1.Textual Analysis of Classic Formulas Yinchenhao Tang Based on Ancient and Modern Literature
Qing HE ; Lyuyuan LIANG ; Jialei CAO ; Yulu BIAN ; Bingqi WEI ; Chongyi HUANG ; Hejia WAN ; Bingxiang MA ; Wenli SHI
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2024;30(12):158-165
		                        		
		                        			
		                        			Yinchenhao Tang has definite clinical efficacy. It has been inherited and documented since the ancestor of Shanghanlun in the Eastern Han dynasty and is a classical formulas for clearing away heat, promoting diuresis, and eliminating jaundice adopted by medical experts of successive generations. It has been included in the Catalogue of Ancient Classical Formulas (the Second Batch of Han Medicine) published by the National Administration of Traditional Chinese Medicine (TCM) in 2023. By means of bibliometrics, 801 pieces of ancient literature data related to Yinchenhao Tang were collected, and 36 pieces of effective data were selected, involving 36 ancient books of TCM. The origin, name, composition, efficacy, formula and meaning analysis, drug origin, dosage, preparation method and usage, indications, and modern clinical application of Yinchenhao Tang were analyzed. It was suggested that the modern dosage and application of Yinchenhao Tang should be as follows: The 82.8 g of Artemisiae Scopariae Herba, 12.6 g of Gardeniae Fructus, and 27.2 g of Rhei Radix et Rhizoma. The formulas was prepared by firstly adding 2 400 mL of water into Artemisiae Scopariae Herba and boiling it to about 1 200 mL, then adding Gardeniae Fructus and Rhei Radix et Rhizoma to boil it for 600 mL, and removing the residue. It could be orally taken for 200 mL each time in warm conditions, three times a day. Yinchenhao Tang has the effect of clearing away heat, promoting diuresis, and eliminating jaundice, and it mainly treats symptoms of hygropyretic jaundice. In the formulas, Yinchenhao Tang is the monarch drug, which is mainly to remove dampness and jaundice. Gardeniae Fructus is the ministerial drug, which is mainly responsible for clearing the triple energizer and facilitating urination. Rhei Radix et Rhizoma is an adjuvant, mainly responsible for clearing away heat and eliminating jaundice. The modern application of this formulas involves the hepatobiliary system, skin system, endocrine system, digestive system, etc., and it has more advantages in treating jaundice, icteric hepatitis, and hepatitis B. In this study, the ancient literature related to Yinchenhao Tang was sorted out to determine its key information, so as to provide a scientific reference for clinical application of classic formulas and new drug development. 
		                        		
		                        		
		                        		
