1.Forecasting the effects of vaccination on the COVID-19 pandemic in Malaysia using SEIRV compartmental models
Mei Cheng LIM ; Sarbhan SINGH ; Chee Herng LAI ; Balvinder Singh GILL ; Mohd Kamarulariffin KAMARUDIN ; Ahmed Syahmi Syafiq MD ZAMRI ; Cia Vei TAN ; Asrul Anuar ZULKIFLI ; Mohamad Nadzmi Md NADZRI ; Nur'ain MOHD GHAZALI ; Sumarni MOHD GHAZALI ; Nuur Hafizah MD IDERUS ; Nur Ar Rabiah Binti AHMAD ; Jeyanthi SUPPIAH ; Kok Keng TEE ; Tahir ARIS ; Lonny Chen Rong Qi AHMAD
Epidemiology and Health 2023;45(1):e2023093-
OBJECTIVES:
This study aimed to develop susceptible-exposed-infectious-recovered-vaccinated (SEIRV) models to examine the effects of vaccination on coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) case trends in Malaysia during Phase 3 of the National COVID-19 Immunization Program amidst the Delta outbreak.
METHODS:
SEIRV models were developed and validated using COVID-19 case and vaccination data from the Ministry of Health, Malaysia, from June 21, 2021 to July 21, 2021 to generate forecasts of COVID-19 cases from July 22, 2021 to December 31, 2021. Three scenarios were examined to measure the effects of vaccination on COVID-19 case trends. Scenarios 1 and 2 represented the trends taking into account the earliest and latest possible times of achieving full vaccination for 80% of the adult population by October 31, 2021 and December 31, 2021, respectively. Scenario 3 described a scenario without vaccination for comparison.
RESULTS:
In scenario 1, forecasted cases peaked on August 28, 2021, which was close to the peak of observed cases on August 26, 2021. The observed peak was 20.27% higher than in scenario 1 and 10.37% lower than in scenario 2. The cumulative observed cases from July 22, 2021 to December 31, 2021 were 13.29% higher than in scenario 1 and 55.19% lower than in scenario 2. The daily COVID-19 case trends closely mirrored the forecast of COVID-19 cases in scenario 1 (best-case scenario).
CONCLUSIONS
Our study demonstrated that COVID-19 vaccination reduced COVID-19 case trends during the Delta outbreak. The compartmental models developed assisted in the management and control of the COVID-19 pandemic in Malaysia.
2.Malnutrition and its associated factors among children under 5 years old in Putrajaya: a study protocol
Mohamad Hasnan Ahmad ; Nor Azian Mohd Zaki ; Fatimah Othman ; Azli Baharudin ; Ruhaya Salleh ; Cheong Siew Man ; Adibah Huda Mohd Zainul Arifien ; Nurin Iman Ahmad Kamal ; Noor Ani Ahmad ; Hazizi Abu Saad ; Poh Bee Koon ; Mohd Azahadi Omar ; Tahir Aris
Malaysian Journal of Nutrition 2021;27(No.1):141-151
Introduction: Prevalence of malnourished children in Putrajaya was unexpectedly
high in 2016. This paper describes the study protocol for a case-control study
conducted to identify the associated factors of malnutrition among children under
5 years old in Putrajaya. Methods: This study involved two phases. Phase I
was ‘screening’ where all children aged 6-59 months in 118 preschools and four
government health clinics were measured for their weight and height. The World
Health Organization Anthro software was used to determine the nutritional status
of these children. Phase II was the ‘interview’ where children from screening were
sampled into four pairs of case and control. The optimum sample size for the case
of stunted, wasted, underweight, and overweight were 380, 335, 318, and 308,
respectively. The same number of controls were recruited. Parents/caregivers of
selected children were approached to obtain data on parental factors, children factors,
food intake factors, and environmental factors that contributed to malnutrition.
Data analysis was performed by multiple logistic regression in SPSS version 26.
Results: Screening phase successfully measured 8,261 (50.1%) children from an
estimated 16,500 children under 5 years old in Putrajaya. The number of children
who were stunted, wasted, underweight, and overweight were 2,105 (25.5%), 512
(6.2%), 1,516 (18.4%), and 248 (3.0%), respectively. As overweight was undersampled, the number of controls for overweight was doubled to increase the power
of the study. Parents/caregivers of selected cases and controls were interviewed in
their household or any other venues at their convenience. Conclusion: This protocol
promises beneficial outputs to stakeholders and policy makers that can be used for
combating malnutrition in children.
