1.Mechanism of Weiliuan Mixture in Regulating Ferroptosis and Inhibiting Progression of Gastric Cancer Based on Transcriptome
Jingxiao LI ; Shenlin LIU ; Xi ZOU ; Minghao QI
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2025;31(6):125-135
		                        		
		                        			
		                        			ObjectiveTo observe the inhibitory effect of the Weiliuan mixture (WLAHJ) on the subcutaneous xenograft tumor of MKN-74 gastric cancer cells, and explore the potential anti-gastric cancer mechanism of WLAHJ by using transcriptomic sequencing technology to reveal related genes and pathways. Methods30 Balb/c nude mice were randomly divided into model, low-, medium-, and high-dose(15,30,45 g·kg-1) WLAHJ and 5-FU (0.025 g·kg-1) groups to build a subcutaneous xenograft tumor model with MKN-74 human gastric cancer cells. After modeling,each group was continuously treated with the corresponding drugs for 28 days. During the treatment period, the body weight and tumor size of the mice were observed and recorded every 2 days. At the end of the treatment, the mice were sacrificed, and required samples were collected to calculate the tumor inhibition rate of WLAHJ on the subcutaneous xenograft tumor. High-throughput transcriptomic sequencing (RNA-seq) technology was used to analyze the differentially expressed genes in the subcutaneous tumor tissues of the model group and the medium-dose WLAHJ group, thus exploring the potential mechanism of WLAHJ in gastric cancer intervention. Immunofluorescence experiments were conducted to detect the protein expression levels of glutathione peroxidase 4 (GPX4), solute carrier family 7 member 11 (SLC7A11), transferrin receptor protein-1 (TFR-1), and acyl-CoA synthetase long-chain family member 4 (ACSL4) in subcutaneous xenograft tumors of each group. Cell counting kit-8(CCK-8) and colony formation assays were used to detect the viability and anti-proliferative ability of human gastric cancer AGS and MKN-74 cells at different concentrations of WLAHJ. Kits were used to detect the levels of Fe2+, reactive oxygen species (ROS), malondialdehyde (MDA), and superoxide dismutase (SOD) activity in cells. Western blot was used to detect the expression levels of GPX4, SLC7A11, TRF-1, ACSL4, spermidine/spermine N1-acetyltransferase 1 (SAT1), arachidonic acid 15-lipoxygenase (ALOX15), and key proteins in the phosphatidylinositol 3-kinase (PI3K)/protein kinase B (Akt)/mammalian target of rapamycin (mTOR) signaling pathway. ResultsThe mechanism of WLAHJ in gastric cancer intervention may be related to ferroptosis and the PI3K/Akt /mTOR signaling pathway. The growth of subcutaneous xenograft tumors in nude mice of the WLAHJ and 5-FU groups(P<0.05,P<0.01), GPX4, and SLC7A11 dropped significantly(P<0.01), while TFR-1, ACSL4, SAT1, and ALOX15(P<0.05,P<0.01)increased significantly compared with those in the model group. The levels of ROS, Fe2+, and MDA increased in the WLAHJ and 5-FU groups and the proliferation of gastric cancer cells, SOD activity, the ratios of phosphorybation (p)-mTOR/mTOR, p-PI3K/PI3K, and p-Akt/Akt protein expressions(P<0.05,P<0.01)decreased compared with those in the blank group. ConclusionThe mechanism of WLAHJ in treating gastric cancer may be related to the regulation of the PI3K/ Akt /mTOR signaling pathway to intervene in ferroptosis. 
		                        		
		                        		
		                        		
		                        	
2.Consensus statement on research and application of Chinese herbal medicine derived extracellular vesicles-like particles (2023 edition).
Qing ZHAO ; Tong WANG ; Hongbin WANG ; Peng CAO ; Chengyu JIANG ; Hongzhi QIAO ; Lihua PENG ; Xingdong LIN ; Yunyao JIANG ; Honglei JIN ; Huantian ZHANG ; Shengpeng WANG ; Yang WANG ; Ying WANG ; Xi CHEN ; Junbing FAN ; Bo LI ; Geng LI ; Bifeng LIU ; Zhiyang LI ; Suhua QI ; Mingzhen ZHANG ; Jianjian ZHENG ; Jiuyao ZHOU ; Lei ZHENG ; Kewei ZHAO
Chinese Herbal Medicines 2024;16(1):3-12
		                        		
