1.Exploring the Feasibility of Machine Learning to Predict Risk Stratification Within 3 Months in Chest Pain Patients with Suspected NSTE-ACS.
Zhi Chang ZHENG ; Wei YUAN ; Nian WANG ; Bo JIANG ; Chun Peng MA ; Hui AI ; Xiao WANG ; Shao Ping NIE
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2023;36(7):625-634
OBJECTIVE:
We aimed to assess the feasibility and superiority of machine learning (ML) methods to predict the risk of Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events (MACEs) in chest pain patients with NSTE-ACS.
METHODS:
Enrolled chest pain patients were from two centers, Beijing Anzhen Emergency Chest Pain Center Beijing Bo'ai Hospital, China Rehabilitation Research Center. Five classifiers were used to develop ML models. Accuracy, Precision, Recall, F-Measure and AUC were used to assess the model performance and prediction effect compared with HEART risk scoring system. Ultimately, ML model constructed by Naïve Bayes was employed to predict the occurrence of MACEs.
RESULTS:
According to learning metrics, ML models constructed by different classifiers were superior over HEART (History, ECG, Age, Risk factors, & Troponin) scoring system when predicting acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and all-cause death. However, according to ROC curves and AUC, ML model constructed by different classifiers performed better than HEART scoring system only in prediction for AMI. Among the five ML algorithms, Linear support vector machine (SVC), Naïve Bayes and Logistic regression classifiers stood out with all Accuracy, Precision, Recall and F-Measure from 0.8 to 1.0 for predicting any event, AMI, revascularization and all-cause death ( vs. HEART ≤ 0.78), with AUC from 0.88 to 0.98 for predicting any event, AMI and revascularization ( vs. HEART ≤ 0.85). ML model developed by Naïve Bayes predicted that suspected acute coronary syndrome (ACS), abnormal electrocardiogram (ECG), elevated hs-cTn I, sex and smoking were risk factors of MACEs.
CONCLUSION
Compared with HEART risk scoring system, the superiority of ML method was demonstrated when employing Linear SVC classifier, Naïve Bayes and Logistic. ML method could be a promising method to predict MACEs in chest pain patients with NSTE-ACS.
Humans
;
Acute Coronary Syndrome/epidemiology*
;
Bayes Theorem
;
Feasibility Studies
;
Risk Assessment/methods*
;
Chest Pain/etiology*
;
Myocardial Infarction/diagnosis*
2.Hemilateral bone longitudinal transport technique for the treatment of hemilateral defects of long bones of lower limbs.
Peng-Rui WANG ; Guo-Ping WU ; Shao-Hui SHI ; Wei ZHANG ; Qun ZHANG ; Shao-Bo NIE
China Journal of Orthopaedics and Traumatology 2023;36(8):760-766
OBJECTIVE:
To explore clinical efficacy of Ilizarov hemilateral bone longitudinal transport technique in treating hemilateral bone defects associated with chronic osteomyelitis of lower extremity long bones.
METHODS:
Clinical data of 13 patients with hemilateral bone defects caused by chronic osteomyelitis of lower extremity long bones and treated by Ilizarov hemilateral bone longitudinal transport technique were retrospective analyzed, including 10 males and 3 female, aged from 14 to 55 years old;4 patients occurred femoral and 9 patients occurred tibial;10 patients were diagnosed as traumatic osteomyelitis and 3 patients as hematogenous osteomyelitis. The anatomical classification of Cierny-Mader in 13 patients was type Ⅲ. Bone and wound healing, postopertaive complication, and bony and functional results were observed by Paley evaluation standard.
RESULTS:
After removing external fixator, all patients were followed up from 6 to 70 months. Transporting time ranged from 54 to 158 d. And the time in external fixation ranged from 6.8 to 19.5 months. External fixation index (EFI) ranged from 1.23 to 1.6 months/cm. According to Paley's evaluation criteria, bony results were excellent in 13 patients;functional results showed excellent in 12 patients and good in 1 patient. Two patients occurred poor union on the docking sites and healed with autogenous iliac bone graft. The callus at the extended area was poorly mineralized and improved significantly when treated with low-intensity pulsed ultrasound in one patient. All patients had good wound healing without recurrence of osteomyelitis and refracture. There was no vascular and nerve injury and axial deviation in all patients and they were satisfied with the appearance and function of lower limbs. The range of motion of knee and ankle joint before operation was 120 ° to 150 ° and 35 °to 80 ° respectively, and at the latest follow-up was 110 ° to 140 ° and 30 ° to 75 ° .
