1.Factors influencing repeat blood donor lapsing in Guangzhou: based on the zero-inflated poisson regression model
Rongrong KE ; Guiyun XIE ; Xiaoxiao ZHENG ; Yingying XU ; Xiaochun HONG ; Shijie LI ; Yongshi DENG ; Jinyu SHEN ; Jinyan CHEN ; Jian OUYANG
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2025;38(1):73-78
[Objective] To analyze the influencing factors of repeat blood donor lapsing using a zero-inflated poisson regression model (ZIP). [Methods] The blood donation behavior of 12 498 whole blood donors from 2020 was tracked until December 31, 2023. The factors influencing the frequency of blood donations in a given year was analyzed using ZIP, and donors with 0 blood donation in that year were considered to have lapsed. The changes in relevant influencing factors associated with each blood donation were measured and modeled for analysis. [Results] The zero-inflated part of ZIP showed that the risk of lapsing of male blood donors was 2.24 times that of female blood donors (OR 95% CI:1.864-2.696, P<0.001); the risk of lapsing of the 35-44 age group and over 45 age group was respectively 40% (OR 95% CI:0.455-0.790, P<0.001) and 61%(OR 95% CI:0.268-0.578, P<0.001) lower than that of the under 25 age group; the risk of lapsing for those who have donated blood twice and ≥3 times was respectively 50% (OR 95% CI:0.405-0.609, P<0.001) and 81% (OR 95% CI:0.154-0.225, P<0.001) lower than that of first-time donors; the risk of lapsing of those with junior high or high school education was 1.2 times that of those with a college degree or higher (OR 95% CI:1.033-1.384, P<0.05); the risk of lapsing for the divorced group was 2.02 times that of the married group (OR 95% CI:1.445-2.820, P<0.001); the risk of lapsing for those with an income (Yuan) of 10 000 to 50 000, 50 000 to 100 000 and more than 100 000 was respectively 0.67 (OR 95% CI:0.552-0.818, P<0.001), 0.72 (OR 95% CI:0.591-0.884, P=0.002) and 0.67 (OR 95% CI:0.535-0.834, P<0.001) times that of those with an income (Yuan) of less than 10 000. The results of the Poisson part are consistent with the results of the zero-inflated part in terms of age and education level. [Conclusion] Blood donor lapsing is overall related to factors such as gender, age, donation frequency, education, marital status and family income. It's essential to care for those blood donors prone to lapse to retain more regular blood donors.
2.Cost-effectiveness and return on investment of hepatitis C virus elimination in China: A modelling study
Meiyu WU ; Jing MA ; Xuehong WANG ; Sini LI ; Chongqing TAN ; Ouyang XIE ; Andong LI ; Aaron G LIM ; Xiaomin WAN
Clinical and Molecular Hepatology 2025;31(2):394-408
Background/Aims:
The World Health Organization set the goal of eliminating hepatitis C virus (HCV) by 2030, with 80% and 65% reductions in HCV incidence and mortality rates, respectively. We aimed to evaluate the health benefits, cost-effectiveness and return on investment (ROI) of HCV elimination.
Methods:
Using an HCV transmission compartmental model, we evaluated the benefits and costs of different strategies combining screening and treatment for Chinese populations. We identified strategies to achieve HCV elimination and calculated the incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) per disability-adjusted life year (DALY) averted for 2022–2030 to identify the optimal elimination strategy. Furthermore, we estimated the ROI by 2050 by comparing the required investment with the economic productivity gains from reduced HCV incidence and deaths.
Results:
The strategy that results in the most significant health benefits involves conducting annual primary screening at a rate of 14%, re-screening people who inject drugs annually and the general population every five years, and treating 95% of those diagnosed (P14-R4-T95), preventing approximately 5.75 and 0.44 million HCV infections and deaths, respectively, during 2022–2030. At a willingness-to-pay threshold of $12,615, the P14-R4-T95 strategy is the most cost-effective, with an ICER of $5,449/DALY. By 2050, this strategy would have a net benefit of $120,997 million (ROI=0.868).
