1.Development of a nomogram-based risk prediction model for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease incidence in community-dwelling population aged 40 years and above in Shanghai
Yixuan ZHANG ; Yiling WU ; Jinxin ZANG ; Xuyan SU ; Xin YIN ; Jing LI ; Wei LUO ; Minjun YU ; Wei WANG ; Qi ZHAO ; Qin WANG ; Genming ZHAO ; Yonggen JIANG ; Na WANG
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;37(8):669-675
ObjectiveTo develop a nomogram-based risk prediction model for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) incidence among the community-dwelling population aged 40 years old and above, so as to provide targeted references for the screening and prevention of COPD. MethodsBased on a natural population cohort in suburban Shanghai, a total of 3 381 randomly selected participants aged ≥40 years underwent pulmonary function tests between July and October 2021. Cox stepwise regression analysis was used to develop overall and gender-specific risk prediction models, along with the construction of corresponding risk nomograms. Model predictive performance was evaluated using the C-indice, area under the curve (AUC) values, and Brier score. Stability was assessed through 10-fold cross-validation and sensitivity analysis. ResultsA total of 3 019 participants were included, with a median follow-up duration of 4.6 years. The COPD incidence density was 17.22 per 1 000 person-years, significantly higher in males (32.04/1 000 person-years) than that in females (7.38/1 000 person-years) (P<0.001). The overall risk prediction model included the variables such as gender, age, education level, BMI, smoking, passive smoking, and respiratory comorbidities. The male-specific model incorporated the variables such as age, BMI, respiratory comorbidities, and smoking, while the female-specific model included age, marital status, respiratory comorbidities, and pulmonary tuberculosis history. The C-indices for the overall, male-specific, and female-specific models were 0.829, 0.749, and 0.807, respectively. The 5-year AUC values were 0.785, 0.658, and 0.811, with Brier scores of 0.103, 0.176, and 0.059, respectively. Both 10-fold cross-validated C-indices and sensitivity analysis (excluding participants with a follow-up duration of <6 months) yielded C-indices were above 0.740. ConclusionThis study developed concise and practical overall and gender-specific COPD risk prediction models and corresponding nomograms. The models demonstrated robust performance in predicting COPD incidence, providing a valuable reference for identifying high-risk populations and formulating targeted screening and personalized management strategies.
2. Mechanism of ellagic acid improving cognitive dysfunction in APP/PS double transgenic mice based on PI3K/AKT/GSK-3β signaling pathway
Li-Li ZHONG ; Xin LU ; Ying YU ; Qin-Yan ZHAO ; Jing ZHANG ; Tong-Hui LIU ; Xue-Yan NI ; Li-Li ZHONG ; Yan-Ling CHE ; Dan WU ; Hong LIU
Chinese Pharmacological Bulletin 2024;40(1):90-98
Aim To investigate the effect of ellagic acid (EA) on cognitive function in APP/PS 1 double- transgenic mice, and to explore the regulatory mechanism of ellagic acid on the level of oxidative stress in the hippocampus of double-transgenic mice based on the phosphatidylinositol 3-kinase/protein kinase B/glycogen synthase kinase-3 (PI3K/AKT/GSK-3 β) signaling pathway. Methods Thirty-two SPF-grade 6-month-old APP/PS 1 double transgenic mice were randomly divided into four groups, namely, APP/PS 1 group, APP/PS1 + EA group, APP/PS1 + LY294002 group, APP/PS 1 + EA + LY294002 group, with eight mice in each group, and eight SPF-grade C57BL/6J wild type mice ( Wild type) were selected as the blank control group. The APP/PS 1 + EA group was given 50 mg · kg
3.Severity of loneliness and factors associated with social and emotional loneliness among the elderly in three districts in Shanghai
Yu-Wen ZHANG ; Ying WANG ; Zhao-Hua XIN ; Jia-Lie FANG ; Rui SONG ; Hao-Cen LI ; Jia-Wen KUANG ; Yu-Ting YANG ; Jing-Yi WANG
Fudan University Journal of Medical Sciences 2024;51(1):1-11
Objective To explore the severity of loneliness among the elderly in communities in Shanghai,and to identify factors associated with social and emotional loneliness respectively.Methods A cross-sectional study was conducted in older adults aged 65 years or above in Pudong New Area,Jing'an District and Huangpu District in Shanghai from Mar to Jun 2021.In Pudong New Area,multi-stage stratified random sampling was conducted based on the age and gender distribution of Shanghai,while in Huangpu District and Jing'an District convenience sampling was conducted.A total of 635 samples were included in the study.Loneliness was assessed using the De Jong Gierveld Loneliness Scale with social and emotional loneliness subscales.Logistic regression analyses were conducted to identify factors associated with social and emotional loneliness.Results Among the 635 participants,only 53 older adults(8.4%)were not lonely.Female(OR=0.46,95%CI:0.31-0.70),higher self-efficacy(OR=0.97,95%CI:0.94-1.00),more objective social support(OR=0.96,95%CI:0.93-0.99)were associated with less severe social loneliness.Meanwhile,higher level of education(secondary education,OR=0.56,95%CI:0.34-0.95;college or above,OR=0.30,95%CI:0.11-0.83)and higher self-efficacy(OR=0.96,95%CI:0.93-0.99)were associated with less severe emotional loneliness,while depression(OR=3.41,95%CI:1.76-6.60)and worse social capital(OR=2.02,95%CI:1.29-3.16)were associated with more severe emotional loneliness.Conclusion Up to 91.6%of the elderly in our study sample were moderately lonely or above.The factors associated with social loneliness include self-efficacy,gender and social support.The factors associated with emotional loneliness are self-efficacy,education level,depression,and social capital.