		                        	
2.Chinese expert consensus on blood support mode and blood transfusion strategies for emergency treatment of severe trauma patients (version 2024)
Yao LU ; Yang LI ; Leiying ZHANG ; Hao TANG ; Huidan JING ; Yaoli WANG ; Xiangzhi JIA ; Li BA ; Maohong BIAN ; Dan CAI ; Hui CAI ; Xiaohong CAI ; Zhanshan ZHA ; Bingyu CHEN ; Daqing CHEN ; Feng CHEN ; Guoan CHEN ; Haiming CHEN ; Jing CHEN ; Min CHEN ; Qing CHEN ; Shu CHEN ; Xi CHEN ; Jinfeng CHENG ; Xiaoling CHU ; Hongwang CUI ; Xin CUI ; Zhen DA ; Ying DAI ; Surong DENG ; Weiqun DONG ; Weimin FAN ; Ke FENG ; Danhui FU ; Yongshui FU ; Qi FU ; Xuemei FU ; Jia GAN ; Xinyu GAN ; Wei GAO ; Huaizheng GONG ; Rong GUI ; Geng GUO ; Ning HAN ; Yiwen HAO ; Wubing HE ; Qiang HONG ; Ruiqin HOU ; Wei HOU ; Jie HU ; Peiyang HU ; Xi HU ; Xiaoyu HU ; Guangbin HUANG ; Jie HUANG ; Xiangyan HUANG ; Yuanshuai HUANG ; Shouyong HUN ; Xuebing JIANG ; Ping JIN ; Dong LAI ; Aiping LE ; Hongmei LI ; Bijuan LI ; Cuiying LI ; Daihong LI ; Haihong LI ; He LI ; Hui LI ; Jianping LI ; Ning LI ; Xiying LI ; Xiangmin LI ; Xiaofei LI ; Xiaojuan LI ; Zhiqiang LI ; Zhongjun LI ; Zunyan LI ; Huaqin LIANG ; Xiaohua LIANG ; Dongfa LIAO ; Qun LIAO ; Yan LIAO ; Jiajin LIN ; Chunxia LIU ; Fenghua LIU ; Peixian LIU ; Tiemei LIU ; Xiaoxin LIU ; Zhiwei LIU ; Zhongdi LIU ; Hua LU ; Jianfeng LUAN ; Jianjun LUO ; Qun LUO ; Dingfeng LYU ; Qi LYU ; Xianping LYU ; Aijun MA ; Liqiang MA ; Shuxuan MA ; Xainjun MA ; Xiaogang MA ; Xiaoli MA ; Guoqing MAO ; Shijie MU ; Shaolin NIE ; Shujuan OUYANG ; Xilin OUYANG ; Chunqiu PAN ; Jian PAN ; Xiaohua PAN ; Lei PENG ; Tao PENG ; Baohua QIAN ; Shu QIAO ; Li QIN ; Ying REN ; Zhaoqi REN ; Ruiming RONG ; Changshan SU ; Mingwei SUN ; Wenwu SUN ; Zhenwei SUN ; Haiping TANG ; Xiaofeng TANG ; Changjiu TANG ; Cuihua TAO ; Zhibin TIAN ; Juan WANG ; Baoyan WANG ; Chunyan WANG ; Gefei WANG ; Haiyan WANG ; Hongjie WANG ; Peng WANG ; Pengli WANG ; Qiushi WANG ; Xiaoning WANG ; Xinhua WANG ; Xuefeng WANG ; Yong WANG ; Yongjun WANG ; Yuanjie WANG ; Zhihua WANG ; Shaojun WEI ; Yaming WEI ; Jianbo WEN ; Jun WEN ; Jiang WU ; Jufeng WU ; Aijun XIA ; Fei XIA ; Rong XIA ; Jue XIE ; Yanchao XING ; Yan XIONG ; Feng XU ; Yongzhu XU ; Yongan XU ; Yonghe YAN ; Beizhan YAN ; Jiang YANG ; Jiangcun YANG ; Jun YANG ; Xinwen YANG ; Yongyi YANG ; Chunyan YAO ; Mingliang YE ; Changlin YIN ; Ming YIN ; Wen YIN ; Lianling YU ; Shuhong YU ; Zebo YU ; Yigang YU ; Anyong YU ; Hong YUAN ; Yi YUAN ; Chan ZHANG ; Jinjun ZHANG ; Jun ZHANG ; Kai ZHANG ; Leibing ZHANG ; Quan ZHANG ; Rongjiang ZHANG ; Sanming ZHANG ; Shengji ZHANG ; Shuo ZHANG ; Wei ZHANG ; Weidong ZHANG ; Xi ZHANG ; Xingwen ZHANG ; Guixi ZHANG ; Xiaojun ZHANG ; Guoqing ZHAO ; Jianpeng ZHAO ; Shuming ZHAO ; Beibei ZHENG ; Shangen ZHENG ; Huayou ZHOU ; Jicheng ZHOU ; Lihong ZHOU ; Mou ZHOU ; Xiaoyu ZHOU ; Xuelian ZHOU ; Yuan ZHOU ; Zheng ZHOU ; Zuhuang ZHOU ; Haiyan ZHU ; Peiyuan ZHU ; Changju ZHU ; Lili ZHU ; Zhengguo WANG ; Jianxin JIANG ; Deqing WANG ; Jiongcai LAN ; Quanli WANG ; Yang YU ; Lianyang ZHANG ; Aiqing WEN
Chinese Journal of Trauma 2024;40(10):865-881
		                        		
		                        			
		                        			Patients with severe trauma require an extremely timely treatment and transfusion plays an irreplaceable role in the emergency treatment of such patients. An increasing number of evidence-based medicinal evidences and clinical practices suggest that patients with severe traumatic bleeding benefit from early transfusion of low-titer group O whole blood or hemostatic resuscitation with red blood cells, plasma and platelet of a balanced ratio. However, the current domestic mode of blood supply cannot fully meet the requirements of timely and effective blood transfusion for emergency treatment of patients with severe trauma in clinical practice. In order to solve the key problems in blood supply and blood transfusion strategies for emergency treatment of severe trauma, Branch of Clinical Transfusion Medicine of Chinese Medical Association, Group for Trauma Emergency Care and Multiple Injuries of Trauma Branch of Chinese Medical Association, Young Scholar Group of Disaster Medicine Branch of Chinese Medical Association organized domestic experts of blood transfusion medicine and trauma treatment to jointly formulate Chinese expert consensus on blood support mode and blood transfusion strategies for emergency treatment of severe trauma patients ( version 2024). Based on the evidence-based medical evidence and Delphi method of expert consultation and voting, 10 recommendations were put forward from two aspects of blood support mode and transfusion strategies, aiming to provide a reference for transfusion resuscitation in the emergency treatment of severe trauma and further improve the success rate of treatment of patients with severe trauma.
		                        		
