Objective:To construct an ensemble machine learning model for predicting the occurrence of clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula (CR-POPF) after pancreaticoduodenectomy and evaluate its application value.Methods:This is a research on predictive model. Clinical data of 421 patients undergoing pancreaticoduodenectomy in the Department of Pancreatic Surgery,Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College,Huazhong University of Science and Technology from June 2020 to May 2023 were retrospectively collected. There were 241 males (57.2%) and 180 females (42.8%) with an age of (59.7±11.0)years (range: 12 to 85 years).The research objects were divided into training set (315 cases) and test set (106 cases) by stratified random sampling in the ratio of 3∶1. Recursive feature elimination is used to screen features,nine machine learning algorithms are used to model,three groups of models with better fitting ability are selected,and the ensemble model was constructed by Stacking algorithm for model fusion. The model performance was evaluated by various indexes,and the interpretability of the optimal model was analyzed by Shapley Additive Explanations(SHAP) method. The patients in the test set were divided into different risk groups according to the prediction probability (P) of the alternative pancreatic fistula risk score system (a-FRS). The a-FRS score was validated and the predictive efficacy of the model was compared.Results:Among 421 patients,CR-POPF occurred in 84 cases (20.0%). In the test set,the Stacking ensemble model performs best,with the area under the curve (AUC) of the subject′s work characteristic curve being 0.823,the accuracy being 0.83,the F1 score being 0.63,and the Brier score being 0.097. SHAP summary map showed that the top 9 factors affecting CR-POPF after pancreaticoduodenectomy were pancreatic duct diameter,CT value ratio,postoperative serum amylase,IL-6,body mass index,operative time,albumin difference before and after surgery,procalcitonin and IL-10. The effects of each feature on the occurrence of CR-POPF after pancreaticoduodenectomy showed a complex nonlinear relationship. The risk of CR-POPF increased when pancreatic duct diameter<3.5 mm,CT value ratio<0.95,postoperative serum amylase concentration>150 U/L,IL-6 level>280 ng/L,operative time>350 minutes,and albumin decreased by more than 10 g/L. The AUC of a-FRS in the test set was 0.668,and the prediction performance of a-FRS was lower than that of the Stacking ensemble machine learning model.Conclusion:The ensemble machine learning model constructed in this study can predict the occurrence of CR-POPF after pancreaticoduodenectomy,and has the potential to be a tool for personalized diagnosis and treatment after pancreaticoduodenectomy.

Objective:To construct an ensemble machine learning model for predicting the occurrence of clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula (CR-POPF) after pancreaticoduodenectomy and evaluate its application value.Methods:This is a research on predictive model. Clinical data of 421 patients undergoing pancreaticoduodenectomy in the Department of Pancreatic Surgery,Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College,Huazhong University of Science and Technology from June 2020 to May 2023 were retrospectively collected. There were 241 males (57.2%) and 180 females (42.8%) with an age of (59.7±11.0)years (range: 12 to 85 years).The research objects were divided into training set (315 cases) and test set (106 cases) by stratified random sampling in the ratio of 3∶1. Recursive feature elimination is used to screen features,nine machine learning algorithms are used to model,three groups of models with better fitting ability are selected,and the ensemble model was constructed by Stacking algorithm for model fusion. The model performance was evaluated by various indexes,and the interpretability of the optimal model was analyzed by Shapley Additive Explanations(SHAP) method. The patients in the test set were divided into different risk groups according to the prediction probability (P) of the alternative pancreatic fistula risk score system (a-FRS). The a-FRS score was validated and the predictive efficacy of the model was compared.Results:Among 421 patients,CR-POPF occurred in 84 cases (20.0%). In the test set,the Stacking ensemble model performs best,with the area under the curve (AUC) of the subject′s work characteristic curve being 0.823,the accuracy being 0.83,the F1 score being 0.63,and the Brier score being 0.097. SHAP summary map showed that the top 9 factors affecting CR-POPF after pancreaticoduodenectomy were pancreatic duct diameter,CT value ratio,postoperative serum amylase,IL-6,body mass index,operative time,albumin difference before and after surgery,procalcitonin and IL-10. The effects of each feature on the occurrence of CR-POPF after pancreaticoduodenectomy showed a complex nonlinear relationship. The risk of CR-POPF increased when pancreatic duct diameter<3.5 mm,CT value ratio<0.95,postoperative serum amylase concentration>150 U/L,IL-6 level>280 ng/L,operative time>350 minutes,and albumin decreased by more than 10 g/L. The AUC of a-FRS in the test set was 0.668,and the prediction performance of a-FRS was lower than that of the Stacking ensemble machine learning model.Conclusion:The ensemble machine learning model constructed in this study can predict the occurrence of CR-POPF after pancreaticoduodenectomy,and has the potential to be a tool for personalized diagnosis and treatment after pancreaticoduodenectomy.

