1.Trend analysis of pulmonary tuberculosis incidence among the elderly in Shanghai, 2014‒2023
Yu HUANG ; Lixin RAO ; Biao XU ; Qi ZHAO ; Xin SHEN
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;37(3):227-233
		                        		
		                        			
		                        			ObjectiveTo describe the epidemiological characteristics and trend of pulmonary tuberculosis among the elderly in Shanghai from 2014 to 2023, to estimate the incidence between 2024‒2025, so as to provide references for optimizing the prevention and control strategies of pulmonary tuberculosis for elderly in Shanghai. MethodsData of pulmonary tuberculosis patients aged ≥60 years in Shanghai registered in the Tuberculosis Registration and Management System of Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention from 2014 to 2023 was derived to describe the demographic characteristics of the elderly patients with pulmonary tuberculosis, and to calculate the reported incidence rate and annual percentage change (APC) of pulmonary tuberculosis. The autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model was constructed using monthly reported incidence data from January 2014 to June 2023, and data from July to December in 2023 were used to validate the model and predict the reported incidence rate of pulmonary tuberculosis among elderly in 2024 and 2025. ResultsA total of 19 208 elderly pulmonary tuberculosis patients were registered and reported in Shanghai from 2014 to 2023, with an average annual reported incidence rate of 35.04/100 000. The reported incidence rate of pulmonary tuberculosis in elderly showed an overall decreasing trend, APC=-3.34% (t=-3.360,P=0.010). While, the proportion of elderly pulmonary tuberculosis patients showed a yearly increasing trend among the total registered and reported cases, APC=5.65% (t=10.820, P<0.001). The difference in the average annual reported incidence rate of pulmonary tuberculosis in elderly was statistically significant in different regions (χ2=31.762, P=0.007), with the central urban areas(33.23/100 000) being lower than that in suburban areas (36.46/100 000), and the annual decreasing rate was faster in central urban area, APC=-4.88% (t=-4.838, P<0.001) and -2.76% (t=-2.811, P=0.023), respectively. The incidence rate was significantly higher in males than that in females (χ2=514.395, P<0.001). Additionally, the difference in reported incidence rate was statistically significant among different age groups(χ2=119.751,P<0.001), among which patients aged ≥80 years had the highest average annual incidence rate (59.69/100 000), and those aged ≤60 years had the lowest average annual incidence rate (28.57/100 000). Compared with the non-residential permanent elderly population (47.68/100 000), the average annual incidence rate of pulmonary tuberculosis among the elderly with household registration in Shanghai was lower (33.82/100 000) (χ2=24.295, P<0.001). The ARIMA (0,0,1) (0,1,1) 12 model was used to predict the incidence rate of pulmonary tuberculosis among the elderly in Shanghai in 2024 and 2025, and which was predicted to be 37.41/100 000 and 35.92/100 000, respectively. ConclusionThe reported incidence rate of pulmonary tuberculosis among the elderly in Shanghai showed an overall yearly downward trend from 2014 to 2023, but its proportion in the total number of reported pulmonary tuberculosis cases increased year by year. Prevention and control efforts should still not be slackened and emphasis should be placed on male, suburban and non-residential permanent elderly populations. 
		                        		
		                        		
		                        		
		                        	
2.Risk assessment of nosocomial infection in patients with multiple myeloma in the first hospitalization
Qi RAO ; Ting LUO ; Dandan WANG
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2024;35(1):113-115
		                        		
		                        			
		                        			Objective  To assess the risk of nosocomial infection in patients with multiple myeloma during their first hospitalization.  Methods Totally 480 patients with multiple myeloma who were hospitalized for the first time in department of hematology of West China Hospital, Sichuan University from August 2021 to August 2022 were included, and the nosocomial infection during treatment was statistically analyzed. The patients were divided into infected group and uninfected group. The independent influencing factors of nosocomial infection were analyzed and a prediction model was established. The reliability of the prediction model was analyzed by receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC).  Results  The incidence rate of nosocomial infection was 31.2% among 480 patients hospitalized for the first time. There were statistically significant differences in age, ISS staging, controlling nutritional status (CONUT) score, agranulocytosis, hemoglobin, and albumin between the infected group and the uninfected group (P<0.05). Logistic multivariate regression analysis showed that age, ISS staging, CONUT score, agranulocytosis, hemoglobin level, and albumin level were all independent correlated factors of nosocomial infection in patients with multiple myeloma hospitalized for the first time (P<0.05). The area under the ROC curve (AUC), sensitivity and specificity of multivariate logistic regression prediction model were 0.88 (95%CI: 0.840-0.920), 85.00% and 76.36%, respectively.  Conclusion  The incidence rate of nosocomial infection is high among patients with multiple myeloma in the first hospitalization. The prediction model established according to independent correlated factors of nosocomial infection has high predictive value on the occurrence of nosocomial infection.
		                        		
