1.Analysis of Disease Burden and Attributable Risk Factors of Early-onset Female Breast Cancer in China and Globally from 1990 to 2021
Danqi HUANG ; Min YANG ; Wei XIONG ; Jingyi LIU ; Wanqing CHEN ; Jingbo ZHAI ; Jiang LI
Medical Journal of Peking Union Medical College Hospital 2025;16(3):777-784
To analyze the disease burden, temporal trends, and attributable risk factors of early-onset female breast cancer (EOBC) in China and globally from 1990 to 2021. Data on the absolute numbers and crude rates of incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for EOBC (diagnosis age < 50 years) in China and globally were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 database. Attributable DALY proportions for five risk factors (smoking, alcohol use, physical inactivity, high red meat consumption, elevated fasting plasma glucose) and all combined risk factors were obtained. Joinpoint regression analysis was performed to assess temporal trends in age-standardized rates, quantified by annual percentage change (APC) and average annual percentage change (AAPC). From 1990 to 2021, age-standardized incidence rates of EOBC increased significantly in both China (AAPC=2.25%) and globally (AAPC=0.64%; pairwise comparison, China's age-standardized EOBC incidence is rising rapidly and approaching global levels, while mortality and DALY rates have increased over the past decade, underscoring persistent challenges in disease control. Future efforts should prioritize expanding the coverage of breast cancer screening programs, optimizing screening protocols, and enhancing public awareness of cancer prevention to mitigate the growing burden of EOBC in China.
2.Effect of Shuanglu Tongnao Formula on Neuronal Ferroptosis in Ischemic Stroke Rats by Regulating the SIRT1/Nrf2/GPx4 Signaling Pathway
Guangshan ZHENG ; Yang ZHAI ; Kaihua WANG ; Wei MA ; Xiaoping MEI ; Ying CHEN ; Min ZOU ; Yan PANG ; Peng YANG ; Yan LYU
Herald of Medicine 2024;43(4):526-534
Objective To explore the effect of Shuanglu Tongnao Formula on neuronal ferroptosis in ischemic stroke rats and its regulatory mechanism on the silent information regulator 2 homolog 1(SIRT1)/nuclear factor erythroid 2-related fac-tor 2(Nrf2)/glutathione peroxidase 4(GPx4)signaling pathways.Methods Twenty rats were selected as sham operation group by the random number table method,and the remaining seventy rats were made ischemic stroke rat models by the middle cerebral artery occlusion method.The rats that had been successfully modeled were randomly divided into the model control group,Shuanglu Tongnao formula group,Shuanglu Tongnao formula+SIRT1 inhibitor group(Shuanglu Tongnao formula+EX527 group),with 20 rats in each group.After 14 days,the rats were scored for neurological injury;TTC staining was applied to detect the area of cerebral infarction in rats;HE staining was applied to detect pathological changes in rat brain tissue;Nissl staining was applied to detect the number of neurons in rat brain tissue;the kit was applied to detect the levels of ferri ion(Fe2+),superoxide dismutase(SOD),glutathione(GSH),and malonaldehyde(MDA)in rat brain tissue;immunohistochemistry was applied to de-tect the positive expression of acyl-CoA synthetase long-chain family member 4(ACSL4),transferrin receptor(TFR),and ferritin heavy polypeptide 1(FTH1)proteins in rat brain tissue;Western blotting method was applied to detect the expression of SIRT1,Nrf2,GPx4,and cystine/glutamate antiporter solute carrier family 7 member 11(SLC7A11)proteins in rat brain tissue.Results Compared with the sham operation group,the neurological deficit score,cerebral infarction area,the contents of Fe2+and MDA,and the protein expressions of ACSL4 and TFR in model control group were increased(P<0.05);the number of neurons,the con-tents of SOD and GSH,the protein expression of FTH1,SIRT1,Nrf2,GPx4,and SLC7A11 were all reduced(P<0.05).Compared with the model control group,the neurological deficit score,cerebral infarction area,the contents of Fe2+and MDA,and the protein expression of ACSL4 and TFR in the Shuanglu Tongnao formula group were reduced(P<0.05),and the number of neurons,the contents of SOD and GSH,the protein expressions of FTH1,SIRT1,Nrf2,GPx4,and SLC7A11 are all increased(P<0.05).The results of the SIRT1 inhibitor supplementation experiment showed that the SIRT1 inhibitor reversed the inhibitory effect of Shuan-glu Tongnao formula on neuronal ferroptosis,while also inhibited the expression of Nrf2 and GPx4(P<0.05).Conclusion The Shuanglu Tongnao formula may inhibit neuronal ferroptosis in ischemic stroke rats by activating the SIRT1/Nrf2/GPx4 signa-ling pathway.
