1.Risk factors of malaria infection and risk prediction model research in in labor export in Langfang City
Xuejun ZHANG ; Kun ZHAO ; Jing ZHAO ; ZHUO WANG ; Qiang GUO ; Jie XIAO ; Juanjuan GUO ; Jinhong PENG
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2025;36(1):118-122
Objective To analyze the influencing factors of malaria infection of labor service exported to overseas in Langfang City, in order to establish a visualization tool to assist clinicians in predicting the risk of malaria. Methods A total of 4 774 expatriate employees of the Nibei Pipeline Project of the Pipeline Bureau from October 2021 to August 2023 were taken as the subjects, and the gender, age, overseas residence area and Knowledge of malaria controlscores of the study subjects were investigated by questionnaire survey, and the possible risk factors of malaria were screened by logistic regression model. At the same time, the nomogram prediction model was established, and the subjects were divided into the training group and the validation group at a ratio of 2:1, and the area under the curve (ROC) and the decision curve were plotted to evaluate the prediction ability and practicability of the prediction model in this study. Results Among the 4 774 study subjects, 96 cases of malaria occurred, and the detection rate was 2.01%. Junior school (OR=1.723,95% CI:1.361-2.173), and residence in rural areas(OR=2.091,95%CI:1.760 -3.100)were risk factors (OR>1), while protective measures(OR=0.826,95% CI : 0.781 - 0.901) and high malaria education scores (OR=0.872,95% CI : 0.621 - 0.899)were protective factors.The nomogram prediction model results showed that the area under the curve of the nomogram prediction model in the training group was 0.94 (95% CI : 0.85 - 1.00), while the validation group was 0.93 (95% CI : 0.80 - 1.00). The results of the decision curve showed that when the threshold probability of the population was 0-0.9, the nomogram model was used to predict the risk of malaria occurrence with the highest net income. Conclusion The nomogram prediction model (including gender, education, region, protection and malaria education score) established and validated in this study is of great value for clinicians to screen high-risk patients with malaria.
2.The effect of Ba Duan Jin on the balance of community-dwelling older adults: a cluster randomized control trial
Leilei DUAN ; Yubin ZHAO ; Yuliang ER ; Pengpeng YE ; Wei WANG ; Xin GAO ; Xiao DENG ; Ye JIN ; Yuan WANG ; Cuirong JI ; Xinyan MA ; Cong GAO ; Yuhong ZHAO ; Suqiu ZHU ; Shuzhen SU ; Xin'e GUO ; Juanjuan PENG ; Yan YU ; Chen YANG ; Yaya SU ; Ming ZHAO ; Lihua GUO ; Yiping WU ; Yangnu LUO ; Ruilin MENG ; Haofeng XU ; Huazhang LIU ; Huihong RUAN ; Bo XIE ; Huimin ZHANG ; Yuhua LIAO ; Yan CHEN ; Linhong WANG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2024;45(2):250-256
Objective:To assess the effectiveness of a 6-month Ba Duan Jin exercise program in improving the balance of community-dwelling older adults.Methods:A two arms, parallel-group, cluster randomized controlled trial was conducted in 1 028 community residents aged 60-80 years in 40 communities in 5 provinces of China. Participants in the intervention group (20 communities, 523 people) received Ba Duan Jin exercise 5 days/week, 1 hour/day for 6 months, and three times of falls prevention health education, and the control group (20 communities, 505 people) received falls prevention health education same as the intervention group. The Berg balance scale (BBS) score was the leading outcome indicator, and the secondary outcome indicators included the length of time of standing on one foot (with eyes open and closed), standing in a tandem stance (with eyes open and closed), the closed circle test, and the timed up to test.Results:A total of 1 028 participants were included in the final analysis, including 731 women (71.11%) and 297 men (28.89%), and the age was (69.87±5.67) years. After the 3-month intervention, compared with the baseline data, the BBS score of the intervention group was significantly higher than the control group by 3.05 (95% CI: 2.23-3.88) points ( P<0.001). After the 6-month intervention, compared with the baseline data, the BBS score of the intervention group was significantly higher than the control group by 4.70 (95% CI: 4.03-5.37) points ( P<0.001). Ba Duan Jin showed significant improvement ( P<0.05) in all secondary outcomes after 6 months of exercise in the intervention group compared with the control group. Conclusions:This study showed that Ba Duan Jin exercise can improve balance in community-dwelling older adults aged 60-80. The longer the exercise time, the better the improvement.
