1.Study on the disease burden and prediction of substance use disorder in China based on age-period-cohort model
Hui BI ; Danhua MA ; Guili XU ; Yunpeng HUA ; Liang XING
Chinese Journal of Pharmacoepidemiology 2024;33(7):760-769
Objective To analyze the incidence and disease burden of substance use disorder(SUD)in China from 1990 to 2019,to evaluate the impact of different ages,periods and birth cohorts on the disease burden of SUD,and to predict disease burden of SUD from 2020 to 2034,so as to provide strategies for the prevention of SUD.Methods Based on the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019(GBD 2019)database,the disease burden was described by incidence,years of life lost(YLLs),years lived with disability(YLDs)and disability-adjusted life years(DALYs).The Joinpoint regression model was used to analyze the trend of standardized incidence and standardized DALYs rate of SUD.Based on the age-period-cohort model,the age,period and cohort effects of SUD were discussed.The grey prediction model GM(1,1)was used to fit the trend of the incidence and standardized incidence of SUD and the trend of disease burden,and to predict the incidence and disease burden of SUD in 2020-2034.Results From 1990 to 2019,the standardized incidence of SUD of amphetamines[average annual percentage change(AAPC)=-0.9%]and cocaine(AAPC=-0.5%)in China showed a downward trend(P<0.001),and the standardized incidence of SUD of cannabis(AAPC=0.9%)showed an increasing trend year by year(P<0.001).The trend of standardized incidence of opioid abuse disorders was not obvious(P>0.05).The DALYs rate caused by the 4 SUD showed a decreasing trend year by year(AAPCamphetamines=-2.2%,AAPCcocaine=-1.5%,AAPCcannabis=-1.0%,AAPCopioids=-1.0%,P<0.001).The results of age-period-cohort effect showed that the peak incidence of amphetamine,cocaine,cannabis and opioid use disorders was in the 25-30 age group.The DALYs rate caused by cannabis SUD increased with age,while the DALYs rates of amphetamines,cocaine and opioids SUD reached the peak in the 25-29,30-34 and 35-39 age groups,respectively.The results of period effect showed that the risk of SUD in propylamines,cocaine and cannabis decreased first and then increased,while the risk of SUD in opioids increased and then decreased and increased again.The results of birth cohort effect showed that the risk of SUD of amphetamines,cocaine and opioids showed a decreasing trend as a whole except for a small fluctuation in individual birth cohorts.The risk of DALYs rate caused by SUD of amphetamines,cocaine and opioids showed a decreasing trend as a whole,while the risk of DALYs rate caused by SUD of cannabis showed an increasing trend year by year.The prediction results showed that the incidence of SUD of amphetamines,cocaine and opioids showed a downward trend from 2020 to 2034,and the incidence of SUD of cannabis showed a fluctuating upward trend.The DALYs attributed to SUD of amphetamines,cocaine,cannabis and opioids showed a decreasing trend year by year.Conclusion The disease burden of SUD in China is decreasing year by year in the future.The incidence and disease burden are affected by age effect,period effect and cohort effect to varying degrees.Early prevention and effective intervention are the key measures to control SUD.
2.Expert consensus on the treatment of oral and maxillofacial space infections
Yunpeng LI ; Bing SHI ; Junrui ZHANG ; Yanpu LIU ; Guofang SHEN ; Chuanbin GUO ; Chi YANG ; Zubing LI ; Zhiguang ZHANG ; Huiming WANG ; Li LU ; Kaijin HU ; Ping JI ; Biao XU ; Wei ZHANG ; Jingming LIU ; Zhongcheng GONG ; Zhanping REN ; Lei TIAN ; Hua YUAN ; Hui ZHANG ; Jie MA ; Liang KONG
Chinese Journal of Stomatology 2021;56(2):136-144
Oral and maxillofacial space infections (OMSI) are common diseases of the facial region involving fascial spaces. Recently, OMSI shows trends of multi drug-resistance, severe symptoms, and increased mortality. OMSI treatment principles need to be updated to improve the cure rate. Based on the clinical experiences of Chinese experts and with the incorporation of international counterparts′ expertise, the principles of preoperative checklist, interpretation of examination results, empirical medication principles, surgical treatment principles, postoperative drainage principles, prevention strategies of wisdom teeth pericoronitis-related OMSI, blood glucose management, physiotherapy principles, Ludwig′s angina treatment and perioperative care were systematically summarized and an expert consensus on the diagnosis and treatment of OMSI was reached. The consensus aims to provide criteria for the diagnosis and treatment of OMSI in China so as to improve the level of OMSI treatment.
