1.Development of a prediction model for incidence of diabetic foot in patients with type 2 diabetes and its application based on a local health data platform
Yexian YU ; Meng ZHANG ; Xiaowei CHEN ; Lijia LIU ; Pei LI ; Houyu ZHAO ; Yexiang SUN ; Hongyu SUN ; Yumei SUN ; Xueyang LIU ; Hongbo LIN ; Peng SHEN ; Siyan ZHAN ; Feng SUN
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2024;45(7):997-1006
Objective:To construct a diabetes foot prediction model for adult patients with type 2 diabetes based on retrospective cohort study using data from a regional health data platform.Methods:Using Yinzhou Health Information Platform of Ningbo, adult patients with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes from January 1, 2015 to December 31, 2022 were included in this study and divided randomly the train and test sets according to the ratio of 7∶3. LASSO regression model and bidirectional stepwise regression model were used to identify risk factors, and model comparisons were conducted with net reclassification index, integrated discrimination improvement and concordance index. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression models were constructed, and a nomogram plot was drawn. Area under the curve (AUC) was calculated as a discriminant evaluation indicator for model validation test its calibration ability, and calibration curves were drawn to test its calibration ability.Results:No significant difference existed between LASSO regression model and bidirectional stepwise regression model, but the better bidirectional stepwise regression model was selected as the final model. The risk factors included age of onset, gender, hemoglobin A1c, estimated glomerular filtration rate, taking angiotensin receptor blocker and smoking history. AUC values (95% CI) of risk outcome prediction at year 5 and 7 were 0.700 (0.650-0.749) and 0.715(0.668-0.762) for the train set and 0.738 (0.667-0.801) and 0.723 (0.663-0.783) for the test set, respectively. The calibration curves were close to the ideal curve, and the model discrimination and calibration powers were both good. Conclusions:This study established a convenient prediction model for diabetic foot and classified the risk levels. The model has strong interpretability, good discrimination power, and satisfactory calibration and can be used to predict the incidence of diabetes foot in adult patients with type 2 diabetes to provide a basis for self-assessment and clinical prediction of diabetic foot disease risk.
2.Development and application of a prediction model for incidence of diabetic retinopathy in newly diagnosed type 2 diabetic patients based on regional health data platform
Xiaowei CHEN ; Lijia LIU ; Yexian YU ; Meng ZHANG ; Pei LI ; Houyu ZHAO ; Yexiang SUN ; Hongyu SUN ; Yumei SUN ; Xueyang LIU ; Hongbo LIN ; Peng SHEN ; Siyan ZHAN ; Feng SUN
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2024;45(9):1283-1290
Objective:To develop a prediction model for the risk of diabetic retinopathy (DR) in patients with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM).Methods:Patients with new diagnosis of T2DM recorded in Yinzhou Regional Health Information Platform between January 1, 2015 and December 31, 2022 were included in the study. The predictor variables were selected by using Lasso-Cox proportional hazards regression model. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to establish the prediction model for the risk of DR. Bootstrap method (500 resamples) was used for internal validation, and the performance of the model was assessed by C-index, the receiver operating characteristic curve and area under the curve (AUC), and calibration curve.Results:The predictor variables included in the final model were age of T2DM onset, education level, fasting plasma glucose, glycated hemoglobin A1c, urinary albumin, estimated glomerular filtration rate, and history of lipid-lowering agent and angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitor uses. The C-index of the final model was 0.622, and the mean corrected C-index was 0.623 (95% CI: 0.607-0.634). The AUC values for predicting the risk of DR after 3, 5, and 7 years were 0.631, 0.620, and 0.624, respectively, with a high degree of overlap of the calibration curves with the ideal curves. Conclusion:In this study, a simple and practical risk prediction model for DR risk prediction was developed, which could be used as a reference for individualized DR screening and intervention in newly diagnosed T2DM patients.
