1.Perceptions of transanal total mesorectal excision surgical quality and patient screening
Chinese Journal of Gastrointestinal Surgery 2024;27(6):564-568
As a rapid developing rectal cancer procedure that has been in existence for more than a decade, transanal total mesorectal excision (taTME) has had a rough experience along the way, suggesting the importance of improving its surgical quality. In the current view of quality control of taTME, its main advantages are that it could increase the distance of distal margins, reduce the positive rate of circumferential margins, and improve the quality of total mesorectal excision. As few high-quality clinical studies have been conducted, the limitations brought about by confounding bias and publication bias that could not be excluded in current published studies call for a cautious interpretation of the current conclusions. At this stage taTME is only recommended in highly selective patients and centers. Under these circumstances, we aim to discuss the quality assessment of the taTME procedure and the selection of patients and centers. Based on current evidence and practical experience, we typically select patients with difficult pelvis, low rectal cancer, and/or those requiring direct visual recognition of the distal margin after neoadjuvant chemoradiation to perform taTME in our center.
2.Effects of tumor location and mismatch repair on clinicopathological features and survival for non‐metastatic colon cancer: A retrospective, single center, cohort study
Zhen SUN ; Weixun ZHOU ; Kexuan LI ; Bin WU ; Guole LIN ; Huizhong QIU ; Beizhan NIU ; Xiyu SUN ; Junyang LU ; Lai XU ; Yi XIAO
Chinese Journal of Gastrointestinal Surgery 2024;27(6):591-599
Objective:To analyze the differences in clinicopathological features of colon cancers and survival between patients with right- versus left-sided colon cancers.Methods:This was a retrospective cohort study. Information on patients with colon cancer from January 2016 to August 2020 was collected from the prospective registry database at Peking Union Medical College Hospital . Primary tumors located in the cecum, ascending colon, and proximal two‐thirds of the transverse colon were defined as right-sided colon cancers (RCCs), whereas primary tumors located in the distal third of the transverse colon, descending colon, or sigmoid colon were defined as left‐sided colon cancers (LCCs). Clinicopathological features were compared using the χ 2 test or Mann‐Whitney U test. Survival was estimated by Kaplan‐Meier curves and the log‐rank test. Factors that differed significantly between the two groups were identified by multivariate survival analyses performed with the Cox proportional hazards function. One propensity score matching was performed to eliminate the effects of confounding factors. Results:The study cohort comprised 856 patients, with TNM Stage I disease, 391 (45.7%) with Stage II, and 336 (39.3%) with Stage III, including 442 (51.6%) with LCC and 414 (48.4%) with RCC and 129 (15.1%). Defective mismatch repair (dMMR) was identified in 139 patients (16.2%). Compared with RCC, the proportion of men (274/442 [62.0%] vs. 224/414 [54.1%], χ 2=5.462, P=0.019), body mass index (24.2 [21.9, 26.6] kg/m 2 vs. 23.2 [21.3, 25.5] kg/m 2, U=78,789.0, P<0.001), and well/moderately differentiated cancer (412/442 [93.2%] vs. 344/414 [83.1%], χ 2=22.266, P<0.001) were higher in the LCC than the RCC group. In contrast, the proportion of dMMR (40/442 [9.0%] vs. 99/414 [23.9%], χ 2=34.721, P<0.001) and combined vascular invasion (106/442[24.0%] vs. 125/414[30.2%], χ 2=4.186, P=0.041) were lower in the LCC than RCC group. The median follow‐up time for all patients was 48 (range 33, 59) months. The log‐rank test revealed no significant differences in disease-free survival (DFS) ( P=0.668) or overall survival (OS) ( P=0.828) between patients with LCC versus RCC. Cox proportional hazards model showed that dMMR was significantly associated with a longer DFS (HR=0.419, 95%CI: 0.204?0.862, P=0.018), whereas a higher proportion of T3‐4 (HR=2.178, 95%CI: 1.089?4.359, P=0.028), N+ (HR=2.126, 95%CI: 1.443?3.133, P<0.001), and perineural invasion (HR=1.835, 95%CI: 1.115?3.020, P=0.017) were associated with poor DFS. Tumor location was not associated with DFS or OS (all P>0.05). Subsequent analysis showed that RCC patients with dMMR had longer DFS than did RCC patients with pMMR (HR=0.338, 95%CI: 0.146?0.786, P=0.012). However, the difference in OS between the two groups was not statistically significant (HR=0.340, 95%CI:0.103?1.119, P=0.076). After propensity score matching for independent risk factors for DFS, the log‐rank test revealed no significant differences in DFS ( P=0.343) or OS ( P=0.658) between patients with LCC versus RCC, whereas patient with dMMR had better DFS ( P=0.047) and OS ( P=0.040) than did patients with pMMR. Conclusions:Tumor location is associated with differences in clinicopathological features; however, this has no impact on survival. dMMR status is significantly associated with longer survival: this association may be stronger in RCC patients.