3.Myelodysplastic syndrome/myeloproliferative neoplasms with ring sideroblasts and thrombocytosis: 4 cases
Juanjuan XIAO ; Shaojie YE ; Huimei GUO ; Songying ZHAO ; Jing WANG ; Hua XUE
Journal of Leukemia & Lymphoma 2024;33(6):352-356
Objective:To enhance the understanding of the diagnosis and individualized treatment of myelodysplastic syndrome/myeloproliferative neoplasms with ring sideroblasts and thrombocytosis (MDS/MPN-RS-T).Methods:A retrospective case series study was conducted. The clinical data, diagnosis and treatment process and prognosis of 4 patients with MDS/MPN-RS-T admitted to Affiliated Hospital of Hebei University from September 2015 to May 2021 were retrospectively analyzed, and the related literature was reviewed.Results:All the 4 patients were male, aged 63 to 75 years. Patients 1 and 2 were classified as revised international prognostic scoring system (IPSS-R) high-risk group, combined with ASXL1 mutation and high risk cytogenetic abnormality. The therapeutic effect of various treatment regimens was poor, and they were converted to acute myeloid leukemia (AML) and then died due to disease progression. Patient 3 was classified as IPSS-R medium-risk group. His main manifestation was myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS) combined with ring sideroblasts in the early stage and was transformed into MDS/MPN-RS-T during the treatment, and JAK2 mutation occurred in the subsequent treatment. After lenalidomide treatment, the patient was removed from blood transfusion and the condition was stable at present. Patient 4 was classified as IPSS-R medium-risk group, and lenalidomide showed significant therapeutic effects and he was in stable condition.Conclusions:Lenalidomide can significantly improve transfusion dependence in patients with MDS/MPN-RS-T, and ASXL1 mutation and high-risk cytogenetic abnormality may be associated with AML transformation.
4.The clinical value of NLRP3 inflammasome level combined with ECP/MPO ratio in predicting the recur-rence of chronic sinusitis after endoscopic sinus surgery
Juanjuan FENG ; Zexing CHENG ; Lu XIAO
The Journal of Practical Medicine 2024;40(22):3196-3201
Objective To explore the clinical value of NOD-like receptor pyrin domain-containing protein 3(NLRP3)inflammasome levels combined with eosinophil cationic protein(ECP)/myeloperoxidase(MPO)ratio in predicting the recurrence of chronic rhinosinusitis after endoscopic sinus surgery.Methods 205 patients with chronic sinusitis who received treatment from the hospital from February 2018 to December 2022 after endoscopic sinus surgery were selected for prospective analysis.The patients were divided into non-recurrence group and recurrence group according to whether they relapsed one year after surgery.The factors influencing the recurrence of patients with chronic sinusitis after endoscopic sinus surgery were screened,and the predictive efficacy was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic curve(ROC).Results The NLRP3 inflammasome level,ECP/MPO ratio,sinus CT score,Lund-Kennedy score and immunoglobulin E in the relapsing group were higher than non-relapsing group(P<0.05).NLRP3 inflammasome level,ECP/MPO ratio,sinus CT score,Lund-Kennedy score and immu-noglobulin E were the influencing factors of postoperative recurrence in patients with chronic sinusitis(P<0.05).The area under the curve(AUC)values of NLRP3 inflammasome level,ECP/MPO ratio and combined prediction of postoperative recurrence in patients with chronic sinusitis were 0.823,0.815 and 0.899,respectively(P<0.05),and the AUC value of combined NLRP3 was higher(P<0.05).Conclusion NLRP3 inflammasome level combined with ECP/MPO ratio has a high value in predicting the risk of recurrence after nasal endoscopy.