3. Risk factor analysis of early complications after pancreaticoduodenectomy
Likun WANG ; Ming KUANG ; Yunpeng HUA ; Bin CHEN ; Qiang HE ; Qian WANG ; Lijian LIANG ; Baogang PENG
International Journal of Surgery 2019;46(9):626-630
Objective:
To analyse of risk factors for early complications after pancreaticoduodenectomy.
Methods:
Retrospective analysis of 280 cases of pancreaticoduodenectomy in the First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University from January 1999 to October 2009, including 175 males and 105 females; the average age was 57 years, the range is 19 to 81 years old. Observe the perioperative condition and postoperative complications of the patient. Logistic regression analysis was used to analyze risk factors associated with early postoperative complications.
Results:
Among the 280 patients, 81.1% had preoperative jaundice with obstructive jaundice, the median operation time was 5.5 h. the intraoperative blood loss was (558.0±35.0) ml, 16 patients underwent multiple organ resection. The total postoperative complications was 31.1%. Common postoperative complications were abdominal infection/abscess (10.4%), hemorrhage (7.1%), and pancreatic fistula (2.1%). The pancreaticoenterostomy was mainly performed with a nested end-to-end anastomosis (87.1%) and a bundled pancreaticojejunostomy (7.9%). Logistic regression analysis showed that age, comorbidity, jaundice, preoperative yellowing, pancreatic texture, pancreatic duct placement, prophylactic application of somatostatin, combined organ resection and pancreaticojejunostomy were not predictor of major postoperative complications.
Conclusions
The incidence of early abdominal complication after pancreaticoduodenectomy is high. There is no significant correlation between the common risk factors in perioperative period and the occurrence of serious complications in the early postoperative period.
4.Hepatic Resection Provides Survival Benefit for Selected Intermediate-Stage (BCLC-B) Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients.
Zhang ZHAOHUI ; Shen SHUNLI ; Chen BIN ; Li SHAOQIANG ; Hua YUNPENG ; Kuang MING ; Liang LIJIAN ; Peng Bao GANG
Cancer Research and Treatment 2019;51(1):65-72
PURPOSE: The intermediate stage of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) (Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer [BCLC] B) comprises a highly heterogeneous population, and the treatment strategy is still controversial. Because of the heterogeneity, a subclassification of intermediate-stage HCCs was put forward by Bolondi according to the ‘beyond Milan and within up-to-7' criteria and Child-Pugh score. In this study, we aim to analyze the prognosis of BCLC-B stage HCC patients who received hepatic resection according to the Bolondi's subclassification. MATERIALS AND METHODS: One thousand and one hundred three patients diagnosedwith HCC and treatedwith hepatic resectionwere enrolled in our hospital between 2006 and 2012. According to Bolondi's subclassification, the BCLC-B patients were divided into four groups. Recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) were analyzed. RESULTS: According to Bolondi's subclassification, the BCLC-B patients were divided into four groups: B1 (n=41, 18.7%), B2 (n=160, 73.1%), B3 (n=11, 5.0%), and B4 (n=7, 3.2%). Significant difference was observed between B1 and other groups (B1 vs. B2, p=0.022; B1 vs. B3, p < 0.001; B1 vs. B4, p < 0.001), but no difference for B2 vs. B4 (p=0.542) and B3 vs. B4 (p=0.542). In addition, no significant differences were observed between BCLC-A and BCLC-B1 group for both RFS (p=0.087) and OS (p=0.643). In multivariate analysis, BCLC-B subclassification was not a risk factor for both OS (p=0.263) and RFS (p=0.892). CONCLUSION: In our study, HCC patients at B1 stagewere benefited from hepatic resection and had similar survival to BCLC-A stage patients. Our study provided rationality of hepatic resection for selected BCLC-B stage HCC patients instead of routine transarterial chemoembolization.
