1.Development of a nomogram-based risk prediction model for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease incidence in community-dwelling population aged 40 years and above in Shanghai
Yixuan ZHANG ; Yiling WU ; Jinxin ZANG ; Xuyan SU ; Xin YIN ; Jing LI ; Wei LUO ; Minjun YU ; Wei WANG ; Qi ZHAO ; Qin WANG ; Genming ZHAO ; Yonggen JIANG ; Na WANG
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;37(8):669-675
ObjectiveTo develop a nomogram-based risk prediction model for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) incidence among the community-dwelling population aged 40 years old and above, so as to provide targeted references for the screening and prevention of COPD. MethodsBased on a natural population cohort in suburban Shanghai, a total of 3 381 randomly selected participants aged ≥40 years underwent pulmonary function tests between July and October 2021. Cox stepwise regression analysis was used to develop overall and gender-specific risk prediction models, along with the construction of corresponding risk nomograms. Model predictive performance was evaluated using the C-indice, area under the curve (AUC) values, and Brier score. Stability was assessed through 10-fold cross-validation and sensitivity analysis. ResultsA total of 3 019 participants were included, with a median follow-up duration of 4.6 years. The COPD incidence density was 17.22 per 1 000 person-years, significantly higher in males (32.04/1 000 person-years) than that in females (7.38/1 000 person-years) (P<0.001). The overall risk prediction model included the variables such as gender, age, education level, BMI, smoking, passive smoking, and respiratory comorbidities. The male-specific model incorporated the variables such as age, BMI, respiratory comorbidities, and smoking, while the female-specific model included age, marital status, respiratory comorbidities, and pulmonary tuberculosis history. The C-indices for the overall, male-specific, and female-specific models were 0.829, 0.749, and 0.807, respectively. The 5-year AUC values were 0.785, 0.658, and 0.811, with Brier scores of 0.103, 0.176, and 0.059, respectively. Both 10-fold cross-validated C-indices and sensitivity analysis (excluding participants with a follow-up duration of <6 months) yielded C-indices were above 0.740. ConclusionThis study developed concise and practical overall and gender-specific COPD risk prediction models and corresponding nomograms. The models demonstrated robust performance in predicting COPD incidence, providing a valuable reference for identifying high-risk populations and formulating targeted screening and personalized management strategies.
2.Development and in vivo biomechanics of goat mobile artificial lumbar spine complex
Feng ZHANG ; Xi-Jing HE ; Jian-Tao LIU ; Rui WANG ; Jie QIN ; Quan-Jin ZANG ; Ting ZHANG ; Zhi-Yu LIU
China Journal of Orthopaedics and Traumatology 2024;37(3):281-287
Objective Mobile artificial lumbar complex(MALC)which suitable for reconstruction after subtotal lumbar resection in goats was developed,and to test stability of the complex and postoperative lumbar segmental motor function.Methods Eighteen male boer goats aged from 1 to 2 years old(weighted from 35 to 45 kg)were selected and divided into con-trol group,fusion group and non-fusion group,with 6 goats in each group.According to preoperative CT scans and MRI exami-nations of lumbar,the goat MALC was designed and performed by 3D printed for non-fusion group.Operation was performed on three groups respectively,and only vertebral body and disc were exposed in control group.In fusion group,L4 part of vertebral body and the upper and lower complete disc tissues were removed,and the lumbar spine bone plate fixation was performed with titanium mesh bone grafting.In non-fusion group,vertebral body and disc were removed in the same way,and MALC was im-planted.AP and lateral X-rays of lumbar vertebrae in goat were taken at 6 months after surgery,in order to understand whether the plant was dislocated,displaced and fractured.Biomechanical tests were performed on the specimens by mechanical instru-ment to measure range of motion(ROM)of L2,3,L,4,L4,5intervertebral space and the overall ROM of L2-5 lumbar vertebrae.Results MALC of lumbar vertebra was designed by 3D printing,and its component artificial vertebrae and upper and lower ar-tificial end plates were manufactured.The semi-spherical structure was fabricated by precision lathe using high-crosslinked polyethylene material,and the prosthesis was assembled.Postoperative AP and lateral X-rays of lumbar vertebra at 6 months showed the implant position of implant and MALC were good without displacement and dislocation.In vitro biomechanical test of lumbar vertebrae specimens:(1)There were no statistical significance in ROM of lumbar intervertebral space flexion and extension,lateral flexion and rotation on L.4 and L4,5,between non-fusion group and control group(P>0.05),while ROM of fu-sion group was significantly reduced compared with the other two groups(P<0.05).There were no significant difference in ROM of L2.3 intervertebral flexion and extension,lateral flexion and rotation between non-fusion group and control group(P>0.05),while fusion group was significantly increased compared with the other two groups(P<0.001).(2)There was no signifi-cant difference in overall lumbar ROM of L2-5(P>0.05).Conclusion The individual MALC could restore intervertebral height of lumbar vertebra while maintaining the stability of lumbar vertebra and re-establishing motor function of lumbar space.