3.Perceptions of transanal total mesorectal excision surgical quality and patient screening
Chinese Journal of Gastrointestinal Surgery 2024;27(6):564-568
As a rapid developing rectal cancer procedure that has been in existence for more than a decade, transanal total mesorectal excision (taTME) has had a rough experience along the way, suggesting the importance of improving its surgical quality. In the current view of quality control of taTME, its main advantages are that it could increase the distance of distal margins, reduce the positive rate of circumferential margins, and improve the quality of total mesorectal excision. As few high-quality clinical studies have been conducted, the limitations brought about by confounding bias and publication bias that could not be excluded in current published studies call for a cautious interpretation of the current conclusions. At this stage taTME is only recommended in highly selective patients and centers. Under these circumstances, we aim to discuss the quality assessment of the taTME procedure and the selection of patients and centers. Based on current evidence and practical experience, we typically select patients with difficult pelvis, low rectal cancer, and/or those requiring direct visual recognition of the distal margin after neoadjuvant chemoradiation to perform taTME in our center.
4.Effects of tumor location and mismatch repair on clinicopathological features and survival for non‐metastatic colon cancer: A retrospective, single center, cohort study
Zhen SUN ; Weixun ZHOU ; Kexuan LI ; Bin WU ; Guole LIN ; Huizhong QIU ; Beizhan NIU ; Xiyu SUN ; Junyang LU ; Lai XU ; Yi XIAO
Chinese Journal of Gastrointestinal Surgery 2024;27(6):591-599
Objective:To analyze the differences in clinicopathological features of colon cancers and survival between patients with right- versus left-sided colon cancers.Methods:This was a retrospective cohort study. Information on patients with colon cancer from January 2016 to August 2020 was collected from the prospective registry database at Peking Union Medical College Hospital . Primary tumors located in the cecum, ascending colon, and proximal two‐thirds of the transverse colon were defined as right-sided colon cancers (RCCs), whereas primary tumors located in the distal third of the transverse colon, descending colon, or sigmoid colon were defined as left‐sided colon cancers (LCCs). Clinicopathological features were compared using the χ 2 test or Mann‐Whitney U test. Survival was estimated by Kaplan‐Meier curves and the log‐rank test. Factors that differed significantly between the two groups were identified by multivariate survival analyses performed with the Cox proportional hazards function. One propensity score matching was performed to eliminate the effects of confounding factors. Results:The study cohort comprised 856 patients, with TNM Stage I disease, 391 (45.7%) with Stage II, and 336 (39.3%) with Stage III, including 442 (51.6%) with LCC and 414 (48.4%) with RCC and 129 (15.1%). Defective mismatch repair (dMMR) was identified in 139 patients (16.2%). Compared with RCC, the proportion of men (274/442 [62.0%] vs. 224/414 [54.1%], χ 2=5.462, P=0.019), body mass index (24.2 [21.9, 26.6] kg/m 2 vs. 23.2 [21.3, 25.5] kg/m 2, U=78,789.0, P<0.001), and well/moderately differentiated cancer (412/442 [93.2%] vs. 344/414 [83.1%], χ 