3.Food Insecurity Situation In Malaysia: Findings From Malaysian Adult Nutrition Survey (MANS) 2014
Mohamad Hasnan Ahmad ; Rusidah Selamat ; Ruhaya Salleh ; Nur Liana Abdul Majid ; Ahmad Ali Zainuddin ; Wan Azdie Mohd Abu Bakar ; Tahir Aris
Malaysian Journal of Public Health Medicine 2020;20(1):167-174
Food insecurity affects food intake, and it could prevent an individual from consuming enough nutritious food to support and maintain health. The aim of this paper is to determine the prevalence and factors influencing food insecurity among Malaysian households. In 2014, the Malaysian Adult Nutrition Survey (MANS) was carried out, and one of the components measured was food insecurity. Six out of sixteen questions from the food security core-module questionnaire were adopted and answered by 2962 adults. The results showed that about 25.0% adult experienced food quantity insufficiency, 25.5% had food variety insufficiency, 21.9% practised reduced size of the meal, and 15.2% skipped main meal due to lack of money to spend on. For the parents, 23.7% only rely on cheap food to feed children, and 20.8% could not afford to purchase various foods to feed their children. Location, strata, race, level of education, working status and household income shows significant difference while none of the nutritional status components found to be difference in all six parameters of food insecurity measured. Logistic regression with adjusted odds ratios discovered race, education level and household income were related to risk to all six parameters of food insecurity. In conclusion, food insecurity can be a serious problem in Malaysia. An effective and comprehensive effort by the government in terms of policy solution is required to increase education level and ensure an adequate income for every household. Therefore, future research should focus on some of those promising policy solutions and at the same time, study the other possible underlying factors that may lead to food insecurity.
Food Insecurity
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Malaysia
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Adult
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Nutrition Survey
4.Perceptions And Abilities Related To Patient Engagement In Diabetes Care Among Primary Healthcare Providers In Malaysia: A Qualitative Study
Karoline Kragelund Nielsen ; Michael Calopietro ; Toh Peng Yeow ; Tahir bin Aris ; Ulla Bjerre-Christensen
Malaysian Journal of Public Health Medicine 2020;20(2):207-214
Malaysia seeks to transform its public healthcare sector to manage the growing number of people with diabetes. Patient engagement is a critical clinical competency for healthcare providers treating people with diabetes. In this study, we investigate the perceptions of and ability to practice patient engagement among doctors and nurses working in Malaysia’s primary healthcare system. Semi-structured interviews were conducted with nine non-specialist doctors and ten nurses working in primary healthcare clinics. Further, 12 key informants with specialist knowledge about diabetes care and the healthcare system in Malaysia were interviewed. The interviews were analyzed using qualitative content analysis. Three main themes emerged: 1) understanding barriers to self-care and treatment, 2) perceived training needs and skills within patient engagement and empowerment, and 3) challenges to the practice of patient engagement. A range of barriers was identified in healthcare providers’ ability to practice patient engagement. Future efforts should seek to improve competencies within patient engagement, identification of especially psychosocial barriers to self-care and empowerment. Yet, available manpower and time also influence whether patient engagement is practiced.
5.Under-reporting of energy and nutrient intake is a persistent issue in the Malaysian Adult Nutrition Surveys
Ahmad Ali Zainuddin ; Norazmir Md. Nor ; Safiah Md Yusof ; Adriana Irawati Adriana Irawati ; Tahir Aris Tahir Aris ; Foo Leng Huat
Malaysian Journal of Nutrition 2019;25(2):261-271
Introduction: Under-reporting of energy intake is a common cause of bias in nutritional studies. This study was aimed at examining the extent of under- reporting of energy intake and its related characteristics among respondents in the Malaysian Adult Nutrition Survey (MANS) 2003 and MANS 2014.
Methods: The present study analysed energy intakes of 9,624 adults aged 18-59 years from the MANS in year 2014 (2,890 respondents) and 2003 (6,734 respondents) using a single 24-hour diet recall. Basal metabolic rates (BMR) were calculated from the age- and gender-specific equations of Schofield. Under-reporting was defined as an energy intake:BMR ratio of <1.2 as proposed by Goldberg.
Results: Under-reporting was found to have increased significantly from 53% in 2003 to 61% in 2014. In both surveys, under-reporting increased with higher body mass index (BMI) and older age groups. It was higher among women than men, lowest among those with primary schooling or below, and those living in Peninsular Malaysia. It was higher among rural respondents in 2014 but higher among urban respondents in 2003. The intake of energy and micronutrients increased when under-reporters were excluded.
Conclusion: Under-reporting was prevalent in both the nationwide MANS, and is associated with BMI, age, gender, education level, location strata, zone. It is important to take this factor into account when assessing dietary intake in population-based studies.
