1.Discussion of the methodology and implementation steps for assessing the causality of adverse event
Hong FANG ; Shuo-Peng JIA ; Hai-Xue WANG ; Xiao-Jing PEI ; Min LIU ; An-Qi YU ; Ling-Yun ZHOU ; Fang-Fang SHI ; Shu-Jie LU ; Shu-Hang WANG ; Yue YU ; Dan-Dan CUI ; Yu TANG ; Ning LI ; Ze-Huai WEN
The Chinese Journal of Clinical Pharmacology 2024;40(2):299-304
The assessment of adverse drug events is an important basis for clinical safety evaluation and post-marketing risk control of drugs,and its causality assessment is gaining increasing attention.The existing methods for assessing the causal relationship between drugs and the occurrence of adverse reactions can be broadly classified into three categories:global introspective methods,standardized methods,and probabilistic methods.At present,there is no systematic introduction of the operational details of the various methods in the domestic literature.This paper compares representative causality assessment methods in terms of definition and concept,methodological steps,industry evaluation and advantages and disadvantages,clarifies the basic process of determining the causality of adverse drug reactions,and discusses how to further improve the adverse drug reaction monitoring and evaluation system,with a view to providing a reference for drug development and pharmacovigilance work in China.
2.Characteristics of Blood Pressure in Elderly Patients with Hypertensive Cerebral Small Vessel Disease and Their Correlation with Traditional Chinese Medicine Syndrome Types
Shi-Xing HAO ; Hui-Pei AO ; Hui-Cong LI ; Wei-Sen ZHONG ; Jia-Cheng HUANG ; Xiao-Lu MIAO
Journal of Guangzhou University of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2024;41(8):1962-1970
Objective To explore the characteristics of blood pressure in the elderly patients with hypertensive cerebral small vessel disease(CSVD)and their correlation with traditional Chinese medicine(TCM)syndrome types.Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted in 189 elderly patients with essential hypertension.With reference to the presence or absence of CSVD,the patients were divided into CSVD group(87 cases)and non-CSVD group(102 cases).The blood pressure related parameters and clinical data obtained by four diagnostic methods of TCM in the two groups were collected,and then the characteristics of blood pressure and their correlation with TCM syndromes were analyzed with statistical methods.Results(1)CSVD group had higher values than non-CSVD group in the ambulatory blood pressure parameters of 24-hour systolic blood pressure(24hSBP),24-hour diastolic blood pressure(24hDBP),daytime systolic blood pressure(DSBP),daytime diastolic blood pressure(DDBP),nighttime systolic blood pressure(NSBP),nighttime diastolic blood pressure(NDBP),24-hour pulse pressure(24hPP),daytime pulse pressure(DPP),nighttime pulse pressure(NPP),maximum SBP,morning SBP,daytime SBP load and nighttime SBP load(P<0.01).(2)The analysis of blood pressure variability showed that the mean value of nighttime SBP standard deviation(NSSD)in CSVD group was higher than that in the non-CSVD group(P<0.01).(3)The analysis of circadian rhythm of blood pressure showed that there was significant difference in the comparison of circadian rhythm of ambulatory blood pressure between the two groups(P<0.05):non-CSVD group was predominated by non-dipper type blood pressure(50 cases,49.02%)and dipper type blood pressure(31 cases,30.39%),and CSVD group was predominated by non-dipper type blood pressure(38 cases,43.68%)and super-dipper type blood pressure(31 cases,35.63%).(4)Logistic regression analysis showed that 24hSBP(OR=1.296,95%CI:1.112-1.511),maximum SBP(OR=1.074,95%CI:1.006-1.146),morning SBP(OR=1.064,95%CI:1.013-1.118),abnormal circadian rhythm of blood pressure(OR=3.736,95%CI:1.663-8.390)were the influence factors of CSVD(P<0.05 or P<0.01).(5)The analysis of the distribution of TCM syndrome types showed that non-CSVD group was dominated by accumulation of excess phlegm-damp syndrome(58.82%)and yin deficiency and yang hyperactivity syndrome(21.57%),and CSVD group was dominated by yin deficiency and yang hyperactivity syndrome(51.72%)and accumulation of excess phlegm-damp syndrome(21.84%).(6)The analysis of blood pressure in patients with various syndrome types showed that the DPP of patients with accumulation of excess phlegm-damp syndrome in the CSVD group was significantly higher than that in the non-CSVD group(P<0.01),and the 24hDBP and NDBP of patients with yin deficiency and yang hyperactivity syndrome in the CSVD group were significantly higher than those in the non-CSVD group(P<0.01).Conclusion It is indicated that 24hSBP,maximum SBP,elevated morning SBP,and abnormal blood pressure circadian rhythms may be the important risk factors for the hypertensive CSVD in the elderly.Elderly hypertensive patients with accumulation of excess phlegm-damp syndrome should pay more attention to the mean daytime pulse pressure,and elderly hypertensive patients with yin deficiency and yang hyperactivity syndrome should pay more attention to monitoring DBP.The dynamic observation and early control of the blood pressure is helpful for the prevention and treatment of CSVD in the elderly patients with hypertension.