2=22.266, P<0.001) were higher in the LCC than the RCC group. In contrast, the proportion of dMMR (40/442 [9.0%] vs. 99/414 [23.9%], χ 2=34.721, P<0.001) and combined vascular invasion (106/442[24.0%] vs. 125/414[30.2%], χ 2=4.186, P=0.041) were lower in the LCC than RCC group. The median follow‐up time for all patients was 48 (range 33, 59) months. The log‐rank test revealed no significant differences in disease-free survival (DFS) ( P=0.668) or overall survival (OS) ( P=0.828) between patients with LCC versus RCC. Cox proportional hazards model showed that dMMR was significantly associated with a longer DFS (HR=0.419, 95%CI: 0.204?0.862, P=0.018), whereas a higher proportion of T3‐4 (HR=2.178, 95%CI: 1.089?4.359, P=0.028), N+ (HR=2.126, 95%CI: 1.443?3.133, P<0.001), and perineural invasion (HR=1.835, 95%CI: 1.115?3.020, P=0.017) were associated with poor DFS. Tumor location was not associated with DFS or OS (all P>0.05). Subsequent analysis showed that RCC patients with dMMR had longer DFS than did RCC patients with pMMR (HR=0.338, 95%CI: 0.146?0.786, P=0.012). However, the difference in OS between the two groups was not statistically significant (HR=0.340, 95%CI:0.103?1.119, P=0.076). After propensity score matching for independent risk factors for DFS, the log‐rank test revealed no significant differences in DFS ( P=0.343) or OS ( P=0.658) between patients with LCC versus RCC, whereas patient with dMMR had better DFS ( P=0.047) and OS ( P=0.040) than did patients with pMMR. Conclusions:Tumor location is associated with differences in clinicopathological features; however, this has no impact on survival. dMMR status is significantly associated with longer survival: this association may be stronger in RCC patients.
5.Interaction analysis of mismatch repair protein and adverse clinicopathological features on prognosis of colon cancer
Kexuan LI ; Fuqiang ZHAO ; Qingbin WU ; Junling ZHANG ; Shuangling LUO ; Shidong HU ; Bin WU ; Heli LI ; Guole LIN ; Huizhong QIU ; Junyang LU ; Lai XU ; Zheng WANG ; Xiaohui DU ; Liang KANG ; Xin WANG ; Ziqiang WANG ; Qian LIU ; Yi XIAO
Chinese Journal of Digestive Surgery 2024;23(6):826-835
Objective:To investigate the interactive effect of mismatch repair (MMR) protein status and adverse clinicopathological features on prognosis of stage Ⅰ-Ⅲ colon cancer.Methods:The retrospective cohort study was conducted. The clinicopathological data of 1 650 patients with colon cancer of stage Ⅰ-Ⅲ who were admitted to 7 hospitals in China from January 2016 to December 2017 were collected. There were 963 males and 687 females, aged 62(53,71)years. Patients were classified as 230 cases of MMR deficiency (dMMR) and 1 420 cases of MMR proficiency (pMMR) based on their MMR protein status. Observation indicators: (1) comparison of clinicopathological characteristics between patients of different MMR protein status; (2) analysis of factors affecting the survival outcomes of patients of dMMR; (3) analysis of factors affecting the survival outcomes of patients of pMMR; (4) interaction analysis of MMR and adverse clinicopathological features on survival outcomes. Measurement data with normal distribution were represented as Mean± SD, and comparison between groups was conducted using the independent t test. Measurement data with skewed distribution were represented as M( Q1, Q3), and comparison between