1.Factors and Their Impact on Treatment Effect of Acupuncture in Different Outcomes: A Meta-Regression of Acupuncture Randomized Controlled Trials.
Wen-Cui XIU ; Wei-Juan GANG ; Qi ZHOU ; Lan-Jun SHI ; Xiang-Yu HU ; Tian-Yu MING ; Zhen LUO ; Yu-Qing ZHANG ; Xiang-Hong JING
Chinese journal of integrative medicine 2024;30(3):260-266
BACKGROUND:
The effects of acupuncture have varied in different randomized controlled trials (RCTs), and there are many factors that influence treatment effect of acupuncture in different outcomes, with conflicting results.
OBJECTIVE:
To identify factors and their impact on the treatment effect of acupuncture in different outcomes.
METHODS:
Acupuncture RCTs were searched from 7 databases including Medline (PubMed), Embase, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, Wanfang Database, VIP Database, and China Biology Medicine disc between January 1st, 2015 and December 31st, 2019. Eligible studies must compare acupuncture to no acupuncture, sham acupuncture, or waiting lists, and report at least 1 patient-important outcome. A multi-level meta-regression was conducted using a 3-level robust mixed model and univariate analyses were performed for all independent variables, even those excluded from the multivariable model due to collinearities. We used thresholds of 0.2 and 0.4 for the difference of standardized mean differences (SMDs), categorising them as small (<0.2), moderate (0.2-0.4), or large (>0.4) effects.
RESULTS:
The pain construct analysis involved 211 effect estimates from 153 studies and 14 independent variables. High-frequency acupuncture treatment sessions produced larger effects compared to low-frequency sessions [large magnitude, the difference of adjusted SMDs 0.46, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.07 to 0.84; P=0.02]. The non-pain symptoms construct analysis comprised 323 effect estimates from 231 studies and 15 independent variables. Penetrating acupuncture showed moderately larger effects when compared to non-penetrating acupuncture (0.30, 95% CI 0.06 to 0.53; P=0.01). The function construct analysis included 495 effect estimates from 274 studies and 14 independent variables. Penetrating acupuncture and the flexible acupuncture regimen showed moderately larger effects, compared to non-penetrating acupuncture and fixed regimen, respectively (0.40, 95% CI 0 to 0.80; P=0.05; 0.29, 95% CI 0.06 to 0.53; P=0.01).
CONCLUSIONS
High-frequency acupuncture sessions appear to be a more effective approach to managing painful symptoms. Penetrating acupuncture demonstrated greater effect in relieving non-painful symptoms. Both penetrating acupuncture type and flexible acupuncture regimen were linked to significant treatment effects in function outcomes. Future studies should consider the factors that are significantly associated with the effects of acupuncture in patient-important outcomes.
Humans
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Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic
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Acupuncture Therapy/methods*
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Pain
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Pain Management
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China
2.Effect of transcutaneous electrical acupoint stimulation on postoperative gastrointestinal function during perioperative period:a meta-analysis
Meilu YU ; Xiao LIANG ; Juan ZHU ; Weiqian TIAN ; Saiya ZHANG ; Aonan HONG
The Journal of Clinical Anesthesiology 2024;40(2):170-177
Objective To systematically evaluate the clinical effect of transcutaneous electrical acupoint stimulation(TEAS)on promoting postoperative gastrointestinal function recovery.Methods Randomized controlled trials(RCTs)related to postoperative gastrointestinal function using TEAS were re-trieved from the CNKI,WanFang,VIP,Embase,and PubMed database.RCTs on the effects of TEAS on postoperative gastrointestinal function were included.Methodological quality was evaluated using the quality evaluation tools recommended in Cochrane evaluation manual 5.1.Meta-analysis was performed using Rev-Man 5.3 and Stata 15.Results Thirty-four RCTs involving 3 593 patients were included.There were 1 781 patients in the TEAS group and 1 812 patients in the non-TEAS group.Compared with the non-TEAS group,the incidence of nausea(RR = 0.46,95%CI 0.36 to 0.59,P<0.001)and vomiting(RR = 0.47,95%CI 0.37 to 0.59,P<0.001)within 24 hours after surgery was significantly reduced in the TEAS group,and the postoperative recovery time of bowel sound(MD =-6.42 hours,95%CI-8.53 to-4.32 hours,P<0.001),first exhaust time(MD =-8.72 hours,95%CI-10.64 to-6.80 hours,P<0.001),andfirstdefecationtime(MD =-11.83hours,95%CI-14.67 to-8.98 hours,P<0.001)were significantly shortened.Conclusion TEAS can promote postoperative gastrointestinal function recovery,significantly reducing the incidence of postoperative nausea and vomiting within 24 hours after sur-gery,and shortening the time of first anal exhaust and defecation after surgery.
