1.Construction and evaluation of short-term and long-term mortality risk prediction model for patients with sepsis based on MIMIC-IV database
Danyang YAN ; Xi XIE ; Xiangjie FU ; Daomiao XU ; Ning LI ; Run YAO
Journal of Central South University(Medical Sciences) 2024;49(2):256-265
Objective:Given the high incidence and mortality rate of sepsis,early identification of high-risk patients and timely intervention are crucial.However,existing mortality risk prediction models still have shortcomings in terms of operation,applicability,and evaluation on long-term prognosis.This study aims to investigate the risk factors for death in patients with sepsis,and to construct the prediction model of short-term and long-term mortality risk. Methods:Patients meeting sepsis 3.0 diagnostic criteria were selected from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-IV(MIMIC-IV)database and randomly divided into a modeling group and a validation group at a ratio of 7?3.Baseline data of patients were analyzed.Univariate Cox regression analysis and full subset regression were used to determine the risk factors of death in patients with sepsis and to screen out the variables to construct the prediction model.The time-dependent area under the curve(AUC),calibration curve,and decision curve were used to evaluate the differentiation,calibration,and clinical practicability of the model. Results:A total of 14 240 patients with sepsis were included in our study.The 28-day and 1-year mortality were 21.45%(3 054 cases)and 36.50%(5 198 cases),respectively.Advanced age,female,high sepsis-related organ failure assessment(SOFA)score,high simplified acute physiology score II(SAPS II),rapid heart rate,rapid respiratory rate,septic shock,congestive heart failure,chronic obstructive pulmonary disease,liver disease,kidney disease,diabetes,malignant tumor,high white blood cell count(WBC),long prothrombin time(PT),and high serum creatinine(SCr)levels were all risk factors for sepsis death(all P<0.05).Eight variables,including PT,respiratory rate,body temperature,malignant tumor,liver disease,septic shock,SAPS II,and age were used to construct the model.The AUCs for 28-day and 1-year survival were 0.717(95%CI 0.710 to 0.724)and 0.716(95%CI 0.707 to 0.725),respectively.The calibration curve and decision curve showed that the model had good calibration degree and clinical application value. Conclusion:The short-term and long-term mortality risk prediction models of patients with sepsis based on the MIMIC-IV database have good recognition ability and certain clinical reference significance for prognostic risk assessment and intervention treatment of patients.
2.Lower Baseline LDL Cholesterol Affects All-cause Mortality in Patients with First Percutaneous Coronary Intervention.
Xi CHEN ; Hao CHEN ; Bo LU WEI ; Min ZHANG ; Yuan TAO ; Qing Cheng WANG ; Guo Sheng FU ; Wen Bin ZHANG
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2023;36(4):324-333
OBJECTIVE:
Foreign studies have reported that coronary artery disease (CAD) patients with high baseline low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) may have a good prognosis, which is called the "cholesterol paradox". This study aimed to examine whether the "cholesterol paradox" also exists in the Chinese population.
METHODS:
A total of 2,056 patients who underwent the first percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) between 2014 and 2016 were enrolled in this retrospective cohort study and classified into two groups based on baseline LDL-C = 2.6 mmol/L (100 mg/dL). The outcomes of interest included major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), all-cause mortality, recurrent nonfatal myocardial infarction, unexpected coronary revascularization, or any nonfatal stroke.
RESULTS:
All-cause mortality occurred in 8 patients (0.7%) from the low-LDL-C group and 12 patients (2.4%) in the high-LDL-C group, with a significant difference between the two groups (adjusted hazard ratio: 4.030, 95% confidence interval: 1.088-14.934; P = 0.037). However, no significant differences existed for the risk of MACE or other secondary endpoints, such as unexpected revascularization, nor any nonfatal stroke in the two groups.
CONCLUSION
In this study, a high baseline LDL-C was not associated with a low risk of clinical outcomes in CAD patients undergoing first PCI, which suggested that the "cholesterol paradox" may be inapplicable to Chinese populations.
Humans
;
Cholesterol, LDL
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Percutaneous Coronary Intervention/adverse effects*
;
Coronary Artery Disease/surgery*
;
Cholesterol
;
Cholesterol, HDL
;
Stroke/etiology*
;
Treatment Outcome
;
Risk Factors
4.Independent prognostic value of the congestion and renal index in patients with acute heart failure.
