1.Comparison of the in-hospital mortality risk predictive models among patients with ischemic stroke combined by dysphagia based on interpretable machine learning
Yaoyong TAI ; Shengyong WU ; Xiao LUO ; Ronghui ZHU ; Qian HE ; Cheng WU
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;37(3):199-205
ObjectiveTo predict the in-hospital mortality risk among patients with ischemic stroke combined by dysphagia using interpretable machine learning methods, so as to provide more evidence-based support for the prognosis prediction of patients with ischemic stroke combined by dysphagia. MethodsMedical record of 308 patients diagnosed with ischemic stroke combined by dysphagia in the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care Ⅳ (MIMIC-Ⅳ) (2.0) in the United States were retrospectively analyzed. Features of the research data were screened based on the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator, and which were randomly divided into a training set and a test set at a ratio of 7∶3. Then ten models, including logistic regression, random forest, K-nearest neighbor, linear discriminant analysis, naive bayes (NB), neural network, quadratic discriminant analysis, recursive partitioning tree, extreme gradient boosting tree, and support vector machine, etc. were constructed. The predictive effect was measured by calculating the area under the curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristics. In addition, the calibration curve and Brier score were used to evaluate the calibration degree of the model, and the decision curve was drawn to reflect the clinical net benefit. The Shapley additive explanation method was used to analyze the interpretability of the black box model and explore the important decision-making factors. ResultsThe NB model in the test set showed better predictive ability compared with other models (AUC=0.85, 95%CI: 0.83‒0.88). After interpretability analysis, it was found that blood urea nitrogen (BUN), age, sequential organ failure assessment, bicarbonate, chloride, and hypertension were important risk factors for in-hospital mortality in patients with ischemic stroke combined by dysphagia. ConclusionThe comprehensive performance of the NB model is better than that of the other nine models in predicting the risk of in-hospital mortality in patients with ischemic stroke combined by dysphagia. The interpretability of the model can help clinicians better understand the reasons behind the results and take further reasonable intervention measures for risk factors to improve the survival probability of patients.
2. The regulatory mechanism of physiological sleep-wake
Wei-Jie LU ; Kai LIU ; Xin-Ke ZHAO ; Qian-Rong LI ; Ying-Dong LI ; Guo-Tai WU
Chinese Pharmacological Bulletin 2024;40(3):421-426
This paper explains the mechanism of the mutual switching between physiological sleep and wakefulness from the aspects of the sleep circadian system and the sleep homeostasis system. In the circadian rhythm system, with the suprachiasmatic nucleus as the core, the anatomical connections between the suprachiasmatic nucleusand various systems that affect sleep are summarized, starting from the suprachiasmatic nucleus, passing through the four pathways of the melatonin system, namely, subventricular area of the hypothalamus, the ventrolateral nucleus of the preoptic area, orexin neurons, and melatonin, then the related mechanisms of their regulation of sleep and wakefulness are expounded. In the sleep homeostasis system, with adenosine and prostaglandin D2 as targets, the role of hypnogen in sleep arousal mechanisms in regulation is also expounded.
3.Best evidence summary on prehabilitation interventions of patients undergoing elective gastrointestinal surgery
Rui TAI ; Fang FANG ; Fu YANG ; Qian YU
Chinese Journal of Nursing 2024;59(2):236-244
Objective To retrieve,evaluate and summarize the best evidence of prehabilitation interventions of patients undergoing elective gastrointestinal surgery,so as to provide references for clinical application.Methods All evidence on prehabilitation interventions of patients undergoing elective gastrointestinal surgery was retrieved from databases and websites including UpToDate,JBI Library,PubMed,CINAHL,Cochrane Library,CNKI,CBM,Wanfang and NGC,SIGN,NICE,NZGG,RNAO,ONS,ESPEN,CGC,CACA,CAMCSPEN.The retrieved evidence inclu-ded guidelines,clinical decisions,expert consensuses,evidence summaries,systematic reviews,randomized controlled trials,et al.The retrieval time limit was from the database construction to March,2022.Results Totally 21 articles were involved,including 6 guidelines,8 expert consensuses,2 meta-analyses and 5 systematic reviews.The overall quality of the included literature was high.Finally,22 pieces of best evidence about nutritional support,exercise training and psychological intervention were summarized.Conclusion The best evidence for prehabilitation intervention of patients undergoing elective gastrointestinal surgery summarized in this study is scientific and practical to a certain extent,which can provide bases for clinical workers to carry out prehabilitation clinical practice.
