1.Analysis of the quantity transfer rules in processing of Astragalus membranaceus by moistening-soaking and steaming-soaking followed by cutting based on fingerprint combined with content determination
Chenguang ZHAO ; Shuwan TANG ; Shun LIU ; Xutong WU ; Guoping PENG ; Cunyu LI
China Pharmacy 2025;36(9):1065-1070
OBJECTIVE To analyze the quantity transfer rule in the processing of Astragalus membranaceus before and after moistening-soaking and steaming-soaking followed by cutting. METHODS Three batches of A. membranaceus decoction pieces processed through moistening-soaking and steaming-soaking followed by cutting were prepared. The HPLC overlapping fingerprints of A. membranaceus and its decoction pieces were established through the Similarity Evaluation System of Chromatographic Fingerprints of TCM (2012 edition). Combined with the previous qualitative analysis results, the common peaks were identified, the changes of common peak area were analyzed, and the principal component analysis was carried out. The contents of calycosin-7-glucoside, astragaloside Ⅰ and astragaloside Ⅳ in A. membranaceus and its decoction pieces were determined by HPLC, and the content differences of each component in different samples were compared. RESULTS The results of fingerprint analysis showed that 17 common peaks were identified. After steaming-soaking and moistening-soaking of A. membranaceus, the proportion of common peak area in the decoction pieces changed compared with the original medicine (for example, in A. membranaceus steaming-soaking decoction pieces, the proportion of peak area of malonyl calycosin-7-glucoside and malonyl astragaloside Ⅰ decreased, while the proportion of peak area of calycosin-7-glucoside increased). The results of principal component analysis showed that A. membranaceus, and its decoction pieces after moistening-soaking and steaming-soaking followed by cutting were all clustered into one category respectively. The results of content determination showed that, compared with A. membranaceus, the average content of calycosin-7-glucoside in A. membranaceus moistening-soaking decoction pieces was significantly reduced (P<0.05); the average contents of calycosin-7-glucoside and astragaloside Ⅳ in A. membranaceus steaming- soaking decoction pieces were significantly increased (P<0.05); there was no significant difference in the average content of astragaloside Ⅳ in A. membranaceus moistening-soaking decoction pieces and astragaloside Ⅰ in the two decoction pieces (P> 0.05). CONCLUSIONS There are differences in the quantity transfer rules of A. membranaceus before and after moistening-soaking and steaming-soaking followed by cutting. Steaming-soaking followed by cutting may make the transformation of unstable components (such as malonyl calycosin-7-glucoside and malonyl astragaloside Ⅰ) more complete.
2.The correlation between preoperative MR imaging features of clear cell renal cell carcinoma and the incidence of metastasis
Qiang MA ; Fen WU ; Min XIA ; Chuanxian MA ; Shun CHAI ; Zhanlong MA
Journal of Practical Radiology 2024;40(2):257-260
Objective To investigate the correlation between preoperative MR imaging features and the incidence of tumor metastasis in clear cell renal cell carcinoma.Methods The clinical and preoperative MR imaging data of 64 patients with clear cell renal cell carcinoma were analyzed retrospectively.According to the occurrence of metastasis,the patients were divided into non-metastasis group(n=42)and metastasis group(n=22).The clinical and imaging features of the two groups were analyzed with univariate analysis and multivariate logistic regression.Results The results of the univariate analysis showed that among the clinical and preoperative MR imaging data,there was no significant difference between the two groups in gender,tumor location and intra-tumoral cystic changes(P>0.05),but the patient's ages,clinical symptoms,tumor sizes,necrosis,capsule breakthrough,low signal nodules in T2WI,venous thrombosis,TNM stages,and Fuhrman grades were significantly different between two groups(P<0.05).Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that low signal nodules in T2WI was an independent predictor of metastasis of clear cell renal cell carcinoma(P=0.028).Combined with diffusion weighted imaging(DWI)sequence,the average apparent diffusion coefficient(ADC)in related areas was measured.The ADC value of low signal nodules area was(0.541±0.101)×10-3 mm2/s in the metastasis group,and the ADC value of non-low signal nodules area was(0.972±0.113)×10-3 mm2/s(P<0.001).Conclusion The metastasis of clear cell renal cell carcinoma is often accompanied by low signal nodules in T2WI in tumors.Combined with the lower ADC value,they can be used as the characteristic imaging features to effectively evaluate the risk of metastasis of clear cell renal cell carcinoma.
