1.A Rapid, Hyperspectral-based Method for Determining Sporoderm-broken Rate of Ganoderma Lucidum Spore Powder
Zaichen PAN ; Yi ZHONG ; Ling FANG ; Zhechen QI ; Jing XU ; Zongsuo LIANG ; Zhenhao LI
Chinese Journal of Modern Applied Pharmacy 2024;41(6):760-766
OBJECTIVE
To establish a rapid nondestructive detection method for the sporoderm-broken rate of Ganoderma lucidum spore powder by hyperspectral technology combined with chemometrics.
METHODS
Hyperspectral images of Ganoderma lucidum spore powder samples with different sporoderm-broken rates were collected, and spectral data in the visible-shortwave near-infrared band(397−1 004 nm) range of each sample were calculated after selecting the region of interest. Compared 6 spectral preprocessing methods[standard normal variable transformation, multivariate scattering correction, Savitsky-Golay(SG) smoothing, wavelet transform, SG smoothing+standard normal variable transformation, and SG smoothing+multivariate scattering correction], 5 characteristic band extraction methods(competitive adaptive reweighting, successive projections algorithm, uninformative variables elimination, least angle regression, and genetic algorithm), and 5 algorithms(partial least squares regression, support vector regression, extreme learning machine, multilayer perceptron, and LightGBM) for constructing quantitative correction models to predicts performance.
RESULTS
The optimal combination was SG smoothing+competitive adaptive reweighted feature band selection+partial least squares. The quantitative correction model established based on the algorithm combination achieved a prediction set coefficient of 0.868 2, and a root mean square error of 0.011 7 for Ganoderma lucidum spore powder samples with a sporoderm-broken rate range of 90%−100%. The selected optimal algorithm combination was applied to construct a quantitative correction model with a sporoderm-broken rate range of 0−100%, the coefficient of determination for the test set was 0.973 1 and the root mean square error was 0.049 3, showing good generalization ability.
CONCLUSION
The established quantitative detection model can realize the rapid and non-destructive detection of the sporoderm-broken rate of Ganoderma lucidum spore powder, which provides technical support for the quality control of Ganoderma lucidum spore powder and its products.
2.Development and validation of guardianship ability scale for guardians of patients with severe mental disorders: a study on reliability and validity
Xiaoling DUAN ; Zihua PAN ; Shaoling ZHONG ; Yanling LIANG ; Xiao TAN ; Liang ZHOU
Sichuan Mental Health 2024;37(6):549-556
BackgroundThe guardianship ability of guardians of patients with severe mental disorders plays an important role in supporting the patients' recovery and reintegration into society. It is necessary to develop a scientific tool since there is a lack of tools to quantitatively assess the guardianship ability. ObjectiveTo explore and develop an assessment scale for the guardianship ability of guardians of patients with severe mental disorders, so as to provide references for the construction of scientific and reasonable guardianship ability evaluation tools. MethodsA pool of scale items was constructed through a literature review and interviews, followed by two rounds of expert consultation with 15 specialists. 364 guardians of patients with severe mental disorders in Guangzhou were investigated. The scale items were screened and optimized using item analysis and exploratory factor analysis, and the structural validity of the scale was further verified through confirmatory factor analysis. The content validity of the scale was evaluated by item-level content validity index (I-CVI) the average scale-level content validity index (S-CVI/Ave). The reliability of the scale was tested by Cronbach's α coefficient and split-half reliability. ResultsThe guardianship ability scale for guardians of patients with severe mental disorders consists of 25 items, including three dimensions of guardianship willingness, guardianship knowledge and behavior and guardianship self-efficacy. The results of the item analysis showed that all items met the corresponding criteria and were retained. Validity test: the I-CVI ranged from 0.800 to 1.000, and the S-CVI/Ave was 0.964. Factor load of each item on the corresponding factors ranged from 0.596 to 0.976, and the model demonstrated good fit: chi-square degree of freedom ratio (χ2/df) was 2.444, Tucker-Lewis index (TLI) was 0.908, comparative goodness of fit index (CFI) was 0.917, standardized root mean square residual (SRMR) was 0.049, and root mean square residual (RMSEA) was 0.089. Reliability test showed that the total scale had a Cronbach's α coefficient of 0.966, and the split half reliability coefficient was 0.915. ConclusionThe guardianship ability scale for patients with severe mental disorders developed in this study has good reliability and validity, and has certain application value for the assessment of guardianship ability for patients with severe mental disorders. [Funded by Health Science and Technology Project of Guangzhou (number, 20221A011049)]
