1.Application of time series and machine learning models in predicting the trend of sickness absenteeism among primary and secondary school students in Shanghai
WANG Zhengzhong, ZHANG Zhe, ZHOU Xinyi, YUAN Linlin, ZHAI Yani, SUN Lijing, LUO Chunyan
Chinese Journal of School Health 2025;46(3):426-430
Objective:
To analyze the temporal variation patterns of sickness absenteeism among primary and secondary school students in Shanghai, so as to explore models suitable for predicting peaks and intensity of absenteeism rates.
Methods:
The seasonal and trend decomposition using loess (STL) method was used to analyze the seasonal and long term trend changes in sickness absenteeism among primary and secondary school students from September 1 in 2010 to June 30 in 2018, in Shanghai. A hierarchical clustering method based on Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) was employed to classify absenteeism symptoms with similar temporal patterns. Based on historical data, the study constructed and evaluated different time series algorithms and machine learning models to optimize the accuracy of predicting the trend of sickness absenteeism.
Results:
During the research period, the average new absenteeism rate due to illness was 16.86 per 10 000 person day for every academic year, and the trend of sickness absenteeism exhibited both seasonality and a long term upward trend, reaching its highest point in the 2017 academic year (22.47 per 10 000 person day). The symptoms of absenteeism were divided into three categories: high incidence in winter and spring (respiratory symptoms, fever and general discomfort, etc.), high incidence in summer (eye symptoms, nosebleeds, etc.) and those without obvious seasonality (skin symptoms, accidental injuries, etc.).The constructed time series models effectively predicted the trend of absenteeism due to illness, although the accuracy of predicting peak intensity was relatively low. Among them, the multi layer perceptron (MLP) model performed the best, with an root mean squared error (RMSE) of 8.96 and an mean absolute error (MAE) of 4.37, reducing 36.51% and 39.02% compared to the baseline model.
Conclusion
Time series models and machine learning algorithms could effectively predict the trend of sickness absenteeism, and corresponding prevention and control measures can be taken for absenteeism caused by different symptoms during peak periods.
2.Association between biorhythm disorders and the co occurrence of health risk behaviors in adolescence
ZHAI Yani, WANG Xuelai, WAN Yuhui, TAO Fangbiao, SHEN Juhua, SUN Chongxiu, SUN Lijing, LUO Chunyan
Chinese Journal of School Health 2024;45(4):470-474
Objective:
To elucidate the association between biorhythm disorders and health risk behaviors in adolescence, so as to provide reference for appropriate interventions.
Methods:
From March to April 2023, 2 381 adolescents in Shanghai were selected as research objects using convenience sampling and stratified random cluster sampling methods. The Self rating Questionnaire of Biological Rhythm Disorders for Adolescents (SQBRDA) and the self report health risk behaviors questionnaire were used to investigate the status of adolescent biorhythm disorders and nine kinds of health risk behaviors, while a multivariate Logistic regression model was employed to analyze the association between the two variables.
Results:
The average SQBRDA score was (68.25±0.42) The incidence and detection rates of health risk behaviors in the groups with no co occurrence, mild co occurrence, moderate co occurrence, and severe co occurrence were 234(9.83%), 1 176(49.39%), 830(34.86%) and 141(5.92%), respectively. The total SQBRDA score was positively correlated with the risk of co occurrence of health risk behaviors. The risk of mild co occurrence, moderate co occurrence, and severe co occurrence of health risk behaviors was 9.05 times (95% CI =4.25-19.15, P <0.01), 44.55 times (95% CI =20.75-96.05, P <0.01) and 110.05 times (95% CI =40.65-297.95, P <0.01) higher, respectively, among adolescents with higher scores of biorhythm disorders compared to adolescents with lower scores of biorhythm disorders.
Conclusions
Health risk behaviors among adolescents in Shanghai draw attention to a serious phenomenon whereby biorhythm disorders are positively correlated with the risk of co occurrence. Comprehensive interventions aimed at addressing adolescent health risk behaviors should focus on regulating biorhythm disorders.
3.Association between dietary habits and sleep duration among middle school students in Shanghai
YIN Xiaoya, ZHAI Yani, YUAN Linlin, YAN Qiong, ZHOU Xinyi, LUO Chunyan, SUN Lijing
Chinese Journal of School Health 2024;45(8):1140-1143
Objective:
To explore the association between dietary behaviors and sleep duration among middle school students in Shanghai, so as to provide reference for interventions targeting insufficient sleep.