CONCLUSION
Ilizarov hemilateral bone longitudinal transport technique is effective in treating infective hemilateral bone defects of lower extremity long bones, which could not only simplify architecture of external fixation, but also reduce the number of fixation pins, shorten the time in external fixator and decrease the incidence of pin tract infection. However, this technique is highly demanding, and the growth of callus in extended region and healing of bone apposition should be noticed.
Male
;
Humans
;
Female
;
Adolescent
;
Young Adult
;
Adult
;
Middle Aged
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Lower Extremity/surgery*
;
Tibia/surgery*
;
Femur
;
Ankle Joint
3.Outcomes of catheter-directed thrombolysis versus systemic thrombolysis in the treatment of pulmonary embolism: a meta-analysis.
Huang-Tai MIAO ; Ying LIANG ; Xiao-Ying LI ; Xiao WANG ; Hui-Juan ZUO ; Zhe-Chun ZENG ; Shao-Ping NIE
Journal of Geriatric Cardiology 2023;20(6):459-468
OBJECTIVE:
To evaluate the safety and efficacy of catheter-directed thrombolysis (CDT) versus systemic thrombolysis (ST) in the treatment of pulmonary embolism (PE).
METHODS:
The Cochrane Library, PubMed, and Embase databases were searched to collect the literature on the comparison of the results of CDT and ST in the treatment of PE from the beginning of their records to May 2020, and meta-analysis was performed by STATA software (version 15.1). Using standardized data-collection forms, the authors screened the studies and independently extracted data, and assessed the quality of the studies using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale for cohort studies. Cohort studies that examined the following results were included in the current study: in-hospital mortality, all-cause bleeding rate, gastrointestinal bleeding rate, intracranial hemorrhage rate, the incidence of shock, and hospital length of stay.
RESULTS:
A total of eight articles, with 13,242 participants, involving 3962 participants in the CDT group and 9280 participants in the ST group were included. CDT compared with ST in the treatment of PE can significantly affect in-hospital mortality rate [odds ratio (OR) = 0.41, 95% CI: 0.30-0.56, P < 0.05], all-cause bleeding rate (OR = 1.20, 95% CI: 1.04-1.39, P = 0.012), gastrointestinal bleeding rate (OR = 1.43, 95% CI: 1.13-1.81, P = 0.003), the incidence of shock (OR = 0.46, 95% CI: 0.37-0.57, P < 0.05), and hospital length of stay [standard mean difference (SMD) = 0.16, 95% CI: 0.07-0.25, P < 0.05]. However, there was no significant effect on intracranial hemorrhage rate in patients with PE (OR = 0.70, 95% CI: 0.47-1.03, P = 0.070).
CONCLUSIONS
CDT is a viable alternative to ST in the treatment of PE, as it can significantly reduce in-hospital mortality rate, all-cause bleeding rate, gastrointestinal bleeding rate, and incidence of shock. However, CDT may prolong hospital length of stay to a certain extent. Further research is needed to evaluate the safety and efficacy of CDT and ST in the treatment of acute PE and other clinical outcomes.
4.Effect of complete revascularization in acute coronary syndrome after 75 years old: insights from the BleeMACS registry.
Ge WANG ; Xiu-Huan CHEN ; Si-Yi LI ; Ze-Kun ZHANG ; Wei GONG ; Yan YAN ; Shao-Ping NIE ; José P HENRIQUES
Journal of Geriatric Cardiology 2023;20(10):728-736
BACKGROUND:
The prognostic benefit of complete revascularization in elderly patients (aged over 75 years) with multi-vessel disease and acute coronary syndrome (ACS) is currently unclear. This study aimed to determine the long-term prognostic impact of complete revascularization in this population.
