1.Disease spectrum and pathogenic genes of inherited metabolic disorder in Gansu Province of China
Chuan ZHANG ; Ling HUI ; Bing-Bo ZHOU ; Lei ZHENG ; Yu-Pei WANG ; Sheng-Ju HAO ; Zhen-Qiang DA ; Ying MA ; Jin-Xian GUO ; Zong-Fu CAO ; Xu MA
Chinese Journal of Contemporary Pediatrics 2024;26(1):67-71
Objective To investigate the disease spectrum and pathogenic genes of inherited metabolic disorder(IMD)among neonates in Gansu Province of China.Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on the tandem mass spectrometry data of 286 682 neonates who received IMD screening in Gansu Provincial Maternal and Child Health Hospital from January 2018 to December 2021.A genetic analysis was conducted on the neonates with positive results in tandem mass spectrometry during primary screening and reexamination.Results A total of 23 types of IMD caused by 28 pathogenic genes were found in the 286 682 neonates,and the overall prevalence rate of IMD was 0.63‰(1/1 593),among which phenylketonuria showed the highest prevalence rate of 0.32‰(1/3 083),followed by methylmalonic acidemia(0.11‰,1/8 959)and tetrahydrobiopterin deficiency(0.06‰,1/15 927).In this study,166 variants were identified in the 28 pathogenic genes,with 13 novel variants found in 9 genes.According to American College of Medical Genetics and Genomics guidelines,5 novel variants were classified as pathogenic variants,7 were classified as likely pathogenic variants,and 1 was classified as the variant of uncertain significance.Conclusions This study enriches the database of pathogenic gene variants for IMD and provides basic data for establishing an accurate screening and diagnosis system for IMD in this region.
2.Health risk assessment of trichlormethane in school drinking water of Jiangsu Province
FEI Juan, YU Yang, ZHENG Hao, DING Zhen
Chinese Journal of School Health 2024;45(11):1653-1656
Objective:
To investigate the distribution characteristics of trichlormethane in school drinking water in Jiangsu Province, and to evaluate the health risks and influencing factors of students exposed to trichlormethane, so as to provide a scientific basis for the disinfection and safety of school drinking water.
Methods:
A total of 315 schools (123 primary schools, 142 junior high schools, 20 high schools, and 30 universities) in Jiangsu Province were selected by a stratified sampling method. Water samples in the wet period (from July to September) of 2023 and in the dry period (from January to March) of 2024 in each school were collected, and 630 drinking water samples were collected. According to the Standard Examination Methods for Drinking Water (GB/T 5750-2023), drinking water samples were analyzed for trichlormethane, and the health risks of trichlormethane exposure in drinking water for students were assessed using the health risk assessment method recommended by US Environmental Protection Agency. The Kruskal-Wallis H rank sum test and Mann-Whitney U test were performed to analyze concentrations and health risks of trichlormethane in school drinking water in different groups.
Results:
The concentration of trichlormethane in school drinking water in Jiangsu Province was 8.9 (4.6, 14.0) μg/L. The carcinogenic risk of trichlormethane in school drinking water was 9.8×10 -6 (5.3×10 -6 , 1.7×10 -5 ), which was an acceptable low risk. The amount of drinking water per unit body weight and the concentration of trichlormethane in tap water samples were important factors affecting the carcinogenic risk in drinking water for students. Comparison of carcinogenic risks exposed to trichlormethane in drinking water were as follows:primary school students in lower grades had the highest risk of carcinogenesis, with a risk of 1.2×10 -5 , the wet period (1.3×10 -5 ) >the dry period (7.6×10 -6 ), river source water (1.0×10 -5 ) >lake source water (6.8×10 -6 ), liquid chlorine disinfection (1.1×10 -5 ) > sodium hypochlorite disinfection (9.3×10 -6 ), conventional treatment (1.4×10 -5 ) > advanced treatment (9.6×10 -6 ), with statistically significant differences ( Z=88.1, 3.7 , -3.2, -2.7, P <0.05). The non carcinogenic risk of trichlormethane in school drinking water was 1.4×10 -2 for less than 1, and the non carcinogenic risk was acceptable.
Conclusions
The carcinogenic and non carcinogenic risks of trichlormethane in school drinking water are acceptable in Jiangsu Province, and the primary school students in lower grades are key indicators for risk management of trichlormethane in drinking water. According to the characteristics of the source water, appropriate disinfection methods and water treatment processes are selected to reduce the content of trichlormethane and control health risk.
