Objective:To analyze the differentially expressed genes in PBMCs of patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) by bioinformatics methods screening and analyzing the key genes related to ferroptosis, and explore the possible mechanism of ferroptosis involved in the pathogenesis of SLE at the transcription level.Methods:The data sets and samples of healthy people (HC) and SLE patients who met the screening criteria were retrieved from the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO), a sub-database of the National Center for Biotechnology Information (NCBI). The differentially expressed genes, GO enrichment analysis and KEGG pathway enrichment analysis were analyzed by GEO2R, R language and related software packages. The protein interaction network (PPI) of differential genes was analyzed by STRING, Cytoscape and other tools to explore the key genes and pathways. In addition, real-time quantitative reverse transcription PCR (RT-qPCR) was used to verify the expression of key genes. Mann-Whitney U test was used to compare the expression of key genes in PBMCs between the two groups. Spearman rank correlation analysis was used to explore the relationship between SLE disease activity and the level of key genes. Results:Six data sets were included in this study. A total of 166 genes related to ferroptosis were differentially expressed between SLE and HC groups. The differential genes were specifically expressed in alveolar macrophages, neutrophils, CD49 + cells and CD31 + cells. GO enrichment analysis and KEGG pathway enrichment analysis showed that the differentially expressed genes were mainly involved in multiple signaling pathways closely related to SLE, such as oxidative stress response, infection and TNF signaling pathway. Hub genes screened by different algorithms all suggested RELA as a key gene, and RT-qPCR confirmed that compared with the RELA gene expression level in the HC group [0.75(0.37,1.13)], the expression level in SLE group [2.02 (1.19,4.06)] was increased, the difference was statistically significant ( Z=-3.08, P=0.002), and was positively correlated with the corresponding SLEDAI score of SLE samples ( r=0.52, P=0.019). Conclusion:The ferroptosis of many immune cells, including alveolar macrophages and CD49 + NK cells, is involved in the pathogenesis of SLE. RELA may be involved in the ferroptosis of PBMCs in SLE through the NF-κB pathway.


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