3.Effects of Zhuangyao Shuanglu Tongnao Formula on neuronal apoptosis of rats with ischemia-reperfusion induced injury
Yang ZHAI ; Xue-Ni MO ; Hong-Li TENG ; Yue-Qiang HU ; Guang-Shan ZHENG ; Wei MA ; Peng YANG ; Xiao-Ping MEI ; Min ZOU ; Kai-Hua WANG
Chinese Traditional Patent Medicine 2024;46(3):795-802
AIM To investigate the effects of Zhuangyao Shuanglu Tongnao Formula on neuronal apoptosis in rats with cerebral ischemia-reperfusion injury based on the study of oxidative stress and inflammatory response.METHODS The rats were randomly divided into the sham operation group,the model group,the edaravone group(3.0 mg/kg),the low,medium and high dose groups(9.0,18.0,36.0 g/kg)of Zhuangyao Shuanglu Tongnao Formula,with 18 rats in each group.The middle cerebral artery occlusion/reperfusion was conducted by thread embolism method to simulate cerebral ischemia reperfusion injury in rats followed by 6 days corresponding drugs administration.Subsequently,the rats had their neurological function deficit scored by Zeal Longa scoring method;their sizes of cerebral infarction areas measured by TTC staining;their pathological damage and apoptosis of neurons in hippocampal CA1 area of ischemic penumbra of the brain tissue detected by HE staining and TUNEL staining;their SOD activity and levels of GSH,MDA,IL-6,IL-1β,TNF-α in brain tissue detected by kits;and their protein expressions of Bax,Bcl-2,caspase-3,cleaved-capase-3,TLR4,NF-κB p65,Nrf2,HO-1 in rat brain tissue determined by Western blot.RESULTS Compared with the model group,the groups intervened with edaravone,medium and high dose of Zhuangyao Shuanglu Tongnao Formula displayed improvements in the scores of nerve function defects,the rate of cerebral infarction,the rate of neuronal apoptosis,the levels of IL-6,IL-1β,TNF-α and MDA in the ischemic penumbra of brain tissues,the protein expressions of Bax and TLR4,the ratio of cleaved-capase-3/caspase-3 and p-NF-κB p65/NF-κB p65(P<0.05),the levels of GSH,the activity of SOD and the protein expressions of Bcl-2,Nrf2 and HO-1(P<0.05).CONCLUSION Being an inhibitor of oxidative stress and inflammatory response,Zhuangyao Shuanglu Tongnao Formula can alleviate brain injury in rats with cerebral ischemia reperfusion injury through the inhibition of neuronal apoptosis and improvement of neural function mediated by the inhibition of TLR4/NF-κB signal pathway and activation of Nrf2/HO-1 signal pathway.
