1.Analysis of notifiable infectious diseases in Zhejiang Province in 2024
DING Zheyuan ; YANG Yan ; FU Tianying ; LU Qinbao ; WANG Xinyi ; WU Haocheng ; LIU Kui ; LIN Junfen ; WU Chen
Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;37(5):433-438,442
Objective:
To investigate the epidemic situation of notifiable infectious diseases in Zhejiang Province in 2024, so as to summarize the epidemic characteristics.
Methods:
Data of notifiable infectious diseases cases in Zhejiang Province from January 1 to December 31, 2024 were collected from the Infectious Disease Surveillance System of Chinese Disease Prevention and Control Information System. The epidemiological characteristics were analyzed according to the classification and transmission routes using the descriptive epidemiological method.
Results:
A total of 32 types of notifiable infectious diseases with 1 858 695 cases and 392 deaths were reported in Zhejiang Province in 2024, with a reported incidence of 2 804.73/105 and a reported mortality of 0.591 5/100 000. A total of 238 infectious disease public health emergencies were reported, of which 218 (91.60%) occurred in schools and kindergartens. There were 22 types of class A and B notifiable infectious diseases reported, with incidence of 470.62/100 000 and mortality of 0.591 5/100 000. Totally 10 types of class C notifiable infectious diseases, with a reported incidence of 2 334.11/105, and no deaths were reported. Classified by transmission route, respiratory infectious diseases had the highest reported incidence of 2 423.87/100 000, among which influenza exhibited the highest reported incidence of 2 024.22/100 000. The reported incidence of intestinal infectious diseases was 312.94/105, among which the incidence of other infectious diarrhea and hand-foot-mouth disease (HFMD) were high, with reported incidences of 169.52/100 000 and 136.18/100 000, respectively. Blood-borne and sexually transmitted infectious diseases accounted for the largest number of reported deaths, among which AIDS had the highest mortality of 0.424 0/100 000. Natural and insect-borne infectious diseases exhibited a low reported incidence of 1.37/105. The reported incidence of dengue fever was 0.40/100 000, and 95.08% of the cases were imported.
Conclusions
The reported incidence of respiratory and intestinal infectious diseases and the reported mortality of AIDS were high in Zhejiang Province in 2024. It is recommended to strengthen the prevention and control of infectious diseases such as influenza, other infectious diarrhea, and HMFD in schools and kindergartens.
2.Analysis of notifiable infectious diseases in Zhejiang Province in 2023
FU Tianying ; WU Haocheng ; LU Qinbao ; DING Zheyuan ; WANG Xinyi ; YANG Ke ; WU Chen ; LIN Junfen
Journal of Preventive Medicine 2024;36(5):369-373
Objective:
To investigate epidemiological characteristics of notifiable infectious diseases in Zhejiang Province in 2023, so as to provide the evidence for strengthening prevention and control of infectious diseases.
Methods:
Data pertaining to notifiable infectious diseases reported in Zhejiang Province in 2023 were retrieved from the Infectious Disease Surveillance System of Chinese Disease Prevention and Control Information System. The incidence and mortality were analyzed according to the classification of notifiable infectious diseases and transmission routes, and epidemiological characteristics of infectious diseases were descriptively analyzed.
Results:
Thirty types of notifiable infectious diseases with 2 955 699 cases and 427 deaths were reported in Zhejiang Province in 2023, with a reported incidence rate of 4 493.93/105 and a reported mortality rate of 0.649 2/105. A total of 679 notifiable infectious disease emergencies were reported, with 26 514 cases and 1 case death (rabies). The emergencies mainly occurred in schools and preschool institutions, with 621 cases accounting for 91.46%. There were 1 case of cholera reported in class A notifiable infectious diseases and no death, 22 types of class B notifiable infectious diseases, with a reported incidence rate of 552.46/105 and a reported mortality rate of 0.644 7/105, and 8 types of class C notifiable infectious diseases, with a reported incidence rate of 3 941.48/105 and a reported mortality rate of 0.004 6/105. The incidence rates of respiratory, intestinal, blood-borne and sexually transmitted, natural and insect-borne infectious diseases were 4 028.67/105, 381.59/105, 81.15/105 and 1.35/105, respectively, according to transmission routes. Influenza (3 561.78/105) and COVID-19 (423.77/105) reported the highest incidence, and AIDS (0.477 4/105) and tuberculosis (0.130 8/105) reported the highest mortality.
Conclusion
The incidence rates of respiratory and intestinal infectious diseases were high in Zhejiang Province in 2023, and schools and preschool institutions were the main places of diseases occurred.