3.Drug resistance and genetic diversity of clinical strains of Helicobacter pylori in the Qiannan Prefecture and Guiyang City,and their relationships with diseases
Yuan-Yuan ZHANG ; Ke PAN ; Meng-Heng MI ; Yu-Zhu GUAN ; Qiu-Dan LU ; Juan ZHENG ; Jin ZHANG ; Tian-Shu WANG ; Qi LIU ; Zheng-Hong CHEN
Chinese Journal of Zoonoses 2024;40(1):46-55
To understand Helicobacter pylori's drug resistance,genetic diversity,and relationship with clinical diseases in the Guiyang and Qiannan minority areas of Guizhou Province,we collected samples through endoscopy,and isolated and cul-tured H.pylori.The drug resistance and genotype characteristics were determined.The differences in different regions and dis-ease types were compared,and the structural characteristics of H.pylori and mixed infections with different strains of H.py-lori in Qiannan Prefecture were analyzed.A difference in the composition ratio of EPYIA typing in the cagA variable region was observed between the two areas(P=0.012),and the composition ratio of the vacA genotype differed(P=0.000).A total of 94.6%(53/56)new sequences of H.pylori strains from two regions were obtained by MLST.The rate of infection by H.pylori mixed with different strains was 44.4%in Qiannan Pre-fecture,and no significant difference was observed in the com-position of H.pylori mixed infections among patients with dif-ferent clinical diseases(P=0.349).Differences in EPI YA typ-ing and the vacA genotype composition ratio in the cagA varia-ble region of H.pylori were observed between the Qiannan Prefecture and Guiyang City.
4.Role of sphingosine-1-phosphate signaling in the proliferation of breast cancer BT549 cells
Juan SONG ; Ming WANG ; Xin-Yang LIU ; Hao-Tian ZHANG ; Qi ZHANG ; Xue-Mei ZHAO ; Ying LIU ; Hong-Xia CUI
The Chinese Journal of Clinical Pharmacology 2024;40(11):1578-1582
Objective To study the role of sphingosine-1-phosphate(S1P)signal on the proliferation of breast cancer BT549 cells.Methods Cells were divided into control group and experimental group,experimental group were treated with 0.1,1.0,10.0 μmol·L-1 S1P receptor agonist SEW2871 for 72 h.Control group was cultured with 0.1%fetal bovine serum.Cell proliferation was detected by methyl thiazolyl tetrazolium(MTT)assay.Cell models of overexpressing S1P receptors in BT549 were divided into three groups:blank plasmid group(LUC),wild type S1P receptor overexpression group(WT),S1P receptor phosphorylation site mutation overexpression group(MUT);the proliferation ratio was detected by MTT,the number of cell clones was counted by colony formation experiment.S1P antagonist W146(10 μmol·L-1)and protein kinase(AKT)signaling inhibitor MK2206(90 nmol·L-1)were used to detect the role of S1P signaling in the proliferation of breast cancer cells.The expression of phosphorylate signal transducer and activator of transcription 3(p-STAT3),c-Myc proteins were detected by Western blot.Results The growth ratio of BT549 cells in control group and 0.1,1.0,10.0 μmol·L-1experimental groups were 1.00±0.03,1.13±0.06,1.06±0.10 and 1.07±0.03,0.1 μmol·L-1 SEW2871 promot the cell proliferation(P<0.05).Compared between WT group,MUT group and LUC group,the growth rate and the number of clonal colonies were increased after overexpression of S1P receptor(all P<0.05).The growth ratio of BT549 cells after treatment with W146 and MK2206 in the LUC group,WT