Conclusions
Achieving HCV elimination in China by 2030 will require significant investment in large-scale universal screening and treatment, but it will yield substantial health and economic benefits and is cost-effective.
3.Cost-effectiveness and return on investment of hepatitis C virus elimination in China: A modelling study
Meiyu WU ; Jing MA ; Xuehong WANG ; Sini LI ; Chongqing TAN ; Ouyang XIE ; Andong LI ; Aaron G LIM ; Xiaomin WAN
Clinical and Molecular Hepatology 2025;31(2):394-408
Background/Aims:
The World Health Organization set the goal of eliminating hepatitis C virus (HCV) by 2030, with 80% and 65% reductions in HCV incidence and mortality rates, respectively. We aimed to evaluate the health benefits, cost-effectiveness and return on investment (ROI) of HCV elimination.
Methods:
Using an HCV transmission compartmental model, we evaluated the benefits and costs of different strategies combining screening and treatment for Chinese populations. We identified strategies to achieve HCV elimination and calculated the incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) per disability-adjusted life year (DALY) averted for 2022–2030 to identify the optimal elimination strategy. Furthermore, we estimated the ROI by 2050 by comparing the required investment with the economic productivity gains from reduced HCV incidence and deaths.
Results:
The strategy that results in the most significant health benefits involves conducting annual primary screening at a rate of 14%, re-screening people who inject drugs annually and the general population every five years, and treating 95% of those diagnosed (P14-R4-T95), preventing approximately 5.75 and 0.44 million HCV infections and deaths, respectively, during 2022–2030. At a willingness-to-pay threshold of $12,615, the P14-R4-T95 strategy is the most cost-effective, with an ICER of $5,449/DALY. By 2050, this strategy would have a net benefit of $120,997 million (ROI=0.868).
Conclusions
Achieving HCV elimination in China by 2030 will require significant investment in large-scale universal screening and treatment, but it will yield substantial health and economic benefits and is cost-effective.
4.Cost-effectiveness and return on investment of hepatitis C virus elimination in China: A modelling study
Meiyu WU ; Jing MA ; Xuehong WANG ; Sini LI ; Chongqing TAN ; Ouyang XIE ; Andong LI ; Aaron G LIM ; Xiaomin WAN
Clinical and Molecular Hepatology 2025;31(2):394-408
Background/Aims:
The World Health Organization set the goal of eliminating hepatitis C virus (HCV) by 2030, with 80% and 65% reductions in HCV incidence and mortality rates, respectively. We aimed to evaluate the health benefits, cost-effectiveness and return on investment (ROI) of HCV elimination.
Methods:
Using an HCV transmission compartmental model, we evaluated the benefits and costs of different strategies combining screening and treatment for Chinese populations. We identified strategies to achieve HCV elimination and calculated the incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) per disability-adjusted life year (DALY) averted for 2022–2030 to identify the optimal elimination strategy. Furthermore, we estimated the ROI by 2050 by comparing the required investment with the economic productivity gains from reduced HCV incidence and deaths.
Results:
The strategy that results in the most significant health benefits involves conducting annual primary screening at a rate of 14%, re-screening people who inject drugs annually and the general population every five years, and treating 95% of those diagnosed (P14-R4-T95), preventing approximately 5.75 and 0.44 million HCV infections and deaths, respectively, during 2022–2030. At a willingness-to-pay threshold of $12,615, the P14-R4-T95 strategy is the most cost-effective, with an ICER of $5,449/DALY. By 2050, this strategy would have a net benefit of $120,997 million (ROI=0.868).
Conclusions
Achieving HCV elimination in China by 2030 will require significant investment in large-scale universal screening and treatment, but it will yield substantial health and economic benefits and is cost-effective.
