1.Causes and global, regional, and national burdens of traumatic brain injury from 1990 to 2019
Xiao-Fei HUANG ; Shuai-Feng MA ; Xu-Heng JIANG ; Ren-Jie SONG ; Mo LI ; Ji ZHANG ; Tian-Jing SUN ; Quan HU ; Wen-Rui WANG ; An-Yong YU ; He LI
Chinese Journal of Traumatology 2024;27(6):311-322
Purpose::Traumatic brain injury (TBI), currently a major global public health problem, imposes a significant economic burden on society and families. We aimed to quantify and predict the incidence and severity of TBI by analyzing its incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability (YLDs). The epidemiological changes in TBI from 1990 to 2019 were described and updated to provide a reference for developing prevention, treatment, and incidence-reducing measures for TBI.Methods::A secondary analysis was performed on the incidence, prevalence, and YLDs of TBI by sex, age group, and region ( n =21,204 countries and territories) between 1990 and 2019 using the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2019. Proportions in the age-standardized incidence rate due to underlying causes of TBI and proportions of minor and moderate or severe TBI were also reported. Results::In 2019, there were 27.16 million (95% uncertainty intervals ( UI): 23.36 -31.42) new cases of TBI worldwide, with age-standardized incidence and prevalence rates of 346 per 100,000 population (95% UI: 298 -401) and 599 per 100,000 population (95% UI: 573 -627), respectively. From 1990 to 2019, there were no significant trends in global age-standardized incidence (estimated annual percentage changes: -0.11%, 95% UI: -0.18% --0.04%) or prevalence (estimated annual percentage changes: 0.01%, 95% UI: -0.04% -0.06%). TBI caused 7.08 million (95% UI: 5.00 -9.59) YLDs in 2019, with age-standardized rates of 86.5 per 100,000 population (95% UI: 61.1 -117.2). In 2019, the countries with higher incidence rates were mainly distributed in Central Europe, Eastern Europe, and Australia. The 2019 global age-standardized incidence rate was higher in males than in females. The 2019 global incidence of moderate and severe TBI was 182.7 per 100,000 population, accounting for 52.8% of all TBI, with falls and road traffic injuries being the main causes in most regions. Conclusions::The incidence of moderate and severe TBI was slightly higher in 2019, and TBI still accounts for a significant portion of the global injury burden. The likelihood of moderate to severe TBI and the trend of major injury under each injury cause from 1990 to 2019 and the characteristics of injury mechanisms in each age group are presented, providing a basis for further research on injury causes in each age group and the future establishment of corresponding policies and protective measures.
2.Pathological features and immune microenvironment in HER-2 intratumoral heterogeneous breast cancers.
Yi Ling YANG ; Yuan Ming SONG ; Hui Qin XUE ; Hui SUN ; Ya Qing LI ; Xiao Long QIAN ; Jiao JIAO ; Kun Peng LI ; Heng ZHANG ; Xiao Jing GUO
Chinese Journal of Oncology 2023;45(2):165-169
Objective: To observe the clinical pathology features, and immune microenvironment of HER-2 intratumoral heterogeneity breast cancer. Methods: Thirty cases of HER-2 intratumoral heterogeneous breast cancer were retrospectively analyzed in Tianjin Medical University Cancer Institute and Hospital from November 2017 to June 2020. HER-2 expression was detected by immunohistochemistry and verified by dual color silver-enhanced in-situ hybridization (D-SISH). HER-2 intratumoral positive and negative regions were divided. The pathological characteristics, subtype, and the level of tumor infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs) and the expression of programmed cell death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) were evaluated respectively. Results: The proportion of HER-2 positive cells of the breast cancer ranged from 10% to 90%. The pathological type was mainly invasive non-special typecarcinoma. Six cases presented different pathological types between HER-2 positive and negative regions. The HER-2-positive areas included 2 cases of carcinoma with apocrine differentiation, and the negative areas included 2 cases of invasive micropapillary carcinoma, 1 case of invasive papillary carcinoma, and 1 case of carcinoma with apocrine differentiation. In HER-2 positive regions, 17 cases were Luminal B and 13 cases were HER-2 overexpressed types. There were 22 cases of Luminal B and 8 cases of triple negative tumors in the HER-2 negative areas. The levels of TILs in HER-2 positive and negative areas accounted for 53.3% (16/30) and 26.7% (8/30), respectively, with a statistically significant difference (P=0.035). The positive expression of PD-L1 in HER-2 positive area and HER-2 negative area were 6 cases and 9 cases, respectively. Among 8 cases with HER-2 negative regions containing triple negative components, 4 cases were positive for PD-L1 expression. Conclusions: In the case of HER-2 intratumoral heterogeneity, it is necessary to pay attention to both HER-2 positive and negative regions, and evaluate subtype separately as far as possible. For HER-2 intratumoral heterogeneous breast cancer containing triple negative components, the treatment mode can be optimized by refining the intratumoral expression of PD-L1.