		                        		
		                        		
		                        	
3.Safety and efficacy of the early administration of levosimendan in patients with acute non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction and elevated NT-proBNP levels: An Early Management Strategy of Acute Heart Failure (EMS-AHF).
Feng XU ; Yuan BIAN ; Guo Qiang ZHANG ; Lu Yao GAO ; Yu Fa LIU ; Tong Xiang LIU ; Gang LI ; Rui Xue SONG ; Li Jun SU ; Yan Ju ZHOU ; Jia Yu CUI ; Xian Liang YAN ; Fang Ming GUO ; Huan Yi ZHANG ; Qing Hui LI ; Min ZHAO ; Li Kun MA ; Bei An YOU ; Ge WANG ; Li KONG ; Jian Liang MA ; Xin Fu ZHOU ; Ze Long CHANG ; Zhen Yu TANG ; Dan Yu YU ; Kai CHENG ; Li XUE ; Xiao LI ; Jiao Jiao PANG ; Jia Li WANG ; Hai Tao ZHANG ; Xue Zhong YU ; Yu Guo CHEN
Chinese Journal of Internal Medicine 2023;62(4):374-383
		                        		
		                        			
		                        			Objectives: To investigated the safety and efficacy of treating patients with acute non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) and elevated levels of N-terminal pro-hormone B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) with levosimendan within 24 hours of first medical contact (FMC). Methods: This multicenter, open-label, block-randomized controlled trial (NCT03189901) investigated the safety and efficacy of levosimendan as an early management strategy of acute heart failure (EMS-AHF) for patients with NSTEMI and high NT-proBNP levels. This study included 255 patients with NSTEMI and elevated NT-proBNP levels, including 142 males and 113 females with a median age of 65 (58-70) years, and were admitted in the emergency or outpatient departments at 14 medical centers in China between October 2017 and October 2021. The patients were randomly divided into a levosimendan group (n=129) and a control group (n=126). The primary outcome measure was NT-proBNP levels on day 3 of treatment and changes in the NT-proBNP levels from baseline on day 5 after randomization. The secondary outcome measures included the proportion of patients with more than 30% reduction in NT-proBNP levels from baseline, major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) during hospitalization and at 6 months after hospitalization, safety during the treatment, and health economics indices. The measurement data parameters between groups were compared using the t-test or the non-parametric test. The count data parameters were compared between groups using the χ² test. Results: On day 3, the NT-proBNP levels in the levosimendan group were lower than the control group but were statistically insignificant [866 (455, 1 960) vs. 1 118 (459, 2 417) ng/L, Z=-1.25,P=0.21]. However, on day 5, changes in the NT-proBNP levels from baseline in the levosimendan group were significantly higher than the control group [67.6% (33.8%,82.5%)vs.54.8% (7.3%,77.9%), Z=-2.14, P=0.03]. There were no significant differences in the proportion of patients with more than 30% reduction in the NT-proBNP levels on day 5 between the levosimendan and the control groups [77.5% (100/129) vs. 69.0% (87/126), χ²=2.34, P=0.13]. Furthermore, incidences of MACE did not show any significant differences between the two groups during hospitalization [4.7% (6/129) vs. 7.1% (9/126), χ²=0.72, P=0.40] and at 6 months [14.7% (19/129) vs. 12.7% (16/126), χ²=0.22, P=0.64]. Four cardiac deaths were reported in the control group during hospitalization [0 (0/129) vs. 3.2% (4/126), P=0.06]. However, 6-month survival rates were comparable between the two groups (log-rank test, P=0.18). Moreover, adverse events or serious adverse events such as shock, ventricular fibrillation, and ventricular tachycardia were not reported in both the groups during levosimendan treatment (days 0-1). The total cost of hospitalization [34 591.00(15 527.46,59 324.80) vs. 37 144.65(16 066.90,63 919.00)yuan, Z=-0.26, P=0.80] and the total length of hospitalization [9 (8, 12) vs. 10 (7, 13) days, Z=0.72, P=0.72] were lower for patients in the levosimendan group compared to those in the control group, but did not show statistically significant differences. Conclusions: Early administration of levosimendan reduced NT-proBNP levels in NSTEMI patients with elevated NT-proBNP and did not increase the total cost and length of hospitalization, but did not significantly improve MACE during hospitalization or at 6 months.
		                        		
