1.Study on increase of average life expectancy of residents in Tianjin from 1999 to 2018
Dezheng WANG ; Hui ZHANG ; Shuang ZHANG ; Kun SUN ; Chong WANG ; Zhuo WANG ; Guide SONG ; Chengfeng SHEN ; Wenlong ZHENG ; Guohong JIANG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2021;42(5):814-822
Objective:To assess the trend and the factors responsible for the increase of life expectancy of residents in Tianjin over the past two decades.Methods:Abridged Life Table and Arriaga's decomposition method was applied to quantify the influence of the age structure and the leading causes of death on the increase of life expectancy of residents in Tianjin from 1999 to 2018.Results:In the past 20 years, the life expectancy of residents in Tianjin increased by 4.97 years, the life expectancy of men and women increased by 4.11 years and 5.86 years, respectively. The decrease of mortality rate in 0-year-old group contributed 19.17% to the increase of the life expectancy, while the decrease of mortality rate in residents aged ≥55 years contributed more to the increase of life expectancy, with the cumulative contribution rate of 67.38%. The major contribution to the increase of life expectancy was the mortality reduction of cerebrovascular disease, respiratory disease, cardiovascular disease, perinatal diseases, congenital malformations and injury, with the contribution percentage of 27.27%, 21.37%, 15.76%, 12.22%, 6.44% and 4.86%, respectively. The increase of mortality of malignant tumor, injury and poisoning, diabetes and nervous system diseases and others had a negative effect on the increase of life expectancy of people aged ≥75 years. From 1999 to 2018, the life expectancy increased from 76.72 years to 81.46 years ( t=9.11, P<0.001), the annual percent change (APC) was 0.58%. From 2011 to 2018, it was stable, ranging from 81.46 years to 81.69 years ( t=0.89, P=0.387, APC=0.13%). Conclusion:From 1999 to 2018, the increase of life expectancy was attributed to the decrease of mortalities in infants and the elderly and the decrease of mortalities of cerebro-cardiovascular disease, respiratory disease, perinatal disease, congenital malformations and injury. However, these positive contributions were partly offset by the negative contribution of malignant tumor, injury, diabetes and nervous system disease in those aged ≥75 years. Comprehensive prevention and control of key diseases should be strengthened in key population in order to further improve the life expectancy of the population.
2. Analysis of the long-term trend of mortality and years of life lost of gastric cancer in Tianjin from 1999 to 2015
Wenlong ZHENG ; Hui ZHANG ; Shuang ZHANG ; Dezheng WANG ; Guide SONG ; Guohong JIANG
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2020;54(2):160-164
Objective:
To analyze the long-term trend of mortality and years of life lost (YLL) of gastric cancer in Tianjin from 1999 to 2015.
Methods:
From January 1, 1999 to December 31, 2015, the data of gastric cancer deaths was collected from the Tianjin death surveillance system. The inclusion criteria of death due to gastric cancer were coded by using 151 in the 9th edition of the international classification of diseases (ICD) (1999-2002) and C16 in the 10th edition of ICD (2003-2015). The crude and age-standardized mortality rate (ASR) of gastric cancer was calculated according to Segi′s world standard population. YLL was calculated according to the standard method of the disease burden of WHO. The Joinpoint regression was used to calculate the average annual percentage change (AAPC) to indicate the trend of mortality and YLL of gastric cancer.
