1.Study on the effect of different administration regimens of iprrazole enteric-coated tablets on inhibiting gastric acid secretion
Ting-Yuan PANG ; Zhi WANG ; Zi-Shu HU ; Zi-Han SHEN ; Yue-Qi WANG ; Ya-Qian CHEN ; Xue-Bing QIAN ; Jin-Ying LIANG ; Liang-Ying YI ; Jun-Long LI ; Zhi-Hui HAN ; Guo-Ping ZHONG ; Guo-Hua CHENG ; Hai-Tang HU
The Chinese Journal of Clinical Pharmacology 2024;40(1):92-96
Objective To compare the effects of 20 mg qd and 10 mg bidadministration of iprrazole enteric-coated tablets on the control of gastric acid in healthy subjects.Methods A randomized,single-center,parallel controlled trial was designed to include 8 healthy subjects.Randomly divided into 2 groups,20 mg qd administration group:20 mg enteric-coated tablets of iprrazole in the morning;10 mg bid administration group:10 mg enteric-coated tablets of iprrazole in the morning and 10 mg in the evening.The pH values in the stomach of the subjects before and 24 h after administration were monitored by pH meter.The plasma concentration of iprazole after administration was determined by HPLC-MS/MS.The main pharmacokinetic parameters were calculated by Phoenix WinNonlin(V8.0)software.Results The PK parameters of iprrazole enteric-coated tablets and reference preparations in fasting group were as follows:The Cmax of 20 mg qd group and 10 mg bid group were(595.75±131.15)and(283.50±96.98)ng·mL-1;AUC0-t were(5 531.94±784.35)and(4 686.67±898.23)h·ng·mL-1;AUC0-∞ were(6 003.19±538.59)and(7 361.48±1 816.77)h·ng·mL-1,respectively.The mean time percentage of gastric pH>3 after 20 mg qd and 10 mg bid were 82.64%and 61.92%,and the median gastric pH within 24 h were 6.25±1.49 and 3.53±2.05,respectively.The mean gastric pH values within 24 h were 5.71±1.36 and 4.23±1.45,respectively.The correlation analysis of pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamics showed that there was no significant correlation between the peak concentration of drug in plasma and the inhibitory effect of acid.Conclusion Compared with the 20 mg qd group and the 10 mg bid group,the acid inhibition effect is better,the administration times are less,and the safety of the two administration regimes is good.
2.Efficacy of stented elephant trunk procedure for right-sided aortic arch with Kommerell's diverticulum
Yongliang ZHONG ; Bing TANG ; Suwei CHEN ; Yipeng GE ; Hai' ; ou HU ; Zhiyu QIAO ; Chengnan LI ; Yongmin LIU ; Junming ZHU
Chinese Journal of Clinical Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 2024;31(07):1020-1026
Objective To summarize our experience and the early and midterm outcomes of stented elephant trunk procedure for right-sided aortic arch (RAA) with Kommerell's diverticulum (KD). Methods From April 2013 to July 2020, patients with RAA and KD who underwent stented elephant trunk procedure at our center were collected. Surgery was performed under moderate hypothermic circulatory arrest combined with selective antegrade cerebral perfusion via median sternotomy. Results A total of 8 patients were included, including 7 males and 1 female with a mean age of 51.88±9.61 years. All patients had an aneurysmal KD and aberrant left subclavian artery. Preoperative comorbidities included acute Stanford type B aortic dissection in 1 patient, aortic arch pseudoaneurysm in 1 patient, acute type B intramural hematoma in 2 patients, and coronary artery disease in 1 patient. Concomitant procedures included reconstruction of the left subclavian artery in all patients and coronary artery bypass grafting in 1 patient. The mean time of operation, cardiopulmonary bypass, aortic cross-clamping, and selective cerebral perfusion was 6.25±1.16 h, 157.75±40.07 min, 77.75±33.10 min, and 28.50±5.55 min, respectively. No intraoperative death occurred. There was 1 in-hospital death. Follow-up was completed in all patients with a mean period of 3.58±2.08 years. No late death occurred. A persistent anastomotic leak of the proximal arch was detected in 1 patient, but reintervention was not performed because neither aortic dilatation nor symptoms of tracheal and esophageal compression were observed during the follow-up. The remaining 6 patients showed positive aortic remodeling with complete thrombosis of the aneurysmal KD, and neither aortic event nor tracheal and esophageal compression occurred. Conclusion Stented elephant trunk procedure is a safe and feasible technique for selected patients with RAA and KD, which can achieve favorable early and midterm outcomes.