Methods:
From May to June 2021, a stratified cluster random sampling method was employed to select a sample of 10-17yearold middle school students for monitoring their healthrisk behaviors. A total of 5 538 valid questionnaires were collected. The survey included items such as daily sleep duration, weekly consumption of sugary beverages, freshly squeezed fruit juice, fresh fruits, fresh vegetables, fried foods, milk and yogurt, breakfast habits, and frequency of eating outside. Statistical analysis was conducted using Chisquare test, Wilcoxon ranksum test, and multivariable Logistic regression model.
Results:
About 73.7% of middle school students reported insufficient sleep in Shanghai. There was a positive correlation between the average daily consumption of fresh fruits and breakfast consumption with sleep duration. In other words, a higher frequency of consuming fresh fruits (OR=1.29) and eating breakfast (OR=1.07) were associated with a higher likelihood of sufficient sleep. Conversely, there was a negative correlation between the frequency of consuming desserts (OR=0.78) and fried foods (OR=0.88) and sleep duration (P<0.05).
Conclusions
Increasing the consumption of fresh fruits and maintaining regular breakfast habits while reducing the intake of fried foods can contribute to achieving sufficient sleep among middle school students. When implementing interventions to improve sleep among middle school students, promoting healthy and balanced diets can be considered as one of the intervention strategies.
4.Analysis of bullying prevalence and associated factors among middle school students in Shanghai
LI Shuman, ZHOU Xinyi, YAN Qiong, ZHANG Zhe, ZHAI Yani, LUO Chunyan, SUN Lijing
Chinese Journal of School Health 2024;45(11):1555-1559
Objective:
To explore the current status and associated factors of bullying behavior among middle school students in Shanghai, so as to provide a reference basis for carrying out bullying intervention work.
Methods:
From May to June 2021, a stratified cluster sampling method was used to select 19 000 middle school students from 63 schools in 16 districts of Shanghai, and the Shanghai Youth Health Risk Behavior Survey Questionnaire was used to conduct an anonymous questionnaire survey of enrolled students. Chi square test and binary Logistic regression analysis were employed to investigate the associated factors of bullying among middle school students.
Results:
The prevalence of bullying behaviors in Shanghai was 15.5%, with males and junior high school students exhibiting the higher reporting rate(19.5%,17.2%). And malicious teasing or name calling had the highest reported rate at 9.4%. The results of binary Logistic regression analysis showed that fighting ( OR =5.02), attempting to smoke ( OR =3.22), having a feeling of sadness and hopelessness ( OR =2.50) and getting drunk( OR =1.72) were positively associated with bullying behavior among middle school students. Fighting ( OR =3.83-8.97), attempting to smoke ( OR =2.92-5.52), having a feeling of sadness and hopelessness ( OR =2.40-4.34), and getting drunk ( OR =1.66-2.34) were positively correlated with 6 forms of bullying (malicious teasing or name calling, intentionally damaging someone else s belongings, deliberately excluding someone from activities or isolating someone, threatening or intimidating others, hitting, kicking, or pushing someone, and verbally harassing or attacking someone online) ( P <0.05).
Conclusions
Bullying behavior of middle school students in Shanghai primarily presents as verbal harassment. In the future, greater attention should be directed towards bullies, and it should recognize potential hazards promptly and implement precise intervention measures.