3.Characteristics of public health emergencies in Zhejiang Province in 2023
LU Qinbao ; WU Haocheng ; WU Chen ; FU Tianying ; DING Zheyuan ; WANG Xinyi ; YANG Ke ; LIN Junfen
Journal of Preventive Medicine 2024;36(6):487-490
Objective:
To investigate the characteristics of public health emergencies in Zhejiang Province in 2023, so as to provide the reference for public health risk management.
Methods:
Data of public health emergencies and related information in Zhejiang Province from January 1 to December 31, 2023 was collected through Emergency Public Reporting System of Chinese Disease Prevention and Control Information System. Attack rates, disease types, distribution of time and places, and responses were descriptively analyzed.
Results:
A total of 718 public health emergencies were reported in 2023 in Zhejiang Province, and all were infectious disease events. There were 27 128 reported cases and 3 deaths, with an attack rate of 3.22%. The top five infectious diseases with the highest number of reported events were influenza, norovirus infection, monkeypox, varicella and hand, foot and mouth disease, accounting for 95.54% of total reported events. There were 355 public health emergencies with less than 30 cases each, accounting for 49.44%. The reported emergencies peaked from February to March (186 events, 25.91%) and from November to December (327 events, 45.54%), and mainly occurred in schools and preschool institutions (651 events, 90.67%). The median responding time, reporting time and duration of emergencies were 6.50 (interquartile range, 10.84) h, 0.53 (interquartile range, 0.63) h and 7.24 (interquartile range, 11.71) d, respectively.
Conclusion
Public health emergencies in Zhejiang Province in 2023 were mainly caused by influenza and norovirus infection, with February, March, November and December being the peak reporting periods, and schools and preschool institutions being the main places where these events occurred.
4.Factors influencing medical narrative competence and its correlation with psychological resilience in pediatric staff
Xuelian ZHOU ; Ke HUANG ; Hu LIN ; Li ZHANG ; Zhaoyuan WU ; Yuanyuan MENG ; Wei WU ; Guanping DONG ; Junjun JIA ; Junfen FU
Chinese Journal of Medical Education Research 2024;23(3):321-326
Objective:To investigate the medical narrative competence of pediatric staff, and analyze its influencing factors and correlation with psychological resilience, and to discuss strategies to improve narrative competence.Methods:From January 11 to February 25, 2022, by convenience sampling, we sampled pediatric personnel and those on refresher training at Children's Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine for a questionnaire survey involving general information, the narrative competence scale, and the 14-item resilience scale. With the use of SPSS 26.0, the narrative competence of different populations was compared, and factors affecting narrative competence were determined through Pearson correlation analysis and multiple regression analysis.Results:A total of 361 valid questionnaires were included in this study, and there was significant differences in the narrative competence score between different ages, professional titles, working years, income levels, and whether they wrote parallel charts ( P<0.05). The total score of narrative competence of pediatric staffs was (147.13±18.76), and positively correlated with the total resilience score and the score of each dimension ( P≤0.001). The regression analysis showed that writing parallel charts and resilience could explain 53.10% of the variation in narrative competence ( P<0.001). Conclusions:Pediatric staff's narrative competence is at low or intermediate levels. Parallel chart writing and resilience training can improve narrative competence and promote a harmonious doctor-patient relationship.
5.Construction and application of a staged early warning model for dengue fever
Ruoyun TAN ; Fudong LI ; Haiyan MA ; Junfen LIN
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2024;58(11):1783-1788
To achieve early warning of dengue fever from multiple sources and improve the ability to detect and identify dengue fever outbreaks timely, we took Hangzhou as an example and proposed the possibility of early warning of dengue fever. This study divided early warning of dengue fever into three stages: early warning of epidemic source, epidemic symptom, and epidemic. The early warning of epidemic source and epidemic symptom were emphasized to provide reference for other similar studies. Our findings showed that the staged warning of dengue fever was meaningful. Combining the source early warning with the symptom early warning could improve the sensitivity of the warning. Monthly warning can be used as a supplement to weekly warning.
6.Construction and application of a staged early warning model for dengue fever
Ruoyun TAN ; Fudong LI ; Haiyan MA ; Junfen LIN
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2024;58(11):1783-1788
To achieve early warning of dengue fever from multiple sources and improve the ability to detect and identify dengue fever outbreaks timely, we took Hangzhou as an example and proposed the possibility of early warning of dengue fever. This study divided early warning of dengue fever into three stages: early warning of epidemic source, epidemic symptom, and epidemic. The early warning of epidemic source and epidemic symptom were emphasized to provide reference for other similar studies. Our findings showed that the staged warning of dengue fever was meaningful. Combining the source early warning with the symptom early warning could improve the sensitivity of the warning. Monthly warning can be used as a supplement to weekly warning.