3.Determination of effective dose of dexmedetomidine administered intranasally combined with oral midazolam sedation for pediatric MRI:a modified sequential study
Jian TANG ; Jin-Peng QIU ; Hai-Ya TU ; Jia-Lian ZHAO ; Yao-Qin HU
Medical Journal of Chinese People's Liberation Army 2024;49(8):876-880
Objective To determine the effective dose of dexmedetomidine administered intranasally combined with oral midazolam sedation before pediatric magnetic resonance image(MRI).Methods This is a prospective modified sequential study.Children scheduled for MRI at the Children's Hospital of Zhejiang University School of Medicine from February to March 2023,aged 1 month to 6 years old,with a weight of 6.0-23.5 kg,were enrolled in this study.All children received 0.5 mg/kg oral midazolam,followed by intranasal dexmedetomidine.The initial dose of dexmedetomidine was 0.5 μg/kg,and the intranasal dose of dexmedetomidine was determined using the modified Dixon's up-and-down method with increments or decrements of 0.1 μg/kg.Probit analysis was used for calculating the half effective dose(ED50),95%effective dose(ED95)and the corresponding 95%confidence interval(CI)of intranasal dexmedetomidine combined with oral midazolam for pediatric sedation during MRI.The sedation onset time,wake-up time,vital signs and adverse reactions were recorded.Results Among all the children,the sedation onset time of successful sedation children was(31.21±7.47)min,and the wake-up time was(81.21±26.04)min.The ED50 for effective sedation with intranasal dexmedetomidine combined with oral medication at a dose of 0.5 mg/kg was calculated to be 0.392 μg/kg,with a 95%CI of 0.302-0.461 μg/kg;the ED95 was 0.549 μg/kg,with a 95%CI of 0.473-0.996 μg/kg.There was a statistically significant difference(P<0.05)in heart rate and diastolic blood pressure after sedation compared to the baseline before medication.Two cases of restlessness during the awakening period were observed,but no other adverse reactions occurred.Conclusions The sedation regimen of intranasal dexmedetomidine combined with oral midazolam is non-invasive,easy to implement,safe,and effective.It can be widely used in pediatric MRI.
4.Chinese expert consensus on the diagnosis and treatment of traumatic supraorbital fissure syndrome (version 2024)
Junyu WANG ; Hai JIN ; Danfeng ZHANG ; Rutong YU ; Mingkun YU ; Yijie MA ; Yue MA ; Ning WANG ; Chunhong WANG ; Chunhui WANG ; Qing WANG ; Xinyu WANG ; Xinjun WANG ; Hengli TIAN ; Xinhua TIAN ; Yijun BAO ; Hua FENG ; Wa DA ; Liquan LYU ; Haijun REN ; Jinfang LIU ; Guodong LIU ; Chunhui LIU ; Junwen GUAN ; Rongcai JIANG ; Yiming LI ; Lihong LI ; Zhenxing LI ; Jinglian LI ; Jun YANG ; Chaohua YANG ; Xiao BU ; Xuehai WU ; Li BIE ; Binghui QIU ; Yongming ZHANG ; Qingjiu ZHANG ; Bo ZHANG ; Xiangtong ZHANG ; Rongbin CHEN ; Chao LIN ; Hu JIN ; Weiming ZHENG ; Mingliang ZHAO ; Liang ZHAO ; Rong HU ; Jixin DUAN ; Jiemin YAO ; Hechun XIA ; Ye GU ; Tao QIAN ; Suokai QIAN ; Tao XU ; Guoyi GAO ; Xiaoping TANG ; Qibing HUANG ; Rong FU ; Jun KANG ; Guobiao LIANG ; Kaiwei HAN ; Zhenmin HAN ; Shuo HAN ; Jun PU ; Lijun HENG ; Junji WEI ; Lijun HOU
Chinese Journal of Trauma 2024;40(5):385-396