5.Mechanism of anterior cingulate cortex in modulating pain and anxiety-like behavior in chronic non-specific low back pain model rats
Bingyu ZHANG ; Yifan LI ; Wenjun LI ; Jie XU ; Xiao JIANG ; Liang JING ; Kai WANG ; Juanjuan ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Behavioral Medicine and Brain Science 2023;32(6):513-520
Objective:To explore the potential mechanisms of anterior cingulate cortex (ACC) in modulating pain behavior and anxiety-like behavior of rats with chronic non-specific low back pain induced by nerve growth factor (NGF).Methods:Ninety-six male SPF grade SD rats aged 8 weeks were randomly divided into four groups according the random number table method: control group, model group, control+ D-2-amino-5-phosphonopentanoate (D-AP5) group (control+ D-AP5 group) and model+ D-AP5 group, with 24 rats in each group.Low back pain model of rat was established by injection of NGF into multifidus muscle (left side) of the low backs of rats(two times with a five-day interval). Five days after modeling, rats in model+ D-AP5 group and control+ D-AP5 group were injected with the N-methyl-D-aspartate (NMDA) receptor antagonist D-AP5(2 μg, 0.3 μL) at the right side of the ACC once a day for consecutive 3 days, and rats in control group and model group were injected with the same amount of 0.9% sodium chloride solution. Seven days after modeling, the pain threshold of rats was evaluated by mechanical stimulation test and hot and cold plate test.The anxiety-like behavior was tested by open field test.The density of glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) positive cells and c-Fos(a kind of immediate early gene) positive cells of the spinal cord were observed by immunofluorescence. The expression of GFAP, c-Fos, phosphorylated-c-Jun N-terminal kinases (p-JNK), monocyte chemoattractant protein-1 (MCP-1), and chemokine (C-X-C motif) ligand 1 (CXCL-1) proteins in the L2 segment of the spinal cord were detected by Western blot. SPSS 23.0 software was used for statistical analysis. One-way ANOVA was used to analyze normal distribution measurement data for comparison among multiple groups, and Tukey test was used for further pairwise comparisons. The Kruakal-Wallis H test was used for non-normal distribution measurement data, and Mann-Whitney U test was used for further pairwise comparisons with Bonferroni-corrected P-values. Results:In the experiments measuring pressure pain threshold (PPT) and paw withdrawal threshold (PWT), there were statistically significant differences in the PPT and PWT of rats among the four groups ( F=53.498, 41.939, both P<0.001). Seven days after modeling, PPT ((418.5±46.9) g) and PWT ( (55.6±7.1) g) in the ipsilateral side of the rats in model+ D-AP5 group were higher than those in model group ((290.0±32.0) g, (30.5±7.5) g) (both P<0.001). In the open field test, there were statistically significant differences in percentage of the inner zone distance ( H=11.922, P<0.01) and the percentage of inner zone time ( H=21.614, P<0.001) of rats among the four groups. The percentage of inner zone time in model+ D-AP5 group was higher than that in model group (5.6(4.3, 7.9) %, 3.1(2.1, 3.8) %) ( P<0.01). The results of immunofluorescence showed that there were statistically significant differences in the density of GFAP positive cells and c-Fos positive cells at the ipsilateral side of the superficial laminae of rats among the four groups ( H=49.085, F=18.120, both P<0.001). The density of GFAP positive cells (34.3(21.1, 47.5) cells/mm 2) and c-Fos positive cells ((52.7±39.4) cells/mm 2) at the ipsilateral side of the superficial laminae in model+ D-AP5 group were less than those in model group (76.5(68.6, 94.9) cells/mm 2, (112.4±63.7) cells/mm 2) (both P<0.001). The Western blot results showed that there were statistically significant differences in the protein expression of GFAP, c-Fos, p-JNK, MCP-1 and CXCL-1 in the L2 segment of rats among the four groups ( F=49.413, 38.437, 41.867, 36.735, 130.951, all P<0.001). The protein expression of GFAP (1.7±0.5), c-Fos (1.1±0.1), p-JNK (1.7±0.3), MCP-1 (1.0±0.4) and CXCL-1 (0.8±0.1) in the L2 segment in model+ D-AP5 group were lower than those in model group ((4.3±0.7), (2.6±0.5), (2.8±0.4), (2.9±0.4), (3.5±0.4)) (all P<0.01). Conclusion:ACC modulates mechanical hyperalgesia and anxiety-like behavior in chronic non-specific low back pain rats, which might be associated with the involvement of spinal astrocytes, p-JNK signal pathway and chemokines such as MCP-1 and CXCL-1.
