1.Application of time series and machine learning models in predicting the trend of sickness absenteeism among primary and secondary school students in Shanghai
WANG Zhengzhong, ZHANG Zhe, ZHOU Xinyi, YUAN Linlin, ZHAI Yani, SUN Lijing, LUO Chunyan
Chinese Journal of School Health 2025;46(3):426-430
Objective:
To analyze the temporal variation patterns of sickness absenteeism among primary and secondary school students in Shanghai, so as to explore models suitable for predicting peaks and intensity of absenteeism rates.
Methods:
The seasonal and trend decomposition using loess (STL) method was used to analyze the seasonal and long term trend changes in sickness absenteeism among primary and secondary school students from September 1 in 2010 to June 30 in 2018, in Shanghai. A hierarchical clustering method based on Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) was employed to classify absenteeism symptoms with similar temporal patterns. Based on historical data, the study constructed and evaluated different time series algorithms and machine learning models to optimize the accuracy of predicting the trend of sickness absenteeism.
Results:
During the research period, the average new absenteeism rate due to illness was 16.86 per 10 000 person day for every academic year, and the trend of sickness absenteeism exhibited both seasonality and a long term upward trend, reaching its highest point in the 2017 academic year (22.47 per 10 000 person day). The symptoms of absenteeism were divided into three categories: high incidence in winter and spring (respiratory symptoms, fever and general discomfort, etc.), high incidence in summer (eye symptoms, nosebleeds, etc.) and those without obvious seasonality (skin symptoms, accidental injuries, etc.).The constructed time series models effectively predicted the trend of absenteeism due to illness, although the accuracy of predicting peak intensity was relatively low. Among them, the multi layer perceptron (MLP) model performed the best, with an root mean squared error (RMSE) of 8.96 and an mean absolute error (MAE) of 4.37, reducing 36.51% and 39.02% compared to the baseline model.
Conclusion
Time series models and machine learning algorithms could effectively predict the trend of sickness absenteeism, and corresponding prevention and control measures can be taken for absenteeism caused by different symptoms during peak periods.
2.Establishment of a Rat Model of Alzheimer's Disease by Introducing Human Triple Mutant APP Gene into Hippocampus via Brain Stereotactic Technology
Linlin XIAO ; Yixuan YANG ; Shanshan LI ; Lanshiyu LUO ; Siwei YIN ; Juming SUN ; Wei SHI ; Yiqiang OUYANG ; Xiyi LI
Laboratory Animal and Comparative Medicine 2025;45(3):269-278
Objective To establish a rat model of Alzheimer's disease (AD) expressing human triple mutant amyloid precursor protein (APP) in the hippocampus, and to provide a model for the study of disease mechanisms and drug development. Methods Twenty-four 12-week-old SPF-grade female SD rats were randomly divided into a blank control group, a virus control group and an experimental group, with eight rats in each group; among them, the experimental group received a stereotaxic injection of adeno-associated virus (AAV) carrying the human triple mutant APP and NanoLuc luciferase genes into the hippocampus. In vivo imaging was used to observe viral expression in the brains of rats in each group, the novel object recognition test was used to assess the recognition memory of the rats in each group, real-time fluorescent quantitative PCR was used to detect the expression level of the APP gene, HE staining was used to examine the brain histopathology, Nissl staining was used to assess the hippocampal lesions, and immunohistochemistry was used to detect the deposition of amyloid β-protein (Aβ). Results In vivo imaging showed that reporter fluorescence was detected in the brains of rats in both experimental and virus control groups. Fluorescence quantitative PCR showed that the expression level of the APP gene was significantly increased in the brains of rats in the experimental group (P<0.01). Novel object recognition test revealed that the recognition memory of rats in the experimental group was significantly reduced compared with that of the blank control group (P<0.01). Six months after recombinant AAV virus infection, HE staining and Nissl staining of brain tissues showed that the number of neurons and Nissl bodies in the CA1 region of the hippocampus in the experimental group was reduced and disorganized; immuno-histochemistry testing of the CA1 region of the hippocampus and the pyramidal cell layer of the experimental group revealed prominent brown deposits, indicating Aβ protein deposition. Conclusion The rat model successfully established by stereotaxic injection and AAV-mediated delivery of human triple mutant APP gene exhibits typical AD features, providing a valuable animal model for studying AD pathology and developing drug therapies targeting Aβ protein deposition.