4.Lipid metabolomic changes in liver injury in BTBR ob/ob mice with type 2 diabetes mellitus
Mingyu Sun ; Wenjing Zhao ; Jing Xin ; Zhiguo Li ; Xiuli Xiuli1
Acta Universitatis Medicinalis Anhui 2024;59(1):77-85
Objective :
To investigate the changes of lipid biomarkers and lipid metabolic pathways related to liver injury in BTBR ob/ob mice with type 2 diabetes mellitus by biochemical and metabolomics methods.
Methods :
16 BTBR wild-type (WT) mice (WT group) and 14 BTBR ob/ob obese mice (ob / ob group) at 7 weeks of age were selected and fed in SPF environment until 20 weeks of age.Liver injury was compared between the two groups : The activities of mitochondrial respiratory enzyme complex in liver tissue were detected by high-resolution respirators,and the lipid metabolomic analysis of liver tissue samples in the two groups of mice was performed by ultra-perform- ance liquid chromatography-quadrupole time-of-flight mass spectrometry,mainly detecting endogenous metabolites. Principal component analysis (PCA) ,orthogonal partial least squares discriminant analysis ( OPLS-DA) and other models were used to screen potential biomarkers,and the metabolic pathway analysis of the identified metabolites was performed by MetaboAnalyst 5. 0 .
Results :
Compared with the WT group,the ob / ob group had significantly increased body weight,fasting blood glucose ,serum levels of aspartate aminotransferase ( AST) ,alanine amin- otransferase (ALT) ,low-density lipoprotein (LDL-C) and cholesterol ( CHO) (P<0. 01) .Liver hematoxylin-eo- sin staining (HE) staining showed that the mice in ob / ob group had structural disorder of liver lobules,swelling of liver cells ,a large number of fat vacuoles in cells ,diffuse distribution and loose cytoplasm. Oil red O staining showed that there was a large amount of lipid deposition in the hepatocytes ofob/ob mice.The high resolution spi- rometer showed that the ob/ob mice had mitochondrial oxidative phosphorylation disorder and the activity of complex Ⅳ decreased.Lipid metabolomic analysis showed that the lipid metabolic profile of ob/ob mice changed,and the metabolic pathways involved mainly included glycerophospholipid metabolism,glycosylphosphatidylinositol ( GPI) anchor biosynthesis,triglyceride metabolism,linoleic acid metabolism,α-linolenic acid metabolism and arachidon- ic acid metabolism.
Conclusion
The liver injury of ob / ob group mice may be related to the disorder of lipid me- tabolism,in which the disorder of glycerophospholipid metabolism is the most critical metabolic pathway.
