Objective:To analyze the epidemiological characteristics of rabies in China from 2007 to 2023, and to provide reference evidence for tailoring strategies to facilitate the elimination of rabies in the country.Methods:Case data from 2007 to 2023 were obtained from China′s National Notifiable Infectious Disease Reporting Information System, and the spatial, temporal, and demographic features of cases were analyzed.Results:From 2007 to 2023, a total of 18 751 human rabies cases were reported in China, with an average annual incidence rate of 0.08 per 100 000. The average annual percentage change (AAPC) in incidence rate was -18.58% (95% CI: -21.32% to -15.75%, P<0.05), with three significant turning points in 2011, 2018, and 2021. Based on the trend of the epidemic, Chinese provinces can be roughly divided into five categories. The geographical range affected by rabies has decreased from 23 provinces and 984 counties (districts) in 2007 to 17 provinces and 101 counties (districts) in 2023. Since 2019, the high-incidence counties (districts) have been mainly concentrated in the southwestern part of Hunan, the southern part of Henan, and the western part of Anhui. Fourteen provinces have reported no cases for at least two consecutive years. Males (70.24%) and farmers (72.18%) were the main affected groups, and the proportion of cases aged 65 and above increased from 17.43% in 2007 to 36.07% in 2023. Conclusions:The incidence of rabies in China has changed from endemic in many areas to sporadic, with the remaining endemic regions mainly located in parts of the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River. The main vulnerable groups are middle-aged and elderly farmers. The current prevention and control measures can effectively curb the transmission of rabies, but the decline of cases has slowed down recently.

Human still has limited understanding of respiratory infectious diseases, especially emerging acute respiratory infectious diseases. Once the pandemic of this kind of infectious disease occur, it would be a serious challenge to health, political security, the economic development, and social stability. People hope to detect the changes in infectious diseases in early phase through surveillance and give early warning in time. In the field of public health, more attention has been paid to syndrome surveillance as an effective supplement to traditional surveillance. This paper summarizes the current surveillance system of infectious diseases abroad, introduces the syndrome surveillance system of acute respiratory infectious disease and its application in China, and discusses the development of syndrome surveillance and early warning technology for acute respiratory infectious diseases in the future.

Intelligent syndromic surveillance is an important part of multi-point triggering and multi-channel surveillance system of intelligent early warning of infectious diseases in China, and an inevitable development process of traditional syndromic surveillance as the constant emergence of new technologies. Intelligent syndromic surveillance collects not only the medical data of patients seeking medical care in hospitals but also massive non-medical information. However, along with its rapid development, challenges in intelligent syndromic surveillance have emerged, such as information explosion, cost-effective balance, information sharing, data security and privacy. This paper summarizes the concept and development of intelligent syndromic surveillance to provide references for the method and technique development of intelligent early warning of infectious diseases and new thought for the prevention and control of infectious diseases in China and in the world.