3.Discussion on aesthetic and chemical characteristics of drinking water quality in emergencies
Yang YU ; Juan FEI ; Zhen DING ; Hao ZHENG
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2024;58(9):1478-1484
The Standards for drinking water quality(GB 5749-2022), which has taken effect on April 1, 2023, stipulates that limit values of aesthetic and chemical characteristics of drinking water can be temporarily adjusted in emergencies. However, the national standard does not clearly specify the adjusted period and limit values. This study is based on the principle that the human body will not cause acute toxic damage during short-term exposure, considering the acceptability such as chromaticity, smell, and taste in drinking water, referring to the drinking water quality standards of different countries and regions including the World Health Organization, the United States, the European Union, Japan, Australia, etc. We discussed the limited values during emergencies for 21 aesthetic and chemical characteristics from GB 5749-2022 to guaranine the drinking water safety and human health in emergencies.
4.A multi-center epidemiological study on pneumococcal meningitis in children from 2019 to 2020
Cai-Yun WANG ; Hong-Mei XU ; Gang LIU ; Jing LIU ; Hui YU ; Bi-Quan CHEN ; Guo ZHENG ; Min SHU ; Li-Jun DU ; Zhi-Wei XU ; Li-Su HUANG ; Hai-Bo LI ; Dong WANG ; Song-Ting BAI ; Qing-Wen SHAN ; Chun-Hui ZHU ; Jian-Mei TIAN ; Jian-Hua HAO ; Ai-Wei LIN ; Dao-Jiong LIN ; Jin-Zhun WU ; Xin-Hua ZHANG ; Qing CAO ; Zhong-Bin TAO ; Yuan CHEN ; Guo-Long ZHU ; Ping XUE ; Zheng-Zhen TANG ; Xue-Wen SU ; Zheng-Hai QU ; Shi-Yong ZHAO ; Lin PANG ; Hui-Ling DENG ; Sai-Nan SHU ; Ying-Hu CHEN
Chinese Journal of Contemporary Pediatrics 2024;26(2):131-138
Objective To investigate the clinical characteristics and prognosis of pneumococcal meningitis(PM),and drug sensitivity of Streptococcus pneumoniae(SP)isolates in Chinese children.Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on clinical information,laboratory data,and microbiological data of 160 hospitalized children under 15 years old with PM from January 2019 to December 2020 in 33 tertiary hospitals across the country.Results Among the 160 children with PM,there were 103 males and 57 females.The age ranged from 15 days to 15 years,with 109 cases(68.1% )aged 3 months to under 3 years.SP strains were isolated from 95 cases(59.4% )in cerebrospinal fluid cultures and from 57 cases(35.6% )in blood cultures.The positive rates of SP detection by cerebrospinal fluid metagenomic next-generation sequencing and cerebrospinal fluid SP antigen testing were 40% (35/87)and 27% (21/78),respectively.Fifty-five cases(34.4% )had one or more risk factors for purulent meningitis,113 cases(70.6% )had one or more extra-cranial infectious foci,and 18 cases(11.3% )had underlying diseases.The most common clinical symptoms were fever(147 cases,91.9% ),followed by lethargy(98 cases,61.3% )and vomiting(61 cases,38.1% ).Sixty-nine cases(43.1% )experienced intracranial complications during hospitalization,with subdural effusion and/or empyema being the most common complication[43 cases(26.9% )],followed by hydrocephalus in 24 cases(15.0% ),brain abscess in 23 cases(14.4% ),and cerebral hemorrhage in 8 cases(5.0% ).Subdural effusion and/or empyema and hydrocephalus mainly occurred in children under 1 year old,with rates of 91% (39/43)and 83% (20/24),respectively.SP strains exhibited complete sensitivity to vancomycin(100% ,75/75),linezolid(100% ,56/56),and meropenem(100% ,6/6).High sensitivity rates were also observed for levofloxacin(81% ,22/27),moxifloxacin(82% ,14/17),rifampicin(96% ,25/26),and chloramphenicol(91% ,21/23).However,low sensitivity rates were found for penicillin(16% ,11/68)and clindamycin(6% ,1/17),and SP strains were completely resistant to erythromycin(100% ,31/31).The rates of discharge with cure and improvement were 22.5% (36/160)and 66.2% (106/160),respectively,while 18 cases(11.3% )had adverse outcomes.Conclusions Pediatric PM is more common in children aged 3 months to under 3 years.Intracranial complications are more frequently observed in children under 1 year old.Fever is the most common clinical manifestation of PM,and subdural effusion/emphysema and hydrocephalus are the most frequent complications.Non-culture detection methods for cerebrospinal fluid can improve pathogen detection rates.Adverse outcomes can be noted in more than 10% of PM cases.SP strains are high sensitivity to vancomycin,linezolid,meropenem,levofloxacin,moxifloxacin,rifampicin,and chloramphenicol.[Chinese Journal of Contemporary Pediatrics,2024,26(2):131-138]