Carcinoma, Hepatocellular*
;
Hepatectomy
;
Humans
;
Liver Neoplasms
;
Multivariate Analysis
;
Population Characteristics
;
Prognosis
;
Risk Factors
5. The role of anatomical hepatectomy in the treatment of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma
Xiangsong WU ; Yan CHEN ; Yunpeng JIN ; Maolan LI ; Wenguang WU ; Wei GONG ; Yingbin LIU ; Shuyou PENG
Chinese Journal of Surgery 2018;56(4):269-273
Objective:
To evaluate the role of anatomical hepatectomy in the treatment of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma.
Methods:
The cases of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma who received curative surgery in two hospitals from 2010 to 2015 were analyzed retrospectively. Among the 98 patients enrolled in this study, 55 were male and 43 were female. The median age was 61 years. According to receiving anatomical hepatectomy or not, the 98 cases were divided into two groups: non-anatomical hepatectomy(
6.The prognosis prediction value of the 8th edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer Staging System in patients with resectable hepatocellular carcinoma
Qiao LI ; Yunpeng HUA ; Fei JI ; Shaoqiang LI ; Lijian LIANG ; Baogang PENG
Chinese Journal of General Surgery 2018;33(3):208-213
Objective To compare the prognosis prediction value of the 8th edition with the 7th edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer Staging System in patients with resectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).Methods A total of 311 HCC patients after hepatectomy were retrospectively analysed.Patients were staged according to both the 7th edition (TNM-7) and 8th edition (TNM-8) AJCC TNM staging criteria.The survival rates were estimated using Kaplan-Meier methods.Multivariate analysis was assessed by Cox proportional hazards regression analysis.The predictive ability of staging systems was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) and area under curve (AUC).Results When stratified according to the TNM-7 system,the overall survival(OS) of stage T1 was higher than that of stage T2,stage T2 higher than stage T3a,however,the 5-year OS rates of stage T4 (16.7%) was higher than those of stage T3a (14.3%) and T3b(10.9%).The difference in survival was significant between stages T1 and stage T3a,T3b,T4 (all P <0.05),and that between stages T2 and stage T3b,T4 (all P <0.05).When stratified according to the TNM-8 system,the survival rates decreased as the T stage going high.OS rates vary significantly between stagesT1a and stageT3,T4 (P =0.004,0.001),between stage T1b and stage T3,T4 (both P < 0.001),and between stage T2 and stage T4 (P =0.009).The difference in disease free survival (DFS) rates was significant between stages T1a,T1b,T2 and stage T3,T4 (all P <0.01).Finally,the area under ROC of TNM-8 is bigger than that of TNM-7.Conclusions Compared with TNM-7 staging,new TNM-8 staging can predict more accurately the prognosis of patients with resectable hepatocellular carcinoma.
7.Declined Preoperative Aspartate Aminotransferase to Neutrophil Ratio Index Predicts Poor Prognosis in Patients with Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma after Hepatectomy.