3.Construction and validation of a Nomogram model of intracranial infection after neurosurgery
Xiao-Ju MA ; Ying YU ; Yan LU ; Song-Qin LI ; Juan LIU ; Zheng WANG ; Feng ZANG ; Hui-Ping HUANG ; You-Peng CHEN ; Yong-Xiang ZHANG ; Wei-Hong ZHANG ; Zhan-Jie LI
Chinese Journal of Infection Control 2023;22(12):1483-1492
Objective To explore the risk factors for intracranial infection in patients after neurosurgery,con-struct and validate a Nomogram prediction model.Methods Data of 978 patients who underwent neurosurgery in a hospital in Nanjing from January 1,2019 to December 31,2022 were retrospectively analyzed.Independent risk fac-tors were screened through logistic univariate and multivariate analyses.Modeling variables were screened through Lasso regression.A Nomogram model was constructed and internally validated by logistic regression.Effectiveness of the model was evaluated with receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve,calibration curve and decision curve.Results Among 978 patients underwent neurosurgery,293 had postoperative intracranial infection,with an inci-dence of healthcare-associated infection of 29.96%.There was no significant difference in age,gender,proportion of coronary heart disease,cerebral infarction,diabetes and hypertension between the infected group and the non-in-fected group(all P>0.05).Multivariate logistic analysis showed that postoperative intracranial hypertension,fe-ver,increased neutrophil percentage in blood routine examination,turbid cerebrospinal fluid,positive Pan's test,decreased glucose concentration,abnormal ratio of cerebrospinal fluid/serum glucose,positive microbial culture,absence of indwelling external ventricular drainage tubes,presence of indwelling lumbar cistern drainage tubes,use of immunosuppressive agents,and long duration of surgery were independent risk factors for postoperative intracra-nial infection in patients who underwent neurosurgery(all P<0.05).Fifteen variables were screened out through Lasso regression.Fourteen variables were finally included for modeling after collinear screening,missing data impu-tation(random forest method)and checking pairwise interaction items.A Nomogram prediction model was con-structed,with the area under ROC curve,sensitivity,specificity,and accuracy of 0.885,0.578,0.896,and 0.704,respectively.Internal validation of the model was conducted.The modeling and validation groups presented similar effects.The calibration curve and decision curve also indicated that the model had good predictive efficacy.Conclusion The constructed Nomogram prediction model for postoperative intracranial infection after neurosurgery is scientific,and the prediction indicators are easy to obtain.The model presents with high stability,reliability,and application value,thus can provide reference for the assessment of postoperative intracranial infection after neuro-surgery.
4.Current Status of Hyperbaric Oxygen Therapy and Its Application.