6.Changes in energy and nutrient intakes among Malaysian adults: findings from the Malaysian Adult Nutrition Survey (MANS) 2003 and 2014
Ahmad Ali Zainuddin ; Norazmir Md. Nor ; Safiah Md Yusof ; Adriana Irawati Nur Ibrahim ; Tahir Aris ; Foo Leng Huat
Malaysian Journal of Nutrition 2019;25(2):273-285
Introduction: Monitoring changes in energy and nutrient intakes of the population over the course of time is essential to help healthcare providers develop effective dietary policies. The aim of this study was to assess the changes in the nutrient intake and Recommended Nutrient Intake (RNI) achievements by using the data obtained from the Malaysian Adult Nutrition Surveys (MANS) that were carried out in 2003 and 2014. Mis-reporting of energy intake was taken into account.
Methods: Dietary data were obtained from MANS 2003 and MANS 2014, which involved a combined total of 4,044 randomly selected respondents, aged 18-59 years, using a single 24-hour diet recall. Energy and nutrients calculations were based on the Malaysian Food Composition database using the Nutritionist Pro software. The results were compared against the RNI for Malaysia to assess dietary adequacy.
Results: The proportions of calories derived from macronutrients were within the recommendations for a healthy diet. The consumption of protein, fat, calcium, iron and vitamin A was significantly higher in 2014 than in 2003. The consumption of protein, iron, vitamin C, and vitamin A was found to exceed the RNIs in 2014. However, carbohydrate and sodium intakes had significantly decreased. Despite the decrease, sodium intake still exceeded RNI recommendations.
Conclusion: Signs of changing energy and nutrient intakes were found, including increases in protein and fat intakes since 2003, and decreased carbohydrates. This could be an alarming indicator of the tendency to eat energy dense food among the population.
7.Food choices among Malaysian adults: Findings from Malaysian Adults Nutrition Survey (MANS) 2003 and MANS 2014
Noraida Binti Mohamad Kasim ; Mohamad Hasnan Bin Ahmad ; Azli Bin Baharudin @Shaharudin ; Balkish Mahadir NAIDU ; Chan Ying YING ; Hj Tahir Bin Aris
Malaysian Journal of Nutrition 2018;24(1):63-75
Introduction: Changes in dietary habits are known to be associated with changes in health outcomes. This study determined food choices among Malaysian adults using secondary data of the Malaysian Adults Nutrition Survey (MANS) in 2003 and MANS in 2014. Methods: A total of 6,742 and 3,000 adults aged 18 to 59 years participated in MANS 2003 and MANS 2014, respectively. Both studies used a semi-quantitative food frequency questionnaire (FFQ) to assess habitual food intake. Results: Overall, the prevalence of adults consuming rice twice daily were 97.3% and 86.9% in 2003 and 2014, respectively. While the percentage of urban dwellers who consumed rice daily differed significantly between 2003 (96.7%) and 2014 (86.9%), the percentage remained quite similar among rural adults in 2003 (97.8%) and 2014 (96.3%). Other top ten food items consumed daily were sugar (2003, 58.5% vs 2014, 55.9%), marine fish (40.8% vs 29.4%), green leafy vegetables (39.9% vs 43.2%) and sweetened condensed milk (35.2% vs 29.3%). In both surveys, a higher percentage of men consumed rice, sugar and sweetened condensed milk on a daily basis compared to women, a higher proportion of whom daily consumed green leafy vegetables and marine fish. Majority of the adults reported drinking plain water daily. Other beverages taken daily were tea, coffee and chocolate-malt drinks. Conclusion: Rice, sugar and sweetened condensed milk were among the top food items consumed daily in 2003 and 2014. Educational efforts to improve dietary intake of Malaysian adults is recommended.
8.Understanding Dieting and Previous Weight Loss Attempts among Overweight and Obese Participants: Insights into My Body Is Fit and Fabulous at Work Program
Tengku Alina Tengku ISMAIL ; Rohana Abdul JALIL ; Wan Rosli WAN ISHAK ; Noor Fadzlina HAMID ; Wan Suriati WAN NIK ; Hamid Jan JAN MOHAMED ; Nor Haslina MOHD ; Wan Nor ARIFIN ; Wan Mohd Izani Wan MOHAMED ; Mohd Ismail IBRAHIM ; Rohaida ISMAIL ; Tengku Fatimatul Tengku HASSIM ; Tahir ARIS ; Wan Manan WAN MUDA
Korean Journal of Family Medicine 2018;39(1):15-22
BACKGROUND: A qualitative study providing an in-depth exploration of people's view and the increasing burden of overweight and obesity is required. This study aimed to explore the understanding of dieting and previous experiences on weight loss attempts among overweight and obese government employees in Kelantan, Malaysia, prior to recruitment into the intervention program. METHODS: Thirteen focus group discussions involving 129 participants from a weight-loss intervention program were conducted within the first 1 month of recruitment. These discussions were moderated by two trained researchers in the Malay language and assisted by an interview guide. They were audio-recorded and transcribed verbatim. A thematic analysis was performed, and codes and themes from each discussion were constructed. RESULTS: The participants understood dieting with various meanings, including skipping meals and removing rice from daily diets. They applied numerous methods to lose weight and achieved various outcomes. Health and appearance, social support, and compliance with current trends were the factors motivating these participants to lose weight. Their determination to lose weight was limited by lack of self-control and motivation, experiences of unpleasant effects, influence on weight, and environmental and health factors. CONCLUSION: Real-life weight loss experiences and perceptions provided relevant insights into current weight loss management strategies. Some of these issues and misunderstandings should be emphasized in weight loss strategies during health promotion.