Traumatic supraorbital fissure syndrome (TSOFS) is a symptom complex caused by nerve entrapment in the supraorbital fissure after skull base trauma. If the compressed cranial nerve in the supraorbital fissure is not decompressed surgically, ptosis, diplopia and eye movement disorder may exist for a long time and seriously affect the patients′ quality of life. Since its overall incidence is not high, it is not familiarized with the majority of neurosurgeons and some TSOFS may be complicated with skull base vascular injury. If the supraorbital fissure surgery is performed without treatment of vascular injury, it may cause massive hemorrhage, and disability and even life-threatening in severe cases. At present, there is no consensus or guideline on the diagnosis and treatment of TSOFS that can be referred to both domestically and internationally. To improve the understanding of TSOFS among clinical physicians and establish standardized diagnosis and treatment plans, the Skull Base Trauma Group of the Neurorepair Professional Committee of the Chinese Medical Doctor Association, Neurotrauma Group of the Neurosurgery Branch of the Chinese Medical Association, Neurotrauma Group of the Traumatology Branch of the Chinese Medical Association, and Editorial Committee of Chinese Journal of Trauma organized relevant experts to formulate Chinese expert consensus on the diagnosis and treatment of traumatic supraorbital fissure syndrome ( version 2024) based on evidence of evidence-based medicine and clinical experience of diagnosis and treatment. This consensus puts forward 12 recommendations on the diagnosis, classification, treatment, efficacy evaluation and follow-up of TSOFS, aiming to provide references for neurosurgeons from hospitals of all levels to standardize the diagnosis and treatment of TSOFS.
5.Clinical guidelines for the diagnosis and treatment of osteoporotic thoracolumbar vertebral fracture with kyphotic deformity in the elderly (version 2024)
Jian CHEN ; Qingqing LI ; Jun GU ; Zhiyi HU ; Shujie ZHAO ; Zhenfei HUANG ; Tao JIANG ; Wei ZHOU ; Xiaojian CAO ; Yongxin REN ; Weihua CAI ; Lipeng YU ; Tao SUI ; Qian WANG ; Pengyu TANG ; Mengyuan WU ; Weihu MA ; Xuhua LU ; Hongjian LIU ; Zhongmin ZHANG ; Xiaozhong ZHOU ; Baorong HE ; Kainan LI ; Tengbo YU ; Xiaodong GUO ; Yongxiang WANG ; Yong HAI ; Jiangang SHI ; Baoshan XU ; Weishi LI ; Jinglong YAN ; Guangzhi NING ; Yongfei GUO ; Zhijun QIAO ; Feng ZHANG ; Fubing WANG ; Fuyang CHEN ; Yan JIA ; Xiaohua ZHOU ; Yuhui PENG ; Jin FAN ; Guoyong YIN
Chinese Journal of Trauma 2024;40(11):961-973
The incidence of osteoporotic thoracolumbar vertebral fracture (OTLVF) in the elderly is gradually increasing. The kyphotic deformity caused by various factors has become an important characteristic of OTLVF and has received increasing attention. Its clinical manifestations include pain, delayed nerve damage, sagittal imbalance, etc. Currently, the definition and diagnosis of OTLVF with kyphotic deformity in the elderly are still unclear. Although there are many treatment options, they are controversial. Existing guidelines or consensuses pay little attention to this type of fracture with kyphotic deformity. To this end, the Lumbar Education Working Group of the Spine Branch of the Chinese Medicine Education Association and Editorial Committee of Chinese Journal of Trauma organized the experts in the relevant fields to jointly develop Clinical guidelines for the diagnosis and treatment of osteoporotic thoracolumbar vertebral fractures with kyphotic deformity in the elderly ( version 2024), based on evidence-based medical advancements and the principles of scientificity, practicality, and advanced nature, which provided 18 recommendations to standardize the clinical diagnosis and treatment.
