1.Study on the correlation between inflammatory indicators in the hyperacute phase of acute ischemic stroke and early neurological deterioration, syndrome factors, and prognosis
Ligaoge KANG ; Ying GAO ; Jinyue BAI ; Huan TANG ; Hongbo SHEN ; Lei LIU ; Lingbo KONG
Journal of Beijing University of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2025;48(1):98-107
		                        		
		                        			Objective:
		                        			Inflammatory cascade reactions play a crucial role in secondary neuronal injury in acute ischemic stroke (AIS). The aim of this study was to explore the correlations between specific serological indicators, early neurological deterioration (END), disease prognosis, and syndrome factors in AIS based on this injury mechanism.
		                        		
		                        			Methods:
		                        			The data for this study were collected from 135 patients with AIS admitted to the emergency department of Fangshan Hospital, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, within 24 h of onset between November 2019 and May 2021. Among these, 29 patients had complete data and experienced END. Additionally, 9 non-END patients were matched from the remaining 90 patients with complete data, resulting in a total of 38 patients for statistical analysis. Statistical methods, including logistic regression and receiver operating curves, were used to analyze the correlation between serum levels of tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α), interleukin-6 (IL-6), interleukin-10 (IL-10), vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF), and intercellular adhesion molecule-1 (ICAM-1) within 24 h of END onset, disease prognosis, and syndrome factors. Grouping criteria included END occurrence, presence of syndrome elements on the first and third day post-onset, and prognosis at 90 days post-onset. 
		                        		
		                        			Results:
		                        			All 38 cases had onset time of less than 12 h, and there were no significant differences in age, gender, and onset time between the END and non-END groups. The TNF-α serum level within 24 h of onset was not associated with the occurrence of END but was negatively correlated with all-cause mortality at 90 days [0.1
		                        		
		                        	
2.Study on the correlation between cranial CT features of acute ischemic stroke onset within 24 h and early neurological deterioration, 90 d prognosis, and traditional Chinese medicine syndrome elements
Ligaoge KANG ; Ying GAO ; Huan TANG ; Hongbo SHEN ; Lei LIU ; Liya LIU ; Yan GAO ; Lingbo KONG
Journal of Beijing University of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2025;48(3):424-437
		                        		
		                        			Objective:
		                        			To investigate the potential of conventional cranial computed tomography (CT) in assessing the early neurological deterioration(END), long-term prognosis, and traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) syndrome elements during the acute phase in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS).
		                        		
		                        			Methods:
		                        			This study included 101 patients with AIS onset within 24 h in the Emergency Department of Fangshan Hospital, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, from November 2019 to May 2021. To investigate the correlation between the relevant characteristics of the first conventional cranial CT in patients with AIS onset within 24 h and END, 90 d prognosis, and initial syndrome elements, the presence or absence of END, the 90 d prognosis (non-disabling outcome or functionally independent outcome), and the establishment of syndrome elements (internal fire, phlegm-dampness, blood stasis, qi deficiency, yin deficiency) were used as dependent variables and grouping criteria.
		                        		