3.Development of a prediction model for the incidence of type 2 diabetic kidney disease and its application based on a regional health data platform
Lijia LIU ; Xiaowei CHEN ; Yexian YU ; Meng ZHANG ; Pei LI ; Houyu ZHAO ; Yexiang SUN ; Hongyu SUN ; Yumei SUN ; Xueyang LIU ; Hongbo LIN ; Peng SHEN ; Siyan ZHAN ; Feng SUN
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2024;45(10):1426-1432
Objective:To construct a risk prediction model for diabetes kidney disease (DKD).Methods:Patients newly diagnosed with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) between January 1, 2015, and December 31, 2022, were selected as study subjects from the Yinzhou Regional Health Information Platform in Ningbo City. The Lasso method was used to screen the risk factors, and the DKD risk prediction model was established using Cox proportional hazard regression models. Bootstrap 500 resampling was applied for internal validation.Results:The study included 49 706 subjects, with an median ( Q1, Q3) age of 60.00 (50.00, 68.00) years old, and 55% were male. A total of 4 405 subjects eventually developed DKD. Age at first diagnosis of T2DM, BMI, education level, fasting plasma glucose, glycated hemoglobin A1c, urinary albumin, past medical history (hyperuricemia, rheumatic diseases), triglycerides, and estimated glomerular filtration rate were included in the final model. The final model's C-index was 0.653, with an average of 0.654 after Bootstrap correction. The final model's area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for predicting 4-year, 5-year, and 6-year was 0.657, 0.659, and 0.664, respectively. The calibration curve was closely aligned with the ideal curve. Conclusions:This study constructed a DKD risk prediction model for newly diagnosed T2DM patients based on real-world data that is simple, easy to use, and highly practical. It provides a reliable basis for screening high-risk groups for DKD.
4.Effect of transcutaneous electrical acupoint stimulation on emergence agitation in children undergoing selective posterior rhizotomy
Xueyang LI ; Anshi WU ; Jingwei ZAN ; Kai XU ; Guokai LIU ; Huilong REN
The Journal of Clinical Anesthesiology 2024;40(7):709-713
Objective To investigate the effect of transcutaneous electrical acupoint stimulation(TEAS)on emergence agitation(EA)in children undergoing selective posterior rhizotomy(SPR).Methods Forty-two children with cerebral palsy undergoing SPR were selected,20 males and 22 females,aged 6-12 years,BMI 13-24 kg/m2,ASA physical status Ⅰ or Ⅱ,randomly divided into two groups:TEAS group(group T)and control group(group C),21 children in each group.Children in group T re-ceived TEAS at the bilateral acupoints of Neiguan and Hegu from 30 minutes before anesthesia induction to the end of surgery.In group C,electrodes were placed on the same acupoints without electrical stimulation.All children in both groups received total intravenous anesthesia.HR and MAP were recorded at the time of entry,extubation,5,15,30 minutes after extubation.The consumption of remifentanil and propofol during the procedure were recorded.The time of operation and extubation were recorded.The Wong-Baker faces pain scale-revised(FPS-R)and the pediatric anesthesia emergence delirium(PAED)were recorded at 15 minutes after extubation,and the incidence of EA was assessed by PAED.While,the occurrence of post-operative nausea and vomiting(PONV)was recorded.Results Compared with that at the time of entry,HR at the time of extubation,5,15 minutes after extubation and MAP at the time of extubation,5,15,30 minutes after extubation in group C were significantly increased(P<0.05),HR and MAP at the time of extubation,5,15 minutes after extubationin group T were significantly increased(P<0.05).Compared with group C,HR was significantly slower and MAP was significantly lower in group T at the time of extuba-tion,5,15,30 minutes after extubation(P<0.05).Compared with group C,the consumption of remifen-tanil during operation was reduced,the time of extubation was significantly shortened,the FPS-R and PAED were significantly decreased,and the incidence of EA were significantly reduced(P<0.05).There were no significant differences in the time of operation,the consumption of propofol during operation and the inci-dence of PONV.Conclusion TEAS is beneficial to prevent the occurrence of EA in pediatric patients un-dergoing SPR,stabilize hemodynamics,reduce the dosage of opioids during surgery,reduce the postopera-tive pain,andaccelerate the time of anesthesia resuscitation.
5.Research Advances of Chemical Constituents and Analytical Methods of Shengmai Formula
Zixuan QIAN ; Xueyang SUN ; Chenming ZHANG ; Longchan LIU ; Linnan LI ; Haoyue ZHANG ; Li YANG ; Zhengtao WANG
World Science and Technology-Modernization of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2023;25(8):2699-2708
Shengmai formula,composed of Ginseng Radix et Rhizoma,Ophiopogon Radix and Schisandrae Chinensis Fructus,is a classic and famous formula.It is a representative formula for"supplementing qi,nourishing yin,and generating fluid"in Traditional Chinese Medicine theory.To date,a wide range of Shengmai formulae have been developed according to different medical applications,but the quality evaluation standards are at a relatively low level,and most of them only specify the individual components of a single herb,making it difficult to ensure clinical efficacy and safety.At the same time,the physical and chemical identification methods of Shengmai formula have been constantly updated,allowing for greater progress in research on its main chemical components such as saponins,lignans and flavonoids.However,there is little systematic summarization of the chemical components and analytical methods.Based on the existing references,we systematically summarized ginsenosides,ophiopogonins,schisandra lignans,homoisoflavonoids and some other compounds in this paper,as well as the quality standards of Shengmai formulae and their analytical methods in order to aid clinical research and formulation manufacture.