4.Research progress of DNA methylation in the diagnosis and treatment of nasopharyngeal carcinoma
Zhiwei ZHOU ; Tai QIAN ; Qiongxia ZHANG ; Dingsheng WEN ; Yuli LIU ; Honghao ZHOU
Chinese Journal of Laboratory Medicine 2024;47(4):455-459
Nasopharyngeal carcinoma is a common malignant tumor in southern China, and its occurrence and development mechanism are still not fully understood. However, a large number of studies have shown that DNA methylation has important clinical application value in the screening, diagnosis, treatment and prognosis evaluation of nasopharyngeal carcinoma. DNA methylation affects the division cycle, growth, invasion and migration of nasopharyngeal carcinoma cells by regulating the transcription and protein expression levels of genes associated with tumorigenesis and development. In addition, there are significant differences in DNA methylation expression levels in different stages of nasopharyngeal carcinoma, which provides theoretical guidance and clinical reference for the early diagnosis, timely treatment and response evaluation of nasopharyngeal carcinoma. Current studies have shown that DNA methylation detection may provide a simple and efficient early screening method for nasopharyngeal carcinoma, and can also explore new ideas for the development of non-invasive screening methods.
5.Comparison of the efficacy of phlebotomy under touch pain point and ultrasound-guided puncture decompression in the treatment of acute calcific supraspinatus tendinitis
Hao-Chen TANG ; Rui HU ; Liu-Gang TANG ; Chen ZHAO ; Qian LUO ; Mei WANG ; Guang-Shen CAO ; Tai LIU
China Journal of Orthopaedics and Traumatology 2024;37(7):689-693
Objective To compare the efficacy of blood letting under pain point touch and ultrasound-guided puncture de-compression in the treatment of acute supraspinatus muscle calcifying tendinitis.Methods From January 2020 to January 2023,45 patients with acute supraspinatus muscle calcifying tendinitis were selected and divided into treatment group and control group.In the treatment group,a total of 22 patients were treated with ultrasound-guided puncture decompression,in-cluding 16 females and 6 males,aged from 20 to 64 years old(39.31±5.80)years old,11 on the left shoulder and 11 on the right shoulder.In the control group,there were 23 cases,including 15 females and 8 males,aged from 19 to 66 years old(40.67±6.13)years old,12 on the left shoulder and 13 on the right shoulder.The treatment was treated with pain point touch bloodletting therapy.The visual analog scale(VAS)pain score,University of California,Los Angeles(UCLA)shoulder system score and shoulder Constant-Murley score were used to evaluate the therapeutic effect before treatment,1 weeks,1 month and 3 months after treatment,respectively.Results One patient in the control group gave up follow-up for personal reasons after 1 week of treatment,and the other 44 patients completed all follow-up.Six months after treatment,there were no recurrence cases in both groups.After statistical analysis,VAS pain score,UCLA score and Constant-Murley score of the treatment group and the control group were significantly different from those before treatment(P<0.05),and the improvement was more obvious in the treatment group.There was no statistical significance between the two groups(P>0.05).Conclusion Bloodletting under pain point touch and ultrasound-guided puncture decompression are effective in the treatment of acute calcific supraspinatus tendinitis,with simple operation and low cost,which can effectively reduce local pain and effectively improve shoulder joint function.Primary hospitals can selectively operate treatment according to their own conditions.
6.Early symptom network analysis of patients after transfer from intensive care unit
Ran DONG ; Qian YU ; Rui TAI ; Fu YANG ; Fang FANG
Journal of Shanghai Jiaotong University(Medical Science) 2024;44(6):733-740
Objective·To establish the early symptom network of adult intensive care unit(ICU)patients after transfer(post-ICU patients),identify the core symptoms and bridge symptoms,compare the symptom networks of two subgroups,i.e.mixed ICU and coronary care unit(CCU),and analyze the occurrence of symptoms.Methods·From December 2022 to August 2023,a total of 328 adult patients transferred to wards from mixed ICU and CCU of Shanghai General Hospital,Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine were selected by convenience sampling.The general situation and clinical data questionnaire,and symptom questionnaires(including Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale,Fatigue Severity Scale,Richards-Campbell Sleep Questionnaire,and Pain Numeric Rating Scale)were used.Based on Spearman correlation analysis and GLASSO algorithm,contemporaneous symptom network was built,and centrality indices and differences between subgroup symptom networks were computed.The edge accuracy and the stability of centrality indices of the network were tested.Results·A total of 302 valid questionnaires were collected,and the effective rate was 92.1%.The results of the centrality indices computations showed that in the early symptom network of post-ICU patients,the highest strength was"feel cheerful"(rs=1.145),the highest closeness was"enjoy something"(rC=1.851×10-3),and the highest expected influence was"(fatigue)interferes with physical function"(rE=1.143).The top three highest bridge strengths of symptoms were"worrying thoughts"(rb=10.392),"enjoy something"(rb=10.359),and pain(rb=10.221).There were no significant differences in network structure(M=0.289)and overall connection strength(GSmixedICU=13.876,GSCCU=13.838;S=0.039)of the early symptom networks between mixed ICU and CCU patients after being transferred to wards.When comparing the centrality indices,apart from the strength and expected influence of five symptoms showing statistically significant differences(all P<0.05),other indices were not significantly different.The edge accuracy and the stability of centrality indices in the early symptom network of post-ICU patients were fine.Conclusion·Anxiety and depression are the core symptoms of adult post-ICU patients,and pain is one of the bridge symptoms.There is no significant difference in the incidence of early symptoms between mixed ICU and CCU patients after being transferred out.Medical care personnel should pay attention to the discomfort symptoms of post-ICU patients,and carry out targeted interventions to improve patients'comfort and promote the rehabilitation process.