6.A multi-center epidemiological study on pneumococcal meningitis in children from 2019 to 2020
Cai-Yun WANG ; Hong-Mei XU ; Gang LIU ; Jing LIU ; Hui YU ; Bi-Quan CHEN ; Guo ZHENG ; Min SHU ; Li-Jun DU ; Zhi-Wei XU ; Li-Su HUANG ; Hai-Bo LI ; Dong WANG ; Song-Ting BAI ; Qing-Wen SHAN ; Chun-Hui ZHU ; Jian-Mei TIAN ; Jian-Hua HAO ; Ai-Wei LIN ; Dao-Jiong LIN ; Jin-Zhun WU ; Xin-Hua ZHANG ; Qing CAO ; Zhong-Bin TAO ; Yuan CHEN ; Guo-Long ZHU ; Ping XUE ; Zheng-Zhen TANG ; Xue-Wen SU ; Zheng-Hai QU ; Shi-Yong ZHAO ; Lin PANG ; Hui-Ling DENG ; Sai-Nan SHU ; Ying-Hu CHEN
Chinese Journal of Contemporary Pediatrics 2024;26(2):131-138
Objective To investigate the clinical characteristics and prognosis of pneumococcal meningitis(PM),and drug sensitivity of Streptococcus pneumoniae(SP)isolates in Chinese children.Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on clinical information,laboratory data,and microbiological data of 160 hospitalized children under 15 years old with PM from January 2019 to December 2020 in 33 tertiary hospitals across the country.Results Among the 160 children with PM,there were 103 males and 57 females.The age ranged from 15 days to 15 years,with 109 cases(68.1% )aged 3 months to under 3 years.SP strains were isolated from 95 cases(59.4% )in cerebrospinal fluid cultures and from 57 cases(35.6% )in blood cultures.The positive rates of SP detection by cerebrospinal fluid metagenomic next-generation sequencing and cerebrospinal fluid SP antigen testing were 40% (35/87)and 27% (21/78),respectively.Fifty-five cases(34.4% )had one or more risk factors for purulent meningitis,113 cases(70.6% )had one or more extra-cranial infectious foci,and 18 cases(11.3% )had underlying diseases.The most common clinical symptoms were fever(147 cases,91.9% ),followed by lethargy(98 cases,61.3% )and vomiting(61 cases,38.1% ).Sixty-nine cases(43.1% )experienced intracranial complications during hospitalization,with subdural effusion and/or empyema being the most common complication[43 cases(26.9% )],followed by hydrocephalus in 24 cases(15.0% ),brain abscess in 23 cases(14.4% ),and cerebral hemorrhage in 8 cases(5.0% ).Subdural effusion and/or empyema and hydrocephalus mainly occurred in children under 1 year old,with rates of 91% (39/43)and 83% (20/24),respectively.SP strains exhibited complete sensitivity to vancomycin(100% ,75/75),linezolid(100% ,56/56),and meropenem(100% ,6/6).High sensitivity rates were also observed for levofloxacin(81% ,22/27),moxifloxacin(82% ,14/17),rifampicin(96% ,25/26),and chloramphenicol(91% ,21/23).However,low sensitivity rates were found for penicillin(16% ,11/68)and clindamycin(6% ,1/17),and SP strains were completely resistant to erythromycin(100% ,31/31).The rates of discharge with cure and improvement were 22.5% (36/160)and 66.2% (106/160),respectively,while 18 cases(11.3% )had adverse outcomes.Conclusions Pediatric PM is more common in children aged 3 months to under 3 years.Intracranial complications are more frequently observed in children under 1 year old.Fever is the most common clinical manifestation of PM,and subdural effusion/emphysema and hydrocephalus are the most frequent complications.Non-culture detection methods for cerebrospinal fluid can improve pathogen detection rates.Adverse outcomes can be noted in more than 10% of PM cases.SP strains are high sensitivity to vancomycin,linezolid,meropenem,levofloxacin,moxifloxacin,rifampicin,and chloramphenicol.[Chinese Journal of Contemporary Pediatrics,2024,26(2):131-138]
7.Comparative study of total knee arthroplasty assisted by robot and remote sensing navigation system
