1.Tanreqing Capsules protect lung and gut of mice infected with influenza virus via "lung-gut axis".
Nai-Fan DUAN ; Yuan-Yuan YU ; Yu-Rong HE ; Feng CHEN ; Lin-Qiong ZHOU ; Ya-Lan LI ; Shi-Qi SUN ; Yan XUE ; Xing ZHANG ; Gui-Hua XU ; Yue-Juan ZHENG ; Wei ZHANG
China Journal of Chinese Materia Medica 2025;50(8):2270-2281
This study aims to explore the mechanism of lung and gut protection by Tanreqing Capsules on the mice infected with influenza virus based on "the lung-gut axis". A total of 110 C57BL/6J mice were randomized into control group, model group, oseltamivir group, and low-and high-dose Tanreqing Capsules groups. Ten mice in each group underwent body weight protection experiments, and the remaining 12 mice underwent experiments for mechanism exploration. Mice were infected with influenza virus A/Puerto Rico/08/1934(PR8) via nasal inhalation for the modeling. The lung tissue was collected on day 3 after gavage, and the lung tissue, colon tissue, and feces were collected on day 7 after gavage for subsequent testing. The results showed that Tanreqing Capsules alleviated the body weight reduction and increased the survival rate caused by PR8 infection. Compared with model group, Tanreqing Capsules can alleviate the lung injury by reducing the lung index, alleviating inflammation and edema in the lung tissue, down-regulating viral gene expression at the late stage of infection, reducing the percentage of neutrophils, and increasing the percentage of T cells. Tanreqing Capsules relieved the gut injury by restoring the colon length, increasing intestinal lumen mucin secretion, alleviating intestinal inflammation, and reducing goblet cell destruction. The gut microbiota analysis showed that Tanreqing Capsules increased species diversity compared with model group. At the phylum level, Tanreqing Capsules significantly increased the abundance of Firmicutes and Actinobacteria, while reducing the abundance of Bacteroidota and Proteobacteria to maintain gut microbiota balance. At the genus level, Tanreqing Capsules significantly increased the abundance of unclassified_f_Lachnospiraceae while reducing the abundance of Bacteroides, Eubacterium, and Phocaeicola to maintain gut microbiota balance. In conclusion, Tanreqing Capsules can alleviate mouse lung and gut injury caused by influenza virus infection and restore the balance of gut microbiota. Treating influenza from the lung and gut can provide new ideas for clinical practice.
Animals
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Drugs, Chinese Herbal/administration & dosage*
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Mice
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Lung/metabolism*
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Mice, Inbred C57BL
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Capsules
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Orthomyxoviridae Infections/virology*
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Gastrointestinal Microbiome/drug effects*
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Male
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Humans
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Female
;
Influenza A virus/physiology*
;
Influenza, Human/virology*
2.Analysis of Delayed Hemolytic Transfusion Reaction in Children with Repeated Blood Transfusion.
Li-Lan GAO ; Meng-Xing LYU ; Shu-Xia WANG ; Xiao-Hong JIN ; Jian-Xiang LIU ; Mei-Kun HU ; Ke-Xuan QU
Journal of Experimental Hematology 2025;33(1):217-223
OBJECTIVE:
To summarize and analyze the characteristics of delayed hemolytic transfusion reaction in children, in order to provide a scientific basis for clinical prevention, and ensure the safety of children's blood transfusion.
METHODS:
The basic situation, clinical symptoms and signs, diagnosis time and disappearance time of alloantibody of delayed hemolytic transfusion reaction in children were retrospectively analyzed. The serological test, routine blood test, biochemical detection and urine analysis results were compared pre- and post-transfusion.
RESULTS:
Among 15 164 children with repeated blood transfusion, 23 cases occurred delayed hemolytic transfusion reactions, with an incidence rate of 0.15%, and mainly children with thalassemia and acute leukemia. 39.13% of delayed hemolytic reactions occurred in children with more than 20 times of blood transfusions. Anemia was the main clinical symptom in 86.96% of children. 4.35% of children had hypotension and dyspnea. Serological test results showed that the positive rate of direct antiglobulin test was 91.30%, and that of erythrocyte homologous antibody test was 100%. Erythrocyte alloantibodies were common in Rh and Kidd blood group systems, accounting for 73.91% and 13.04%, respectively. Laboratory test results showed that hemoglobin, reticulocyte, spherocyte, total bilirubin, indirect bilirubin, lactate dehydrogenase, serum ferritin and urine color were significantly different after transfusion compared with those before transfusion (all P <0.05). The average diagnosis time of delayed hemolytic transfusion reactions was 18.56 days, and the average disappearance time of erythrocyte alloantibodies was 118.43 days.