6.Development and strategy analysis of Chinese herbal medicine in Germany
Haoyue LI ; Jing ZHAO ; Zijun ZHANG ; Xueyang ZHANG ; Xiaoying TONG ; Masseli CHRISTINE ; Yisheng ZHANG ; Chen LIU ; Haiyu XU ; Rongrong GAO
International Journal of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2022;44(11):1215-1220
Germany owns the largest herbal market in Europe and has the world's leading R&D capabilities for herbal medicine products. Chinese herbal medicine (CHM) spreaded to Germany hundreds of years ago. Since the beginning of the 20th century, China and Germany have signed a series of agreements to support traditional medicine cooperation, and the exchange of herbs between China and Germany has become more frequent, bringing opportunities for CHM to enter into Germany. In recent years, China and Germany have gained progress in the fields of CHM research and trade, etc. However, there are differences in the understanding of herbal medicines, quality standard evaluation, usage, and medication rules between the two countries. By doing SWOT analysis of the development of CHM in Germany, this paper suggested to promote Sino-German medical exchanges and build a community of common health for mankind through strengthening the clinical application of CHM, finding new ways of CHM entering into German market, and building an international talent team of traditional Chinese medicine.
7.Genotype and phynotype of DNM1 gene variants related developmental epileptic encephalopathy
Xueyang NIU ; Jiaoyang CHEN ; Miaomiao CHENG ; Ying YANG ; Yi CHEN ; Wenwei LIU ; Quanzhen TAN ; Xiao-Ling YANG ; Yuehua ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Applied Clinical Pediatrics 2022;37(9):692-696
Objective:To summarize the clinical features of developmental epileptic encephalopathy children with DNM1 gene variants. Methods:The genotypes and clinical features of 15 children with DNM1 variants related epilepsy in the Department of Pediatrics, Peking University First Hospital from June 2017 to October 2021 were retrospectively analyzed. Results:A total of 8 male and 7 female epilepsy patients with DNM1 gene variants with the age of seizure onset ranging from 15 days to 22 months were recruited, median age was 8 months.All cases belonged to de novo heterozygous variants of the DNM1 gene, including 13 cases of missense variants, 1 case of frame shift variant and 1 case of nonsense variant, 8 cases of ectopic sites have not been reported.Multiple seizure types were observed, including epileptic spasms in 15 patients, focal seizure in 9 patients, atypical absence seizure in 2 patients and tonic seizure in 2 patients.There were various types of seizures in 7 children.Nine cases occurred as infantile spasm for the first time.All 15 patients showed varied degrees of development delay, among them, 11 cases had developmental retardation before epilepsy.Three patients had slow rhythm of electroencephalogram background activity, the electroencephalography showed hypsarrhythmia in 13 patients; clinical seizures were detected in 8 cases, among them, epileptic spasms were captured in 7 patients, tonic seizure was captured in 1 patient.Widened frontotemporal subarachnoid space, cerebral atrophy, and corpus callosum dysplasia were examined in 6, 2 and 3 patients by cranial magnetic resonance imaging, respectively.All 15 cases were diagnosed as developmental epileptic encephalopathy, of which 13 cases were consistent with infantile spasms.The age of the last follow-up ranged from 1 year old to 7 years old.After multi-antiepileptic drug treatment, 2 patients were remission, 1 patient(small size of identical twins) died of severe pneumonia at the age of 2 years, and 12 patients still had intermittent seizures, of which 1 patient was transformed from infantile spasms to Lennox-Gastaut syndrome. Conclusions:The onset age of developmental epileptic encephalopathy caused by the DNM1 gene variant usually begins in the infantile period, the peak onset age was 8 months.The main types of seizures include epileptic spasms and focal seizures, developmental retardation can occur before seizures.The clinical manifestations are mostly infantile spasms syndrome, and some children can be transformed into Lennox-Gastaut syndrome.