Humans
;
Female
;
Breast Neoplasms/pathology*
;
Retrospective Studies
;
B7-H1 Antigen/metabolism*
;
Lymphocytes, Tumor-Infiltrating/pathology*
;
Carcinoma
;
Tumor Microenvironment
;
Triple Negative Breast Neoplasms/pathology*
;
Prognosis
;
Biomarkers, Tumor/metabolism*
3.A prospective study of the perforator evaluation and eccentric design of anterolateral thigh flap based on superficial fascial perforators assisted by modified computed tomography angiography.
Yue Heng ZHANG ; Wen Ju CUI ; Kun Xiu SONG ; Le Gang SUN ; Fang WANG ; Xiao Zhi LIU ; Zhi Yang DENG ; Zhi Qiang ZHANG ; Yong Tao LIU
Chinese Journal of Burns 2023;39(2):141-149
Objective: To explore the preoperative whole perforator evaluation and intraoperative eccentric design of anterolateral thigh flap (ALTF) based on superficial fascial perforators by modified computed tomography angiography (CTA), and the clinical effects were observed. Methods: A prospective observational study was adopted. Twelve patients with oral and maxillofacial tumors and 10 patients with open injury of the upper limb with large soft tissue defects were hospitalized in the Department of Hand & Microsurgery and Department of Oral & Maxillofacial Surgery of Affiliated Hospital of Binzhou Medical University from January 2021 to July 2022, with 12 males and 10 females, aged from 33 to 75 years, an average age of 56.6 years. The wounds of the patients with oral and maxillofacial tumors were reconstructed by ALTF after the extensive tumor resection and radical cervical lymph node dissection in the same stage; the wounds of the patients with skin and soft tissue defect on the upper limb were covered by ALTF in stage Ⅱ after debridement in stage Ⅰ. After debridement, the area of wound was 3.5 cm×3.5 cm-25.0 cm×10.0 cm and the area of the required flap area was 4.0 cm×4.0 cm-23.0 cm×13.0 cm. Modified CTA scan was performed on the donor site of ALTF before the operation, with the parameters of modified CTA being set to mainly reduce the tube voltage and tube current, and increase the contrast dose and the dual phase scan. The acquired image data were sent to GE AW 4.7 workstation and adopted the volume reconstruction function for visual reconstruction and evaluation of the whole perforator. The information of perforator and source artery was marked on the body surface before operation according to the above evaluation. During the operation, an eccentric flap centered on the visible superficial fascia whole perforator was designed and cut according to the desired flap area and shape. The donor sites of the flap were repaired by direct sutures or full-thickness skin grafts. The total radiation dose was compared between the modified CTA scan and the traditional CTA scan. The distribution of outlet point of perforator of double thighs, the length and direction of superficial fascia perforators based modified CTA were recorded. The type, number, and origin of the target perforator, distribution of of outlet point of perforator, and the diameter, course, and branch of the source artery observed before the operation were compared with those observed during the operation. The healing of donor site wound and the survival of flaps in recipient site were observed after operation. The texture and appearance of flap, oral and upper limb functions, and the functions of femoral donor sites were followed up. Results: The total radiation dose of modified CTA scan was lower than that of the traditional CTA scan. A total of 48 perforators of double thighs were observed, among which, 31 (64.6%) perforators went outward and downward, 9 (18.8%) perforators went inward and downward, 6 (12.5%) perforators went outward and upward, and 2 (4.2%) perforators went inward and upward, and the average length of superficial fascia perforators was 19.94 mm. The preoperative observed type, number, and source of the perforator, the distribution of the outlet point of the perforator, diameter, course, and branches of the source