3.Establishment of a Rat Model of Alzheimer's Disease by Introducing Human Triple Mutant APP Gene into Hippocampus via Brain Stereotactic Technology
Linlin XIAO ; Yixuan YANG ; Shanshan LI ; Lanshiyu LUO ; Siwei YIN ; Juming SUN ; Wei SHI ; Yiqiang OUYANG ; Xiyi LI
Laboratory Animal and Comparative Medicine 2025;45(3):269-278
Objective To establish a rat model of Alzheimer's disease (AD) expressing human triple mutant amyloid precursor protein (APP) in the hippocampus, and to provide a model for the study of disease mechanisms and drug development. Methods Twenty-four 12-week-old SPF-grade female SD rats were randomly divided into a blank control group, a virus control group and an experimental group, with eight rats in each group; among them, the experimental group received a stereotaxic injection of adeno-associated virus (AAV) carrying the human triple mutant APP and NanoLuc luciferase genes into the hippocampus. In vivo imaging was used to observe viral expression in the brains of rats in each group, the novel object recognition test was used to assess the recognition memory of the rats in each group, real-time fluorescent quantitative PCR was used to detect the expression level of the APP gene, HE staining was used to examine the brain histopathology, Nissl staining was used to assess the hippocampal lesions, and immunohistochemistry was used to detect the deposition of amyloid β-protein (Aβ). Results In vivo imaging showed that reporter fluorescence was detected in the brains of rats in both experimental and virus control groups. Fluorescence quantitative PCR showed that the expression level of the APP gene was significantly increased in the brains of rats in the experimental group (P<0.01). Novel object recognition test revealed that the recognition memory of rats in the experimental group was significantly reduced compared with that of the blank control group (P<0.01). Six months after recombinant AAV virus infection, HE staining and Nissl staining of brain tissues showed that the number of neurons and Nissl bodies in the CA1 region of the hippocampus in the experimental group was reduced and disorganized; immuno-histochemistry testing of the CA1 region of the hippocampus and the pyramidal cell layer of the experimental group revealed prominent brown deposits, indicating Aβ protein deposition. Conclusion The rat model successfully established by stereotaxic injection and AAV-mediated delivery of human triple mutant APP gene exhibits typical AD features, providing a valuable animal model for studying AD pathology and developing drug therapies targeting Aβ protein deposition.
4.Effect of Early Intervention of Yishen Huazhuo Prescription on Learning and Memory of Accelerated Aging SAMP8 Mice and Its Mechanism
Shujie ZAN ; Kai WANG ; Jiachun XU ; Weiming SUN ; Daoyan NI ; Linlin ZHANG ; Shuang LIU ; Yan MA ; Pengjuan XU ; Lin LI
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2024;30(8):91-99
ObjectiveTo investigate the impact of early intervention with Yishen Huazhuo prescription (YHP) on the learning and memory of accelerated aging model mice, as well as its underlying mechanism. MethodForty-eight 3-month-old male SAMP8 mice were randomly assigned into four groups, including the model group, low-dose YHP group, high-dose YHP group, and donepezil group. Additionally, 24 SAMR1 mice of the same age were divided into a control group and a YHP treatment control group, each consisting of 12 mice. The YHP groups received YHP at doses of 6.24 g·kg-1 and 12.48 g·kg-1, while the donepezil group was treated with donepezil at a dose of 0.65 mg·kg-1. The model group and control groups were given physiological saline. The mice were gavaged once daily for a duration of four weeks. Spatial learning and memory abilities of mice were assessed using the Morris water maze test. Immunofluorescence staining was employed to evaluate neuronal density as well as expression levels of M1 microglial (MG) polarization marker inducible nitric oxide synthase (iNOS) and M2 MG polarization marker arginase-1 (Arg-1) in the hippocampus region. Enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) was used to measure serum levels of pro-inflammatory factor interleukin 1β (IL-1β) and anti-inflammatory factor transforming growth factor-β1 (TGF-β1). Furthermore, Western blot analysis was conducted to determine expressions of amyloid β peptide1-42 (Aβ1-42) along with triggering receptor expressed on myeloid cells 2 (TREM2)/nuclear