1.Survey of hepatitis B virus infection for liver cancer screening in China: A population-based, cross-sectional study
Yongjie XU ; Changfa XIA ; He LI ; Maomao CAO ; Fan YANG ; Qianru LI ; Mengdi CAO ; Wanqing CHEN
Chinese Medical Journal 2024;137(12):1414-1420
Background::Hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection is the primary cause of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in China. The target population for HCC screening comprises individuals who test positive for hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg). However, current data on the prevalence of HBV infection among individuals who are eligible for HCC screening in China are lacking. We aimed to assess the seroepidemiology of HBV infection among Chinese individuals eligible for HCC screening to provide the latest evidence for appropriate HCC screening strategies in China.Methods::Questionnaires including information of sex, age, ethnicity, marital status, educational level, source of drinking water, as well as smoking and alcohol consumption history and serum samples were collected from females aged 45–64 years and males aged 35–64 years in 21 counties from 4 provinces in eastern and central China between 2015 and 2023. Enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay methods were used to detect the serum HBV marker HBsAg.Results::A total of 603,082 individuals were enrolled, and serum samples were collected for analysis from January 1, 2015 to December 31, 2023. The prevalence of HBsAg positive in the study population was 5.23% (31,528/603,082). The prevalence of HBsAg positive was greater in males than in females (5.60% [17,660/315,183] vs 4.82% [13,868/287,899], χ 2 = 187.52, P <0.0001). The elderly participants exhibited a greater prevalence of HBV infection than younger participants (χ 2 = 41.73, P <0.0001). Birth cohort analysis revealed an overall downward trend in HBV prevalence for both males and females. Individuals born in more recent cohorts exhibited a lower prevalence of HBV infection as compared to those born earlier. Conclusions::The current prevalence of HBV infection remains above 5% in populations eligible for HCC screening in China.
2.Global epidemiology of liver cancer 2022: An emphasis on geographic disparities
Qianru LI ; Chao DING ; Maomao CAO ; Fan YANG ; Xinxin YAN ; Siyi HE ; Mengdi CAO ; Shaoli ZHANG ; Yi TENG ; Nuopei TAN ; Jiachen WANG ; Changfa XIA ; Wanqing CHEN
Chinese Medical Journal 2024;137(19):2334-2342
Background::Liver cancer remains the sixth most commonly diagnosed cancer and the third leading cause of cancer-related deaths worldwide, causing a heavy burden globally. An updated assessment of the global epidemiology of the liver cancer burden that addresses geographical disparities is necessary to better understand and promote healthcare delivery.Methods::Data were extracted from the GLOBOCAN 2022 database, including the number, crude, and age-standardized rates of incidence and mortality at the global, country, continent, and human development index (HDI) regional levels. Age-standardized rates (incidence and mortality) per 100,000 person-years were adjusted based on the Segi-Doll World standard population. The mortality-to-incidence ratios (MIR) for each region and country were calculated. The HDI and gross national income (GNI) for 2022 were obtained, and a Pearson correlation analysis was conducted with the incidence, mortality, and MIR.Results::In 2022, approximately 866,136 new liver cancer cases and 758,725 related deaths were recorded worldwide, with a global MIR of 0.86. Males had a disproportionately higher burden than females across all levels, and the highest burden was observed in the elderly population. Geographically, the regions with the highest incidence rates included Micronesia, Eastern Asia, and Northern Africa, and the regions with the highest mortality rates included Northern Africa, Southeastern Asia, Eastern Asia, and Micronesia. Notably, Mongolia had a strikingly high burden compared to other countries. The highest MIR was observed in North America and the lowest in Africa. Negative associations of HDI and GNI with liver cancer mortality and MIR were identified, irrespective of sex.Conclusions::The current liver cancer burden underscores the presence of remarkable geographic heterogeneity, which is particularly evident across countries with varying HDI levels, highlighting the urgent need to prioritize health accessibility and availability to achieve health inequities.
3.Global trajectories of liver cancer burden from 1990 to 2019 and projection to 2035.
Fan YANG ; Dianqin SUN ; Changfa XIA ; He LI ; Maomao CAO ; Xinxin YAN ; Siyi HE ; Shaoli ZHANG ; Wanqing CHEN
Chinese Medical Journal 2023;136(12):1413-1421
BACKGROUND:
Large disparities exist in liver cancer burden trends across countries but are poorly understood. We aimed to investigate the global trajectories of liver cancer burden, explore the driving forces, and predict future trends.