4.Discussion on WU Wei's Thoughts for the Treatment of Atrial Fibrillation Based on the Theory of Stasis-Toxin Causing Palpitation
Hui-Qi ZHAI ; Yi-Hua LI ; Liang KANG ; Run-Jia YU ; Rong LI ; Hui WU ; Xiao-Xiong ZHOU ; Zhi-Yi DU ; Qing-Min CHU ; Wei WU
Journal of Guangzhou University of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2024;41(5):1316-1322
For the treatment of atrial fibrillation,Professor WU Wei innovatively put forward the theory of heart-blood-vessels trinity and the theory of stasis-toxin causing palpitation.It is believed that atrial fibrillation is caused by stasis and toxin,and affects the heart,blood and vessels.The core pathogenesis of atrial fibrillation is due to qi stagnation,blood stasis and toxin.The treatment for atrial fibrillation should be closely based on the pathogenesis,the therapeutic principles of treating from the perspective of stasis and together by removing toxin gradually is advocated.And the therapy of regulating qi,activating blood and removing stasis is also the way to remove toxin.The medication is based on the modified Taoren Honghua Decoction,which is mainly composed of Persicae Semen,Carthami Flos,Chuanxiong Rhizoma,Corydalis Rhizoma,Rehmanniae Radix,Paeoniae Radix Rubra,Salviae Miltiorrhizae Radix et Rhizoma,Jujubae Fructus,Puerariae Lobatae Radix,Nardostachyos Radix et Rhizoma,Ostreae Concha,Poria,and Polygonati Odorati Rhizoma.According to the characteristics of Lingnan climate and atrial fibrillation mostly being easy to affect the emotions,the pungent drugs in the prescription are usually removed,and the specific herbal pair of Puerariae Lobatae Radix-Nardostachyos Radix et Rhizoma is added to remove toxin according to the differentiation of disease.Moreover,for the treatment of atrial fibrillation,Professor WU Wei also adopts traditional Chinese medicine(TCM)external treatment such as foot bath,acupuncture and moxibustion,and physical-breathing exercise as well as health-care methods for comprehensive regulation,relieving the toxin and restoring the original qi.During the treatment atrial fibrillation,Professor WU Wei follows the principle of precise intervention and comprehensive regulation with Chinese medicine,so as to achieve the purpose of eliminating symptoms,restoring sinus rhythm and improving physical constitution.The thoughts of Professor WU Wei for the syndrome differentiation and treatment of atrial fibrillation will provide reference for the treatment of atrial fibrillation with TCM.
5.Survival analysis of patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma treated with adjuvant chemotherapy after radical resection based on CoxPH model and deep learning algorithm.
Jia Lu CHEN ; Xiao Peng YU ; Yue TANG ; Chen CHEN ; Ying He QIU ; Hong WU ; Tian Qiang SONG ; Yu HE ; Xian Hai MAO ; Wen Long ZHAI ; Zhang Jun CHENG ; Jing Dong LI ; Zhi Min GENG ; Zhao Hui TANG ; Zhi Wei QUAN
Chinese Journal of Surgery 2023;61(4):313-320
Objective: To establish a predictive model for survival benefit of patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) who received adjuvant chemotherapy after radical resection. Methods: The clinical and pathological data of 249 patients with ICC who underwent radical resection and adjuvant chemotherapy at 8 hospitals in China from January 2010 to December 2018 were retrospectively collected. There were 121 males and 128 females,with 88 cases>60 years old and 161 cases≤60 years old. Feature selection was performed by univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis. Overall survival time and survival status were used as outcome indicators,then target clinical features were selected. Patients were stratified into high-risk group and low-risk group,survival differences between the two groups were analyzed. Using the selected clinical features, the traditional CoxPH model and deep learning DeepSurv survival prediction model were constructed, and the performance of the models were evaluated according to concordance index(C-index). Results: Portal vein invasion, carcinoembryonic antigen>5 μg/L,abnormal lymphocyte count, low grade tumor pathological differentiation and positive lymph nodes>0 were independent adverse prognostic factors for overall survival in 249 patients with adjuvant chemotherapy after radical resection (all P<0.05). The survival benefit of adjuvant chemotherapy in the high-risk group was significantly lower than that in the low-risk group (P<0.05). Using the above five features, the traditional CoxPH model and the deep learning DeepSurv survival prediction model were constructed. The C-index values of the training set were 0.687 and 0.770, and the C-index values of the test set were 0.606 and 0.763,respectively. Conclusion: Compared with the traditional Cox model, the DeepSurv model can more accurately predict the survival probability of patients with ICC undergoing adjuvant chemotherapy at a certain time point, and more accurately judge the survival benefit of adjuvant chemotherapy.