		                        		
		                        		
		                        	
3.Theoretical Validation of the Identification of Therapeutic Dominant Stages of Traditional Chinese Medicine Based on Subdivision Model of Disease Course:Taking Premature Ovarian Failure for Example
Rui-Qi ZHANG ; Yuan-Li RAO ; Zhen-Miao PANG ; Zhi-Lai YAN
Journal of Guangzhou University of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2024;41(3):625-630
		                        		
		                        			
		                        			Objective To explore the feasibility and operability in identifying the therapeutic dominant stages of traditional Chinese medicine(TCM)based on subdivision model of disease course.Methods The hierarchical Bayesian model was used to differentiate the disease course of 125 cases of premature ovarian failure(POF),and the disease course of POF were divided into the occult stage,diminished ovarian reserve(DOR)stage,premature ovarian insufficiency(POI)stage,and POF stage.An then the paired sample t-test,Pearson correlation analysis and expert in-depth interview were used for the analysis of the therapeutic effects of TCM for POF at various stages.Results(1)Compared with POF stage,DOR and POI stages were frequently intervened by Chinese patent medicine.(2)In DOR(complicated with POI)stage and POF stage,there was significant difference between the degree of TCM intervention and the therapeutic effect(t =-3.70,P<0.001).(3)The degree of TCM intervention was positively correlated with treatment outcomes in the DOR stage(r = 0.679,P<0.001),so did in the POF stage(r = 0.432,P<0.001),but the correlation in the POF stage was slightly lower than that in the DOR stage.(4)The results of in-depth interviews with experts of TCM gynecology showed that in the concealed phase of POF,the prognosis would be most favorable if TCM regulation and intervention were performed.In the DOR stage and POI stage,treatment with Chinese medicine prescriptions usually brought about better curative effect and prognosis.For the patients at POF stage,the therapeutic effect of TCM depended on the patients'compliance and the treatment course,and the effect was relatively not as good as that of the previous stages.Conclusion In the DOR stage and POF stage,the higher the degree of TCM intervention,the better the prognosis will be achieved for the patients treated with western medicine.In the POF stage,the efficacy of TCM intervention is reduced to a certain extent compared with the DOR stage.The results indicated that it is feasible and operable to identify the TCM therapeutic dominant stages based on the subdivision model of disease course.
		                        		
		                        		
		                        		
		                        	
4.Comparative study of multi-modal MRI automatic post-processing software based on multicenter data with patients of acute ischemic stroke
Mingming WANG ; Hongyu GAO ; Zhenying CAI ; Yuan RAO ; Shuangxing HOU ; Yu LUO ; Qi YANG
Chinese Journal of Radiology 2024;58(6):633-639
		                        		
		                        			
		                        			Objective:To investigate the consistency of domestic F-STROKE, NeuBrainCARE MRI automatic post-processing software and RAPID MRI automatic post-processing software in the output of infarction core area volume, time-to-maximum volume and ischemic penumbra volume in patients with acute ischemic stroke.Methods:The research was cross-sectional. The clinical and imaging data of patients with acute ischemic stroke from January 2016 to March 2021 were retrospectively collected, including 149 cases from Shanghai Fourth People′s Hospital Affiliated to Tongji University (Center 1), 120 cases from Langfang Changzheng Hospital of Hebei Province (Center 2), and 45 cases from Wuzhou Workers Hospital (Center 3). All patients underwent diffusion weighted imaging (DWI) and dynamic magnetic sensitivity contrast-perfusion weighted imaging (DSC-PWI). RAPID, F-STROKE and NeuBrainCARE automatic post-processing software were used to perform automatic post-processing analysis of MRI images of all patients with acute ischemic stroke. The infarct core (apparent diffusion coefficient<620×10 -6 mm 2/s) volume, time-to-maximum (T max>6 s) volume and the ischemic penumbra (PWI-DWI mismatch) volume were output. The Wilcoxon test was used to analyze the difference between F-STROKE, NeuBrainCARE, and RAPID software outputs of infarct core volume, time to maximum peak volume, and ischemic penumbra volume. Bland-Altman and intraclass correlation coefficient ( ICC) were used to analyze the consistency of the infarct core volume, time-to-maximum volume and ischemic penumbra volume output by F-STROKE, NeuBrainCARE and RAPID software. Results:There were statistically significant differences in the core infarct volume between F-STROKE and RAPID software, NeuBrainCARE and RAPID software ( Z=-10.17, -5.43, both P<0.001). There were significant differences in the time-to-maximum volume between F-STROKE and RAPID software, NeuBrainCARE and RAPID software ( Z=-3.17, -5.51, both P<0.05). There was no significant difference in the ischemic penumbra volume between F-STROKE software and RAPID software ( Z=-1.43, P=0.153), and there was significant difference in the ischemic penumbra volume between NeuBrainCARE software and RAPID software ( Z=-6.45, P<0.05). Bland-Altman analysis showed that the values within the limits of agreement accounted for more than 93.31% of all point values. ICC analysis showed high agreement between F-STROKE, NeuBrainCARE, and RAPID software outputs of infarct core volume, time to maximum peak volume, and ischemic penumbra volume ( ICC>0.6). Conclusion:Domestic F-STROKE software, NeuBrainCARE software and RAPID software have good consistency in evaluating the infarct core volume, time-to-maximum volume and ischemic penumbra volume in patients with acute ischemic stroke, which is worthy of clinical promotion.
		                        		