group and MUT group were 1.25±0.12,1.31±0.03,1.43±0.14 and 0.87±0.15,0.77±0.03,0.88±0.02.Compared between MUT group,WT group and corresponding DMSO group,the differences were statistically significant(all P<0.01).The number of cell clony formation number after treatment with W146 were 65.65±5.12,141.48±5.63 and 93.64±5.14;compared between MUT,WT group and corresponding DMSO group,the differences were statistically significant(all P<0.05).The relative protein expression levels of p-STAT3 in LUC group,WT group and MUT group were 0.67±0.04,0.69±0.08 and 0.81±0.06,the relative protein expression levels of proto-oncogene c-Myc were 1.69±0.03,0.70±0.10 and 0.67±0.07,compared between WT group,MUT group and corresponding DMSO group,the difference was statistically significant(P<0.05).Conclusion S1P signaling can promote proliferation in breast cancer BT549 cells,and the mechanism could be related to AKT and STAT3 signaling pathway.
5.Pharmacokinetics of JS026 and JS026-JS016 for single intravenous administration in healthy volunteers
Yan TIAN ; Hui-Jing YE ; Jing-Jing WANG ; Nan-Yang LI ; Juan MA ; Xi TAN ; Fan WU ; Jie WANG ; Shu-Yan YU ; Xiao-Jie WU ; Jin-Jie HE ; Jing ZHANG ; Wen-Hong ZHANG
The Chinese Journal of Clinical Pharmacology 2024;40(15):2251-2255
Objective To evaluate tolerability,safety and pharmacokinetics of JS026 and JS026-JS016 single dose intravenous infusion in healthy adults.Methods This phase 1,randomized,double-blind,placebo-controlled,dose-escalation study totally included 48 participants:32 healthy subjects were enrolled in JS026 single intravenous infusion groups and 16 healthy subjects were enrolled in JS026-JS016 groups.JS026 was sequentially administered from low dose to high dose(30-1 000 mg),with intravenous infusion of JS026 or placebo in JS026 single-dose groups,and intravenous infusion of JS026-JS016 or placebo in the combination drug groups.Blood was collected according to the time point designed for trial.Serum concentrations of JS026 and JS016 were determined by enzyme linked immunosorbnent assay(ELISA),and pharmacokinetics parameters were calculated by WinNonlin 8.2.The power model method was used to evaluate the linear analysis of dose and drug exposure.Results 47 subjects completed trial and 1 subject lost to follow-up.After a single intravenous injection of JS026 of 30 mg,100 mg,300 mg,600 mg,and 1 000 mg,mean Cmax were(9.47±1.53),(33.20±4.95),(96.10±13.70),(177.00±22.20)and(353.00±56.70)μg·mL-1,respectively;mean AUC0-∞ were(4 225.00±607.00),(1.78 × 104±3 268.00),(5.83 × 104±1 038.00),(1.07 × 105±152.00),(1.66 × 105±327.00)μg·h·mL-1,respectively;mean t1/2 of JS026 were 563-709 h.The Cmax and AUC0-∞ of JS026 were basically similar alone or in combination with JS016.The results of Power model showed that Cmax and AUC0-∞ increased approximately linearly with the increasing dose of JS026.Treatment emergent adverse event was not increasing when dose increased and most of adverse event associated with drugs were abnormal on laboratory tests and haematuria,thus JS026 and JS016 was well tolerated in all groups.Conclusion The single intravenous infusion of JS026 can almost be thought to be a linear relationship between the doses and drug serum exposure.JS016 had no significant effect on serum concentration of JS026 and JS026 was well tolerated and safe in healthy subjects within 30-1 000 mg.