groups was conducted using the Mann-Whitney U test. Count data were described as absolute numbers, and comparison between groups was conducted using the chi-square test or Fisher exact probability. Comparison of ordinal data was conducted using the Mann-Whitney U test. The random forest interpolation method was used for missing values in data interpolation. Univariate analysis was conducted using the COX proportional risk regression model, and multivariate analysis was conducted using the COX stepwise regression with forward method. The coefficient of multiplication interaction effect was obtained using the interaction term coefficient of COX proportional risk regression model. Evaluation of additive interaction effects was conducted using the relative excess risk due to interaction ( RERI). Results:(1) Comparison of clinicopathological characteristics between patients of different MMR protein status. There were significant differences in age, T staging, the number of lymph node harvest, the number of lymph node harvest <12, high grade tumor between patients of dMMR and pMMR ( P<0.05). (2) Analysis of factors affecting the survival outcomes of patients of dMMR. Results of multivariate analysis showed that T staging, N staging, the number of lymph node harvest <12 were independent factors affecting the disease-free survival (DFS) of colon cancer patients of dMMR ( hazard ratio=3.548, 2.589, 6.702, 95% confidence interval as 1.460-8.620, 1.064-6.301, 1.886-23.813, P<0.05). Age and N staging were independent factors affecting the overall survival (OS) of colon cancer patients of dMMR ( hazard ratio=1.073, 10.684, 95% confidence interval as 1.021-1.126, 2.311-49.404, P<0.05). (3) Analysis of factors affecting the survival outcomes of patients of pMMR. Results of multivariate analysis showed that age, T staging, N staging, vascular tumor thrombus were independent factors affecting the DFS of colon cancer patients of pMMR ( hazard ratio=1.018, 2.214, 2.598, 1.549, 95% confidence interval as 1.006-1.030, 1.618-3.030, 1.921-3.513, 1.118-2.147, P<0.05). Age, T staging, N staging, high grade tumor were independent factors affecting the OS of colon cancer patients of pMMR ( hazard ratio=1.036, 2.080, 2.591, 1.615, 95% confidence interval as 1.020-1.052, 1.407-3.075, 1.791-3.748, 1.114-2.341, P<0.05). (4) Interaction analysis of MMR and adverse clinicopathological features on survival outcomes. Results of interaction analysis showed that the multiplication interaction effect between the number of lymph node harvest <12 and MMR protein status was significant on DFS of colon cancer patients ( hazard ratio=3.923, 95% confidence interval as 1.057-14.555, P<0.05). The additive interaction effects between age and MMR protein status, between high grade tumor and MMR protein status were significant on OS of colon cancer patients ( RERI=-0.033, -1.304, 95% confidence interval as -0.049 to -0.018, -2.462 to -0.146). Conclusions:There is an interaction between the MMR protein status and the adverse clinicopathological features (the number of lymph node harvest <12, high grade tumor) on prognosis of colon cancer patients of stage Ⅰ-Ⅲ. In patients of dMMR, the number of lymph node harvest <12 has a stronger predictive effect on poor prognosis. In patients of pMMR, the high grade tumor has a stronger predictive effect on poor prognosis.