METHODS:
Data on the liver cancer burden in 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2019 were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease Study. The age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) trajectories were defined using growth mixture models. Five major risk factors contributing to changes in the ASIR or ASMR and socioeconomic determinants were explored using the identified trajectories. A Bayesian age-period-cohort model was used to predict future trends through 2035.
RESULTS:
Three trajectories of liver cancer burden were identified: increasing, stable, and decreasing groups. Almost half of the American countries were classified in the decreasing group (48.6% for ASIR and ASMR), and the increasing group was the most common in the European region (ASIR, 49.1%; ASMR, 37.7%). In the decreasing group, the decrease of liver cancer due to hepatitis B contributed 63.4% and 60.4% of the total decreases in ASIR and ASMR, respectively. The increase of liver cancer due to alcohol use, hepatitis C, and hepatitis B contributed the most to the increase in the increasing group (30.8%, 31.1%, and 24.2% for ASIR; 33.7%, 30.2%, and 22.2% for ASMR, respectively). The increasing group was associated with a higher sociodemographic index, gross domestic product per capita, health expenditure per capita, and universal health coverage (all P <0.05). Significant variations in disease burden are predicted to continue through 2035, with a disproportionate burden in the decreasing group.
CONCLUSION
Global disparities were observed in liver cancer burden trajectories. Hepatitis B, alcohol use, and hepatitis C were identified as driving forces in different regions.
Humans
;
Bayes Theorem
;
Liver Neoplasms
;
Risk Factors
;
Hepatitis C/complications*
;
Hepatitis B
;
Hepacivirus
;
Incidence
4.Analysis of the change trend of etiological burden of disease of liver cancer in the Chinese population from 1990 to 2019
Shaoli ZHANG ; Maomao CAO ; Fan YANG ; He LI ; Xinxin YAN ; Siyi HE ; Qianru LI ; Yi TENG ; Changfa XIA ; Wanqing CHEN
Chinese Journal of Digestive Surgery 2023;22(1):122-130
Objective:To investigate the change trend of etiological burden of disease of liver cancer in the Chinese population from 1990 to 2019.Methods:The descriptive epidemiologic method was conducted. Based on the Global Burden of Disease data from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington, the data related to liver cancer burden caused by hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection, hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection, alcohol, nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) and other factors, including number of new cases, the crude incidence rate, age-specific incidence rate, number of deaths, crude mortality rate and age-specific mortality rate, in the Chinese population from 1990 to 2019 were collected. The age-standardized rate was calculated based on the world standardized population structure in 2019 from the Global Burden of Disease data. Observation indicators: (1) the incidence of liver cancer caused by different etiologies in the Chinese population from 1990 to 2019; (2) the mortality of liver cancer caused by different etiologies in the Chinese population from 1990 to 2019; (3) the change trend of age-specific incidence rate of liver cancer caused by different etiologies in the Chinese population from 1990 to 2019; (4) the age-specific mortality rate of liver cancer caused by different etiologies in the Chinese population from 1990 to 2019. Count data were expressed as absolute numbers, percentages and ratio. Based on the junction point regression model, the Joinpoint software (V.4.9.1.0) was used to calculate the annual percentage change, average annual percentage change (AAPC) and 95% confidence intervals ( CI) of age-specific incidence rate and age-specific mortality rate of liver cancer caused by different etiologies. Results:(1) The incidence of liver cancer caused by different etiologies in the Chinese population from 1990 to 2019. From 1990 to 2019, the number of new cases of liver cancer in Chinese population decreased from 236 825 to 210 462, and the crude incidence rate decreased from 20.01/100,000 to 14.80/100,000. The new cases of liver cancer caused by HBV infection, HCV infection and other factors showed a downward trend, and the absolute change rates were ?14.76%, ?3.98% and ?26.67%, respectively. The new cases of liver cancer caused by alcohol and NASH showed a increase trend, and the absolute change rates were 9.31% and 13.91%, respectively. (2) The mortality of liver cancer caused by different etiologies in the Chinese population from 1990 to 2019. From 1990 to 2019, the number of deaths of liver cancer in Chinese population decreased from 232 449 to 187 700, and the crude mortality rate decreased from 19.64/100,000 to 13.20/100,000. The number of deaths of liver cancer caused by HBV infection, HCV infection and other factors showed a down-ward trend, and