METHODS:
We conducted this study using data obtained from the BleeMACS (Bleeding complications in a Multicenter registry of patients discharged after an Acute Coronary Syndrome) registry, which was carried out from 2003 to 2014. The objective was to categorize older patients diagnosed with ACS into two groups: those who underwent complete revascularization and those who did not. Propensity score matching and the Kaplan-Meier analysis were employed to examine differences in one-year clinical outcomes. The primary endpoint was major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE), which encompassed a combination of all-cause mortality and myocardial infarction.
RESULTS:
Out of 1263 patients evaluated, 445 patients (35.2%) received complete revascularization. Patients who underwent complete revascularization had a higher prevalence of hypertension and prior percutaneous coronary intervention compared to those who did not. During the one-year follow-up period, complete revascularization was associated with a significantly decreased risk of MACE [13.7% vs. 20.5%, hazard ratio (HR) = 0.63, 95% CI: 0.45-0.88, P = 0.007] and a lower risk of myocardial infarction (5.9% vs. 9.9%, HR = 0.55, 95% CI: 0.33-0.92, P = 0.02). However, it was not linked to a lower risk of all-cause death (9.5% vs. 13.5%, HR = 0.68, 95% CI: 0.45-1.02, P = 0.06). Similar results were observed in the subgroup analysis.
CONCLUSIONS
Long-term clinical improvements were observed in ACS patients aged over 75 years with multi-vessel disease who achieved complete revascularization. Therefore, adhering to guidelines for complete revascularization should be recommended for elderly patients.
5.Multimorbidity in elderly patients with acute coronary syndrome: insights from BleeMACS registry.
Yan YAN ; Wei GONG ; Xiao WANG ; Jing Yao FAN ; Shao Ping NIE
Chinese Journal of Cardiology 2022;50(5):443-449
Objective: To assess the prevalence, pattern and outcome of multimorbidity in elderly patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS). Methods: Secondary analysis was performed based on the data from the BleeMACS registry, which was conducted between 2003 and 2014. We stratified elderly patients (≥65 years) according to their multimorbidity. Multimorbidity was defined as two or more chronic diseases in the same individual. Kaplan-Meier methods were used to estimate 1 year event rates for each endpoint, and comparisons between the study groups were performed using the log-rank test. The primary endpoint was net adverse clinical events (NACE), which is a composite of all-cause mortality, myocardial infarction, or bleeding. Results: Of 7 120 evaluable patients, 6 391 (89.8%) were with morbidity (1 594 with 1, 2 156 with 2, and 2 641 with ≥3 morbidity). Patients with morbidity were older, percent of female sex and non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndromes and implantation rate with drug-eluting stents and blood creatine level were higher compared to patients without morbidity. Compared with the patients without morbidity, the proportion of participants with oral anticoagulant increased in proportion to increased number of morbidities (5.8% vs. 6.4% with 1 morbidity, 7.3% with 2 morbidities, 9.0% with ≥3 morbidities, P trend<0.01) and the proportion of participants with clopidogrel prescription decreased in proportion to increased number of morbidity (91.9% vs. 89.7% with 1 morbidity, 87.9% with 2 morbidities, 88.6% with ≥3 morbidities, P trend = 0.01). During 1 year follow-up, compared with those with no morbidity, the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) of risk of NACE for those with 1, 2, and ≥ 3 morbidities was 1.18 (0.86-1.64), 1.49 (1.10-2.02), and 2.74 (2.06-3.66), respectively (P < 0.01). Multimorbidity was not associated with an increased risk of bleeding of various organs (P>0.05). Conclusion: Multimorbidity is common in elderly patients with ACS. These patients might benefit from coordinated and integrated multimorbidity management by multidisciplinary teams.
Acute Coronary Syndrome/epidemiology*
;
Aged
;
Clopidogrel
;
Female
;
Hemorrhage
;
Humans
;
Multimorbidity
;
Percutaneous Coronary Intervention/methods*
;
Platelet Aggregation Inhibitors/adverse effects*
;
Registries
;
Treatment Outcome
7.The value of CMR high-risk attributes in predicting ventricular remodeling in ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction patients with mildly reduced or preserved ejection fraction.