Objective:To investigate the clinical efficacy of pancreaticoduodenectomy with TRIANGLE operation in the treatment of pancreatic head cancer.Methods:The retrospective cohort study was conducted. The clinicopathological data of 51 patients with pancreatic head cancer who were admitted to the Sichuan Provincial People′s Hospital, Affiliated Hospital of School of Medicine of University of Electronic Science and Technology of China from January 2017 to July 2018 were collected. There were 33 males and 18 females, aged from 42 to 74 years, with a median age of 56 years. Of the 51 patients, 24 cases undergoing standard pancreaticoduodenectomy, in which No.12, 13 and 17 lymph nodes were dissected, combined with transcatheter arterial infusion chemo-therapy (TAI) were allocated into the standard group, and 27 cases undergoing pancreaticoduo-denectomy with TRIANGLE operation, in which No.7, 8, 9, 12, 13, 16, 17 lymph nodes were dissected, combined with TAI were allocated into the TRIANGLE group, respectively. Observation indicators: (1) intraoperative conditions of the two groups; (2) postoperative conditions of the two groups; (3) follow-up and survival. Follow-up was conducted using outpatient examination and telephone interview once three months to detect tumor recurrence and metastasis and survival of patients up to July 2021 or the death of patient. Measurement data with normal distribution were represented as Mean± SD, and comparison between groups was analyzed using the t test. Measurement data with skewed distribution were represented as M(range), and comparison between groups was analyzed using the chi-square test or the Fisher exact probability. Comparison of ordinal data was analyzed using the rank sum test. Kaplan‐Meier method was used to calculate the survival rate and median survival time and draw survival curve. Log‐Rank test was used for survival analysis. Results:(1) Comparison of intraoperative conditions between the two groups. The operation time, volume of intraoperative blood loss, cases with intraoperative blood transfusion were (501±61)minutes, (563±278)mL, 4 in the standard group, versus (556±46)minutes, (489±234)mL, 6 in the TRIANGLE group, respectively. There was a significant difference in the operation time between the two groups ( t=3.62, P<0.05) but there was no significant difference in the volume of intraoperative blood loss or cases with intraoperative blood transfusion between the two groups ( t=1.03, χ2=0.25, P>0.05). (2) Comparison of postoperative conditions between the two groups. Of the 51 patients, 30 had 50 times of postoperative complications, including 18 times of grade Ⅰ complications of Clavien-Dindo classification, 29 times of grade Ⅱ complications of Clavien-Dindo classification, 2 times of grade Ⅲa complications of Clavien-Dindo classification, 1 time of grade Ⅲb complications of Clavien-Dindo classification, respectively. Cases with postoperative complications, cases with delayed gastric emptying, cases without or with pancreatic fistula as class A or class B, cases with biliary fistula, cases with bleeding, cases with diarrhea were 15, 4, 13, 7, 4, 4, 2, 2 in the standard group, versus 15, 6, 14, 10, 3, 4, 1, 3 in the TRIANGLE group, respectively. There was no significant difference in cases with postoperative complications, cases with delayed gastric emptying, cases with pancreatic fistula between the two groups ( χ2=0.16, 0.02, Z=-0.04, P>0.05) and there was no significant difference in cases with biliary fistula, cases