6.A nomogram for preoperative prediction of lymph node metastasis in patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma based on inflammation-related markers.
Xiao Peng YU ; Jia Lu CHEN ; Yue TANG ; Chen CHEN ; Ying Hong QIU ; Hong WU ; Tian Qiang SONG ; Yu HE ; Xian Hai MAO ; Wen Long ZHAI ; Zhang Jun CHENG ; Xiao LIANG ; Jing Dong LI ; Chuan Dong SUN ; Kai MA ; Rui Xin LIN ; Zhi Min GENG ; Zhao Hui TANG ; Zhi Wei QUAN
Chinese Journal of Surgery 2023;61(4):321-329
Objectives: To construct a nomogram for prediction of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) lymph node metastasis based on inflammation-related markers,and to conduct its clinical verification. Methods: Clinical and pathological data of 858 ICC patients who underwent radical resection were retrospectively collected at 10 domestic tertiary hospitals in China from January 2010 to December 2018. Among the 508 patients who underwent lymph node dissection,207 cases had complete variable clinical data for constructing the nomogram,including 84 males,123 females,109 patients≥60 years old,98 patients<60 years old and 69 patients were pathologically diagnosed with positive lymph nodes after surgery. Receiver operating characteristic curve was drawn to calculate the accuracy of preoperative imaging examinations to determine lymph node status,and the difference in overall survival time was compared by Log-rank test. Partial regression squares and statistically significant preoperative variables were screened by backward stepwise regression analysis. R software was applied to construct a nomogram,clinical decision curve and clinical influence curve,and Bootstrap method was used for internal verification. Moreover,retrospectively collecting clinical information of 107 ICC patients with intraoperative lymph node dissection admitted to 9 tertiary hospitals in China from January 2019 to June 2021 was for external verification to verify the accuracy of the nomogram. 80 patients with complete clinical data but without lymph node dissection were divided into lymph node metastasis high-risk group and low-risk group according to the score of the nomogram among the 858 patients. Log-rank test was used to compare the overall survival of patients with or without lymph node metastasis diagnosed by pathology. Results: The area under the curve of preoperative imaging examinations for lymph node status assessment of 440 patients was 0.615,with a false negative rate of 62.8% (113/180) and a false positive rate of 14.2% (37/260). The median survival time of 207 patients used to construct a nomogram with positive or negative postoperative pathological lymph node metastases was 18.5 months and 27.1 months,respectively (P<0.05). Five variables related to lymph node metastasis were screened out by backward stepwise regression analysis,which were combined calculi,neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio,albumin,liver capsule invasion and systemic immune inflammation index,according to which a nomogram was constructed with concordance index(C-index) of 0.737 (95%CI: 0.667 to 0.806). The C-index of external verification was 0.674 (95%CI:0.569 to 0.779). The calibration prediction curve was in good agreement with the reference curve. The results of the clinical decision curve showed that when the risk threshold of high lymph node metastasis in the nomogram was set to about 0.32,the maximum net benefit could be obtained by 0.11,and the cost/benefit ratio was 1∶2. The results of clinical influence curve showed that when the risk threshold of high lymph node metastasis in the nomogram was set to about 0.6,the probability of correctly predicting lymph node metastasis could reach more than 90%. There was no significant difference in overall survival time between patients with high/low risk of lymph node metastasis assessed by the nomogram and those with pathologically confirmed lymph node metastasis or without lymph node metastasis (Log-rank test:P=0.082 and 0.510,respectively). Conclusion: The prediction accuracy of preoperative nomogram for ICC lymph node metastasis based on inflammation-related markers is satisfactory,which can be used as a supplementary method for preoperative diagnosis of lymph node metastasis and is helpful for clinicians to make personalized decision of lymph node dissection for patients with ICC.
7.Neutralizing Antibody Responses against Five SARS-CoV-2 Variants and T Lymphocyte Change after Vaccine Breakthrough Infections from the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron BA.1 Variant in Tianjin, China: A Prospective Study.