artery were basically consistent with the intraoperative exploration. The types of 15 septocutaneous (including musculoseptocutaneous) perforators and 10 musculocutaneous perforators observed before the operation was consistent with intraoperative exploration. The distance between the mark of the surface perforator point and the actual exit point of the perforator during operation was (0.38±0.11) mm. All flaps survived without vascular crisis. The donor site wounds of 5 cases of skin grafting and 17 cases of direct suturing wounds healed well. The postoperative follow-up was 2 months to 1 year, with an average of 8.2 months, the flaps were soft and slightly bloated; the function of diet and mouth closing was accessible in patients with oral and maxillofacial tumors, the speech function was mildly impaired in patients with tongue cancer, but they could complete basic oral communication; the wrist and elbow joints and forearm rotation function were not significantly limited in patients with upper limb soft tissue injuries; there was no obvious tightness in the donor sites, and the function of the hip and knee joints was not limited. Conclusions: The whole perforator and even the subcutaneous perforator of the donor site of ALTF can be evaluated by modified CTA, and the flap can be used in oral or maxillofacial reconstruction and repair of skin and soft tissue defects of upper limbs to achieve good results. By clarifying the type, number, and source of the perforator, the distribution of the outlet point of the perforator, diameter, course, and branches of the source artery before the operation, the eccentric design of the ALTF based on the superficial fascia perforator was realized. This study has strong guiding value.
Female
;
Male
;
Humans
;
Middle Aged
;
Adult
;
Aged
;
Thigh
;
Computed Tomography Angiography
;
Prospective Studies
;
Subcutaneous Tissue
;
Tomography, X-Ray Computed
4.Insomnia Burden among Informal Caregivers of Hospitalized Lung Cancer Patients and Its Influencing Factors.
Chun Yan LI ; Yu Jian SONG ; Lan ZHAO ; Mu Hong DENG ; Rui Xin LI ; Xiao Ling ZHANG ; Qiong Xuan LI ; Ying SHI ; Heng Yu LUAN ; Yuan Yuan SUN ; Yi HU ; Xiao Yong SAI
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2023;36(8):715-724
OBJECTIVE:
This study aimed to reveal the insomnia burden and relevant influencing factors among informal caregivers (ICs) of hospitalized patients with lung cancer.
METHODS:
A cross-sectional study on ICs of hospitalized patients with lung cancer was conducted from December 31, 2020 to December 31, 2021. ICs' burden was assessed using the Caregiver Reaction Assessment (CRA), Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (HADS), and Insomnia Severity Index (ISI). Linear and logistic regression models were used to identify the influencing factors.
RESULTS:
Among 289 ICs of hospitalized patients with lung cancer, 83 (28.72%), 53 (18.34%), and 14 (4.84%) ICs experienced mild, moderate, and severe insomnia, respectively. The scores concerning self-esteem, lack of family support, financial problems, disturbed schedule, and health problems were 4.32 ± 0.53, 2.24 ± 0.79, 2.84 ± 1.14, 3.63 ± 0.77, and 2.44 ± 0.95, respectively. ICs with higher Activities of Daily Living Scale (ADLS) scores were associated with a lower risk of insomnia, with an odd ratio ( OR) and 95% confidence interval ( CI) of 0.940 (0.898-0.983). Among the ICs, female gender ( OR = 2.597), alcohol consumption ( OR = 3.745), underlying medical conditions ( OR = 11.765), long-term caregiving experience ( OR = 37.037), and higher monthly expenses ( OR = 5.714) were associated with a high risk of insomnia.
CONCLUSION
Of the hospitalized patients with lung cancer, 51.9% experienced insomnia. Patients' ADL, ICs gender, alcohol consumption, underlying medical conditions, caregiving duration, and monthly expenses were influencing factors. Therefore, prompt screening and early intervention for ICs of patients with lung cancer is necessary.