7.A multicenter study of the clinicopathological characteristics and a risk prediction model of early-stage breast cancer with hormone receptor-positive/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-low expression.
Ling XIN ; Qian WU ; Chongming ZHAN ; Hongyan QIN ; Hongyu XIANG ; Min GAO ; Xuening DUAN ; Yinhua LIU ; Jingming YE
Chinese Medical Journal 2023;136(24):2967-2973
BACKGROUND:
In light of the significant clinical benefits of antibody-drug conjugates in clinical trials, the human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-low category in breast cancers has gained increasing attention. Therefore, we studied the clinicopathological characteristics of Chinese patients with hormone receptor (HR)-positive/HER2-low early-stage breast cancer and developed a recurrence risk prediction model.
METHODS:
Female patients with HR-positive/HER2-low early-stage breast cancer treated in 29 hospitals of the Chinese Society of Breast Surgery (CSBrS) from Jan 2015 to Dec 2016 were enrolled. Their clinicopathological data and prognostic information were collected, and machine learning methods were used to analyze the prognostic factors.
RESULTS:
In total, 25,096 patients were diagnosed with breast cancer in 29 hospitals of CSBrS from Jan 2015 to Dec 2016, and clinicopathological data for 6486 patients with HER2-low early-stage breast cancer were collected. Among them, 5629 patients (86.79%) were HR-positive. The median follow-up time was 57 months (4, 76 months); the 5-year disease-free survival (DFS) rate was 92.7%, and the 5-year overall survival (OS) rate was 97.7%. In total, 412 cases (7.31%) of metastasis were observed, and 124 (2.20%) patients died. Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that T stage, N stage, lymphovascular thrombosis, Ki-67 index, and prognostic stage were associated with recurrence and metastasis ( P <0.05). A recurrence risk prediction model was established using the random forest method and exhibited a sensitivity of 81.1%, specificity of 71.7%, positive predictive value of 74.1%, and negative predictive value of 79.2%.
CONCLUSION:
Most of patients with HER2-low early-stage breast cancer were HR-positive, and patients had favorable outcome; tumor N stage, lymphovascular thrombosis, Ki-67 index, and tumor prognostic stage were prognostic factors. The HR-positive/HER2-low early-stage breast cancer recurrence prediction model established based on the random forest method has a good reference value for predicting 5-year recurrence events.
REGISTRITATION
ChiCTR.org.cn, ChiCTR2100046766.
Humans
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Female
;
Breast Neoplasms/diagnosis*
;
Ki-67 Antigen
;
Receptor, ErbB-2
;
Prognosis
;
Thrombosis
;
Receptors, Progesterone
8. Effects of Apelin-13/putative receptor protein related to AT1 homodimer on behaviors of human umbilical vein endothelial cells
De-Xiu WANG ; Yue YIN ; Hong LU ; Xin CAI ; Jian-She LI ; Chao SONG ; Chang-Hao XIAO ; Tai-Qian WANG ; Xue-Jian WANG
Chinese Pharmacological Bulletin 2023;39(1):51-56
Aim To explore the effects of putative receptor protein related to ATI (APJ) homodimer on the behaviors-the proliferation, migration and tube formation of human umbilical vein endothelial cells (HU-VECs). Methods HUVECs at logarithmic growth stage were randomly divided into PBS, Apelin-13 + TM1 (APJ monomer group) and Apelin-13 + PBS group (APJ homodimer group). Western blot and Matrix-Assisted Laser Desorption/Ionization Time of Fligh Mass Spectrometry (MALDI-TOF MS) were used to detect the expression of APJ and APJ homodimer in HUVECs, respectively. Real-Time Cell Analyzers (RT-CA) was used to detect the concentration of the maximum effect of Apelin-13. Cell viability was detected by CCK-8. The cell migration ability was detected by scratch test, and the number of tubes formed on matri-gel that made artificial basement membrane was counted. Results Western blot and MALDI-TOF MS showed that APJ and APJ homodimer were expressed in HUVECs. The EC50 of Apelin-13 was 2.26 x 10
9.Expert consensus on the prevention and treatment of adverse reactions in subcutaneous immunotherapy(2023, Chongqing).