3.Duhuo Jisheng Decoction treats gouty arthritis by inhibiting NLRP3 inflammasome activation
Guangyi TAO ; Zhengzhen WANG ; Jiajun HUANG ; Diyou WU ; Xinwei WANG ; Shun YANG ; Bin YANG ; Junqing HUANG
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2024;28(32):5182-5189
BACKGROUND:The activation of NOD-like receptor thermal protein domain associated protein 3(NLRP3)inflammasome has been found to be an important factor in the pathogenesis of gouty arthritis,and the activation of NLPR3 inflammasome can be effectively inhibited by regulating the PTEN-induced kinas 1(PINK1)/Parkin signaling pathway. OBJECTIVE:To investigate the effect of Duhuo Jisheng Decoction on the PINK1/Parkin/NLRP3 signaling pathway. METHODS:(1)Animal experiment:Male Sprague-Dawley rats were randomly divided into control group,model group,positive control group(Qiushuixian tablets 0.3 mg/kg),and low-,medium-,and high-dose Duhuo Jisheng Decoction groups(6.9,13.8,and 27.6 g/kg,respectively).A rat gouty arthritis model was constructed by injecting monosodium urate crystal suspension into the right hind ankle joint cavity of rats in all the groups except for the control group.(2)Cell experiment:Human monocytes(THP-1)were divided into blank control group,model group,Duhuo Jisheng Decoction-containing serum group,and PINK1 siRNA+Duhuo Jisheng Decoction-containing serum group.The cells in each group except the blank control group were stimulated with sodium urate to establish an in vitro gouty arthritis model.(3)The swelling degree,joint circumference,gait score,joint inflammation index and degree of pathological grading in the ankle joints of rats were observed.Enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay was used to detect the levels of uric acid,C-reactive protein,NLRP3,and interleukin 1β.Immunoblotting assay was used to detect the levels of proteins related to the PINK1/Parkin/NLRP3 pathway.Tetramethyl azolidine blue assay was used to detect cell activity.Immunofluorescent double staining was performed to detect the level of mitophagy.Immunofluorescence was used to detect the expression of NLRP3 and interleukin 1β. RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:(1)Compared with the control group,rats in the model group showed elevated ankle swelling and ankle circumference at 6-48 hours(P<0.05),elevated gait scores and joint inflammation indexes at 24 and 48 hours(P<0.05),elevated serum uric acid and C-reactive protein levels,degree of pathological classification,expression of PINK1,Parkin,and NLRP3 proteins,and interleukin 1β level in synovial tissues(P<0.05).Compared with the model group,the protein expression levels of PINK1 and Parkin in all the Duhuo Jisheng Decoction groups were elevated,while the levels of the other indexes were decreased(P<0.05).(2)Compared with the model group,NLRP3 activity,interleukin 1β level and mitochondrial outer membrane translocator protein 20 protein level in the Duhuo Jisheng Decoction-containing serum group were decreased(P<0.05),while the proliferation inhibition rate,PINK1,Parkin and LC3B protein level were increased(P<0.05).Compared with the model group,the mitochondrial autophagy level of cells in the Duhuo Jisheng Decoction-containing serum group was elevated(P<0.05),while NLRP3 and interleukin 1β protein levels were decreased(P<0.05).(3)Compared with the Duhuo Jisheng Decoction-containing serum group,the mitochondrial autophagy level of cells in the PINK1 siRNA+Duhuo Jisheng Decoction-containing serum group was decreased(P<0.05),and the expression levels of NLRP3 and interleukin 1β were elevated(P<0.05).To conclude,Duhuo Jisheng Decoction inhibits the activation of NLRP3 inflammasome by regulating the PINK1/Parkin signaling pathway, thereby exerting a therapeutic effect on gouty arthritis.