3.Characteristic changes in blood routine and peripheral blood lymphocyte subpopulations in recipients of different types of rejection
Shuaiyu LUO ; Manhua NIE ; Lei SONG ; Yixin XIE ; Mingda ZHONG ; Shubo TAN ; Rong AN ; Pan LI ; Liang TAN ; Xubiao XIE
Journal of Central South University(Medical Sciences) 2024;49(3):417-425
Objective:Rejection remains the most important factor limiting the survival of transplanted kidneys.Although a pathological biopsy of the transplanted kidney is the gold standard for diagnosing rejection,its limitations prevent it from being used as a routine monitoring method.Recently,peripheral blood lymphocyte subpopulation testing has become an important means of assessing the body's immune system,however,its application value and strategy in the field of kidney transplantation need further exploration.Additionally,the development and utilization of routine test parameters are also important methods for exploring diagnostic strategies and predictive models for kidney transplant diseases.This study aims to explore the correlation between peripheral blood lymphocyte subpopulations and T cell-mediated rejection(TCMR)and antibody-mediated rejection(ABMR),as well as their diagnostic value,in conjunction with routine blood tests. Methods:A total of 154 kidney transplant recipients,who met the inclusion and exclusion criteria and were treated at the Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South University from January to December,2021,were selected as the study subjects.They were assigned into a stable group,a TCMR group,and an ABMR group,based on the occurrence and type of rejection.The basic and clinical data of these recipients were retrospectively analyzed and compared among the 3 groups.The transplant kidney function,routine blood tests,and peripheral blood lymphocyte subpopulation data of the TCMR group and the ABMR group before rejection treatment were compared with those of the stable group. Results:The stable,TCMR group,and ABMR group showed no statistically significant differences in immunosuppressive maintenance regimens or sources of transplanted kidneys(all P>0.05).However,the post-transplant duration was significantly longer in the ABMR group compared with the stable group(P<0.001)and the TCMR group(P<0.05).Regarding kidney function,serum creatinine levels in the ABMR group were higher than in the stable group and the TCMR group(both P<0.01),with the TCMR group also showing higher levels than the stable group(P<0.01).Both TCMR and ABMR groups had significantly higher blood urea nitrogen levels than the stable group(P<0.01),with no statistically significant difference between TCMR and ABMR groups(P>0.05).The estimated glomerular filtration rate(eGFR)was lower in both TCMR and ABMR groups compared with the stable group(both P<0.01).In routine blood tests,the ABMR group had lower hemoglobin,red blood cell count,and platelet count than the stable group(all P<0.05).The TCMR group had higher neutrophil percentage(P<0.05)and count(P<0.05)than the stable group,and the ABMR group had a higher neutrophil percentage than the stable group(P<0.05).The eosinophil percentage and count in the TCMR group were lower than in the stable and ABMR groups(all P<0.05).Both TCMR and ABMR groups had lower basophil percentage and count,as well as lower lymphocyte percentage and count,compared with the stable group(all P<0.05).There were no significant differences in monocyte percentage and count among the 3 groups(all P>0.05).In lymphocyte subpopulations,the TCMR and ABMR groups had lower counts of CD45+cells and T cells compared with the stable group(all P<0.05).The TCMR group also had lower counts of CD4+T cells,NK cells,and B cells than the stable group(all P<0.05).There were no significant differences in the T cell percentage,CD4+T cell percentage,CD8+T cell percentage and their counts,CD4+/CD8+T cell ratio,NK cell percentage,and B cell percentage among the stable,TCMR,and ABMR groups(all P>0.05). Conclusion:The occurrence of rejection leads to impaired transplant kidney function,accompanied by characteristic changes in some parameters of routine blood tests and peripheral blood lymphocyte subpopulations in kidney transplant recipients.The different characteristics of changes in some parameters of routine blood tests and peripheral blood lymphocyte subpopulations during TCMR and ABMR may help predict and diagnose rejection and differentiate between TCMR and ABMR.