CONCLUSION
The incidence of delayed hemolytic transfusion reaction is high in children with repeated blood transfusion, and the disappearance time of erythrocyte homologous antibody is long. Blood matched ABO, Rh and Kidd blood group antigens should be transfused prophylactically. Once diagnosed, erythrocyte alloantibody corresponding to antigen-negative blood should be used throughout the whole process.
Humans
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Child
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Retrospective Studies
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Child, Preschool
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Transfusion Reaction
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Male
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Female
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Infant
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Adolescent
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Isoantibodies/blood*
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Blood Transfusion
3.Prognostic Value of Baseline 18F-FDG PET/CT Combined with Clinicopathological Characteristics in Diffuse Large B-Cell Lymphoma.
Tong ZHAO ; Ling YUAN ; Jia-Lin LI ; Ming ZHAO ; Yan-Mei LIN ; Jun XING ; Lan-Lan BAO
Journal of Experimental Hematology 2025;33(2):365-372
OBJECTIVE:
To investigate the prognostic value of 18 F-deoxyglucose (FDG) PET/CT metabolic parameters combined with clinicopathological features for newly diagnosed diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) before treatment, and analyze the relationship between tumor metabolic volume (MTV), total lesion glycolysis (TLG) and clinicopathological features.
METHODS:
The clinical data of 120 patients with pathologically confirmed DLBCL were retrospectively analyzed and 18F-FDG PET/CT was performed 1 week before treatment. The metabolic parameters including SUVmax, SUVmean, tumor-to-blood standardized uptake value ratio (TBR), tumor-to-liver standardized uptake value ratio (TLR) were obtained. MTV and TLG of the lesions were obtained with 41% of SUVmax as the threshold, and the correlation of MTV and TLG with clinicopathological features were analyzed. Progression-free survival (PFS) was calculated by follow-up for 6-153 months. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, chi-square test, Kaplan-Meier test, log-rank test and Cox proportional hazards model were used to analyze the date.
RESULTS:
The optimum cut-off values of the SUVmax, MTV, TLG, TBR and TLR for predicting tumor progression were 22.25, 256.05, 5 232.67, 12.97 and 10.60, respectively. The patients were divided into two groups according to the above cut-off values, respectively. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that there were statistically significant differences in PFS between the two group (all P <0.05). The MTV and TLG values were correlated with NCCN-IPI score, Ann Arbor stage, serum lactate dehydrogenase level, and C-MYC, BCL-2, BCL-6 gene rearrangement (all P <0.05). Univariate analysis showed that NCCN-IPI score >3, C-MYC, BCL-2, BCL-6 gene rearrangement positive, SUVmax≥22.25, MTV≥256.05 cm3, TLG≥5 232.67 g and TBR≥12.97 were adverse factors for prognosis (HR: 1.949-5.759, all P <0.05). Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that C-MYC, BCL-2 gene rearrangement positive and TLG≥5 232.67 g were all independent risk factors affecting PFS (HR: 4.660, 3.350, 4.031, all P <0.05).
CONCLUSION
The 18F-FDG PET/CT metabolic parameters SUVmax, MTV, TLG, TBR and TLR can be used as important indicators to predict PFS of DLBCL patients, and combining clinicopathological features can better predict the prognosis of patients.