		                        		
		                        		
		                        	
5.Clinical efficacy of San Diego osteotomy in treating children with dysplasia of the hip after surgery
Yu RAO ; Lili YANG ; Yongqing XU ; Baochuang QI ; Zhifang TANG ; Luqiao PU ; Hongxin SHI ; Junxiao REN ; Chuan LI
Chinese Journal of Orthopaedics 2024;44(13):874-880
		                        		
		                        			
		                        			Objective:To explore the clinical efficacy of the San Diego osteotomy in treating developmental dysplasia of the hip (DDH) in children.Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on 33 pediatric cases of posterolateral acetabular dysplasia treated with the San Diego osteotomy at the 920th Hospital of the People's Liberation Army Joint Logistics Support Force in China from August 2018 to August 2022. The cohort included 3 males (4 hips) and 30 females (36 hips), with an average age of 4.9±1.4 years (range, 2-8 years). Among these, 32 cases (38 hips) were diagnosed with DDH, and 1 case (2 hips) with paralytic dislocation of the hip. According to the T?nnis classification, 3 hips were classified as type II, 25 hips as type III, and 12 hips as type IV. The San Diego osteotomy technique was utilized to enhance the posterior lateral acetabular coverage, combined with femoral osteotomy to adjust the hip abduction, flexion, and adduction angles. Postoperative outcomes were assessed using the modified Severin radiographic classification and the McKay grading system.Results:All 33 patients were followed up for an average of 37.70±18.44 months (range, 12-74 months). No cases of postoperative hip redislocation or residual acetabular underdevelopment were observed. The hip abduction angle improved from 24.98°±3.48° at 6 weeks postoperatively to 37.28°±4.63° at the 3-month follow-up, and 64.05°±3.82° at the 6-month follow-up, with a statistically significant difference ( F=77.327, P<0.001). The hip flexion angle increased from 26.34°±5.05° at 6 weeks postoperatively to 76.53°±4.38° at 3 months, and 106.47°±2.29° at 6 months, also showing a statistically significant difference ( F=54.377, P<0.001). The hip adduction angle progressed from 1.73°±1.18° at 6 weeks postoperatively to 12.33°±1.97° at 3 months, and 29.03°±4.17° at 6 months, with a significant difference ( F=45.162, P<0.001). The McKay hip joint grading system indicated 11 excellent, 20 good, and 9 acceptable outcomes, yielding an overall excellent and good rate of 78%. The Severin radiographic grading revealed 16 hips at grade I and 24 hips at grade II. Five patients (5 hips) experienced transient vascular compromise of the femoral head at 3 months postoperatively, which resolved after a 1-month non-weight-bearing period. At the final follow-up, one patient had residual femoral head enlargement in the right hip, while the remaining 32 cases showed satisfactory ossification and remodeling of the femoral head. Conclusion:The San Diego osteotomy significantly enhances hip joint range of motion and results in satisfactory hip joint function in children with developmental dysplasia of the hip
		                        		
		                        		
		                        		
		                        	
6.Efficacy and Safety of Ixazomib Combined with Thalidomide and Dexamethasone in Treatment of Multiple Myeloma
Xiang-Mei YAO ; Zhi-Xiang LU ; Jian-Hua RAO ; Xiao-Li GAO ; Qi WANG ; Hai-Tao HE
Journal of Experimental Hematology 2024;32(5):1450-1454
		                        		
