1.Future Blood Debt: Projecting Blood Supply and Demand of Korea Based on Subnational Population Projections (2021–2050)
Oh Seok KIM ; Sunghwan JI ; Hee-Won JUNG ; Stephen A. MATTHEWS ; Young Joo CHA ; Sung Do MOON ; KeeWhan KIM
Journal of Korean Medical Science 2024;39(20):e168-
Background:
South Korea faces a critical challenge with its rapidly declining fertility rates and an increasingly aging population, which significantly impacts the country's blood supply and demand. Despite these nationwide trends, regional disparities in blood supply and demand have not been thoroughly studied.
Methods:
This research utilized blood donation data from the Korean Red Cross and blood transfusion data from the Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service. We analyzed these datasets in conjunction with regional population projections to simulate blood supply and demand from 2021 to 2050 across South Korea. Sensitivity analyses were conducted to assess the impact of various factors, including the number of donors, age eligibility criteria for donations, frequency of donations, and blood discard rates.
Results:
Our projections indicate a decreasing trend in blood supply, from 2.6 million units in 2021 to 1.4 million units by 2050, while demand is expected to peak at 5.1 million units by 2045 before declining. Metropolitan areas, particularly Gyeonggi Province, are projected to experience the most severe shortages. Sensitivity analyses suggest that increasing the donation frequency of existing donors and relaxing age eligibility criteria are more effective strategies in addressing these imbalances than merely increasing the number of new donors. Blood discard rates showed minimal impact on the overall blood shortage.
Conclusion
The findings emphasize the urgent need for targeted strategies to mitigate national and regional blood supply shortages in South Korea. Encouraging frequent donations from experienced donors and broadening eligibility criteria are critical steps toward stabilizing the blood supply amidst demographic shifts. These strategies must be prioritized to address the impending regional disparities in blood availability.
2.Utility of combining PIVKA-II and AFP in the surveillance and monitoring of hepatocellular carcinoma in the Asia-Pacific region
Do Young KIM ; Bao Nguyen TOAN ; Chee-Kiat TAN ; Irsan HASAN ; Lyana SETIAWAN ; Ming-Lung YU ; Namiki IZUMI ; Nguyen Nguyen HUYEN ; Pierce Kah-Hoe CHOW ; Rosmawati MOHAMED ; Stephen Lam CHAN ; Tawesak TANWANDEE ; Teng-Yu LEE ; Thi Thanh Nguyen HAI ; Tian YANG ; Woo-Chang LEE ; Henry Lik Yuen CHAN
Clinical and Molecular Hepatology 2023;29(2):277-292
Even though the combined use of ultrasound (US) and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) is recommended for the surveillance of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), the utilization of AFP has its challenges, including accuracy dependent on its cut-off levels, degree of liver necroinflammation, and etiology of liver disease. Though various studies have demonstrated the utility of protein induced by vitamin K absence II (PIVKA-II) in surveillance, treatment monitoring, and predicting recurrence, it is still not recommended as a routine biomarker test. A panel of 17 experts from Asia-Pacific, gathered to discuss and reach a consensus on the clinical usefulness and value of PIVKA-II for the surveillance and treatment monitoring of HCC, based on six predetermined statements. The experts agreed that PIVKA-II was valuable in the detection of HCC in AFP-negative patients, and could potentially benefit detection of early HCC in combination with AFP. PIVKA-II is clinically useful for monitoring curative and intra-arterial locoregional treatments, outcomes, and recurrence, and could potentially predict microvascular invasion risk and facilitate patient selection for liver transplant. However, combining PIVKA-II with US and AFP for HCC surveillance, including small HCC, still requires more evidence, whilst its role in detecting AFP-negative HCC will potentially increase as more patients are treated for hepatitis-related HCC. PIVKA-II in combination with AFP and US has a clinical role in the Asia-Pacific region for surveillance. However, implementation of PIVKA-II in the region will have some challenges, such as requiring standardization of cut-off values, its cost-effectiveness and improving awareness among healthcare providers.