4.Relationship between clopidogrel resistance and genetic variability in Kawasaki disease children with coronary artery lesions
Yinyin CAO ; Qiyang PAN ; Jian LI ; Xiaofang ZHONG ; Xuecun LIANG ; Lan HE ; Chen CHU ; Quming ZHAO ; Lu ZHAO ; Feng WANG ; Shuna SUN ; Yixiang LIN ; Guoying HUANG ; Fang LIU
Chinese Journal of Pediatrics 2024;62(10):981-988
Objective:To analyze the distribution of clopidogrel metabolism-related gene variability in Kawasaki disease (KD) children with coronary artery lesions (CAL) across different age groups and the impact of genetic variability on the efficacy of clopidogrel antiplatelet therapy.Methods:A retrospective cohort study was conducted. Clinical data were collected from 46 KD children with CAL who were hospitalized in the Cardiovascular Center of Children′s Hospital of Fudan University between January 2021 and August 2022 and were treated with clopidogrel, including gender, age, body mass index, course of KD, CAL severity grade, and baseline platelet count. According to their age, the children were divided into ≥2-year-old group and <2-year-old group. Their platelet responsiveness was assessed by adenosine diphosphate-induced platelet inhibition rate (ADPi) calculated via thromboelastography, and children were categorized into high on-treatment platelet reactivity (HTPR) and normal on-treatment platelet reactivity (NTPR) groups. Genotypes of CYP2C19, PON1 and ABCB1 were detected. The t test, one-way analysis of variance and Chi-square test were used for intergroup comparison. Results:Among the 46 KD children with CAL, 34 were male and 12 were female; 37 were ≥2-year-old and 9 were <2-year-old; 25 cases were in the HTPR group and 21 cases were in the NTPR group, with 19 HTPR and 18 NTPR in the ≥2-year-old group, and 6 HTPR and 3 NTPR in the <2-year-old group. Genetic analysis showed that 92 alleles among the 46 children, with frequencies of CYP2C19*1, CYP2C19*2, CYP2C19*3, CYP2C19*17, PON1 192Q, PON1 192R, ABCB1 3435C, ABCB1 3435T at 59% (54/92), 32% (29/92), 9% (8/92), 1% (1/92), 36% (36/92), 64% (59/92), 63% (58/92) and 37% (34/92), respectively. Analysis of the impact of genotype on ADPi revealed that in children aged ≥2 years, those with CYP2C19*1/*3 genotype had significantly lower ADPi than those with CYP2C19*1/*1 genotype ((34±15)% vs. (61±29)%, t=2.18, P=0.036). There were also no significant difference in ADPi among children with PON1 192Q homozygous, PON1 192R heterozygote and PON1 192R homozygous genotypes ((40±22)% vs. (52±33)% vs. (65±27)%, F=2.17, P=0.130), or among those with ABCB1 3435C homozygous, ABCB1 3435T heterozygote and ABCB1 3435T homozygous genotypes ((55±34)% vs. (60±27)% vs. (49±24)%, F=0.33, P=0.719). In <2-year-old group, there were no significant differences in ADPi across CYP2C19*1/*1, CYP2C19*1/*2 and CYP2C19*2*2 genotypes ((40±20)% vs. (53±37)% vs. (34±16)%, F=0.37, P>0.05). There were no significant differences in ADPi across CYP2C19*1/*1 and CYP2C19*1/*3 genotypes ((44±27)% vs. (42±20)%, t=0.08, P>0.05). There were no significant differences in ADPi across PON1 192Q homozygous, PON1 192R heterozygote and PON1 192R homozygous genotypes (45% vs. (55±27)% vs. (24±5)%, F=1.83, P>0.05). There were no significant differences in ADPi across ABCB1 3435C homozygous, ABCB1 3435T heterozygote and ABCB1 3435T homozygous genotypes ((36±16)% vs. (50±35)% vs. 45%, F=0.29, P>0.05). The risk analysis of HTPR in different genotypes revealed that in children aged ≥2 years, carrying at least 1 or 2 loss-of-function alleles of CYP2C19 was a risk factor for HTPR ( OR=4.69, 10.00, 95% CI 1.11-19.83, 0.84-119.32, P=0.033, 0.046, respectively), and PON1 192R homozygosity and carrying at least one PON1 192R allele were protective factors against HTPR ( OR=0.08, 0.13, 95% CI 0.01-0.86, 0.01-1.19, P=0.019, 0.043, respectively). Conclusion:KD children aged ≥2 years carrying CYP2C19 loss-of-function alleles and PON1 192Q are more likely to develop HTPR.
