ObjectiveTo develop a nomogram-based risk prediction model for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) incidence among the community-dwelling population aged 40 years old and above, so as to provide targeted references for the screening and prevention of COPD. MethodsBased on a natural population cohort in suburban Shanghai, a total of 3 381 randomly selected participants aged ≥40 years underwent pulmonary function tests between July and October 2021. Cox stepwise regression analysis was used to develop overall and gender-specific risk prediction models, along with the construction of corresponding risk nomograms. Model predictive performance was evaluated using the C-indice, area under the curve (AUC) values, and Brier score. Stability was assessed through 10-fold cross-validation and sensitivity analysis. ResultsA total of 3 019 participants were included, with a median follow-up duration of 4.6 years. The COPD incidence density was 17.22 per 1 000 person-years, significantly higher in males (32.04/1 000 person-years) than that in females (7.38/1 000 person-years) (P<0.001). The overall risk prediction model included the variables such as gender, age, education level, BMI, smoking, passive smoking, and respiratory comorbidities. The male-specific model incorporated the variables such as age, BMI, respiratory comorbidities, and smoking, while the female-specific model included age, marital status, respiratory comorbidities, and pulmonary tuberculosis history. The C-indices for the overall, male-specific, and female-specific models were 0.829, 0.749, and 0.807, respectively. The 5-year AUC values were 0.785, 0.658, and 0.811, with Brier scores of 0.103, 0.176, and 0.059, respectively. Both 10-fold cross-validated C-indices and sensitivity analysis (excluding participants with a follow-up duration of <6 months) yielded C-indices were above 0.740. ConclusionThis study developed concise and practical overall and gender-specific COPD risk prediction models and corresponding nomograms. The models demonstrated robust performance in predicting COPD incidence, providing a valuable reference for identifying high-risk populations and formulating targeted screening and personalized management strategies.

Objective To observe the role of dried tangerine peel in Yigong Powder improves iron metabolism and promotes red blood cell generation in anemia of chronic disease (ACD).Methods With a two-by-two factorial design,the Yigong Powder was divided into dried tangerine peel and Chenpi absent Decoction. According to the random number table method,32 zymosan-induced generalized inflammation (ZIGI) mice were randomly divided into the model group,the dried tangerine peel group,the Chenpi absent Decoction group,and the Yigong Powder group. The dried tangerine peel group,Chenpi absent Decoction group and the Yigong Powder group were given dried tangerine peel(3.083 g/kg),Chenpi absent Decoction(12.33g/kg),and Yigong Powder(15.413g/kg)by gavage to the corresponding group of mice. The model group was given an equal amount of physiological saline by gavage,and treated continuously for 7 days. After the completion of administration,the body weight of each group of mice was recorded. The hemoglobin content of each group of mice was detected using a fully automatic cell counter,the serum iron content was detected using colorimetry,the serum ferritin content was detected using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA),and the spleen index was calculated. The liver tissue inflammatory factors interleukin-1β (IL-1β),interleukin-6 (IL-6),tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α),interferon-γ (IFN-γ),interleukin-4 (IL-4),and interleukin-10 (IL-10) levels were detected using Luminex method. The mRNA expressions of liver tissue hepcidin gene (HAMP) and membrane iron transporter ( Fpn) were detected using real-time fluorescence PCR method. Results Dried tangerine peel and Chenpi absent Decoction both showed interactive effects in regulating hemoglobin,serum iron,serum ferritin content,improving spleen index,and regulating the mRNA expressions of HAMP,Fpn,as well as IL-1β and IFN-γ (P<0.05). Compared with the model group,dried tangerine peel significantly increased hemoglobin,serum iron content,and Fpn mRNA expression in ZIGI model mice,while decreasing ferritin content,spleen index,HAMP mRNA expression,and the levels of IL-1β,IL-6,TNF-α,and IFN-γ (P<0.05). Chenpi absent Decoction significantly increased serum iron content and Fpn mRNA expression in ZIGI model mice,while reducing spleen index,ferritin content,HAMP mRNA expression,and the levels of IL-1β and IFN-γ、IL-4 (P<0.05). Conclusion The effects of dried tangerine peel on inflammatory factors (IL-6 and TNF-α) and Fpn may play a key role in the improvement effects of Yigong Powder on ACD and iron metabolism.