3.Balancing Bleeding Risk and Thromboembolic Complications in Elderly Chronic Subdural Hematoma Patients Undergoing Burr Hole Trephination : A Multicenter Retrospective Cohort Study and Literature Review
Jin EUN ; Stephen AHN ; Min Ho LEE ; Jin-Gyu CHOI ; Jae-Sung PARK ; Chul Bum CHO ; Young Il KIM
Journal of Korean Neurosurgical Society 2023;66(6):726-734
Objective:
: Chronic subdural hematoma (CSDH) patients using antithrombotic agents (AT) at high risk for cardiovascular disease are increasing. The authors aimed to analyze the factors influencing outcome by targeting patients using AT and to establish a desirable treatment strategy.
Methods:
: A retrospective analysis was performed on data from 462 patients who underwent burr hole trephination (BHT) surgery for CSDH at five hospitals from March 2010 to June 2021. Outcomes included incidence of postoperative acute bleeding, recurrence rate, and morbidity or mortality rate. Patients were divided into the following four groups based on their history of AT use : no AT. Only antiplatelet agents (AP), only anticoagulants (AC), both of AP and AC. In addition, a concurrent literature review was conducted alongside our cohort study.
Results:
: Of 462 patients, 119 (119/462, 25.76%) were using AT. AP prescription did not significantly delay surgery (p=0.318), but AC prescription led to a significant increase in the time interval from admission to operation (p=0.048). After BHT, AP or AC intake significantly increased the period required for an in-dwelling drain (p=0.026 and p=0.037). The use of AC was significantly related to acute bleeding (p=0.044), while the use of AP was not (p=0.808). Use of AP or AC had no significant effect on CSDH recurrence (p=0.517 and p=1.000) or reoperation (p=0.924 and p=1.000). Morbidity was not statistically correlated with use of either AP or AC (p=0.795 and p=0.557, respectively), and there was no significant correlation with mortality for use of these medications (p=0.470 and p=1.000).
Conclusion
: Elderly CSDH patients may benefit from maintenance of AT therapy during BHT due to reduced thromboembolic risk. However, the use of AC necessitates individualized due to potential postoperative bleeding. Careful post-operative monitoring could mitigate prognosis and recurrence impacts.
4.Risk factors for the deterioration of patients with mild COVID-19 admitted to a COVID-19 community treatment center
Seung Yeon LEE ; Kyoung Jun SONG ; Chun Soo LIM ; Young Jun CHAI ; Sun Young LEE ; Stephen Gyung Won LEE
Journal of the Korean Medical Association 2022;65(6):377-385
Background:
The rapid increase in the number of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) patients led to the operation of COVID-19 facilities for patients with mild COVID-19 in South Korea. We analyzed the correlation and effect of risk factors associated with the worsening of patients with mild COVID-19 leading to their transfer from a community treatment center to a hospital.
Methods:
This retrospective cohort observational study included 1,208 COVID-19 patients with mild symptoms who were admitted to the Namsan Community Treatment Center between June 2020 and January 2021. A chi-square test was performed to examine the differences in the transfer rate by age, sex, nationality, presence of symptoms at admission, and season, and a multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to examine the association of variables to the hospitalization rate.
Results:
Of the 1,208 patients, 212 (17.5%) were transferred to a hospital due to clinical deterioration. Increasing odds of hospital transfer were associated significantly with higher age and presentation in autumn, whereas sex and symptomatic illness at admission did not show a statistically significant association.
Conclusion
The findings indicate the importance of the initial risk classification of COVID-19 patients based on thorough assessment and close monitoring, timely allocation of appropriate resources to high-risk groups that are likely to develop severe disease, and reduction of medical resource wastage and limiting of administrative force to ensure that patients receive the best treatment.
6.Baseline extent of damage predicts spinal radiographic progression in Korean patients with ankylosing spondylitis treated with golimumab.
