1.Shexiang Tongxin Dropping Pills Ameliorate Dysfunction of Cardiac Microvascular Endothelial Cells in Rat Model of Heart Failure
Junkai YAO ; Shujuan GUO ; Mingyue HUANG ; Chun LI ; Yong WANG ; Wei WANG
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2025;31(16):87-95
ObjectiveTo study the mechanism by which Shexiang Tongxin dropping pills (STDP) ameliorate the dysfunction of coronary microvascular endothelial cells in the rat model of heart failure. MethodsThe heart failure model was established by ligation of the left anterior descending coronary artery in rats, which were then allocated into sham, model, STDP, and telmisartan (TLM) groups and treated for 21 days. The heart function was detected by echocardiography, and the levels of myocardial injury markers, nitric oxide (NO), endothelin-1 (ET1), and angiotensinⅡ (AngⅡ) were determined by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). The protein levels of endothelial nitric oxide synthase (eNOS) and inducible nitric oxide synthase (iNOS) were determined by Western blot. The model of cardiac microvascular endothelial cell injury was established by AngⅡ induction and then treated with the STDP-containing serum (5%, 10%, and 20%) for 24 h. The levels of NO and ET1 were measured by ELISA. Western blot was employed to determine the protein levels of eNOS, iNOS, angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE2), and angiotensinⅡ receptor 2 (AT2). MLN-4760, an ACE2 inhibitor, was used to explore the mechanism underpinning the regulatory effect of STDP on the ACE2-AT2/MAS pathway. ResultsCompared with the sham group, the model group showed decreases in left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) and left ventricular fractional shortening (LVFS) (P<0.05), a decline in serum NO level, elevations in serum AngⅡ and ET1 levels, a reduction in p-eNOS/eNOS ratio, and up-regulation in iNOS expression (P<0.05). Compared with the model group, STDP increased LVEF, LVFS, and cardiac output (P<0.05), raised the level of NO and lowered the levels of AngⅡ and ET1 in the serum (P<0.05), increased the p-eNOS/eNOS value, and inhibited iNOS expression (P<0.05). Compared with the AngⅡ group, STDP increased the NO content and decreased the ET1 content in endothelial cells (P<0.05), increased the p-eNOS/eNOS ratio, and inhibited the iNOS expression (P<0.05). The ACE2 inhibitor MLN-4760 reversed the regulatory effects of STDP on p-eNOS, eNOS, and iNOS. ConclusionSTDP improves the cardiac function in the rat model of heart failure, enhances the synthesis and release of NO in cardiac microvascular endothelial cells, reduces AngⅡ and ET1 levels, and regulates the expression of p-eNOS and eNOS, thereby ameliorating the dysfunction of microvascular endothelial cells in heart failure. This mechanism is related to the upregulation of the expression of proteins in the ACE2-AT2/MAS pathway.
2.Visualization Analysis of Artificial Intelligence Literature in Forensic Research
Yi-Ming DONG ; Chun-Mei ZHAO ; Nian-Nian CHEN ; Li LUO ; Zhan-Peng LI ; Li-Kai WANG ; Xiao-Qian LI ; Ting-Gan REN ; Cai-Rong GAO ; Xiang-Jie GUO
Journal of Forensic Medicine 2024;40(1):1-14
Objective To analyze the literature on artificial intelligence in forensic research from 2012 to 2022 in the Web of Science Core Collection Database,to explore research hotspots and developmen-tal trends.Methods A total of 736 articles on artificial intelligence in forensic medicine in the Web of Science Core Collection Database from 2012 to 2022 were visualized and analyzed through the litera-ture measuring tool CiteSpace.The authors,institution,country(region),title,journal,keywords,cited references and other information of relevant literatures were analyzed.Results A total of 736 articles published in 220 journals by 355 authors from 289 institutions in 69 countries(regions)were identi-fied,with the number of articles published showing an increasing trend year by year.Among them,the United States had the highest number of publications and China ranked the second.Academy of Forensic Science had the highest number of publications among the institutions.Forensic Science Inter-national,Journal of Forensic Sciences,International Journal of Legal Medicine ranked high in publica-tion and citation frequency.Through the analysis of keywords,it was found that the research hotspots of artificial intelligence in the forensic field mainly focused on the use of artificial intelligence technol-ogy for sex and age estimation,cause of death analysis,postmortem interval estimation,individual identification and so on.Conclusion It is necessary to pay attention to international and institutional cooperation and to strengthen the cross-disciplinary research.Exploring the combination of advanced ar-tificial intelligence technologies with forensic research will be a hotspot and direction for future re-search.