factor kappa B (NF-κB) signaling pathway-related proteins TREM2, phospho (p)-NF-κB p65, and phospho-inhibitory kappa B kinase β (IKKβ) in the hippocampus. ResultCompared with the control group, the model group exhibited a significantly prolonged escape latency (P<0.01), a significant reduction in neuron-specific nuclear protein (NeuN) expression in the hippocampus, a significant increase in iNOS expression in MG, and a significant decrease in Arg-1 expression. The serum IL-1β content was significantly increased, while the TGF-β1 content was significantly decreased. Additionally, there was a significant decrease in TREM2 expression in the hippocampus and significant increases in p-NF-κB p65, p-IKKβ, and Aβ1-42 expressions (P<0.05, P<0.01). However, no significant changes were observed in escape latency, times of crossing the platform, and hippocampal NeuN expression in the YHP treatment control group. Conversely, iNOS expression in MG as well as the hippocampal p-NF-κB p65, p-IKKβ, and Aβ1-42 expressions were significantly decreased. Furthermore, TREM2 expression was significantly increased (P<0.05, P<0.01). In comparison to the model group, the low-dose YHP group showed a significantly shortened escape latency and an increased number of crossing the platform (P<0.05, P<0.01). In the high-dose YHP group, the escape latency was significantly shortened (P<0.05). In the low-dose YHP group, high-dose YHP group, the expression of NeuN in the hippocampus was significantly increased, the expression of iNOS in MG was significantly decreased, and the expression of Arg-l was significantly increased. The serum IL-1β content was significantly decreased, while the TGF-β1 content was significantly increased. Furthermore, the expression of TREM2 in the hippocampus was significantly increased, and the expressions of p-NF-κB p65, p-IKKβ, and Aβ1-42 were significantly decreased (P<0.01). ConclusionEarly YHP intervention may promote the transformation of hippocampal MG from M1 to M2 by regulating the TREM2/NF-κB signaling pathway, reduce the release of neuroinflammatory factors, protect hippocampal neurons, and reduce the deposition of Aβ1-42, and finally delay the occurrence of learning and memory decline in SAMP8 mice.
5.Association between QRS voltages and amyloid burden in patients with cardiac amyloidosis.
Jing-Hui LI ; Changcheng LI ; Yucong ZHENG ; Kai YANG ; Yan HUANG ; Huixin ZHANG ; Xianmei LI ; Xiuyu CHEN ; Linlin DAI ; Tian LAN ; Yang SUN ; Minjie LU ; Shihua ZHAO
Chinese Medical Journal 2024;137(3):365-367
6.Original Article Association between Exposure of Rare Earth Elements and Outcomes of In Vitro Fertilization-Embryo Transfer in Beijing
Wang YUTONG ; Li JING ; Xu SHIRONG ; Lin SHENGLI ; Hou ZHENCHEN ; Wang LINLIN ; Huang YALI ; Sun YUE ; Guo WEI ; Yan LAILAI ; Wang YING ; Tian CHAN
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2024;37(8):876-886
Objective The study aimed to investigate the impact of rare earth elements(REEs)exposure on pregnancy outcomes of in vitro fertilization-embryo transfer(IVF-ET)by analyzing samples from spouses. Methods A total of 141 couples were included.Blood and follicular fluid from the wives and semen plasma from the husbands,were analyzed for REEs using inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry(ICP-MS).Spearman's correlation coefficients and the Mann-Whitney U test were used to assess correlations and compare REE concentrations among three types of samples,respectively.Logistic models were utilized to estimate the individual REE effect on IVF-ET outcomes,while BKMR and WQS models explored the mixture of REE interaction effects on IVF-ET outcomes. Results Higher La concentration in semen(median 0.089 ng/mL,P=0.03)was associated with a lower fertilization rate.However,this effect was not observed after artificial selection intervention through intracytoplasmic sperm injection(ICSI)(P=0.27).In semen,the REEs mixture did not exhibit any significant association with clinical pregnancy. Conclusion Our study revealed a potential association between high La exposure in semen and a decline in fertilization rate,but not clinical pregnancy rate.This is the first to report REEs concentrations in follicular fluid with La,Ce,Pr,and Nd found at significantly lower concentrations than in serum,suggesting that these four REEs may not accumulate in the female reproductive system.However,at the current exposure levels,mixed REEs exposure did not exhibit reproductive toxicity.