5.Discussion on aesthetic and chemical characteristics of drinking water quality in emergencies
Yang YU ; Juan FEI ; Zhen DING ; Hao ZHENG
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2024;58(9):1478-1484
The Standards for drinking water quality(GB 5749-2022), which has taken effect on April 1, 2023, stipulates that limit values of aesthetic and chemical characteristics of drinking water can be temporarily adjusted in emergencies. However, the national standard does not clearly specify the adjusted period and limit values. This study is based on the principle that the human body will not cause acute toxic damage during short-term exposure, considering the acceptability such as chromaticity, smell, and taste in drinking water, referring to the drinking water quality standards of different countries and regions including the World Health Organization, the United States, the European Union, Japan, Australia, etc. We discussed the limited values during emergencies for 21 aesthetic and chemical characteristics from GB 5749-2022 to guaranine the drinking water safety and human health in emergencies.
6.Effect of microRNA-145 delivered by exosomes on platelet activation and vascular endothelial function in rats with coronary atherosclerotic heart disease
Jian-Mei WANG ; Wei-Dong JIN ; Zhen LIU ; Zheng-Hao LIU
Acta Anatomica Sinica 2024;55(6):761-768
Objective To investigate the effects of microRNA(miR)-145 delivered by exosomes(Exo)on platelet activation and vascular endothelial function in rats with coronary atherosclerotic heart disease(CAHD).Methods HEK239 cells were transfected with miR-negative control(NC)and miR-145,and the transfection effect was detected by Real-time PCR.Exo was isolated from HEK239 cells transfected with miRNA-NC and miR-145.The morphology and size distribution were observed by transmission electron microscopy.The expressions of CD81,heat shock protein 70(HSP70)and tumor susceptibility gene 101(TSG101)were detected by Western blotting.The experiment included control group,model group,miR-NC Exo group and miR-145 Exo group,with 8 rats in each group.After treatment,the ejection fraction(EF),fractional shortening rate(FS),left ventricular end-diastolic diameter(LVIDD)and left ventricular end-systolic diameter(LVIDS)of rats were determined by ultrasonic diagnostic instrument.HE staining was performed to observe the pathological changes of myocardial tissue and aortic tissue,and ELISA was used to determine serum platelet activating factor(PAF),β-platelet globulin(β-TG),platelet membrane glycoprotein Ⅱa/Ⅲb(GP Ⅱa/Ⅲb),nitric oxide(NO),endothelin-1(ET-1)and vascular endothelial growth factor(VEGF).Immunohistochemical staining was used to detect the expression of endothelial nitric oxide synthase(eNOS)in aorta tissue.Results The relative expression level of miR-145 in HEK239 cells transfected with miR-145 was significantly higher than that in untransfected and transfected miR-NC cells(P<0.05).The isolated particles showed typical cup-shaped or disk-shaped vesicles,most of which were distributed at 100 nm in diameter.CD81,HSP70 and TSG101 proteins were highly expressed,and the relative expression level of miR-145 in Exo transfected with miR-NC was significantly lower than that in Exo transfected with miR-145(P<0.05).Compared with the miR-NC Exo group,EF and FS of miR-145 Exo group increased significantly(P<0.05),while LVIDD and LVIDS decreased significantly(P<0.05),and the pathological changes of myocardial tissue and aortic tissue were better improved.The contents of PAF,β-TG,GP Ⅱ a/Ⅲb,ET-1 and VEGF in serum were further significantly decreased(P<0.05),while the content of NO was also significantly increased(P<0.05),and the positive expression rate of eNOS in aortic tissue was further significantly increased(P<0.05).Conclusion MiR-145 delivered by Exo could inhibit platelet activation and improve vascular endothelial function in coronary heart disease model rats,and plays a protective role in coronary heart disease model rats.