		                        			
		                        			Objective:To investigate the efficacy and safety of ixazomib combined with thalidomide and dexamethasone in the treatment of multiple myeloma(MM).Methods:The clinical data of 60 MM patients admitted to our center from January 2019 to June 2022 were analyzed retrospectively,including 43 newly diagnosed patients and 17 patients with recurrence and progression.All patients were treated with ixazomib combined with thalidomide and dexamethasone,and completed 2 to 7 treatment cycles.Results:The overall response rate(ORR)of all patients was 98.3%.Among them,53 patients completed 4 treatment cycles,and the ORR was 86.8%.Seventeen patients completed the whole treatment cycle,with curative effect reaching 88.2%achieving very good partial response and above,and 52.9%achieving complete response and above.Albumin and β2-microglobulin of all patients had been improved rapidly after treatment.The deadline was August 31,2022.The median follow-up time was 14(3-24)months,and overall survival(OS)rate was 86.67%.The OS rate of patients with recurrence and progression was significantly lower than that of newly diagnosed patients(P<0.05).The most common adverse reaction of hematology was lymphopenia(53.3%),followed by anemia(33.3%).The most common non-hematological adverse reaction was fatigue(68.33%),followed by peripheral neuropathy(31.67%).Conclusion:Ixazomib combined with thalidomide and dexamethasone is effective in the treatment of MM,with good short-term efficacy,survival and safety.However,its long-term efficacy needs further observation.
		                        		
		                        		
		                        		
		                        	
7.Research on the impact of supply side policy coordination of medical insurance on cost control under DIP payment method
Kun-He LIN ; Ye-Sheng SHANGGUAN ; Ya-Qi RAO ; Jing PENG ; Yi CHEN ; Yi-Fan YAO ; Ying-Bei XIONG ; Li XIANG
Chinese Journal of Health Policy 2024;17(5):17-24
		                        		
		                        			
		                        			Objective:This study aims to explore the synergistic effects of DIP and other medical insurance supply-side policies.Method:City A that has piloted DIP reform was set as the treatment group,and City B without reform was set as the control group.A total of 1 120 public medical institution samples from 2019 to 2022 were collected.The total medical expenses during hospitalization and some structural expenses were analyzed using DID method.Result:DIP had a significant inhibitory effect on the medical expenses,and the expenses of checkups and examinations during hospitalization in city A,but had no impact on the drug and the material expenses during hospitalization.Conclusion:DIP played a significant cost control role and effectively controlled the total medical expenses during hospitalization.The synergistic effects of price adjustment of medical services policy and national centralized drug/material procurement policy on cost control were insufficient.DIP synergized with other supply-side policies to promote rational medical cost structure.It is suggested that medical insurance departments should focus on the synergistic effects of medical insurance supply-side policies to jointly improve the efficiency of medical insurance fund utilization.
		                        		
		                        		
		                        		
		                        	
8.Risk factors for bronchopulmonary dysplasia in twin preterm infants:a multicenter study
Yu-Wei FAN ; Yi-Jia ZHANG ; He-Mei WEN ; Hong YAN ; Wei SHEN ; Yue-Qin DING ; Yun-Feng LONG ; Zhi-Gang ZHANG ; Gui-Fang LI ; Hong JIANG ; Hong-Ping RAO ; Jian-Wu QIU ; Xian WEI ; Ya-Yu ZHANG ; Ji-Bin ZENG ; Chang-Liang ZHAO ; Wei-Peng XU ; Fan WANG ; Li YUAN ; Xiu-Fang YANG ; Wei LI ; Ni-Yang LIN ; Qian CHEN ; Chang-Shun XIA ; Xin-Qi ZHONG ; Qi-Liang CUI
Chinese Journal of Contemporary Pediatrics 2024;26(6):611-618
		                        		
		                        			
		                        			Objective To investigate the risk factors for bronchopulmonary dysplasia(BPD)in twin preterm infants with a gestational age of<34 weeks,and to provide a basis for early identification of BPD in twin preterm infants in clinical practice.Methods A retrospective analysis was performed for the twin preterm infants with a gestational age of<34 weeks who were admitted to 22 hospitals nationwide from January 2018 to December 2020.According to their conditions,they were divided into group A(both twins had BPD),group B(only one twin had BPD),and group C(neither twin had BPD).The risk factors for BPD in twin preterm infants were analyzed.Further analysis was conducted on group B to investigate the postnatal risk factors for BPD within twins.Results A total of 904 pairs of twins with a gestational age of<34 weeks were included in this study.The multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that compared with group C,birth weight discordance of>25%between the twins was an independent risk factor for BPD in one of the twins(OR=3.370,95%CI:1.500-7.568,P<0.05),and high gestational age at birth was a protective factor against BPD(P<0.05).The conditional logistic regression analysis of group B showed that small-for-gestational-age(SGA)birth was an independent risk factor for BPD in individual twins(OR=5.017,95%CI:1.040-24.190,P<0.05).Conclusions The development of BPD in twin preterm infants is associated with gestational age,birth weight discordance between the twins,and SGA birth.
		                        		