6.Mechanism of Cigarette Smoke-induced Injury to Alveolar Epithelial Cells
Jian-Lu TIAN ; Hong-Juan WANG ; Huan CHEN ; Hong-Wei HOU ; Qing-Yuan HU
Progress in Biochemistry and Biophysics 2024;51(9):2144-2155
Smoking is the leading preventable risk factor for disease and death worldwide. Tobacco and its smoke contain a complex mix of over 9 500 chemical substances, including oxidative gases, heavy metals, and 83 known carcinogens. Long-term smoking is a significant risk factor for respiratory diseases such as acute lung injury, emphysema, and pulmonary fibrosis. Damage to alveolar epithelial cells (AECs) is a common pathological feature in these smoking-related lung diseases. AECs, which line the surface of the alveoli, play a crucial role in preventing overexpansion or collapse, secreting cell factors and surfactants, containing abundant mitochondria, and being essential for lung tissue maturation, gas exchange, metabolism, and repair after damage. Damage to these cells can lead to pulmonary edema and alveolar collapse. Cigarette smoke (CS) can disrupt alveolar epithelial cell function through various pathways, resulting in cell death, tissue damage, and the development of lung diseases.This review summarizes recent research on the damage caused by CS to AECs, showing that CS can promote cell death and damage through induction of oxidative stress, autophagy, endoplasmic reticulum stress, mitochondrial dysfunction, inflammation, and epithelial-mesenchymal transition. It also affects the proliferative function of alveolar type II epithelial cells. The review highlights that CS-induced oxidative stress is a key factor in causing various types of damage, with TRP ion channels serving as important triggers. Inhibiting CS-induced oxidative damage can significantly prevent cell death and subsequent diseases such as pulmonary emphysema. The activation of the same pathway induced by CS can lead to different types of cell damage, potentially encouraging the development of different diseases. CS can either directly induce or indirectly promote cell inflammation through endoplasmic reticulum stress, mitochondrial dysfunction, and senescence. There are interconnected relationships between these mechanisms, and SIRT1 is an important protein in preventing CS-induced AECs damage. Increasing SIRT1 activity can alleviate CS-induced autophagy, endoplasmic reticulum stress, and senescence in various cell damages; its substrate NAD+ is already used clinically, and its effectiveness in COPD treatment deserves further exploration. The impact of CS on cells varies based on concentration: lower concentrations stimulate stress responses or apoptosis, while higher concentrations lead to apoptosis or necrosis through various mechanisms, ultimately impairing lung epithelial function. When external stimuli exceed the cells’ self-healing capacity, they can cause damage to cells, lung epithelial barriers, and alveoli, promoting the development of related lung diseases. Key proteins that play a protective role may serve as potential targets to mitigate cell damage.This review provides insights into the various mechanisms through which CS induces damage to AECs, covering important transcription factors, DNA repair proteins, and membrane channel proteins, paving the way for the study of new mechanisms and pathways. However, there are still unanswered questions, such as the need for further exploration of the upstream pathways of CS-induced autophagy in AECs and the intrinsic mechanisms of CS in enhancing the stem cell properties of AECs and its relationship to the occurrence of lung cancer.It is expected that this article will provide a theoretical basis for future research on the mechanisms of lung epithelial cell damage caused by CS or its individual components and inspire clinical strategies for the prevention and treatment of smoking-related lung diseases.