7.Chinese expert consensus on blood support mode and blood transfusion strategies for emergency treatment of severe trauma patients (version 2024)
Yao LU ; Yang LI ; Leiying ZHANG ; Hao TANG ; Huidan JING ; Yaoli WANG ; Xiangzhi JIA ; Li BA ; Maohong BIAN ; Dan CAI ; Hui CAI ; Xiaohong CAI ; Zhanshan ZHA ; Bingyu CHEN ; Daqing CHEN ; Feng CHEN ; Guoan CHEN ; Haiming CHEN ; Jing CHEN ; Min CHEN ; Qing CHEN ; Shu CHEN ; Xi CHEN ; Jinfeng CHENG ; Xiaoling CHU ; Hongwang CUI ; Xin CUI ; Zhen DA ; Ying DAI ; Surong DENG ; Weiqun DONG ; Weimin FAN ; Ke FENG ; Danhui FU ; Yongshui FU ; Qi FU ; Xuemei FU ; Jia GAN ; Xinyu GAN ; Wei GAO ; Huaizheng GONG ; Rong GUI ; Geng GUO ; Ning HAN ; Yiwen HAO ; Wubing HE ; Qiang HONG ; Ruiqin HOU ; Wei HOU ; Jie HU ; Peiyang HU ; Xi HU ; Xiaoyu HU ; Guangbin HUANG ; Jie HUANG ; Xiangyan HUANG ; Yuanshuai HUANG ; Shouyong HUN ; Xuebing JIANG ; Ping JIN ; Dong LAI ; Aiping LE ; Hongmei LI ; Bijuan LI ; Cuiying LI ; Daihong LI ; Haihong LI ; He LI ; Hui LI ; Jianping LI ; Ning LI ; Xiying LI ; Xiangmin LI ; Xiaofei LI ; Xiaojuan LI ; Zhiqiang LI ; Zhongjun LI ; Zunyan LI ; Huaqin LIANG ; Xiaohua LIANG ; Dongfa LIAO ; Qun LIAO ; Yan LIAO ; Jiajin LIN ; Chunxia LIU ; Fenghua LIU ; Peixian LIU ; Tiemei LIU ; Xiaoxin LIU ; Zhiwei LIU ; Zhongdi LIU ; Hua LU ; Jianfeng LUAN ; Jianjun LUO ; Qun LUO ; Dingfeng LYU ; Qi LYU ; Xianping LYU ; Aijun MA ; Liqiang MA ; Shuxuan MA ; Xainjun MA ; Xiaogang MA ; Xiaoli MA ; Guoqing MAO ; Shijie MU ; Shaolin NIE ; Shujuan OUYANG ; Xilin OUYANG ; Chunqiu PAN ; Jian PAN ; Xiaohua PAN ; Lei PENG ; Tao PENG ; Baohua QIAN ; Shu QIAO ; Li QIN ; Ying REN ; Zhaoqi REN ; Ruiming RONG ; Changshan SU ; Mingwei SUN ; Wenwu SUN ; Zhenwei SUN ; Haiping TANG ; Xiaofeng TANG ; Changjiu TANG ; Cuihua TAO ; Zhibin TIAN ; Juan WANG ; Baoyan WANG ; Chunyan WANG ; Gefei WANG ; Haiyan WANG ; Hongjie WANG ; Peng WANG ; Pengli WANG ; Qiushi WANG ; Xiaoning WANG ; Xinhua WANG ; Xuefeng WANG ; Yong WANG ; Yongjun WANG ; Yuanjie WANG ; Zhihua WANG ; Shaojun WEI ; Yaming WEI ; Jianbo WEN ; Jun WEN ; Jiang WU ; Jufeng WU ; Aijun XIA ; Fei XIA ; Rong XIA ; Jue XIE ; Yanchao XING ; Yan XIONG ; Feng XU ; Yongzhu XU ; Yongan XU ; Yonghe YAN ; Beizhan YAN ; Jiang YANG ; Jiangcun YANG ; Jun YANG ; Xinwen YANG ; Yongyi YANG ; Chunyan YAO ; Mingliang YE ; Changlin YIN ; Ming YIN ; Wen YIN ; Lianling YU ; Shuhong YU ; Zebo YU ; Yigang YU ; Anyong YU ; Hong YUAN ; Yi YUAN ; Chan ZHANG ; Jinjun ZHANG ; Jun ZHANG ; Kai ZHANG ; Leibing ZHANG ; Quan ZHANG ; Rongjiang ZHANG ; Sanming ZHANG ; Shengji ZHANG ; Shuo ZHANG ; Wei ZHANG ; Weidong ZHANG ; Xi ZHANG ; Xingwen ZHANG ; Guixi ZHANG ; Xiaojun ZHANG ; Guoqing ZHAO ; Jianpeng ZHAO ; Shuming ZHAO ; Beibei ZHENG ; Shangen ZHENG ; Huayou ZHOU ; Jicheng ZHOU ; Lihong ZHOU ; Mou ZHOU ; Xiaoyu ZHOU ; Xuelian ZHOU ; Yuan ZHOU ; Zheng ZHOU ; Zuhuang ZHOU ; Haiyan ZHU ; Peiyuan ZHU ; Changju ZHU ; Lili ZHU ; Zhengguo WANG ; Jianxin JIANG ; Deqing WANG ; Jiongcai LAN ; Quanli WANG ; Yang YU ; Lianyang ZHANG ; Aiqing WEN
Chinese Journal of Trauma 2024;40(10):865-881