ObjectiveTo evaluate the efficacy of three screening questionnaires for COPD in the community residents of Songjiang District， Shanghai， and to provide a basis for selecting COPD screening questionnaire and process that are more suitable. MethodsCommunity residents aged 40 years or over were randomly selected from the Shanghai Suburban Adult Cohort and Biobank for the study with screening questionnaires and spirometry. Questionnaires included the COPD screening questionnaire （COPD-SQ）， the COPD population screener （COPD-PS） and the revised COPD diagnostic questionnaire （revised-CDQ）. Evaluation of the efficacy of these questionnaires was based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve （AUC） of the subjects. DeLong test was used to compare the accuracy of different questionnaires； Z test was used to compare the accuracy of different cut-off values for the same questionnaire. ResultsAmong 3 184 community residents， a total of 259 （8.1%） COPD patients were screened by spirometry. AUC values of these 3 screening questionnaires were >0.7 indicating that they were reliable COPD screening tools. The sensitivity and specificity of the questionnaires at the recommended cut-off values were COPD-SQ （63.7% and 72.2%）， COPD-PS （12.0% and 96.1%）， and revised CDQ （78.8% and 52.7%）， with the COPD-SQ having the highest screening accuracy （AUC=0.754）. The optimal and recommended cut-off values for the three questionnaires differed in this population， but the difference in accuracy was statistically significant only for COPD-PS. The optimal cut-off values for the three questionnaires differed between male and female， and the sensitivity and accuracy of COPD-SQ and COPD-PS improved when lower cut-off values were used for women. The AUC was greater when two questionnaires were utilized simultaneously for screening， but the differences were not statistically significant. ConclusionThe COPD-SQ is recommended for primary COPD screening； a lower cut-off value for women should be considered. The COPD screening questionnaire needs to be further improved for the early diagnosis and treatment of COPD patients.

Objective·To systematically integrate relevant influencing factors of advanced cancer patients'engagement behavior in advance care planning(ACP).Methods·The systematic search of Chinese and English literature on factors influencing ACP engagement behavior in advanced cancer patients from inception to December 2022 in China National Knowledge Infrastructure(CNKI),Wanfang,China Biomedical Literature Database(Sinomed),PubMed,Cochrane Library,Embase,CINAHL,and PsycINFO was conducted.After the literature quality evaluation,content extraction and summary were conducted by two researchers,and the data of quantitative research and qualitative research were extracted and integrated respectively.The final influencing factors of ACP engagement behavior of advanced cancer patients were obtained.With the help of the theoretical domain,they were mapped to the capability,opportunity,motivation-behavior(COM-B)model step by step.Results·A total of 21 studies were included and 27 factors were summarized,including 9 theoretical domains.Mapping to the COM-B model included 9 capability factors(knowledge of ACP,education level,accurate knowledge of prognosis,knowledge of the time of disease diagnosis,prior experience,subjective life expectancy,age,cancer site,and disease symptom burden),13 opportunity factors(gender,marital status,race/ethnicity,religious belief,dependent children,family economic condition,place of living,housing type,family support,social support,doctor-patient relationship,acculturation,and whether or not to establish a hospice service center)and 5 motivational factors(ACP attitude,ACP belief,ACP motivation,anxiety and depression,and death attitude).Among them,doctor-patient relationship,religious belief,ACP attitude,educational level,marital status,family support,knowledge of ACP,accurate knowledge of prognosis,age,place of living,attitude toward death,prior experience,and race/ethnicity were more influential factors on ACP engagement behavior.Conclusion·Based on the COM-B model,the influencing factors of ACP engagement behavior in advanced cancer patients can be comprehensively summarized.Future studies can use the above factors as an entry point to design continuous,multifaceted,and comprehensive interventions based on the COM-B model to promote the practice of ACP engagement behavior in advanced cancer patients.

ObjectivesTo investigate characteristics and influencing factors of short-term variation of systolic blood pressure of community hypertension patients in Shanghai. MethodsBased on the standardized blood pressure measurement data of hypertensive patients in Shanghai （2018‒2021） and the noninfectious chronic disease management system database， coefficient of variation of systolic blood pressure （CV_S） was described and the influencing factors were analyzed. ResultsAmong 112 680 community hypertension patients， males accounted for 46.87% with a median age of 69 years. CV_S was 0.038 6 ± 0.035 0. Generalized linear model analysis showed the following influencing factors of CV_S： gender， females were higher than males， B=0.032， P<0.001； age group， 60‒69 years， 70‒79 years old group， and ≥80 years groups were all higher than <50 years group， B=0.042， 0.056， and 0.074 respectively with P values of 0.020， 0.002， and <0.001 respectively； smoking， smoking cessation and smoking everyday was lower than never smoking， B=-0.032 and-0.028 respectively with P values of 0.023 and 0.007 respectively； systolic blood pressure， 140‒159 mmHg group， 160‒179 mmHg group， and ≥180 mmHg group were lower then <140 mmHg group， B=-0.039， -0.091， and -0.175 respectively with P values all <0.001； and measurement season， autumn was lower than spring， （B=-0.056， P<0.001）. The paired test showed that CV_S calculated from the three measurements was 1.04% higher than that calculated from the two measurements （P<0.001）. ConclusionThe coefficient of variation of systolic blood pressure of community hypertension patients in Shanghai has large variation， and was influenced by many factors.