7.Effects of different sevoflurane elution methods on awakening quality and cognitive function of elderly obese patients undergoing hip joint replacement
Tie-Sheng CHEN ; Zhen TIAN ; Hong-Qi HAO ; Hua-Juan ZHONG ; Ti-Jun DAI
Journal of Regional Anatomy and Operative Surgery 2024;33(12):1044-1047
Objective To explore the effects of different sevoflurane elution methods on awakening quality and cognitive function of elderly obese patients undergoing hip joint replacement.Methods A total of 90 elderly obese patients underwent hip joint replacement under intravenous inhalation combined with general anesthesia and maintained anesthesia with sevoflurane during surgery were selected as the research subjects,and randomly divided into group A and group B,and sevoflurane was eluted by closed elution method and decreasing concentration elution method,respectively.The concentration of sevoflurane exhaled and cognitive function scores at different time points of patients between the two groups were compared,and the awakening quality and the occurrence of adverse reactions during the awakening period of patients between the two groups were compared.Results At the end of the surgery,the concentration of sevoflurane exhaled by patients in group B was significantly lower than that in group A(P<0.05),and the recovery time,awakening time,tracheal extubation time,and anesthesia recovery room stay time of patients in group B were significantly shorter than those in group A(P<0.05).The incidence of agitation during the awakening period of patients in group B was significantly lower than that in group A(P<0.05),and the cognitive function score at the time of 2 hours after awakening of patients in group A was significantly lower than that in group B(P<0.05).Conclusion For elderly obese patients undergoing hip joint replacement with intravenous inhalation combined with general anesthesia,sevoflurane can be eluted by decreasing concentration elution method before the end of surgery,and the patient wakes up smoothly and in a shorter time,with fewer adverse reactions and less impact on postoperative cognitive function.
8.β-Ionone suppresses breast cancer cell proliferation through the NF-κB pathway
Guangqiang GAO ; Falin WANG ; Juan LI ; Hong TIAN ; Sijia GUO ; Xiaolan YU ; Tingting YANG ; Jiaren LIU
Practical Oncology Journal 2024;38(4):254-261
Objective This article aimed to explore the inhibitory effect of β-ionone(BI)on the proliferation of breast canc-er cells through the nuclear factor kappa-B(NF-κB)pathway and its possible mechanism.Methods The methylene blue assay and MTT assay were used to determine the viability of breast cancer cells.The malachite green phosphate assay was used to detect the ac-tivity of protein phosphatase 2A(PP2A).Western blot was used to detect the levels of phosphorylated P65(s534 and s311)(p-P65),PP2A(A,B and C),and phosphorylated ataxia telangiectasia mutant(p-ATM)(s1981)protein.Results BI could significant-ly inhibit the proliferation of human breast cancer BT549 cells and MCF-7 cells in a time-and dose-dependent manner,and the difference was statistically significant(P<0.01).After treated with BI,NF-κB activity was significantly inhibited in MCF-7 cells,as shown by a significant decrease in the level of phosphorylated P65(s311 and s534)protein and an increase in the level of PP2A pro-tein,and the difference was statistically significant(P<0.05).In addition,BI also significantly reduced the phosphorylation of P65 protein and ATM protein in MCF-7 cells by the PP2A inhibitor-okada acid(OA).Conclusion This study shows that BI inhibits the proliferation of breast cancer cells by inhibiting NF-κB activity,and its mechanism may be achieved by increasing PP2A activity to regulate the NF-κB pathway.