3.DNA Polymerase θ: a Multifunctional and Error-prone DNA End Repair Enzyme
Yao WANG ; Guo-Jiang CHEN ; Jian-Nan FENG ; Yan-Chun SHI ; Jing WANG ; Yuan-Qiang ZHENG
Progress in Biochemistry and Biophysics 2024;51(3):493-503
DNA polymerase theta (Polθ), also known as DNA polymerase θ, is the member of the DNA polymerase A family and plays a crucial role in the repair of DNA double-strand breaks (DSB). Polθ has 3 distinct structural domains: the N-terminal helicase-like domain with a conserved sequence, the C-terminal polymerase domain, and the central domain, which is a disordered sequence connecting these two regions. Notably, Polθ is the only known polymerase in eukaryotes that possesses helicase activity. However, it is also an error-prone polymerase. When DNA DSBs occur, a specialized network consisting of at least 4 pathways, including classical-non homologous end joining (C-NHEJ), homologous recombination (HR), single-strand annealing (SSA), and alternative-end joining (Alt-EJ), is responsible for repairing DNA damage caused by DSBs. In the absence of major DNA repair pathways like HR, cells rely on Alt-EJ pathway mediated by Polθ to repair damaged DNA and maintain genomic stability. Nevertheless, due to the low fidelity of Polθ, Alt-EJ repair often leads to errors. Depletion of Polθ has shown to increases DSB formation and compromise genomic stability. Conversely, overexpression of Polθ has been associated with increases DNA damage markers and impairs cell cycle progression. As a result, the impact of Polθ on genome stability remains controversial. Furthermore, overexpression of Polθ is frequently observed in cancer and is associated with a characteristic mutational signature and poor prognosis. Depleting Polθ in an HR-deficient background has been shown to impair cell viability, suggesting a synthetic lethal (SL) relationship between Polθ and HR factors. In recent years, targeted chemotherapy drugs that inhibit tumor growth have gained significant attention. However, off-target effects and drug resistance pose challenges for clinical application, particularly with poly-ADP-ribose polymerase inhibitor (PARPi). Blocking Polθ activity in HR-deficient tumor cells has been found to reverse PARPi resistance, making Polθ a very promising therapeutic target in cancer treatment. The availability of crystal structures for both helicase and polymerase domain has facilitated the design of potent inhibitors of Polθ. Currently, several highly specific and effective small molecule inhibitors targeting Polθ, such as Novobiocin, RP-6685, and ART558, have been reported to effectively block various cancers with HR deficiency. The initial success of these inhibitors points to new directions for treating BRCA1/2-mutated tumors. Additionally, reducing the Alt-EJ repair pathway mediated by Polθ can improve HR repair efficiency and increase the chance of exogenous gene target integration (TI), suggesting potential new applications for Polθ inhibitors. This article reviews the recent research progress on the molecular function of Polθ and its involvement in the Alt-EJ pathway modification mechanism, providing insights for a deeper understanding of this field.