Hai TANG ; Hong-Mei ZHANG ; Peng-Cheng SHAN ; Pei-Yan HU ; Lin JING ; Qi YAN ; Yuan-Yuan LI ; Xin-Yue WANG ; Si-Ye LIU ; Ming-Jiang HE
China Journal of Orthopaedics and Traumatology 2024;37(9):862-869
Objective To compare clinical efficacy of robot-assisted(RA)and remote sensing navigation alignment(RSNA)system-assisted total knee arthroplasty(TKA).Methods From March 2023 to June 2023,60 patients who underwent the first unilateral TKA due to severe knee osteoarthritis(KOA)were admitted and divided into RSNA group and RA group according to different treatment methods,with 30 patients in each group.There were 5 males and 25 females in RSNA group,aged from 56 to 81 years old with an average of(66.33±7.16)years old;body mass index(BM1)ranged from 19.87 to 38.54 kg·m-2 with an average of(28.40±6.18)kg·m-2;the courses of disease ranged from 5 to 36 months with an average of(18.20±8.98)months;RSNA system was used to assist the positioning of osteotomy.There were 7 males and 23 females in RA group,aged from 55 to 82 years old with an average of(67.83±8.61)years old;BMI ranged from 19.67 to 37.25 kg·m-2 with an aver-age of(28.01±4.89)kg·m-2;the courses of disease ranged from 3 to 33 months with an average of(17.93±9.20)months;RA was performed.Operation time,incision length,latent blood loss at 2 weeks after operation and incidence of lower extremity thrombosis were compared between two groups.Hip-knee ankle angle(HKAA),HKAA deviation,lateral distal femoral angle(LDFA),medial proximal tibial angle(MPTA)and posterior tibial slope(PTS)were compared between two groups;Western Ontario McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index(WOMAC)and Knee Society score(KSS)were used to evaluate functional recovery before operation,3 and 6 months after operation.Results The operation was performed successfully in both groups,and there were no serious complications such as vascular and nerve injury during operation.The wound healed well at stage Ⅰafter operation,and the follow-up time was 6 months.The operation time,latent blood loss at 2 weeks after operation and inci-sion length in RSNA group were(94.35±5.75)min,(130.54±17.53)mland(14.73±2.14)cm,respectively;while(102.57±6.88)min,(146.33±19.47)ml and(16.78±2.32)cm in RA group,respectively.RSNA group was better than RA group(P<0.05).No deep vein thrombosis occurred in both groups at 2 weeks after operation,5 patients occurred intermuscular vein throm-bosisin in RSNA group and 8 patients in RA group,the difference was not statistically significant(P>0.05).In RSNA group,HKAA,LDFA and MPTA were(173.00±5.54)°,(86.96±3.45)°,(82.79±3.35)° before operation,and(178.34±1.85)°,(89.92±0.42)°,(89.84±0.73)° at 1 week after operation,respectively.In RA group,HKAA,LDFA and MPTA were(173.31±6.48)°,(87.15±3.40)° and(82.99±3.05)° before operation,and(178.52±1.79)°,(90.03±0.39)° and(90.15±0.47)° at 1 week after operation,respectively.HKAA,LDFA and MPTA were significantly improved in both groups at 1 week after oper-ation(P<0.05).There were no significant difference in HKAA,LDFA,MPTA and PTS between two groups before operation and 1 week after operation(P>0.05).There was no significant difference in deviation distribution of HKAA at 1 week after op-eration(x2=2.61 1,P=0.456).There were no significant difference in WOMAC and KSS between two groups before operation,3 and 6 months after operation(P>0.05),and postoperative WOMAC and KSS at 3 and 6 months between two groups were im-proved compared with those before operation(P<0.05).Conclusion Both RA and RSNA system assisted TKA could obtain ac-curate osteotomy,RA has higher surgical accuracy,RSNA system assisted operation has less trauma,and operation is simpler.