5.Mechanism of Action of Huangqi Guizhi Wuwutang Against Cerebral Ischemia-reperfusion Injury Based on Bioinformatics and Experimental Validation
Jie HU ; Gaojun TANG ; Ouyang RAO ; Sha XIE ; Ying LIU
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2025;31(22):10-20
ObjectiveTo investigate the mechanism of action of Huangqi Guizhi Wuwutang (HGWT) against cerebral ischemia-reperfusion injury (CIRI) based on bioinformatics and experimental validation. MethodsBiological informatics methods were used to screen for active components of HGWT and their targets. The GEO database was utilized to obtain CIRI-related differentially expressed genes (DEGs), and platforms such as GeneCards were used to identify disease targets. Venn diagram analysis was conducted to identify overlapping targets, followed by protein-protein interaction (PPI), gene ontology (GO), and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) enrichment analysis, as well as immune infiltration and immune cell differential analysis. Core genes (Hub genes) were screened using LASSO regression and ROC curves, and molecular docking was used to validate the binding efficiency between the active components of the drug and the core targets. A rat CIRI model was established, with rats randomly divided into five groups (n=10): Sham surgery group (Sham), model group (MG), and low-dose (LD,5.3 g·kg-1), medium-dose (MD,10.6 g·kg-1), and high-dose (HD,21.2 g·kg-1) HGWT groups. From 3 days before modeling to 7 days after surgery, oral administration was performed daily: Sham and MG groups received physiological saline, while each drug group received the corresponding dose of HGWT. Hematoxylin-eosin (HE) staining, Nissl staining, and terminal deoxynucleotidyl transferase-mediated dUTP nick-end labeling (TUNEL staining) were used to assess the repair effects of HGWT on neural damage. Western blot analysis was used to detect B-cell lymphoma-2 protein (Bcl-2), Bcl-2-associated X protein (Bax), signal transducer and activator of transcription 3 (STAT3), phosphorylated STAT3 [p-STAT3 (Tyr705)], protein kinase B1 (Akt1), and phosphorylated Akt1 [p-Akt1 (Ser473)], among other target proteins. ResultsAfter screening, 56 common target points of DEGs-disease-drug were obtained. GO and KEGG analyses indicated that HGWT primarily functions in pathways such as apoptosis, oxidative stress, and inflammatory responses. Immune infiltration analysis revealed a significant association between HGWT's anti-CIRI activity and immune cells such as Th17 cells and myeloid-derived suppressor cells (MDSCs) (P0.01). LASSO-ROC analysis identified Akt1, Caspase-3, glycogen synthase kinase-3β (GSK-3β), and STAT3 as core genes. Molecular docking confirmed that Hub genes exhibit significant binding affinity with the active components of HGWT (binding energy ≤ -5 kJ·mol-1)(1 cal≈4.186 J). Animal experiment results showed that compared with the sham group, the MG group exhibited significant neuronal necrosis, nuclear condensation, and vacuolar degeneration in rat brains, with a significant decrease in Nissl body density (P0.01) and increased neuronal apoptosis in rat brains as indicated by TUNEL staining (P0.01). Compared with the MG, the LD, MD, and HD groups showed reduced neuronal necrosis, nuclear condensation, and vacuolar degeneration in rat brain neurons, increased Nissl body density, and reduced apoptosis (P0.01), with significant differences among the drug groups (P0.01). Western blot results showed that compared with the sham group, the MG group had reduced Bcl-2 and p-Akt1 (P0.01) and increased Bax and p-STAT3 (P0.01). Compared with the MG group, the drug groups showed increased Bcl-2 and p-Akt1 (P0.01) and decreased Bax and p-STAT3 (P0.01). There were no significant changes in total Akt1 and STAT3 protein levels among the groups. ConclusionBased on network pharmacology and experimental verification, HGWT may exert its neuroprotective effects by regulating the phosphorylation levels of Akt1 and STAT3, thereby alleviating cell apoptosis, inflammatory responses, and oxidative stress in rat brain tissue following CIRI. This provides theoretical support for the clinical treatment of CIRI.