5.Association of outdoor artificial light at night exposure with overweight and obesity among children and adolescents aged 9 to 18 years in China.
Jia Jia DANG ; Shan CAI ; Pan Liang ZHONG ; Ya Qi WANG ; Yun Fei LIU ; Di SHI ; Zi Yue CHEN ; Yi Hang ZHANG ; Pei Jin HU ; Jing LI ; Jun MA ; Yi SONG
Journal of Peking University(Health Sciences) 2023;55(3):421-428
OBJECTIVE:
To analyze the association between outdoor artificial light-at-night (ALAN) exposure and overweight and obesity among children and adolescents aged 9 to 18 years in China.
METHODS:
Using follow-up data of 5 540 children and adolescents aged 9 to 18 years conducted from November 2019 to November 2020 in eight provinces of China, latitude and longitude were determined based on school addresses, and the mean monthly average nighttime irradiance at the location of 116 schools was extracted by the nearest neighbor method to obtain the mean outdoor ALAN exposure [unit: nW/(cm2·sr)] for each school. Four indicators of overweight and obesity outcomes were included: Baseline overweight and obesity, persistent overweight and obesity, overweight and obesity progression and overweight and obesity incidence. Mixed effects Logistic regression was used to explore the association between ALAN exposure levels (divided into quintiles Q1-Q5) and baseline overweight and obesity, persistent overweight and obesity, overweight and obesity progression and overweight and obesity incidence. In addition, a natural cubic spline function was used to explore the exposure response association between ALAN exposure (a continuous variable) and the outcomes.
RESULTS:
The prevalence of baseline overweight and obesity, persistent overweight and obesity, overweight and obesity progression and overweight and obesity incidence among the children and adolescents in this study were 21.6%, 16.3%, 2.9% and 12.8%, respectively. The OR value for the association between ALAN exposure and baseline overweight and obesity was statistically significant when ALAN exposure levels reached Q4 or Q5, 1.90 (95%CI: 1.26-2.86) and 1.77 (95%CI: 1.11-2.83), respectively, compared with the children and adolescents in the Q1 group of ALAN exposure. Similar to the results for baseline overweight and obesity, the OR values for the association with persistent overweight and obesity were 1.89 (95%CI: 1.20-2.99) and 1.82 (95%CI: 1.08-3.06) when ALAN exposure levels reached Q4 or Q5, respectively, but none of the OR values for the association between ALAN and overweight and obesity progression and overweight and obesity incidence were statistically significant. Fitting a natural cubic spline function showed a non-linear trend between ALAN exposure and persistent overweight and obesity.
CONCLUSION
There is a positive association between ALAN exposure and overweight and obesity in children and adolescents, and the promotion of overweight obesity in children and adolescents by ALAN tends to have a cumulative effect rather than an immediate effect. In the future, while focusing on the common risk factors for overweight and obesity in children and adolescents, there is a need to improve the overweight and obesity-causing nighttime light exposure environment.
Humans
;
Adolescent
;
Child
;
Overweight/etiology*
;
Pediatric Obesity/etiology*
;
Light Pollution
;
Risk Factors
;
China/epidemiology*
6.Trend of age of menarche among Chinese Han girls aged 9 to 18 years from 2010 to 2019.