7.A real-world study of the clinical application of the Paris system for reporting urinary cytology in cancer hospital
Huan ZHAO ; Zhihui ZHANG ; Huiqin GUO ; Na WEI ; Haiyue MA ; Linlin ZHAO ; Yue SUN ; Cong WANG ; Xinxiang CHANG ; Xingang BI ; Nianzeng XING
Chinese Journal of Oncology 2024;46(7):703-709
Objectives:To evaluate the clinical value of the Paris system for reporting urinary cytology (TPS) in the diagnosis of urothelial carcinoma (UC).Methods:A total of 1 744 cytological diagnostic records (from 751 cases) were collected retrospectively. All specimens were voided urines and histopathology as the gold standard. The sensitivity and specificity of urinary cytological diagnosis of UC and risk of high grade malignant (ROHM) in each diagnostic category were compared.Results:There were 360 cases with histopathology. The percentage of negative for high-grade urothelial carcinoma (NHGUC) was 30.1% (226/751), atypical urothelial cells (AUC) was 29.8% (224/751), suspicious for high-grade urothelial carcinoma (SHGUC) was 16.8% (126/751), high grade urothelial carcinoma (HGUC) was 21.2% (159/751), and non-urothelial malignancy (NUM) was 2.1% (16/751). The histpathologic ROHM corresponding to each cytological diagnosis category were 27.3% for NHGUC, 32.7% for AUC, 74.7% for SHGUC, 96.6% for HGUC and 100.0% for NUM, respectively. ROHM of SHGUC was significantly higher than that of AUC group, and the difference between the two groups was statistically significant ( P<0.001). ROHM of HGUC group was significantly higher than that of SHGUC group, and the difference was statistically significant ( P<0.001). With SHGUC as the cut-off value, the sensitivity and specificity of cytological diagnosis of HGUC were 76.7% (165/215) and 85.7% (18/21), and with HGUC as the cut-off value, the sensitivity and specificity of cytological diagnosis of HGUC were 53.0% (114/215) and 100.0% (21/21), respectively. Conclusions:Urine cytology has high sensitivity and specificity in the diagnosis of HGUC. The malignant risk of TPS varies with different diagnosis category. The high malignant risk population in cancer hospital leads to the relatively high malignant proportion and ROHM in each diagnosis category. Urinary cytology TPS reporting system is helpful to clinical management and has good clinical application value.
8.Application of 9-gene panel in assisting fine needle aspiration cytology to diagnose thyroid cancer
Yanqi ZHANG ; Huan ZHAO ; Linlin ZHAO ; Yue SUN ; Cong WANG ; Zhihui ZHANG ; Tian QIU ; Xin YANG ; Ting XIAO ; Huiqin GUO
Chinese Journal of Oncology 2024;46(11):1049-1057
Objective:To evaluate the utility of the 9-gene panel as a differential diagnostic method for thyroid nodules within determinate cytological diagnosis and as a parallel diagnostic method for thyroid fine-needle aspiration (FNA) cytology.Methods:579 liquid-based cytology samples from 544 patients were collected after thyroid FNA diagnosis in our hospital from December 2014 to April 2021. Mutations at any site of 9 genes, namely, BRAF, NRAS, HRAS, KRAS, GNAS, RET, TERT, TP53, and PIK3CA as recorded by the Catalogue of Somatic Mutations in Cancer (COSMIC), were analyzed by next-generation sequencing. Taking postoperative histopathology and cytology results with definite benign or malignant diagnosis as the gold standard, the diagnostic efficacy of the 9-gene panel as a reclassified method for thyroid nodules with indeterminate cytological diagnosis and as a parallel diagnostic method for thyroid FNA cytology were evaluated and compared with that of the BRAF V600E single-gene detection method.Results:Of the 579 thyroid nodules, 196 (33.85%) were Bethesda Ⅱ, 11 (1.90%) were Bethesda Ⅲ, 31 (5.35%) were Bethesda Ⅳ, 27 (4.66%) were Bethesda Ⅴ, and 314 (54.23%) were Bethesda Ⅵ, as diagnosed by thyroid FNA cytology. Among these 579 thyroid nodules, 275 were tested positive for 9-gene mutations, with a mutation rate of 47.5%. Of the 329 thyroid nodules surgically removed, 30 (9.12%) were benign, 5 (1.52%) were borderline, and 294 (89.36%) were malignant. Regarding borderline nodules as malignant nodules, the mutation rates of the 9 genes in the 299 malignant thyroid nodules from high to low were BRAF 62.21% (186/299), NRAS 5.02% (15/299), HRAS 1.00% (3/299), PIK3CA 0.67% (2/299), GNAS 0.67% (2/299), KRAS 0.33% (1/299), TP53 0.33% (1/299), TERT 0.33% (1/299) and RET 0.00% (0/299). The malignant risks of the 9 genes from high to low were BRAF 100% (186/186), PIK3CA 100.00% (2/2), GNAS 100.00% (2/2), TERT 100.00% (1/1), TP53 