		                        		
		                        		
		                        			Male
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		                        			Female
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		                        			Humans
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		                        			Aged
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		                        			Natriuretic Peptide, Brain
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		                        			Simendan/therapeutic use*
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		                        			Non-ST Elevated Myocardial Infarction
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		                        			Heart Failure/drug therapy*
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		                        			Peptide Fragments
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		                        			Arrhythmias, Cardiac
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		                        			Biomarkers
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		                        			Prognosis
		                        			
		                        		
		                        	
4.Comparative analysis of clinicopathological and mammographic findings between ductal carcinoma in situ with microinvasion and ductal carcinoma in situ
Min ZHANG ; Qing LIN ; Xiaohui SU ; Chunxiao CUI ; Tiantian BIAN ; Chengqin WANG ; Jing ZHAO ; Lili LI ; Jinzhu MA ; Junlin HUANG
Chinese Journal of Radiology 2022;56(2):182-187
		                        		
		                        			
		                        			Objective:To comparative analyze mammographic and clinicopathological findings of ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) and DCIS with microinvasion (DCISM), and to investigate the predictive factors for DCISM.Methods:A total of 626 patients with DCISM and DCIS confirmed by surgery and pathology in the Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University from January 2016 to July 2020 were collected and underwent preoperative mammography. The X-ray findings of DCISM and DCIS patients were classified and diagnosed according to the Breast Imaging Reporting and Data System (BI-RADS) criteria. The differences in clinicopathological and radiographic findings between DCISM and DCIS patients were analyzed using χ 2 test or Fisher exact test. The risk factors of DCISM were evaluated by using univariate and multivariate binary logistic regression analysis. Results:Among the 626 cases, 171 were diagnosed as DCISM, 455 were diagnosed as DCIS. Large diameter (≥2.7 cm), high nuclear grade, comedo type, axillary lymph node metastasis, high Ki67 proliferation index, negativity of estrogen receptor and progesterone receptor were found to be predictors of DCISM in the univariate analysis (all P<0.05). And large diameter (≥2.7 cm)(OR 2.229,95% CI 1.505-3.301, P<0.001), high nuclear grade(OR 1.711,95%CI 1.018-2.875, P=0.043) and axillary lymph node metastasis(OR 4.140,95% CI 1.342-12.773, P=0.013) were found to be independent predictors of DCISM in the multivariate analysis (all P<0.05). Mammographically, the lesion types, the presence and distribution of calcification were statistically significant between DCIS and DCISM patients (χ 2=17.42, 9.65, 9.10, P<0.05). Up to 17.6% (80/455) of DCIS were occult leisions, and DCISM showed more lesions with calcification in mass, asymmetry, and architectural distortion (49.1%, 84/171). Grouped calcifications were usually associated with DCIS (41.5%, 120/289), while regional calcification were commonly found in DCISM (35.9%, 47/131). Conclusions:Lesions with calcification and regional calcification were more likely associated with DCISM on mammography. Large diameter (≥2.7 cm), high nuclear grade and axillary lymph node metastasis were found to be independent predictors of DCISM.
		                        		
		                        		
		                        		
		                        	
5.Differential diagnosis of coronavirus disease 2019 from pneumonias caused by other etiologies in a fever clinic in Beijing.
Ying LIANG ; Jing-Jin LIANG ; Qing-Tao ZHOU ; Xiao-Guang LI ; Fei LIN ; Zhong-Hua DENG ; Bi-Ying ZHANG ; Lu LI ; Xiao-Hua WANG ; Hong ZHU ; Qing-Bian MA ; Xiao-Mei TONG ; Jie XU ; Yong-Chang SUN
Chinese Medical Journal 2020;133(20):2504-2506
6. Practice of extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation in China after publication of the 2015 AHA guidelines for resuscitation: A multiinstitution survey
Lan-Fang DU ; Hong-Xia GE ; Qing-Bian MA ; Bao-Lan GE ; Jian-Zhong YANG ; Yu-Hong MI ; Yi-Xiong ZHANG
Asian Pacific Journal of Tropical Medicine 2019;12(14):12-16
		                        		