6.A novel predictive model for safe discharge after upper gastrointestinal bleeding
Yajie LI ; Yawen ZHAO ; Mingyang SONG ; Kexuan WU
Chinese Journal of Emergency Medicine 2022;31(12):1680-1684
Objective:Upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) is a common gastrointestinal disease in the emergency department. Identifying low-risk patients suitable for outpatient treatment is the focus of clinical and research. A simple predictive model was developed to identify patients with UGIB who could safely avoid hospitalization, thus providing a feasible basis for triage by emergency physicians.Methods:A retrospective cohort study was conducted on patients with UGIB treated at Zhongda Hospital Southeast University from January 2015 to December 2020. Baseline demographic data and clinical parameters at the initial presentation were recorded. Multivariate logistic regression model was performed to identify predictors of safe discharge.Results:Six hundred and twelve patients (45.9%) were not safely discharged. There were significant differences in age, Charlson comorbidity index, systolic blood pressure, pulse rate, hemoglobin, albumin, blood urea nitrogen, creatinine and international normalized ratio between the safe discharge group and the non-safe discharge group ( P<0.05). Using multivariate logistic regression analysis, a total of 7 variables were included in the clinical prediction model of UGIB risk stratification: Charlson comorbidity index > 2, systolic blood pressure < 90 mmHg, hemoglobin < 10 g/dL, blood urea nitrogen ≥6.5 mmol/L, albumin <30 g/L, pulse ≥100 beats/min and international normalized ratio ≥1.5. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value for predicting unsafe discharge were 98.37%, 24.10%, 52.3%, and 94.6%, respectively, with the best cutoff value ≥1. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve was 0.822, which was significantly higher than Glasgow Blatchford score (GBS) 0.786 (95% CI: 0.752-0.820, P< 0.01) and AIMS65 0.676 (95% CI: 0.638-0.714, P< 0.01). Conclusions:The predictive model has a reliable predictive value, which can provide references for emergency medical staff to triage patients with UGIB, thereby reducing medical expenses and having certain social and economic benefits.
7.The role of integrin α4 in the anti-liver fibrosis effect of the sticky sugar amino acid extract of
Jie LU ; Yixia ZHOU ; Ye LIU ; Ya GAO ; Kexuan CHEN ; Dingchun LI ; Yihui CHEN ; Huaie LIU ; Hongtu WANG ; Wu LI
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2022;38(9):2027-2033
Objective To investigate the mechanism of action of integrin α4 (ITGA4) in liver fibrosis based on the anti-liver fibrosis effect of sticky sugar amino acid (SSAA) in rats. Methods A rat model of liver fibrosis was induced by intraperitoneal injection of CCl 4 , and then colchicine and low-, middle-, and high-dose SSAA were used for intervention, with blank control group and SSAA group as control. After 12 weeks of experimental intervention, serum and liver samples were collected to measure the serum levels of alanine aminotransferase (ALT) and aspartate aminotransferase (AST), and HE staining and Sirius Red staining were used to observe the pathological conditions of liver tissue; quantitative real-time PCR was used to measure the transcriptional level of ITGA4, integrin β1 (ITGB1), transforming growth factor-β1 (TGFβ1), alpha-smooth muscle actin (α-SMA), and TIMP2 in liver tissue; Western blot was used to measure the relative protein expression levels of ITGA4, ITGB1, TGFβ1, α-SMA, MMP2, TIMP1, and TIMP2; immunohistochemistry was used to observe the protein expression of TGFβ1 and α-SMA. A one-way analysis of variance was used for comparison of continuous data between multiple groups, and the least significant difference t -test was used for comparison between two groups. Results There were significant increases in AST and ALT in the CCl 4 model group, and intervention with colchicine or low-, middle-, and high-dose SSAA reduced the levels of AST and ALT, with a significant difference between the CCl 4 model group and the other groups (all P < 0.05). HE staining and Sirius Red staining showed disordered structure of hepatic lobules and an increase in collagen fibers in the CCl 4 model group, and the structure of hepatic lobules was improved after intervention with colchicine or low-, middle-, and high-dose SSAA. The CCl 4 model group had significantly higher transcriptional levels of ITGA4, TGFβ1, α-SMA, and TIMP2 than the other groups, and there were significant reductions in the transcriptional levels of each factor after intervention with colchicine or SSAA, with a significant difference between the CCl 4 model group and the other groups (all P < 0.05). The CCl 4 model group had significantly higher protein expression levels of ITGA4, TGFβ1, α-SMA, TIMP2, and TIMP1 and a significantly lower protein expression level of MMP2 than the other groups, and intervention with colchicine or SSAA inhibited the expression of ITGA4, TGFβ1, α-SMA, TIMP2, and TIMP1 and promoted the expression of MMP2. Immunohistochemistry showed that the CCl 4 model group had significantly higher expression levels of TGFβ1 and α-SMA than the other groups, which was inhibited by intervention with colchicine or SSAA. The high-dose SSAA group had the most significant effect in reducing aminotransferases, improving lobular structure, and inhibiting the protein expression of liver fibrosis factors. Conclusion The high expression of ITGA4 in the liver is associated with the development of liver fibrosis, which is consistent with the increases in the expression of TGFβ1 and α-SMA. Inhibiting the expression of ITGA4 can provide more therapeutic targets for liver fibrosis and expand the anti-liver fibrosis mechanism of SSAA.