Patients with severe trauma require an extremely timely treatment and transfusion plays an irreplaceable role in the emergency treatment of such patients. An increasing number of evidence-based medicinal evidences and clinical practices suggest that patients with severe traumatic bleeding benefit from early transfusion of low-titer group O whole blood or hemostatic resuscitation with red blood cells, plasma and platelet of a balanced ratio. However, the current domestic mode of blood supply cannot fully meet the requirements of timely and effective blood transfusion for emergency treatment of patients with severe trauma in clinical practice. In order to solve the key problems in blood supply and blood transfusion strategies for emergency treatment of severe trauma, Branch of Clinical Transfusion Medicine of Chinese Medical Association, Group for Trauma Emergency Care and Multiple Injuries of Trauma Branch of Chinese Medical Association, Young Scholar Group of Disaster Medicine Branch of Chinese Medical Association organized domestic experts of blood transfusion medicine and trauma treatment to jointly formulate Chinese expert consensus on blood support mode and blood transfusion strategies for emergency treatment of severe trauma patients ( version 2024). Based on the evidence-based medical evidence and Delphi method of expert consultation and voting, 10 recommendations were put forward from two aspects of blood support mode and transfusion strategies, aiming to provide a reference for transfusion resuscitation in the emergency treatment of severe trauma and further improve the success rate of treatment of patients with severe trauma.
8.Association of hs-CRP with frailty and its components among the elderly over 65 years old in 9 longevity areas of China.
Jun Xin LIU ; Yuan WEI ; Jin Hui ZHOU ; Jun WANG ; Hao Can SONG ; Xin Wei LI ; Chang Zhen XIANG ; Yi Bo XU ; Cong DING ; Zhen Yu ZHONG ; Zheng ZHANG ; Yu Fei LUO ; Feng ZHAO ; Chen CHEN ; Jing Bo PI
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2023;57(5):626-633
Objective: To investigate the association of the levels of high sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) with frailty and its components among the elderly over 65 years old in 9 longevity areas of China. Methods: Cross-sectional data from the Health Ageing and Biomarkers Cohort Study (HABCS, 2017-2018) were used and the elderly over 65 years old were included in this study. Through questionnaire interview and physical examination, the information including demographic characteristics, behavior, diet, daily activity, cognitive function, and health status was collected. The association between hs-CRP and frailty and its components in the participants was analyzed by multivariate logistic regression model and restrictive cubic spline. Results: A total of 2 453 participants were finally included, the age was (84.8±19.8) years old. The median hs-CRP level was 1.13 mg/L and the prevalence of frailty was 24.4%. Compared with the low-level group (hs-CRP<1.0 mg/L), the OR (95%CI) value of the high-level group (hs-CRP>3.0 mg/L) was 1.79 (1.35-2.36) mg/L. As for the components, the hs-CRP level was also positively associated with ADL disability, IADL disability, functional limitation and multimorbidity. After adjusting for confounding factors, compared with the low-level group, the OR (95%CI) values of the high-level group for the four components were 1.68 (1.25-2.27), 1.88 (1.42-2.50), 1.68 (1.31-2.14) and 1.39 (1.12-1.72), respectively. Conclusion: There is a positive association between the levels of hs-CRP and the risk of frailty among the elderly over 65 years old in 9 longevity areas of China. The higher hs-CRP level may increase the risk of frailty by elevating the risk of four physical functional disabilities, namely ADL disability, IADL disability, functional limitation and multimorbidity.