Humans
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Lymphoma, Large B-Cell, Diffuse/diagnosis*
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Fluorodeoxyglucose F18
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Positron Emission Tomography Computed Tomography
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Prognosis
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Retrospective Studies
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Male
;
Female
;
Middle Aged
;
Adult
4.Micromorphological characteristics of the pedicle of the lower cervical vertebra
Kun LI ; Shaojie ZHANG ; Jun SHI ; Jian WANG ; Yanan LIU ; Lan DUO ; Yang YANG ; Yunteng HAO ; Zhijun LI ; Xing WANG
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2024;28(12):1890-1894
BACKGROUND:The lower cervical vertebral pedicle is the main stress site of the posterior column of the spine,which is of great significance for the maintenance of the stability of the human center of gravity and the reduction of shock.At present,there are few reports on the characteristics of the internal bone trabeculae,and the characteristics of the joint site of the vertebral pedicle with the articular process and the vertebral body.It is urgent to understand the fine anatomical structure of the vertebral pedicle and the relationship and function of each part. OBJECTIVE:To observe the microanatomical morphology of the vertebral pedicle by Micro-CT scanning of cervical vertebra specimens,and to measure and analyze the microstructure and morphometric parameters of the bone trabecula in the cervical pedicle under normal conditions to evaluate the safety performance of the cervical spine. METHODS:Micro-CT scanning was performed on 31 sets of cervical vertebrae C3-C7.By checking and reconstructing the areas of interest in the bone trabecular within the vertebral pedicle,the morphological characteristics and distribution direction of the bone trabecular within the cervical pedicle were observed,and the bone microstructure parameters were detected,and the differences in the bone microstructure of the C3-C7 vertebral pedicle were analyzed and compared. RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:(1)The Micro-CT images showed that the honeycomb bone trabeculae of the pedicle of the lower cervical spine presented a complex network of microstructures.The trabeculae near the cortical bone were lamellar and relatively compact,extending forward toward the vertebral body and backward toward the articular process lamina.Abatoid bone trabeculae extended into the medullary cavity and transformed into a network structure,and then into rod-shaped bone trabeculae.The rod-shaped bone trabeculae were sparsely distributed in the medullary cavity.(2)Statistical results of morphological parameters of bone trabeculae showed that bone volume fraction values in C4 and C5 were higher than that in C7(P<0.05).The bone surface/bone volume value in C7 was higher than that in C3,C4 and C6(P<0.05).The bone surface density of bone trabeculae in C7 was higher than that in C3,C4,C5 and C6(P<0.05).Trabecular thickness in C7 was higher than that in C3,C4 and C5(P<0.05).Bone surface/bone volume and bone surface density of the left pedicle bone trabecular were greater than those on the right side(P<0.05).(3)The microstructural changes of C3-C7 were summarized,in which the load capacity and stress of the C7 pedicle were poor,and the risk of injury was high in this area.
5.Implementation of surveillance,prevention and control of healthcare-asso-ciated infection in maternal and child healthcare institutions:A nation-wide investigation report
Shuo LI ; Xi YAO ; Hui-Xue JIA ; Wei-Guang LI ; Xun HUANG ; Shu-Mei SUN ; Xi CHENG ; Qing-Lan MENG ; Xiang ZHANG ; Jing-Ping ZHANG ; Ya-Wei XING ; Qing-Qing JIANG ; Lian-Xuan WU ; Bing-Li ZHANG ; Xiao-Jing LIU ; Liu-Yi LI
Chinese Journal of Infection Control 2024;23(3):323-329
Objective To investigate the implementation of surveillance,prevention and control measures for healthcare-associated infection(HAI)in maternal and child healthcare(MCH)institutions,and provide policy evi-dence for optimizing HAI prevention and control in MCH institutions.Methods Stratified sampling was conducted among the MCH institutions at provincial,municipal and county levels in 8 provinces/autonomous regions.A uni-fied questionnaire was designed and the online survey was conducted through"Questionnaire Star".Results The data from 123 MCH institutions were included in the analysis.90.24%of the MCH institutions carried out compre-hensive surveillance on HAI.The ratios of MCH institutions which implemented targeted surveillance on HAI in neonatal intensive care unit(NICU),surgical site infection,multidrug-resistant organisms(MDROs)and HAI in intensive care units(non-NICU excluded)were 89.66%,85.96%,80.77%,and 74.19%,respectively.51.22%MCH institutions adopted information surveillance system on HAI cases.94.31%MCH institutions carried out surveillance on hand hygiene compliance.Over 90%MCH institutions carried out surveillance on environment hy-giene in high-risk departments.71.54%MCH institutions conducted centralized cleaning,disinfection,sterilization and supply for reusable medical instruments in the central sterile supply department(CSSD).Over 90%MCH insti-tutions established three-level pre-examination triage systems.86.18%set up transitional wards.MCH institutions generally adopted a management model with established effective communication,full appointment visits,and sepa-rate visits for special medical groups,such as registered pregnant women,high-risk newborns,healthcare groups,and long-term rehabilitation patients.However,the ratio of institutions conducting on-line follow-up visits was less than 50%.Conclusion MCH institutions have generally carried out comprehensive and targeted surveillance on HAI.Information surveillance need to be facilitated.Hand hygiene and environmental hygiene surveillance has been popularized to a certain extent at all levels of MCH institutions.The cleaning,disinfection,sterilization,and supply processes of reusable medical devices in a few MCH institutions are not standardized.Special medical populations get effective management.On-line healthcare is to be further promoted.