8.Influencing factors for lymph node metastasis and prognosis in stage T1 and T2 esophageal squa-mous cell carcinoma after radical surgery and construction of nomogram prediction models
Kexuan GUO ; Kaiyuan JIANG ; Jingqiu ZHANG ; Dan ZHANG ; Hongyun LI ; Chunmei SHEN ; Hongying WEN ; Dong TIAN
Chinese Journal of Digestive Surgery 2022;21(10):1354-1362
Objective:To investigate the influencing factors for lymph node metastasis and prognosis in stage T1 and T2 esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after radical surgery and construct nomogram prediction models.Methods:The retrospective cohort study was conducted. The clinico-pathological data of 672 patients with T1 and T2 esophageal squamous cell carcinoma who were admitted to the Affiliated Hospital of North Sichuan Medical College from January 2014 to December 2019 were collected. There were 464 males and 208 females, aged (65±8)years. All patients under-went radical esophagectomy+2 or 3 field lymph node dissection. Observation indicators: (1) lymph node dissection, metastasis and follow-up. (2) risk factors for lymph node metastasis of esophageal cancer after radical resection. (3) prognostic factors of esophageal cancer after radical resection. (4) construction and evaluation of the prediction models of lymph node metastasis and prognosis of esophageal cancer after radical resection. Follow-up was conducted using outpatient examination, telephone and internet consultations to detect survival of patients up to April 2021. Measurement data with normal distribution were represented as Mean± SD, and comparison between groups was conducted using the t test. Measurement data with skewed distribution were represented as M(range). Count data were described as absolute numbers or percentages, and comparison between groups was conducted using the chi-square test. Kaplan-Meier method was used to calculate survival rate and draw survival curve. Log-Rank test was used for survival analysis. Logistic regression model was used for univariate and multivariate analyses of risk for lymph node metastasis, and COX regression model was used for univariate and multivariate analyses of prognosis. Based on the results of multi-variate analysis, the nomogram prediction models for lymph node metastasis and prognosis predic-tion were constructed. The prediction discrimination of the nomogram models were evaluated using the area under curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC). The calibration curve was used to evaluate the prediction consistency of the models. Results:(1) Lymph node dissection, metastasis and follow-up. The number of lymph node dissected was 14±8 and the number of lymph node metastasis was 2(range, 1?19) in 672 patients. Of the 672 patients, there were 182 cases had lymph node metastasis, including 58 cases in T1 stage and 124 cases in T2 stage. All 672 patients were followed up for 38 (range, 1?85)months. The average overall survival time of 672 patients was 65 months, with the 1-, 3-, 5-year overall survival rate as 89.0%, 74.3%, 66.0%, respectively. The average overall survival time of 325 patients in T1 stage and 347 patients in T2 stage were 70 months and 61 months. The 1-, 3-, 5-year overall survival rate of 325 patients in T1 stage and 347 patients in T2 stage were 95.0%, 83.5%, 73.4% and 87.4%, 69.9%, 59.2%, respectively, showing a significant difference in survival between them ( χ2=14.51, P<0.05). (2) Risk factors for lymph node metastasis of esophageal cancer after radical resection. Results of univariate analysis showed that tumor location, tumor histological grade, tumor T staging were related factors affecting lymph node metastasis