Humans
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Aged
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Aged, 80 and over
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C-Reactive Protein/analysis*
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Frailty/epidemiology*
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Cohort Studies
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Cross-Sectional Studies
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China/epidemiology*
9. Treatment advice of small molecule antiviral drugs for elderly COVID-19
Min PAN ; Shuang CHANG ; Xiao-Xia FENG ; Guang-He FEI ; Jia-Bin LI ; Hua WANG ; Du-Juan XU ; Chang-Hui WANG ; Yan SUN ; Xiao-Yun FAN ; Tian-Jing ZHANG ; Wei WEI ; Ling-Ling ZHANG ; Jim LI ; Fei-Hu CHEN ; Xiao-Ming MENG ; Hong-Mei ZHAO ; Min DAI ; Yi XIANG ; Meng-Shu CAO ; Xiao-Yang CHEN ; Xian-Wei YE ; Xiao-Wen HU ; Ling JIANG ; Yong-Zhong WANG ; Hao LIU ; Hai-Tang XIE ; Ping FANG ; Zhen-Dong QIAN ; Chao TANG ; Gang YANG ; Xiao-Bao TENG ; Chao-Xia QIAN ; Guo-Zheng DING
Chinese Pharmacological Bulletin 2023;39(3):425-430
COVID-19 has been prevalent for three years. The virulence of SARS-CoV-2 is weaken as it mutates continuously. However, elderly patients, especially those with underlying diseases, are still at high risk of developing severe infections. With the continuous study of the molecular structure and pathogenic mechanism of SARS-CoV-2, antiviral drugs for COVID-19 have been successively marketed, and these anti-SARS-CoV-2 drugs can effectively reduce the severe rate and mortality of elderly patients. This article reviews the mechanism, clinical medication regimens, drug interactions and adverse reactions of five small molecule antiviral drugs currently approved for marketing in China, so as to provide advice for the clinical rational use of anti-SARS-CoV-2 in the elderly.
10.Development and validation of a score predicting mortality for older patients with mitral regurgitation.
De-Jing FENG ; Yun-Qing YE ; Zhe LI ; Bin ZHANG ; Qing-Rong LIU ; Wei-Wei WANG ; Zhen-Yan ZHAO ; Zheng ZHOU ; Qing-Hao ZHAO ; Zi-Kai YU ; Hai-Tong ZHANG ; Zhen-Ya DUAN ; Bin-Cheng WANG ; Jun-Xing LV ; Shuai GUO ; Run-Lin GAO ; Hai-Yan XU ; Yong-Jian WU
Journal of Geriatric Cardiology 2023;20(8):577-585
OBJECTIVE:
To develop and validate a user-friendly risk score for older mitral regurgitation (MR) patients, referred to as the Elder-MR score.
METHODS:
The China Senile Valvular Heart Disease (China-DVD) Cohort Study functioned as the development cohort, while the China Valvular Heart Disease (China-VHD) Study was employed for external validation. We included patients aged 60 years and above receiving medical treatment for moderate or severe MR (2274 patients in the development cohort and 1929 patients in the validation cohort). Candidate predictors were chosen using Cox's proportional hazards model and stepwise selection with Akaike's information criterion.
RESULTS:
Eight predictors were identified: age ≥ 75 years, body mass index < 20 kg/m2, NYHA class III/IV, secondary MR, anemia, estimated glomerular filtration rate < 60 mL/min per 1.73 m2, albumin < 35 g/L, and left ventricular ejection fraction < 60%. The model displayed satisfactory performance in predicting one-year mortality in both the development cohort (C-statistic = 0.73, 95% CI: 0.69-0.77, Brier score = 0.06) and the validation cohort (C-statistic = 0.73, 95% CI: 0.68-0.78, Brier score = 0.06). The Elder-MR score ranges from 0 to 15 points. At a one-year follow-up, each point increase in the Elder-MR score represents a 1.27-fold risk of death (HR = 1.27, 95% CI: 1.21-1.34, P < 0.001) in the development cohort and a 1.24-fold risk of death (HR = 1.24, 95% CI: 1.17-1.30, P < 0.001) in the validation cohort. Compared to EuroSCORE II, the Elder-MR score demonstrated superior predictive accuracy for one-year mortality in the validation cohort (C-statistic = 0.71 vs. 0.70, net reclassification improvement = 0.320, P < 0.01; integrated discrimination improvement = 0.029, P < 0.01).
CONCLUSIONS
The Elder-MR score may serve as an effective risk stratification tool to assist clinical decision-making in older MR patients.


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