Run-Qing JI ; Bin WANG ; Jin-Guo ZHANG ; Shu-Hong SU ; Li LI ; Qin YU ; Xian-Yan JIANG ; Xin FU ; Xue-Hua FANG ; Xiao-Wen MA ; Ao-Xi TIAN ; Jing LI
Journal of Geriatric Cardiology 2023;20(7):516-526
BACKGROUND:
Clinical outcomes are poor if patients with acute heart failure (AHF) are discharged with residual congestion in the presence of renal dysfunction. However, there is no single indication to reflect the combined effects of the two related pathophysiological processes. We, therefore, proposed an indicator, congestion and renal index (CRI), and examined the associations between the CRI and one-year outcomes and the incremental prognostic value of CRI compared with the established scoring systems in a multicenter prospective cohort of AHF.
METHODS:
We enrolled AHF patients and calculated the ratio of thoracic fluid content index divided by estimated glomerular filtration rate before discharge, as CRI. Then we examined the associations between CRI and one-year outcomes.
RESULTS:
A total of 944 patients were included in the analysis (mean age 63.3 ± 13.8 years, 39.3% women). Compared with patients with CRI ≤ 0.59 mL/min per kΩ, those with CRI > 0.59 mL/min per kΩ had higher risks of cardiovascular death or HF hospitalization (HR = 1.56 [1.13-2.15]) and all-cause death or all-cause hospitalization (HR = 1.33 [1.01-1.74]). CRI had an incremental prognostic value compared with the established scoring system.
CONCLUSIONS
In patients with AHF, CRI is independently associated with the risk of death or hospitalization within one year, and improves the risk stratification of the established risk models.
5.Mid-term efficacy of China Net Childhood Lymphoma-mature B-cell lymphoma 2017 regimen in the treatment of pediatric Burkitt lymphoma.
Meng ZHANG ; Pan WU ; Yan Long DUAN ; Ling JIN ; Jing YANG ; Shuang HUANG ; Ying LIU ; Bo HU ; Xiao Wen ZHAI ; Hong Sheng WANG ; Yang FU ; Fu LI ; Xiao Mei YANG ; An Sheng LIU ; Shuang QIN ; Xiao Jun YUAN ; Yu Shuang DONG ; Wei LIU ; Jian Wen ZHOU ; Le Ping ZHANG ; Yue Ping JIA ; Jian WANG ; Li Jun QU ; Yun Peng DAI ; Guo Tao GUAN ; Li Rong SUN ; Jian JIANG ; Rong LIU ; Run Ming JIN ; Zhu Jun WANG ; Xi Ge WANG ; Bao Xi ZHANG ; Kai Lan CHEN ; Shu Quan ZHUANG ; Jing ZHANG ; Chun Ju ZHOU ; Zi Fen GAO ; Min Cui ZHENG ; Yonghong ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Pediatrics 2022;60(10):1011-1018
Objective: To analyze the clinical characteristics of children with Burkitt lymphoma (BL) and to summarize the mid-term efficacy of China Net Childhood Lymphoma-mature B-cell lymphoma 2017 (CNCL-B-NHL-2017) regimen. Methods: Clinical features of 436 BL patients who were ≤18 years old and treated with the CNCL-B-NHL-2017 regimen from May 2017 to April 2021 were analyzed retrospectively. Clinical characteristics of patients at disease onset were analyzed and the therapeutic effects of patients with different clinical stages and risk groups were compared. Survival analysis was performed by Kaplan-Meier method, and Cox regression was used to identify the prognostic factors. Results: Among 436 patients, there were 368 (84.4%) males and 68 (15.6%) females, the age of disease onset was 6.0 (4.0, 9.0) years old. According to the St. Jude staging system, there were 4 patients (0.9%) with stage Ⅰ, 30 patients (6.9%) with stage Ⅱ, 217 patients (49.8%) with stage Ⅲ, and 185 patients (42.4%) with stage Ⅳ. All patients were stratified into following risk groups: group A (n=1, 0.2%), group B1 (n=46, 10.6%), group B2 (n=19, 4.4%), group C1 (n=285, 65.4%), group C2 (n=85, 19.5%). Sixty-three patients (14.4%) were treated with chemotherapy only and 373 patients (85.6%) were treated with chemotherapy combined with rituximab. Twenty-one patients (4.8%) suffered from progressive disease, 3 patients (0.7%) relapsed, and 