4.Analysis of the causes of cage subsidence after oblique lateral lumbar interbody fusion
Zhong-You ZENG ; Ping-Quan CHEN ; Xing ZHAO ; Hong-Fei WU ; Jian-Qiao ZHANG ; Xiang-Qian FANG ; Yong-Xing SONG ; Wei YU ; Fei PEI ; Shun-Wu FAN ; Guo-Hao SONG ; Shi-Yang FAN
China Journal of Orthopaedics and Traumatology 2024;37(1):33-44
Objective To observe the cage subsidence after oblique lateral interbody fusion(OLIF)for lumbar spondylo-sis,summarize the characteristics of the cage subsidence,analyze causes,and propose preventive measures.Methods The data of 144 patients of lumbar spine lesions admitted to our hospital from October 2015 to December 2018 were retrospectively ana-lyzed.There were 43 males and 101 females,and the age ranged from 20 to 81 years old,with an average of(60.90±10.06)years old.Disease types:17 patients of lumbar intervertebral disc degenerative disease,12 patients of giant lumbar disc hernia-tion,5 patients of discogenic low back pain,33 patients of lumbar spinal stenosis,26 patients of lumbar degenerative spondy-lolisthesis,28 patients of lumbar spondylolisthesis with spondylolisthesis,11 patients of adjacent vertebral disease after lumbar internal fixation,7 patients of primary spondylitis in the inflammatory outcome stage,and 5 patients of lumbar degenerative scoliosis.Preoperative dual-energy X-ray bone mineral density examination showed 57 patients of osteopenia or osteoporosis,and 87 patients of normal bone density.The number of fusion segments:124 patients of single-segment,11 patients of two-seg-ment,8 patients of three-segment,four-segment 1 patient.There were 40 patients treated by stand-alone OLIF,and 104 patients by OLIF combined with posterior pedicle screw.Observed the occurrence of fusion cage settlement after operation,conducted monofactor analysis on possible risk factors,and observed the influence of fusion cage settlement on clinical results.Results All operations were successfully completed,the median operation time was 99 min,and the median intraoperative blood loss was 106 ml.Intraoperative endplate injury occurred in 30 patients and vertebral fracture occurred in 5 patients.The mean follow-up was(14.57±7.14)months from 6 to 30 months.During the follow-up,except for the patients of primary lumbar interstitial in-flammation and some patients of lumbar spondylolisthesis with spondylolisthesis,the others all had different degrees of cage subsidence.Cage subsidence classification:119 patients were normal subsidence,and 25 patients were abnormal subsidence(23 patients were grade Ⅰ,and 2 patients were grade Ⅱ).There was no loosening or rupture of the pedicle screw system.The height of the intervertebral space recovered from the preoperative average(9.48±1.84)mm to the postoperative average(12.65±2.03)mm,and the average(10.51±1.81)mm at the last follow-up.There were statistical differences between postop-erative and preoperative,and between the last follow-up and postoperative.The interbody fusion rate was 94.4%.The low back pain VAS decreased from the preoperative average(6.55±2.2 9)to the last follow-up(1.40±0.82),and there was statistically significant different.The leg pain VAS decreased from the preoperative average(4.72±1.49)to the final follow-up(0.60± 0.03),and the difference was statistically significant(t=9.13,P<0.000 1).The ODI index recovered from the preoperative av-erage(38.50±6.98)%to the latest follow-up(11.30±3.27)%,and there was statistically significant different.The complication rate was 31.3%(45/144),and the reoperation rate was 9.72%(14/144).Among them,8 patients were reoperated due to fusion cage subsidence or displacement,accounting for 57.14%(8/14)of reoperation.The fusion cage subsidence in this group had obvious characteristics.The monofactor analysis showed that the number of abnormal subsidence patients in the osteopenia or osteoporosis group,Stand-alone OLIF group,2 or more segments fusion group,and endplate injury group was higher than that in the normal bone mass group,OLIF combined with pedicle screw fixation group,single segment fusion group,and no endplate injury group,and the comparison had statistical differences.Conclusion Cage subsidence is a common phenomenon after 0-LIF surgery.Preoperative osteopenia or osteoporosis,Stand-alone OLIF,2 or more segments of fusion and intraoperative end-plate injury may be important factors for postoperative fusion cage subsidence.Although there is no significant correlation be-tween the degree of cage subsidence and clinical symptoms,there is a risk of cage migration,and prevention needs to be strengthened to reduce serious complications caused by fusion of cage subsidence,including reoperation.