Objective:To determine the predictive value of preoperative monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio(MLR) for prognosis in elderly patients with upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC) after radical nephroureterectomy(RNU).Methods:A retrospective study was performed on 168 elderly patients who underwent RNU in Beijing Hospital between March 2004 to February 2019.Males accounted for 44.6% (75 patients) and females 55.4%(93 patients) of the patients. Median age at the time of surgery was 73(69-78) years, and 110 (65.5%) patients suffered from hydronephrosis. There were 147 cases(87.5%)with single tumor, and 21 cases(12.5%)with multiple tumors, including 75(46.6%) cases in renal pelvis or pelvi-ureteric junction, and 93(53.4%)cases in ureter. Open RNU was performed in 106(63.1%) patients, and laparoscopic method in 62(32.9%) patients. The optimal cutoff value of MLR was set as 0.22 by using the median.χ 2 test, which was used to detect the association between MLR(≤0.22 vs.>0.22) and clinicopathological variables. Survival analyses were performed using the Kaplan-Meier method and were compared using the log-rank test. Additional subgroup analyses(low grade vs. high grade) were performed according to pathological grade. Univariate and multivariate analysis by Cox’s proportional hazards model was used to determine the significance of MLR in respect to OS and PFS. Results:The follow-up period ranged from 19.2 to 86.9 months (median 51.9 months). Next, the cohort was divided into 2 groups , including 77 patients with low MLR(≤0.22) and 91 patients with high MLR(>0.22). High MLR was significantly more frequent in male patients(31.2% vs.56.0%), as well as those undergoing laparoscopic surgery (54.5% vs.70.3%)(All P<0.05). Based on a Cox univariate proportional hazards analysis, male gender( HR=1.793, 95% CI 1.003-3.205, P=0.049), presence of lymph node metastasis( HR=6.809, 95% CI 2.124-17.454, P=0.001) and high MLR( HR=2.287, 95% CI 1.259-4.154, P=0.007)were associated with poor OS. Male gender( HR=1.758, 95% CI 1.066-2.902, P=0.027), presence of lymph node metastasis( HR=6.524, 95% CI 2.542-16.748, P<0.001), lymphovascular invasion(LVI) ( HR=2.348, 95% CI 1.139-4.838, P=0.021), high MLR( HR=2.801, 95% CI 1.657-4.735, P<0.001)and PLR( HR=1.663, 95% CI 1.003-2.757, P=0.049) were significantly associated with subsequent PFS. By multivariate analysis, tumor site( HR=2.050, 95% CI 1.079-3.892, P=0.028), lymph node metastasis ( HR=6.641, 95% CI 1.852-23.811, P=0.004) and MLR( HR=2.089, 95% CI 1.062-4.113, P=0.033) were the independent risk factors for OS in elderly patients with UTUC. Tumor side( HR=2.024, 95% CI 1.033-3.965, P=0.040), multifocality ( HR=2.992, 95% CI 1.161-7.713, P=0.023), lymph node metastasis ( HR=6.454, 95% CI 2.026-20.564, P=0.002) and MLR( HR=2.866, 95% CI 1.554-5.284, P=0.001) were associated with PFS.The multivariate analysis of the significant risk factors established a postoperative risk stratification model for OS and PFS. The results showed significant differences among the 3 subgroups of patients with low(0 risk factor), intermediate(1 risk factor), or high risk(2-3 risk factors)(All P<0.05). Conclusion:MLR was an independent risk factor for OS and PFS in elderly patients with UTUC and patients with elevated MLR have worsen prognosis.

This paper summarizes the basic principles and models of early warning for infectious disease outbreaks, introduces the early warning systems for infectious disease based on different data sources and their applications, and discusses the application potential of big data and their analysing techniques, which have been studied and used in the prevention and control of COVID-19 pandemic, including internet inquiry, social media, mobile positioning, in the early warning of infectious diseases in order to provide reference for the establishment of an intelligent early warning mechanism and platform for infectious diseases based on multi-source big data.

Objective:To investigate the effect of maximal androgen blockade(MAB)therapy on serum calcium, phosphorus and other metabolic indices in elderly patients with prostate cancer.Methods:Clinicopathological data of prostate cancer patients treated with MAB in our department from January 2010 to December 2018 were retrospectively analyzed.All patients underwent prostate biopsy for definitive diagnosis.Detailed data on patient's age, body mass index(BMI), previous medical history, treatment plan and peripheral blood indicators before and after endocrine treatment, such as blood calcium, phosphorus, hemoglobin, fasting blood glucose, triglycerides and cholesterol, were collected.Results:Patients had a mean age of(75.5±5.8)years and a mean BMI of(24.6±3.2)kg/m 2.Blood calcium levels exhibited a downward trend after MAB treatment compared pre-treatment[(2.12±0.44)mmol/L vs.(2.17±0.31)mmol/L, t=0.82, P=0.42], but had no significant difference.Serum phosphorus concentrations were higher and the calcium-phosphorus ratio was lower after MAB treatment than before treatment[(1.02±0.26)mmol/L vs.(1.17±0.34)mmol/L, 2.10±0.28 vs.1.88±0.60, t=-4.12 and 3.56, P<0.01]. After MAB treatment, blood fasting glucose[(6.50±1.55)mmol/L vs.(5.34±1.04)mmol/L, t=-7.82, P<0.01], triglycerides[(1.66±1.32)mmol/L vs.(1.22±0.59)mmol/L, t=-3.38, P<0.01]and cholesterol[(4.70±1.08)mmol/L vs.(4.16±0.90)mmol/L, t=-4.72, P<0.01]were elevated, while hemoglobin concentrations[(122.11±20.43)g/L vs.(130.78±23.98)g/L, t=3.98, P<0.01]were decreased compared with pre-treatment levels. Conclusions:MAB therapy can cause varying degrees of metabolic abnormalities in calcium and phosphorus metabolism, hemoglobin concentrations, blood glucose and lipid levels in elderly prostate cancer patients.The above indicators should be closely monitored during treatment, and treatment-related complications should be proactively prevented.