4.A Prognostic Model Based on Colony Stimulating Factors-related Genes in Triple-negative Breast Cancer
Yu-Xuan GUO ; Zhi-Yu WANG ; Pei-Yao XIAO ; Chan-Juan ZHENG ; Shu-Jun FU ; Guang-Chun HE ; Jun LONG ; Jie WANG ; Xi-Yun DENG ; Yi-An WANG
Progress in Biochemistry and Biophysics 2024;51(10):2741-2756
ObjectiveTriple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) is the breast cancer subtype with the worst prognosis, and lacks effective therapeutic targets. Colony stimulating factors (CSFs) are cytokines that can regulate the production of blood cells and stimulate the growth and development of immune cells, playing an important role in the malignant progression of TNBC. This article aims to construct a novel prognostic model based on the expression of colony stimulating factors-related genes (CRGs), and analyze the sensitivity of TNBC patients to immunotherapy and drug therapy. MethodsWe downloaded CRGs from public databases and screened for differentially expressed CRGs between normal and TNBC tissues in the TCGA-BRCA database. Through LASSO Cox regression analysis, we constructed a prognostic model and stratified TNBC patients into high-risk and low-risk groups based on the colony stimulating factors-related genes risk score (CRRS). We further analyzed the correlation between CRRS and patient prognosis, clinical features, tumor microenvironment (TME) in both high-risk and low-risk groups, and evaluated the relationship between CRRS and sensitivity to immunotherapy and drug therapy. ResultsWe identified 842 differentially expressed CRGs in breast cancer tissues of TNBC patients and selected 13 CRGs for constructing the prognostic model. Kaplan-Meier survival curves, time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves, and other analyses confirmed that TNBC patients with high CRRS had shorter overall survival, and the predictive ability of CRRS prognostic model was further validated using the GEO dataset. Nomogram combining clinical features confirmed that CRRS was an independent factor for the prognosis of TNBC patients. Moreover, patients in the high-risk group had lower levels of immune infiltration in the TME and were sensitive to chemotherapeutic drugs such as 5-fluorouracil, ipatasertib, and paclitaxel. ConclusionWe have developed a CRRS-based prognostic model composed of 13 differentially expressed CRGs, which may serve as a useful tool for predicting the prognosis of TNBC patients and guiding clinical treatment. Moreover, the key genes within this model may represent potential molecular targets for future therapies of TNBC.
5.No Incidence of Liver Cancer Was Observed in A Retrospective Study of Patients with Aristolochic Acid Nephropathy.
Tao SU ; Zhi-E FANG ; Yu-Ming GUO ; Chun-Yu WANG ; Jia-Bo WANG ; Dong JI ; Zhao-Fang BAI ; Li YANG ; Xiao-He XIAO
Chinese journal of integrative medicine 2024;30(2):99-106
OBJECTIVE:
To assess the risk of aristolochic acid (AA)-associated cancer in patients with AA nephropathy (AAN).
METHODS:
A retrospective study was conducted on patients diagnosed with AAN at Peking University First Hospital from January 1997 to December 2014. Long-term surveillance and follow-up data were analyzed to investigate the influence of different factors on the prevalence of cancer. The primary endpoint was the incidence of liver cancer, and the secondary endpoint was the incidence of urinary cancer during 1 year after taking AA-containing medication to 2014.
RESULTS:
A total of 337 patients diagnosed with AAN were included in this study. From the initiation of taking AA to the termination of follow-up, 39 patients were diagnosed with cancer. No cases of liver cancer were observed throughout the entire follow-up period, with urinary cancer being the predominant type (34/39, 87.17%). Logistic regression analysis showed that age, follow-up period, and diabetes were potential risk factors, however, the dosage of the drug was not significantly associated with urinary cancer.
CONCLUSIONS
No cases of liver cancer were observed at the end of follow-up. However, a high prevalence of urinary cancer was observed in AAN patients. Establishing a direct causality between AA and HCC is challenging.
Humans
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Retrospective Studies
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Incidence
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Carcinoma, Hepatocellular
;
Liver Neoplasms/epidemiology*
;
Kidney Diseases/chemically induced*
;
Aristolochic Acids/adverse effects*
6.Electroacupuncture at Sensitized Acupoints Relieves Somatic Referred Pain in Colitis Rats by Inhibiting Sympathetic-Sensory Coupling to Interfere with 5-HT Signaling Pathway.
Ying YANG ; Jin-Yu QU ; Hua GUO ; Hai-Ying ZHOU ; Xia RUAN ; Ying-Chun PENG ; Xue-Fang SHEN ; Jin XIONG ; Yi-Li WANG
Chinese journal of integrative medicine 2024;30(2):152-162
OBJECTIVE:
To investigate whether electroacupuncture (EA) at sensitized acupoints could reduce sympathetic-sensory coupling (SSC) and neurogenic inflammatory response by interfering with 5-hydroxytryptamine (5-HT)ergic neural pathways to relieve colitis and somatic referred pain, and explore the underlying mechanisms.