5.Bioequivalence study of buspirone hydrochloride tablets in Chinese healthy subjects
Ping LU ; Rui WANG ; Hui-Hui WU ; Hai-Yan LIU ; Ge-Fei HE ; Shun-Zhi ZHANG ; Wei WU
The Chinese Journal of Clinical Pharmacology 2024;40(5):723-727
Objective To study the pharmacokinetic characteristics of buspirone hydrochloride tablets in healthy adult populations under conditions of fasting and postprandial administration.Methods A single-center,randomized,three-cycle partially repeated crossover trial design was adopted,and 36 subjects were enrolled on fasting/postprandial,one tablet of the test preparation was taken in one cycle,one tablet of reference preparation(5 mg of buspirone tablets)was taken once in each of 2 cycles,the drug concentration of buspirone in plasma was determined by liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry,and the pharmacokinetic parameters were calculated by WinNonlin software.Results Main pharmacokinetics of buspirone after oral administration of test and reference preparations in fasting group,the Cmax was(285.72±286.08)and(308.94±341.03)pg·mL-1;AUC0-t were(577.09±491.10)and(618.62±642.56)pg·mL-1·h;AUC0-∞ were(586.85±510.04)and(655.92±687.95)pg·mL-1·h;tmax was 0.75(0.33-4.00)and 0.75(0.33-1.75)h.Main pharmacokinetics of buspirone after oral administration of test and reference preparations in the postprandial group,the Cmax were(676.36±603.64)and(760.33±610.27)pg·mL-1;AUC0-t were(1 755.58±1 001.69)and(1 743.00±1 073.33)pg·h·mL-1;AUC0-∞ were(1 839.97±1 044.60)and(1 818.00±1 106.95)pg·mL-1·h;tmax was 1.25(0.25-4.50)and 1.00(0.25-3.50)h.The 90%confidence intervals of the AUC0-t and AUC0-∞ geometric mean ratios of the test preparation and the reference preparation in the fasting test and the postprandial test all fell between 80.00%and 125.00%,and the 95%upper confidence limit of of Cmax was ≤0 and geometric mean ratios point estimates fall between 80.00%and 125.00%.Conclusion Two kinds of buspirone hydrochloride are bioequivalent in Chinese healthy adult subject.
6.Construction of prognostic nomogram based on clinicopathological characteristics and epithelial-stromal interaction 1 expression for clear cell renal cell carcinoma
Zeng CHENGLONG ; Wu XIAOHUI ; Lin BOHAN ; Qiu QIANREN-SHUN ; Zheng QINGSHUI ; Xu NING ; Xue XUEYI ; Chen SHAOHAO
Chinese Journal of Clinical Oncology 2024;51(12):595-601
Objective:To construct a prognostic nomogram based on epithelial-stromal interaction protein 1(EPSTI1)and predict the pro-gnosis of clear cell renal cell carcinoma(ccRCC).Methods:A retrospective analysis was performed from January 2012 to December 2015 at The First Affiliated Hospital of Fujian Medical University,on 221 patients with ccRCC who underwent surgical treatment in our center and 533 patients with ccRCC in The Cancer Genome Atlas(TCGA)database.Immunohistochemical(IHC)staining was performed on adjacent nor-mal and cancerous tissues to analyze the expression level of EPSTI1 and its correlation with clinicopathological characteristics.Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was performed for the overall survival(OS)and disease-free survival(DFS)of patients with high and low EPSTI1 expression levels.Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards models were used to analyze the prognostic factors for OS,and a nomogram model was constructed and verified.Results:The IHC scores and mRNA expression levels of EPSTI1 were significantly higher in ccRCC tissues than in normal tissues(all P<0.001).EPSTI1 was expressed at higher levels in cancer tissues at higher T stages(P=0.036,P=0.006).The EPSTI1 protein expression level was related to the maximum tumor diameter and TNM stage(P=0.002,P=0.032,respectively).The OS and DFS were higher in the low-EPSTI1-expression group than the high-EPSTI1-expression group(P=0.046,P=0.003,P=0.001).Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses showed that a high EPSTI1 protein expression level,WHO/ISUP grade,and AJCC/TNM stage were independent risk factors for poor prognosis(P=0.009,P=0.039,P<0.001).The prognostic nomogram model constructed based on the above variables was su-perior to the AJCC/TNM stage in predicting the 5-year OS,and the calibration curve showed that the predicted value of the model was con-sistent with the actual value.Conclusions:The nomographic model based on EPSTI1,AJCC/TNM staging and WHO/ISUP staging has a strong predictive ability for the prognosis of renal clear cell carcinoma.