		                        			Results:
		                        			This study included 61 males and 40 females, with an age of (64.43±10.56) years. The time from onset to conventional cranial CT examination was 3.50 (1.50, 9.75) h. Among the patients, there were 70 cases (69.3%) of mild AIS, 30 cases (29.7%) of moderate AIS, and one case (1.0%) of severe AIS. Fifteen patients (14.9%) received intravenous thrombolysis. Among the 101 patients, six syndrome elements were observed within 24 h of onset: internal wind in 101 cases (100.0%), internal fire in 58 cases (57.4%), phlegm-dampness in 60 cases (59.4%), blood stasis in 67 cases (66.3%), qi deficiency in 39 cases (38.6%), and yin deficiency in 23 cases (22.8%). The incidence of END was higher in patients with lesions in the contralateral cerebral hemisphere to the affected limb (32.9%) than in those without such lesions (10.7%), showing a strong positive correlation with END occurrence (OR=4.082, P = 0.026). The incidence of END was higher in patients with lesions in the basal ganglia region (33.3%) and the carotid system blood supply area (32.8%) than in those without lesions in the basal ganglia region (15.8%) and the carotid system territory (14.7%), showing moderate positive correlations with END occurrence (OR=2.667, P =0.047; OR=2.836, P=0.044). The proportion of non-disabling outcomes was lower among patients with white matter degeneration (30.8%) and lesions in the contralateral cerebral hemisphere to the affected limb (52.1%) than in those without white matter degeneration (63.6%) and without such lesions in the contralateral cerebral hemisphere to the affected limb (78.6%), both showing strong negative correlations with the occurrence of non-disabling outcomes (OR=0.254, P=0.034; OR=0.296, P=0.015). Similarly, the proportion of functionally independent outcomes was lower among individuals with white matter degeneration (30.8%) and lesions in the contralateral cerebral hemisphere to the affected limb (64.4%) than in those without white matter degeneration (77.3%) and without such lesions in the contralateral cerebral hemisphere to the affected limb (89.3%), both also showing strong negative correlations with the occurrence of functionally independent outcomes (OR=0.131, P=0.001; OR=0.217, P=0.014). The incidence rates of internal fire, blood stasis, and yin deficiency syndrome elements were 66.7%, 73.0%, and 30.2%, respectively, among patients with lesions in the basal ganglia region, compared to 42.1%, 55.3%, and 10.5% among those without lesions in this region. The presence of lesions in the basal ganglia region showed moderate to strong positive correlations with internal fire and yin deficiency syndrome elements (OR=2.750, P=0.016; OR=3.670, P=0.028). Patients with lesions in the centrum semiovale and corona radiata regions (66.7%) had a higher incidence of qi deficiency than those without lesions in this region (33.7%), showing a strong positive correlation with the occurrence of qi deficiency (OR=3.931, P=0.022). No CT characteristics were found to be correlated with phlegm-dampness syndrome elements.
		                        		
		                        			Conclusion
		                        			The first cranial CT in patients with AIS has potential application value in predicting disease progression, assessing prognosis, and diagnosing syndromes, which can provide physicians with diagnostic and treatment decisions to improve the long-term prognosis of patients with AIS.
		                        		
		                        		
		                        		
		                        	
3.Development and application of digital technology in craniomaxillofacial surgery
Chinese Journal of Stomatology 2024;59(11):1088-1093
		                        		
		                        			
		                        			The treatment of craniomaxillofacial (CMF) defects and deformities is highly challenging due to the complex anatomical structures, significant individual variations and high demands for personalized reconstruction. In recent decades, the integration of cutting-edge technologies from fields such as computer science, mechanical engineering, and material science into medicine has greatly facilitated the transformation of CMF surgery from traditional, experience-based approaches to digitalized and intelligent methods. This review thoroughly analyzes the development and application areas of digital technology in CMF surgery including virtual surgical planning and facial prediction, three-dimensional printing, computer-assisted navigation and robotic surgery, virtual and mixed reality, as well as big data and artificial intelligence technologies. The aim is to offer comprehensive and in-depth reference information for the clinical practice in digital CMF surgery.
		                        		
		                        		
		                        		
		                        	
4.Analysis of risk factors for trauma-induced coagulopathy in elderly major trauma patients
Kang YANGBO ; Yang QI ; Ding HONGBO ; Hu YUFENG ; Shen JIASHENG ; Ruan FENG ; Chen BOJIN ; Feng YIPING ; Jin YUCHEN ; Xu SHANXIANG ; Jiang LIBING ; Wang GUIRONG ; Xu YONG'AN
World Journal of Emergency Medicine 2024;15(6):475-480
		                        		