Humans
;
Female
;
Caregivers
;
Activities of Daily Living
;
Cross-Sectional Studies
;
Sleep Initiation and Maintenance Disorders/epidemiology*
;
Lung Neoplasms/epidemiology*
5.Relationship between promoting effect of Zuogui Pills on angiogenesis of reproductive organs and mobilization factors GM-CSF, SDF-1, and their receptors of EPCs in early-aging rats.
Qian-Qian SONG ; Heng DUAN ; Wan-Chun PENG ; Xiao-Jing WEI
China Journal of Chinese Materia Medica 2023;48(16):4467-4474
This study aimed to investigate the relationship between the promoting effect of Zuogui Pills on ovarian and vaginal angiogenesis in early-aging rats and mobilization factors granulocyte-macrophage colony-stimulating factor(GM-CSF), stromal cell-derived factor-1(SDF-1), and their receptors of endothelial progenitor cells(EPCs) and explore the mechanism of Zuogui Pills in improving reproductive hypofunction in early-aging rats. Ultra-high performance liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry(UHPLC-MS/MS) was used to analyze the chemical components of the extract of Zuogui Pills. Forty 14-month-old female early-aging rats with estrous cycle disorder were randomly divided into a blank group, a conjugated estrogen group(conjugated estrogen suspension, 65 μg·kg~(-1)), and low-(11 g·kg~(-1)) and high-dose(33 g·kg~(-1)) Zuogui Pills groups, with 10 rats in each group. In addition, 10 4-month-old female rats were assigned to the youth control group. The rats in the blank group and the youth control group were treated with 20 g·kg~(-1) distilled water by gavage, while those in the groups with drug intervention were treated with corresponding drugs by gavage, once a day for 15 days. Enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay(ELISA) was used to detect the levels of SDF-1 and GM-CSF in the mobilization of EPCs in serum. Hematoxylin-eosin(HE) staining was used to observe the changes in the number of ovarian follicles at all levels and corpus luteum, the number of vaginal epithelial layers, the number of vaginal folds, and the blood vessels of ovarian and vaginal tissues in the groups with drug intervention. Western blot was used to detect the expression of ER, GM-CSFR, CXCR4, and CXCR7 proteins in ovarian and vaginal tissues. As revealed by the results, the blank group showed decreased number of corpus luteum, gro-wing follicles at all levels, and blood vessels(P<0.05), decreased thickness of vaginal mucosa, the number of epithelial layers, the number of vaginal folds, and the number of vessels in the lamina propria(P<0.05), reduced content of SDF-1 and GM-CSF in the peripheral blood(P<0.05), and down-regulated levels of ER, CXCR4, CXCR7, and GM-CSFR proteins in ovarian and vaginal tissues(P<0.05). The groups with drug intervention showed increased number of growing follicles at all levels, corpus luteum, and blood vessels(P<0.05), decreased number of atresia follicles(P<0.05), increased thickness of vaginal mucosa, the number of epithelial layers, the number of vaginal mucosal folds, and the number of blood vessels in the lamina propria(P<0.05), increased content of SDF-1 and GM-CSF in the peripheral blood(P<0.05), and up-regulated levels of ER, CXCR4, CXCR7, and GM-CSFR proteins in ovarian and vaginal tissues(P<0.05). This experiment suggests that Zuogui Pills may promote ovarian and vaginal angiogenesis and improve the reproductive function of early-aging rats by up-regulating the levels of mobilization factors SDF-1, GM-CSF, and their receptors of EPCs.
Rats
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Female
;
Animals
;
Granulocyte-Macrophage Colony-Stimulating Factor
;
Estrogens, Conjugated (USP)
;
Tandem Mass Spectrometry
;
Aging
;
Genitalia
6.Expert consensus on late stage of critical care management.