3.Research progress on acquired RET fusion induces secondary resistance to EGFR therapy in advanced EGFR-mutated non-small cell lung cancer
An WANG ; Tao LI ; Di LU ; Yun-Ye MAO ; Jia-Pei QIN ; Xin ZHOU ; Hao FAN ; Yi HU
Medical Journal of Chinese People's Liberation Army 2024;49(9):1080-1087
With the in-depth study of molecular biology,non-small cell lung cancer(NSCLC)has opened the era of precision medicine based on mutation-based molecular targeting therapy.Epidermal growth factor receptor(EGFR)driver mutations are closely related to the progression of NSCLC,and EGFR-tyrosine kinase inhibitors(TKIs)developed based on this have achieved significant therapeutic effects,but acquired drug resistance is still one of the major factors limiting their long-term use.As resistance mechanisms are further investigated,in addition to secondary EGFR mutation,MET amplification,HER2 amplification,histologic transformation,etc.,receptor tyrosine kinase(RTK)fusion mutation have been shown to be a targetable mechanism of acquired resistance.Among the acquired RTK fusion mutations,rearranged during transfection(RET)fusion mutations are the accessible targets of our concern.As the RET molecule continues to be explored,drugs targeting RET fusions have been approved and marketed.There are different clinical strategies to deal with acquired RET fusion mutation mediating resistance to EGFR-TKIs treatment.In this review,the structure and function of RET,its relationship with EGFR-TKIs resistance,and treatment strategies are reviewed to further improve patient survival outcomes.
4.Expression and mechanism of N6-methyladenosine methylation-related factors in the repair of skeletal muscle injury in mice
Jia-Yin LU ; Zhi-Chao YAO ; Xiao-Jing HAO ; Yi YAN ; Pei MA ; Hui-Ling ZHANG ; Hai-Dong WANG
Acta Anatomica Sinica 2024;55(3):285-294
Objective To investigate the dynamic expression with the time change of N6-methyladenosine(m6A)methylation-related factors in the repair process of skeletal muscle injury and its mechanism in the inflammatory response of macrophage in the injure process.Methods In vivo mice models of BaCl2 injury in the gastrocnemius were established.Four mice per group in the control group and injury group.Gastrocnemius tissues were harvested at day 1,3,5,7,and 9 after injury for experiments.Primary gastrocnemius muscle tissue cells,muscle satellite cells,muscle cells,and cell line C2C12 cells were treated with dexamethasone(DEX,50 μmol/L)to mimic injury.Lipopolysaccharide(LPS,100 μg/L)induced RAW264.7 cell lines to mimic the inflammatory response after skeletal muscle injury,and STM2457(30 μmol/L)was added to inhibit the effect of methyltransferase 3(Mettl3)before LPS treatment.The expression of m6A methylation-related factors(Writers,Erasers,Readers)and inflammation factors were detected by Real-time PCR and Western blotting.Results The muscle fibers were dissolved and then gradually repaired with the extension of injury time,the number of monocytes/macrophages increased first and then decreased,and the Pax7 mRNA level increased first and then decreased with the change of injury time.Compared with the control group,the mRNA and protein levels of m6A methylation-related factors in gastrocnemius did not change significantly on the injury-1 day.However,they were significantly increased on the injury-3 days compared with the control group(P<0.05),and then obviously decreased on the injury-5 days group compared with the injury-3 days group(P<0.05).Compared with the control group,they were no significant differences on the injury-7 days group and-9 days group.In vitro DEX decreased the mRNA levels of m6A methyltransferase factors in primary muscle satellite cells and C2C12 cells and increased the mRNA expression level of methylation-recognition enzyme factors(P<0.05).The mRNA levels of m6A methylation-related factors increased significantly in skeletal muscle tissue cells and myocytes after DEX treatment(P<0.05).After LPS treatment,the mRNA and protein expression levels of m6A methylation-related factors and the mRNA expression levels of inflammatory factors interleukin(IL)-6 and IL-1β in macrophages increased significantly(P<0.05),while the levels of IL-6 and IL-1β mRNA in macrophages decreased significantly when the Mettl3 was inhibited(P<0.05).Conclusion m6A methylation-related factors primarily is activated in the damaged muscle cells and inflammation response of macrophages.Inhibition of m6A methyltransferase can reduce the inflammatory response of macrophages.