Jeong Seok LEE ; Yeong Wook SONG ; Tae Hwan KIM ; Won Tae CHUNG ; Seung Geun LEE ; Sung Hwan PARK ; Gwan Gyu SONG ; Dae Young YU ; Stephen XU ; Eun Young LEE
The Korean Journal of Internal Medicine 2018;33(3):622-628
BACKGROUND/AIMS: For patients with ankylosing spondylitis (AS), golimumab has consistent efficacy in controlling disease activity over 5 years but its benefit in preventing radiographic progression was less clear at 4 years. To predict radiographic progression, we analyzed the baseline characteristics of AS patients in a Korean population. METHODS: Sixty-eight Korean patients with AS participated in the phase 3, multicenter, randomized, placebo-controlled, double-blind trial (GO-RAISE) which has previously been described. Baseline modified stoke AS spine score (mSASSS) and change in mSASSS from baseline (ΔmSASSS) until week 208 were analyzed in the Korean patients enrolled in the GO-RAISE study. RESULTS: Although Korean patients had lower baseline mSASSS compared to non-Korean patients and received active management, radiographic progression was not prevented. Korean patients who did not undergo radiographic progression of spinal lesions of AS were younger and had shorter symptomatic duration, lower Bath AS functional and metrology indices, better chest expansion, and lower baseline mSASSS. The baseline mSASSS and ΔmSASSS were positively correlated in Korean AS patients (p < 0.001). Radiographic progression was more prevalent (80.0%) when baseline mSASSS > 10 and less common (13.0%) with baseline mSASSS = 0. CONCLUSIONS: In Korean AS patients, radiographic progression of the spine after 4 years was predicted effectively by the initial severity of the spinal lesion(s) in patients treated with golimumab.
Baths
;
Disease Progression
;
Humans
;
Spine
;
Spondylitis, Ankylosing*
;
Thorax
7.Multicenter Evaluation of an Image Analysis Device (APAS): Comparison Between Digital Image and Traditional Plate Reading Using Urine Cultures.
John GLASSON ; Rhys HILL ; Michael SUMMERFORD ; Dianne OLDEN ; Fotula PAPADOPOULOS ; Stephen YOUNG ; Steven GIGLIO
Annals of Laboratory Medicine 2017;37(6):499-504
BACKGROUND: The application of image analysis technologies for the interpretation of microbiological cultures is evolving rapidly. The primary aim of this study was to establish whether the image analysis system named Automated Plate Assessment System (APAS; LBT Innovations Ltd., Australia) could be applied to screen urine cultures. A secondary aim was to evaluate differences between traditional plate reading (TPR) and the reading of cultures from images, or digital plate reading (DPR). METHODS: A total of 9,224 urine samples submitted for culture to three clinical laboratories, two in Australia and one in the USA, were included in the study. Cultures were prepared on sheep blood and MacConkey agar plates and read by panels of three microbiologists. The plates were then presented to APAS for image capture and analysis, and the images and results were stored for later review. RESULTS: Image analysis of cultures using APAS produced a diagnostic sensitivity and specificity of 99.0% and 84.5%, respectively. Colonies were detected by APAS on 99.0% of blood agar plates with growth and on 99.5% of MacConkey agar plates. DPR agreed with TPR for colony enumeration on 92.1% of the plates, with a sensitivity of 90.8% and specificity of 92.8% for case designation. However, several differences in the classification of colony morphologies using DPR were identified. CONCLUSIONS: APAS was shown to be a reliable screening system for urine cultures. The study also showed acceptable concordance between DPR and TPR for colony detection, enumeration, and case designation.
Agar
;
Australia
;
Classification
;
Mass Screening
;
Sensitivity and Specificity
;
Sheep
8.Extra-Axial and Clear Cell Type Ependymoma, Mimicking a Convexity Meningioma.
Stephen AHN ; Young Joo KIM ; Youn Soo LEE ; Sin Soo JEUN
Brain Tumor Research and Treatment 2017;5(2):127-130
A 33-year-old woman presented with tingling and paresthesia on left extremity for 2 months. Magnetic resonance imaging revealed that the tumor was iso- and hypo-intensity on T1-weighted image, mixed iso- and high-signal intensity on T2-weighted images and heterogeneously enhanced with rim enhancement. Neither arachnoid cleft nor dural tail was certain but mass was located extra-axially so meningioma was suspected. During operation, tumor wasn't attached to dura at all but arachnoid attachment was seen. Pathologically, clear cell type ependymoma was confirmed. Details of diagnosis and treatment of this tumor is described.