13 patients (3.0%) died of treatment-related complications. The follow-up time of all patients was 24.0 (13.0, 35.0) months, the 2-year event free survival (EFS) rate of all patients was (90.9±1.4) %. The 2-year EFS rates of group A, B1, B2, C1 and C2 were 100.0%, 100.0%, (94.7±5.1) %, (90.7±1.7) % and (85.9±4.0) %, respectively. The 2-year EFS rates was higher in group A, B1, and B2 than those in group C1 (χ2=4.16, P=0.041) and group C2 (χ2=7.21, P=0.007). The 2-year EFS rates of the patients treated with chemotherapy alone and those treated with chemotherapy combined with rituximab were (79.3±5.1)% and (92.9±1.4)% (χ2=14.23, P<0.001) respectively. Multivariate analysis showed that stage Ⅳ (including leukemia stage), serum lactate dehydrogenase (LDH)>4-fold normal value, and with residual tumor in the mid-term evaluation were risk factors for poor prognosis (HR=1.38,1.23,8.52,95%CI 1.05-1.82,1.05-1.43,3.96-18.30). Conclusions: The CNCL-B-NHL-2017 regimen show significant effect in the treatment of pediatric BL. The combination of rituximab improve the efficacy further.
Adolescent
;
Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols/therapeutic use*
;
Burkitt Lymphoma/drug therapy*
;
Child
;
Disease-Free Survival
;
Female
;
Humans
;
Lactate Dehydrogenases
;
Lymphoma, B-Cell/drug therapy*
;
Male
;
Prognosis
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Rituximab/therapeutic use*
;
Treatment Outcome
6.Long-term outcomes and failure patterns of definitive radiotherapy for cervical esophageal carcinoma.
Xuan LIU ; Jing Wei LUO ; Zong Mei ZHOU ; Run Ye WU ; Ye ZHANG ; Kai WANG ; Xue Song CHEN ; Yuan QU ; Xiao Dong HUANG ; Xi WANG ; Nan BI ; Qin Fu FENG ; Ji Ma LYU ; Dong Fu CHEN ; Ze Fen XIAO ; Jian Ping XIAO ; Jun Lin YI ; Li GAO
Chinese Journal of Oncology 2022;44(10):1125-1131
Objective: To evaluate the long-term outcomes, failure patterns and prognostic factors of definitive radiotherapy in patients with cervical esophageal carcinoma (CEC). Methods: We retrospectively reviewed the clinical data of 148 CEC patients who treated with definitive radiotherapy in Cancer Hospital of Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences from January 2001 to December 2017. The median radiation dose was 66 Gy (59.4-70 Gy) and 33.1% of patients received concurrent chemotherapy. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to calculate survival rates. The log rank test was used for survival comparison and univariate prognostic analysis. The Cox model was used for multivariate prognostic analysis. Results: The median follow-up time was 102.6 months. The median survival time, 2- and 5-year overall survival (OS) were 22.7 months, 49.9% and 28.3%. The median, 2- and 5-year progression-free survival were 12.6 months, 35.8% and 25.8%. The 2- and 5-year locoregional recurrence-free survival were 59.1% and 50.8%. The 2- and 5-year distant metastases-free survival were 74.6% and 65.9%. Multivariate analysis showed that EQD(2)>66 Gy was the only independent prognostic indicator for OS (P=0.040). The median survival time and 5-year OS rate significantly improved in patients who received EQD(2)>66 Gy than those who received≤66 Gy (31.2 months vs. 19.2 months, 40.1% vs. 19.1%, P=0.027). A total of 87 patients (58.8%) developed tumor progression. There were 50 (33.8%), 23 (15.5%) and 39 (26.4%) patients developed local, regional recurrence and distant metastases, respectively. Eleven patients (7.4%) underwent salvage surgery, and the laryngeal preservation rate for entire group was 93.9%. Conclusions: Definitive radiotherapy is an effective treatment for cervical esophageal carcinoma with the advantage of larynx preservation. Local recurrence is the major failure pattern. EQD(2)>66 Gy is associated with the improved overall survival.