		                        			
		                        			To promote the development of extracellular vesicles of herbal medicine especially the establishment of standardization, led by the National Expert Committee on Research and Application of Chinese Herbal Vesicles, research experts in the field of herbal medicine and extracellular vesicles were invited nationwide with the support of the Expert Committee on Research and Application of Chinese Herbal Vesicles, Professional Committee on Extracellular Vesicle Research and Application, Chinese Society of Research Hospitals and the Guangdong Engineering Research Center of Chinese Herbal Vesicles. Based on the collation of relevant literature, we have adopted the Delphi method, the consensus meeting method combined with the nominal group method to form a discussion draft of "Consensus statement on research and application of Chinese herbal medicine derived extracellular vesicles-like particles (2023)". The first draft was discussed in online and offline meetings on October 12, 14, November 2, 2022 and April and May 2023 on the current status of research, nomenclature, isolation methods, quality standards and research applications of extracellular vesicles of Chinese herbal medicines, and 13 consensus opinions were finally formed. At the Third Academic Conference on Research and Application of Chinese Herbal Vesicles, held on May 26, 2023, Kewei Zhao, convenor of the consensus, presented and read the consensus to the experts of the Expert Committee on Research and Application of Chinese Herbal Vesicles. The consensus highlights the characteristics and advantages of Chinese medicine, inherits the essence, and keeps the righteousness and innovation, aiming to provide a reference for colleagues engaged in research and application of Chinese herbal vesicles at home and abroad, decode the mystery behind Chinese herbal vesicles together, establish a safe, effective and controllable accurate Chinese herbal vesicle prevention and treatment system, and build a bridge for Chinese medicine to the world.
		                        		
		                        		
		                        		
		                        	
3.Sagittal splitting osteotomy of the mandibular outer cortex and autologous bone grafting for the treatment of hemifacial microsomia
Lai GUI ; Feng NIU ; Bing YU ; Jianfeng LIU ; Ying CHEN ; Xi FU ; Shixing XU ; Jia QIAO ; Qi JIN ; Yu HE ; Xuebing LIANG ; Lei CUI ; Fuhuan CHEN ; Qi CHEN
Chinese Journal of Plastic Surgery 2024;40(3):249-257
		                        		
		                        			
		                        			Objective:To investigate a new method for the reconstruction of hemifacial microsomia by sagittal osteotomy of the affected mandibular outer cortex combined with bone graft of mandibular outer cortex from healthy side.Methods:From March 2006 to March 2023, the clinical data of patients with hemifacial microsomia admitted to the Department of Craniomaxillofacial Surgery, Plastic Surgery Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences were analyzed retrospectively. Preoperative diagnosis and surgical design were performed based on clinical manifestations and imaging findings. All cases were operated under general anesthesia. The affected mandibular outer cortex was previously split by an intraoral approach, and then the mandibular outer cortex of appropriate shape and size on the healthy side was harvested and grafted into the split bone space according to the preoperative design, following by internal rigid fixation. Complications, facial appearance improvement, and patient satisfaction were followed up. Photographs were taken preoperative, immediately postoperative and at the long-term(last) postoperative follow-up, and the severity of the deformity was analyzed. CT data from preoperative, immediate postoperative, and long-term follow-up visits were imported into Surgicase Proplan medical three-dimensional image workstation in Dicom format. The mandible was reconstructed using Segmentation, and the thickness of the mandible was measured during pre-operative, immediate post-operative and long-term follow-up visits. Anova with repeated measurement design was used to compare measurements and LSD test was used for multiple comparisons. The Kruskal-Wallis rank sum test were used to statistically analyze malformation severity. P< 0.05 is considered statistically significant. Results:A total of 39 patients were included in this study, including 13 females and 26 males, with an average age of (22.21±4.57) years (15-27 years). All patients were followed up for an average of (45.56±39.41) months (6-153 months) after surgery. The grafted mandibular outer cortex grows well with the adjacent bone tissue, and the mandibular angle and mandibular body are significantly wider. Of the 39 cases, 1 developed an infection 1 year after surgery, the titanium plate was exposed, and the patient healed after debridement and removal of the immobilizing splint. The facial appearance of the other patients improved significantly. Preoperative, immediate postoperative and long term follow up of mandibular thickness measurements were compared in pairs, and the differences were statistically significant (all P<0.05). The patient’s appearance satisfaction score: the preoperative score was [2.0(1.5, 2.0)] points, the immediate postoperative score was [4.0(4.0, 4.0)] points, the score of the last postoperative follow up was [4.0(4.0, 4.0)] points. There was statistical difference in satisfaction among the three groups ( P<0.01). The preoperative scores were compared with the scores of the immediate postoperative and the last postoperative follow-up respectively, and the differences were statistically significant( P<0.01). There was no statistical significance in satisfaction between the immediate postoperative score and the score of the last postoperative follow up ( P>0.05). Conclusion:The sagittal splitting osteotomy of the mandibular outer cortex is consistent with the features of mandibular anatomy, and provides a good condition for the grafting and healing of autogenous bone. Removing the outer cortex of the mandible on the healthy side not only increases the thickness of the affected side, but also decreases the width of the angle of the mandible on the healthy side, so as to effectively correct the asymmetric deformity of the mandible. The method is simple, with few complications and good results, and is one of the ideal treatments to correct hemofacial microsomia.
		                        		