5.Expression and role of deleted in malignant brain tumor protein 1 in acute respiratory distress syndrome rats induced by sepsis
Chen GE ; Yifan ZHANG ; Hongwei JIA ; Yuquan LUO ; Yiwen ZU ; Zhiwei YANG ; Lijing JIA ; Jingmei WANG ; Quansheng DU
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2023;35(2):152-157
Objective:To observe the expression of deleted in malignant brain tumor protein 1 (DMBT1) in rat acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) model induced by sepsis and its relationship with ARDS related biomarkers.Methods:Forty-eight healthy male rats were randomly divided into sham operation group (Sham group) and ARDS model group, and the rats in each group were further divided into three subgroups at 6, 12 and 24 hours after operation, with 8 rats in each subgroup. The rats in the Sham group were exposed to the cecum only, and sepsis induced ARDS model was reproduced by cecal ligation and puncture (CLP) in the ARDS model group. The general performance was observed at 6, 12, 24 hours after operation. Abdominal aortic blood of rats was collected, and the levels of DMBT1, surfactant-associated protein D (SP-D), vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF), interleukins (IL-6, IL-10) in serum were determined by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). The lung tissues were collected, and the lung wet/dry weight (W/D) ratio was determined. The lung tissue pathological changes were observed under light microscope after hematoxylin-eosin (HE) staining, and the lung tissue injury score was evaluated. The expression of DMBT1 protein in lung tissue was determined by Western blotting. The relationship between the serum DMBT1 and SP-D, VEGF, IL-6, IL-10, lung tissue injury score were analyzed by Pearson correlation analysis.Results:Rats in the ARDS model group showed obvious pathological manifestations after operation. The alveolar structure destruction, inflammatory cell infiltration, and alveolar hemorrhage were observed under microscope. Compared with the Sham group, the lung tissue injury score and the lung W/D ratio at 12 hours after operation in the ARDS model group were significantly increased (lung tissue injury score: 3.35±0.13 vs. 1.16±0.07, lung W/D ratio: 5.36±0.44 vs. 4.38±0.35, both P < 0.05), and pulmonary edema was present, which suggested that the ARDS model caused by CLP was successfully reproduced. The results of ELISA and Western blotting showed that the levels of serum DMBT1, SP-D, VEGF and IL-6 in the ARDS model group increased gradually with time, while the level of IL-10 increased first and then decreased. Compared with the Sham group, the levels of DMBT1 in serum and the expressions of DMBT1 protein in lung tissue in the ARDS model group were significantly increased from 6 hours after operation [serum (ng/L) : 231.96±19.17 vs. 187.44±10.19, lung tissue (DMBT1/β-actin): 2.05±0.19 vs. 0.93±0.25, both P < 0.05], and the levels of SP-D, VEGF, IL-6 and IL-10 in serum were significantly increased from 12 hours after operation [SP-D (ng/L): 73.35±8.05 vs. 43.28±5.77, VEGF (ng/L): 89.85±8.47 vs. 43.19±5.11, IL-6 (ng/L): 36.01±2.48 vs. 17.49±1.77, IL-10 (ng/L): 84.55±8.41 vs. 39.83±5.02, all P < 0.05]. Pearson correlation analysis showed that serum DMBT1 was positively correlated with serum SP-D, VEGF, IL-6, IL-10 and lung injury score at 12 hours and 24 hours in the ARDS model group (12 hours: r values were 0.946, 0.942, 0.931, 0.936, 0.748, respectively; 24 hours: r values were 0.892, 0.945, 0.951, 0.918, 0.973, respectively; all P < 0.05). Conclusion:DMBT1 is a novel early biomarker of ARDS by affecting alveolar epithelial cell, alveolar capillary permeability and inflammatory response.
6.Analysis of traffic injury and associated risk behaviors among secondary school students in Shanghai City
ZHOU Xinyi, ZHOU Yuefang, SUN Lijing,YUAN Linlin, ZHANG Zhe, ZHAI Yani, LUO Chunyan
Chinese Journal of School Health 2023;44(12):1867-1872
Objective:
To investigate incidence of traffic injury and its associated factors among secondary school students in Shanghai, so as to provide scientific basis for intervention.
Methods:
Using the method of multi stage stratified random cluster sampling, an on-the-spot anonymous questionnaire survey was conducted among 19 629 adolescents from 16 districts in Shanghai from May to June 2021. The multivariate Logistic regression was used to analyze possible associated factors.
Results:
The rate of road traffic injuries among secondary school students in Shanghai was 0.74%, the highest reporting rate among secondary vocational school students (1.35%), followed by junior high school students (0.72%), and the lowest reporting rate of road traffic injuries among senior high school students (0.55%), with statistically significant differences ( χ 2=13.39, P <0.01). The results of multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that the junior high school ( OR =0.56, 95% CI =0.35-0.89) or senior high school ( OR = 0.40 , 95% CI =0.24-0.68) and residential school ( OR =0.39, 95% CI =0.18-0.88) were protective factors of road traffic injuries( P <0.05). Male ( OR =1.65, 95% CI =1.14-2.37), unaware of seat belt ( OR =6.38, 95% CI =2.81-14.50), had a cycling chase/fight ( OR =2.33, 95% CI =1.39-3.90), music or phone calls on a bicycle ( OR =2.54, 95% CI =1.72-3.75) were positively correlated with road traffic injury( P <0.05).