the absolute change rates were ?23.34%, ?10.99% and ?33.75%, respectively. The number of deaths of liver cancer caused by alcohol showed a slow downward trend, and the absolute change rate was ?0.51%. The number of deaths of liver cancer caused by NASH showed a increase trend, and the absolute change rate was 6.03%. (3) The change trend of age-specific incidence rate of liver cancer caused by different etiologies in the Chinese population from 1990 to 2019. From 1990 to 2019, the AAPC of age-specific incidence rate of liver cancer caused by HBV infection, HCV infection, alcohol, NASH and other factors was ?3.61%(95% CI as ?4.10% to ?3.11%), ?3.57%(95% CI as ?3.99% to ?3.14%), ?2.79%(95% CI as ?3.24% to ?2.33%), ?2.65%(95% CI as ?3.09% to ?2.21%) and ?3.62%(95% CI as ?4.05% to ?3.19%), respectively. (4) The age-specific mortality rate of liver cancer caused by different etiologies in the Chinese population from 1990 to 2019. From 1990 to 2019, the AAPC of age-specific mortality rate of liver cancer caused by HBV infection, HCV infection, alcohol, NASH and other factors was ?3.92%(95% CI as ?4.42% to ?3.41%), ?3.90%(95% CI as ?4.45% to ?3.35%), ?3.15%(95% CI as ?3.71% to ?2.58%), ?2.86%(95% CI as ?3.34% to ?2.38%) and ?4.09%(95% CI as ?4.64% to ?3.55%), respectively. Conclusions:From 1990 to 2019, the liver cancer burden of the Chinese population shows an overall downward trend, in which the liver cancer burden caused by HBV and HCV infection decreases the most, but HBV and HCV infection is still the main reason for the heavy burden of liver cancer. The age-specific incidence rate and age-specific mortality rate of liver cancer caused by alcohol and NASH show a downward trend, but the number of new cases of liver cancer caused by alcohol and NASH shows significant growth. The liver cancer burden caused by other factors shows a downward trend.
5.Cancer statistics in China and United States, 2022: profiles, trends, and determinants.
Changfa XIA ; Xuesi DONG ; He LI ; Maomao CAO ; Dianqin SUN ; Siyi HE ; Fan YANG ; Xinxin YAN ; Shaoli ZHANG ; Ni LI ; Wanqing CHEN
Chinese Medical Journal 2022;135(5):584-590
BACKGROUND:
The cancer burden in the United States of America (USA) has decreased gradually. However, China is experiencing a transition in its cancer profiles, with greater incidence of cancers that were previously more common in the USA. This study compared the latest cancer profiles, trends, and determinants between China and USA.
METHODS:
This was a comparative study using open-source data. Cancer cases and deaths in 2022 were calculated using cancer estimates from GLOBOCAN 2020 and population estimates from the United Nations. Trends in cancer incidence and mortality rates in the USA used data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program and National Center for Health Statistics. Chinese data were obtained from cancer registry reports. Data from the Global Burden of Disease 2019 and a decomposition method were used to express cancer deaths as the product of four determinant factors.
RESULTS:
In 2022, there will be approximately 4,820,000 and 2,370,000 new cancer cases, and 3,210,000 and 640,000 cancer deaths in China and the USA, respectively. The most common cancers are lung cancer in China and breast cancer in the USA, and lung cancer is the leading cause of cancer death in both. Age-standardized incidence and mortality rates for lung cancer and colorectal cancer in the USA have decreased significantly recently, but rates of liver cancer have increased slightly. Rates of stomach, liver, and esophageal cancer decreased gradually in China, but rates have increased for colorectal cancer in the whole population, prostate cancer in men, and other seven cancer types in women. Increases in adult population size and population aging were major determinants for incremental cancer deaths, and case-fatality rates contributed to reduced cancer deaths in both countries.
CONCLUSIONS
The decreasing cancer burden in liver, stomach, and esophagus, and increasing burden in lung, colorectum, breast, and prostate, mean that cancer profiles in China and the USA are converging. Population aging is a growing determinant of incremental cancer burden. Progress in cancer prevention and care in the USA, and measures to actively respond to population aging, may help China to reduce the cancer burden.
Adult
;
Breast Neoplasms
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Female
;
Humans
;
Incidence
;
Liver Neoplasms
;
Male
;
Neoplasms/epidemiology*
;
Registries
;
United States/epidemiology*
6.Construction and application of knowledge graph of Treatise on Febrile Diseases
Dongbo LIU ; Changfa WEI ; Shuaishuai XIA ; Junfeng YAN
Digital Chinese Medicine 2022;5(4):394-405
Objective:
To establish the knowledge graph of “disease-syndrome-symptom-method-formula” in Treatise on Febrile Diseases (Shang Han Lun,《伤寒论》) for reducing the fuzziness and uncertainty of data, and for laying a foundation for later knowledge reasoning and its application.