7.Factors affecting cataract among the elderly population
WANG Qianqian ; ZHANG Tao ; LI Fudong ; LIN Junfen ; HE Fan ; YU Min ; CAO Yifei
Journal of Preventive Medicine 2023;35(4):311-315
Objective:
To investigate the factors affecting cataract among the elderly, so as to provide insights into cataract control.
Methods:
Based on the major public health monitoring project of Zhejiang Province, residents at ages of 60 years and older were selected from 7 districts (counties) using a multi-stage stratified cluster random sampling method, and were followed up every other year from 2014 to 2020. Demographics, lifestyle, dietary habits and cataract incidence were collected, and factors affecting the incidence of cataract were identified using a multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression model.
Results:
Totally 9 642 residents were investigated, with a mean age of (68.89±7.39) years, and including 4 635 males (48.07%). There were 828 incident cataract cases, with an incidence rate of 20.946/1 000 person-years. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression analysis showed that women (HR=1.695, 95%CI: 1.377-2.088), age of 65 years and older (HR=1.707-5.044, 95%CI: 1.400-7.327), overweight/obesity (HR=1.313, 95%CI: 1.131-1.524), educational level (primary school, HR=1.642, 95%CI: 1.400, 1.926; junior high school, HR=1.553, 95%CI: 1.148-2.102), annual family income (10 000 to 50 000 Yuan, HR=1.353, 95%CI: 1.155-1.585; 50 000 to 100 000 Yuan, HR=0.663, 95%CI: 0.500-0.881; 100 000 to 150 000 Yuan, HR=0.340, 95%CI: 0.204-0.565), smoking (HR=0.649, 95%CI: 0.494-0.853), frequency of vegetable intake of >3 days/week (HR=0.693, 95%CI: 0.527-0.912), frequency of fruit intake of >3 days/ week (HR=0.833, 95%CI: 0.694-0.899), frequency of egg intake of >3 days/week (HR=0.579, 95%CI: 0.450-0.745), frequency of soy products intake of >3 days/week (HR=0.706, 95%CI: 0.588-0.849), frequency of dairy products intake of >3 days/week (HR=1.510, 95%CI: 1.199-1.901) and frequency of nut intake of >3 days/week (HR=1.733, 95%CI: 1.162-2.586) were statistically associated with the development of cataract among the elderly.
Conclusion
Gender, age, body mass index, educational level, income, smoking, and frequency of vegetables, fruits, eggs, soy products, dairy products and nuts intake are associated with the development of cataracts.
8.Prevalence of depressive symptoms among grassroots healthcare workers in Zhejiang Province
LUO Kemeng ; LI Sheng ; LÜ ; Menglian ; LIN Junfen
Journal of Preventive Medicine 2023;35(10):881-884
Objective:
To investigate the prevalence and influencing factors of depressive symptoms among grassroots healthcare workers in Zhejiang Province, so as to provide insights into improving their mental health.
Methods:
Grassroots healthcare workers of community health service centers and township health centers were sampled from one county (city, district) in each of 11 cities in Zhejiang Province using a convenience sampling method from December 2022 to January 2023. Participants' gender, age, educational level and average daily sleep duration in the past week were collected through questionnaires, and depression symptoms was investigated according to Self-rating Depression Scale. Factors affecting the depressive symptoms were identified using a multivariable logistic regression model.
Results:
A total of 1 946 questionnaires were distributed, and 1 945 valid questionnaires were recovered, with an effective response rate of 99.95%. There were 444 boys, accounting for 22.83%, and 1 501 girls, accounting for 77.17%. The median age was was 36 (interquartile range, 44) years. There were 786 healthcare workers detected with depressive symptoms, with a prevalence rate of 40.41%, and the prevalence rates of mild, moderate and severe depressive symptoms were 26.94%, 10.49% and 2.98%, respectively. Multivariable logistic regression analysis identified age (50 years and older, OR=0.572, 95%CI: 0.386-0.846), annual income (100 000 to 149 999 Yuan, OR=0.780, 95%CI: 0.635-0.958; 150 000 to 199 999 Yuan, OR=0.463, 95%CI: 0.282-0.760; 200 000 Yuan and above, OR=0.303, 95%CI: 0.098-0.937), vocation (nurse, OR=1.593, 95%CI: 1.252-2.027) and sleep duration (less than 7 hours, OR=2.164, 95%CI: 1.768-2.648) as factors affecting depressive symptoms among grassroots healthcare workers in Zhejiang Province.