Objective:To compare the specific IgE positive rates of the patients between allergic respiratory diseases and respiratory infectious diseases in Guangzhou, the relationship between the co-sensitization of house dust mite (HDM) allergen and Aspergillus fumigatus (AF) allergen and asthma, allergic rhinitis with asthma, pneumonia, upper respiratory infections, bronchitis, serum total immunoglobulin E (total Immunoglobulin E, tIgE) and age were analyzed, to provide the basis for the prevention and treatment of respiratory allergic diseases and respiratory infectious diseases in this area.Methods:A total of 2 535 patients with confirmed respiratory allergic diseases and respiratory infectious diseases were selected retrospectively from the outpatient or inpatient department of the First Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou Medical University from April 2017 to June 2021 and detected HDM and AF specific IgE (sIgE) by the ImmunoCAP system. The age range was 1 to 89 years. The median age was 5 years. The average age was 9. ≤3 years old group n=894, 4-6 years old group n=721, 7-18 years old group n=615, 19-49 years old group n=207, >49 years old group n=98. There were 1 596 males (62.96%) and 939 females (37.04%). There were 1 279 cases of allergic diseases and 1 256 cases of respiratory infectious diseases. The different disease groups were divided into asthma group (411 cases), allergic rhinitis group (458 cases), allergic rhinitis combined with asthma group (410 cases), pneumonia group (463 cases), upper respiratory tract infection group (299 cases) and bronchitis group (494 cases). The difference of specific IgE (sIgE) and tIgE between HDM and AF was analyzed. For statistical analysis, continuous variables were tested by Mann-Whitney U. Classification data by chi-square test or Fisher′s exact test. Results:1 313 (51.79%) patients were sIgE positive for HDM allergen, 65 (2.56%) were sIgE positive for AF allergen, and 50 (1.97%) were both positive. In the respiratory allergic disease group, 877 cases (68.57%,877/1 279) were positive for HDM allergen sIgE, 57 cases (4.46%,57/1 279) were positive for AF allergen sIgE, and 44 cases (3.44%,44/1 279) were both positive; 436 cases (34.71%,436/1 256) of respiratory infectious diseases were positive for HDM allergen sIgE, 8 cases (0.64%,8/1 256) were positive for AF allergen sIgE, and 6 cases (0.48%,6/1 256) were both positive. In monosensitization, the HDM allergen sIgE sensitization rate was the highest in the allergic rhinitis & asthma group, at 80.24% (329/410). The positive rate of HDM allergen sIgE in male patients was 53.76%(858/1 596), and the positive rate in female patients was 46.22%(434/939), and the difference between the two was statistically significant (χ 2=13.449, P<0.001). In polysensitization, asthma patients (5.35%,22/411) had the highest positive rate of HDM sensitization with AF, followed by allergic rhinitis patients (3.06%,14/458), allergic rhinitis with asthma (1.95%,8/410). The positive rate of respiratory infectious diseases such as pneumonia (0.43%,2/463), upper respiratory infections (0.33%,1/299), and bronchitis (0.61%,3/494) with AF was extremely low. The positive rate of HDM combined with AF in infants(≤3 years old group,0.34%, 3/894; 4-6 years old group, 0.97%, 7/721)was significantly lower than that in teenagers and adults(7-18 years old group,3.58%, 22/615; 19-49 years old group,6.28%, 13/207;>49 years old group,5.10%, 5/98).In the patients with HDM and AF combined sensitization, HDM sIgE levels were distributed in all grades, and AF sIgE levels were mainly in grades 1, 2, and 3. Conclusion:The positive rate of HDM combined with AF was higher in patients with respiratory allergic diseases such as asthma, allergic rhinitis, and allergic rhinitis combined with asthma, suggesting that clinical attention should be paid to the combination of HDM and AF in patients with asthma and allergic rhinitis, especially adults, more likely to be combined with AF.