6.Genetic diversity of Ixodes persulcatus in parts of Inner Mongolia
Meng-Yu CUI ; Si SU ; Li-Li XING ; Lan MU ; Rui-Juan GAO ; Qi-Qi GUO ; Hong REN ; Dong-Dong QI ; Jing-Feng YU
Chinese Journal of Zoonoses 2024;40(4):295-301
The aim of this study was to clarify the genetic diversity and population history of Ixodes persulcatus in some ar-eas of Inner Mongolia in order to provide accurate data for effective vector control programs and reveal the transmission mecha-nism.Samples were collected in 10 areas of Inner Mongolia during the active tick season(April 2021-July 2023)using the flag-dragging and manual sampling methods.The 16S rRNA and COI gene were sequenced to clarify genetic diversity of I.per-sulcatus.The positivity rates for the COI gene and 16S rRNA were 90.00%and 98.33%respectively.Overall,18 and 15 haplotypes were identified for the COI gene and 16S rRNA,respectively,with a total haplotype diversity>0.762 and total nucleotide diversity<0.005.The Tajima's values and Fu's Fs were negative for significance.A nucleotide mismatch map was shown as a single peak.The genetic differentiation index FST of the population indicates a small degree of genetic differ-entiation of the population,while analysis of molecular vari-ance indicates that the variation within populations was greater than between populations.Phylogenetic tree and haplotype network plots showed confounding distributions between hap-lotypes.I.persulcatus from the Hinggan League and Hulun-buir regions can adapt to environmental changes and possess abundant genetic diversity.Genetic differentiation is mainly concentrated within the population and no geographical isolation was observed.
7.Evolutionary analysis of H9N2 subtype avian influenza virus in Shandong in 2020-2022
Ruixue XUE ; Haifeng SUN ; Linlin XING ; Zixin JIANG ; Yujie LI ; Feng CHEN ; Xiaoyue LIN ; Zouran LAN ; Yue ZHANG ; Guisheng WANG
Chinese Journal of Veterinary Science 2024;44(8):1611-1621
In order to understand the prevalence and genetic variation of H9N2 subtype avian influ-enza virus in Shandong,a total 492 tracheal and lung tissue samples collected from chicken farms with respiratory symptoms in partial areas in Shandong were detected by H9 subtype AIV real-time RT-PCR,and the positive samples were inoculated with chicken embryos for two generations.Whole genome sequences of the positive strains by applying Illumina Miaseq platform,and genetic evolution and mutation at positions associating with viral pathogenicity and transmissibility were analyzed.The results showed that there were 72 samples were positive for H9 subtype AIV among the 492 samples,with a positive rate of 14.63%.Thirty-four strains of H9 subtype AIV were ob-tained from the positive samples after passing through chicken embryo,meanwhile,the 34 isolates were all H9N2 subtype AIV by whole genome sequencing analysis.By analyzing the evolutionary tree of HA and NA genes,HA and NA genes of the 34 H9N2 AIV strains belonged to Y280-like branch and F/98-like branch,respectively.Meanwhile,based on above branches,there were obvious time node subbranch,which one was"isolates before 2013",another one was"isolates after 2013".The HA cleavage sites of thirty-four H9N2 strains were all 325PSRSSR↓GLF333,which met the se-quence characteristics of the lowly pathogenic avian influenza virus,and the HA receptor binding site 226 amino acid was leucine,which had the characteristics of blinding to a-2,6 mammalian sialic acid receptors.Among the internal amino acid sites that are key to mammalian adaptation,all strains had an I368V mutation in the PB1 gene that enhanced viral transmissibility in mammals and the PB2 genes of some strains were mutated to enhance the mammalian adaptation of I292 V and A588 V.The above results illustrated that the H9N2 subtype AIV gene segments in Shandong have different degrees of recombination and gene variation,so it is necessary to strengthen the monito-ring of virus variation.