8.Effects of radiofrequency introduction of L-vitamin C to improve melasma
Kangle AN ; Congmin WANG ; Xueyang ZHANG ; Meihua YAO ; Weiwei LIANG ; Tingting LIU ; Jiamin WU ; Zhikuan XIA
Chinese Journal of Medical Aesthetics and Cosmetology 2022;28(5):418-421
Objective:To evaluate the efficacy and safety of radiofrequency introduction of L-vitamin C in patients with melasma.Methods:From March to June 2019, 20 patients with melasma were admitted to the Department of Dermatology, the Seventh Medical Center of PLA General Hospital, including 19 females and 1 male, aged 30-60 years, with an average age of 43.5 years. All patients were treated with 22 percent of L-vitamin C once a week, a total of 8 times of treatment and followed up for 12 weeks. Each subject was assessed with standardized clinical photo, skin tests (VISIA skin image analyzer and CK multifunctional skin tester) and patient self-assessment. In addition, the adverse reactions were recorded.Results:Physician evaluation and patient self-evaluation showed that skin symptoms were improved obviously after treatment. 90% of the subjects thought that all of the skin moisture, pores, fine lines, glossiness, and color spots were improved after 12 weeks. The skin texture, ultraviolet stain and the brown spots which were detected with VISIA skin image analyzer were all improved after one week and one month. Difference was statistically significant ( P<0.05). Skin glossiness was significantly improved, skin moisture content increased and melanin decreased, which were detected with CK multifunctional skin tester. The differences were statistically significant ( P<0.05). But there was no significant change in transdermal water loss and red pigment index ( P>0.05). Conclusions:22% L-vitamin C can be used to treat melasma and improve photoaging safely without affecting skin barrier function.
9.Genomic Shift in Population Dynamics of mcr-1-positive Escherichia coli in Human Carriage
Shen YINGBO ; Zhang RONG ; Shao DONGYAN ; Yang LU ; Lu JIAYUE ; Liu CONGCONG ; Wang XUEYANG ; Jiang JUNYAO ; Wang BOXUAN ; Wu CONGMING ; Parkhill JULIAN ; Wang YANG ; R.Walsh TIMOTHY ; F.Gao GEORGE ; Shen ZHANGQI
Genomics, Proteomics & Bioinformatics 2022;(6):1168-1179
Emergence of the colistin resistance gene,mcr-1,has attracted worldwide attention.Despite the prevalence of mcr-1-positive Escherichia coli(MCRPEC)strains in human carriage showing a significant decrease between 2016 and 2019,genetic differences in MCRPEC strains remain largely unknown.We therefore conducted a comparative genomic study on MCRPEC strains from fecal samples of healthy human subjects in 2016 and 2019.We identified three major differences in MCRPEC strains between these two time points.First,the insertion sequenceISApll1 was often deleted and the percentage of mcr-1-carrying IncI2 plasmids was increased in MCRPEC strains in 2019.Second,the antibiotic resistance genes(ARGs),aac(3)-Ⅳa and blaCTX-M-1,emerged and coexisted with mcr-1 in 2019.Third,MCRPEC strains in 2019 contained more viru-lence genes,resulting in an increased proportion of extraintestinal pathogenic E.coli(ExPEC)strains(36.1%)in MCRPEC strains in 2019 compared to that in 2016(10.5%),implying that these strains could occupy intestinal ecological niches by competing with other commensal bacteria.Our results suggest that despite the significant reduction in the prevalence of MCRPEC strains in humans from 2016 to 2019,MCRPEC exhibits increased resistance to other clinically important ARGs and contains more virulence genes,which may pose a potential public health threat.
10.Methods for controlling time-varying confounding in pharmaco-epidemiological studies: a systematic reveiw
Houyu ZHAO ; Xueyang ZENG ; Fengqi LIU ; Siyuan CHEN ; Siyan ZHAN
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2021;42(12):2179-2187
Objective:To systematically review the application of methods for controlling time-varying confounding in pharmaco-epidemiological studies.Methods:PubMed, Embase, CNKI, and Wanfang were searched for pharmaco-epidemiological studies involving time-varying confounding on June 15 th, 2020. The basic characteristics, drug exposure and outcome, time-varying confounders and the application of methods to control these confounders were analyzed. Results:A total of 298 articles were included. An increasing trend was observed in numbers of studies dealing with time-varying confounding in pharmaco-epidemiological studies in recent years. A total of 106 (35.6%) studies involved the safety or effectiveness of medication use in HIV/AIDS patients and 92 of them involved antiretroviral drugs. The most common outcome was mortality, while the most commonly concerned time-dependent confounders were laboratory examination results (179, 60.1%), comorbidities (136, 45.6%), and co-used medications (108, 36.2%). Marginal structure model (MSM) and inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) were the most commonly used methods to control time-varying confounding factors (244, 81.9%). Compared with the results after properly controlling time-varying confounding, traditional methods adjusting only baseline confounders resulted in substantial bias (median 18.2%, interquartile range, 7.4%-40.8%). As for basic assumptions needed for causal methods controlling time-varying confounding, 28.9% and 64.8% of the included studies examined or discussed the assumptions of positivity and no unmeasured confounders, respectively.Conclusions:At present, most of the fields of drug therapy for chronic diseases still pay insufficient attention to time-varying confoundings. Information collected in routine medical practice, such as laboratory tests, comorbidities, and co-used drugs, was the most commonly concerned time-varying confounder. MSM and IPTW were the most commonly applied methods for dealing with time-varying confounding.

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