		                        			
		                        			 Objective: To investigate the current practice of extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation (ECPR) for Chinese cardiac arrest patients after the publication of 2015 American Heart Association guidelines for cardiopulmonary resuscitation. Methods: A questionnaire was distributed to healthcare providers of emergency departments (EDs) and/or Intensive Care Units (ICUs) across 52 hospitals in China from August to November 2016. Data collection ended in February 2017. The questionnaire included three parts: (1) characteristics of the departments and the respondents; (2) knowledge about ECPR; (3) practice of ECPR in cardiac arrest patients (case volume, inclusion/exclusion criteria, ECPR procedure). The characteristics of the departments/hospitals were only answered by the head of the department. Results: A total of 1 952 (86.8%) respondents fulfilled the survey. Only 2.5% of the respondents from 3 of 52 hospitals performed ECPR. Among the three hospitals, the case number of ECPR were ≤5 per year and none of them had written ECPR procedures. Only one hospital had formal inclusion/exclusion criteria. The inclusion criteria included age between 18 to 60 years, suspected cardiogenic cardiac arrest, beginning of cardiopulmonary resuscitation <5 min after cardiac arrest and duration of cardiopulmonary resuscitation >10 min. The top three reasons for the nonuse of ECPR were unknown fields (31.2%), potential ECMO-related side effects (26.9%) and cost (18.7%). Conclusions: ECPR for cardiac arrest patients are not well understood by healthcare providers in the emergency department or ICUs and its application is still in the early stage in China. Educational training and other interventions are needed to promote the clinical practice. 
		                        		
		                        		
		                        		
		                        	
7. Current situation and outlook of adult extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation
Chinese Journal of Practical Internal Medicine 2019;39(10):855-857
		                        		
		                        			
		                        			 Extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation(ECPR),as an important treatment for patients with refractory cardiac arrest(CA), can improve the prognosis of patients with CA, which has developed rapidly in recent years;however, the development of extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation technology is not balanced at home and abroad, and most medical institutions are still in the initial stage. ECPR requires multidisciplinary cooperation. With the development of ECPR technology, CA patients with pregnancy, trauma or aortic dissection can also get good prognosis by ECPR. ECPR for adults has good prospects. 
		                        		
		                        		
		                        		
		                        	
8. Characteristics of death distribution of critical patients in a single emergency center in Beijing
Xiao-dan LI ; Kang ZHENG ; Ya-an ZHENG ; Bao-lan GE ; Rui XIE ; Qing-bian MA
Chinese Journal of Practical Internal Medicine 2019;39(12):1080-1083
		                        		
		                        			
		                        			 OBJECTIVE: To explore the characteristics of death distribution in emergency critical care patients and guide the distribution of emergency resources.METHODS: Clinical data of all patients who died in the emergency department of Peking University third hospital from 2013 to 2017 were collected.Age,gender composition and time of death were analyzed.Pareto diagram was used to analyze the composition of causes of death.RESULTS:(1)Elderly patients(≥60 years old)accounted for81.0% of the total number of deaths,and the age difference has statistically significant(P<0.05).(2)Pareto diagram analysis showed that respiratory diseases,sudden death,shock and nervous diseases were the main causes of death in critically ill patients.(3)Age was associated with respiratory diseases,cardiovascular diseases,shock,sudden death,nervous diseases and trauma(P<0.05).Gender was associated with respiratory diseases,sudden death and trauma(P<0.05).(4)50.8% the death cases occurred within 24 h after admission,the median time of sudden death patients is the shortest(1 h),followed by shock(24 h).The median time of death of malignant tumor was up to 5040 h.CONCLUSION: Elderly patients are the major death group in the emergency department.Respiratory,circulatory and neurological diseases are the common causes of death.And most patients die in the early stage of treatment.Therefore,it is necessary to reasonably allocate emergency medical resources according to the actual situation. 
		                        		
		                        		
		                        		
		                        	
9.Expression of Fascin-1 and β-catenin protein in colorectal adenocarcinoma and its relevance with K-ras gene mutations
Gui MA ; Lan WANG ; Shu-Ping MA ; Fang BIAN ; Yan-Ni REN ; Qing-Rong HU ; Rong YANG
Chinese Journal of Clinical and Experimental Pathology 2019;35(1):27-32
		                        		
