1.Analysis of Quality Difference Factors of Perillae Caulis Based on Chemometrics Combined with TOPSIS Model
Maoqing WANG ; Sha CHEN ; Qian MA ; Jun ZHANG ; Qingxia XU ; Cong GUO ; Rui SHEN ; Yan LIU
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2025;31(17):168-175
ObjectiveTo explore quality difference factors of Perillae Caulis based on the contents of multiple chemical components and comprehensively evaluate the quality. MethodsA total of 32 batches of Perillae Caulis samples were collected from 12 producing areas such as Hebei, Anhui and Guangdong, and their diameter range, epidermis color and producing areas were recorded. Total flavonoids, total phenols, volatile oils, 5 active components and 84 volatile components in 32 batches of samples were quantitatively or semi-quantitatively determined by colorimetry, ultra performance liquid chromatography-photodiode array detector(UPLC-PDA) and gas chromatography-mass spectrometry(GC-MS). Then the differences between the contents of these components were analyzed by principal component analysis(PCA) and non-parametric test. According to the weights of the index components determined by PCA model, entropy weight-technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution(TOPSIS) model was constructed to evaluate the quality of Perillae Caulis with different characters and origins. ResultsThere were significant differences in the composition of Perillae Caulis with different diameters, epidermis colors and producing areas, and 9 differential components were screened out, including 6 index constituents(total flavonoids, total phenols, caffeic acid, scutellarin, rosmarinic acid and luteolin) and 3 volatile components(caryophyllene oxide, (-)-humulene epoxide Ⅱ, 14-hydroxycaryophyllene), of which 6 index constituents were higher in samples with small diameter, purple-brown epidermis and southern origin, while the contents of 3 volatile components were higher in samples with large diameter, dark-brown epidermis and northern origin. A significant difference was shown in the model scores of different diameters, epidermis colors and origins(P<0.05), and the scores of Perillae Caulis with small diameter and purple-brown epidermis from southern area, especially Guangdong, had a high score. ConclusionThere are significant differences in the composition and content of chemical constituents between different diameters, epidermal colors and production areas of Perillae Caulis, samples showing small diameter, owing purple-brown epidermis, and originating from Guangdong were of higher-quality due to their higher content of 8 key indices.
2.Analysis of Quality Difference Factors of Perillae Caulis Based on Chemometrics Combined with TOPSIS Model
Maoqing WANG ; Sha CHEN ; Qian MA ; Jun ZHANG ; Qingxia XU ; Cong GUO ; Rui SHEN ; Yan LIU
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2025;31(17):168-175
ObjectiveTo explore quality difference factors of Perillae Caulis based on the contents of multiple chemical components and comprehensively evaluate the quality. MethodsA total of 32 batches of Perillae Caulis samples were collected from 12 producing areas such as Hebei, Anhui and Guangdong, and their diameter range, epidermis color and producing areas were recorded. Total flavonoids, total phenols, volatile oils, 5 active components and 84 volatile components in 32 batches of samples were quantitatively or semi-quantitatively determined by colorimetry, ultra performance liquid chromatography-photodiode array detector(UPLC-PDA) and gas chromatography-mass spectrometry(GC-MS). Then the differences between the contents of these components were analyzed by principal component analysis(PCA) and non-parametric test. According to the weights of the index components determined by PCA model, entropy weight-technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution(TOPSIS) model was constructed to evaluate the quality of Perillae Caulis with different characters and origins. ResultsThere were significant differences in the composition of Perillae Caulis with different diameters, epidermis colors and producing areas, and 9 differential components were screened out, including 6 index constituents(total flavonoids, total phenols, caffeic acid, scutellarin, rosmarinic acid and luteolin) and 3 volatile components(caryophyllene oxide, (-)-humulene epoxide Ⅱ, 14-hydroxycaryophyllene), of which 6 index constituents were higher in samples with small diameter, purple-brown epidermis and southern origin, while the contents of 3 volatile components were higher in samples with large diameter, dark-brown epidermis and northern origin. A significant difference was shown in the model scores of different diameters, epidermis colors and origins(P<0.05), and the scores of Perillae Caulis with small diameter and purple-brown epidermis from southern area, especially Guangdong, had a high score. ConclusionThere are significant differences in the composition and content of chemical constituents between different diameters, epidermal colors and production areas of Perillae Caulis, samples showing small diameter, owing purple-brown epidermis, and originating from Guangdong were of higher-quality due to their higher content of 8 key indices.