5.Artificial intelligence predicts direct-acting antivirals failure among hepatitis C virus patients: A nationwide hepatitis C virus registry program
Ming-Ying LU ; Chung-Feng HUANG ; Chao-Hung HUNG ; Chi‐Ming TAI ; Lein-Ray MO ; Hsing-Tao KUO ; Kuo-Chih TSENG ; Ching-Chu LO ; Ming-Jong BAIR ; Szu-Jen WANG ; Jee-Fu HUANG ; Ming-Lun YEH ; Chun-Ting CHEN ; Ming-Chang TSAI ; Chien-Wei HUANG ; Pei-Lun LEE ; Tzeng-Hue YANG ; Yi-Hsiang HUANG ; Lee-Won CHONG ; Chien-Lin CHEN ; Chi-Chieh YANG ; Sheng‐Shun YANG ; Pin-Nan CHENG ; Tsai-Yuan HSIEH ; Jui-Ting HU ; Wen-Chih WU ; Chien-Yu CHENG ; Guei-Ying CHEN ; Guo-Xiong ZHOU ; Wei-Lun TSAI ; Chien-Neng KAO ; Chih-Lang LIN ; Chia-Chi WANG ; Ta-Ya LIN ; Chih‐Lin LIN ; Wei-Wen SU ; Tzong-Hsi LEE ; Te-Sheng CHANG ; Chun-Jen LIU ; Chia-Yen DAI ; Jia-Horng KAO ; Han-Chieh LIN ; Wan-Long CHUANG ; Cheng-Yuan PENG ; Chun-Wei- TSAI ; Chi-Yi CHEN ; Ming-Lung YU ;
Clinical and Molecular Hepatology 2024;30(1):64-79
Background/Aims:
Despite the high efficacy of direct-acting antivirals (DAAs), approximately 1–3% of hepatitis C virus (HCV) patients fail to achieve a sustained virological response. We conducted a nationwide study to investigate risk factors associated with DAA treatment failure. Machine-learning algorithms have been applied to discriminate subjects who may fail to respond to DAA therapy.
Methods:
We analyzed the Taiwan HCV Registry Program database to explore predictors of DAA failure in HCV patients. Fifty-five host and virological features were assessed using multivariate logistic regression, decision tree, random forest, eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), and artificial neural network. The primary outcome was undetectable HCV RNA at 12 weeks after the end of treatment.
Results:
The training (n=23,955) and validation (n=10,346) datasets had similar baseline demographics, with an overall DAA failure rate of 1.6% (n=538). Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that liver cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma, poor DAA adherence, and higher hemoglobin A1c were significantly associated with virological failure. XGBoost outperformed the other algorithms and logistic regression models, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 1.000 in the training dataset and 0.803 in the validation dataset. The top five predictors of treatment failure were HCV RNA, body mass index, α-fetoprotein, platelets, and FIB-4 index. The accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value of the XGBoost model (cutoff value=0.5) were 99.5%, 69.7%, 99.9%, 97.4%, and 99.5%, respectively, for the entire dataset.
Conclusions
Machine learning algorithms effectively provide risk stratification for DAA failure and additional information on the factors associated with DAA failure.
6.Effect of Plasmacytoid Dendritic Cell Dose in Grafts on CMV Infection after Allogeneic Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation.
Di YAO ; Yuan-Yuan TIAN ; Jun LU ; Pei-Fang XIAO ; Jing LING ; De-Fei ZHENG ; Jing GAO ; Li-Yan FAN ; Jia-Jia ZHENG ; Jie LI ; Shao-Yan HU
Journal of Experimental Hematology 2023;31(4):1184-1191
OBJECTIVE:
To investigate the correlation between plasmacytoid dendritic cell (pDC) dose in grafts and the occurrence of cytomegalovirus (CMV) infection after allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HSCT).
METHODS:
The clinical data of 80 children who received allo-HSCT in Children's Hospital of Soochow University from August 20, 2020 to June 11, 2021 were retrospectively analyzed. Proportions of DC subsets and T-cell subsets in grafts were detected by flow cytometry in order to calculate infused cell dose of each cell. Weekly monitoring of CMV-DNA copies in peripheral blood for each child were performed after transplantation. The last follow-up date was December 31, 2021.