Objective To analyze effects of androgen deprivation therapy on lipid metabolism and nutritional status in patients with prostate cancer.Methods The clinical data of 255 elderly patients (≥ 65 years old) with prostate cancer who received endocrine therapy and complete follow-up data from January 2010 to December 2018 were analyzed retrospectively.The median age of the 255 patients was 76 years (65-92).The average PSA of patients was (58.15 ± 9.62) ng/ml,where 101 patients had PSA ＜ 10 ng/ml,62 patients had PSA 10-20 ng/ml,and 92 patients had PSA ＞ 20 ng/ml.All patients were diagnosed pathologically by prostate biopsy.As for Gleason score,Gleason score≤6,Gleason score =7 and Gleason score ≥ 8 had 62,103 and 90 patients,respectively.Endocrine therapy included maximum androgen blockade (197 cases) and drug castration (58 cases),and continued for at least 1 year.Among them,123 cases had complete blood lipid index data,and the subgroup analysis was based on the age of 80 years old,including 98 cases aged 65 to 80 years old and 25 cases over 80 years old.A total of 186 cases had complete data of total protein and albumin,of which 147 cases were 65 years old and 80 years old and 39 cases were more than 80 years old.Before treatment,cholesterol was (4.08 ±0.87) mmoL/L,including (4.14 ±0.86) mmol/L in the 65-80 years old group,(3.82 ± 0.88) mmol/L in ＞ 80 years old group;triglyceride was (1.23 ± 0.56) mmol/L,65-80 age group was (1.26 ± 0.56) mmol/L and ＞ 80 years old group was (1.11 ± 0.57) mmol/L;High density lipoprotein cholesterol was(1.09 ± 0.24)mmol/L,65-80 age group was (1.10 ±0.25) mmol/L and ＞ 80 years group was (1.04 ± 0.21) mmol/L.Low density lipoprotein cholesterol was (2.50 ± 0.78) mmol/L,65 ～ 80 age group was (2.55 ± 0.77) mmol/L and (2.34 ± 0.83) mmol/L in ＞80 years old group.The total protein before endocrine therapy was (63.81 ± 5.93) g/L,including (63.95 ± 5.79) g/L in the 65-80 years old group,(63.30 ± 6.49) g/L in ＞ 80 years old group.In terms of pre-treatment albumin (39.68 ± 3.50) g/L,including (39.82 ± 3.60) g/L in the 65-80 years old group and (39.21 ± 3.12) g/L in ＞ 80 years old group.The differences of various indexes before and after treatment were analyzed.Results The results of blood lipid data analysis of 123 cases showed that,there were increased significant differences(P ＜ 0.01) in cholesterol (4.80 ± 1.82)mmol/L,triglyceride (1.59 ± 1.17) mmol/L,high density lipoprotein cholesterol (1.21 ± 0.25) mmol/L and low density lipoprotein cholesterol (3.07 ± 1.53) mmol/L after endocrine therapy compared with baseline.In the subgroup analysis,the levels of cholesterol,triglyceride,high density lipoprotein cholesterol and low density lipoprotein cholesterol in 65-80-year-old group after treatment were (4.92 ± 1.95) mmol/L,(1.64 ± 1.25) mmol/L,(1.20 ± 0.25) mmol/L,and (3.15 ± 1.66) mmol/L,respectively,which were significantly higher than those before treatment (P ＜0.01).In the group over 80 years old,the blood lipid index after treatment was higher than that before treatment,including cholesterol (4.35 ± 1.08) mmol/L,triglyceride (1.39 ± 0.73) mmoL/L,high density lipoprotein cholesterol (1.27 ± 0.26) mmol/L and low density lipoprotein cholesterol (2.76 ± 0.93) mmol/L.The levels of cholesterol,triglyceride and high density lipoprotein cholesterol were significantly higher than those before treatment (P ＜ 0.05),but there was no significant difference in low density lipoprotein cholesterol between before and after treatment (P ＞ 0.05).The results of data analysis of 186 cases of total protein and albumin showed that,the total protein after treatment was (62.81 ±7.34) g/L,which was not significantly different from that before treatment (P ＞ 0.05).The total protein in 65-80 years old group after treatment was (62.36 ± 7.36) g/L,which decrease and have statistical significantly different from that before treatment (P ＜ 0.05);The total protein in ＞ 80 years old group after treatment was (64.49 ± 7.12) g/L,it was higher than that before treatment,but the difference was not statistically significant (P ＞ 0.05).The level of albumin after endocrine therapy was (38.34 ± 4.48) g/L,which was significantly different from that before treatment (P ＜ 0.01).The levels of albumin in 65-85 years old group and ＞ 80 years old group after treatment were (38.32 ± 4.54) g/L and (38.44 ± 4.30) g/L respectively,but only in the group of 65 to 80 years old,there were significant differences compared with those before treatment (P ＜ 0.05).Conclusion Endocrine therapy can not only significantly increase total cholesterol,triglyceride,low density lipoprotein cholesterol and high density lipoprotein cholesterol in elderly patients with prostate cancer,but also significantly reduce albumin after treatment.