		                        		
		                        		
		                        	
4.Effects of fast-advancing short-term high altitude exposure on different systems in young and middle-aged men
Zehong PENG ; Jianglong WEN ; Wenzhuo ZHU ; Xi ZHU ; Chao LIU ; Heng CHENG ; Qi ZHANG ; Lili ZHU
China Modern Doctor 2024;62(26):15-19
		                        		
		                        			
		                        			Objective To observe the changes of liver function,blood cell,and lung function of healthy young and middle-aged men before and after fast-advancing short-term high altitude exposure(FSHAE);and to explore the effects and possible mechanisms of FSHAE on the function of liver,blood cells,and lung tissues.Methods This study included 48 healthy young and middle-aged male volunteers,who collected physiological indicators,tested liver function indicators,blood cell indicators,and lung function-related indicators 1 day before entering the plateau(100m above sea level),and 15 days after FSHAE(3000m above sea level).Differences in the relevant parameters of each system were compared before and after FSHAE.Results Compared with those before entering the plateau,the physiological parameters of young and middle-aged men after 15 days of FSHAE heart rate increased significantly,respiratory rate increased,systolic blood pressure increased,mean arterial blood pressure increased,oxygen saturation decreased(P<0.01),and diastolic blood pressure increased(P<0.05),all of which were statistically significant;and the indicators of liver function:glutamic oxaloacetic aminotransferase,glutamic alanine aminotransferase increased(P<0.01),glutamylamine aminotransferase,glutamate aminotransferase,glutaminase,and pulmonary function were increased(P<0.01),glutamyl transpeptidase,alkaline phosphatase,and total bile acids were elevated,and total protein decreased(P<0.05),and the differences were statistically significant.Hemocyte-related indexes:erythrocyte count,erythrocyte pressure volume,mean erythrocyte volume,mean hemoglobin volume,mean hemoglobin concentration,and hemoglobin were elevated,and platelet count decreased(P<0.01),and the differences were statistically significant.although there was an elevation of leukocyte count(P>0.05);Lung function-related indexes:decreased exertion lung volume(P<0.05).There were decreased exertion expiratory volume in the first second,increased one-second rate(P>0.05).Conclusion FSHAE can lead to oxidative stress in the organism,and acute hypoxic multisystemic injury will occur,with the simultaneous emergence of hypoxic adaptive regulation of various systems,self-compensatory repair of various organs of the organism,and there may be the possibility of interactions between various systems.
		                        		
		                        		
		                        		
		                        	
5.Structure-activity Omics of Traditional Chinese Medicine: A Case Study of Anti-inflammatory and Analgesic Effect of Qizhi Weitong Granules
Xiansheng MENG ; Ying ZHENG ; Ying MENG ; Bing QI ; Sicong LIU ; Xi LUO ; Xinpeng QIN ; Yongrui BAO ; Shuai WANG ; Tianjiao LI
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2024;30(15):129-135
		                        		
		                        			
		                        			The complex chemical composition and limited research ideas of traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) have led to the unclear material basis and mechanism of the medicinal effects, which is a common problem hindering the modernization of TCM in China. The introduction of computer virtual technology has provided a new perspective for TCM research. In this study, we established the research method of structure-activity omics to study the relationships between the structures and effects of different compounds in TCM based on the chemical structures of TCM components and to analyze and predict the material basis and multitarget synergistic mechanism of TCM. Furthermore, a structure-activity omics study was carried out with the anti-inflammatory and analgesic effects of Qizhi Weitong granules as an example. This study provides support for screening the pharmacodynamic components and analyzing the active ingredients of TCM and gives insights into the research on the material basis and mechanism of compound efficacy and the development of lead compounds of TCM, thus promoting the modern research and the innovative development of TCM. 
		                        		