8.Clinical Efficacy and Safety of Flumatinib in the Treatment of Patients with Newly Diagnosed Chronic Myeloid Leukemia in Chronic Phase
Qin LI ; Li JING ; Peng-Qiang WU ; Li-Ying HAN ; Hong-Yun XING ; Chun-Lan HUANG
Journal of Experimental Hematology 2024;32(1):14-19
Objective:To explore the clinical efficacy and safety of flumatinib mesylate produced in China in patients with newly diagnosed chronic myeloid leukemia in chronic phase(CML-CP).Methods:32 newly diagnosed CML-CP patients admitted to the Hematology Department of the Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University from March 1,2020 to March 31,2022,who had never received any tyrosine kinase inhibitor(TKI)were included in the study.The patients were treated by flumatinib mesylate 600mg once daily.The hematologic,cytogenetic and molecular responses were assessed at 3-,6-and 12-month,and adverse effects of the drug were evaluated.Results:31 patients were treated with flumatinib for≥3 months,of which 24 patients were treated for ≥ 6 months and 14 patients were treated for ≥ 12 months.At 3rd month of treatment,30 out of 31 patients achieved complete hematologic response(CHR);24 patients underwent cytogenetic testing and 22 cases achieved major cytogenetic response(MCyR),of which 21 cases achieved complete cytogenetic response(CCyR);Among 25 patients who underwent molecular testing,22 patients had BCR-ABLIS ≤ 10%,including 10 patients with BCR-ABLIS ≤ 0.1%,and 6 patients with BCR-ABLIS≤0.01%.At 6th month of treatment,23 out of 24 patients achieved CHR;17 patients underwent cytogenetic testing and all achieved CCyR;Among 23 patients who underwent molecular testing,20 patients had BCR-ABLIS ≤1%,including 16 patients with BCR-ABL1S≤0.1%and 12 patients with BCR-ABLIS ≤ 0.01%.At 12nd month of treatment,all 14 patients achieved CHR and CCyR;Among them,10 patients had BCR-ABLIS ≤ 0.1%,including 9 patients with BCR-ABLIS ≤ 0.01%.The grade Ⅲ/Ⅳ leukopenia,thrombocytopenia and anemia rates in the patients were 13.3%,20.0%and 3.3%,respectively.One patient stopped flumatinib therapy due to severe and persistent hematologic toxicity.The major non-hematologic adverse events were abnormal liver function(20%),diarrhea(10%),bone/joint pain(10%),muscle spasm(10%),rash(6.7%),acute kidney injury(6.7%)and nausea(3.3%),most of which were grade Ⅰ-Ⅱ.No patient experienced grade Ⅳnon-hematologic adverse events.No drug toxicity-related death occurred.Conclusion:Flumatinib mesglate,as the first-line treatment for newly diagnosed CML-CP,can enable the patients to achieve early and deep molecular and cytogenetic responses,and shows good safety.
9.Total body water percentage and 3rd space water are novel risk factors for training-related lower extremity muscle injuries in young males
Liang CHEN ; Ke-Xing JIN ; Jing YANG ; Jun-Jie OUYANG ; Han-Gang CHEN ; Si-Ru ZHOU ; Xiao-Qing LUO ; Mi LIU ; Liang KUANG ; Yang-Li XIE ; Yan HU ; Lin CHEN ; Zhen-Hong NI ; Xiao-Lan DU
Chinese Journal of Traumatology 2024;27(3):168-172
Purpose::To identify the risk factors for training-related lower extremity muscle injuries in young males by a non-invasive method of body composition analysis.Methods::A total of 282 healthy young male volunteers aged 18 -20 years participated in this cohort study. Injury location, degree, and injury rate were adjusted by a questionnaire based on the overuse injury assessment methods used in epidemiological studies of sports injuries. The occurrence of training injuries is monitored and diagnosed by physicians and treated accordingly. The body composition was measured using the BodyStat QuadScan 4000 multifrequency Bio-impedance system at 5, 50, 100 and 200 kHz to obtain 4 impedance values. The Shapiro-Wilk test was used to check whether the data conformed to a normal distribution. Data of normal distribution were shown as mean ± SD and analyzed by t-test, while those of non-normal distribution were shown as median (Q 1, Q 3) and analyzed by Wilcoxon rank sum test. The receiver operator characteristic curve and logistic regression analysis were performed to investigate risk factors for developing training-related lower extremity injuries and accuracy. Results::Among the 282 subjects, 78 (27.7%) developed training injuries. Lower extremity training injuries revealed the highest incidence, accounting for 23.4% (66 cases). These patients showed higher percentages of lean body mass ( p = 0.001), total body water (TBW, p=0.006), extracellular water ( p=0.020) and intracellular water ( p=0.010) as well as a larger ratio of basal metabolic rate/total weight ( p=0.006), compared with those without lower extremity muscle injuries. On the contrary, the percentage of body fat ( p=0.001) and body fat mass index ( p=0.002) were lower. Logistic regression analysis showed that TBW percentage > 65.35% ( p=0.050, odds ratio =3.114) and 3rd space water > 0.95% ( p=0.045, odds ratio =2.342) were independent risk factors for lower extremity muscle injuries. Conclusion::TBW percentage and 3rd space water measured with bio-impedance method are potential risk factors for predicting the incidence of lower extremity muscle injuries in young males following training.