8.Application of remote sensing navigation system in total knee arthroplasty
Yuan-Yuan LI ; Ming-Jiang HE ; Peng-Cheng SHAN ; Pei-Yan HU ; Lin JING ; Qi YAN ; Hai TANG ; Xin-Yue WANG ; Si-Ye LIU ; Hong-Mei ZHANG
China Journal of Orthopaedics and Traumatology 2024;37(9):878-885
Objective To explore clinical accuracy of remote sensing navigation alignment(RSNA)system in total knee arthroplasty(TKA)and its influence on postoperative clinical efficacy.Methods From May 2021 to May 2022,60 knee os-teoarthritis(KOA)patients with Kellgren-Lawrence(K-L)grade Ⅲ to Ⅳ treated by unilateral primary TKA were selected and divided into RSNA group and traditional operation group according to treatment methods,and 30 patients in each group.There were 6 males and 24 females in RSNA group,aged from 55 to 86 years old with an average of(68.06±8.23)years old;body mass index(BMI)ranged from 22.15 to 34.58 kg·m-2 with an average of(28.20±3.01)kg·m-2;the courses of disease ranged from 2 to 60 months with an average of(18.80±14.80)months;13 patients with grade Ⅲ and 17 patients with grade Ⅳaccording to K-L grading.In traditional operation group,there were 8 males and 22 females,aged from 57 to 85 years old with an average of(67.26±6.32)years old;BMI ranged from 23.94 to 34.55 kg·m-2 with an average of(27.49±2.32)kg·m-2;the courses of disease ranged from 3 to 60 months with an average of(21.30±16.44)months;14 patients with grade Ⅲ and 16 pa-tients with grade Ⅳ according to K-L grading.Western Ontario and McMaster Universities(WOMAC)osteoarthritis index and Knee Society score(KSS)were used to evaluate functional recovery of patients.Hip-knee-ankle angle(HKAA),distal femoral valgus angle(FVA)and distal fermoral flexion angle(DFFA)were measured before operation.HKAA and HKAA deviation angle were measured at 1 week after operation,and defective rate of lower limb force line,femur prosthesis valgus angle(FP-VA)and femoral prosthesis flexion angle(FPFA),respectively,were calculated.Results There were no serious complications such as vascular and nerve injury during operation,and wound healed at stage Ⅰ.Both groups were followed up for 6 months.There were no significant difference in WOMAC index,KSS,HKAA,FVA and DFFA between two groups before operation(P>0.05).The force line defect rate,HKAA,HKAA deviation angle,FPVA deviation angle and FPFA of RSNA group were 6.7%,(178.74±1.56)°,(1.25±1.56)°,(1.84±0.16)° and(4.85±2.46)°,respectively;while in traditional operation group were 20%,(176.73±3.46)°,(3.27±3.46)°,(2.44±0.26)°,(6.60±1.86)°;the difference between two groups were statistically sig-nificant(P<0.05).There were no significant difference in WOMAC index and KSS between two groups at 3 and 6 months after operation(P>0.05).Conclusion RSNA system could reduce defective rate of lower limb force line,FPVA deviation angle and FPFA after TKA,which is more accurate and easy to operate than traditional intramedullary localization surgery while ensuring postoperative efficacy.