6.Effect of early relapse on the therapeutic efficacy and survival for patients with multiple myeloma and analysis of risk factors of early relapse
Liyang LIU ; Juanjuan XIAO ; Songying ZHAO ; Jing WANG ; Huimei GUO ; Jiangbo ZHANG ; Jianmei XU ; Luoming HUA ; Hua XUE
Journal of Leukemia & Lymphoma 2023;32(9):513-519
Objective:To investigate the therapeutic efficacy and prognosis of multiple myeloma (MM) patients with early relapse and the influencing factors of early relapse.Methods:The clinical data of 164 patients with newly diagnosed MM admitted to Affiliated Hospital of Hebei University from January 2018 to January 2021 were retrospectively analyzed, and 53 cases (32.3%) relapsed at the end of the follow-up. According to the recurrence within 12 months or not, the patients were divided into early relapse group and advanced relapse group; the clinical characteristics, overall response rate (ORR) and overall survival (OS) of both groups were compared. Logistic regression was used to analyze if the following indexes including age, gender, albumin, lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), β 2-microglobulin (β 2-MG), hemoglobin, creatinine, serum calcium, bone marrow plasma cell ratio, extramedullary disease, high-risk fluorescent in situ hybridization (FISH) were the influencing factors of the early relapse. Based on 7 published clinical trials, simplified early relapse MM (S-ERMM) scoring system was constructed to subgroup all relapsed patients. The difference in risk stratification between early relapsed patients and advanced relapsed patients was compared. Results:The median follow-up time of 164 newly diagnosed MM patients was 26 months (12-48 months). Among 53 relapsed MM patients, 24 cases had early relapse and 29 cases had advanced relapse. The ORR of patients with early relapse was decreased compared with that of those with advanced relapse [70.8% (17/24) vs. 89.7% (26/29), χ2 = 3.04, P = 0.001]. The median OS of the early relapse group was shorter than that of the advanced relapse group (24 months vs. not reached, P < 0.001). The OS of patient in the early relapse group with the best response ≥ complete remission (CR), ≥ very good partial remission (VGPR) and ≥ partial remission (PR) during initial induction therapy was worse than that of those in the advanced relapse group, and the differences were statistically significant ( P values were 0.008, 0.011, 0.012, respectively). Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed low albumin (<35 g/L vs. ≥35 g/L: OR = 1.644, 95% CI 1.076-2.511, P = 0.022) and high LDH (< the upper limit of normal value vs. ≥ the upper limit of normal value: OR = 0.998, 95% CI 0.985-1.011, P = 0.030) were independent influencing factors of early relapse. Among 24 early relapse patients, there were 5 cases (20.8%), 13 cases (54.2%), 6 cases (25.0%), respectively in the S-ERMM scoring system low-risk, middle-risk, high-risk groups; among 29 advanced relapse patients, there were 18 cases (62.1%),9 cases (31.0%), 2 cases (6.9%), respectively in the S-ERMM scoring system low-risk, middle-risk, high-risk groups; the difference in risk stratification of the S-ERMM scoring system between the early relapse group and the advanced relapse group was statistically significant ( χ2 = 9.09, P = 0.003). Conclusions:MM patients with early relapse have poor therapeutic efficacy and prognosis. The prognosis is not affected by the depth of remission to first-line therapy. Low albumin and high LDH may be independent risk factors of MM patients with early relapse.