RESULTS:
All the children gained hematopoietic reconstitution. CMV infection was observed in 51 children (63.8%±5.4%) within the first 100 days after transplantation, including 2 cases developing CMV disease. Univariate analysis indicated that infused doses of DC and pDC were significantly associated with CMV infection within 100 days after allo-HSCT (P <0.05). Multivariate analysis indicated that a high dose infusion of pDC was an independent protective factor for CMV infection within 100 days after allo-HSCT (P <0.05). By the end of follow-up, 7 children died of transplantation-related complications, including 2 deaths from CMV disease, 2 deaths from extensive chronic graft-versus-host disease, and 3 deaths from capillary leak syndrome. The overall survival rate was 91.2%.
CONCLUSION
The pDC in grafts may be associated with early infection of CMV after allo-HSCT, while a high infused pDC dose may serve as a protective factor for CMV infection after transplantation.
Child
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Humans
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Retrospective Studies
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Graft vs Host Disease/complications*
;
Cytomegalovirus Infections
;
Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation/adverse effects*
;
Dendritic Cells
7.Association of cumulative resting heart rate exposure with rapid renal function decline: a prospective cohort study with 27,564 older adults.
Xi JIANG ; Xian SHAO ; Xing LI ; Pu-Fei BAI ; Hong-Yan LIU ; Jia-Mian CHEN ; Wei-Xi WU ; Zhuang CUI ; Fang HOU ; Chun-Lan LU ; Sai-Jun ZHOU ; Pei YU
Journal of Geriatric Cardiology 2023;20(9):673-683
OBJECTIVE:
To evaluate the prospective association between cumulative resting heart rate (cumRHR) and rapid renal function decline (RRFD) in a cohort of individuals aged 60 and older.
METHODS:
In the Tianjin Chronic Kidney Disease Cohort Study, the individuals who underwent three consecutive physical examinations between 2014 and 2017, with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) greater than 60 mL/min per 1.73 m2 and aged 60 years or older were enrolled. A total of 27,564 patients were prospectively followed up from January 1, 2017 to December 31, 2020. The 3-year cumRHR was calculated. The primary outcome was RRFD, defined as an annualized decline in eGFR of 5 mL/min per 1.73 m2 or greater. Logistic and restricted spline regression models and subgroup analysis were used to investigate the association of cumRHR with RRFD after adjusting for all confounders.
RESULTS:
During a median follow-up of 3.2 years, a total of 4,347 (15.77%) subjects developed RRFD. In fully-adjusted models, compared with the lowest quartile of cumRHR, the odds ratio (OR) for the highest was 1.44 (1.28-1.61), P < 0.001. Furthermore, each 1-standard deviation (27.97 beats/min per year) increment in cumRHR was associated with a 17% (P < 0.001) increased risk of RRFD, with a linear positive correlation (P for non-linear = 0.803). Participants with a 3-year cumRHR ≥ 207 (beats/min) * year (equivalent to ≥ 69 beats/min per year in 3 years) were found to be at a higher risk of RRFD.
CONCLUSIONS
The cumRHR is significantly associated with a higher risk of RRFD among older adults. These results might provide an effective goal for managing and delaying the decline of renal function in the older adults.
8.Research progress on the role of gut microbiota in ocular diseases
International Eye Science 2023;23(7):1153-1157
Many studies have confirmed that gut microbiota plays a pivotal role in human health. It affects multiple organ systems other than the digestive tract. The bidirectional communication between the microbiota and the human body is finely orchestrated by different systems, including the nervous, immune, and endocrine systems. Moreover, intestinal flora imbalance plays an important role in the occurrence and development of ocular diseases such as glaucoma, uveitis, diabetic retinopathy, and age-related macular degeneration. Multiple microbiota and related metabolite(involving both microbe and host)both impact ocular diseases in animal models and demonstrate striking associations in clinical studies. Therefore, modulation of gut microbiota and metabolite may be beneficial for the maintenance of ocular homeostasis and the treatment of related ocular diseases. This article reviews the recent progress in the studies on relationship between intestinal microorganisms and several common ocular diseases, providing therapeutic targets for potential translational investigations within this research field.
9.Application of discrete event simulation model in analysis on cost-effectiveness of epidemiology screening.