Bo TANG ; Wen Jin CHEN ; Li Dan JIANG ; Shi Hong ZHU ; Bin SONG ; Yan Gong CHAO ; Tian Jiao SONG ; Wei HE ; Yang LIU ; Hong Min ZHANG ; Wen Zhao CHAI ; Man hong YIN ; Ran ZHU ; Li Xia LIU ; Jun WU ; Xin DING ; Xiu Ling SHANG ; Jun DUAN ; Qiang Hong XU ; Heng ZHANG ; Xiao Meng WANG ; Qi Bing HUANG ; Rui Chen GONG ; Zun Zhu LI ; Mei Shan LU ; Xiao Ting WANG
Chinese Journal of Internal Medicine 2023;62(5):480-493
We wished to establish an expert consensus on late stage of critical care (CC) management. The panel comprised 13 experts in CC medicine. Each statement was assessed based on the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation (GRADE) principle. Then, the Delphi method was adopted by 17 experts to reassess the following 28 statements. (1) ESCAPE has evolved from a strategy of delirium management to a strategy of late stage of CC management. (2) The new version of ESCAPE is a strategy for optimizing treatment and comprehensive care of critically ill patients (CIPs) after the rescue period, including early mobilization, early rehabilitation, nutritional support, sleep management, mental assessment, cognitive-function training, emotional support, and optimizing sedation and analgesia. (3) Disease assessment to determine the starting point of early mobilization, early rehabilitation, and early enteral nutrition. (4) Early mobilization has synergistic effects upon the recovery of organ function. (5) Early functional exercise and rehabilitation are important means to promote CIP recovery, and gives them a sense of future prospects. (6) Timely start of enteral nutrition is conducive to early mobilization and early rehabilitation. (7) The spontaneous breathing test should be started as soon as possible, and a weaning plan should be selected step-by-step. (8) The waking process of CIPs should be realized in a planned and purposeful way. (9) Establishment of a sleep-wake rhythm is the key to sleep management in post-CC management. (10) The spontaneous awakening trial, spontaneous breathing trial, and sleep management should be carried out together. (11) The depth of sedation should be adjusted dynamically in the late stage of CC period. (12) Standardized sedation assessment is the premise of rational sedation. (13) Appropriate sedative drugs should be selected according to the objectives of sedation and drug characteristics. (14) A goal-directed minimization strategy for sedation should be implemented. (15) The principle of analgesia must be mastered first. (16) Subjective assessment is preferred for analgesia assessment. (17) Opioid-based analgesic strategies should be selected step-by-step according to the characteristics of different drugs. (18) There must be rational use of non-opioid analgesics and non-drug-based analgesic measures. (19) Pay attention to evaluation of the psychological status of CIPs. (20) Cognitive function in CIPs cannot be ignored. (21) Delirium management should be based on non-drug-based measures and rational use of drugs. (22) Reset treatment can be considered for severe delirium. (23) Psychological assessment should be conducted as early as possible to screen-out high-risk groups with post-traumatic stress disorder. (24) Emotional support, flexible visiting, and environment management are important components of humanistic management in the intensive care unit (ICU). (25) Emotional support from medical teams and families should be promoted through"ICU diaries"and other forms. (26) Environmental management should be carried out by enriching environmental content, limiting environmental interference, and optimizing the environmental atmosphere. (27) Reasonable promotion of flexible visitation should be done on the basis of prevention of nosocomial infection. (28) ESCAPE is an excellent project for late stage of CC management.
Humans
;
Consensus
;
Critical Care/methods*
;
Intensive Care Units
;
Pain/drug therapy*
;
Analgesics/therapeutic use*
;
Delirium/therapy*
;
Critical Illness
7. A Compound Stomachache Capsules Against Prostate Cancer by Targeting Phosphorylated AKT1
Jia YU ; Sha CHENG ; Heng LUO ; Jia YU ; Sha CHENG ; Heng LUO ; Yu SONG ; Xiao-Qing WAN ; Ying-Jiang XU
Chinese Journal of Biochemistry and Molecular Biology 2023;39(11):1606-1619
The development of anticancer drugs targeting AKT1 has been reported in a variety of cancers, but there are few related studies on Chinese medicinals targeting AKT1- In this study, Compound stomachache capsules (CSC) was used for inhibiting prostate cancer (PC) cells growth by targeting AKT1 in vitro and in vivo. Through mass spectrum, target prediction and bioinformatics analysis, it is found that 37 of CSC compounds have anticancer activity, and 6 compounds such as (+)-Magnoflorine, 7-hydroxycoumarin may be their main active components against prostate cancer- The results showed that CSC had significant in vitro inhibition on the growth of prostate cancer cells (P<0- 01), and the growth inhibition rate of PC3 cells reached about 35% at 80 μg/ mL- CSC also increased ROS production, and significantly promoted apoptosis (P <0- 01) and G
8.Preliminary survey report on the clinical validation of in-use electronic sphygmomanometers in China.