Ning MA ; Di SHI ; Shan CAI ; Jia Jia DANG ; Pan Liang ZHONG ; Yun Fei LIU ; Jing LI ; Yana Hui DONG ; Pei Jin HU ; Bin DONG ; Tian Jiao CHEN ; Yi SONG ; Jun MA
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2023;57(4):486-491
Objective: To analyze the trends of the age of menarche among Chinese Han girls aged 9 to 18 years from 2010 to 2019. Methods: Data were extracted from the Chinese National Surveys on Students' Constitution and Health in 2010, 2014 and 2019. A total of 253 037 Han girls aged 9 to 18 years with complete data on menarche were selected in this study. They were asked one-on-one about their menstrual status, age and residence information. The median age of menarche was estimated by probability regression. U tests were used to compare the difference in median age at menarche in different years. Results: The median age at menarche (95%CI) among Chinese Han girls was 12.47 (12.09-12.83) years in 2010, 12.17 (11.95-12.38) years in 2014 and 12.05 (10.82-13.08) years in 2019, respectively. Compared with that in 2010, the median age at menarche in 2019 decreased by 0.42 years (U=-77.27, P<0.001). The annual average changes were -0.076 years from 2010 to 2014 (U=-57.19, P<0.001) and -0.023 years from 2014 to 2019 (U=-21.41, P<0.001), respectively. The average annual changes in urban areas in the periods of 2010 to 2014 and 2014 to 2019 were -0.071 years and 0.006 years, respectively, while those in rural areas were -0.082 years and -0.053 years, respectively. The average annual changes in the regions of north, northeast, east, south central, southwest and northwest were -0.064, -0.099, -0.091, -0.080, -0.096 and -0.041 years in the period of 2010 to 2014 and 0.001, -0.040, -0.002, -0.005, -0.043 and -0.081 years in the period of 2014 to 2019. Conclusion: The age of menarche among Chinese Han girls aged 9 to 18 years shows an advanced trend from 2010 to 2019, and the trends in urban and rural areas and different regions have different characteristics.
Female
;
Humans
;
Menarche
;
Probability
;
East Asian People
;
Child
;
Adolescent
7.Trends of age of menarche among Chinese Han girls aged 9 to 18 years from 2010 to 2019.
Ning MA ; Di SHI ; Shan CAI ; Jia Jia DANG ; Pan Liang ZHONG ; Yun Fei LIU ; Jing LI ; Yan Hui DONG ; Pei Jin HU ; Bin DONG ; Tian Jiao CHEN ; Yi SONG ; Jun MA
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2023;57():36-41
Objective: To analyze the trends of the age of menarche among Chinese Han girls aged 9 to 18 years from 2010 to 2019. Methods: Data were extracted from the Chinese National Surveys on Students' Constitution and Health in 2010, 2014 and 2019. A total of 253 037 Han girls aged 9 to 18 years with complete data on menarche were selected in this study. They were asked one-on-one about their menstrual status, age and residence information. The median age of menarche was estimated by probability regression. U tests were used to compare the difference in median age at menarche in different years. Results: The median age at menarche (95%CI) among Chinese Han girls was 12.47 (12.09-12.83) years in 2010, 12.17 (11.95-12.38) years in 2014 and 12.05 (10.82-13.08) years in 2019, respectively. Compared with that in 2010, the median age at menarche in 2019 decreased by 0.42 years (U=-77.27, P<0.001). The annual average changes were-0.076 years from 2010 to 2014 (U=-57.19, P<0.001) and-0.023 years from 2014 to 2019 (U=-21.41, P<0.001), respectively. The average annual changes in urban areas in the periods of 2010 to 2014 and 2014 to 2019 were-0.071 years and 0.006 years, respectively, while those in rural areas were-0.082 years and-0.053 years, respectively. The average annual changes in the regions of north, northeast, east, south central, southwest and northwest were-0.064, -0.099, -0.091, -0.080, -0.096 and-0.041 years in the period of 2010 to 2014 and 0.001, -0.040, -0.002, -0.005, -0.043 and-0.081 years in the period of 2014 to 2019. Conclusion: The age of menarche among Chinese Han girls aged 9 to 18 years shows an advanced trend from 2010 to 2019, and the trends in urban and rural areas and different regions have different characteristics.