6.Significance of high-sensitivity polymerase chain reaction in detecting hepatitis B virus in chronic hepatitis B patients with a very low viral load
Gongqin QIU ; Dan XIE ; Ziren CHEN ; Shi OUYANG
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2024;40(3):483-488
ObjectiveTo investigate the significance of high-sensitive polymerase chain reaction (PCR) in detecting hepatitis B virus (HBV) among the population with a very low viral load (HBV DNA 10 — 99 IU/mL). MethodsThis study was conducted among the chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients who were treated with nucleos(t)ide analogues for ≥48 weeks in The Fifth Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou Medical University from September 2019 to February 2022 and had an HBV DNA load below the lower limit of ordinary-sensitivity detection (100 IU/mL). Then high-sensitivity HBV DNA detection was performed for all patients, and according to these results, the patients were divided into very low viral load group (VLVL group with an HBV DNA load of 10 — 99 IU/mL) and complete virologic response group (CVR group with an HBV DNA load of <10 IU/mL or without HBV DNA detected). The two groups were compared in terms of general characteristics, serum virological indicators, biochemical parameters, and noninvasive fibrosis markers; the value of related serum virological indicators in predicting the results of high-sensitivity HBV DNA above the lower limit of detection were assessed; the influencing factors for failure to achieve CVR were analyzed. The independent-samples t test was used for comparison of normally distributed continuous data between two groups, and the Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed continuous data between two groups; the chi-square test or the Fisher’s exact test was used for comparison of categorical data between two groups. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to investigate the value of related serum virological indicators in predicting the results of high-sensitivity HBV DNA above the lower limit of detection, and a binary logistic regression analysis was used to investigate the influencing factors for failure to achieve CVR. ResultsA total of 106 CHB patients were enrolled, with 24 in the VLVL group and 82 in the CVR group. Compared with the CVR group, the VLVL group had a significantly younger age (P=0.004) and significantly higher quantitative hepatitis B surface antigen (qHBsAg) level (P=0.002), HBeAg positive rate (P=0.002), pgRNA positive rate (P=0.010), and alanine aminotransferase level (P=0.017). The qHBsAg level had an area under the ROC curve of 0.717 (P=0.002) in predicting the results of high-sensitivity HBV DNA above the lower limit of detection (>10 IU/mL), with an optimal cut-off value of 1 214.5 IU/mL, a sensitivity of 95.5%, and a specificity of 53.9%. Positive HBeAg (odds ratio [OR]=3.654, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.162 — 11.489, P=0.027) and qHBsAg (OR=2.985, 95%CI: 1.058 — 8.422, P=0.039) were independent influencing factors for failure to achieve CVR. ConclusionSome CHB patients have an HBV DNA load of <100 IU/mL by ordinary-sensitivity detection, but with the presence of VLVL determined by high-sensitivity PCR. The VLVL group had significantly higher level of inflammatory damage and positive rates of pgRNA and HBeAg. Positive HBeAg and high qHBsAg level are independent influencing factors for failure to achieve CVR. Clinicians should not ignore the presence of VLVL in CHB patients, and high-sensitivity HBV DNA detection should be performed in a timely manner.