Xiang Hui ZHANG ; Yu Qing ZHANG ; Rong HU ; Ping SONG ; Xu HAN ; Shu Lin WEN ; Heng GUO ; Lin CHEN ; Shao Bo XIAO ; Yang Feng WU
Chinese Journal of Cardiology 2023;51(4):407-414
Objective: To explore the percentage of in-use electronic sphygmomanometers independently validated clinically in China. Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional survey and Beijing, Shenzhen, Shijiazhuang, Datong, and Shihezi were selected according to the geographical location and economic level. In each site, one tertiary hospital, two community health centers, and 20 families with electronic sphygmomanometers in use were chosen. The information of electronic sphygmomanometers including brand, model, manufacturer and production date were obtained by the trained staff. Ten electronic sphygmomanometers from each hospital, five electronic sphygmomanometers from each community health center, and one electronic sphygmomanometer from each family were surveyed, and the user's subjective judgment results and judgment basis on the accuracy of the electronic sphygmomanometer measurement were collected. We searched six registration websites (Medaval, Stride BP, dabl Educational Trust, British and Irish Hypertension Society, American Medical Association and Hypertension Canada) and two research databases (PubMed and CNKI) for the clinical validation status of each electronic sphygmomanometer. Results: A total of 200 electronic sphygmomanometers were investigated in this study, of which only 29.0% (58/200) passed independent clinical validation. When stratified by users, the percentage of being clinical validated was 46.0% (23/50) for electronic sphygmomanometers in hospitals, 42.0% (21/50) for those in community health centers and 14.0% (14/100) for those in home use, respectively, and the proportions between the three groups were significantly difference (P<0.001). Doctors in tertiary hospitals and community health service centers judged the accuracy of electronic sphygmomanometers mainly on the basis of "regular correction" (41.0% (41/100)) and "comparison with other electronic sphygmomanometers" (20.0% (20/100)), while among home users, 41.0% (41/100) were not clear about the accuracy of electronic sphygmomanometers, and 40.0% (40/100) made the judgment by "comparison with the devices in hospitals". Conclusion: The clinical validation of in-use electronic sphygmomanometers in China is low. Most of users, including healthcare professionals, are not aware of clinical validation of electronic sphygmomanometers.
Humans
;
Blood Pressure Determination
;
Cross-Sectional Studies
;
Sphygmomanometers
;
Hypertension/diagnosis*
;
China
;
Electronics
;
Blood Pressure
9.Difference between prostate cancer patients'Gleason scores from preoperative biopsy and those from postoperative pathology
Xiao-Dong ZHAO ; You-Huang LIU ; Jun HU ; Zu-Heng WANG ; Xiao-Xu JIN ; Meng-Fei MA ; Yu-Lin ZHOU ; Yu-Hao CHEN ; Jie CAO ; Jie DONG ; Song XU
National Journal of Andrology 2023;29(5):393-401
Objective:To evaluate the consistency of the Gleason scores of PCa patients based on preoperative biopsy with those from postoperative pathology,identify the possible factors influencing results of scoring,and construct a risk scoring model.Meth-ods:We collected the demographic and clinical data on the patients with PCa confirmed by preoperative prostate biopsy or postoperative pathology and treated by radical prostatectomy within 6 months after diagnosis.Using paired sample t-test,we identified the difference between the Gleason scores based on preoperative biopsy and those from postoperative pathology,analyzed the demographic and clinical data on the patients for relevant factors affecting the consistency of the Gleason scores,and calculated and visualized the relative risk values of the factors through Poisson regression.From the continuous variables with statistical significance,we screened independent risk factors for the difference in the Gleason scores by Lasso regression analysis,established a risk scoring model,generated risk coeffi-cients,and evaluated the predictive ability of the model using the ROC curve.Based on the results of imaging examination with statisti-cally significant differences,we constructed a column chart