METHODS:
Rats were treated with 5% dextran sodium sulfate (DSS) solution for 7 days to establish a colitis model. Twelve rats were randomly divided into the control and model groups according to a random number table (n=6). According to the "Research on Rat Acupoint Atlas", sensitized acupoints and non-sensitized acupoints were determined. Rats were randomly divided into the control, model, Zusanli-EA (ST 36), Dachangshu-EA (BL 25), and Xinshu (BL 15) groups (n=6), as well as the control, model, EA, and EA + GR113808 (a 5-HT inhibitor) groups (n=6). The rats in the control group received no treatment. Acupuncture was administered on 2 days after modeling using the stimulation pavameters: 1 mA, 2 Hz, for 30 min, with sparse and dense waves, for 14 consecutive days. GR113808 was injected into the tail vein at 5 mg/kg before EA for 10 min for 7 consecutive days. Mechanical sensitivity was assessed with von Frey filaments. Body weight and disease activity index (DAI) scores of rats were determined. Hematoxylin and eosin staining was performed to observe colon histopathology. SSC was analyzed by immunofluorescence staining. Immunohistochemical staining was performed to detect 5-HT and substance P (SP) expressions. The calcitonin gene-related peptide (CGRP) in skin tissue and tyrosine hydroxylase (TH) protein levels in DRG were detected by Western blot. The levels of hyaluronic acid (HA), bradykinin (BK), prostaglandin I2 (PGI2) in skin tissue, 5-HT, tryptophan hydroxylase 1 (TPH1), serotonin transporters (SERT), 5-HT 3 receptor (5-HT3R), and 5-HT 4 receptor (5-HT4R) in colon tissue were measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA).
RESULTS:
BL 25 and ST 36 acupoints were determined as sensitized acupoints, and BL 15 acupoint was used as a non-sensitized acupoint. EA at sensitized acupoints improved the DAI score, increased mechanical withdrawal thresholds, and alleviated colonic pathological damage of rats. EA at sensitized acupoints reduced SSC structures and decreased TH and CGRP expression levels (P<0.05). Furthermore, EA at sensitized acupoints reduced BK, PGI2, 5-HT, 5-HT3R and TPH1 levels, and increased HA, 5-HT4R and SERT levels in colitis rats (P<0.05). GR113808 treatment diminished the protective effect of EA at sensitized acupoints in colitis rats (P<0.05).
CONCLUSION
EA at sensitized acupoints alleviated DSS-induced somatic referred pain in colitis rats by interfering with 5-HTergic neural pathway, and reducing SSC inflammatory response.
Rats
;
Animals
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Electroacupuncture
;
Rats, Sprague-Dawley
;
Serotonin
;
Acupuncture Points
;
Pain, Referred
;
Calcitonin Gene-Related Peptide
;
Signal Transduction
;
Colitis/therapy*
;
Indoles
;
Sulfonamides
7.Meta-analysis of the role of fibular fixation in tibiofibular fractures
Lin-Lin CONG ; Pin-Pin JIANG ; Hua GUO ; Hang WANG ; Xian-Da CHE ; Chun-Fang WANG ; Wen-Jin LI ; Peng-Cui LI
China Journal of Orthopaedics and Traumatology 2024;37(1):74-80
Objective To compare the role and importance of fibular fixation in tibiofibular fractures by Meta-analysis.Methods The literature related to the comparison of the efficacy of fixation of the fibula with or without fixation on the treatment of tibiofibular fractures was searched through the databases of China Knowledge Network,Wipu,Wanfang,The Cochrane Li-brary,Web of science and Pubmed,and statistical analysis was performed using RevMan 5.3 software.The rates of malrotation,rotational deformity,internal/external deformity,anterior/posterior deformity,non-union,infection,secondary surgery and op-erative time were compared between the fibula fixation and non-fixation groups.Results A total of 11 publications were includ-ed,six randomised controlled trials and five case-control trials,eight of which were of high quality.A total of 813 cases were in-cluded,of which 383 were treated with fibula fixation and 430 with unfixed fibulae.Meta-analysis results showed that fixation of the fibulae in the treatment of tibiofibular fractures reduced the rates of postoperative rotational deformity[RR=0.22,95%CI(0.10,0.45),P<0.000 1]and internal/external deformity[RR=0.34,95%CI(0.14,0.84),P=0.02]and promoted fracture heal-ing[RR=0.76,95%CI(0.58,0.99),P=0.04].In contrast,the rates of poor reduction[RR=0.48,95%CI(0.10,2.33),P=0.36],anterior/posterior deformity[RR=1.50,95%CI(0.76,2.96),P=0.24],infection[RR=1.43,95%CI(0.76,2.72),P=0.27],sec-ondary surgery[RR=1.32,95%CI(0.82,2.11),P=0.25],and operative time[MD=10.21,95%CI(-17.79,38.21),P=0.47]were not statistically significant(P>0.05)for comparison.Conclusion Simultaneous fixation of the tibia and fibula is clinically more effective in the treatment of tibiofibular fractures.