		                        		
		                        		
		                        	
6.Structure-activity Omics on Anti-inflammatory and Analgesic Effect of Aurantii Fructus in Qizhi Weitong Granules
Sicong LIU ; Xinpeng QIN ; Bing QI ; Xi LUO ; Tianjiao LI ; Yongrui BAO ; Shuai WANG ; Ling HAN ; Xiansheng MENG
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2024;30(15):154-161
		                        		
		                        			
		                        			ObjectiveTo explain the pharmacodynamic substances of Aurantii Fructus flavonoids that exert anti-inflammatory and analgesic effects using a structure-activity omics approach. MethodOn the basis of the previous in vitro pharmacological screening conducted by the research team, an in vivo pharmacological study of Aurantii Fructus flavonoids was carried out. Core targets of the anti-inflammatory and analgesic active components of flavonoids of Aurantii Fructus were identified using various network databases, including the Traditional Chinese Medicine Systems Pharmacology Database and Analysis Platform (TCMSP), the Online Mendelian Inheritance in Man (OMIM), and the Search Tool for the Retrieval of Interacting Genes/Proteins (STRING). Computer-aided virtual screening technology was used to dock different types of Aurantii Fructus flavonoids with core targets. The key core targets with high binding activity were selected based on the comprehensive scores of each target and the active structures. Using these targets as bridges, the structures of one or more types of chemical components in Aurantii Fructus were closely linked to pharmacological effects. The structure-activity relationship between the clear pharmacodynamic compounds and their effects was explored through the binding patterns of various structures with pharmacodynamic targets. ResultAurantii Fructus flavonoids demonstrated significant anti-inflammatory and analgesic effects on dextran sulfate sodium (DSS)-induced colitis in mice, which could improve symptoms and significantly reduce the levels of inflammatory factors interleukin-6 (IL-6) and interleukin-1β (IL-1β)(P<0.05). Twelve active components of Aurantii Fructus flavonoids were identified and categorized into nine dihydroflavonoids and three flavonoids based on their structures of the parent nuclei. Through Venn analysis, 167 anti-inflammatory and analgesic targets for Aurantii Fructus were identified. Based on degree value and molecular docking comprehensive scores, prostaglandin-endoperoxide synthase 2(PTGS2) and mitogen-activated protein kinase 3(MAPK3) were selected for further structural analysis. Structural analysis revealed that components containing glycoside structures exhibited higher binding activity with anti-inflammatory and analgesic targets. ConclusionThis study utilized a structure-activity omics approach based on in vivo pharmacodynamic experiments to analyze the material basis of the anti-inflammatory and analgesic effects of Aurantii Fructus flavonoids. The structure-activity omics approach provides new ideas and methods for elucidating the pharmacodynamic substances of Chinese medicine. 
		                        		
		                        		
		                        		
		                        	
7.Structure-activity Omics on Anti-inflammatory and Analgesic Effect of Cyperi Rhizoma in Qizhi Weitong Granules
Ying ZHENG ; Sicong LIU ; Xi LUO ; Bing QI ; Shuai WANG ; Yongrui BAO ; Tianjiao LI ; Liang WANG ; Dong YAO ; Xiansheng MENG
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2024;30(21):153-160
		                        		