		                        		
		                        		
		                        	
9.Analysis of Safe Storage Moisture Content of Mume Flos Decoction Pieces Based on Theory of Water Activity and Water Molecular Mobility
Tongtong HAN ; Xiaoyong RAO ; Fengmei QI ; Yan HE ; Guoping ZHAN ; Xiaojian LUO ; Ruilin CHEN
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2023;29(13):151-156
		                        		
		                        			
		                        			ObjectiveThe hygroscopic properties of Mume Flos decoction pieces were studied from the perspectives of macroscopic[water activity(Aw)] and microscopic(water molecular mobility), which provided a theoretical basis for the determination of the safe storage moisture content. MethodAdsorption isotherm of Mume Flos decoction pieces was obtained by static weighing method, and seven common hygroscopic models were fitted and estimated. The best model was selected according to the principle that determination coefficient(R2) was closer to 1, residual sum of squares(RSS) was closer to 0 and Akaike information criterion(AIC) was smaller. According to the optimal model, the absolute and relative safe moisture contents of Mume Flos decoction pieces at 25, 35, 45 ℃ was calculated. Low-field nuclear magnetic resonance(LF-NMR) was used to measure the water molecular mobility in the hygroscopic process of Mume Flos decoction pieces. ResultThe best model to describe the adsorption isotherm of Mume Flos decoction pieces was the Peleg model. According to the model expression, the absolute safe moisture contents of Mume Flos decoction pieces at 25, 35, 45 ℃ were 9.59%, 7.96% and 7.68%, and the relative safe moisture contents were 13.05%, 11.99%, 11.77%, respectively. Mume Flos decoction pieces all contained two water states during the process of hygroscopic absorption at different temperatures, namely bound water T21 and free water T22. During the process of hygroscopic absorption, bound water had the largest increase in peak area. The sum of peak areas of the bound water and free water had a good linear relationship with the moisture contents, and the R2 were 0.959 9, 0.911 8 and 0.974 7 at 25, 35, 45 ℃, respectively. When Aw<0.57, T21 did not change, and the water molecular mobility remained unchanged. When Aw>0.57, T21 showed an increasing trend, and the water molecular mobility increased. The moisture contents of Mume Flos decoction pieces were 8.44%, 6.81% and 6.25% when the water molecular mobility increased at 25, 35, 45 ℃, respectively. ConclusionCombined with the theory of water activity and water molecular mobility, 6.25% is recommended as the safe storage moisture content of Mume Flos decoction pieces, this study can provide reference for determining the safe storage moisture content of other decoction pieces. 
		                        		
		                        		
		                        		
		                        	
10.Traditional application and modern research progress on new foreign medicinal resources.
Mao-Hong TANG ; Liang FENG ; Rao FU ; Yuan-Chen ZHAO ; Xiu-Lan HUANG ; Zhi-Yong LI ; Lu-Qi HUANG
China Journal of Chinese Materia Medica 2023;48(13):3421-3439
		                        		
		                        			
		                        			Chinese medicinal resources are the material basis for the survival and development of traditional Chinese medicine(TCM)and the sustainable development of Chinese medicinal resources is also an important project for the modernization of TCM in China. With the increasing demand for Chinese medicinal resources in China, over-exploitation has destroyed Chinese medicinal resources, resulting in a shortage of many natural medicinal resources in China and making the sustainable development of TCM in trouble. The introduced new foreign medicinal resources have become effective supplement and replacement for Chinese medicinal resources to some extent. However, the development and utilization of new foreign medicinal resources in China are different. To fully understand the development of new foreign medicinal resources in China, this paper, taking 43 new foreign medicinal resources such as Acacia nilotica as objects, sorted out the introduction forms and policies of new foreign medicinal resources, overviewed its current development status in China, summarized the application experience of new foreign medicinal resources in the place of origin, as well as the research progress and problems of new foreign medicinal resources in China and abroad, and analyzed the research situation, which can enrich Chinese medicinal resources and other uses, promote the sustainable development of Chinese medicinal resources, and provide ideas for further development and research of new foreign medicinal resources.
		                        		
		                        		
		                        		
		                        			Drugs, Chinese Herbal/therapeutic use*
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		                        			Medicine, Chinese Traditional
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		                        			Conservation of Natural Resources
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		                        			Sustainable Development
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		                        			Internationality
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		                        			China
		                        			
		                        		
		                        	
            

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