5.Clinical characteristics of 6 cases of relapsing polychondritis in children with airway involvement
Guixiang WANG ; Fengzhen ZHANG ; Jing ZHAO ; Hongbin LI ; Qingchuan DUAN ; Jie ZHANG ; Caifeng LI ; Xin NI ; Hua WANG
Chinese Journal of Otorhinolaryngology Head and Neck Surgery 2024;59(11):1210-1215
Objective:To investigate the pathogenesis, clinical signs and diagnosing procedures of relapsing polychondritis(RP) in children with airway involvement.Methods:The medical history, clinical symptoms, physical examination, electronic laryngoscopy and imaging findings of six patients were retrospectively analyzed. The patients diagnosed as relapsing polychondritis with involving the airway from January 2018 to December 2021 were in our hospital. The clinical features of the 6 cases were summarized.Results:All 6 patients were male, ranging in age from 8 years 1 month to 14 years 1 month, with a median age of 12.04 years. Stridor and dyspnea were observed in all patients, with hoarseness in 2 patients and frequently nocturnal dyspnea during sleep in 2 patients. Initially, all children were diagnosed as laryngitis or laryngotracheitis, and were treated symptomatically with glucocorticoids and aerosol inhalation. Immunosuppressants and targeted therapy with biologics were given after patients diagnosed as RP. All patients were ultimately required tracheostomy. The time from the onset of airway symptoms to tracheostomy ranged from 1 month to 27 months. Two children had a history of endotracheal intubation prior to tracheostomy. All 6 patients underwent electronic laryngoscopy, revealing involvement of the laryngeal and subglottic mucosa and cartilage structures, which showed gradual improvement with medical therapy. Computed tomography (CT) of the trachea with three-dimensional reconstruction was performed in all patients, demonstrating moderate to severe subglottic stenosis. Two patients exhibited complete airway obstruction at the C4-C6 cervical level. Three children underwent suspension laryngoscopy under general anesthesia and endotracheal mucosal biopsy.Of the 6 children, 3 presented with nasal tip collapse or saddle nose, 2 had auricular cartilage changed, and 1 had scleralinvolvement. One patient underwent PET-CT scanning, which revealed tracheal collapse, diffuse increase in FDG(Flurodeoxyglucose)metabolism with increased FDG uptake in the nasal alar regions. All children were followed up for 2-3 years, 1 child died, while the remaining five continued to receive medical treatment.Conclusions:Relapsing polychondritis with airway involvement has an insidious onset and is difficult to diagnose. The airway stenosisresulting from RP is always severe and necessitating tracheotomy to maintain airway patency in the majority of cases.The treatment coursef or RP is prolonged, requiring long-term tracheostomy tube placement.
6.Species-level Microbiota of Biting Midges and Ticks from Poyang Lake
Jian GONG ; Fei Fei WANG ; Qing Yang LIU ; Ji PU ; Zhi Ling DONG ; Hui Si ZHANG ; Zhou Zhen HUANG ; Yuan Yu HUANG ; Ben Ya LI ; Xin Cai YANG ; Meihui Yuan TAO ; Jun Li ZHAO ; Dong JIN ; Yun Li LIU ; Jing YANG ; Shan LU
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2024;37(3):266-277,中插1-中插3
Objective The purpose of this study was to investigate the bacterial communities of biting midges and ticks collected from three sites in the Poyang Lake area,namely,Qunlu Practice Base,Peach Blossom Garden,and Huangtong Animal Husbandry,and whether vectors carry any bacterial pathogens that may cause diseases to humans,to provide scientific basis for prospective pathogen discovery and disease prevention and control. Methods Using a metataxonomics approach in concert with full-length 16S rRNA gene sequencing and operational phylogenetic unit(OPU)analysis,we characterized the species-level microbial community structure of two important vector species,biting midges and ticks,including 33 arthropod samples comprising 3,885 individuals,collected around Poyang Lake. Results A total of 662 OPUs were classified in biting midges,including 195 known species and 373 potentially new species,and 618 OPUs were classified in ticks,including 217 known species and 326 potentially new species.Surprisingly,OPUs with potentially pathogenicity were detected in both arthropod vectors,with 66 known species of biting midges reported to carry potential pathogens,including Asaia lannensis and Rickettsia bellii,compared to 50 in ticks,such as Acinetobacter lwoffii and Staphylococcus sciuri.We found that Proteobacteria was the most dominant group in both midges and ticks.Furthermore,the outcomes demonstrated that the microbiota of midges and ticks tend to be governed by a few highly abundant bacteria.Pantoea sp7 was predominant in biting midges,while Coxiella sp1 was enriched in ticks.Meanwhile,Coxiella spp.,which may be essential for the survival of Haemaphysalis longicornis Neumann,were detected in all tick samples.The identification of dominant species and pathogens of biting midges and ticks in this study serves to broaden our knowledge associated to microbes of arthropod vectors. Conclusion Biting midges and ticks carry large numbers of known and potentially novel bacteria,and carry a wide range of potentially pathogenic bacteria,which may pose a risk of infection to humans and animals.The microbial communities of midges and ticks tend to be dominated by a few highly abundant bacteria.