7.Countermeasures for standardized residency training of physicians in post-epidemic era
Yuanyuan ZHANG ; Juanjuan ZHANG ; Peng LI ; Liying GONG ; Zhao HU ; Xiaoyan XIAO
Chinese Journal of Medical Education Research 2022;21(8):1085-1089
Objective:To explore the methods of standardized residency training for internal medicine residents in the post-epidemic era, and to provide theoretical basis for improving and optimizing the standardized residency training.Methods:A total of 228 resident physicians from Batch 2017 to Batch 2019 were recruited, and a questionnaire survey was conducted to investigate their basic information, their attitudes and actions in facing the epidemic and the epidemic impact on the occupational planning and rotation plan. Original data of this study were exported through the questionnaire platform "Questionnaire Network", sorted out by Microsoft Excel, and plotted and analyzed by Origin software.Results:Residents of our hospital, socialized medical residents, other unit sponsor residents and combined professional masters willing to go to Hubei for medical support accounted for 100% (30 people), 86% (6 people), 84% (80 people) and 77% (72 people) respectively. Almost all of the residents were willing to learn the knowledge of COVID-19 and to educate the public (99%-100%). Eighty percent (24 people) of the residents of our hospital participated in anti-epidemic, while the proportion of other unit sponsor residents, socialized medical residents and combined professional masters were 46% (44 people), 14% (1 people) and 12% (11 people), respectively. Additionally, 97% (29 people) of our hospital residents, 89% (85 people) of other unit sponsor residents, 86% (6 people) of the socialized medical residents, and 82% (76 people) of the combined professional masters would still like to engage in the clinical work in the future. What's more, the resident physicians who thought that phylaxiology, epidemiology, general practice medicine, traditional Chinese medicine and critical care medicine should be strengthened to train accounted for 98% (221 people), 98% (221 people), 90% (203 people), 70% (158 people) and 60% (135 people) respectively.Conclusion:Most resident physicians have strong awareness and active actions in fighting against the epidemic. In the future, the standardized residency training of physicians should further strengthen the training of phylaxiology, epidemiology, general practice medicine, traditional Chinese medicine and critical care medicine.
8.Existing tests vs. novel non-invasive assays for detection of invasive aspergillosis in patients with respiratory diseases
Wei XIAO ; Longyi DU ; Linli CAI ; Tiwei MIAO ; Bing MAO ; Fuqiang WEN ; Gerard Peter GIBSON ; Deying GONG ; Yan ZENG ; Mei KANG ; Xinmiao DU ; Junyan QU ; Yan WANG ; Xuemei LIU ; Ruizhi FENG ; Juanjuan FU
Chinese Medical Journal 2022;135(13):1545-1554
Background::Although existing mycological tests (bronchoalveolar lavage [BAL] galactomannan [GM], serum GM, serum (1,3)-β-D-glucan [BDG], and fungal culture) are widely used for diagnosing invasive pulmonary aspergillosis (IPA) in non-hematological patients with respiratory diseases, their clinical utility in this large population is actually unclear. We aimed to resolve this clinical uncertainty by evaluating the diagnostic accuracy and utility of existing tests and explore the efficacy of novel sputum-based Aspergillus assays. Methods::Existing tests were assessed in a prospective and consecutive cohort of patients with respiratory diseases in West China Hospital between 2016 and 2019 while novel sputum assays (especially sputum GM and Aspergillus-specific lateral-flow device [LFD]) in a case-controlled subcohort. IPA was defined according to the modified European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer/Mycoses Study Group criteria. Sensitivity and specificity were computed for each test and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed. Results::The entire cohort included 3530 admissions (proven/probable IPA = 66, no IPA = 3464) and the subcohort included 127 admissions (proven/probable IPA = 38, no IPA = 89). Sensitivity of BAL GM (≥1.0 optical density index [ODI]: 86% [24/28]) was substantially higher than that of serum GM (≥0.5 ODI: 