100.00% (1/1), NRAS 78.95% (15/19), HRAS 75.00% (3/4), and KRAS 50.00% (1/2). For thyroid nodules of Bethesda Ⅲ-Ⅳ (indeterminate diagnosis), the sensitivity (SN) of the 9-gene panel in diagnosing thyroid cancer is 34.48% (10/29), the specificity (SP) is 61.54% (8/13), and the accuracy is 42.86% (18/42); whereas the SN of the BRAF V600E detection method is 0%. Therefore, the diagnostic efficiency of the 9-gene panel is significantly better than that of BRAF V600E single gene detection. For thyroid nodules of Bethesda Ⅱ-Ⅵ, the SN of the 9-gene panel in diagnosing thyroid cancer was 68.83% (254/369), the SP was 90.00% (189/210), the accuracy was 76.51% (443/579), and the area under the curve (AUC) was 0.79; whereas the SN of BRAF V600E single-gene detection in diagnosing thyroid cancer was 63.69% (235/369), the SP was 99.52% (209/210), the accuracy was 76.68% (444/579), and the AUC was 0.82. The SP of BRAF V600E detection is higher than that of the 9-gene panel ( P<0.01), but there is no significant difference in SN, accuracy (both P>0.05), and AUC ( Z=0.85, P=0.396) between them. Gene mutations indicating poor prognosis were detected in 4 nodules of papillary thyroid carcinoma and 1 nodules of follicular thyroid carcinoma, including 2 nodules with TERT and BRAF V600E co-mutations, 1 nodule with TP53 mutation, and 2 nodules with PIK3CA mutation. Conclusions:As a reclassified method for thyroid lesions with indeterminate cytological diagnosis, the 9-gene panel is better than BRAF V600E single gene detection. As a parallel diagnostic method of thyroid FNA cytology, the 9-gene panel has similar diagnostic efficacy as BRAF V600E single-gene detection. The 9-gene panel can detect individual cases with gene mutations indicating poor prognosis. The identification of patients with these special gene mutations has certain implications for the clinical management of them.
9.Research advances in the economic burden of epilepsy disease
Zhuoyuan CHANG ; Linlin SUN ; Lifen YAO
Journal of Apoplexy and Nervous Diseases 2024;41(6):511-514
Epilepsy is a serious neurological disease,and its expensive medical costs have brought a heavy eco-nomic burden to society,families,and individuals.So far,there have been a limited number of studies on the economic burden of epilepsy.This article reviews the current status of the economic burden of epilepsy in China and globally,in or-der to provide a reference for the rational allocation of health resources and the effective formulation of healthcare policies.
10.Association between dietary habits and sleep duration among middle school students in Shanghai
YIN Xiaoya, ZHAI Yani, YUAN Linlin, YAN Qiong, ZHOU Xinyi, LUO Chunyan, SUN Lijing
Chinese Journal of School Health 2024;45(8):1140-1143
Objective:
To explore the association between dietary behaviors and sleep duration among middle school students in Shanghai, so as to provide reference for interventions targeting insufficient sleep.
Methods:
From May to June 2021, a stratified cluster random sampling method was employed to select a sample of 10-17yearold middle school students for monitoring their healthrisk behaviors. A total of 5 538 valid questionnaires were collected. The survey included items such as daily sleep duration, weekly consumption of sugary beverages, freshly squeezed fruit juice, fresh fruits, fresh vegetables, fried foods, milk and yogurt, breakfast habits, and frequency of eating outside. Statistical analysis was conducted using Chisquare test, Wilcoxon ranksum test, and multivariable Logistic regression model.
Results:
About 73.7% of middle school students reported insufficient sleep in Shanghai. There was a positive correlation between the average daily consumption of fresh fruits and breakfast consumption with sleep duration. In other words, a higher frequency of consuming fresh fruits (OR=1.29) and eating breakfast (OR=1.07) were associated with a higher likelihood of sufficient sleep. Conversely, there was a negative correlation between the frequency of consuming desserts (OR=0.78) and fried foods (OR=0.88) and sleep duration (P<0.05).
Conclusions
Increasing the consumption of fresh fruits and maintaining regular breakfast habits while reducing the intake of fried foods can contribute to achieving sufficient sleep among middle school students. When implementing interventions to improve sleep among middle school students, promoting healthy and balanced diets can be considered as one of the intervention strategies.


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