of esophageal cancer after radical resection ( odds ratio=1.40, 1.54, 2.56, 95% confidence interval as 1.07?1.85, 1.20?1.99, 1.79-3.67, P<0.05). Results of multivariate analysis showed that tumor location, tumor histological grade, tumor T staging were independent factors affecting lymph node metastasis ( odds ratio=1.42, 1.61, 2.63, 95% confidence interval as 1.07?1.89, 1.25?2.09, 1.82?3.78, P<0.05). (3) Prognostic factors of esophageal cancer after radical resection. Results of univariate analysis showed that preoperative comorbidities, postoperative complications, tumor histological grade (G3), tumor T staging, tumor N staging (N1 stage, N2 stage, N3 stage), tumor TNM staging (Ⅲ stage, Ⅳ stage) were related factors affecting prognosis of esophageal cancer after radical resection ( hazard ratio= 1.48, 1.64, 2.23, 1.85, 2.09, 4.48, 4.97, 3.54, 5.53, 95% confidence interval as 1.08?2.03, 1.20?2.23, 1.47?3.39, 1.34?2.54, 1.44?3.04, 2.89?6.95, 1.57?15.73, 2.48?5.05, 1.73?17.68, P<0.05). Results of multivariate analysis showed that preoperative comorbidities, G3 of tumor histological grade, T2 stage of tumor T staging, N1 stage, N2 stage, N3 stage of tumor N staging were independent risk factors affecting prognosis of esophageal cancer after radical resection ( hazard ratio=1.57, 1.89, 1.63, 1.71, 3.72, 3.90, 95% confidence interval as 1.14?2.16, 1.23?2.91, 1.17?2.26, 1.16?2.51, 2.37?5.83, 1.22?12.45, P<0.05). (4) Construction and evaluation of the prediction models of lymph node metastasis and prognosis of esophageal cancer after radical resection. Based on the results of multivariate analysis, tumor location, tumor histological grade, tumor T staging were applied to construct a nomo-gram model for lymph node metastasis prediction of esophageal cancer after radical resection, the score of tumor location, tumor histological grade, tumor T staging were 82, 100, 100, respectively, and the sum of the scores corresponding to the lymph node metastasis rate. Preoperative comor-bidity, tumor histological grade, tumor T staging, tumor N staging were applied to construct a nomo-gram model for 1-, 3-, 5-year overall survival rate prediction of esophageal cancer after radical resection, the score of preoperative comorbidity, tumor histological grade, tumor T staging, tumor N staging were 23, 38, 27, 100, respectively, and the sum of the scores corres-ponding to the 1-, 3-, 5-year overall survival rate. Results of ROC showed that the AUC of nomogram model for lymph node metastasis prediction after radical esophagectomy was 0.66 (95% confidence interval as 0.62?0.71, P<0.05). The AUC of nomogram model for 1-, 3-, 5-year overall survival rate prediction after radical esophagectomy were 0.73, 0.74, 0.71 (95% confidence intervals as 0.66?0.80, 0.68?0.79, 0.65?0.78, P<0.05). Results of calibration curve showed that the predicted lymph node metastasis rate and the predicted 1-, 3-, 5-year overall survival rate by nomogram models were consistent with the actual lymph node metastasis rate and 1-, 3-, 5-year overall survival rate. Conclusions:Tumor location, tumor histological grade, tumor T staging are independent factors affecting lymph node metastasis in T1 and T2 esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after radical surgery and nomogram model constructed by these indicators can predict the lymph node metas-tasis rate. Preoperative comor-bidities, G3 of tumor histological grade, T2 stage of tumor T staging, N1 stage, N2 stage, N3 stage of tumor N staging are independent risk factors affecting prognosis and nomogram model constructed by these indicators can predict the overall survival rate of patients after surgery.