Gao-Zang LIN ; Chen-Qin LIU ; Hang-Yu LE ; Ji-Lun YE ; Xu ZHANG ; Hao JIN
Chinese Journal of Medical Instrumentation 2022;46(3):302-306
Hyperbaric oxygen therapy is a method of breathing pure oxygen or high-concentration oxygen in a highpressure environment to treat hypoxic diseases and related diseases. According to clinical verification, this therapy has an irreplaceable effect on certain diseases and has gradually become a comprehensive clinical treatment. One of the main methods of certain diseases is widely recognized by the medical field at home and abroad. The development history, treatment principles, key technologies, and future development trends of hyperbaric oxygen are discussed in detail, provide a research direction for the development of hyperbaric oxygen therapy in the future, and at the same time, it has also improved physicians' awareness of hyperbaric oxygen therapy, so as to improving Industry influence.
Hyperbaric Oxygenation
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Oxygen/therapeutic use*
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Research Design
5.A preliminary pharmacophylogenetic study of Solanaceae medicinal plants containing tropane alkaloids.
Er-Huan ZANG ; Qin-Yu LI ; Jin-Fan XU ; Yi ZHANG ; Lin-Lin JIANG ; Xue LI ; Ming-Xu ZHANG ; Yu-Chao LIU ; Qing-Jiang WU ; Zhao-Hua LIU ; Min-Hui LI ; Pei-Gen XIAO
China Journal of Chinese Materia Medica 2021;46(17):4344-4359
The Solanaceae plants distributed in China belong to 105 species and 35 varietas of 24 genera. Some medicinal plants of Solanaceae are rich in tropane alkaloids(TAs), which have significant pharmacological activities. In this paper, the geographical distribution, chemical components, traditional therapeutic effect, pharmacological activities, and biosynthetic pathways of TAs in Solanaceous plants were summarized. Besides, the phylogeny of medicinal plants belonging to Solanaceae was visualized by network diagram. Fourteen genera of Solanaceae plants in China contain TAs and have medical records. TAs mainly exist in Datura, Anisodus, Atropa, Physochlaina, and Hyoscyamus. The TAs-containing species were mainly concentrated in Southwest China, and the content of TAs was closely related to plant distribution area and altitude. The Solanaceae plants containing TAs mainly have antispasmodic, analgesic, antiasthmatic, and antitussive effects. Modern pharmacological studies have proved the central sedative, pupil dilating, glandular secretion-inhibiting, and anti-asthma activities of TAs. These pharmacological activities provide a reasonable explanation for the traditional therapeutic efficacy of tropane drugs. In this paper, the geographical distribution, chemical components, traditional therapeutic effect, and modern pharmacological activities of TAs-containing species in Solanaceae were analyzed for the first time. Based on these data, the genetic relationship of TAs-containing Solanaceae species was preliminarily discussed, which provided a scientific basis for the basic research on TAs-containing solanaceous species and was of great significance for the development of natural medicinal plant resources containing TAs.
Biosynthetic Pathways
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Phylogeny
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Plants, Medicinal
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Solanaceae/genetics*
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Tropanes
6.Role of RIPK3-mediated necroptosis in diabetic mellitus-caused abolition of cardioprotection induced by sevoflurane postconditioning in rats
Siyi SONG ; Jing ZHANG ; Yuanyuan ZANG ; Qin ZHAO ; Lixiao PAN ; Xiaoyan WAN ; Yu LI