9.Chinese expert consensus on blood support mode and blood transfusion strategies for emergency treatment of severe trauma patients (version 2024)
Yao LU ; Yang LI ; Leiying ZHANG ; Hao TANG ; Huidan JING ; Yaoli WANG ; Xiangzhi JIA ; Li BA ; Maohong BIAN ; Dan CAI ; Hui CAI ; Xiaohong CAI ; Zhanshan ZHA ; Bingyu CHEN ; Daqing CHEN ; Feng CHEN ; Guoan CHEN ; Haiming CHEN ; Jing CHEN ; Min CHEN ; Qing CHEN ; Shu CHEN ; Xi CHEN ; Jinfeng CHENG ; Xiaoling CHU ; Hongwang CUI ; Xin CUI ; Zhen DA ; Ying DAI ; Surong DENG ; Weiqun DONG ; Weimin FAN ; Ke FENG ; Danhui FU ; Yongshui FU ; Qi FU ; Xuemei FU ; Jia GAN ; Xinyu GAN ; Wei GAO ; Huaizheng GONG ; Rong GUI ; Geng GUO ; Ning HAN ; Yiwen HAO ; Wubing HE ; Qiang HONG ; Ruiqin HOU ; Wei HOU ; Jie HU ; Peiyang HU ; Xi HU ; Xiaoyu HU ; Guangbin HUANG ; Jie HUANG ; Xiangyan HUANG ; Yuanshuai HUANG ; Shouyong HUN ; Xuebing JIANG ; Ping JIN ; Dong LAI ; Aiping LE ; Hongmei LI ; Bijuan LI ; Cuiying LI ; Daihong LI ; Haihong LI ; He LI ; Hui LI ; Jianping LI ; Ning LI ; Xiying LI ; Xiangmin LI ; Xiaofei LI ; Xiaojuan LI ; Zhiqiang LI ; Zhongjun LI ; Zunyan LI ; Huaqin LIANG ; Xiaohua LIANG ; Dongfa LIAO ; Qun LIAO ; Yan LIAO ; Jiajin LIN ; Chunxia LIU ; Fenghua LIU ; Peixian LIU ; Tiemei LIU ; Xiaoxin LIU ; Zhiwei LIU ; Zhongdi LIU ; Hua LU ; Jianfeng LUAN ; Jianjun LUO ; Qun LUO ; Dingfeng LYU ; Qi LYU ; Xianping LYU ; Aijun MA ; Liqiang MA ; Shuxuan MA ; Xainjun MA ; Xiaogang MA ; Xiaoli MA ; Guoqing MAO ; Shijie MU ; Shaolin NIE ; Shujuan OUYANG ; Xilin OUYANG ; Chunqiu PAN ; Jian PAN ; Xiaohua PAN ; Lei PENG ; Tao PENG ; Baohua QIAN ; Shu QIAO ; Li QIN ; Ying REN ; Zhaoqi REN ; Ruiming RONG ; Changshan SU ; Mingwei SUN ; Wenwu SUN ; Zhenwei SUN ; Haiping TANG ; Xiaofeng TANG ; Changjiu TANG ; Cuihua TAO ; Zhibin TIAN ; Juan WANG ; Baoyan WANG ; Chunyan WANG ; Gefei WANG ; Haiyan WANG ; Hongjie WANG ; Peng WANG ; Pengli WANG ; Qiushi WANG ; Xiaoning WANG ; Xinhua WANG ; Xuefeng WANG ; Yong WANG ; Yongjun WANG ; Yuanjie WANG ; Zhihua WANG ; Shaojun WEI ; Yaming WEI ; Jianbo WEN ; Jun WEN ; Jiang WU ; Jufeng WU ; Aijun XIA ; Fei XIA ; Rong XIA ; Jue XIE ; Yanchao XING ; Yan XIONG ; Feng XU ; Yongzhu XU ; Yongan XU ; Yonghe YAN ; Beizhan YAN ; Jiang YANG ; Jiangcun YANG ; Jun YANG ; Xinwen YANG ; Yongyi YANG ; Chunyan YAO ; Mingliang YE ; Changlin YIN ; Ming YIN ; Wen YIN ; Lianling YU ; Shuhong YU ; Zebo YU ; Yigang YU ; Anyong YU ; Hong YUAN ; Yi YUAN ; Chan ZHANG ; Jinjun ZHANG ; Jun ZHANG ; Kai ZHANG ; Leibing ZHANG ; Quan ZHANG ; Rongjiang ZHANG ; Sanming ZHANG ; Shengji ZHANG ; Shuo ZHANG ; Wei ZHANG ; Weidong ZHANG ; Xi ZHANG ; Xingwen ZHANG ; Guixi ZHANG ; Xiaojun ZHANG ; Guoqing ZHAO ; Jianpeng ZHAO ; Shuming ZHAO ; Beibei ZHENG ; Shangen ZHENG ; Huayou ZHOU ; Jicheng ZHOU ; Lihong ZHOU ; Mou ZHOU ; Xiaoyu ZHOU ; Xuelian ZHOU ; Yuan ZHOU ; Zheng ZHOU ; Zuhuang ZHOU ; Haiyan ZHU ; Peiyuan ZHU ; Changju ZHU ; Lili ZHU ; Zhengguo WANG ; Jianxin JIANG ; Deqing WANG ; Jiongcai LAN ; Quanli WANG ; Yang YU ; Lianyang ZHANG ; Aiqing WEN
Chinese Journal of Trauma 2024;40(10):865-881