		                        			
		                        			BACKGROUND:Trauma-induced coagulopathy(TIC)due to serious injuries significantly leads to increased mortality and morbidity among elderly patients.However,the risk factors of TIC are not well elucidated.This study aimed to explore the risk factors of TIC in elderly patients who have major trauma. METHODS:In this retrospective study,the risk factors for TIC in elderly trauma patients at a single trauma center were investigated between January 2015 and September 2020.The demographic information including gender,age,trauma parts,injury severity,use of blood products,use of vasopressors,need of emergency surgery,duration of mechanical ventilation,length of stay in the intensive care unit(ICU)and hospital,and clinical outcomes were extracted from electric medical records.Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to differentiate risk factors,and the performance of the model was evaluated using receiver operating characteristics(ROC)curves. RESULTS:Among the 371 elderly trauma patients,248(66.8%)were male,with the age of 72.5±6.8 years,median injury severity score(ISS)of 24(IQR:17-29),and Glasgow coma score(GCS)of 14(IQR:7-15).Of these patients,129(34.8%)were diagnosed with TIC,whereas 242(65.2%)were diagnosed with non-TIC.The severity scores such as ISS(25[20-34]vs.21[16-29],P<0.001)and shock index(SI),(0.90±0.66 vs.0.58±0.18,P<0.001)was significantly higher in the TIC group than in the non-TIC group.Serum calcium levels(1.97±0.19 mmol/L vs.2.15±0.16 mmol/L,P<0.001),fibrinogen levels(1.7±0.8 g/L vs.2.8±0.9 g/L,P<0.001),and base excess(BE,-4.9±4.6 mmol/L vs.-1.2±3.1 mmol/L,P<0.001)were significantly lower in the TIC group than in the non-TIC group.Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that ISS>16(OR:3.404,95%CI:1.471-7.880;P=0.004),SI>1(OR:5.641,95%CI:1.700-18.719;P=0.005),low BE(OR:0.868,95%CI:0.760-0.991;P=0.037),hypocalcemia(OR:0.060,95%CI:0.009-0.392;P=0.003),and hypofibrinogenemia(OR:0.266,95%CI:0.168-0.419;P<0.001)were independent risk factors for TIC in elderly trauma patients.The AUC of the prediction model included all these risk factors was 0.887(95%CI:0.851-0.923)with a sensitivity and specificity of 83.6%and 82.6%,respectively. CONCLUSION:Higher ISS(more than 16),higher SI(more than 1),acidosis,hypocalcemia,and hypofibrinogenemia emerged as independent risk factors for TIC in elderly trauma patients.
		                        		
		                        		
		                        		
		                        	
5.Epidemiological characteristics of herpangina and its correlation with incidence of hand, foot and mouth disease in children aged 6 years and under in Yinzhou District of Ningbo, 2017-2022
Jingxian WANG ; Yueqi YIN ; Peng SHEN ; Yunpeng CHEN ; Hongbo LIN ; Yi WANG ; Yexiang SUN
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2024;45(5):714-720
		                        		
		                        			
		                        			Objective:To investigate the epidemiological characteristics of herpangina (HA) and its correlation with the incidence of hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) in children aged ≤6 years in Yinzhou District of Ningbo from 2017 to 2022.Methods:Epidemiological characteristics of HA in children aged ≤6 years were analyzed based on the electronic medical record data and public health management data from 2017 to 2022 collected from the Health Information Platform of Yinzhou. The incidence of HFMD was calculated using the infectious disease reporting data from the public health management data. Autoregressive integrated moving average model and cross-correlation function were used to evaluate the correlation between the incidence of HA and HFMD.Results:From 2017 to 2022, a total of 25 385 cases of HA were detected in children aged ≤6 years in Yinzhou, the male-to-female ratio of the cases was 1.12∶1. The average annual incidence of HA was 4 986.67/100 000, with the highest incidence in 2018 (10 477.09/100 000) and the lowest incidence in 2020 (870.88/100 000). The incidence peak of HA was during June to July. The incidence of HA was higher in age group 1 year (7 950.45/100 000) than in other age groups. The incidences of HA in Yunlong, Jiangshan and Xiaying were higher, with the incidence of 8 764.31/100 000, 8 377.58/100 000 and 7 965.31/100 000, respectively. The correlation coefficients between the incidence of HA and HFMD at lag day 0, 7, 12 and 18 were 0.199, 0.139, 0.090 and 0.086, respectively (all P<0.05). Conclusions:From 2017 to 2022, the incidence of HA was high in children aged ≤6 years in Yinzhou with obvious seasonality and area difference. The incidence of HA was correlated with the incidence of HFMD and the incidence of HFMD had certain lags. The comprehensive prevention and control of HA and HFMD should be further strengthened by prioritizing HA surveillance and implementing integrated surveillance and management of HA and HFMD.
		                        		