Objective:To compare the specific IgE positive rates of the patients between allergic respiratory diseases and respiratory infectious diseases in Guangzhou, the relationship between the co-sensitization of house dust mite (HDM) allergen and Aspergillus fumigatus (AF) allergen and asthma, allergic rhinitis with asthma, pneumonia, upper respiratory infections, bronchitis, serum total immunoglobulin E (total Immunoglobulin E, tIgE) and age were analyzed, to provide the basis for the prevention and treatment of respiratory allergic diseases and respiratory infectious diseases in this area.Methods:A total of 2 535 patients with confirmed respiratory allergic diseases and respiratory infectious diseases were selected retrospectively from the outpatient or inpatient department of the First Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou Medical University from April 2017 to June 2021 and detected HDM and AF specific IgE (sIgE) by the ImmunoCAP system. The age range was 1 to 89 years. The median age was 5 years. The average age was 9. ≤3 years old group n=894, 4-6 years old group n=721, 7-18 years old group n=615, 19-49 years old group n=207, >49 years old group n=98. There were 1 596 males (62.96%) and 939 females (37.04%). There were 1 279 cases of allergic diseases and 1 256 cases of respiratory infectious diseases. The different disease groups were divided into asthma group (411 cases), allergic rhinitis group (458 cases), allergic rhinitis combined with asthma group (410 cases), pneumonia group (463 cases), upper respiratory tract infection group (299 cases) and bronchitis group (494 cases). The difference of specific IgE (sIgE) and tIgE between HDM and AF was analyzed. For statistical analysis, continuous variables were tested by Mann-Whitney U. Classification data by chi-square test or Fisher′s exact test. Results:1 313 (51.79%) patients were sIgE positive for HDM allergen, 65 (2.56%) were sIgE positive for AF allergen, and 50 (1.97%) were both positive. In the respiratory allergic disease group, 877 cases (68.57%,877/1 279) were positive for HDM allergen sIgE, 57 cases (4.46%,57/1 279) were positive for AF allergen sIgE, and 44 cases (3.44%,44/1 279) were both positive; 436 cases (34.71%,436/1 256) of respiratory infectious diseases were positive for HDM allergen sIgE, 8 cases (0.64%,8/1 256) were positive for AF allergen sIgE, and 6 cases (0.48%,6/1 256) were both positive. In monosensitization, the HDM allergen sIgE sensitization rate was the highest in the allergic rhinitis & asthma group, at 80.24% (329/410). The positive rate of HDM allergen sIgE in male patients was 53.76%(858/1 596), and the positive rate in female patients was 46.22%(434/939), and the difference between the two was statistically significant (χ 2=13.449, P<0.001). In polysensitization, asthma patients (5.35%,22/411) had the highest positive rate of HDM sensitization with AF, followed by allergic rhinitis patients (3.06%,14/458), allergic rhinitis with asthma (1.95%,8/410). The positive rate of respiratory infectious diseases such as pneumonia (0.43%,2/463), upper respiratory infections (0.33%,1/299), and bronchitis (0.61%,3/494) with AF was extremely low. The positive rate of HDM combined with AF in infants(≤3 years old group,0.34%, 3/894; 4-6 years old group, 0.97%, 7/721)was significantly lower than that in teenagers and adults(7-18 years old group,3.58%, 22/615; 19-49 years old group,6.28%, 13/207;>49 years old group,5.10%, 5/98).In the patients with HDM and AF combined sensitization, HDM sIgE levels were distributed in all grades, and AF sIgE levels were mainly in grades 1, 2, and 3. Conclusion:The positive rate of HDM combined with AF was higher in patients with respiratory allergic diseases such as asthma, allergic rhinitis, and allergic rhinitis combined with asthma, suggesting that clinical attention should be paid to the combination of HDM and AF in patients with asthma and allergic rhinitis, especially adults, more likely to be combined with AF.