Yu Cheng YANG ; Yang SHEN ; Xiang Dong WANG ; Yan JIANG ; Qian Hui QIU ; Jian LI ; Shao Qing YU ; Xia KE ; Feng LIU ; Yuan Teng XU ; Hong Fei LOU ; Hong Tian WANG ; Guo Dong YU ; Rui XU ; Juan MENG ; Cui Da MENG ; Na SUN ; Jian Jun CHEN ; Ming ZENG ; Zhi Hai XIE ; Yue Qi SUN ; Jun TANG ; Ke Qing ZHAO ; Wei Tian ZHANG ; Zhao Hui SHI ; Cheng Li XU ; Yan Li YANG ; Mei Ping LU ; Hui Ping YE ; Xin WEI ; Bin SUN ; Yun Fang AN ; Ya Nan SUN ; Yu Rong GU ; Tian Hong ZHANG ; Luo BA ; Qin Tai YANG ; Jing YE ; Yu XU ; Hua Bin LI
Chinese Journal of Otorhinolaryngology Head and Neck Surgery 2023;58(7):643-656
10.Feasibility study of using bridging temporary permanent pacemaker in patients with high-degree atrioventricular block after TAVR.
San Shuai CHANG ; Xin Min LIU ; Zhi Nan LU ; Jing YAO ; Cneng Qian YIN ; Wen Hui WU ; Fei YUAN ; Tai Yang LUO ; Zheng Ming JIANG ; Guang Yuan SONG
Chinese Journal of Cardiology 2023;51(6):648-655
Objective: To determine the feasibility of using temporary permanent pacemaker (TPPM) in patients with high-degree atrioventricular block (AVB) after transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) as bridging strategy to reduce avoidable permanent pacemaker implantation. Methods: This is a prospective observational study. Consecutive patients undergoing TAVR at Beijing Anzhen Hospital and the First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University from August 2021 to February 2022 were screened. Patients with high-degree AVB and TPPM were included. Patients were followed up for 4 weeks with pacemaker interrogation at every week. The endpoint was the success rate of TPPM removal and free from permanent pacemaker at 1 month after TPPM. The criteria of removing TPPM was no indication of permanent pacing and no pacing signal in 12 lead electrocardiogram (EGG) and 24 hours dynamic EGG, meanwhile the last pacemaker interrogation indicated that ventricular pacing rate was 0. Routinely follow-up ECG was extended to 6 months after removal of TPPM. Results: Ten patients met the inclusion criteria for TPPM, aged (77.0±11.1) years, wirh 7 females. There were 7 patients with third-degree AVB, 1 patient with second-degree AVB, 2 patients with first degree AVB with PR interval>240 ms and LBBB with QRS duration>150 ms. TPPM were applied on the 10 patients for (35±7) days. Among 8 patients with high-degree AVB, 3 recovered to sinus rhythm, and 3 recovered to sinus rhythm with bundle branch block. The other 2 patients with persistent third-degree AVB received permanent pacemaker implantation. For the 2 patients with first-degree AVB and LBBB, PR interval shortened to within 200 ms. TPPM was successfully removed in 8 patients (8/10) at 1 month without permanent pacemaker implantation, of which 2 patients recovered within 24 hours after TAVR and 6 patients recovered 24 hours later after TAVR. No aggravation of conduction block or permanent pacemaker indication were observed in 8 patients during follow-up at 6 months. No procedure-related adverse events occurred in all patients. Conclusion: TPPM is reliable and safe to provide certain buffer time to distinguish whether a permanent pacemaker is necessary in patients with high-degree conduction block after TAVR.
Female
;
Humans
;
Atrioventricular Block/therapy*
;
Feasibility Studies
;
Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement
;
Pacemaker, Artificial
;
Bundle-Branch Block

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