with bleeding, cases with diarrhea between the two groups ( P>0.05). Cases with complications as Clavien-Dindo grade Ⅰ, grade Ⅱ, grade Ⅲ were 10, 11, 2 in the standard group, versus 8, 18, 1 in the TRIANGLE group, showing no significant difference between the two groups ( Z=-0.67, P>0.05). The duration of postoperative hospital stay was (23±8)days in both of the standard group and the TRIANGLE group, showing no significant difference between the two groups ( t=0.31, P>0.05). (3) Follow-up and survival. All the 51 patients were followed-up for 6 to 54 months, with a median follow-up time of 17 months. The postoperative 1-year overall survival rate was 75.0% and 81.5% in the standard group and the TRIANGLE group, respectively. The postoperative 3-year overall survival rate was 12.5% and 22.2% in the standard group and the TRIANGLE group, respectively. The median postoperative survival time was 15.00 months (95% confidence interval as 12.63 to 17.37 months) and 21.00 months (95% confidence interval as 15.91 to 19.62 months) in the standard group and the TRIANGLE group, respectively. There was a significant difference in survival of patients between the two groups ( χ2=4.30, P<0.05). Cases with tumor recurrence during post-operative 1 year and 3 year were 9 and 20 in the standard group, versus 6 and 15 in the TRIANGLE group, respectively. There was no significant difference in cases with tumor recurrence during postoperative 1 year between the two groups ( P>0.05) and there was a significant difference in cases with tumor recurrence during postoperative 3 year between the two groups ( P<0.05). Conclusion:Compared with standard pancreaticoduodenectomy, pancreaticoduodenectomy with TRIANGLE operation can prolong the median survival time of patients with pancreatic head cancer without increasing surgical related complications.

For more than one hundred years, the surgery and non-surgery around acute necrosis pancreatitis, early and late stage-operative surgery have been strive explored, and every change in treatment concept, technological progress and breakthrough in efficacy have been gradually summarized and improved in practice.Clinical practice and basic research gradually clarified the understanding of the pathological physiological process of acute necrosis pancreatitis "two peaks of death", greatly improved the treatment of early organ failure, deepened the understanding of the diversity of pathological of local complications of acute necrosis pancreatitis, and changed the treatment mode of necrosis pancreatitis. A modern comprehensive treatment system has been gradually formed. That is, in the early stage of the disease, to prevent and control multi-organ failure as the main axis; In the later stage, to explore the best surgical intervention time as the main axis, the implementation of micro-invasive and open combination of intervention strategy, and strive to explore and improve the success rate of one-time surgery. At present, China′s treatment level of acute necrosis pancreatitis in many large-capacity centers is in the forefront of the world. Through the Pancreatic Surgery Group of Surgery Society of Chinese Medical Association′s tour of the Guide and a large number of academic exchanges, the level of treatment of necrosis pancreatitis in China′s primary hospitals is also constantly improving. Therefore, we have reasons to believe that the day when China′s acute necrotizing pancreatitis diagnosis and treatment level can break further will not be far away.