7.Risk factors for bronchopulmonary dysplasia in twin preterm infants:a multicenter study
Yu-Wei FAN ; Yi-Jia ZHANG ; He-Mei WEN ; Hong YAN ; Wei SHEN ; Yue-Qin DING ; Yun-Feng LONG ; Zhi-Gang ZHANG ; Gui-Fang LI ; Hong JIANG ; Hong-Ping RAO ; Jian-Wu QIU ; Xian WEI ; Ya-Yu ZHANG ; Ji-Bin ZENG ; Chang-Liang ZHAO ; Wei-Peng XU ; Fan WANG ; Li YUAN ; Xiu-Fang YANG ; Wei LI ; Ni-Yang LIN ; Qian CHEN ; Chang-Shun XIA ; Xin-Qi ZHONG ; Qi-Liang CUI
Chinese Journal of Contemporary Pediatrics 2024;26(6):611-618
Objective To investigate the risk factors for bronchopulmonary dysplasia(BPD)in twin preterm infants with a gestational age of<34 weeks,and to provide a basis for early identification of BPD in twin preterm infants in clinical practice.Methods A retrospective analysis was performed for the twin preterm infants with a gestational age of<34 weeks who were admitted to 22 hospitals nationwide from January 2018 to December 2020.According to their conditions,they were divided into group A(both twins had BPD),group B(only one twin had BPD),and group C(neither twin had BPD).The risk factors for BPD in twin preterm infants were analyzed.Further analysis was conducted on group B to investigate the postnatal risk factors for BPD within twins.Results A total of 904 pairs of twins with a gestational age of<34 weeks were included in this study.The multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that compared with group C,birth weight discordance of>25%between the twins was an independent risk factor for BPD in one of the twins(OR=3.370,95%CI:1.500-7.568,P<0.05),and high gestational age at birth was a protective factor against BPD(P<0.05).The conditional logistic regression analysis of group B showed that small-for-gestational-age(SGA)birth was an independent risk factor for BPD in individual twins(OR=5.017,95%CI:1.040-24.190,P<0.05).Conclusions The development of BPD in twin preterm infants is associated with gestational age,birth weight discordance between the twins,and SGA birth.
8.Prevention strategy for intracranial infection related to external cerebro-spinal fluid drainage tube based on evidence summary
Xiao-Ju MIAO ; Xian LUO ; Zhong-Min FU ; Jun WANG ; Shun-Jun ZHAO ; Li DING ; Qing-Qing WU ; Bo CHEN ; Shun-Wu XIAO
Chinese Journal of Infection Control 2024;23(9):1070-1076
Objective To retrieve and extract the best evidence for preventing intracranial infections related to ex-ternal cerebrospinal fluid(CSF)drainage,and provide evidence-based support for reducing the incidence of intracra-nial infection caused by external CSF drainage.Methods Evidence-based care issues were determined according to PIPOST,and the best evidence on intracranial infection related to external CSF drainage tube was retrieved from top to bottom.The literature retrieval period was 2013-2023.Quality control of the literatures,as well as extraction and summary of the evidence were carried out by 2 trained graduate students.Results A total of 17 literatures were included in the analysis,including 3 guidelines,5 expert consensus,8 systematic reviews,and 1 randomized con-trolled trial.Management strategies from 3 dimensions(pre-catheterization,in-catheterization and post-catheteriza-tion)were obtained,including 20 pieces of evidence for preventing intracranial infection,such as preparation for ex-ternal CSF drainage tube,precautions during catheterization,and post-catheterization disposal.Conclusion There are differences in the management of external CSF drainage tube in clinical practice.It is necessary to develop uni-fied,standardized,and rational bundle strategies to prevent intracranial infection,so as to reduce the incidence of catheter-related intracranial infection.