by logistic regression and evaluated the predictive validity of the chart using calibration curves,decision curves and ROC curves.Results:The results of paired sample t-test for 210 PCa patients showed statisti-cally significant differences between the Gleason scores from preoperative biopsy and those from postoperative pathology(P<0.001).There were significant differences in the body weight,BMI and PSA level as well as in all other factors but prostate calcification be-tween the patients with consistent and those with inconsistent Gleason scores(all P<0.05).An 8-factor prediction model was suc-cessfully constructed,which could predict the consistency of Gleason scores,with a better predicting performance than the single indi-cator within the model.The nomogram exhibited a C-index value of 0.85,with the calibration curve similar to the standard one,the threshold of the decision curve 0.10-0.92,and the area under the ROC curve higher than other predictive indicators.Conclusion:Based on the demographic and clinical data on PCa patients,a risk prediction model and a column chart were successfully constructed,which could effectively predict the difference between the Gleason scores from preoperative prostate biopsy and those from postoperative pathology.
10.Incidence of leptospirosis in Fujian province, 2015-2020.
Guo Ying XU ; Han Song ZHU ; Wei Jun LIU ; Zhi Wei ZENG ; Jia Xiong WANG ; Teng Wei HAN ; Shu Heng ZHOU ; Jing LIU ; Fang Zhen XIAO
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2022;43(4):548-553
Objective: To analyze the incidence of leptospirosis in Fujian province from 2015 to 2020 and provide the scientific evidences for the risk assessment, prevention and control of leptospirosis. Methods: The incidence data of leptospirosis in Fujian during 2015-2020 were collected from China Information System for Disease Control and Prevention for a descriptive analysis, and software ArcGIS 10.3.1 was used for spatial autocorrelation analysis, and rats were captured in 17 surveillance areas during the same period, and the rat organs were collected for pathogen culture, the level of Leptospira antibody was detected in serum samples of rats, healthy population and the serum samples of patients sent by the hospitals. The infection status of Leptospira in human and rats were analyzed. Results: The incidence of leptospirosis in Fujian showed a downward trend from 2015 to 2020. A total of 176 cases of leptospirosis were reported. There were obvious seasonality and bimodal distribution. The majority of cases were farmers, accounting for 49.43% (87/176). Most cases were aged 30-69 years (85.80%, 151/176). The male to female ratio of the cases was 3.51∶1 (137∶39). Spatial autocorrelation analysis showed that leptospirosis had high or low clustering areas. From 2015 to 2020, the average capture rate of rats in 17 surveillance areas was 6.96% (1 519/21 838), Rattus losea, Rattus flavipectus and Niviventer fulvescens were the main species. The average positive rate of Leptospira antibody in rats was 28.64% (252/880). Java and Autumnalis were the predominant serogroups, accounting for 56.75% (143/252) and 17.46% (44/252), respectively. The average positive rate of Leptospira antibody in healthy population was 16.13% (254/1 575), and Autumnalis and Australis were the predominant serogroups, accounting for 71.65% (182/254). The confirmation rate of leptospirosis in patient serum samples sent by the hospitals was 2.23% (188/8 431), Autumnalis (56.38%, 106/188) and Hebdomadis (19.68%, 37/188) were the major serogroups. Conclusions: The incidence of leptospirosis in Fujian showed a downward trend from 2015 to 2020, there were obvious area clustering and seasonality. The high clustering areas were mainly distributed in northern, western and central Fujian. Java and Autumnalis were the predominant serogroups in rats. The infection rate in healthy population decreased year by year. Autumnalis and Hebdomadis were the main serogroups in population in Fujian.
Animals
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Antibodies, Bacterial
;
Female
;
Humans
;
Incidence
;
Leptospira
;
Leptospirosis/epidemiology*
;
Male
;
Rats
;
Serogroup

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