8.Prevalence trend of high normal blood pressure and elevated blood pressure in Chinese Han children and adolescents aged 7-17 years from 2010 to 2019.
Li CHEN ; Yi ZHANG ; Tao MA ; Jie Yu LIU ; Di SHI ; Pan Liang ZHONG ; Ning MA ; Yan Hui DONG ; Bin DONG ; Yi SONG ; Jun MA
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2023;57():49-57
Objective: To investigate the prevalence trend of high normal blood pressure and elevated blood pressure in children and adolescents aged 7 to 17 years in China from 2010 to 2019. Methods: Students aged 7-17 years were selected from the Chinese National Survey on Students' Constitution and Health from 2010 to 2019. High normal blood pressure and elevated blood pressure were determined according to the "Reference of screening for elevated blood pressure among children and adolescents aged 7-18 years" (WS/T 610-2018). The Chi-square test was performed to determine whether there was a difference in the prevalence of high normal blood pressure and elevated blood pressure by gender, residence and age group. Results: In 2019, the prevalence of high normal blood pressure in children and adolescents aged 7-17 years was 15.3% (29 855/195 625), which was higher in boys (20.2%, 19 779/97 847) and rural areas (15.4%, 15 066/97 567) than that in girls (10.3%, 10 076/97 778) and urban areas (15.1%, 14 789/98 058), respectively (all P<0.05). The prevalence of elevated blood pressure was 13.0% (25 377/195 625), which was higher in girls (13.2%, 12 925/97 778) and rural areas (14.1%, 13 753/97 567) than that in boys (12.7%, 12 452/97 847) and urban areas (11.9%, 11 624/98 058) (all P<0.05). From 2010 to 2019, the prevalence of high normal blood pressure showed an increasing trend, with an annual average growth rate from 1.14% to 3.18%. The overall prevalence of elevated blood pressure also showed an increasing trend from 2010 to 2019 but decreased in 2014. The annual average growth rate of elevated blood pressure was-1.07% from 2010 to 2014 and 9.33% from 2014 to 2019. About 17 provinces had an increasing trend in the prevalence of elevated blood pressure from 2010 to 2014, and 22 provinces with an increasing trend from 2014 to 2019. There were obvious regional differences in the annual average growth rate of the prevalence of high normal blood pressure and elevated blood pressure. The regions with the highest annual average growth rate of the prevalence of high normal blood pressure were the Northeast (5.47%) from 2010 to 2014 and the Western region (5.21%) from 2014 to 2019. For elevated blood pressure, the Northeast had the highest annual average growth rate from 2010 to 2014 (12.35%), while the Central (15.79%) and Western (12.87%) had the highest growth rate from 2014 to 2019. Conclusion: From 2010 to 2019, the prevalence of high normal blood pressure and elevated blood pressure in Chinese Han children and adolescents aged 7 to 17 shows an increasing trend, with regional disparities.
9.Long-term trend of the age of spermarche and its association with nutritional status among Chinese Han boys aged 11-18 from 2010 to 2019.
Di SHI ; Ning MA ; Yun Fei LIU ; Jia Jia DANG ; Pan Liang ZHONG ; Shan CAI ; Li CHEN ; Yan Hui DONG ; Pei Jin HU ; Yi SONG ; Jun MA ; Jing LI
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2023;57():42-48
Objective: To analyze the long-term trend of the age of spermarche among Chinese Han boys aged 11 to 18 from 2010 to 2019 and its association with nutritional status. Methods: The data from Chinese National Surveys on Students' Constitution and Health in 2010, 2014 and 2019 were used. The age, residence and spermarche of the participants were collected by questionnaire, and their height and weight were measured. A total of 184 633 Han boys aged 11‒18 years with complete data on spermarche, height, and weight were included in this study. The probability regression method was used to calculate the median age (95%CI) at spermarche in different areas, and the trend of age at spermarche in different groups was compared. The multivariate logistic regression model was used to analyze the association between nutritional status and spermarche of Chinese Han boys aged 11‒18 years. Results: The median age of spermarche (95%CI) was 13.85 (13.45-14.22) years old among Chinese Han boys aged 11‒18 years in 2019, with 0.18 years earlier than that in 2010. The median age at spermarche in urban and rural boys was 13.89 and 13.81 years, respectively. Compared with that in 2010, the age at spermarche in urban and rural boys was 0.08 and 0.27 years earlier, respectively. After adjusting for age, province and urban/rural areas, compared with normal weight, spermarche was negatively associated with wasting and positively associated with overweight and obesity, with OR (95%CI) about 0.73 (0.67-0.80), 1.09 (1.02-1.17) and 1.09 (1.01-1.18), respectively. Conclusion: The age of spermarche generally shows an advanced trend among Chinese Han boys and is associated with nutritional status.