38% [39/102]) ( χ2 = 19.83, P < 0.001), serum BDG (≥70 pg/mL: 33% [31/95]) ( χ2 = 24.65, P < 0.001), and fungal culture (33% [84/253]) ( χ2 = 29.38, P < 0.001). Specificity varied between BAL GM (≥1.0 ODI: 94% [377/402]), serum GM (≥0.5 ODI: 95% [2130/2248]), BDG (89% [1878/2106]), and culture (98% [4936/5055]). Sputum GM (≥2.0 ODI) had similar sensitivity (84% [32/38]) (Fisher’s exact P = 1.000) to and slightly lower specificity (87% [77/89]) ( χ2 = 5.52, P = 0.019) than BAL GM (≥1.0 ODI). Area under the ROC curve values were comparable between sputum GM (0.883 [0.812-0.953]) and BAL GM (0.901 [0.824-0.977]) ( P = 0.734). Sputum LFD had similar specificity (91% [81/89]) ( χ2 = 0.89, P = 0.345) to and lower sensitivity (63% [24/38]) ( χ2 = 4.14, P = 0.042) than BAL GM (≥1.0 ODI), but significantly higher sensitivity than serum GM (≥0.5 ODI) ( χ2 = 6.95, P = 0.008), BDG ( χ2 = 10.43, P = 0.001), and fungal culture ( χ2 = 12.70, P < 0.001). Conclusions::Serum GM, serum BDG, and fungal culture lack sufficient sensitivity for diagnosing IPA in respiratory patients. Sputum GM and LFD assays hold promise as rapid, sensitive, and non-invasive alternatives to the BAL GM test.
9.Multimodal imaging of acute syphilitic posterior placoid chorioretinitis
Juan ZHANG ; Hua LI ; Libo XIAO ; Juanjuan LI
Chinese Journal of Ocular Fundus Diseases 2020;36(9):697-701
Objective:To observe the multimodal imaging features of the eyes with acute syphilitic post-polar squamous chorioretinitis (ASPPC) at different stages of disease.Methods:A retrospective case study. From July 2016 to March 2019, 8 patients (11 eyes) of ASPPC patients diagnosed in the ophthalmological examination of Yunnan Second People's Hospital were included in the study. Among them, there were 7 males (10 eyes) and 1 female (1 eye); the average age was 48.7±8.9 years; the average course of disease was 13.24±11.30 months. All patients underwent fundus color photography, infrared photography (IR), FAF, FFA, OCT, OCT angiography (OCTA). According to the stage and characteristics of the disease, the affected eyes were divided into acute phase and absorption phase, with 7 and 4 eyes respectively. We observed the color fundus images of ASPPC, IR, FAF, FFA, OCT, OCTA image characteristics of different disease stages.Results:In the acute phase, the posterior pole subretinal yellow-white squamous lesions, neuroepithelial detachment, and yellow-white exudates were observed in fundus color photography; uneven infrared reflections can be seen in the lesion area by IR; the posterior pole was round or scaly with strong autofluorescence in FAF, the range was larger than the fundus color photography; FFA arteriovenous stage lesions showed fuzzy weak fluorescence, the fluorescence gradually increased with time, the late stage showed a round-shaped strong fluorescence, surrounded by a weak fluorescence ring, and the area with thick exudation was covered by fluorescence; the neuroepithelium of the diseased area was detached, the uniform strong reflection signal can be seen in it by OCT. In the absorption phase, fundus color photography showed the yellow-white scaly lesions under the posterior retina absorption, and the pigment was slightly depleted; IR showed the mottled infrared reflection in the lesion area was significantly reduced compared with the acute phase; FAF showed the posterior spot-like strong autofluorescence, including "leopard spot-like changes" 3 eyes; FFA showed mottled fluorescent staining in the lesion, and no fluorescein leakage or accumulation; OCT showed needle-like protrusions in the RPE layer, and the outer membrane and ellipsoid zone were unclear; OCTA showed weakened choroidal capillary blood flow signal, the signal was missing in some areas.Conclusions:In the acute phase of ASPPC, the posterior pole subretinal shows yellow-white squamous lesions, neuroepithelial detachment, yellow-white exudate, FFA shows late fluorescein leakage in the lesion area; in the absorption period, the fundus shows yellow-white lesions have been absorbed, and FFA shows fluorescence dyed without any leakage. OCT indicates that the RPE, outer membrane and ellipsoid zone are damaged to varying degrees. OCTA indicates that the choroid of the diseased area had weakened blood flow signal.