At present, around the surgical and non-surgical treatment of acute necrotic pancreatitis, early surgery or late surgery, minimally invasive intervention or open surgery, consensus is gradually formed. Further exploring the optimal surgical timing and surgical techniques for the debridement, combination of the surgical and minimally invasive intervention strategies, and improving the success rate of delayed one-time surgical intervention is the key to further reduce the mortality rate of acute necrotic pancreatitis of the late stage. In the past two decades, the treatment mode of the late stage of acute necrotic pancreatitis had been changed extremely as the understanding of the pathology of local complications of acute necrosis pancreatitis has been deepened. From the early open surgery for abdominal decompression in the late 20th century to the planned multiple surgical debridement, and then to the postponement one-time surgery, as well as the development of step-up approach procedures in recent years, changement in the concept of treatment gradually achieved a breakthrough in efficacy. Compared with the techniques of different procedures for necrotic tissues, the choice of surgical timing is more important to the success of treatment. From the evidence-based results of existing studies of acute necrotic pancreatitis, it is not possible to determine the advantages of surgical techniques to improve the prognosis due to the complexity of acute necrotic pancreatitis, individual differences and limited results from multicenter research. The proper timing of surgery is indisputable in the role of improving the surgical effect of acute necrosis pancreatitis. The author reviews the clinical data of more than 1, 000 patients treated by the analytical team for the treatment of acute necrotic pancreatitis, and discusses the timing of surgical intervention and the clinical significance of technology for improving prognosis for the late stage of acute necrotic pancreatitis.

Pancreatic cancer is a common malignancy with the worst prognosis.Radical surgery has been the only curative treatment for pancreatic cancer.With the advancement of surgical techniques and the implementation of the concept of comprehensive treatment for cancer in recent years,neoadjuvant therapy for pancreatic cancer has received more attention.There are continuing controversies in the hotspots and difficulties,with opportunities and challenges coexisting.Four famous experts and their teams in pancreatic surgery discussed selection strategy of neoadjuvant therapy for pancreatic cancer based on clinical experiences.Professor Wang Chunyou proposed that surgery was prior for patients with a higher likelihood of achieving R0 resection for pancreatic cancer to avoid the possibility of tumor progression and loss the opportanity of radical resection during neoadjuvant therapy.For patients with less chance of radical resection for pancreatic cancer and unresectable pancreatic cancer,neoadjuvant therapy is worthy of a positive attempt.Professor Jin Gang and his team believed that neoadjuvant therapy played an important role in improving the survival time of patients with pancreatic head cancer,especially with borderline resectable pancreatic head cancer.After neoadjuvant therapy,pancreatic surgeons should pay attention to improvement of surgery safety and R0 resection rate.Professor Dai Menghua and his team suggested that patients with resectable pancreatic cancer and borderline resectable pancreatic cancer could benefit from neoadjuvant therapy,which required proof from clinical trials.Surgeons should choose the appropriate treatment strategy based on guidelines and individual conditions for patients with pancreatic cancer.Professor Shao Cheghao and his team suggested that surgical treatment after neoadjuvant therapy or translational therapy for locally advanced pancreatic head cancer is safe,effective and feasible,especially for pancreaticoduodenectomy with combined revascularization.For the treatment of patients with pancreatic head cancer after neoadjuvant chemotherapy,the choice of next treatment options,evaluation indicators,timing of surgery and surgical methods need to be further studied.

Objective To investigate the effect of axial load test in Taylor spatial frame treatment of external fixation for tibia and fibula fractures.Methods A retrospective case-control study was conducted to analyze the clinical data of 36 patients with open fracture of tibia and fibula admitted to Tianjin Hospital from March 2015 to June 2017.There were 22 males and 14 females,aged 21-71 years[(46.1±14.2)years].All patients received Taylor spatial frame external fixation for tibia and fibula fracture within 1 week after injury.After operation,18 patients received axial load test(experiment group),and the other 18 did not(control group).When the value of axial load test was less than 5% in experiment group,the Taylor spatial frame was removed.The control group used traditional method to remove the Taylor spatial frame.Comparisons were made between the two groups in terms of treatment duration,total cost,re-fracture after Taylor spatial frame removal and incidence of stent-tract infection.Results All patients were followed up for 3-14 months with an average of 8.6 months.Compared with control group,the treatment duration[(36.17±11 .44)weeks vs.(44.50±9.16)weeks]and total cost[(93.7±7.9)thousand yuan vs.(120.1±10.6)thousand yuan]of experiment group were significantly lower(P＜0.05).In the experiment group,there was 0 patient with re-fracture and two patients with stent-tract infection,with the complication incidence of 11%,while there were two patients with re-fracture and three patients with stent-tract infection,with the complication incidence of 28% in the control group(P＞0.05).Conclusions After Taylor spatial frame external fixation for tibia and fibula fractures,regular axial load test can safely and timely guide the removal of Taylor spatial frame.It can reduce the treatment duration and cost compared with the traditional removal method,being safe and reliable.