Qian GUO ; Xiao WANG ; Rui Feng GUO ; Ying Ying GUO ; Yan YAN ; Wei GONG ; Wen ZHENG ; Hui WANG ; Lei XU ; Hui AI ; Bin QUE ; Shao Ping NIE
Chinese Journal of Cardiology 2022;50(9):864-872
Objective: To evaluate the predictive value of a multiparametric cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) approach for ventricular remodeling in ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) patients with mildly reduced or preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). Methods: This study is a prospective cohort study. STEMI patients with acute LVEF>40% after primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in Beijing Anzhen Hospital from October 2019 to September 2021 were enrolled. All patients received acute (3-7 days) and follow-up (3 months) CMR post-PCI. According to absence or presence of ventricular remodeling, patients were divided into ventricular remodeling group and non-ventricular remodeling group. Basic clinical characteristics and CMR indicators were analyzed and compared between the two groups. Logistic regression and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to explore the predictive performance of CMR high-risk attributes for ventricular remodeling in STEMI patients with mildly reduced or preserved LVEF. The predictive value of combining multiple high-risk characteristics of CMR for ventricular remodeling was analyzed and compared with the traditional clinical risk factor model. Results: A total of 123 STEMI patients were enrolled (aged (57.1±11.1) years, 102 (82.9%) males). There were 97 cases (78.9%) patients in the non-ventricular remodeling group and 26 cases (21.1%) in the ventricular remodeling group. After adjustment for clinical risk factors, stroke volume<51.6 ml, global circumferential strain>-13.7%, infarct size>39.2%, microvascular obstruction>0.5%, and myocardial salvage index<43.9 were independently associated with ventricular remodeling in STEMI patients with mildly reduced or preserved LVEF. The incidence of ventricular remodeling increased with the increasing number of CMR high-risk attributes (P<0.01). The number of CMR high-risk attributes ≥3 was an independent predictor of adverse remodeling (adjusted OR=5.95, 95 CI%: 2.25-15.72, P<0.01) in STEMI patients with mildly reduced or preserved LVEF. Furthermore, the number of CMR high-risk attributes had incremental predictive value over baseline clinical risk factors (area under curve: 0.843 vs. 0.696, P<0.01). Conclusions: In STEMI patients with mild reduced or preserved LVEF, 5 CMR characteristics are associated with ventricular remodeling. The combination of ≥3 CMR high-risk characteristics is an independent predictor of ventricular remodeling, which has incremental predictive value beyond traditional risk factors in this patient cohort.
Female
;
Humans
;
Magnetic Resonance Imaging, Cine
;
Magnetic Resonance Spectroscopy
;
Male
;
Percutaneous Coronary Intervention
;
Prospective Studies
;
ST Elevation Myocardial Infarction/diagnostic imaging*
;
Stroke Volume
;
Ventricular Function, Left
;
Ventricular Remodeling
9.Impact of iron deficiency on prognosis of heart failure patients with preserved ejection fraction.