Ying ZHANG ; Jiang Wen QU ; Min Na ZHENG ; Ya Xing DING ; Wei CHEN ; Shao Dong YE ; Xiao Yan LI ; Yan Kun LI ; Ying LIU ; Di ZHU ; Can Rui JIN ; Lin WANG ; Jin Ye YANG ; Yu ZHAI ; Er Qiang WANG ; Xing MENG
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2023;36(7):614-624
OBJECTIVE:
To investigate whether Omicron BA.1 breakthrough infection after receiving the SARS-CoV-2 vaccine could create a strong immunity barrier.
METHODS:
Blood samples were collected at two different time points from 124 Omicron BA.1 breakthrough infected patients and 124 controls matched for age, gender, and vaccination profile. Live virus-neutralizing antibodies against five SARS-CoV-2 variants, including WT, Gamma, Beta, Delta, and Omicron BA.1, and T-lymphocyte lymphocyte counts in both groups were measured and statistically analyzed.
RESULTS:
The neutralizing antibody titers against five different variants of SARS-CoV-2 were significantly increased in the vaccinated population infected with the Omicron BA.1 variant at 3 months after infection, but mainly increased the antibody level against the WT strain, and the antibody against the Omicron strain was the lowest. The neutralizing antibody level decreased rapidly 6 months after infection. The T-lymphocyte cell counts of patients with mild and moderate disease recovered at 3 months and completely returned to the normal state at 6 months.
CONCLUSION
Omicron BA.1 breakthrough infection mainly evoked humoral immune memory in the original strain after vaccination and hardly produced neutralizing antibodies specific to Omicron BA.1. Neutralizing antibodies against the different strains declined rapidly and showed features similar to those of influenza. Thus, T-lymphocytes may play an important role in recovery.
Humans
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Antibodies, Neutralizing
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Prospective Studies
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SARS-CoV-2
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Breakthrough Infections
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COVID-19 Vaccines
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COVID-19
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T-Lymphocytes
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China/epidemiology*
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Antibodies, Viral
8.Mid-term efficacy of China Net Childhood Lymphoma-mature B-cell lymphoma 2017 regimen in the treatment of pediatric Burkitt lymphoma.
Meng ZHANG ; Pan WU ; Yan Long DUAN ; Ling JIN ; Jing YANG ; Shuang HUANG ; Ying LIU ; Bo HU ; Xiao Wen ZHAI ; Hong Sheng WANG ; Yang FU ; Fu LI ; Xiao Mei YANG ; An Sheng LIU ; Shuang QIN ; Xiao Jun YUAN ; Yu Shuang DONG ; Wei LIU ; Jian Wen ZHOU ; Le Ping ZHANG ; Yue Ping JIA ; Jian WANG ; Li Jun QU ; Yun Peng DAI ; Guo Tao GUAN ; Li Rong SUN ; Jian JIANG ; Rong LIU ; Run Ming JIN ; Zhu Jun WANG ; Xi Ge WANG ; Bao Xi ZHANG ; Kai Lan CHEN ; Shu Quan ZHUANG ; Jing ZHANG ; Chun Ju ZHOU ; Zi Fen GAO ; Min Cui ZHENG ; Yonghong ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Pediatrics 2022;60(10):1011-1018
Objective: To analyze the clinical characteristics of children with Burkitt lymphoma (BL) and to summarize the mid-term efficacy of China Net Childhood Lymphoma-mature B-cell lymphoma 2017 (CNCL-B-NHL-2017) regimen. Methods: Clinical features of 436 BL patients who were ≤18 years old and treated with the CNCL-B-NHL-2017 regimen from May 2017 to April 2021 were analyzed retrospectively. Clinical characteristics of patients at disease onset were analyzed and the therapeutic effects of patients with different clinical stages and risk groups were compared. Survival analysis was performed by Kaplan-Meier method, and Cox regression was used to identify the prognostic factors. Results: Among 436 patients, there were 368 (84.4%) males and 68 (15.6%) females, the age of disease onset was 6.0 (4.0, 9.0) years old. According to the St. Jude staging system, there were 4 patients (0.9%) with stage Ⅰ, 30 patients (6.9%) with stage Ⅱ, 217 patients (49.8%) with stage Ⅲ, and 185 patients (42.4%) with stage Ⅳ. All patients were stratified into following risk groups: group A (n=1, 0.2%), group B1 (n=46, 10.6%), group B2 (n=19, 4.4%), group C1 (n=285, 65.4%), group C2 (n=85, 19.5%). Sixty-three patients (14.4%) were treated with chemotherapy only and 373 patients (85.6%) were treated with chemotherapy combined with rituximab. Twenty-one patients (4.8%) suffered from progressive disease, 