		                        		
		                        		
		                        	
6.Development of a prediction model for incidence of diabetic foot in patients with type 2 diabetes and its application based on a local health data platform
Yexian YU ; Meng ZHANG ; Xiaowei CHEN ; Lijia LIU ; Pei LI ; Houyu ZHAO ; Yexiang SUN ; Hongyu SUN ; Yumei SUN ; Xueyang LIU ; Hongbo LIN ; Peng SHEN ; Siyan ZHAN ; Feng SUN
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2024;45(7):997-1006
		                        		
		                        			
		                        			Objective:To construct a diabetes foot prediction model for adult patients with type 2 diabetes based on retrospective cohort study using data from a regional health data platform.Methods:Using Yinzhou Health Information Platform of Ningbo, adult patients with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes from January 1, 2015 to December 31, 2022 were included in this study and divided randomly the train and test sets according to the ratio of 7∶3. LASSO regression model and bidirectional stepwise regression model were used to identify risk factors, and model comparisons were conducted with net reclassification index, integrated discrimination improvement and concordance index. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression models were constructed, and a nomogram plot was drawn. Area under the curve (AUC) was calculated as a discriminant evaluation indicator for model validation test its calibration ability, and calibration curves were drawn to test its calibration ability.Results:No significant difference existed between LASSO regression model and bidirectional stepwise regression model, but the better bidirectional stepwise regression model was selected as the final model. The risk factors included age of onset, gender, hemoglobin A1c, estimated glomerular filtration rate, taking angiotensin receptor blocker and smoking history. AUC values (95% CI) of risk outcome prediction at year 5 and 7 were 0.700 (0.650-0.749) and 0.715(0.668-0.762) for the train set and 0.738 (0.667-0.801) and 0.723 (0.663-0.783) for the test set, respectively. The calibration curves were close to the ideal curve, and the model discrimination and calibration powers were both good. Conclusions:This study established a convenient prediction model for diabetic foot and classified the risk levels. The model has strong interpretability, good discrimination power, and satisfactory calibration and can be used to predict the incidence of diabetes foot in adult patients with type 2 diabetes to provide a basis for self-assessment and clinical prediction of diabetic foot disease risk.
		                        		
		                        		
		                        		
		                        	
7.Exploratory study of starting age and interval of gastroscopy for different gastric mucosal lesions
Jiayi LI ; Peng SHEN ; Zhanghang ZHU ; Mengling TANG ; Liming SHUI ; Yexiang SUN ; Zhiqin JIANG ; Hongbo LIN ; Jianbing WANG ; Mingjuan JIN ; Kun CHEN
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2024;45(9):1244-1250
		                        		