Hao FU ; Shao Ping NIE ; Rong BAI
Chinese Journal of Cardiology 2021;49(5):479-486
Objective: To investigate the impact of iron deficiency (ID) on prognosis in heart failure patients with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF). Methods: A total of 215 consecutive patients with HFpEF, who visited the cardiovascular outpatient department of Beijing Anzhen Hospital, were enrolled in this prospective study. The plasma ferritin level and transferin saturation were measured. Patients were divided into two groups: ID group and non-ID group. ID patients were further divided into absolute ID subgroup and functional ID subgroup. Patients were followed up to 1 year. The endpoints of the study were all-cause mortality and rehospitalization for heart failure (HF). The independent predictors of outcome were determined by Cox regression model. The quality of life of patients was evaluated at the end of the follow-up. Results: The age of this patient cohort was (67±8) years, 39.1% patients were male. The prevalence of ID was 54.4%. Within one year of follow-up, 37 patients (17.2%) died and 70 patients (32.6%) were rehospitalized for HF. Compared to non-ID group, patients in ID group were older, had higher heart rate, lower plasma hemoglobin level and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) value, had a higher prevalence of anemia and chronic kidney disease (P all<0.05). Kaplan-Meier curves showed that all-cause mortality and rehospitalization for HF in HFpEF patients with ID were higher than patients without ID, and prognosis was similar between patients with absolute ID and functional ID. Multivariable regression analysis showed that ID was an independent predictor for all-cause mortality and rehospitalization for HF in HFpEF patients. The of 6 minutes walking distance was shorter ((356.0±98.3)m vs. (389.2±94.3)m, P=0.023), and the value in Kansas city cardiomyopathy questionnaire was lower ((58.06±10.43) m vs. (61.51±11.64) m, P = 0.039) in patients with ID than patients without ID. Conclusion: In patients with chronic HFpEF, ID is an independent predictor for all-cause mortality and rehospitalization for HF at one year of follow-up, independent of the types of ID.
Aged
;
Anemia, Iron-Deficiency
;
Female
;
Heart Failure/complications*
;
Humans
;
Male
;
Middle Aged
;
Prognosis
;
Prospective Studies
;
Quality of Life
;
Stroke Volume
10.Impact of obstructive sleep apnea on the long-term cardiovascular outcomes in patients with acute coronary syndrome.
Xiao WANG ; Wen HAO ; Jing Yao FAN ; Rui Feng GUO ; Xin HUANG ; Ze Xuan LI ; Si Yi LI ; Ge WANG ; Ying ZHANG ; Wei GONG ; Shao Ping NIE
Chinese Journal of Cardiology 2021;49(8):776-782
Objective: To investigate the impact of obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) on long-term cardiovascular outcomes in patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS). Methods: This is a single-center, prospective cohort study. Between June 2015 to January 2020, consecutive ACS patients hospitalized at Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University were enrolled. All patients underwent portable sleep breathing monitoring, and they were then divided into moderate/severe OSA group (apnea-hypopnea index (AHI)≥15 events/hour) and no/mild OSA group (AHI<15 events/hour). The primary endpoint was major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular event (MACCE), defined as a composite of cardiovascular death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, non-fatal stroke, ischemia-driven revascularization and hospital admission for unstable angina or heart failure. MACCE were compared yearly by the log-rank test. Multivariable Cox regression analyses were performed to determine the independent predictors of MACCE. Results: A total of 1 927 patients with ACS were enrolled, including 1 629 males (84.5%), aged (56.4±10.5) years. Moderate/severe OSA was present in 1 014 (52.6%) patients. Compared with no/mild OSA group, moderate/severe OSA group exhibited a higher body mass index (P<0.05). Hypertension, prior PCI were more prevalent in moderate/severe OSA group (both P<0.05). The difference of ACS category between the two groups was statistically significant (P=0.021). The rate of patients who underwent PCI and the number of stents were higher in the moderate/severe OSA group. During a 5-year follow-up (median 2.9 years (IQR 1.5-3.6 years)), the cumulative incidence of MACCE was significantly higher in the moderate/severe OSA group than in the no/mild OSA group (34.0% vs. 24.0%, HR=1.346, 95%CI 1.100-1.646, log-rank P=0.004). The cumulative incidence of MACCE remained statistically higher at 4 and 5 year in the moderate/severe OSA group as compared to the no/mild OSA group (33.3% vs. 22.9%, HR=1.397, 95%CI 1.141-1.710, log-rank P=0.001; 34.0% vs. 24.0%, HR=1.341, 95%CI 1.096-1.640, log-rank P=0.004, respectively). Multivariate analysis showed that moderate/severe OSA (HR=1.312, 95%CI 1.054-1.631, P=0.015) was an independent predictor of long-term MACCE in ACS patients. Conclusions: Moderate/severe OSA is observed in more than 52% ACS patients. Moderate/severe OSA is an independent predictor of long-term MACCE.

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