Objective To investigate the nutritional status of vitamin D and its relationship with age, sex and season in children aged 0-6 in Yiling District of Yichang, and to provide a scientific basis for children to appropriately supplement vitamin D. Methods A total of 11 656 children aged 0 to 6 who had undergone physical examinations in Yiling Maternal and Child Health Hospital from January 2017 to July 2018 were tested for peripheral blood 25-hydroxyvitamin D levels by fluorescence immunochromatography. Results The level of 25-vitamin D in 11,656 children tested in Yiling area was (29.35 ± 7.59) ng / mL, of which 566 (4.86%) were in vitamin D deficiency, 6,579 (56.44%) were in vitamin D insufficiency, and 4,511 were in vitamin D sufficiency (38.70%). The levels of vitamin D in peripheral blood of infants under 1 year old were significantly higher than that of infants and preschool children (P<0.05). The levels of 25-hydroxyvitamin D in peripheral blood of children aged 3-6 years were significantly lower than that of other age groups (P<0.01). The levels of 25-hydroxyvitamin D in children's peripheral blood were highest in spring and lowest in winter. There was no significant difference in peripheral blood levels of 25-hydroxyvitamin D between two genders (t=0.841, P>0.05). The levels of 25-hydroxyvitamin D in peripheral blood aged 0-3 years had no significant difference between urban and rural areas in Yiling area (P>0.05). Conclusion The levels of 25-hydroxyvitamin D in children aged 0-6 years are mostly inadequate. Vitamin D intake should be increased, especially in preschool children. Outdoor activities in winter are necessary in this area.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the clinical characteristics, risk factors and prognosis of ulcerative keratitis (UK) in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA). METHODS: Sixteen patients with UK (the UK group) were screened among 4 773 RA patients hospitalized at Peking University People's Hospital from January 2003 to May 2021, and 72 patients with RA without UK in the control group were selected by propensity score matching (PSM). The clinical features, laboratory data and medications between the two groups were collected and analyzed. RESULTS: The average age of the patients with RA was 60 years at the time of the complication of UK. UK appeared on average in the 16th year of RA, with the majority of UK occurring in the 7th year of RA and beyond (14 cases), however, a minority of UK was the first symptom of RA (1 case). UK associated with RA manifested as simple marginal UK in 8 cases, marginal UK with perforation in 5 cases, marginal UK with uveitis in 2 cases and central UK with perforation in 1 case. The number of swollen joints was significantly higher in the UK group than in the control group [6.0(2.5, 23.0) vs. 3.0(1.0, 9.8), Z=-2.047, P=0.041], and the proportion of secondary Sjögren syndrome (SS, 37.5% vs. 6.9%, χ²=11.175, P=0.004) and interstitial lung disease (ILD, 37.5% vs. 8.3%, χ²=9.456, P=0.008) were significantly higher in the RA patients with UK than the patients without UK. The uses of sulfasalazine (12.5% vs. 48.6%, χ²=7.006, P=0.008), leflunomide (31.3% vs. 63.9%, χ²=5.723, P=0.017) and gold salt(6.3% vs. 33.8%, χ²=4.841, P=0.032)were significantly lower in the UK group than in the control group. However, there was no statistically significant comparison between the two groups for the 28-joint disease activity score-erythrocyte sedimentation rate (5.3±1.8 vs. 5.1±1.6, t=0.309, P=0.761). Logistic analysis showed the number of swollen joints (OR=1.148), secondary SS (OR=79.118), complicated with ILD (OR=6.596) and the use of sulfasalazine (OR=0.037) were independent relevant factors (P < 0.05) for UK in RA patients. CONCLUSION The number of swollen joints, secondary SS, complicated with ILD and the use of sulfasalazine are independent relevant factors for UK in patients with RA.
Arthritis, Rheumatoid/epidemiology* ; Corneal Ulcer/etiology* ; Humans ; Middle Aged ; Minority Groups ; Risk Factors

OBJECTIVE：To establish the method for online rapid detection of related indexes in the concentration process of Huagai san extraction solution ，and to provide reference for judgment of concentration end point. METHODS ：Online diagram of 73 concentrated samples in the concentration process of Huagai san extraction solution were drawn by NIRS online collection equipment. The partial least squares （PLS）method was used to establish the NIRS quantitative calibration model of 5 related indexes （concentration density ， solid content ， the contents of amygdalin ， ephedrine hydrochloride and pseudoephedrine hydrochloride）. Another 15 samples were used to validate the model ，and the correlation of predicted value and measured value was analyzed. RESULTS ：The correlation coefficients （R2）of the concentration density ，solid content ，the contents of amygdalin ， ephedrine hydrochloride and pseudoephedrine hydrochloride in the quantitative calibration model were 0.982 5，0.999 9，0.998 3， 0.999 4 and 0.999 3，respectively；the root mean square errors of calibration （RMSEC）were 0.001 6，0.025 1，0.014 7，0.001 8 and 0.000 9；the root mean square errors of cross validation （RMSECV）were 0.002 1，0.035 8，0.033 6，0.006 3 and 0.001 3， respectively. After validation by 15 samples，root mean square errors of prediction （RMSEP）were 0.003 2，0.024 6，0.021 5， 0.007 7 and 0.005 9，respectively. CONCLUSIONS ：The established quantitative calibration model has good predictability and can provide basis for online judgment of concentration end point of Huagai san extraction solution.