Lingyun LIU ; Wei WANG ; Yi ZHANG ; Jianting LONG ; Zhaohui ZHANG ; Qiao LI ; Bin CHEN ; Shaoqiang LI ; Yunpeng HUA ; Shunli SHEN ; Baogang PENG
Cancer Research and Treatment 2018;50(2):538-550
PURPOSE: Various inflammation-based prognostic biomarkers such as the platelet to lymphocyte ratio and neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio, are related to poor survival in patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC). This study aims to investigate the prognostic value of the aspartate aminotransferase to neutrophil ratio index (ANRI) in ICC after hepatic resection. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Data of 184 patients with ICC after hepatectomy were retrospectively reviewed. The cut-off value of ANRI was determined by a receiver operating characteristic curve. Preoperative ANRI and clinicopathological variables were analyzed. The predictive value of preoperative ANRI for prognosis of ICC was identified by univariate and multivariate analyses. RESULTS: The optimal cut-off value of ANRI was 6.7. ANRI was associated with tumor size, tumor recurrence, white blood cell, neutrophil count, aspartate aminotransferase, and alanine transaminase. Univariate analysis showed that ANRI, sex, tumor number, tumor size, tumor differentiation, lymph node metastasis, resection margin, clinical TNM stage, neutrophil count, and carcinoembryonic antigen were markedly correlated with overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) in patients with ICC. Multivariable analyses revealed that ANRI, a tumor size > 6 cm, poor tumor differentiation, and an R1 resection margin were independent prognostic factors for both OS and DFS. Additionally, preoperative ANRI also had a significant value to predict prognosis in various subgroups of ICC, including serum hepatitis B surface antigen‒negative and preoperative elevated carbohydrate antigen 19-9 patients. CONCLUSION: Preoperative declined ANRI is a noninvasive, simple, and effective predictor of poor prognosis in patients with ICC after hepatectomy.
Alanine Transaminase
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Aspartate Aminotransferases*
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Aspartic Acid*
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Biomarkers
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Blood Platelets
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Carcinoembryonic Antigen
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Cholangiocarcinoma*
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Disease-Free Survival
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Hepatectomy*
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Hepatitis B
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Humans
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Leukocytes
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Lymph Nodes
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Lymphocytes
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Multivariate Analysis
;
Neoplasm Metastasis
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Neutrophils*
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Prognosis*
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Recurrence
;
Retrospective Studies
;
ROC Curve
8.The time-dependent evolution spectrum of acute care surgery patients: a real world study based on 23 795 electronic admission medical records
Lu FENG ; Hua JIANG ; Mingwei SUN ; Yunpeng MA ; Jing PENG ; Zhiyuan ZHOU ; Bin CAI ; Zhongning JIANG ; Hao YANG ; Lu Damien CHARLES ; Jun ZENG
Chinese Journal of Emergency Medicine 2017;26(12):1427-1431
Objective One of the major challenges to emergency department is to provide high quality and time sensitive service under limitation of human/material resources,along with patients population with extremely complex conditions.We presented a study that based on a big data got from real world and used wavelet transform technique to analyze time-dependent diseases spectrum patterns and evolution patterns,which will provide solid methodological support for optimizing resources configuration for acute care surgery service.Methods Record data of patients admitted to acute care surgery from 2007-2014 were collected by using data management tool (Avaintec,Helsinki,Finland).The data were cleansed and were transformed to continuing spectrum according to time series of admission time points (per 9 hours).Matlab was used for wavelet transform,and applied five levels of wavelet decomposition and calculated the best decomposition levels by K-mean algorithm for each level.Then we used aprori algorithm for data mining (frequent patterns mining).Results A total of 23 795 cases were enrolled and acute abdomens were made up biggest proportion of admission.Meanwhile,it is found that the spectrum of acute care surgery admission frequency was a complex rising sequence.After wavelet decomposition,signal wave A reflexed trends evolution in a given time scale,and noise wave D reflexed minutia at relevant time scale.In another words,a principal wave A1 represented fluctuation at a cycle of 16 days.Noise wave D1 reflected intensity level in this 16 days' cycle.For example,the 5 · 12 episodes of massive earthquake in 2008 were included in the study,it is found that a significant noise wave at D3 level that indicated a 4 days' cycle.Clinically,it indicated explosive admissions to acute care surgery in 4 days.Conclusions The admission spectrum to acute care surgery is a phenomenon of multi-scale.Based on wavelet decomposing,we can easily analyze the rule of admission spectrum from electronic records of patients and can be used for optimization the emergency medicine resources.