		                        			
		                        			Objective:To understand the current status of gastroscopy in diagnosing gastric lesions in general population, and to recommend the optimal age for the first gastroscopy and intervals for repeated gastroscopy.Methods:The gastroscopy records of residents aged 18-80 years in Yinzhou District of Ningbo, Zhejiang Province, between April 2010 and December 2021 were analyzed retrospectively. The detections of gastric lesions across different years, age and genders were described. Goodness of fit tests were applied to compare the differences in detection rates of different lesions in first-time endoscopy in different age groups and different populations. Generalized additive models were used to fit the trend of age specific gastric lesion detection rate explore the optimal age for gastroscopy. The appropriate gastroscopy intervals were determined according to the progress of the gastric lesions detected in repeated gastroscopy.Results:A total of 237 751 participants with 344 398 gastroscopy records were included in analyses. A total of 5 597 cases of chronic atrophic gastritis (CAG), 9 796 cases of intestinal metaplasia (IM), 165 cases of low-grade intraepithelial neoplasia (LGIN), 52 cases of high-grade intraepithelial neoplasia (HGIN) and 435 cases of gastric cancer were detected by the first gastroscopy. The overall detection rate of gastric lesions increased significantly in age group 45-70 years, and remained stable after 70 years old, with LGIN and HGIN showing notable increases at 50 and 55 years old, respectively. Repeated gastroscopy detected CAG, IM, LGIN, and HGIN at a higher rate compared with the first gastroscopy. Normal/superficial gastritis progressed in 3-5 years, whereas CAG or more severe lesions progressed in 1-6 years.Conclusion:Gastroscopy is recommended for general population aged 45 years and above. Furthermore, gastroscopy can be performed every 3-5 years for individuals with normal endoscopy results and once a year for patients with CAG or more severe gastric lesions.
		                        		
		                        		
		                        		
		                        	
8.Development and application of a prediction model for incidence of diabetic retinopathy in newly diagnosed type 2 diabetic patients based on regional health data platform
Xiaowei CHEN ; Lijia LIU ; Yexian YU ; Meng ZHANG ; Pei LI ; Houyu ZHAO ; Yexiang SUN ; Hongyu SUN ; Yumei SUN ; Xueyang LIU ; Hongbo LIN ; Peng SHEN ; Siyan ZHAN ; Feng SUN
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2024;45(9):1283-1290
		                        		
		                        			
		                        			Objective:To develop a prediction model for the risk of diabetic retinopathy (DR) in patients with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM).Methods:Patients with new diagnosis of T2DM recorded in Yinzhou Regional Health Information Platform between January 1, 2015 and December 31, 2022 were included in the study. The predictor variables were selected by using Lasso-Cox proportional hazards regression model. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to establish the prediction model for the risk of DR. Bootstrap method (500 resamples) was used for internal validation, and the performance of the model was assessed by C-index, the receiver operating characteristic curve and area under the curve (AUC), and calibration curve.Results:The predictor variables included in the final model were age of T2DM onset, education level, fasting plasma glucose, glycated hemoglobin A1c, urinary albumin, estimated glomerular filtration rate, and history of lipid-lowering agent and angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitor uses. The C-index of the final model was 0.622, and the mean corrected C-index was 0.623 (95% CI: 0.607-0.634). The AUC values for predicting the risk of DR after 3, 5, and 7 years were 0.631, 0.620, and 0.624, respectively, with a high degree of overlap of the calibration curves with the ideal curves. Conclusion:In this study, a simple and practical risk prediction model for DR risk prediction was developed, which could be used as a reference for individualized DR screening and intervention in newly diagnosed T2DM patients.
		                        		
		                        		
		                        		
		                        	
9.Development of a prediction model for the incidence of type 2 diabetic kidney disease and its application based on a regional health data platform
Lijia LIU ; Xiaowei CHEN ; Yexian YU ; Meng ZHANG ; Pei LI ; Houyu ZHAO ; Yexiang SUN ; Hongyu SUN ; Yumei SUN ; Xueyang LIU ; Hongbo LIN ; Peng SHEN ; Siyan ZHAN ; Feng SUN
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2024;45(10):1426-1432
		                        		