3 patients (0.7%) relapsed, and 13 patients (3.0%) died of treatment-related complications. The follow-up time of all patients was 24.0 (13.0, 35.0) months, the 2-year event free survival (EFS) rate of all patients was (90.9±1.4) %. The 2-year EFS rates of group A, B1, B2, C1 and C2 were 100.0%, 100.0%, (94.7±5.1) %, (90.7±1.7) % and (85.9±4.0) %, respectively. The 2-year EFS rates was higher in group A, B1, and B2 than those in group C1 (χ2=4.16, P=0.041) and group C2 (χ2=7.21, P=0.007). The 2-year EFS rates of the patients treated with chemotherapy alone and those treated with chemotherapy combined with rituximab were (79.3±5.1)% and (92.9±1.4)% (χ2=14.23, P<0.001) respectively. Multivariate analysis showed that stage Ⅳ (including leukemia stage), serum lactate dehydrogenase (LDH)>4-fold normal value, and with residual tumor in the mid-term evaluation were risk factors for poor prognosis (HR=1.38,1.23,8.52,95%CI 1.05-1.82,1.05-1.43,3.96-18.30). Conclusions: The CNCL-B-NHL-2017 regimen show significant effect in the treatment of pediatric BL. The combination of rituximab improve the efficacy further.
Adolescent
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Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols/therapeutic use*
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Burkitt Lymphoma/drug therapy*
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Child
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Disease-Free Survival
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Female
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Humans
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Lactate Dehydrogenases
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Lymphoma, B-Cell/drug therapy*
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Male
;
Prognosis
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Retrospective Studies
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Rituximab/therapeutic use*
;
Treatment Outcome
9.The diagnostic potential of Golgi protein 73 for cirrhosis in patients with chronic hepatitis C.
Peng Fei WANG ; Shu Hong LIU ; Xiang Jun QIAN ; Xiang Wei ZHAI ; Xia Jie WEN ; Ming Jie YAO ; Jing Min ZHAO ; Fengmin LU
Chinese Journal of Hepatology 2022;30(8):879-884
Objective: To explore the diagnostic value and model of serum Golgi protein 73 (GP73) in patients with hepatitis C cirrhosis. Methods: 271 cases with chronic hepatitis C virus infection who were treated in the Fifth Medical Center of PLA General Hospital from January 2010 to December 2017 were retrospectively collected as the research objects, including 126 cases with hepatitis and 145 cases with liver cirrhosis. Serum GP73 and liver stiffness measurement (LSM) based on transient elastography test were performed in all patients. Simultaneously, blood routine, liver function, coagulation function and other related indicators were collected. GP73 diagnostic efficiency for liver cirrhosis was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC). GP73 diagnostic value was clarified after comparison with aspartate aminotransferase/platelet ratio index (APRI), FIB-4 index (FIB-4) and LSM. Compensated hepatitis C virus-related cirrhosis diagnostic model based on serological index was established by logistic regression analysis. Results: The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of GP73, LSM, FIB-4 and APRI in the diagnosis of compensated hepatitis C virus-related cirrhosis were 0.923, 0.839, 0.836 and 0.800 respectively, and GP73 had the best diagnostic efficiency (P <0.001). LSM and GP73 combined use had improved the diagnostic sensitivity of cirrhosis to 97.24%. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that GP73, age, and platelets were independent predictors of cirrhosis.Compensated hepatitis C virus-related cirrhosis diagnostic model (GAP) was established based on the result: LogitP=1/[1+exp(6.145+0.013×platelet-0.059×age-0.059×GP73)].AUC model for diagnosing compensated liver cirrhosis was 0.944, and the optimal cut-off value was 0.56, with sensitivity and specificity of 84.03% and 92.06%, respectively, and the diagnostic efficiency of this model was better than that of APRI, FIB-4, LSM and GP73 alone (P<0.05). Conclusion: GP73 is a reliable serum biomarker for the diagnosis of compensated hepatitis C virus-related cirrhosis. The GAP diagnostic model based on GP73, platelet count, and age can further improve the diagnostic efficiency and help to diagnose patients with compensated hepatitis C virus-related cirrhosis.