This paper reviews the limitations of current infectious disease surveillance and early warning system in China, analyzes the concepts and countermeasures of the establishment of an intelligent early warning platform of infectious diseases based on multi-point trigger mechanism and multi-channel surveillance mechanism and proposes the realization routes for the purpose of facilitating capacity building and improvement of surveillance and early warning of infectious diseases in China.

Objective: To understand characteristics of demographic, seasonal and spatial distribution of H5N1 cases in major countries of Asia (Indonesia, Cambodia, Vietnam, China) and Africa (Egypt). Methods: Through searching public data resource and published papers, we collected cases information in five countries from May 1st, 1997 to November 6th, 2017, including general characteristics, diagnosis, onset and exposure history, etc. Different characteristics of survived and death cases in different countries were described and χ² test was used to compare the differences among death cases and odds ratio (OR) and 95%CI value was used to compare death risk in different countries. Results: A total of 856 cases were reported in five countries with Egypt had the most cases (44.3%). The highest number of cases were reported in 2015 (18.3%). 53% cases were reported from January to March, and 96.1% of cases had the history of poultry exposure. 64.2% (43 cases) cases in China had live poultry market exposure, but the sick/dead poultry exposure was the major exposure for cases in other four countries. 452 death cases were reported in five countries, and the fatality rate was 52.8%. With Egypt as the reference group, the highest death risk was seen in Indonesia (OR (95%CI): 11.52 (7.46-17.77)), followed by Cambodia (OR (95%CI): 4.27(2.37-7.69)) and China (OR (95%CI): 2.87 (1.73-4.74)). The age distribution of death cases among 5 countries was statistically significant, and the highest fatality rate was in 15-54 years group in Egypt (83.6%, 102 cases), while in Cambodia the highest fatality rate was in 0-14 years group (76.9%, 30 cases). The highest number of deaths were reported in 2006, and 48.3% were reported from January to March. There was difference in exposure routes among 5 countries (χ²=43.85, P=0.001), 63.2% (24 cases) of the death cases in China had live poultry market exposure. 92.9% (79 cases), 83.3% (40 cases) and 100.0% (38 cases) death cases in Indonesia, Vietnam and Camodia had sick/dead poultry exposure, respectively;and 81.6% (31 cases) of the death cases in Egypt had backyard poultry exposure. Conclusion The geographical distribution, seasonal age, gender, exposure matter and outcome of H5N1 cases in five countries were different.

Objective To analyze the epidemiological characteristics of human brucellosis in northern and southern areas of China,and to develop national strategies for brucellosis prevention and control.Methods Individual data on human brucellosis was collected from the National Notifiable Infectious Disease Reporting Information System to describe the situation of brucellosis in China during 2015-2016.Epidemiological features of the disease in northem and southern areas of China were analyzed.Results A total of 104 125 cases were reported in mainland China during 2015-2016,with an average incidence rate as 3.81/100 000.The overall incidence rate from the northem provinces was 7.77/100 000 in 2016,a 18.6％ decrease from 2015 (9.55/100 000),whereas the incidence rate in the southern provinces was 0.27/100 000 in 2016,with an increase of 28.6％ than 0.21/100 000 in 2015.90.0％ of the newly infected counties mainly distributed in southern China.As for the locations of reporting cases,most of them were in the same counties in the northern areas (52.3％) while most cases in the southern areas (59.6％) were imported from other counties.The median age of the cases was 48 (IQR:38-58) years,with male-to-female ratios as 2.7 ∶ 1 in the north and 2.2 ∶ 1 in the south.Majority of the cases were occupation-related,from both the northern (86.8％) and southern (62.7％) areas.Human brucellosis occurred every month throughout the year but with an obvious seasonal increase between March and July.Conclusions Different epidemiological features of human brucellosis appeared in both northern and southern areas of China.The disease was seen endemic in the northem and dispersal in the southem provinces.Appropriate strategies for brucellosis prevention and control should be developed,according to the different epidemiological characteristics in the northcm or southcm areas.