9.Efficacy of nucleoside analogues antiviral therapy on clinical outcome for HBV-related primary hepatic carcinoma patients after hepatectomy
Hongbing YAO ; Mingbo WEN ; Yunpeng HUA ; Gao HUANG ; Guihua LI
The Journal of Practical Medicine 2016;32(15):2468-2470
Objective To evaluate the efficacy of nucleoside analogues (NAs) antiviral therapy on clinical outcome for hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related primary hepatic carcinoma patients after hepatectomy. Methods The clinical data of 156 HBV-related primary hepatic carcinoma patients after hepatectomy were retrospectively analyzed..According to whether accepted postoperative antiviral treatment, all patients were divided into control group (n = 80)and observation group (n = 76). The serum HBV DNA capacity, recurrence-free survival (RFS)and overall survival (OS)were compared between two groups. Results One week, 1 month, 2 months and 3 months after operation , the serum HBV DNA capacity of observation group was significantly lower than that of control group(P < 0.05). One year, 3 years and 5 years after operation, intergroup comparison of RFS rate of both groups showed statistical significance (P < 0.05) and 1 year, 3 years and 5 years after operation, the difference of OS rate of both groups indicated statistical significance (P < 0.05). Conclusion Standard NAs antiviral treatment for HBV-related primary hepatic carcinoma patients after hepatectomy ,can improve prognosis and prolong survival time. The inhibition the HBV copy active may be its mechanism.
10.Value of preoperative prognostic nutritional index in postoperative survival prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma patients
Yunpeng HUA ; Fei JI ; Shunjun FU ; Shunli SHEN ; Shaoqiang LI ; Lijian LIANG ; Baogang PENG
Chinese Journal of Hepatic Surgery(Electronic Edition) 2015;(6):363-367
ObjectiveTo investigate the value of preoperative prognostic nutritional index (PNI) in postoperative survival prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients.Methods Clinical data of 322 HCC patients undergoing radical resection in the First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University between January 2006 and December 2009 were retrospectively studied. Among the 322 patients, 286 were males and 36 were females with the age ranging from 21 to 79 years old and the median age of 51 years old. The informed consents of all patients were obtained and the local ethical committee approval had been received. PNI value was calculated according to the examination results 1 week before surgery, then the patients were divided into the high PNI group (n=253) and low PNI group (n=69). The relationship between PNI and postoperative survival time was observed, and the value of preoperative PNI in postoperative survival prognosis was analyzed. The survival analysis was conducted using Kaplan-Meier method and Log-rank test, and the multivariate analysis was conducted using Cox proportional hazards model.ResultsThe 1-, 3-, 5-year disease free survival rate was respectively 48.0%, 34.9% and 31.3% in high PNI group, and 33.3%, 15.8% and 11.7% in low PNI group. The disease free survival in high PNI group was significantly better than that in low PNI group (χ2=9.990,P<0.05). The 1-, 3-, 5-year overall survival rate was respectively 72.3%, 49.0% and 42.6% in high PNI group, and 65.2%, 36.2% and 25.9% in low PNI group. The overall survival in high PNI group was significantly better than that in low PNI group (χ2=8.172,P<0.05). The results of the multivariate analysis showed that AFP, tumor number, tumor diameter, portal vein tumor thrombus (PVTT) and PNI were the independent risk factors for disease free survival rate (HR=1.355, 0.783, 2.295, 1.920, 0.710;P<0.05), and tumor number, tumor diameter, PVTT and PNI were the independent risk factors for overall survival rate (HR=0.780, 2.340, 2.013, 0.653;P<0.05).ConclusionsPreoperative PNI is the independent risk factor for postoperative survival prognosis of HCC patients and can be used as the common index for predicting postoperative survival of HCC patients.

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