Aspartate Aminotransferases
;
Biomarkers
;
Fibrosis
;
Hepatitis C
;
Hepatitis C, Chronic/complications*
;
Humans
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Infant, Newborn
;
Liver/pathology*
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Liver Cirrhosis/pathology*
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Polyesters
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ROC Curve
;
Retrospective Studies
10.Impact of adjuvant chemotherapy on prognosis in intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma patients underwent radical resection.
Jing Bo SU ; Jing Wei ZHANG ; Chen CHEN ; Ying He QIU ; Hong WU ; Tian Qiang SONG ; Yu HE ; Xian Hai MAO ; Wen Long ZHAI ; Zhang Jun CHENG ; Jing Dong LI ; Shu Bin SI ; Zhi Qiang CAI ; Zhi Min GENG ; Zhao Hui TANG
Chinese Journal of Surgery 2022;60(4):356-362
Objectives: To investigate the clinical value of adjuvant chemotherapy(ACT) in patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma(ICC) who underwent radical resection and to explore the optimal population that can benefit from ACT. Methods: A retrospective cohort study method was adopted. The clinical and pathological data of 685 patients with ICC who underwent curative intent resection in 10 Chinese hepatobiliary surgery centers from January 2010 to December 2018 were collected;There were 355 males and 330 females. The age(M(IQR)) was 58(14) years (range: 22 to 83 years). Propensity score matching(PSM) was applied to balance the differences between the adjuvant and non-adjuvant chemotherapy groups. Log-rank test was used to compare the prognosis of the two groups of patients. A Bayesian network recurrence-free survival(RFS) prediction model was constructed using the median RFS time (14 months) as the target variable, and the importance of the relevant prognostic factors was ranked according to the multistate Birnbaum importance calculation. A survival prognostic prediction table was established to analyze the population benefiting from adjuvant chemotherapy. Results: Among 685 patients,214 received ACT and 471 did not receive ACT. A total of 124 pairs of patients were included after PSM, and patients in the ACT group had better overall survival (OS) and RFS than those in the non-ACT group(OS: 32.2 months vs. 18.0 months,P=0.003;RFS:18.0 months vs. 10.0 months,P=0.001). The area under the curve of the Bayesian network RFS prediction model was 0.7124. The results of the prognostic factors in order of importance were microvascular invasion (0.158 2),perineural invasion (0.158 2),N stage (0.155 8),T stage (0.120 9), hepatic envelope invasion (0.090 3),adjuvant chemotherapy (0.072 1), tumor location (0.057 5), age (0.042 3), pathological differentiation (0.034 0), sex (0.029 3), alpha-fetoprotein (0.028 9) and preoperative jaundice (0.008 5). A survival prediction table based on the variables with importance greater than 0.1 (microvascular invasion,perineural invasion,N stage,T staging) and ACT showed that all patients benefited from ACT (increase in the probability of RFS≥14 months from 2.21% to 7.68%), with a more significant increase in the probability of RFS≥14 months after ACT in early-stage patients. Conclusion: ACT after radical resection in patients with ICC significantly prolongs the OS and RFS of patients, and the benefit of ACT is greater in early patients.
Bayes Theorem
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Bile Duct Neoplasms/surgery*
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Bile Ducts, Intrahepatic/pathology*
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Chemotherapy, Adjuvant
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Cholangiocarcinoma/surgery*
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Female
;
Humans
;
Male
;
Prognosis
;
Retrospective Studies

Result Analysis
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