9.Artificial intelligence and radiomics-assisted X-ray in diagnosis of lumbar osteoporotic vertebral compression fractures
Kang-En HAN ; Hong-Wei WANG ; Hong-Wen GU ; Yin HU ; Shi-Lei TANG ; Zhi-Hao ZHANG ; Hai-Long YU
Journal of Regional Anatomy and Operative Surgery 2024;33(7):579-583
Objective To explore the efficiency of artificial intelligence and radiomics-assisted X-ray in diagnosis of lumbar osteoporotic vertebral compression fractures(OVCF).Methods The clinical data of 455 patients diagnosed as lumbar OVCF by MRI in our hospital were selected.The patients were divided into the training group(n=364)and the validation group(n=91),X-ray films were extracted,the image delineation,feature extraction and data analysis were carried out,and the artificial intelligence radiomics deep learning was applied to establish a diagnostic model for OVCF.After verifying the effectiveness of the model by receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve,area under the curve(AUC),calibration curve,and decision curve analysis(DCA),the efficiencies of manual reading,model reading,and model-assisted manual reading of X-ray in the early diagnosis of OVCF were compared.Results The ROC curve,AUC and calibration curve proved that the model had good discrimination and calibration,and excellent diagnostic performance.DCA demonstrated that the model had a higher clinical net benefit.The diagnostic efficiency of the manual reading group:the accuracy rate was 0.89,the recall rate was 0.62.The diagnostic efficiency of the model reading group:the accuracy rate was 0.93,the recall rate was 0.86,the model diagnosis showed good predictive performance,which was significantly better than the manual reading group.The diagnostic efficiency of the model-assisted manual reading group:the accuracy rate was 0.92,the recall rate was 0.72,and the recall rate of the model-assisted manual reading group was higher than that of the manual reading group,but lower than that of the model reading group,indicating the superiority of the model diagnosis.Conclusion The diagnostic model established based on artificial intelligence and radiomics in this study has reached an ideal level of efficacy,with better diagnostic efficacy compared with manual reading,and can be used to assist X-ray in the early diagnosis of OVCF.
10.Establishment and validation of a prediction model to evaluate the prolonged hospital stay after anterior cervical discectomy and fusion
Hong-Wen GU ; Hong-Wei WANG ; Shi-Lei TANG ; Kang-En HAN ; Zhi-Hao ZHANG ; Yin HU ; Hai-Long YU
Journal of Regional Anatomy and Operative Surgery 2024;33(7):604-609
Objective To develop a clinical prediction model for predicting risk factors for prolonged hospital stay after anterior cervical discectomy and fusion(ACDF).Methods The clinical data of 914 patients underwent ACDF treatment for cervical spondylotic myelopathy(CSM)were retrospectively analyzed.According to the screening criteria,800 eligible patients were eventually included,and the patients were divided into the development cohort(n=560)and the validation cohort(n=240).LASSO regression was used to screen variables,and multivariate Logistic regression analysis was used to establish a prediction model.The prediction model was evaluated from three aspects:differentiation,calibration and clinical effectiveness.The performance of the model was evaluated by area under the curve(AUC)and Hosmer-Lemeshow test.Decision curve analysis(DCA)was used to evaluate the clinical effectiveness of the model.Results In this study,the five factors that were significantly associated with prolonged hospital stay were male,abnormal BMI,mild-to-moderate anemia,stage of surgery(morning,afternoon,evening),and alcohol consumption history.The AUC of the development cohort was 0.778(95%CI:0.740 to 0.816),with a cutoff value of 0.337,and that of the validation cohort was 0.748(95%CI:0.687 to 0.809),with a cutoff value of 0.169,indicating that the prediction model had good differentiation.At the same time,the Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed that the model had a good calibration degree,and the DCA proved that it was effective in clinical application.Conclusion The prediction model established in this study has excellent comprehensive performance,which can better predict the risk of prolonged hospital stay,and can guide clinical intervention as soon as possible,so as to minimize the postoperative hospital stay and reduce the cost of hospitalization.

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