Compliance
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Diet
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Focus Groups
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Health Promotion
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Malaysia
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Meals
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Motivation
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Obesity
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Overweight
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Qualitative Research
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Self-Control
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Weight Loss
9.Prevalence and Socio-Demographic Determinant of Overweight and Obesity among Malaysian Adult
Ahmad Ali Zainuddin ; Mala A Manickam ; Azli Baharudin ; Rusidah Selamat ; Kee Chee Cheong ; Noor Ani Ahmad ; Hatta Mutalip ; Rashidah Ambak ; Cheong Siew Man ; Mohamad Hasnan Ahmad ; Safiah Md Yusof ; Tahir Aris
International Journal of Public Health Research 2016;6(1):661-669
Overweight and obesity is a major public health problem in Malaysia. This study aims to determine the prevalence of overweight and obesity among the Malaysian adult population and their association with socio-demographic characteristics (gender, ethnic, and age groups). A total of 17,257 adults aged 18 years and older (8,252 men, 9,005 women) were assessed for BMI status, with a response rate of 97.8%, through a household survey from the National Health and Morbidity Survey (NHMS), conducted in all states of Malaysia in 2011. All socio-demographic factors were consistently associated with higher chance of being overweight (except gender and location) and obesity (except location and household income). The identified risk of overweight were Indian (aOR: 1.8, 95% CI: 1.2-2.8), aged 50-59 years (aOR: 2.8, 95% CI: 2.0-3.9), widower (aOR: 1.6, 95% CI: 1.3-2.0), subject with secondary education (aOR: 1.2, 95% CI: 1.0-1.4), Homemaker/unpaid worker (aOR: 1.3, 95% CI: 1.1-1.4), and with high household income group (aOR: 1.3, 95% CI: 1.2-1.6). The identified risk of obesity were women (aOR: 1.4, 95% CI: 1.2-1.6), Indian (aOR: 1.7, 95% CI: 0.9-3.2), aged 30-39 years (aOR: 3.6, 95% CI: 2.4-5.5), widower (aOR: 1.2, 95% CI: 0.9-1.6), subjects with primary education (aOR: 1.2, 95% CI: 0.9-1.6), Homemaker/unpaid worker (aOR: 1.3, 95% CI: 1.1-1.6), and with middle household income group (aOR: 1.3, 95% CI: 1.2-1.6). Our data indicate a high prevalence of overweight and obesity in the population. Several sociodemographic characteristics are associated with both overweight and obesity. This study highlights the serious problem of overweight and obesity among Malaysia adults. Documentation of these problems may lead to research and policy agendas that will contribute both to our understanding and to the reduction of these problems.
10.Undiagnosed Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus and Its Risk Factors among Malaysians: Findings of a Nationwide Study
Lim Kuang Kuay ; Hasimah Ismail ; Mohd Azahadi Omar ; Anis Aqilah Noor Hisham ; Tahir Aris ; Rashidah Ambak ; Mohammad Fadhli Mohd Yusoff
International Journal of Public Health Research 2016;6(1):677-684
The prevalence of Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is increasing worldwide and many of these affected individuals remain unidentified. Undiagnosed T2DM may impose substantial public health implications because these individuals remain untreated and at risk for complications. The objective of this study was to determine the national prevalence of undiagnosed T2DM and to identify the associated risk factors. A nationwide cross-sectional study was conducted involving 17,783 respondents. Two-stage stratified sampling design was used to select a representative sample of the Malaysian adult population. Structured validated questionnaires with face to face interviews were used to obtain data. Respondents, who claimed that they were not having diabetes, were then asked to perform a fasting blood glucose finger-prick test by Accutrend GC machine. The prevalence of undiagnosed T2DM was 8.9% (n=1587). The highest percentage of undiagnosed T2DM was found among males (10.2%), 55-59 years old (13.4%), highest education attainers of primary school (11.1%), Indians (10.3%), married (10.3%), working (8.9%) and living in the urban areas (9.2%). Multivariate analyses showed that factors associated with undiagnosed T2DM were gender, age group, ethnicity, marital status, obesity and hypertension. This study found an increasing trend of undiagnosed T2DM in Malaysia compared to 2006. This finding is alarming as risk factors associated with undiagnosed diabetes were related to most of the socio-demographic factors studied. Therefore, early diabetic screening is crucial especially among adults aged 30 and above to prevent more serious complications of this disease.


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