10.A multicenter prospective study on early identification of refractory Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia in children
Dan XU ; Ailian ZHANG ; Jishan ZHENG ; Mingwei YE ; Fan LI ; Gencai QIAN ; Hongbo SHI ; Xiaohong JIN ; Lieping HUANG ; Jiangang MEI ; Guohua MEI ; Zhen XU ; Hong FU ; Jianjun LIN ; Hongzhou YE ; Yan ZHENG ; Lingling HUA ; Min YANG ; Jiangmin TONG ; Lingling CHEN ; Yuanyuan ZHANG ; Dehua YANG ; Yunlian ZHOU ; Huiwen LI ; Yinle LAN ; Yulan XU ; Jinyan FENG ; Xing CHEN ; Min GONG ; Zhimin CHEN ; Yingshuo WANG
Chinese Journal of Pediatrics 2024;62(4):317-322
Objective:To explore potential predictors of refractory Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia (RMPP) in early stage. Methods:The prospective multicenter study was conducted in Zhejiang, China from May 1 st, 2019 to January 31 st, 2020. A total of 1 428 patients with fever >48 hours to <120 hours were studied. Their clinical data and oral pharyngeal swab samples were collected; Mycoplasma pneumoniae DNA in pharyngeal swab specimens was detected. Patients with positive Mycoplasma pneumoniae DNA results underwent a series of tests, including chest X-ray, complete blood count, C-reactive protein, lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), and procalcitonin. According to the occurrence of RMPP, the patients were divided into two groups, RMPP group and general Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia (GMPP) group. Measurement data between the 2 groups were compared using Mann-Whitney U test. Logistic regression analyses were used to examine the associations between clinical data and RMPP. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to analyse the power of the markers for predicting RMPP. Results:A total of 1 428 patients finished the study, with 801 boys and 627 girls, aged 4.3 (2.7, 6.3) years. Mycoplasma pneumoniae DNA was positive in 534 cases (37.4%), of whom 446 cases (83.5%) were diagnosed with Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia, including 251 boys and 195 girls, aged 5.2 (3.3, 6.9) years. Macrolides-resistant variation was positive in 410 cases (91.9%). Fifty-five cases were with RMPP, 391 cases with GMPP. The peak body temperature before the first visit and LDH levels in RMPP patients were higher than that in GMPP patients (39.6 (39.1, 40.0) vs. 39.2 (38.9, 39.7) ℃, 333 (279, 392) vs. 311 (259, 359) U/L, both P<0.05). Logistic regression showed the prediction probability π=exp (-29.7+0.667×Peak body temperature (℃)+0.004×LDH (U/L))/(1+exp (-29.7+0.667×Peak body temperature (℃)+0.004 × LDH (U/L))), the cut-off value to predict RMPP was 0.12, with a consensus of probability forecast of 0.89, sensitivity of 0.89, and specificity of 0.67; and the area under ROC curve was 0.682 (95% CI 0.593-0.771, P<0.01). Conclusion:In MPP patients with fever over 48 to <120 hours, a prediction probability π of RMPP can be calculated based on the peak body temperature and LDH level before the first visit, which can facilitate early identification of RMPP.

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