Methods:
Under the guidance of experts in the classical formula of traditional Chinese medicine (TCM), the method of “top-down as the main, bottom-up as the auxiliary” was adopted to carry out knowledge extraction, knowledge fusion, and knowledge storage from the five aspects of the disease, syndrome, symptom, method, and formula for the original text of Treatise on Febrile Diseases, and so the knowledge graph of Treatise on Febrile Diseases was constructed. On this basis, the knowledge structure query and the knowledge relevance query were realized in a visual manner.
Results:
The knowledge graph of “disease-syndrome-symptom-method-formula” in the Treatise on Febrile Diseases was constructed, containing 6 469 entities and 10 911 relational triples, on which the query of entities and their relationships can be carried out and the query result can be visualized.
Conclusion
The knowledge graph of Treatise on Febrile Diseases systematically realizes its digitization of the knowledge system, and improves the completeness and accuracy of the knowledge representation, and the connection between “disease-syndrome-symptom-treatment-formula”, which is conducive to the sharing and reuse of knowledge can be obtained in a clear and efficient way.
7.Exploration on teaching reform of cancer epidemiology course
Yongjie XU ; Xueyan LI ; Xuesi DONG ; Wei CAO ; Chao QIN ; Jiang LI ; Liang ZHAO ; Fei WANG ; Changfa XIA ; Wanqing CHEN ; Ni LI
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2022;56(7):1027-1030
This study aims to explore optimized teaching mode of cancer epidemiology for undergraduates, and provide scientific ideas and basis for improving teaching quality. Non-randomized concurrent control study was used. Undergraduates, enrolled in 2018, from the department of preventive medicine in A and B medical universities were selected as research objects. Traditional teaching mode was used for cancer epidemiology course in A medical university, and innovative teaching mode named "one core, four dimensions" was adopted in B medical university. After the course, questionnaire method was used to investigate self-cognition of students, teaching satisfaction and class preparation time of teachers in B Medical University. The post-class test method was used to compare the students′ grades of cancer epidemiology in the two universities. The results indicated that among the 58 students of B medical university, 94.83% (55/58) students were familiar with common types of epidemiological studies and 86.21% (50/58) mastered the evaluation indicators of screening research. Among the nine teaching faculties from B medical university, seven reported that the new teaching plan helped students to learn frontier knowledge of cancer epidemiology, and eight reported the new teaching model was conducive to the interaction between teachers and students. The text score of students in B medical university was 50.34±4.90, significantly higher than that in A medical university (46.21±4.91, t=5.20, P<0.001). The optimized teaching mode of cancer epidemiology is highly praised by students and teachers, which has the potential to improve students′ grasp of cancer epidemiology, the ability to combine theory with practice, and the teaching effect of cancer epidemiology.
8.Exploration on teaching reform of cancer epidemiology course
Yongjie XU ; Xueyan LI ; Xuesi DONG ; Wei CAO ; Chao QIN ; Jiang LI ; Liang ZHAO ; Fei WANG ; Changfa XIA ; Wanqing CHEN ; Ni LI
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2022;56(7):1027-1030
This study aims to explore optimized teaching mode of cancer epidemiology for undergraduates, and provide scientific ideas and basis for improving teaching quality. Non-randomized concurrent control study was used. Undergraduates, enrolled in 2018, from the department of preventive medicine in A and B medical universities were selected as research objects. Traditional teaching mode was used for cancer epidemiology course in A medical university, and innovative teaching mode named "one core, four dimensions" was adopted in B medical university. After the course, questionnaire method was used to investigate self-cognition of students, teaching satisfaction and class preparation time of teachers in B Medical University. The post-class test method was used to compare the students′ grades of cancer epidemiology in the two universities. The results indicated that among the 58 students of B medical university, 94.83% (55/58) students were familiar with common types of epidemiological studies and 86.21% (50/58) mastered the evaluation indicators of screening research. Among the nine teaching faculties from B medical university, seven reported that the new teaching plan helped students to learn frontier knowledge of cancer epidemiology, and eight reported the new teaching model was conducive to the interaction between teachers and students. The text score of students in B medical university was 50.34±4.90, significantly higher than that in A medical university (46.21±4.91, t=5.20, P<0.001). The optimized teaching mode of cancer epidemiology is highly praised by students and teachers, which has the potential to improve students′ grasp of cancer epidemiology, the ability to combine theory with practice, and the teaching effect of cancer epidemiology.