9.Early predictive value of red cell distribution width for contrast - induced nephropathy in patients after enhanced computed tomography
Youqi LI ; Shaobin XIAO ; Kexuan LIN ; Li NI ; Chengwen HUANG ; Guanxian LIU ; Yongjun SHI
Chinese Journal of Nephrology 2019;35(6):415-420
Objective To explore the early predictive value of red cell distribution width (RDW) for contrast-induced nephropathy (CIN) in patients after enhanced computed tomography (CT). Methods A total of 218 patients who underwent enhanced CT between June 2015 and June 2017 at Huizhou Central Municipal Hospital were enrolled in this study. Patients were divided into CIN group and no-CIN group. The diagnostic criteria for CIN is an increase in serum creatinine (Scr) of more than 44.2 μmol/L or 25% of the baseline value within 3 days of contrast agent use. The general information and clinical characteristics in two groups were compared. The risk factors of CIN were analyzed by logistic regression analysis. The receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC) was used to assess the value of RDW for predicting the occurrence of CIN. Results Among 218 patients, 10(4.59% ) patients had CIN. In the CIN group age, baseline Scr and baseline RDW were significantly higher, while hemoglobin, baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), red blood cell, white blood cell, albumin, and high - density lipoprotein cholesterol were significantly lower than those in the no - CIN group (all P<0.05). Binary logistic regression analysis revealed that baseline RDW (OR=2.250, 95%CI 1.031-4.911, P=0.042) and eGFR (OR=0.963, 95% CI 0.928-0.999, P=0.044) were correlated with the occurrence of CIN. ROC analysis confirmed the area under the curve of RDW as a predictor of CIN was 0.798 (P<0.001). The cut - off value of RDW was 14.5% , and the diagnostic sensitivity and specificity in CIN were 70.00% and 85.58%, respectively. Conclusions Increased baseline RDW and decreased eGFR are the risk factors of the occurrence of CIN after enhanced CT. RDW has a good predictive value, and it may be a good biomarker for the early diagnosis of CIN.
10.Clinical application of urinary microalbumin/creatinine in random urine screening in patients with early diabetic nephropathy
Xianghai DENG ; Wu ZHU ; Jinyu YANG ; Kexuan LI ; Xuan GUO
Chinese Journal of Primary Medicine and Pharmacy 2019;26(4):412-415
Objective To determine the diagnosis value of urinary albumin(mAlb)/creatinine(Ucre) ratio in random urine from patients with early diabetic nephropathy.Methods From March 2015 to December 2016,98 case with simple diabetes and early diabetic nephropathy in Ankang Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine were selected,including 47 cases with simple diabetes and 51 cases with early diabetic nephropathy.And 60 healthy people were selected as control group.The mAlb and mAlb/Ucre ratios in morning urine,postprandial urine and random urine were detected for three times in three days,and the resluts were calculated and analyzed.Results In early diabetic nephropathy group,the mAlb concentration varied during different time periods,mAlb in morning urine [(60.5 ± 27.1)mg/L] and postprandial urine [(60.7 ± 26.7)mg/L] were significantly increased compared with that in random urine [(40.9 ± 25.1) mg/L] (F =9.551,P =0.000).The MAlb/Ucre ratios were stable in morning urine,postprandial urine and random urine of each period (P > 0.05).The positive rate of mAlb/Ucre ratio was sharply higher than mAlb alone in random urine (90.2% vs.62.7%).No statistically significant difference showed in positive rates of mAlb/Ucre ratio in subjects from different groups(the positive rate of morning urine specimen was 92.2%;postprandial urine 88.2%;random urine 90.2%,P > 0.05).Conclusion Positive rate of mAlb/Ucre ratio changed slightly during different test periods,and is superior to mAlb alone in clinic application.Additionally,the positive rate of mAlb/Ucre ratio in random urine could serve as an indicator in early screening of early diabetic nephropathy.

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