Conclusions
The road traffic injury among secondary school students in Shanghai is related to many factors, and traffic hazards are common among students in all school sections. Targeted measures should be taken to strengthen traffic safety knowledge education and intervention in healthy behaviors among adolescents, in order to reduce the incidence of road traffic injury.
7.Trend of diet related behaviors among secondary school students in Shanghai, 2008-2019
YUE Guizhen, SUN Lijing, YANG Dongling, YAN Qiong, YANG Yanting, LUO Chunyan
Chinese Journal of School Health 2023;44(6):845-849
Objective:
To understand the prevalence and trend of diet related behaviors among secondary school students in Shanghai, and to provide a scientific basis for developing appropriate health education strategies.
Methods:
Anonymous questionnaire surveys were conducted among 71 291 students selected by multi stage stratified cluster sampling method from junior high schools,senior high schools and vocational schools in Shanghai in the year of 2008,2012,2015,2017,2019. The questionnaire adopted was "Shanghai adolescent health related behavior questionnaire". Test for trend test were applied for the analysis of the prevalence of their dietary behaviors.
Results:
The proportion of middle school students nutritional status within the normal range in each survey year were 73.40 %, 72.60%, 68.06%, 68.73%, 67.53%, respectively, while the rate of overweight and obesity increased from 13.17% in 2008 to 23.73% in 2019. The proportion of "eating fried food" decreased significantly by year, from 12.05 % to 4.23% (male, APC=-7.94%, t =-4.33, female, APC= -9.29%, t=-7.71, P <0.05) respectively. And the proportion of "eating dessert" also decreased significantly by year, from 31.66% to 11.14% (male, APC=-8.41%, t =-6.37, female, APC=-8.67%, t=-6.96, P <0.05). In the five surveys, the percentages of healthy diet related behaviors of secondary school students were 12.81%-21.82%, no significant upward trend was observed in the whole( P >0.05). The proportion of diet-related behaviors of nutrition unbalance and easily leading to obesity decreased significantly from 35.47% to 17.00%(APC=-6.71%, t= -5.00 , P <0.05). The proportion of diet related behavior of nutrition unbalance and not easily leading to obesity increased significantly from 39.15% to 60.16%(APC=3.46%, t=6.18, P <0.05).
Conclusion
Overweight and obesity among secondary school students in Shanghai are increasing during the past decade, and the proportion of healthy dietary behaviors is low. The knowledge of rational diet should be publicized among these students in order to develop healthy dietary behaviors.
8.Correlation between depressive symptoms and sleep quality among middle school students in Shanghai
Lijing SUN ; Yuefang ZHOU ; Zhe ZHANG ; Wenjuan QI ; Yani ZHAI ; Chunyan LUO
Journal of Environmental and Occupational Medicine 2022;39(10):1128-1133
Background The correlation between depression and sleep quality is well established in adults, but similar evidence is lacking in adolescents. Objective To study the sleep quality, the positive rate of depressive symptoms, and their correlation among middle school students in Shanghai, so as to provide a basis for providing mental health and sleep management to this group of students. Methods From September to November 2020, using multi-stage stratified cluster random sampling method, a total of 7796 students from 32 middle schools in 16 districts of Shanghai were selected to conduct a questionnaire survey. The questionnaire for middle school students of the 2020 Shanghai Students’ Common Diseases and Health Influencing Factors Surveillance was used to collect students' demographic information, history of smoking, history of drinking, and history of chronic diseases; the Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index was used to assess sleep quality; and the Center for Epidemiological Studies Depression Scale was used to evaluate depressive symptoms. χ2 test was used to compare qualitative data between groups. Binary logistic regression was used to analyze the correlation between sleep quality and depressive symptoms among middle school students in Shanghai. Results After excluding incomplete questionnaires, a total of 7160 valid questionnaires were collected. The average sleep time of middle school students in Shanghai was (7.54±1.15) h. Among them, 84.8% reported insufficient sleep time < 9 h, and only 15.2% reported sleep time ≥9 h. In addition, 9.2% of the students had poor sleep quality (Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index ≥8 points). The sleep quality of urban students was worse than that of suburban students. The sleep quality of girls was worse than that of boys. The sleep quality of students in the third grade of middle school was worse than that of students in the first and second grades of middle school. Students with smoking history, drinking history, and chronic disease history had worse sleep quality than those without (P<0.05). The positive rate of depressive symptoms among middle school students in Shanghai was 22.2%, among which 7.0% reported possible depressive symptoms and 15.2% reported definite depressive symptoms. The positive rate of depressive symptoms in female students (26.1%) was higher than that in male students (18.5%); among different grades of middle school, the positive rate of depressive symptoms of the third grade middle school students was the highest (24.1%); the positive rates of depressive symptoms in students with smoking history, drinking history, and chronic disease history were higher than those without; the positive rate of depressive symptoms was higher in students with poor sleep quality (P<0.05). The results of logistic regression analysis indicated that the students with poor sleep quality showed higher risks of reporting depressive symptoms, and the OR (95%CI) was 17.064 (14.024-20.764). Conclusion The positive rates of poor sleep quality and depressive symptoms of middle school students in Shanghai are high, and there is a significant correlation between these two indicators. For students’ mental health and sleep management, more attention should be paid to the quality in addition to the quantity of sleep.