10.Comparison between thyroid imaging reporting and data system and the recommendation of 2015 American Thyroid Association in Evaluation of Thyroid Nodule with Ultrasound
Ruyu, LIU ; Yuxin, JIANG ; Xiao, YANG ; Ying, WANG ; Luying, GAO ; Jia, LIU ; Juanjuan, WANG ; Xuehua, XI ; Shenling, ZHU ; Xingjian, LAI ; Ruina, ZHAO ; Xiaoyan, ZHANG ; Bo, ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Medical Ultrasound (Electronic Edition) 2017;14(4):263-268
Objective To compare diagnostic values of the 2015 American Thyroid Association (ATA) Management Guidelines for Adult Patients with Thyroid Nodules and Differentiated Thyroid Cancer with the thyroid imaging reporting and data system (TI-RADS) for sonographic malignancy risk stratification of thyroid nodules.Methods From November 2011 to December 2015,485 thyroid nodules in 331 patients (mean age,42.9 years± 10.4)were included in this study.Characteristics includingsize,composition,shape(nonparallel or parallel),margin,echogenicity,calcifications and extrathyroidal extension of thyroid nodules were evaluated.Every nodule was stratificated by criteria set by TI-RADS and ATA guidelines,and malignant rate of each risk stratification were calculated and analysed.With pathology as the gold standard,different cutoff were taken to diagnose malignant nodules,and the sensitivity,specifity,positive predictive value,negativepredictive value and accuracy of the two methodologies were calculated at each cutoff.And the two methodologies were evaluated and measured by ROC curve.Finally their Kappa value were calculated at the best cutoff.Results Of the 485 thyroid nodules,96 were benign and 389 were malignant.The malignancy rates under TI-RADS category 2,3,4a,4b,4c,and 5 nodules were 0,12.0% (3/25),22.2% (10/45),29.8% (14/47),99.2% (261/363) and 100% (101/101).Malignancy rates under ATA guidelines of benign,very low,low,intermediate,and high suspicion for malignancy were 0,12.5% (1/8),16.1% (10/62),27.7% (13/47),and 99.2% (365/368).There were significant differences inside each patterns (P < 0.01) respectively and high correlation between risk stratification with TI-RADS (r=0.70) and ATA guidelines (r=0.83).Areas under the ROC curve of the TI-RADS and ATA guidelines classifications were 0.966 and 0.959.Best cut-off point for diagnosing malignant by TI-RADS and ATA guideline classifications were ≥ 4c and ≥ high suspicion,and at that point,diagnostic value of TI-RADS and ATA guidelines were nearly the same(sensitivity,93.1%vs 93.8%;specificity,97.9% vs 96.9%;PPV,99.5% vs 99.2%;NPV,75.7%vs 79.5%;and accuracy,94.0%vs94.4%),and there was no significant differences (P=0.50,P=0.50,P=0.50,P=0.53,P=0.55),Kappa=0.97.Conclusions Both TI-RADS and the ATA guidelinesprovide effective malignancy risk stratification for thyroid nodules.The diagnosticvalue of TI-RADS when considering ≥ 4c and ATA guidelines when considering ≥ high-suspicion nodules as malignant were nearly the same and both high.


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