9.Therapeutic efficacy analysis of endoscopic combined with serological diagnosis strategy and endoscopic in G1 and G2 gastric neuroendocrine neoplasms
Wenyu LI ; Yong LIU ; Yueming ZHANG ; Lizhou DOU ; Shun HE ; Yan KE ; Xudong LIU ; Yumeng LIU ; Hairui WU ; Guiqi WANG
Chinese Journal of Oncology 2024;46(4):326-334
Objective:To investigate the endoscopic combined serological diagnosis strategy for G1 and G2 gastric neuroendocrine neoplasms (G-NENs), and to evaluate the safety, short-term, and long-term efficacy of two endoscopic treatment procedures: endoscopic mucosal resection (EMR) and endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD).Methods:This study retrospectively analyzed the clinical data of 100 consecutive patients with G-NENs who were hospitalized at the Cancer Hospital of the Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences from January 2011 to October 2023. These patients underwent endoscopic treatment, and propensity score matching (PSM) was used to compare clinicopathological characteristics, as well as short-term and long-term efficacy of lesions in the EMR group and ESD group before and after treatment.Results:Among the 100 patients with G-NENs, the median age was 54 years old. Before surgery, 29 cases underwent endoscopic combined serological examination, and 24 of them (82.2%) had abnormally elevated plasma chromogranin A. The combined diagnostic strategy for autoimmune atrophic gastritis (AIG) achieved a diagnostic accuracy of 100%(22/22). A total of 235 G-NEN lesions were included, with 84 in the ESD group and 151 in the EMR group. The median size of the lesions in the ESD group (5.0 mm) was significantly larger than that in the EMR group (2.0 mm, P<0.001). Additionally, the ESD group had significantly more lesions with pathological grade G2[23.8%(20/84) vs. 1.3%(2/151), P<0.001], infiltration depth reaching the submucosal layer [78.6%(66/84) vs. 51.0%(77/151), P<0.001], and more T2 stage compared to the EMR group[15.5%(13/84) vs. 0.7%(1/151), P<0.001]. After PSM, 49 pairs of lesions were successfully matched between the two groups. Following PSM, there were no significant differences in the en bloc resection rate [100.0%(49/49) vs. 100.0%(49/49)], complete resection rate [93.9%(46/49) vs. 100.0%(49/49)], and complication rate [0(0/49) vs. 4.1%(2/49)] between the two groups. During the follow-up period, no recurrence or distant metastasis was observed in any of the lesions in both groups. Conclusions:The combination of endoscopy and serology diagnostic strategy has the potential to enhance the accuracy of diagnosing G1 and G2 stage G-NENs and their background mucosa. Endoscopic resection surgery (EMR, ESD) is a proven and safe treatment approach for G1 and G2 stage G-NENs.
10.Development and validation of predictive models for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma and its precancerous lesions using terminal motif analysis in circulating cell-free DNA
Siyao LIU ; Zhengqi LI ; Lizhou DOU ; Yueming ZHANG ; Yong LIU ; Yumeng LIU ; Yan KE ; Xudong LIU ; Hairui WU ; Jiangtao CHU ; Shun HE ; Guiqi WANG
Chinese Journal of Oncology 2024;46(6):549-565
Objectives:To develop and validate predictive models for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) using circulating cell-free DNA (cfDNA) terminal motif analysis. The goal was to improve the non-invasive detection of early-stage ESCC and its precancerous lesions.Methods:Between August 2021 and November 2022, we prospectively collected plasma samples from 448 individuals at the Department of Endoscopy, Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences for cfDNA extraction, library construction, and sequencing. We analyzed 201 cases of ESCC, 46 high-grade intraepithelial neoplasia (HGIN), 46 low-grade intraepithelial neoplasia (LGIN), 176 benign esophageal lesions, and 29 healthy controls. Participants, including ESCC patients and control subjects, were randomly assigned to a training set ( n=284) and a validation set ( n=122). The training cohort underwent z-score normalization of cfDNA terminal motif matrices and a selection of distinctive features differentiated ESCC cases from controls. The random forest classifier, Motif-1 (M1), was then developed through principal component analysis, ten-fold cross-validation, and recursive feature elimination. M1's efficacy was then validated in the validation and precancerous lesion sets. Subsequently, individuals with precancerous lesions were included in the dataset and participants were randomly allocated to newly formed training ( n=243), validation ( n=105), and test ( n=150) cohorts. Using the same procedure as M1, we trained the Motif-2 (M2) random forest model with the training cohort. The M2 model's accuracy was then confirmed in the validation cohort to establish the optimal threshold and further tested by performing validation in the test cohort. Results:We developed two cfDNA terminal motif-based predictive models for ESCC and associated precancerous conditions. The first model, M1, achieved a sensitivity of 90.0%, a specificity of 77.4%, and an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.884 in the validation cohort. For LGIN, HGIN, and T1aN0 stage ESCC, M1's sensitivities were 76.1%, 80.4%, and 91.2% respectively. Notably, the sensitivity for jointly predicting HGIN and T1aN0 ESCC reached 85.0%. Both the predictive accuracy and sensitivity increased in line with the cancer's progression ( P<0.001). The second model, M2, exhibited a sensitivity of 87.5%, a specificity of 77.4%, and an AUC of 0.857 in the test cohort. M2's sensitivities for detecting precancerous lesions and ESCC were 80.0% and 89.7%, respectively, and it showed a combined sensitivity of 89.4% for HGIN and T1aN0 stage ESCC. Conclusions:Two predictive models based on cfDNA terminal motif analysis for ESCC and its precancerous lesions are developed. They both show high sensitivity and specificity in identifying ESCC and its precancerous stages, indicating its potential for early ESCC detection.

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