		                        			
		                        			ObjectiveTo elucidate the pharmacodynamic substances responsible for the anti-inflammatory and analgesic effects of Cyperi Rhizoma by structure-activity omics. MethodOn the basis of the previous in vitro efficacy study by our research group, this study explored the in vivo efficacy of the flavonoids in Cyperi Rhizoma. The flavonoids in Cyperi Rhizoma and their targets were retrieved from the Traditional Chinese Medicine Systems Pharmacology Database and Analysis Platform (TCMSP), PharmMapper, Swiss TargetPrediction, and available articles. The targets of the anti-inflammatory and analgesic effects were collected from DisGeNET and Online Mendelian Inheritance in Man (OMIM). The common targets shared by flavonoids and the effects were selected as the direct targets of flavonoids endowing Cyperi Rhizoma with anti-inflammatory and analgesic effects, and protein-protein interaction (PPI) network of the core targets was constructed. The method of structure-activity omics was employed to correlate the structure and efficacy of one or more classes of chemical components in Cyperi Rhizoma with the targets as a bridge. The components were classified according to structure. Molecular docking of components to core targets was carried out via SYBYL-X 2.1.1, PyMol, and Discovery Studio 4.5 visualizer. Two targets with the highest binding affinity were selected to explore the relationship between compound structures and targets. ResultThe flavonoids in Cyperi Rhizoma exerted anti-inflammatory and analgesic effects on the mouse model of pain induced by formaldehyde. Eighteen components and 115 direct targets were screened out, and the core targets with high activities were protein kinase B1 (Akt1), interleukin-1β (IL-1β), cellular tumor antigen p53 (TP53), prostaglandin-endoperoxide synthase 2 (PTGS2), and matrix metalloproteinase-9 (MMP-9). According to the structures, the flavonoids in Cyperi Rhizoma were classified into bioflavonoids, flavonols, flavones, and flavanes. The molecular docking results showed that flavonoids of Cyperi Rhizoma had the highest binding affinity to TP53 and PTGS2. The results of structure-activity omics showed that bioflavonoids represented the best binding structure to the targets, while their polyhydroxyl etherification resulted in a significant decrease in the binding affinity to PTGS2. Glycosides had higher binding affinity to PTGS2. The introduction of the long-chain hydrocarbon group to the A ring of flavonols facilitated the binding to TP53, while the change of B ring substituents was not the main factor affecting the binding affinity. The 3,4-dihydroxyl flavane outperformed 3-hydroxyl flavane in the binding to TP53, while the two compounds showed similar binding affinity to PTGS2. ConclusionThe method of structure-activity omics was used to analyze the material basis for the anti-inflammatory and analgesic effects of flavonoids in Cyperi Rhizoma. Structure-activity omics provides new ideas for revealing the pharmacodynamic substances of traditional Chinese medicine. 
		                        		
		                        		
		                        		
		                        	
8.Inferring Mycobacterium Tuberculosis Drug Resistance and Transmission using Whole-genome Sequencing in a High TB-burden Setting in China
Feng Yu FAN ; Xin Dong LIU ; Wang Yi CHEN ; Chao Xi OU ; Zhi Qi MAO ; Ting Ting YANG ; Jiang Xi WANG ; Cong Wen HE ; Bing ZHAO ; Jiang Zhen LIU ; Maiweilanjiang ABULIMITI ; Maimaitiaili AIHEMUTI ; Qian GAO ; Lin Yan ZHAO
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2024;37(2):157-169
		                        		
		                        			
		                        			Objective China is among the 30 countries with a high burden of tuberculosis(TB)worldwide,and TB remains a public health concern.Kashgar Prefecture in the southern Xinjiang Autonomous Region is considered as one of the highest TB burden regions in China.However,molecular epidemiological studies of Kashgar are lacking. Methods A population-based retrospective study was conducted using whole-genome sequencing(WGS)to determine the characteristics of drug resistance and the transmission patterns. Results A total of 1,668 isolates collected in 2020 were classified into lineages 2(46.0%),3(27.5%),and 4(26.5%).The drug resistance rates revealed by WGS showed that the top three drugs in terms of the resistance rate were isoniazid(7.4%,124/1,668),streptomycin(6.0%,100/1,668),and rifampicin(3.3%,55/1,668).The rate of rifampicin resistance was 1.8%(23/1,290)in the new cases and 9.4%(32/340)in the previously treated cases.Known resistance mutations were detected more frequently in lineage 2 strains than in lineage 3 or 4 strains,respectively:18.6%vs.8.7 or 9%,P<0.001.The estimated proportion of recent transmissions was 25.9%(432/1,668).Multivariate logistic analyses indicated that sex,age,occupation,lineage,and drug resistance were the risk factors for recent transmission.Despite the low rate of drug resistance,drug-resistant strains had a higher risk of recent transmission than the susceptible strains(adjusted odds ratio,1.414;95%CI,1.023-1.954;P = 0.036).Among all patients with drug-resistant tuberculosis(DR-TB),78.4%(171/218)were attributed to the transmission of DR-TB strains. Conclusion Our results suggest that drug-resistant strains are more transmissible than susceptible strains and that transmission is the major driving force of the current DR-TB epidemic in Kashgar.
		                        		