7.Study on the association of diet pattern with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in population aged 40 years and above in Songjiang District, Shanghai
Xinyue PANG ; Jianguo YU ; Xin YIN ; Zhongxing SUN ; Xing LIU ; Jing LI ; Yiling WU ; Qi ZHAO ; Yonggen JIANG ; Genming ZHAO ; Na WANG ; Qingwu JIANG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2024;45(12):1649-1657
Objective:To explore the incidence of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) in a cohort aged 40 years and above in Songjiang District, Shanghai, and to analyze the association of Mediterranean diet pattern and dietary approaches in stopping hypertension pattern (DASH) with the risk of developing COPD.Methods:Based on a natural population cohort in Songjiang District, Shanghai, 27 474 adults aged 40 years and above who did not have COPD at baseline were enrolled in the study. The Cox proportional risk regression model was used to analyze the association of baseline Mediterranean diet pattern score and DASH score with the risk of COPD, and the hazard ratio ( HR) of the risk and its 95% CI were calculated. Restricted cubic spline was used to analyze the nonlinear association between the two diet scores and the risk of COPD. Stratified analyses were performed according to gender, age, smoking status, etcetera. Sensitivity analyses were conducted by censoring cases diagnosed within one year after the baseline survey or people with a history of malignant tumor disease. Results:As of June 30, 2023, after a median follow-up time of 6.21 years, there were 1 089 (4.0%) new COPD cases with an incidence density of 64.00 per 10 000 person-years. After adjusting for relevant confounders, in the Mediterranean tertile subgroups under diet pattern score, the risk of developing COPD could be reduced by approximately 14% in the intermediate scoring group ( HR=0.86, 95% CI: 0.75-0.99) and 15% in the highest scoring group ( HR=0.85, 95% CI: 0.72-0.99) compared to the lowest scoring group. The association remained after censoring cases diagnosed within one year of the baseline survey ( HR=0.82, 95% CI: 0.70-0.95; HR=0.82, 95% CI: 0.68-0.97) or censoring people with a history of malignant tumor disease ( HR=0.84, 95% CI: 0.73-0.97; HR=0.84, 95% CI: 0.71-0.99). No statistical association was found between the DASH score and the risk of COPD. Conclusions:The Mediterranean diet pattern was associated with a lower risk of COPD. Increasing the intake of vegetables, fruits, legumes, and whole grains and decreasing the intake of red meat and others can reduce the risk of COPD. No association was found between the DASH dietary pattern and the risk of COPD in this community population.
8.Efficacy of different questionnaires in screening COPD in the communities of Songjiang District, Shanghai
Xin YIN ; Yiling WU ; Shanshan HOU ; Jing LI ; Wei LUO ; Minjun YU ; Jinxin ZANG ; Wei WANG ; Xuyan SU ; Qi ZHAO ; Yinfeng ZHU ; Genming ZHAO ; Yonggen JIANG ; Qingwu JIANG ; Na WANG
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2024;36(4):386-392
ObjectiveTo evaluate the efficacy of three screening questionnaires for COPD in the community residents of Songjiang District, Shanghai, and to provide a basis for selecting COPD screening questionnaire and process that are more suitable. MethodsCommunity residents aged 40 years or over were randomly selected from the Shanghai Suburban Adult Cohort and Biobank for the study with screening questionnaires and spirometry. Questionnaires included the COPD screening questionnaire (COPD-SQ), the COPD population screener (COPD-PS) and the revised COPD diagnostic questionnaire (revised-CDQ). Evaluation of the efficacy of these questionnaires was based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of the subjects. DeLong test was used to compare the accuracy of different questionnaires; Z test was used to compare the accuracy of different cut-off values for the same questionnaire. ResultsAmong 3 184 community residents, a total of 259 (8.1%) COPD patients were screened by spirometry. AUC values of these 3 screening questionnaires were >0.7 indicating that they were reliable COPD screening tools. The sensitivity and specificity of the questionnaires at the recommended cut-off values were COPD-SQ (63.7% and 72.2%), COPD-PS (12.0% and 96.1%), and revised CDQ (78.8% and 52.7%), with the COPD-SQ having the highest screening accuracy (AUC=0.754). The optimal and recommended cut-off values for the three questionnaires differed in this population, but the difference in accuracy was statistically significant only for COPD-PS. The optimal cut-off values for the three questionnaires differed between male and female, and the sensitivity and accuracy of COPD-SQ and COPD-PS improved when lower cut-off values were used for women. The AUC was greater when two questionnaires were utilized simultaneously for screening, but the differences were not statistically significant. ConclusionThe COPD-SQ is recommended for primary COPD screening; a lower cut-off value for women should be considered. The COPD screening questionnaire needs to be further improved for the early diagnosis and treatment of COPD patients.