Chinese Journal of Anesthesiology 2021;41(8):959-964
Objective:To investigate the role of receptor-interacting protein kinse3 (RIPK3)-mediated necroptosis in diabetic mellitus-caused abolition of cardioprotection induced by sevoflurane postconditioning in rats.Methods:Eighty rats with diabetes mellitus, aged 4-5 weeks, weighing 90-100 g, were divided into 4 groups ( n=20 each) using a random number table method: sham operation group (group Sham), myocardial ischemia-reperfusion (I/R) group (group I/R), sevoflurane postconditioning group (group SP) and sevoflurane postconditiong plus RIPK3 inhibitor GSK-872 group (group GSK). Myocardial I/R was induced by 40 min occlusion of the left anterior descending branch of the coronary artery followed by 120 min reperfusion.In group SP, 2.4% sevoflurane was inhaled for 15 min at the beginning of reperfusion.In group GSK, GSK-872 3.3 mg/kg (dissolved in normal saline) was intraperitoneally injected at 24 and 2 h before surgery, and the other treatments were similar to those previously described in group SP.After 120 min of reperfusion, blood samples from the abdominal aorta were collected for determination of concentrations of serum lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) and creatine kinase-MB (CK-MB). Myocardial tissues were taken for determination of percentage of myocardial infarct size (by TTC staining) and expression of RIPK3, phospho-Ca 2+ -calmodulin-dependent protein kinase Ⅱ (p-CaMKⅡ) and phospho-mixed lineage kinase domain-like protein (p-MLKL) (by Western blot), and the ultrastructure of myocardium was observed by transmission electron microscopy. Results:Compared with group Sham, the serum LDH and CK-MB concentrations and percentage of myocardial infarct size were significantly increased, the expression of RIPK3, p-MLKL and p-CaMKⅡ in myocardial tissues was up-regulated ( P<0.05), and the damage to cardiomyocytes was severe in group I/R.Compared with group I/R, no significant change was found in the parameters mentioned above in group SP ( P>0.05). Compared with group SP, the serum LDH and CK-MB concentrations and percentage of myocardial infarct size were significantly decreased, the expression of RIPK3, p-MLKL and p-CaMKⅡ in myocardial tissues was down-regulated ( P<0.05), and the damage to cardiomyocytes was reduced in group GSK. Conclusion:The mechanism of diabetic mellitus-caused abolition of cardioprotection induced by sevoflurane postconditioning is related to excessive activation of RIPK3-mediated necroptosis in rats.
7. Flavonoids in myocardial ischemia-reperfusion injury: Therapeutic effects and mechanisms
Jun-ying JIA ; Er-huan ZANG ; Qin-yu LI ; Chun-hua ZHANG ; Min-hui LI ; Li-juan LV ; Ying XIA ; Min-hui LI ; Lei ZHANG ; Min-hui LI ; Lian-sheng DANG ; Min-hui LI
Chinese Herbal Medicines 2021;13(1):49-63
Ischemic heart diseases are one of the major causes of death worldwide. Effective restoration of blood flow can significantly improve patients’ quality of life and reduce mortality. However, reperfusion injury cannot be ignored. Flavonoids possess well-established antioxidant properties; They also have other benefits that may be relevant for ameliorating myocardial ischemia-reperfusion injury (MIRI). In this review, we focus on flavonoids with cardiovascular-protection function and emphasize their pharmacological effects. The main mechanisms of flavonoid pharmacological activities against MIRI involve the following aspects: a) antioxidant, b) anti-inflammatory, c) anti-platelet aggregation, d) anti-apoptosis, and e) myocardial-function regulation activities. We also summarized the effectiveness of flavonoids for MIRI.