Patients with severe trauma require an extremely timely treatment and transfusion plays an irreplaceable role in the emergency treatment of such patients. An increasing number of evidence-based medicinal evidences and clinical practices suggest that patients with severe traumatic bleeding benefit from early transfusion of low-titer group O whole blood or hemostatic resuscitation with red blood cells, plasma and platelet of a balanced ratio. However, the current domestic mode of blood supply cannot fully meet the requirements of timely and effective blood transfusion for emergency treatment of patients with severe trauma in clinical practice. In order to solve the key problems in blood supply and blood transfusion strategies for emergency treatment of severe trauma, Branch of Clinical Transfusion Medicine of Chinese Medical Association, Group for Trauma Emergency Care and Multiple Injuries of Trauma Branch of Chinese Medical Association, Young Scholar Group of Disaster Medicine Branch of Chinese Medical Association organized domestic experts of blood transfusion medicine and trauma treatment to jointly formulate Chinese expert consensus on blood support mode and blood transfusion strategies for emergency treatment of severe trauma patients ( version 2024). Based on the evidence-based medical evidence and Delphi method of expert consultation and voting, 10 recommendations were put forward from two aspects of blood support mode and transfusion strategies, aiming to provide a reference for transfusion resuscitation in the emergency treatment of severe trauma and further improve the success rate of treatment of patients with severe trauma.
10.Construction and simulation of medical resources demand model during epidemic events of infectious diseases
Dong WANG ; Yong-Quan TIAN ; Wei ZHANG ; Hong-Shu ZHOU ; Bo XIE ; Zhen-Yan LI ; Si-Hai FAN ; Su-Juan HUANG
Chinese Journal of Infection Control 2024;23(10):1286-1294
Objective To construct the demand model of four types of medical resources including beds in hospi-tal,beds in intensive care unit(ICU),ventilators and medical human resources during the major infectious disease epidemic events,simulate and analyze the treatment of infectious diseases when different medical resources are in short supply.Methods Based on the susceptible-exposed-infectious-recovered(SEIR)model,considering the infec-tivity of infected persons,the susceptibility of the population and the immunity of convalescents,the characteristics of asymptomatic COVID-19 patients and different clinical types,the"COVID-19 infection-hospitalization model"was constructed.By collecting and setting the parameters of disease transmission,clinical course and medical re-source shortage scenarios,an analysis model of allocation and supply of urban medical resources during infectious di-sease epidemic events was initially formed based on Anylogic platform,the supply and demand of medical resources during infectious disease events in different scenarios were analyzed.Results In the non-intervention scenario,the peak time of bed demand was on the 107th day,and the peak value was 160.92 beds per thousand people;the peak time of ventilator demand was on the 122nd day,and the peak value was 5.61 units per thousand people;the peak time of ICU bed demand was on the 117th day,and the peak value was 12.78 beds per thousand people;the peak time of the demand for medical human resources was on the 109th day,and the peak value was 151.12 persons per thousand persons.The simulation results suggested that there were some differences in the impact of different medi-cal resources on the outcome of medical treatment.Conclusion This study constructs an analytical tool for the allo-cation and supply of urban medical resources under the epidemic events of infectious diseases,and the results of mul-tiple simulation experiments suggest that bed resources and medical human resources play more important roles in the outcome of medical treatment.

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