3.Analysis of ABO System Hemolytic Disease of the Newborn in 283 Cases at Yunnan Province.
Jin-Yu ZHOU ; Ru SHEN ; Han-Xin WU ; Ju-Ding GUO ; Hong-Mei LIU ; Li-Li SHU ; Yu ZHU ; Jing-Yue SUN ; Jun CHANG
Journal of Experimental Hematology 2025;33(3):881-885
OBJECTIVE:
To analyze the laboratory detection results of hemolytic disease of the fetus and newborn(HDFN).
METHODS:
Related test results of 283 newborns and their mothers' blood samples from Kunming Maternal and Child Health Hospital from August 2023 to May 2024 were collected, including mother and child ABO blood group, RhD blood group, as well as 3 tests of HDFN, total bilirubin (TBil) and indirect bilirubin (IBil).
RESULTS:
283 were ABO incompatibility, among which 187 were HDFN positive, with a positive rate of 66.08%; the positive rate of HDFN in neonates with antigen-A incompatibility was 74.12%(126/170), the positive rate of HDFN in neonates with antigen-B incompatibility was 53.57%(60/112), which was the highest in neonates with O/A incompatibility [75.45%(126/167)], followed by O/B incompatibility[54.55%(60/110)]. Group by age, the positive rates of HDFN in the ≤1 d group, 2 d group, 3 d group, 4 d group, 5 d group and ≥6 d group were 76.03%(111/146), 67.86%(38/56), 57.14%(24/42), 38.46%(5/13), 46.15%(6/13) and 23.08%(3/13), respectively. With the increase of age, the positive rates of HDFN gradually decreased, there was a statistically significant difference between the ≤3 day age group and >3 day age group ( P <0.05). There was no statistically significant difference in TBil and IBil levels between the "direct antibody+indirect antibody+release+" group and the HDFN negative group in newborns. HDFN infants exhibited a rapid increase in bilirubin levels within the first day after birth, with significantly higher TBil and IBil values compared to Non ABO-HDFN infants in the ≤1 day group ( P <0.01). However, the difference of bilirubin levels between the two groups gradually narrowed from 2-6 days after birth, and the difference was not statistically significant (P >0.05). The peak value of TBil and IBil occurred on the 4th day after birth in HDFN infants.
CONCLUSION
ABO-HDFN is most commonly seen in newborns whose mothers are type-O, and the positive rate was the highest in newborns with O/A incompatibility. The detection rate of HDFN is affected by the age of the newborns, and the two were correlated inversely. ABO-HDFN group developed more rapidly with a higher peak. Therefore, HDFN tests should be carried out as soon as possible for mothers and newborns with incompatible blood types, and appropriate treatment should be provided to prevent complications.
Humans
;
Infant, Newborn
;
ABO Blood-Group System
;
Erythroblastosis, Fetal/epidemiology*
;
Female
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Blood Group Incompatibility
;
Male
;
Bilirubin/blood*
4.Pien Tze Huang Attenuates Cell Proliferation and Stemness Promoted by miR-483-5p in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Cells.
Li-Hui WEI ; Xi CHEN ; A-Ling SHEN ; Yi FANG ; Qiu-Rong XIE ; Zhi GUO ; Thomas J SFERRA ; You-Qin CHEN ; Jun PENG
Chinese journal of integrative medicine 2025;31(9):782-791
OBJECTIVE:
To investigate the effect of miR-483-5p on hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) cells proliferation and stemness, as well as the attenuating effect of Pien Tze Huang (PZH).
METHODS:
Differentially expressed miRNA between HepG2 cells and hepatic cancer stem-like cells (HCSCs) were identified by a miRNA microarray assay. miR-483-5p mimics were transfected into HepG2 cells to explore the effects of miR-483-5p on cell proliferation and stemness. HepG2 cells and HCSCs were treated with PZH (0, 0.25, 0.50 and 0.75 mg/mL) to explore the effects of PZH on the proliferation and stemness, both in non-induced state and the state induced by miR-483-5p mimics.
RESULTS:
miR-483-5p was significantly up-regulated in HCSCs and its overexpression increased cell proliferation and stemness in HepG2 cells (P<0.05). PZH not only significantly inhibited proliferation in HepG2 cells, but also significantly suppressed the cell proliferation and self-renewal of HCSCs (P<0.05). The effects of miR-483-5p mimics on proliferation and stemness of HepG2 cells were partially abolished by PZH.