9.Synthesis and antitumor activity of heteroatom-substituted azulenes derivatives of 1,2-benzothiazine
Xiaomei ZHAO ; Xin WANG ; Xia JI ; Jing ZHANG ; Hua ZHANG ; Guoqiang HU
Journal of China Pharmaceutical University 2024;55(5):634-638
Using methylated pyrroloxicam as a starting material and following the principles of drug design such as bioisosterism and active site binding,we designed and synthesized ten structurally novel target compounds,whose structures were characterized by 1H NMR and MS analysis.The in vitro antitumor activity of these title compounds was evaluated by measuring their inhibitory activity against pancreatic cancer cells Capan-1,leukemia cells L1210,and human liver cancer cells SMMC-7721.The results showed that compound 6f(IC50=4.8±0.5 μmol/L)exhibited good inhibitory activity against Capan-1 pancreatic cancer cells,that compound 6b(IC50=2.6±0.3 μmol/L)showed good inhibitory activity against L1210 leukemia cells,and that compound 6c(IC50=2.1±0.2 μmol/L)displayed good inhibitory activity against SMMC-7721 human liver cancer cells.These preliminary results from the antitumor activity experiments suggest that the introduction of benzothiazine derivatives plays a certain role in enhancing the antitumor activity of this class of compounds.
10.Application of Global Leadership Initiative on Malnutrition criteria in patients with liver cirrhosis
Minjie JIANG ; Juan CHEN ; Muchen WU ; Jing WU ; Xiaotong XU ; Juan LI ; Can LIU ; Yaping ZHAO ; Xin HUA ; Qinghua MENG
Chinese Medical Journal 2024;137(1):97-104
Background::The Global Leadership Initiative on Malnutrition (GLIM) criteria were published to build a global consensus on nutritional diagnosis. Reduced muscle mass is a phenotypic criterion with strong evidence to support its inclusion in the GLIM consensus criteria. However, there is no consensus regarding how to accurately measure and define reduced muscle mass in clinical settings. This study aimed to investigate the optimal reference values of skeletal muscle mass index for diagnosing sarcopenia and GLIM-defined malnutrition, as well as the prevalence of GLIM-defined malnutrition in hospitalized cirrhotic patients.Methods::This retrospective study was conducted on 1002 adult patients with liver cirrhosis between January 1, 2018, and February 28, 2022, at Beijing You-An Hospital, Capital Medical University. Adult patients with a clinical diagnosis of liver cirrhosis and who underwent an abdominal computed tomography (CT) examination during hospitalization were included in the study. These patients were randomly divided into a modeling group (cohort 1, 667 patients) and a validation group (cohort 2, 335 patients). In cohort 1, optimal cut-off values of skeletal muscle index at the third lumbar skeletal muscle index (L3-SMI) were determined using receiver operating characteristic analyses against in-hospital mortality in different gender groups. Next, patients in cohort 2 were screened for nutritional risk using the Nutritional Risk Screening 2002 (NRS-2002), and malnutrition was diagnosed by GLIM criteria. Additionally, the reference values of reduced muscle mass in GLIM criteria were derived from the L3-SMI values from cohort 1. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to analyze the association between GLIM-defined malnutrition and clinical outcomes.Results::The optimal cut-off values of L3-SMI were 39.50 cm 2/m 2 for male patients and 33.06 cm 2/m 2 for female patients. Based on the cut-off values, 31.63% (68/215) of the male patients and 23.3% (28/120) of the female patients had CT-determined sarcopenia in cohort 2. The prevalence of GLIM-defined malnutrition in cirrhotic patients was 34.3% (115/335) and GLIM-defined malnutrition was an independent risk factor for in-hospital mortality in patients with liver cirrhosis ( Wald = 6.347, P = 0.012). Conclusions::This study provided reference values for skeletal muscle mass index and the prevalence of GLIM-defined malnutrition in hospitalized patients with liver cirrhosis. These reference values will contribute to applying the GLIM criteria in cirrhotic patients.


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