Necrotizing pancreatitis is a complicated disease with multiple clinical outcomes. Although it's hard to select appropriate treatment strategies, it's still an important branch in improving the curative effect. The pathology and outcome of local complications of necrotizing pancreatitis show great diversity and individualized differences in different patients and stages of pathogenesis. Currently, a variety of treatment strategies for local complications of necrotizing pancreatitis, including minimally invasive treatment and laparotomy, can be selected. Removal of infected and necrotic tissues and adequate drainage of peripancreatic effusion are the basic principles. In clinical practice, minimally invasive and laparotomy strategies should be dialectically implemented according to the specific conditions and indications of patients. And we should avoid unilaterally emphasizing one method over the other or invariably using one method to deal with all patients' conditions. Clinical practice has proved that the choice of operation time is more decisive than the selection of debridement method to the success of treatment for local complications of necrotizing pancreatitis. As long as the operation time is appropriate, any debridement method can achieve good results. Therefore, we should avoid the overemphasis on debridement method, and ignore the significance of operation time for patients. In clinical practice, we are supposed to attach importance to the timing of intervention and selection of intervention methods according to the specific conditions of patients.

Objective: To investigate the changes of surgical invitations on necrotizing pancreatitis in recent 14 years by reviewing single center data. Methods: One thousand and eighty patients with necrotizing pancreatitis who received surgical invitation were involved in the study.All the patients were treated at Department of Pancreatic Surgery, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology from January 2005 to December 2018. Six hundred and seventy-eight were males and 402 were females. The median (range) age of the study patients was 45 (20-76) years.The etiology of the disease was related to cholelithiasis in 335 cases(31.02%), hyperlipemia in 302 cases(27.96%), alcohol in 226 cases(20.93%), endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography in 28 cases(2.59%), pregnancy in 50 cases(4.63%), idiopathic factors in 72 cases(6.67%) and other causes in 67 cases(6.20%). The patients were divided into two groups according to the time of admission. Group 1 included 1 475 patients that admitted from January 2005 to December 2010, and group 2 included 1 539 patients that admitted from January 2011 to December 2018. The surgical interventions, morbidity and mortality of the two group were compared, and χ² test was used for the statistical test. Results: Two hundred and sixty-six among the 1 080 cases were treated with drainage procedures because of the pseudocyst.One hundred and seventy-five drainage procedures were performed between January 2005 and December 2018, which account for 11.87%(175/1 475) of all patients of necrotizing pancreatitis; 91 drainage procedures were performed between January 2011 and December 2018, which account for 5.91%(91/1 539) of all patients of necrotizing pancreatitis. Eight hundred and fourteen cases received surgical intervention for infection of necrotizing tissues. Of these cases, 410 cases received percutaneous catheter drainage(PCD) of retroperitoneal fluid or residual infection. Debridement of necrotic tissues was performed on 756 cases. Of these cases, 32 cases received minimal invasive retroperitoneal debridement with/without denotes video assistant, 4 cases received transluminal endoscopic debridement, 21 cases received laparoscopic debridement, and 709 cases received open laparotic debridement.Three hundred and sixty-five cases were admitted to our institute during January 2005 to December 2010, and the other 391 cases were admitted to our institute from January 2011 to December 2018. Of the first period, all debridement were performed with open laparotic procedures. Of the second period, debridement were performed with open laparotic procedures and minimal invasive procedures. The average times of surgical invasion, morbidity of principal local complications and mortality of the two periods were 1.27 and 1.34,28.22%(103/365) and 29.92%(117/346), and 6.03%(23/365) and 6.91%(27/346), respectively. Conclusions Minimal invasive procedures can be considered for debridement in patients with necrotizing pancreatitis in some selected conditions.The involvements of minimal invasive procedures in treatment of necrotizing pancreatitis don′t decrease the morbidity of principal local complications and mortality in recent years. Rational surgical procedures and appropriate surgical timing are the keys to improve the efficacy of necrotizing pancreatitis.