CONCLUSIONS
miR-483-5p promotes proliferation and enhances stemness of HepG2 cells, which were attenuated by PZH, demonstrating that miR-483-5p is a potential molecular target for the treatment of HCC and provide experimental evidence to support clinical use of PZH for patients with HCC.
Humans
;
MicroRNAs/metabolism*
;
Cell Proliferation/drug effects*
;
Liver Neoplasms/drug therapy*
;
Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/drug therapy*
;
Hep G2 Cells
;
Neoplastic Stem Cells/metabolism*
;
Drugs, Chinese Herbal/therapeutic use*
;
Gene Expression Regulation, Neoplastic/drug effects*
5.Vascular Protection of Neferine on Attenuating Angiotensin II-Induced Blood Pressure Elevation by Integrated Network Pharmacology Analysis and RNA-Sequencing Approach.
A-Ling SHEN ; Xiu-Li ZHANG ; Zhi GUO ; Mei-Zhu WU ; Ying CHENG ; Da-Wei LIAN ; Chang-Geng FU ; Jun PENG ; Min YU ; Ke-Ji CHEN
Chinese journal of integrative medicine 2025;31(8):694-706
OBJECTIVE:
To explore the functional roles and underlying mechanisms of neferine in the context of angiotensin II (Ang II)-induced hypertension and vascular dysfunction.
METHODS:
Male mice were infused with Ang II to induce hypertension and randomly divided into treatment groups receiving neferine or a control vehicle based on baseline blood pressure using a random number table method. The hypertensive mouse model was constructed by infusing Ang II via a micro-osmotic pump (500 ng/kg per minute), and neferine (0.1, 1, or 10 mg/kg), valsartan (10 mg/kg), or double distilled water was administered intragastrically once daily for 6 weeks. A non-invasive blood pressure system, ultrasound, and hematoxylin and eosin staining were performed to assess blood pressure and vascular changes. RNA sequencing and network pharmacology were employed to identify differentially expressed transcripts (DETs) and pathways. Vascular ring tension assay was used to test vascular function. A7R5 cells were incubated with neferine for 24 h and then treated with Ang II to record the real-time Ca2+ concentration by confocal microscope. Immunohistochemistry (IHC) and Western blot were used to evaluate vasorelaxation, calcium, and the extracellular signal-regulated kinase (ERK)1/2 pathway.
RESULTS:
Neferine treatment effectively mitigated the elevation in blood pressure, pulse wave velocity, aortic thickening in the abdominal aorta of Ang II-infused mice (P<0.05). RNA sequencing and network pharmacology analysis identified 355 DETs that were significantly reversed by neferine treatment, along with 25 potential target genes, which were further enriched in multiple pathways and biological processes, such as ERK1 and ERK2 cascade regulation, calcium pathway, and vascular smooth muscle contraction. Further investigation revealed that neferine treatment enhanced vasorelaxation and reduced Ca2+-dependent contraction of abdominal aortic rings, independent of endothelium function (P<0.05). The underlying mechanisms were mediated, at least in part, via suppression of receptor-operated channels, store-operated channels, or voltage-operated calcium channels. Neferine pre-treatment demonstrated a reduction in intracellular Ca2+ release in Ang II stimulated A7R5 cells. IHC staining and Western blot confirmed that neferine treatment effectively attenuated the upregulation of p-ERK1/2 both in vivo and in vitro, which was similar with treatment of ERK1/2 inhibitor PD98059 (P<0.05).
CONCLUSIONS
Neferine remarkably alleviates Ang II-induced elevation of blood pressure, vascular dysfunction, and pathological changes in the abdominal aorta. This beneficial effect is mediated by the modulation of multiple pathways, including calcium and ERK1/2 pathways.
Animals
;
Angiotensin II
;
Male
;
Benzylisoquinolines/therapeutic use*
;
Network Pharmacology
;
Blood Pressure/drug effects*
;
Sequence Analysis, RNA
;
Mice
;
Hypertension/chemically induced*
;
Mice, Inbred C57BL
;
Calcium/metabolism*
6.An atrial fibrillation prediction model based on quantitative features of electrocardiogram during sinus rhythm in the Chinese population.