Jia Min WANG ; Qiu Ping LIU ; Chao GONG ; Ming Lu ZHANG ; Pei GAO ; Xun TANG ; Yong Hua HU
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2023;44(3):463-469
Discrete event simulation (DES) model is based on individual data, by which discrete events over time are simulated to reflect disease progression. The effects of individual characteristics on disease progression could be considered in the DES model. Moreover, unlike state-transition models, DES model without setting of fixed cycle can contribute to more accurate estimation of event time, especially in the evaluation of the long-term effectiveness of screening strategies for complex diseases in which time dimension needs to be considered. This article introduces the general principles, construction steps, analytic methods and other relevant issues of the DES model. Based on a research case of estimating the cost-effectiveness of screening for abdominal aortic aneurysms in women aged 65 years and above in the United Kingdom, key points in applications of the DES model in analysis on effectiveness of complex disease screening are discussed in detail, including model construction and analysis and interpretation of the results. DES model can predict occurring time of discrete events accurately by establishing the distribution function of their occurring time and is increasingly used to evaluate the screening strategies for complex diseases in which time dimension needs to be considered. In the construction of DES model, it is necessary to pay close attention to the clear presentation of model structure and simulation process and follow the relevant reporting specification to conduct cost-effectiveness analysis to ensure the transparency and repeatability of the research.
Humans
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Female
;
Cost-Benefit Analysis
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Cost-Effectiveness Analysis
;
Disease Progression
10.Comparison of aspirin treatment strategies for primary prevention of cardiovascular diseases: A decision-analytic Markov modelling study.
Ming Lu ZHANG ; Qiu Ping LIU ; Chao GONG ; Jia Min WANG ; Tian Jing ZHOU ; Xiao Fei LIU ; Peng SHEN ; Hong Bo LIN ; Xun TANG ; Pei GAO
Journal of Peking University(Health Sciences) 2023;55(3):480-487
OBJECTIVE:
To compare the expected population impact of benefit and risk of aspirin treatment strategies for the primary prevention of cardiovascular diseases recommended by different guidelines in the Chinese Electronic Health Records Research in Yinzhou (CHERRY) study.
METHODS:
A decision-analytic Markov model was used to simulate and compare different strategies of aspirin treatment, including: Strategy ①: Aspirin treatment for Chinese adults aged 40-69 years with a high 10-year cardiovascular risk, recommended by the 2020 Chinese Guideline on the Primary Prevention of Cardiovascular Diseases; Strategy ②: Aspirin treatment for Chinese adults aged 40-59 years with a high 10-year cardiovascular risk, recommended by the 2022 United States Preventive Services Task Force Recommendation Statement on Aspirin Use to Prevent Cardiovascular Disease; Strategy ③: Aspirin treatment for Chinese adults aged 40-69 years with a high 10-year cardiovascular risk and blood pressure well-controlled (< 150/90 mmHg), recommended by the 2019 Guideline on the Assessment and Management of Cardio-vascular Risk in China. The high 10-year cardiovascular risk was defined as the 10-year predicted risk over 10% based on the 2019 World Health Organization non-laboratory model. The Markov model simulated different strategies for ten years (cycles) with parameters mainly from the CHERRY study or published literature. Quality-adjusted life year (QALY) and the number needed to treat (NNT) for each ischemic event (including myocardial infarction and ischemic stroke) were calculated to assess the effectiveness of the different strategies. The number needed to harm (NNH) for each bleeding event (including hemorrhagic stroke and gastrointestinal bleeding) was calculated to assess the safety. The NNT for each net benefit (i.e., the difference of the number of ischemic events could be prevented and the number of bleeding events would be added) was also calculated. One-way sensitivity analysis on the uncertainty of the incidence rate of cardiovascular diseases and probabilistic sensitivity analysis on the uncertainty of hazard ratios of interventions were conducted.
RESULTS:
A total of 212 153 Chinese adults, were included in this study. The number of people who were recommended for aspirin treatment Strategies ①-③ was 34 235, 2 813, and 25 111, respectively. The Strategy ③ could gain the most QALY of 403 [95% uncertainty interval (UI): 222-511] years. Compared with Strategy ①, Strategy ③ had similar efficiency but better safety, with the extra NNT of 4 (95%UI: 3-4) and NNH of 39 (95%UI: 19-132). The NNT per net benefit was 131 (95%UI: 102-239) for Strategy ①, 256 (95%UI: 181-737) for Strategy ②, and 132 (95%UI: 104-232) for Strategy ③, making Strategy ③ the most favorable option with a better QALY and safety, along with similar efficiency in terms of net benefit. The results were consistent in the sensitivity analyses.
CONCLUSION
The aspirin treatment strategies recommended by the updated guidelines on the primary prevention of cardiovascular diseases showed a net benefit for high-risk Chinese adults from developed areas. However, to balance effectiveness and safety, aspirin is suggested to be used for primary prevention of cardiovascular diseases with consideration for blood pressure control, resulting in better intervention efficiency.
Adult
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Humans
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Aspirin/therapeutic use*
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Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology*
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Gastrointestinal Hemorrhage
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Myocardial Infarction/prevention & control*
;
Primary Prevention/methods*
;
Middle Aged
;
Aged

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