Adult
;
Arachnoid
;
Diagnosis
;
Ependymoma*
;
Extremities
;
Female
;
Humans
;
Magnetic Resonance Imaging
;
Meningioma*
;
Paresthesia
;
Tail
9.Clinical Evaluation of Rapid Diagnostic Test Kit for Scrub Typhus with Improved Performance.
Young Jin KIM ; Sungman PARK ; Ranjan PREMARATNA ; Stephen SELVARAJ ; Sang Jin PARK ; Sora KIM ; Donghwan KIM ; Min Soo KIM ; Dong Hoon SHIN ; Kyung Chan CHOI ; Soon Hwan KWON ; Wonjun SEO ; Nam Taek LEE ; Seung Han KIM ; Heui Keun KANG ; Yoon Won KIM
Journal of Korean Medical Science 2016;31(8):1190-1196
Diagnosis of scrub typhus is challenging due to its more than twenty serotypes and the similar clinical symptoms with other acute febrile illnesses including leptospirosis, murine typhus and hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome. Accuracy and rapidity of a diagnostic test to Orientia tsutsugamushi is an important step to diagnose this disease. To discriminate scrub typhus from other diseases, the improved ImmuneMed Scrub Typhus Rapid Diagnostic Test (RDT) was evaluated in Korea and Sri Lanka. The sensitivity at the base of each IgM and IgG indirect immunofluorescent assay (IFA) in Korean patients was 98.6% and 97.1%, and the specificity was 98.2% and 97.7% respectively. The sensitivity and specificity for retrospective diagnosis at the base of IFA in Sri Lanka was 92.1% and 96.1%. ImmuneMed RDT was not reactive to any serum from seventeen diseases including hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome (n = 48), leptospirosis (n = 23), and murine typhus (n = 48). ImmuneMed RDT shows superior sensitivity (98.6% and 97.1%) compared with SD Bioline RDT (84.4% at IgM and 83.3% at IgG) in Korea. The retrospective diagnosis of ImmuneMed RDT exhibits 94.0% identity with enzyme-linked Immunosorbent assay (ELISA) using South India patient serum samples. These results suggest that this RDT can replace other diagnostic tests and is applicable for global diagnosis of scrub typhus. This rapid and accurate diagnosis will be beneficial for diagnosing and managing scrub typhus.
Antibodies, Bacterial/blood
;
Enzyme-Linked Immunosorbent Assay
;
Fluorescent Antibody Technique, Indirect
;
Humans
;
Immunoglobulin G/blood
;
Immunoglobulin M/blood
;
Orientia tsutsugamushi/immunology
;
Reagent Kits, Diagnostic
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Scrub Typhus/*diagnosis/microbiology
;
Sensitivity and Specificity
10.Population Screening for Colorectal Cancer Means Getting FIT: The Past, Present, and Future of Colorectal Cancer Screening Using the Fecal Immunochemical Test for Hemoglobin (FIT).
James E ALLISON ; Callum G FRASER ; Stephen P HALLORAN ; Graeme P YOUNG
Gut and Liver 2014;8(2):117-130
Fecal immunochemical tests for hemoglobin (FIT) are changing the manner in which colorectal cancer (CRC) is screened. Although these tests are being performed worldwide, why is this test different from its predecessors? What evidence supports its adoption? How can this evidence best be used? This review addresses these questions and provides an understanding of FIT theory and practices to expedite international efforts to implement the use of FIT in CRC screening.
Colorectal Neoplasms/*diagnosis
;
Early Detection of Cancer/methods/trends
;
Feces/*chemistry
;
Forecasting
;
Global Health
;
Hemoglobins/*analysis
;
Humans
;
Immunochemistry
;
Mass Screening/methods/trends
;
Occult Blood
;
Sensitivity and Specificity

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