Conclusions
The prevalence of depressive symptoms among grassroots healthcare workers in Zhejiang Province is 40.41%. Age, annual income, job and sleep duration may affect the development of depressive symptoms among grassroots healthcare workers.
9.Expert consensus on recombinant B subunit/inactivated whole-cell cholera vaccine in preventing infectious diarrhea of enterotoxigenic Escherichia coli
Chai JI ; Yu HU ; Mingyan LI ; Yan LIU ; Yuyang XU ; Hua YU ; Jianyong SHEN ; Jingan LOU ; Wei ZHOU ; Jie HU ; Zhiying YIN ; Jingjiao WEI ; Junfen LIN ; Zhenyu SHEN ; Ziping MIAO ; Baodong LI ; Jiabing WU ; Xiaoyuan LI ; Hongmei XU ; Jianming OU ; Qi LI ; Jun XIANG ; Chen DONG ; Haihua YI ; Changjun BAO ; Shicheng GUO ; Shaohong YAN ; Lili LIU ; Zengqiang KOU ; Shaoying CHANG ; Shaobai ZHANG ; Xiang GUO ; Xiaoping ZHU ; Ying ZHANG ; Bangmao WANG ; Shuguang CAO ; Peisheng WANG ; Zhixian ZHAO ; Da WANG ; Enfu CHEN
Chinese Journal of Clinical Infectious Diseases 2023;16(6):420-426
Enterotoxigenic Escherichia coli(ETEC)infection can induce watery diarrhea,leading to dehydration,electrolyte disturbance,and even death in severe cases. Recombinant B subunit/inactivated whole-cell cholera(rBS/WC)vaccine is effective in preventing ETEC infectious diarrhea. On the basis of the latest evidence on etiology and epidemiology of ETEC,as well as the effectiveness,safety,and health economics of rBS/WC vaccine,National Clinical Research Center for Child Health(The Children’s Hospital,Zhejiang University School of Medicine)and Zhejiang Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention invited experts to develop expert consensus on rBS/WC vaccine in prevention of ETEC infectious diarrhea. It aims to provide the clinicians and vaccination professionals with guidelines on using rBS/WC vaccine to reduce the incidence of ETEC infectious diarrhea.
10.The Prediction model of herpangina epidemic trend based on Baidu index and hand, foot and mouth disease
Haocheng WU ; Qinbao LU ; Zheyuan DING ; Xinyi WANG ; Tianying FU ; Ke YANG ; Chen WU ; Junfen LIN
Journal of Preventive Medicine 2022;34(3):217-221
Objective:
To establish a prediction model of herpangina epidemic trend based on Baidu index and hand, foot and mouth disease, so as to provide insights into analyses of communicable disease epidemics with limited or missing surveillance data.
Methods:
The incidence of hand, foot and mouth disease in Zhejiang Province during the period from the first week of 2015 through the 39th week of 2021 was retrieved from the China Information System for Disease Control and Prevention, and the Baidu index of hand, foot and mouth disease and herpangina was collected via the Baidu search engine during the same period. The correlation between the Baidu index and time series of hand, foot and mouth disease was examined using wavelet analysis. In addition, a random forest training model was created based on the Baidu index and incidence of hand, foot and mouth disease, and the fitting effectiveness was evaluated using the mean percentage error, while the Baidu index of herpangina was included in the model to predict the epidemic trend of herpangina during the study period.
Results:
The Baidu index of herpangina and hand, foot and mouth disease, and the Baidu index and incidence of hand, foot and mouth disease all appeared two peaks at the 26th and 52th week. The phase difference was less than 0.1 week between the Baidu index and time series of hand, foot and mouth disease, and the mean percentage error of the training model was 13.07%, with high concordance between the predicted number and actual report number of cases with hand, foot and mouth disease. The numbers of herpangina cases were predicted to be 28 822, 27 341, 28 422, 51 782, 52 457 and 5 691 from 2015 to 2020, and there were totally 48 702 herpangina cases reported until the 39th week of 2021. Like hand, foot and mouth disease, the incidence of herpangina peaked between May and July.
Conclusion
The random forest training model based on the Baidu index and incidence of hand, foot and mouth disease is feasible to predict the epidemic trend of herpangina.


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