8.Influencing Factors of Overall Survival of Elderly Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma and Construction of Prediction Model of Prognosis Nomogram:A Population-Based Study
Yang WU ; Tian LI ; Tingting SHI ; Lingling ZHU ; Yani ZHANG ; Peipei GUO ; Runbing ZHANG ; Shunna WANG ; Chun GAO ; Xiaohui YU ; Jiucong ZHANG
Cancer Research on Prevention and Treatment 2024;51(9):756-763
Objective To explore the independent risk factors that affect the overall survival(OS)of elderly patients with hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC,≥60 years old)and build a nomogram prediction model.Methods Clinical data of all elderly patients with HCC from the SEER database from 2005 to 2020 were downloaded from SEER database.In accordance with the inclusion and exclusion criteria,the screened patients were randomly assigned to a training group(70%)and a validation group(30%).The independent risk factors of elderly patients with HCC were determined by univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses and further validated by Kaplan-Meier survival analysis.On the basis of the determined variables,nomograms were developed and verified to predict the OS of elderly patients with HCC at 6,12,and 24 months.The consistency index(C index),calibration curve,receiver's operating characteristic(ROC)curve,and area under curve(AUC)were used to evaluate the prediction efficiency and discrimination ability of the prediction model,and decision curve analysis(DCA)was used to evaluate the potential clinical application value of the nomogram.Results A total of 1134 elderly patients with HCC were included,with 793 in the training group and 341 in the validation group.Seven variables,including age,clinical grade,clinical stage,M stage,tumor size classification,and radiotherapy,were identified as independent prognostic factors of this population.The constructed nomogram shows excellent prediction performance,with C indices of 0.745 in the training group and 0.704 in the validation group.The AUC values of the training group at 6,12,and 24 months were 0.785,0.788,and 0.798,respectively,and those of the validation group were 0.780,0.725,and 0.607,respectively.The calibration curve shows good consistency from the predicted survival probability to the actual probability.The ROC curve and DCA show that the nomogram proposed in this study has good prediction ability.Conclusion Age,clinical grade,clinical stage,M stage,tumor size classification,and radiotherapy are important influencing factors for the survival of elderly patients with HCC.The prediction model of prognosis nomogram constructed in this study has good predictive value,and it can be used to predict the OS of elderly patients with HCC,which could be helpful for individualized survival assessment and clinical management of these patients.
9.Clinical Efficacy of"Triple-posture Positive Bone-setting"Chiropractic Manipulation Combined with Tongluo Huoxue Formula for the Treatment of Lumbar Spinal Stenosis of Qi Deficiency and Blood Stasis Type
Long CHEN ; Zhou-Hang ZHENG ; Yu ZHANG ; Meng-Shu WANG ; Zhao-Yuan ZHANG ; Wei-Feng GUO ; Huan CHEN ; Xing-Ming LIU ; Dong-Chun YOU ; Rong-Hai WU
Journal of Guangzhou University of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2024;41(6):1450-1456
Objective To observe the clinical efficacy of"triple-posture positive bone-setting"chiropractic manipulation combined with Tongluo Huoxue Formula for the treatment of lumbar spinal stenosis(LSS)with qi deficiency and blood stasis syndrome.Methods Sixty patients with LSS of qi deficiency and blood stasis type were randomly divided into trial group and control group,with 30 cases in each group.The trial group was treated with"triple-posture positive bone-setting"chiropractic manipulation(a chiropractic manipulation performed under the positive cooperation of the patients at three postures)combined with Tongluo Huoxue Formula,while the control group was treated with"triple-posture positive bone-setting"chiropractic manipulation combined with conventional western medicine.The course of treatment for the two groups covered 4 weeks.Before and after treatment,the patients of the two groups were observed in the changes of pain visual analogue scale(VAS)score,Japanese Orthopedic Association(JOA)score of lumbar function,Oswestry Disability Index(ODI)score,straight-leg raising test results and serum interleukin 6(IL-6)and C-reactive protein(CRP)levels.After treatment,the clinical efficacy and safety of the two groups were evaluated.Results(1)After 4 weeks of treatment,the total effective rate of the trial group was 96.67%(29/30)and that of the control group was 63.33%(19/30).The intergroup comparison(tested by Fisher's exact test)showed that the clinical efficacy of the trial group was significantly superior to that of the control group(P<0.05).