10.Epidemiology and prediction of overweight and obesity among children and adolescents aged 7-18 years in China from 1985 to 2019.
Yan Hui DONG ; Li CHEN ; Jie Yu LIU ; Tao MA ; Yi ZHANG ; Man Man CHEN ; Pan Liang ZHONG ; Di SHI ; Pei Jin HU ; Jing LI ; Bin DONG ; Yi SONG ; Jun MA
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2023;57():11-19
Objective: To analyze and predict the epidemic trend of overweight and obesity among children and adolescents aged 7-18 years in China from 1985 to 2019. Methods: Data were collected from the Chinese National Survey on Students Constitution and Health in 1985, 1995, 2000, 2005, 2010, 2014, and 2019 with the sample size of 409 945, 204 931, 209 209, 234 420, 215 317, 214 353, and 212 711, respectively. Overweight and obesity were evaluated according to the "classification standard of the weight index value of overweight and obesity screening for Chinese school-age children and adolescents" of the Working Group on Obesity in China (WGOC). The detection rate and average annual growth rate of overweight and obesity, and single obesity among children and adolescents aged 7-18 years were calculated, and ArcGis10.6 software was used to analyze the difference in the prevalence of overweight and obesity among children and adolescents in different regions in 2019. Polynomial regression function was used to fit the prevalence and average annual growth rate of overweight and obesity, and single obesity among children and adolescents from 1985 to 2019, and to predict the prevalence of overweight and obesity and single obesity among children and adolescents in China. Results: In 2019, the total prevalence of overweight and obesity among children and adolescents aged 7-18 years in China was 23.4%, and the prevalence of single obesity was 9.6%. The prevalence of overweight and obesity among urban children and adolescents was higher than that in rural areas (25.4% vs. 21.5%), and the prevalence in boys was higher than that in girls (28.4% vs. 18.4%) (both P values<0.001). In 2019, there was a large regional disparity in the prevalence of overweight and obesity in different provinces, with the lowest in Guangdong (12.2%) and the highest in Shandong (38.9%), and the high epidemic areas were mainly concentrated in North China and Northeast China. From 1985 to 2019, the prevalence of overweight and obesity among children and adolescents aged 7-18 years in China increased from 1.2% to 23.4%, with an increase of 18.1 times, while the prevalence of obesity alone increased from 0.1% to 9.6%, with an increase of 75.6 times. The prevalence of overweight and obesity in urban boys, urban girls, rural boys and rural girls increased from 1.3%, 1.5%, 0.5%, and 1.6% in 1985 to 31.2%, 19.4%, 25.6%, and 17.4% in 2019, with an increase of 22.3, 11.7, 54.2, and 10.1 times, respectively. According to the prediction model, the prevalence of overweight and obesity among children and adolescents aged 7-18 years in China will increase from 23.4% in 2019 to 32.7% in 2030, and the prevalence of obesity alone will increase from 9.6% in 2019 to 15.1% in 2030. The growth of rural children and adolescents is obvious. By 2025, the prevalence of overweight and obesity among rural children and adolescents in China will comprehensively exceed that of urban, and there will be an "urban-rural reversal" phenomenon. At the same time, the prevalence of children's obesity in China's low, medium and high epidemic areas will also continue to increase. By 2035, the prevalence of overweight and obesity among children and adolescents in medium epidemic areas will exceed that in high epidemic areas, and there will be a "provincial reversal" phenomenon. Conclusion: From 1985 to 2019, the overweight and obesity of children and adolescents in China will continue to grow rapidly with large regional differences.


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