Humans
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Esophageal Neoplasms/pathology*
;
Carcinoma/drug therapy*
;
Prognosis
;
Treatment Outcome
;
Chemoradiotherapy/methods*
;
Radiotherapy Dosage
7.Effects of thyroid hormone on myocardial T-type calcium channels at mRNA and protein levels in rats
Run-Xi FU ; Ruo-Song YANG ; Xue-Qin HUANG ; Wen-Ming HE ; You-Yan YU ; Deng-Ming WEI
Chinese Journal of Pathophysiology 2018;34(6):996-1001
AIM:To observe the effect of thyroxine on the expression of T-type calcium channels Cav3. 1, Cav3. 2 and Cav3. 3 in rat myocardium, and to explore the possible biological mechanism between the changes of the ex-pression of T-type calcium channels and the arrhythmia in hyperthyroid heart disease. METHODS:Healthy SD rats (n=20) were randomly divided into normal control group (n=10) and hyperthyroid heart disease group (n=10). The animal model was established by intraperitoneal injection of levothyroxine for 35 d. The contents of T3 and T4 in serum, the heart-to-body weight ratio, the diameter of cardiac myocytes and electrocardiograph were measured to evaluate hyperthyroid heart disease. Moreover, the mRNA and protein expression levels of T-type calcium channels in the myocardium were measured by RT-PCR, immunohistochemistry and Western blot. RESULTS:After intraperitoneal injection of levothyroxine for 35 d, compared with the normal control group, the serum contents of T3 and T4, the heart-to-body weight ratio and the diameter of cardiac myocytes were significantly increased in hyperthyroid heart disease group (P<0.05), and arrhythmia occurred in hyperthyroid heart disease group. By immunohistochemistry and Western blot, the protein expression of Cav3. 1 in-creased significantly (P<0.05), while the protein expression of Cav3.2 decreased significantly (P<0.01). However, no change of the Cav3. 3 protein was observed. The results of RT-PCR were the same as immunohistochemistry and Western blot. CONCLUSION:Thyroxine promotes the expression of Cav3. 1 in the myocardium but inhibits the expression of Cav3. 2 at mRNA and protein levels, which might be involved in arrhythmia in hyperthyroid heart disease.
8.Stems and leaves of Aconitum carmichaelii Debx. as potential herbal resources for treating rheumatoid arthritis: Chemical analysis, toxicity and activity evaluation.
Ya-Nan HE ; Shui-Ping OU ; Xi XIONG ; Yuan PAN ; Jin PEI ; Run-Chun XU ; Fu-Neng GENG ; Li HAN ; Ding-Kun ZHANG ; Ming YANG
Chinese Journal of Natural Medicines (English Ed.) 2018;16(9):644-652
According to folk usage of Aconitum carmichaelii Debx., the present study was designed to determine the feasibility of the stems and leaves of Aconitum carmichaelii Debx. as a new medicinal resource. Fourteen alkaloids in mother roots, fibrous roots, stems, and leaves of Aconitum carmichaelii Debx. were measured by HPLC-MS/MS. And multivariate analysis methods, such as clustering analysis and principal component analysis, were applied to analyze the difference among various parts. In addition, the acute toxicity, analgesia, and anti-inflammatory tests were carried out. The results suggested that the contents of alkaloids in mother roots and fibrous roots were approximate, but those of leaves and stems were different from mother roots and fibrous roots. The results of the acute toxicity testing demonstrated the toxicity of fibrous root was strongest, and mother roots were slightly less toxic than fibrous roots. The stems and leaves were far less toxic than mother and fibrous roots. In addition, the analgesia and inflammatory tests showed the effects of the various tissues had no difference each other. These results provided a basis for developing new complementary and alternative treatments for rheumatoid arthritis patients. Simultaneously, the approach may also turn wastes into treasure and promote the development of circular economy.
Aconitum
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chemistry
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Alkaloids
;
administration & dosage
;
chemistry
;
toxicity
;
Animals
;
Anti-Inflammatory Agents
;
administration & dosage
;
chemistry
;
toxicity
;
Arthritis, Rheumatoid
;
drug therapy
;
Chromatography, High Pressure Liquid
;
Drug Evaluation, Preclinical
;
Drugs, Chinese Herbal
;
administration & dosage
;
chemistry
;
toxicity
;
Female
;
Humans
;
Male
;
Mice
;
Plant Leaves
;
chemistry
;
Plant Roots
;
chemistry
;
Plant Stems
;
chemistry
;
Tandem Mass Spectrometry
9.Chemical constituents from ethyl acetate-soluble extraction of Valeriana jatamansi.