(2)After treatment,the lumbar function indicators of pain VAS scores and ODI scores in the trial group were significantly lower(P<0.05),and the JOA scores were significantly higher than those before treatment(P<0.05),while in the control group,only the ODI scores were significantly lower than those before treatment(P<0.05).The intergroup comparison showed that the decrease of VAS and ODI scores and the increase of JOA scores in the trial group were significantly superior to those in the control group(P<0.05 or P<0.01).(3)After treatment,the Laseque s sign of the trial group was significantly improved compared with that before treatment(P<0.05),while no significant improvement was presented in the control group(P>0.05).The intergroup comparison showed that the improvement of Laseque's sign in the trial group was significantly superior to that in the control group(P<0.01).(4)After treatment,the levels of serum inflammatory factors of IL-6 and CRP in the two groups were lower than those before treatment(P<0.05),and the decrease of serum IL-6 level in the trial group was significantly superior to that in the control group(P<0.05),but CRP level in the two groups after treatment did not differ from that before treatment,no statistically significant difference was shown between the two groups after treatment,either(P>0.05).(5)The incidence of adverse reactions in the trial group was 6.67%(2/30)and that in the control group was 13.33%(4/30),and the intergroup comparison(by Fisher's exact test)showed that there was no significant difference between the two groups(P>0.05).Conclusion The therapeutic effect of"triple-posture positive bone-setting"chiropractic manipulation combined with Tongluo Huoxue Formula exert certain effect for the treatment of LSS patients with qi deficiency and blood stasis syndrome,and it has more obvious advantages in improving the lumbar function,promoting the rehabilitation of the patients,and lowering the level of serum inflammatory factors than"triple-posture positive bone-setting"chiropractic manipulation combined with conventional western medication.
10.Development and validation of dynamic prediction models using vital signs time series data for fatal massive hemorrhage in trauma
Cheng-Yu GUO ; Ming-Hui GONG ; Qiao-Chu SHEN ; Hui HAN ; Ruo-Lin WANG ; Hong-Liang ZHANG ; Jun-Kang WANG ; Chun-Ping LI ; Tan-Shi LI
Medical Journal of Chinese People's Liberation Army 2024;49(6):629-635
Objective To establish a dynamic prediction model of fatal massive hemorrhage in trauma based on the vital signs time series data and machine learning algorithms.Methods Retrospectively analyze the vital signs time series data of 7522 patients with trauma in the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-Ⅳ(MIMIC-Ⅳ)database from 2008 to 2019.According to the occurrence of posttraumatic fatal massive hemorrhage,the patients were divided into two groups:fatal massive hemorrhage group(n=283)and non-fatal massive hemorrhage group(n=7239).Six machine learning algorithms,including logistic regression(LR),support vector machine(SVM),random forests(RF),adaptive boosting(AdaBoost),gated recurrent unit(GRU),and GRU-D were used to develop a dynamic prediction models of fatal massive hemorrhage in trauma.The probability of fatal massive hemorrhage in the following 1,2,and 3 h was dynamically predicted.The performance of the models was evaluated by accuracy,sensitivity,specificity,positive predictive value,negative predictive value,Youden index,and area under receiver operating characteristic curve(AUC).The models were externally validated based on the trauma database of the Chinese PLA General Hospital.Results In the MIMIC-Ⅳ database,the set of dynamic prediction models based on the GRU-D algorithm was the best.The AUC for predicting fatal major bleeding in the next 1,2,and 3 h were 0.946±0.029,0.940±0.032,and 0.943±0.034,respectively,and there was no significant difference(P=0.905).In the trauma dataset,GRU-D model achieved the best external validation effect.The AUC for predicting fatal major bleeding in the next 1,2,and 3 h were 0.779±0.013,0.780±0.008,and 0.778±0.009,respectively,and there was no significant difference(P=0.181).This set of models was deployed in a public web calculator and hospital emergency department information system,which is convenient for the public and medical staff to use and validate the model.Conclusion A set of dynamic prediction models has been successfully developed and validated,which is greatly significant for the early diagnosis and dynamic prediction of fatal massive hemorrhage in trauma.

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