9.Construction of risk assessment index system of epidemic infectious diseases in primary and middle schools
SUN Lijing, ZHAI Yani, ZHOU Yuefang, ZHANG Zhe, LU Yinhao, LUO Chunyan
Chinese Journal of School Health 2022;43(8):1257-1262
Objective:
To establish a risk assessment index system for epidemic infectious diseases in primary and secondary schools, for early warning and prevention of school infectious diseases accurately and timely.
Methods:
Through literature review, the indicators pool was established by consulting relevant experts and referring to practical experience. Then two rounds of expert consultation using the Delphi method were conducted(13 experts of round 1, and 20 experts of round 2). The concentration of expert opinions (the average, the percentage of full marks) and the coordination of expert opinions (the coefficient of variation, the coordination coefficient W ) were calculated and analyzed. The coordination coefficient W was obtained by nonparametric Kendall s W test of multiple samples. According to the experts feedback, necessary addition, reduction and modification of the indicators were carried out to determine the evaluation index system, and the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) was used to calculate the weight of each indicator.
Results:
The expert authority coefficients of the two rounds of consultation were 0.89 and 0.88, respectively, and the form recovery rate was 100%. The range of the variation coefficient of each three level indicator was 0.07-0.31 and 0.06-0.19, and the coordination coefficient W was 0.25 and 0.47, respectively, indicating that the consistency and credibility of expert opinions were good. Finally, the risk assessment index system of infectious diseases in primary and secondary schools was established, which was composed of 5 first level indexes, 23 second level indexes and 86 third level indexes. The AHP was used to calculate the intra level weight of the index. The variation coefficient of five first level indicators of school health management and security system, school health personnel facilities, health monitoring and cognition level, severity and coping measures were 0.09, 0.06, 0.08, 0.12 and 0.06 , respectively, and the weight coefficients were 20.42%, 21.19%, 19.87%, 17.45% and 21.08%, respectively.
Conclusion
The risk assessment index system of school infectious diseases is applicable to primary and secondary schools. The initiative, coordination and authority of experts in this system are all high. It is of practical guiding significance for the early warning of infectious diseases in primary and secondary schools.
10.Investigation on the establishment of health care institutions and the need for personnel capacity improvement in primary and secondary schools in Shanghai
SUN Lijing, LUO Chunyan, ZHANG Zhe, ZHOU Xinyi, ZHOU Yuefang
Chinese Journal of School Health 2022;43(6):937-940
Objective:
To investigate the establishment of health care institutions and the staffing primary and secondary school health care in Shanghai, and to understand the capacity building needs of health care personnel.
Methods:
A survey was conducted on all primary and secondary schools in Shanghai from April to August in 2020. The content of the questionnaire covers the establishment of health care institutions, the staffing of school health care centers and the capacity building need of health care personnel. Chi square test was used to compare the difference of the health care institutions setting and staffing by schools and areas.
Results:
In 2020, there were 1 847 primary and secondary schools in Shanghai (including branches schools). About 51.4% of primary and secondary schools in Shanghai were equipped with school health care personnel in the ratio of the number of students at least 600∶1 , and the staffing compliance rate of urban schools (59.3%) was higher than that of suburban schools (47.3%)( χ 2=24.27, P <0.01). All school health care personnel believed that there are currently few opportunities for capacity buliding services from health facilities.
Conclusion
School health care institutions in Shanghai are well equipped, but the staffing shortage is substantial, with strong need for capacity building.


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