8.Telehealth-based dialysis registration system for the improvement of renal anemia in maintenance hemodialysis:multicenter experiences
Zhaohui NI ; Haijiao JIN ; Gengru JIANG ; Niansong WANG ; Ai PENG ; Zhiyong GUO ; Shoujun BAI ; Rong ZHOU ; Jianrao LU ; Yi WANG ; Ying LI ; Shougang ZHUANG ; Chen YU ; Yueyi DENG ; Huimin JIN ; Xudong XU ; Junli ZHANG ; Junli ZHAO ; Xiuzhi YU ; Xiaoxia WANG ; Liming ZHANG ; Jianying NIU ; Kun LIU ; Xiaorong BAO ; Qin WANG ; Jun MA ; Chun HU ; Xiujuan ZANG ; Qing YU
Chinese Journal of Nephrology 2018;34(11):831-837
Objective To analyze the role of telehealth?based dialysis registration systems in real?time and dynamic reflection of renal anemia in hemodialysis (HD) patients, and discuss the prospect of its application in dialysis registration management. Methods The Red China project was to build up a dialysis registration system based on the WeChat mobile terminal platform. Demographic and baseline laboratory parameters such as age, gender, primary disease, dialysis age, creatinine were recorded in this system. Hemoglobin (Hb) level was monthly recorded. The platform generated Hb statistics report for each HD center monthly, including the detection rate, target rate and the distribution level of Hb, and released it to physicians through the WeChat terminal of mobile phone. After that, physicians could change the treatment of anemia individually on basis of this report. Here the demographic and baseline laboratory parameters, the detection rate, target rate, the average level and the distribution of Hb from June 2015 to October 2017 after the project launched were analyzed. Results From June 2015 to October 2017, 8392 maintenance HD patients from 28 HD centers in Shanghai were enrolled, of whom 5059(60.3%) were male.The average rate age was (60.5 ± 13.7) years old. Baseline average Hb was (108.3±16.0) g/L. Baseline detection rate and target rate were 54.2%and 47.5%, respectively. After 28 months follow?up, the detection rate of Hb increased from 54.2% to 73.6% (P<0.001), the target rate of Hb increased from 47.5% to 56.1% (P<0.001), and the level of average Hb rose from (108.3±16.0) g/L to (110.7±16.0) g/L. The difference between average Hb in two consecutive months was less than 1.3 g/L. Conclusions The telehealth?based dialysis registration system can timely report the anemia situation of HD patients, which may improve the awareness rate of anemia, the degree of attention and the compliance of anemia monitoring, so as to improve the detection rate and target rate of Hb and reduce the fluctuation of Hb, which helps to maintain the HD patients to correct anemia in a timely, stable and long?term way. The telehealth?based dialysis registration system, as an improved mode of dialysis registration is a promising way for long?term management of renal anemia in dialysis patients.
9.Progress in pathogenesis of adverse pregnancy outcomes induced by group B Streptococcus
Yu-Qin ZANG ; Chen WANG ; Wenyan TIAN ; Fengxia XUE
Chinese Journal of Microbiology and Immunology 2018;38(9):716-720
Group B Streptococcus ( GBS) is a leading infectious cause of adverse pregnancy out-comes such as preterm birth. GBS colonizes the vagina during pregnancy and can ascend into the uterus and then infect the fetus. It encodes a series of virulence factors such as adhesion and invasion factors, hemolytic pigments and hyaluronidase, which are important to vaginal colonization and immune evasion. Immune re-sponses to GBS cause the release of a multiple of inflammatory mediators, leading to the premature rupture of membranes, preterm birth and fetal injury. This paper reviews the pathogenesis of GBS vaginal colonization and ascending infection causing adverse pregnancy outcomes.
10.Application status of small interfering RNA in spinal cord injury
Jun ZHAO ; Hong-Jie XIN ; Hui-Qin XUE ; Yuan-Tong ZANG ; Jin-Yu YAN ; Jian-Feng LI
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2017;21(36):5892-5897
BACKGROUND:The connection between high-level central nervous system and spinal cord and peripheral nerve under injury level is blocked by traumatic spinal cord injury,and the whole function of the body is thereby influenced.The loss of motor function and feeling both severely affect the patient's life quality in views of physiology,psychology,function and social economics.RNA interference is an effective method to silence target genes,which provides a new treatment strategy for spinal cord injury.OBJECTIVE:To explore the application status of RNA interference in spinal cord injury.METHODS:PubMed and CNKI databases were retrieved using the keywords of "RNA interference,RNAi,spinal cord injury" in English and Chinese,respectively.The articles addressing the application of RNA interference in spinal cord injury were collected and reviewed.RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:Totally 44 articles were enrolled.It is urgent to find a new way to treat spinal cord injury.Compared with the traditional gene silencing technology,RNA interference owing to high specificity,high efficiency,high stability and high penetrability is considered to be a new direction for the studies on the pathogenesis and treatment of spinal cord injury.

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