Xiaoqing ZHU ; Yajun SHI ; Juan SHEN ; Qingsong WANG ; Tingting SONG ; Jiancheng XIU ; Tao CHEN ; Jun GUO
Journal of Southern Medical University 2025;45(2):223-228
OBJECTIVES:
To develop an early atrial fibrillation (AF) risk prediction model based on large-scale electrocardiogram (ECG) data from the Chinese population.
METHODS:
The data of multiple ECG records of 30 383 patients admitted in the Chinese PLA General Hospital between 2009 and 2023 were randomly divided into the training set and the internal testing set in a 7:3 ratio. The predictive factors were selected based on the training set using univariate analysis, LASSO regression, and the Boruta algorithm. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to establish the ECG model and the composite model incorporating age, gender, and ECG model score. The discrimination power, calibration, and clinical net benefits of the models were evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), calibration curves, and decision curves.
RESULTS:
The cohort included 51.1% male patients with a median age of the patients of 51 (36, 62) years and an AF incidence of 4.5% (1370/30 383). In the ECG model, the parameters related to the P wave and QRS complex were identified as significant predictors. In the testing set, the AUROC of the ECG model for predicting 5-year AF risk was 0.77 (95% CI: 0.74-0.80), which was increased to 0.81 (95% CI: 0.78-0.83) after incorporating age and gender, with a net reclassification improvement of 0.123 and an integrated discrimination improvement of 0.04 (P<0.05). The calibration curve of the model was close to the diagonal line. Decision curve analysis showed that the clinical net benefit of the composite model was higher than that of the ECG model across the majority of threshold probability.
CONCLUSIONS
The composite model incorporating quantitative ECG features during sinus rhythm, along with age and gender, can effectively predict AF risk in the Chinese population, thus providing a low-cost screening tool for early AF risk assessment and management.
Humans
;
Atrial Fibrillation/epidemiology*
;
Electrocardiography
;
Middle Aged
;
Male
;
Female
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Proportional Hazards Models
;
Adult
;
Risk Factors
;
Risk Assessment
;
East Asian People
7.Association of Body Mass Index with All-Cause Mortality and Cause-Specific Mortality in Rural China: 10-Year Follow-up of a Population-Based Multicenter Prospective Study.
Juan Juan HUANG ; Yuan Zhi DI ; Ling Yu SHEN ; Jian Guo LIANG ; Jiang DU ; Xue Fang CAO ; Wei Tao DUAN ; Ai Wei HE ; Jun LIANG ; Li Mei ZHU ; Zi Sen LIU ; Fang LIU ; Shu Min YANG ; Zu Hui XU ; Cheng CHEN ; Bin ZHANG ; Jiao Xia YAN ; Yan Chun LIANG ; Rong LIU ; Tao ZHU ; Hong Zhi LI ; Fei SHEN ; Bo Xuan FENG ; Yi Jun HE ; Zi Han LI ; Ya Qi ZHAO ; Tong Lei GUO ; Li Qiong BAI ; Wei LU ; Qi JIN ; Lei GAO ; He Nan XIN
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2025;38(10):1179-1193
OBJECTIVE:
This study aimed to explore the association between body mass index (BMI) and mortality based on the 10-year population-based multicenter prospective study.
METHODS:
A general population-based multicenter prospective study was conducted at four sites in rural China between 2013 and 2023. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards models and restricted cubic spline analyses were used to assess the association between BMI and mortality. Stratified analyses were performed based on the individual characteristics of the participants.
RESULTS:
Overall, 19,107 participants with a sum of 163,095 person-years were included and 1,910 participants died. The underweight (< 18.5 kg/m 2) presented an increase in all-cause mortality (adjusted hazards ratio [ aHR] = 2.00, 95% confidence interval [ CI]: 1.66-2.41), while overweight (≥ 24.0 to < 28.0 kg/m 2) and obesity (≥ 28.0 kg/m 2) presented a decrease with an aHR of 0.61 (95% CI: 0.52-0.73) and 0.51 (95% CI: 0.37-0.70), respectively. Overweight ( aHR = 0.76, 95% CI: 0.67-0.86) and mild obesity ( aHR = 0.72, 95% CI: 0.59-0.87) had a positive impact on mortality in people older than 60 years. All-cause mortality decreased rapidly until reaching a BMI of 25.7 kg/m 2 ( aHR = 0.95, 95% CI: 0.92-0.98) and increased slightly above that value, indicating a U-shaped association. The beneficial impact of being overweight on mortality was robust in most subgroups and sensitivity analyses.