Objective: To investigate the clinical efficacy of minimal access retroperitoneal pancreatic necrosectomy (MARPN) for infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN). Methods: The retrospective cohort study was conducted. The clinical data of 61 patients with IPN who were admitted to Union Hospital Affiliated to Tongji Medical College of Huazhong University of Science and Technology between January 2014 and December 2017 were collected. There were 39 males and 22 females, aged 36-67 years, with a median age of 49 years. Of 61 patients, 40 undergoing open surgery were allocated into open group, and 21 undergoing MARPN were allocated into MARPN group. All the patients underwent surgical treatments after standard non-surgical treatments according to the Guidelines for the diagnosis and treatment of severe acute pancreatitis (2014 edition). Observation indicators: (1) intraoperative and postoperative situations; (2) follow-up. Follow-up using telephone interview or outpatient examination was performed to detect weight loss, pathoglycemia, steatorrhea, intestinal obstruction, and pancreatic portal hypertension for one year after surgery up to December 2017. Measurement data with normal distribution were represented as Mean±SD, and comparison between groups was analyzed using the t test. Count data were represented as absolute numbers or percentages, and comparison between groups was done using the chi-square test. Results: (1) Intraoperative and postoperative situations: operation time, time to out-of-bed activity, time to initial food intake, cases with reoperation, cases with postoperative multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS), incidence rate of postoperative complications, mortality, time to drainage-tube removal, duration of hospital stay, and hospital expenses were (77±20)minutes, (13.0±3.6)days, (9.0±2.7)days, 8, 9, 45.0%(18/40), 7.5%(3/40), (37.0±6.3)days, (49±8)days, (84 321±8 872)yuan in the open group, and (59±20)minutes, (2.7±0.9)days, (1.9±0.4)days, 6, 2, 19.0%(4/21), 0, (21.0±2.7)days, (39±6)days, (58 594±3 576)yuan in the MARPN group, respectively, showing no significant difference in the cases with reoperation (χ²=0.69, P>0.05) but significant differences in the other indices between the two groups (t=4.24, 9.61, 15.34, χ²=23.76, 4.02, 36.03, t=11.07, 5.93, 8.43, P<0.05). There were 18 patients with postoperative complications in the open group, including 2 with digestive hemorrhage, 3 with abdominal hemorrhage, 9 with pancreatic leakage, and 4 with intestinal leakage. There were 4 patients with postoperative complications in the MARPN group, including 3 with pancreatic leakage, and 1 with intestinal leakage. Patients with complications were treated by endoscopy, interventional therapy, placement of jejunal nutrition tube, and ileum stoma. Three patients in the open group died, and all the patients in the MARPN group were cured. (2) Follow-up: 47 of 61 patients were followed up for one year, including 31 in the open group and 16 in the MARPN group. During the follow-up, weight loss, pathoglycemia, steatorrhea, intestinal obstruction, and pancreatic portal hypertension were detected in 4, 11, 5, 4, 5 patients of the open group and in 2, 6, 2, 0, 3 patients of the MARPN group, showing no statistically significant difference between the two groups (χ²=0.18, 0.02, 0.01, 0.03, 0.90, P>0.05). Conclusion MARPN for IPN is safe and reliable, with certain efficacy, which can effectively reduce incidence of postoperative complication, motality and shorten hospital stay.