9. Incidence and mortality of female breast cancer in China, 2014
He LI ; Rongshou ZHENG ; Siwei ZHANG ; Hongmei ZENG ; Kexin SUN ; Changfa XIA ; Zhixun YANG ; Wanqing CHEN ; Jie HE
Chinese Journal of Oncology 2018;40(3):166-171
Objective:
To estimate the incidence and mortality of female breast cancer in China based on the cancer registration data in 2014, collected by the National Central Cancer Registry (NCCR), and to provide support data for breast cancer prevention and control in China.
Methods:
There were 449 cancer registries submitting female breast cancer incidence and deaths data occurred in 2014 to NCCR. After evaluating the data quality, 339 registries′ data were accepted for analysis and stratified by areas (urban/rural) and age group. Combined with data on national population in 2014, the nationwide incidence and mortality of female breast cancer were estimated. Chinese population census in 2000 and Segi′s population were used for age-standardized incidence/mortality rates.
Results:
Qualified 339 cancer registries covered a total of 288 243 347 populations (144 061 915 in urban and 144 181 432 in rural areas) in 2014. The morphology verified cases (MV%) accounted for 87.42% and 0.59% of incident cases were identified through death certifications only (DCO%), with mortality to incidence ratio of 0.24. The estimates of new breast cancer cases were about 278 900 in China in 2014, accounting for 16.51% of all new cases in female. The crude incidence rate, age-standardized rate of incidence by Chinese standard population (ASRIC), and age-standardized rate of incidence by world standard population (ASRIW) of breast cancer were 41.82/100 000, 30.69/100 000, and 28.77/100 000, respectively, with a cumulative incidence rate (0-74 age years old) of 3.12%. The crude incidence rates and ASRIC in urban areas were 49.94 per 100 000 and 34.85 per 100 000, respectively, whereas those were 31.72 per 100 000 and 24.89 per 100 000 in rural areas. The estimates of breast cancer deaths were about 66 000 in China in 2014, accounting for 7.82% of all the cancer-related deaths in female. The crude mortality rate, age-standardized rate of mortality by Chinese standard population(ASRMC) and age-standardized rate of mortality by world standard population (ASRMW) of breast cancer were 9.90/100 000, 6.53/100 000, and 6.35/100 000, respectively, with a cumulative mortality rate of 0.69%. The crude mortality rates and ASRMC in urban areas were 11.48 per 100 000 and 7.04 per 100 000, respectively, whereas those were 7.93 per 100 000 and 5.79 per 100 000 in rural areas. The incidence and mortality rates of breast cancer were higher in areas than those in rural areas. The age-specific incidence rates of breast cancer increased greatly after 20 years old and peaked at the age group of 55-60. The age-specific mortality rates increased rapidly with age, particularly after 25 years old. They remained at a relative stable level from 55 to 65 years of age, and then increased dramatically and peaked in the age group of 85 and above.
Conclusions
Breast cancer is still one of the most common malignant tumor threatening to famale health in China. The disease is more prevalent in urban areas at the age group of 55-60. Comprehensive prevention and control strategies referring to local status and age groups should be carried out to reduce the burden of breast cancer.
10. Incidence trend and change in the age distribution of female breast cancer in cancer registration areas of China from 2000 to 2014
Kexin SUN ; Rongshou ZHENG ; Xiuying GU ; Siwei ZHANG ; Hongmei ZENG ; Xiaonong ZOU ; Changfa XIA ; Zhixun YANG ; He LI ; Wanqing CHEN ; Jie HE
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2018;52(6):567-572
Objective:
To estimate the incidence trend and change in the age distribution of female breast cancer in cancer registry areas in China from 2000 to 2014.
Methods:
22 cancer registries in China with continuous monitoring data from 2000 to 2014 were selected. All datasets were checked and evaluated based on data quality control criteria and were included in the analysis. The cancer registries covered 675 954 193 person-years, including 342 010 930 person-years of male and 333 943 263 person-years of female. Female breast cancer cases (International Classification of Diseases-10th Revision: C50) were extracted. Crude incidence rate (CR), age-standardized incidence rate by Chinese standard population(ASIRC), annual percent change (APC), crude and adjusted mean age at onset were calculated. Incidence rates stratified by regions and age groups were calculated.
Results:
Female breast cancer incidence rate significantly increased from 31.90/100 000 in 2000 to 63.30/100 000 in 2014. Incidence rate increased rapidly from 2000 to 2008 (CR: APC=6.5%, 95

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