		                        			
		                        			Objective:To construct a risk prediction model for diabetes kidney disease (DKD).Methods:Patients newly diagnosed with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) between January 1, 2015, and December 31, 2022, were selected as study subjects from the Yinzhou Regional Health Information Platform in Ningbo City. The Lasso method was used to screen the risk factors, and the DKD risk prediction model was established using Cox proportional hazard regression models. Bootstrap 500 resampling was applied for internal validation.Results:The study included 49 706 subjects, with an median ( Q1, Q3) age of 60.00 (50.00, 68.00) years old, and 55% were male. A total of 4 405 subjects eventually developed DKD. Age at first diagnosis of T2DM, BMI, education level, fasting plasma glucose, glycated hemoglobin A1c, urinary albumin, past medical history (hyperuricemia, rheumatic diseases), triglycerides, and estimated glomerular filtration rate were included in the final model. The final model's C-index was 0.653, with an average of 0.654 after Bootstrap correction. The final model's area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for predicting 4-year, 5-year, and 6-year was 0.657, 0.659, and 0.664, respectively. The calibration curve was closely aligned with the ideal curve. Conclusions:This study constructed a DKD risk prediction model for newly diagnosed T2DM patients based on real-world data that is simple, easy to use, and highly practical. It provides a reliable basis for screening high-risk groups for DKD.
		                        		
		                        		
		                        		
		                        	
10.Analysis of risk factors for trauma-induced coagulopathy in elderly major trauma patients
Kang YANGBO ; Yang QI ; Ding HONGBO ; Hu YUFENG ; Shen JIASHENG ; Ruan FENG ; Chen BOJIN ; Feng YIPING ; Jin YUCHEN ; Xu SHANXIANG ; Jiang LIBING ; Wang GUIRONG ; Xu YONG'AN
World Journal of Emergency Medicine 2024;15(6):475-480
		                        		
		                        			
		                        			BACKGROUND:Trauma-induced coagulopathy(TIC)due to serious injuries significantly leads to increased mortality and morbidity among elderly patients.However,the risk factors of TIC are not well elucidated.This study aimed to explore the risk factors of TIC in elderly patients who have major trauma. METHODS:In this retrospective study,the risk factors for TIC in elderly trauma patients at a single trauma center were investigated between January 2015 and September 2020.The demographic information including gender,age,trauma parts,injury severity,use of blood products,use of vasopressors,need of emergency surgery,duration of mechanical ventilation,length of stay in the intensive care unit(ICU)and hospital,and clinical outcomes were extracted from electric medical records.Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to differentiate risk factors,and the performance of the model was evaluated using receiver operating characteristics(ROC)curves. RESULTS:Among the 371 elderly trauma patients,248(66.8%)were male,with the age of 72.5±6.8 years,median injury severity score(ISS)of 24(IQR:17-29),and Glasgow coma score(GCS)of 14(IQR:7-15).Of these patients,129(34.8%)were diagnosed with TIC,whereas 242(65.2%)were diagnosed with non-TIC.The severity scores such as ISS(25[20-34]vs.21[16-29],P<0.001)and shock index(SI),(0.90±0.66 vs.0.58±0.18,P<0.001)was significantly higher in the TIC group than in the non-TIC group.Serum calcium levels(1.97±0.19 mmol/L vs.2.15±0.16 mmol/L,P<0.001),fibrinogen levels(1.7±0.8 g/L vs.2.8±0.9 g/L,P<0.001),and base excess(BE,-4.9±4.6 mmol/L vs.-1.2±3.1 mmol/L,P<0.001)were significantly lower in the TIC group than in the non-TIC group.Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that ISS>16(OR:3.404,95%CI:1.471-7.880;P=0.004),SI>1(OR:5.641,95%CI:1.700-18.719;P=0.005),low BE(OR:0.868,95%CI:0.760-0.991;P=0.037),hypocalcemia(OR:0.060,95%CI:0.009-0.392;P=0.003),and hypofibrinogenemia(OR:0.266,95%CI:0.168-0.419;P<0.001)were independent risk factors for TIC in elderly trauma patients.The AUC of the prediction model included all these risk factors was 0.887(95%CI:0.851-0.923)with a sensitivity and specificity of 83.6%and 82.6%,respectively. CONCLUSION:Higher ISS(more than 16),higher SI(more than 1),acidosis,hypocalcemia,and hypofibrinogenemia emerged as independent risk factors for TIC in elderly trauma patients.
		                        		
		                        		
		                        		
		                        	
            

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