7.Inhibitory Effect of Sesquiterpenoid M36 from Myrrha on Growth of Human Hepatoma Cells
Dongxiao LIU ; Yaxin LIU ; Huiming HUANG ; Lishan OUYANG ; Chaochao WANG ; Jinxin XIE ; Longyan WANG ; Xuejiao WEI ; Peng TAN ; Pengfei TU ; Jun LI ; Zhongdong HU
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2024;30(5):80-87
ObjectiveThe antitumor activity of sesquiterpenoid M36 isolated from Myrrha against human hepatoma HepG2 cells was investigated in this study. MethodHepG2 cells were treated with M36 at different concentrations (0, 2, 4, 6, 8, 10 μmol·L-1). Firstly, the effects of M36 on the proliferation of human hepatoma HepG2 cells were detected by methyl thiazolyl tetrazolium (MTT), colony formation assay, and EdU proliferation assay. Hoechst staining, flow cytometry analysis, and Western blot were used to explore the effect of M36 on the apoptosis of human hepatoma HepG2 cells. Acridine orange staining and western blotting were used to examine the effect of M36 on autophagy in HepG2 cells. Finally, Western blot was used to detect protein expression of cancer-related signaling pathways. ResultCompared with the blank group, M36 treatment significantly inhibited the proliferation of human hepatoma HepG2 cells (P<0.01), and the half inhibitory concentration (IC50) value of M36 for 48 h was 5.03 μmol·L-1, in a dose- and time-dependent manner. M36 was also able to induce apoptosis and autophagy in human hepatoma HepG2 cells. After treatment with 8 μmol·L-1 M36 for 48 hours, the apoptosis rate of HepG2 cells was (42.03±9.65)% (P<0.01). Compared with the blank group, HepG2 cells treated with 4 and 8 μmol·L-1 M36 for 48 h had a significant increase in cleaved poly ADP-ribose polymerase (cleaved-PARP) protein levels (P<0.01). Acridine orange staining showed that autophagy was significantly activated in HepG2 cells treated with 4 and 8 μmol·L-1 M36 for 48 h compared with the blank group (P<0.01), which was further verified by the up-regulation of microtubule-associated protein 1 light chain 3 Ⅱ (LC3 Ⅱ). Western blot results showed that compared with the blank group, the levels of phosphorylated extracellular regulated protein kinase (p-ERK), phosphorylated p38 mitogen-activated protein kinase (p-p38 MAPK), phosphorylated c-Jun N-terminal kinase (p-JNK), and its downstream nuclear transcription factors c-Jun and p-c-Jun protein were significantly increased in M36 group (P<0.05, P<0.01). The mechanism may be related to the up-regulation of MAPK signaling pathway. ConclusionThe sesquiterpenoid M36 isolated from Myrrha inhibits the proliferation of human hepatoma HepG2 cells and promotes apoptosis and autophagy, which may be related to the activation of the MAPK signaling pathway.
8.Research and practice of medical laboratory applied talent training program in local colleges and universities
Zhijian HU ; Feng HAN ; Wenjuan WANG ; Weiwei HE ; Fusheng XIE ; Liangliang OUYANG ; Weifang LIAO
Chinese Journal of Medical Education Research 2024;23(1):67-73
Objective:To analyze the implementation effects of a medical laboratory talent training program based on local colleges and universities' applied talent-oriented cultivation principal as well as students' interests and industry needs.Methods:Based on the design principals of clarifying the professional orientation, meeting the national standard, reconstructing the curriculum system, introducing the spirit of innovation and entrepreneurship, and multi-dimensional collaborative education, as well as the reverse design path of the outcome-based education concept, we have built a medical laboratory applied talent training system focusing on humanity education, solid foundation, broad employment, and good competency and in accordance with the "three complete education" strategy, along with measures including creating an applied teaching atmosphere, developing an applied curriculum teaching model, providing vocational guidance and improving vocational identity, and promoting education via evaluation. The system was applied to the training and practice of students of grades 2021 and 2022 majoring in medical laboratory technology. SPSS20.0 software was used for statistical analysis.Results:With the concept of application-oriented talent training and the "four-in-one" practical teaching model, students' skills were improved, and the training path was broadened. Compared with those trained with the original program (grades 2019-2020), the graduates trained with the new program (grades 2021-2022) showed a significantly decreased employment rate in medical laboratory jobs in medical institutions from 71.25% to 42.86% ( χ2=12.36, P<0.001), a significantly increased employment rate in in-vitro diagnostics industry from 3.75% to 17.14% ( χ2=7.44, P<0.05), and a significantly increased rate of applying for postgraduate education from 17.05% to 32.86% ( χ2=4.74, P<0.05). Conclusions:The medical laboratory talent training program based on the talent training principal of local colleges and universities combined with students' interests and industry needs can help improve the quality of talent training and broaden the employment path of graduates.