CONCLUSION
This study provides additional evidence that overweight and mild obesity may be inversely related to the risk of death in individuals older than 60 years. Therefore, it is essential to consider age differences when formulating health and weight management strategies.
Humans
;
Body Mass Index
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Male
;
Female
;
Middle Aged
;
Prospective Studies
;
Rural Population/statistics & numerical data*
;
Aged
;
Follow-Up Studies
;
Adult
;
Mortality
;
Cause of Death
;
Obesity/mortality*
;
Overweight/mortality*
8.Multi-parametric MRI radiomics-based nomogram model for predicting the lymphovascular space invasion of endometrial endometrioid adenocarcinoma
Xiao-Liang MA ; Min-Hua SHEN ; Feng-Hua MA ; Guo-Fu ZHANG ; Jian-Jun ZHOU ; Meng-Su ZENG ; Jin-Wei QIANG
Fudan University Journal of Medical Sciences 2024;51(3):306-314,322
Objective To investigate the feasibility and value of a multi-parametric MRI radiomics-based nomogram model for pretreatment predicting the lymphovascular space invasion(LVSI)of endometrial endometrioid adenocarcinoma(EEA).Methods Preoperative MRI and baseline clinical characteristics of 205 EEA patients were prospectively collected from Oct 2020 to Jan 2022 in the Obstetrics and Gynecology Hospital,Fudan University,and randomly divided into training set(n=123)and validation set(n=82)in a 6∶4 ratio.The whole-tumor region of interest was manually drawn on T2-weighted imaging,diffusion-weighted imaging(apparent diffusion coefficient),and dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI,respectively,for radiomics features extraction.In the training set,univariate and multivariate Logistic regression analysis were used to select independent clinical predictors of LVSI(+)and construct the clinical model.The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator(LASSO)regression and multivariate Logistic regression analysis were used to select optimal radiomics features to form a radiomics signature.A combined nomogram model was established by integrating clinical independent predictors and the radiomics signature,and validated in the validation set.The predicting performance and clinical net benefit were evaluated by using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve(AUC)and clinical decision curve analysis,respectively.Results Of the 205 EEA cases,144 cases were LVSI(-)and 61 cases were LVSI(+).Menopausal status,CA125,and CA199 were independent clinical predictors for the LVSI(+),and contributing to a clinical model with AUCs of 0.714(training)and 0.731(validation).From 8 240 extracted radiomics features,five were selected to construct a MRI radiomics signature after de-redundancy and LASSO dimensionality reduction,yielding AUCs of 0.860(training)and 0.759(validation).The combined nomogram model showed AUCs of 0.887(training)and 0.807(validation),outperforming others and achieving maximum clinical benefit in a large range of threshold probability in both training and validation sets.Conclusion The multi-parametric MRI-based nomogram model has the potential for pretreatment predicting the LVSI status of EEA,providing valuable information for clinical management decision-making and improving patient's clinical benefits.
9.Evaluation of the efficacy and safety of Xiao′er Huangjin Zhike Granules in the treatment of acute bronchitis-caused cough (syndrome of phlegm-heat obstructing the lung) in children
Jun LIU ; Mengqing WANG ; Xiuhong JIN ; Yongxue CHI ; Chunying MA ; Xiaohui LIU ; Yiqun TENG ; Meiyun XIN ; Fei SUN ; Ming LIU ; Ling LU ; Xinping PENG ; Yongxia GUO ; Rong YU ; Quanjing CHEN ; Bin WANG ; Tong SHEN ; Lan LI ; Pingping LIU ; Xiong LI ; Ming LI ; Guilan WANG ; Baoping XU
Chinese Journal of Applied Clinical Pediatrics 2024;39(10):774-779
Objective:To evaluate the efficacy and safety of Xiao′er Huangjin Zhike Granules in the treatment of cough caused by acute bronchitis in children, which is defined in TCM terms as a syndrome of phlegm-heat obstructing the lung.Methods:This was a block-randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, multicenter clinical trial.From January 2022 to September 2023, 359 children aged 3 to 7 years old diagnosed as acute bronchitis (lung-obstructing phlegm-heat syndrome) were enrolled from 21 participating hospitals and randomly assigned to the experimental group and placebo group in a 3︰1 ratio, and respectively treated with Xiao′er Huangjin Zhike Granules and its matching placebo.Cough resolution/general resolution rate after 7 days of treatment was used as the primary efficacy outcome for both groups.Results:(1)On the seventh day of treatment, the rate of cough disappearance/basically disappearance in the experimental group and placebo group were 73.95% and 57.61% retrospectively, which had statistically significance ( P=0.001).