		                        		
		                        		
		                        	
9.Interpretation of specification for service of cancer screening for workers
Hongda CHEN ; Bin LU ; Ying ZHENG ; Peng DU ; Xiao QI ; Kai ZHANG ; Yuying LIU ; Junli WEI ; Donghua WEI ; Jiyong GONG ; Yunchao HUANG ; Zhenya SONG ; Xi CHU ; Dong DONG ; Wenjing ZHENG ; Min DAI
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2024;45(4):486-489
		                        		
		                        			
		                        			As the backbone force of China's social and economic construction, the health status of workers is closely related to the nation's productivity and social development. Currently, cancers have become one of the major diseases threatening the health of workers. However, there are still many shortcomings in the cancer screening services for the workers. To standardize cancer screening services for workers, ensure the quality of screening services, and improve the overall screening effectiveness, 19 institutions, including Peking Union Medical College Hospital of the Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, have jointly formulated the Group Standard "Specification for service of cancer screening for workers (T/CHAA 023-2023)". This standard follows the principles of "legality, scientific rigor, advancement, and feasibility" and combines the frontier scientific advances in cancer screening. It clarifies the relevant requirements for service principles, service design, service delivery, service management, service evaluation, and improving worker cancer screening. Implementing this group standard will help connect the common screening needs of workers, employers, and cancer screening service providers, standardize the screening process, improve screening quality, and ultimately increase the early diagnosis rate and survival rate of cancer patients. Consequently, this group standard will help safeguard workers' health rights and interests, ensure the labor force resources, promote the comprehensive coordinated and sustainable development of society, and contribute to realizing the "Healthy China 2030" strategic policy.
		                        		
		                        		
		                        		
		                        	
10.Prediction model related to 6-year risk of frailty in older adults aged 65 years or above in China
Jinhui ZHOU ; Li QI ; Jun WANG ; Sixin LIU ; Wenhui SHI ; Lihong YE ; Zhenwei ZHANG ; Zenghang ZHANG ; Xi MENG ; Jia CUI ; Chen CHEN ; Yuebin LYU ; Xiaoming SHI
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2024;45(6):809-816
		                        		
		                        			
		                        			Objective:To develop a prediction tool for 6-year incident risk of frailty among Chinese older adults aged 65 years or above.Methods:Data from the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey from 2002 to 2018 was used, including 13 676 older adults aged 65 years or above who were free of frailty at baseline. Key predictors of frailty were identified via the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) method, and were thereafter used to predict the incident frailty based on the Cox proportional hazards regression model. The model was internally validated by 2 000 Bootstrap resamples and evaluated for the performance of discrimination and calibration using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and calibration curve, respectively. The net benefit of the developed prediction tool was evaluated by decision-curve analysis.Results:The M( Q1, Q3) age and follow-up time of the participants were 81.0 (71.0, 90.0) years and 6.0 (4.1, 9.2) years, respectively. A total of 4 126 older persons (30.2%) were recorded with frailty incidents during the follow-up, with the corresponding incidence density of 41.8/1 000 person-years. A total of 15 key predictors of frailty were selected by LASSO, namely, age, sex, race, education years, meat consumption, tea drinking, performing housework, raising domestic animals, playing cards or mahjong, and baseline status of visual function, activities of the daily living score, instrumental activities of the daily living score, hypertension, heart disease, and self-rated health. The prediction model was internally validated with an AUC of 0.802, with the max Youden's index of 0.467 at a risk threshold of 19.0%. The calibration curve showed high consistency between predicted probabilities and observed proportions of frailty events. The decision curve indicated that higher net benefits could be obtained via the prediction model than did strategies based on intervention in all or none participants for any risk threshold less than 59%, and the model-based net benefit was estimated to be 0.10 at a risk threshold of 19.0%. Conclusions:The herein developed 6-year incident risk prediction model of frailty, based on easily accessible questionnaires and physical examination variables, has good predictive performance. It has application potential in identifying populations at high risk of incident frailty.
		                        		
		                        		
		                        		
		                        	
            
Result Analysis
Print
Save
E-mail