Sheng LIN ; Peng FU ; Yun-Heng SHEN ; Ji YE ; Zhong-Xiao ZHANG ; Xian-Wen YANG ; Hui-Liang LI ; Run-Hui LIU ; Xi-Ke XU ; Wei-Dong ZHANG
China Journal of Chinese Materia Medica 2018;43(1):100-108
Application of a combination of various chromatographic techniques including column chromatography over silica gel, Sephadex LH-20, macroporous adsorbent resin, and reversed-phase HPLC, led to the isolation of 173 compounds including irdidoids, monoterpenes, sesquiterpenes, triterpenes, lignans, flavonoids, and simple aromatic derivatives from the ethyl acetate-soluble fraction of the whole plants of Valeriana jatamansi(Valerianaceae), and their structures were elucidated by spectroscopic methods including 1D, 2D NMR UV, IR, and MS techniques. Among them, 77 compounds were new. In previous reports, we have described the isolation, structure elucidation, and bioactivities of 68 new and 25 known compounds. As a consequence, we herein reported the isolation and structure elucidation of the remaining 9 new and 71 known compounds, the structure revision of valeriotriate A(8a), as well as cytotoxicity of some compounds.
Acetates
;
Chromatography, High Pressure Liquid
;
Flavonoids
;
analysis
;
Iridoids
;
analysis
;
Lignans
;
analysis
;
Molecular Structure
;
Monoterpenes
;
analysis
;
Phytochemicals
;
analysis
;
Plant Extracts
;
chemistry
;
Sesquiterpenes
;
analysis
;
Triterpenes
;
analysis
;
Valerian
;
chemistry
10.Minimally invasive percutaneous plate osteosynthesis versus open reduction and internal fixation for distal tibial fractures in adults: a meta-analysis.
Qing-xi ZHANG ; Fu-qiang GAO ; Wei SUN ; Yun-ting WANG ; Yu-run YANG ; Zirong LI
China Journal of Orthopaedics and Traumatology 2015;28(8):757-762
OBJECTIVETo perform a meta-analysis on clinical outcomes of minimally invasive percutaneous plate osteosynthesis (MIPPO) or open reduction and internal fixation (ORIF) for distal tibial fractures in adults.
METHODSPubmed database (from 1968 to March 2014), Cochrane library and CNKI database (from 1998 to March 2014) were searched. Case-control study on minimally invasive percutaneous plate osteosynthesis (MIPPO) or open reduction and internal fixation (ORIF) for distal tibial fractures in adults were chosen,and postoperative infection, operative time, blood loss, fracture nonunion rate, delayed union,fracture malunion rate were seen as evaluation index for meta analysis. The system review was performed using the method recommended by the Cochrane Collaboration.
RESULTSTotally 5 studies (366 patients) were enrolled. Meta-analysis showed that there were significant meaning in postoperative infection between MIPPO and ORIF [OR = 0.23,95% CI (0.06,0.92), P = 0.04]; fracture nonunion rate in MIPPO was lower than in ORIF group [OR = 0.16, 95% CI (0.03,0.76), P = 0.02]; operative time in MIPPO was shorter than in ORIF group, and had significant difference [MD = -14.42, 95% CI (-27.79, -1.05), P < 0.05]; blood loss in MIPPO was less than in ORIF group [MD= -87.17,95%CI (-99.20, -75.15), P < 0.05]; there was no obviously meaning in delayed union between two groups.
CONCLUSIONFor distal tibial fractures in adults, MIPPO has, advantages of short operative time, less blood loss, lower incidence of infection and fracture non-uniom, but with high fracture malunion rate. MIPPO for distal tibial fractures in adults is better than ORIF, and the best treatment should choose according to patient's condition.
Bone Plates ; Fracture Fixation, Internal ; methods ; Fracture Healing ; Humans ; Minimally Invasive Surgical Procedures ; methods ; Operative Time ; Tibial Fractures ; surgery

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