9.Diagnosis and Treatment Strategies for Severe Tumors in the Elderly
Liqiang WANG ; Haiyi DENG ; Ming LIU ; Xinqing LIN ; Xiaohong XIE ; Zhanhong XIE ; Yinyin QIN ; Ming OUYANG ; Chengzhi ZHOU
Herald of Medicine 2024;43(3):365-373
Patients with severe tumors do not refer to the patients with end-stage tumors,but rather to the patients with a performance status(PS)score between 2 and 4 in certain stages due to various reasons,such as acute or chronic comorbidities,tumor itself,or treatment-related adverse events.To these patients,there is a high probability of achieving survival benefit and/or improvement in PS scores after synergistic management of available life-support technologies and anti-tumor therapies based on dynamic and precise testing.Elderly patients with tumors frequently present with one or more chronic illnesses and have poor toler-ance and compliance to treatment.Moreover,their treatment regimens often lack high-quality clinical evidence,making them more susceptible to developing severe tumors.The management of severe tumors in the elderly is based on three basic diagnosis and treatment technologies:dynamic and precise detection,powerful life support technologies,and skillful application of current anti-tumor treatments.In specific clinical practice,the following 7 flexible and individualized treatment strategies should be adopted for different tumor types:1.concurrent management of cancer and comorbidities,2.upgrading and downgrading of anti-tumor drugs based on PS score,3.dynamic accurate detection,4.skillful combinations for increasing efficacy and reducing toxicity,5.complete overview,paying equal attention to systemic therapy and local therapy,6.safety first in medication for the elderly,7.multi-discipli-nary participation,individualized and comprehensive treatment.This article introduced the concept of severe tumors in the elderly and the associated management strategies,to increase awareness and provide feasible guidance for clinical practice.
10.Effects of three rehydration methods on prevention of on-site and delayed blood donation-related vasovagal responses: a cluster-randomized trial
Guiyun XIE ; Shijie LI ; Jian OUYANG ; Fanfan FENG ; Xiaoxiao ZHENG ; Zhiyu ZHOU ; Lianfang MAI ; Jinyan CHEN
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2024;37(1):43-50
【Objective】 To compare the effects of 3 rehydration methods before blood donation on the prevention of on-site and delayed blood donation-related vasovagal response (VVR) . 【Methods】 From January to June 2021, 6 250 whole blood donors in 6 fixed blood donation sites signed informed consent and were divided into 198 clusters according to donor sites and dates, then they were randomly assigned to receive either oral rehydration salts (ORS), sugar water, or water group, and each drank 500 mL of ORS, sugar water or water within 20 minutes before blood donation. The researchers recorded the actual intervention accepted on site, and recorded the immediate VVR and related information. At rest after blood donation, donors submitted an electronic questionnaire containing socio-demographic information. At 48 hours after blood donation, the researchers called back every donor to record delayed VVR and related information. Logistic regression based on intention to treat (ITT) was used to analyze the difference of the incidence of VVR among the three groups, and the average treatment effect on treated (ATT) was calculated. PASS 2021was used to estimate the sample size and R (4.2.0) for statistical analysis. 【Results】 The cumulative incidence of blood donation-related VVR was 2.67% (2.29%-3.11%) among street whole blood donors under the 3 rehydration methods, in which, the incidence of immediate and delayed VVR was 1.02% (0.79%-1.31%) and 1.65% (1.36%-2.01%) respectively. ITT analysis found that ORS were more effective than water in reducing the incidence of delayed VVR【OR=0.59,95% CI[0.37,0.94]】.There was no significant difference in the incidence of immediate VVR between any two groups (P > 0.05), and there was no significant difference in the incidence of delayed VVR in the sugar water group compared with the water group (P > 0.05). There was a difference of -0.013 (【95% CI[-0.022, -0.004]】or -0.008【95% CI[-0.017, -0.000]】in the incidence of delayed VVR in the ORS group compared with water group or sugar water group, the difference was significant (P<0.05). The cumulative VVR of the three groups showed similar results to the delayed VVR. 【Conclusion】 Drinking ORS before blood donation is the most effective rehydration method to prevent delayed VVR. The next step is to establish the predictive model of delayed VVR to screen the susceptible population and provide them with ORS before blood donation, while other population can choose any liquid they like, thus achieving personalized blood donation-related VVR prevention and control.

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