		                        			
		                        			Purpose To examine the expression of Fascin-1 and β-catenin protein and K-ras gene mutation in colorectal adenocarcinoma, and to explore their role in progression of colorectal neoplasm and their relevance. Methods Fascin-1 and β-catenin were analyzed by use of immunohistochemistry En Vision two-step. K-ras gene mutation was detected by ARMS method.Relationship between overexpression of Fascin-1, the nuclear expression of β-catenin, and the mutations of K-ras gene and clinicopathologic parameters was analyzed, the correlation between them was also analyzed. Results In 112 colorectal adenocarcinoma samples, the overexpression rate of Fascin-1 protein was 27.7% (31/112), significantly higher than non-neoplastic mucosa (P < 0.01). The high nuclear expression rate of β-catenin was 29.5% (33/112) in adenocarcinoma and non-neoplastic mucosa respectively with a significant difference between two groups (P < 0.01). High expression rate of Fascin-1 protein and β-catenin were correlated significantly with lymph node metastasis (P = 0.022, P = 0.027), and TNM staging (P =0.042, P = 0.019) in colorectal adenocarcinoma. The overexpression of Fascin-1 protein was correlated with tumor location (P = 0.004). The mutation rate of K-ras gene was 34.8% (39/112), which showed no correlation with age, gender, tumor size, grade of differentiation, lymph node metastasis and TNM staging (P> 0.05). There was a correlation between the overexpressison of Fascin-1 protein, the nuclear expression of β-catenin and the mutation of K-ras gene (rs= 0.252, rs= 0.258, P < 0.05). The overexpression of Fascin-1 protein positively correlated with the nuclear expression of β-catenin (rs= 0.213, P < 0.05). Conclusion Fascin-1 protein and β-catenin protein are involved in invasion and metastasis of colorectal cancer and are associated with K-ras gene mutation. K-ras may promote the overexpression of Fascin-1 by virtue of nuclear expression ofβ-catenin, which provided a new research direction on the treatment of K-ras gene mutated colorectal adenocarcinoma.
		                        		
		                        		
		                        		
		                        	
10.Performance of Simplified Acute Physiology Score 3 In Predicting Hospital Mortality In Emergency Intensive Care Unit.
Qing-Bian MA ; Yuan-Wei FU ; Lu FENG ; Qiang-Rong ZHAI ; Yang LIANG ; Meng WU ; Ya-An ZHENG
Chinese Medical Journal 2017;130(13):1544-1551
BACKGROUNDSince the 1980s, severity of illness scoring systems has gained increasing popularity in Intensive Care Units (ICUs). Physicians used them for predicting mortality and assessing illness severity in clinical trials. The objective of this study was to assess the performance of Simplified Acute Physiology Score 3 (SAPS 3) and its customized equation for Australasia (Australasia SAPS 3, SAPS 3 [AUS]) in predicting clinical prognosis and hospital mortality in emergency ICU (EICU).
METHODSA retrospective analysis of the EICU including 463 patients was conducted between January 2013 and December 2015 in the EICU of Peking University Third Hospital. The worst physiological data of enrolled patients were collected within 24 h after admission to calculate SAPS 3 score and predicted mortality by regression equation. Discrimination between survivals and deaths was assessed by the area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC). Calibration was evaluated by Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test through calculating the ratio of observed-to-expected numbers of deaths which is known as the standardized mortality ratio (SMR).
RESULTSA total of 463 patients were enrolled in the study, and the observed hospital mortality was 26.1% (121/463). The patients enrolled were divided into survivors and nonsurvivors. Age, SAPS 3 score, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation Score II (APACHE II), and predicted mortality were significantly higher in nonsurvivors than survivors (P < 0.05 or P < 0.01). The AUC (95% confidence intervals [CI s]) for SAPS 3 score was 0.836 (0.796-0.876). The maximum of Youden's index, cutoff, sensitivity, and specificity of SAPS 3 score were 0.526%, 70.5 points, 66.9%, and 85.7%, respectively. The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test for SAPS 3 demonstrated a Chi-square test score of 10.25, P = 0.33, SMR (95% CI) = 0.63 (0.52-0.76). The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test for SAPS 3 (AUS) demonstrated a Chi-square test score of 9.55, P = 0.38, SMR (95% CI) = 0.68 (0.57-0.81). Univariate and multivariate analyses were conducted for biochemical variables that were probably correlated to prognosis. Eventually, blood urea nitrogen (BUN), albumin,lactate and free triiodothyronine (FT3) were selected as independent risk factors for predicting prognosis.
CONCLUSIONSThe SAPS 3 score system exhibited satisfactory performance even superior to APACHE II in discrimination. In predicting hospital mortality, SAPS 3 did not exhibit good calibration and overestimated hospital mortality, which demonstrated that SAPS 3 needs improvement in the future.
            
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