(2)After 7 days of treatment, the median duration of cough disappearance/basic disappearance were 5 days and 6 days in the two groups , with a statistically significant difference ( P=0.006).The area under the curve of cough symptom severity time was 7.20 ± 3.79 in the experimental group and 8.20±4.42 in the placebo group.The difference between the two groups was statistically significant ( P=0.039).(3) After 7 days of treatment, the difference between TCM syndrome score and baseline was -16.0 (-20.0, -15.0) points in the experimental group and -15.0 (-18.0, -12.0) points in the placebo group, with significant difference between the two groups ( P=0.004).In the experimental group, the clinical control rate, the markedly effective rate, the effective rate and the ineffective rate were 49.04%, 28.35%, 16.48% and 6.13% severally; and in the placebo group, the clinical control rate, the markedly effective rate, the effective rate and the ineffective rate were 38.04%, 26.09%, 29.35%, and 6.52% separately, which had statistically significant ( P=0.014).(4) There was no significant difference in the incidence of adverse events or adverse reactions during the trial between both groups.Moreover, while adverse reactions in the form of vomiting and diarrhea were occasionally reported, no serious drug-related adverse event or adverse reaction was reported.(5)The tested drug provided good treatment compliance, showing no statistically significant difference from the placebo in terms of compliance rate. Conclusions:Based on the above findings, it can be concluded that Xiao′er Huangjin Zhike Granules provides good safety, efficacy, and treatment compliance in the treatment of cough caused by acute bronchitis, and lung-obstructing phlegm-heat syndrome, in children.
10.Development and validation of dynamic prediction models using vital signs time series data for fatal massive hemorrhage in trauma
Cheng-Yu GUO ; Ming-Hui GONG ; Qiao-Chu SHEN ; Hui HAN ; Ruo-Lin WANG ; Hong-Liang ZHANG ; Jun-Kang WANG ; Chun-Ping LI ; Tan-Shi LI
Medical Journal of Chinese People's Liberation Army 2024;49(6):629-635
Objective To establish a dynamic prediction model of fatal massive hemorrhage in trauma based on the vital signs time series data and machine learning algorithms.Methods Retrospectively analyze the vital signs time series data of 7522 patients with trauma in the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-Ⅳ(MIMIC-Ⅳ)database from 2008 to 2019.According to the occurrence of posttraumatic fatal massive hemorrhage,the patients were divided into two groups:fatal massive hemorrhage group(n=283)and non-fatal massive hemorrhage group(n=7239).Six machine learning algorithms,including logistic regression(LR),support vector machine(SVM),random forests(RF),adaptive boosting(AdaBoost),gated recurrent unit(GRU),and GRU-D were used to develop a dynamic prediction models of fatal massive hemorrhage in trauma.The probability of fatal massive hemorrhage in the following 1,2,and 3 h was dynamically predicted.The performance of the models was evaluated by accuracy,sensitivity,specificity,positive predictive value,negative predictive value,Youden index,and area under receiver operating characteristic curve(AUC).The models were externally validated based on the trauma database of the Chinese PLA General Hospital.Results In the MIMIC-Ⅳ database,the set of dynamic prediction models based on the GRU-D algorithm was the best.The AUC for predicting fatal major bleeding in the next 1,2,and 3 h were 0.946±0.029,0.940±0.032,and 0.943±0.034,respectively,and there was no significant difference(P=0.905).In the trauma dataset,GRU-D model achieved the best external validation effect.The AUC for predicting fatal major bleeding in the next 1,2,and 3 h were 0.779±0.013,0.780±0.008,and 0.778±0.009,respectively,and there was no significant difference(P=0.181).This set of models was deployed in a public web calculator and hospital emergency department information system,which is convenient for the public and medical staff to use and validate the model.Conclusion A set of dynamic prediction models has been successfully developed and validated,which is greatly significant for the early diagnosis and dynamic prediction of fatal massive hemorrhage in trauma.

Result Analysis
Print
Save
E-mail