Results:
From 1999 to 2015, there were 20 000 deaths of gastric cancer in Tianjin. The proportion of gastric cancer death in the population aged 0-44 years old, 45-64 years old, and 65 years old and above was 4.9%, 30.4%, and 64.8%, respectively. The proportion of males and urban was 67.1% and 67.5%, respectively. From 1999 to 2015, the crude mortality rate was from 12.10/100 000 to 12.58/100 000. The ASR was from 11.04/100 000 to 7.24/100 000. The average annual YLL number was 29 625.83 person-years and the rate was 3.09 person-years per thousand people. From 1999 to 2015, the crude mortality rate and the PYLL of gastric cancer in Tianjin were stable (the AAPC was 0.34% and -0.24%, all
3.Analysis on long-term trend of mortality and years of life lost of breast cancer in women in Tianjin, 1999-2017
Wenlong ZHENG ; Hui ZHANG ; Shuang ZHANG ; Chengfeng SHEN ; Chong WANG ; Dezheng WANG ; Guide SONG ; Guohong JIANG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2020;41(9):1477-1481
Objective:To analyze the trends of mortality and years of life lost (YLL) of breast cancer in women in Tianjin and provide references for the development of intervention strategies.Methods:The crude mortality rate, standard mortality rate, cumulative rate (0-74 years old) and truncated rate (35-64 years old) of breast cancer in women in Tianjin from 1999 to 2017 were calculated. The annual percentage change of the mortality rate and YLL rate were analyzed by Joinpoint regression.Results:From 1999 to 2017, a total of 8 356 deaths of breast cancer were reported in Tianjin, resulting in a YLL of 262 835.53 person-years. The average crude mortality rate was 9.15/100 000. The average age standardized rate(ASR) (World) was 6.14/100 000. The ratio of ASR (World) between urban and rural areas was 1.73∶1. The peak mortality ratio of age groups between urban area and rural area was 3.13∶1. From 1999 to 2017, both the crude mortality rate and ASR of breast cancer in Tianjin had rising trends. In 2017, the crude mortality rate and the ASR of breast cancer increased by 113.7% and 44.4% respectively compared with 1999. The increase of urban mortality mainly came from elderly group aged ≥75 years, and the mortality of young age groups in rural area showed an fast increases, which was most obvious in age group 45-59 years (average annual percentage change=3.6%, P<0.01). Conclusions:The mortality rate of breast cancer and disease burden in women in Tianjin are still in rapid increase. We should continue to implement the prevention and control strategies such as lifestyle intervention and screening of key groups. More attention need to be paid to the increase of breast cancer incidence in rural area.
4. Status quo on smoking and related change pattern of smoking related behavior in past 20 years in urban residents in Tianjin
Xiaodan XUE ; Guohong JIANG ; Wei LI ; Dezheng WANG ; Guide SONG ; Wenlong ZHENG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2019;40(9):1095-1098
Objective:
To understand the status quo of smoking and change pattern of smoking related behaviors in the past 20 years in the urban adults in Tianjin.
Methods:
Data was from the study of Chinese Chronic Disease and Risk Factors (2015). Multi stage stratified random sampling method was used to conduct a questionnaire survey in 7 surveillance sites in Tianjin.
Results:
in the urban residents aged>20 years were compared with those in surveys in 1996 and 2010. Results In 2015, the smoking rate in men and women aged>20 years in Tianjin were 41.1
5. Analysis on trend of leukemia mortality from 1999 to 2015 in Tianjin, China
Dezheng WANG ; Shuang ZHANG ; Hui ZHANG ; Zhongliang XU ; Chong WANG ; Ying ZHANG ; Guide SONG ; Chengfeng SHEN ; Shuo PANG ; Guohong JIANG
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2019;53(3):319-322
From 1999 to 2015, there were 6 186 cases of leukemia deaths in tianjin residents, the males accounted for 58.28% (3 605) and 52.31% (3 236) deaths lived in urban areas; the crude mortality rate of Leukemia increased from 3.47/100 000 to 4.28/100 000 [
6. Analysis on the alterative trend of colorectal cancer mortality from 1999 to 2015 in Tianjin of China
Dezheng WANG ; Shuang ZHANG ; Hui ZHANG ; Chengfeng SHEN ; Ying ZHANG ; Guide SONG ; Shuo PANG ; Chong WANG ; Zhuo WANG ; Guohong JIANG
Chinese Journal of Gastrointestinal Surgery 2019;22(6):579-586
Objective:
To investigate the mortality of colorectal cancer and its trend from 1999 to 2015 in Tianjin, China, and to explore the mortality features in different populations in order to provide data for prevention and control strategies of colorectal cancer.
Methods:
Colorectal cancer mortality data between 1999 and 2015 were collected from Tianjin population
7.Analysis on the alterative trend of colorectal cancer mortality from 1999 to 2015 in Tianjin of China
Dezheng WANG ; Shuang ZHANG ; Hui ZHANG ; Chengfeng SHEN ; Ying ZHANG ; Guide SONG ; Shuo PANG ; Chong WANG ; Zhuo WANG ; Guohong JIANG
Chinese Journal of Gastrointestinal Surgery 2019;22(6):579-586
Objective To investigate the mortality of colorectal cancer and its trend from 1999 to 2015 in Tianjin, China, and to explore the mortality features in different populations in order to provide data for prevention and control strategies of colorectal cancer. Methods Colorectal cancer mortality data between 1999 and 2015 were collected from Tianjin population?based mortality surveillance system maintained by the Tianjin Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). Population data of permanent residents were collected from Tianjin Municipal Public Security Bureau. The number of new cases and deaths, incidence [including crude incidence, age?adjusted standardized incidence and 95% confidence interval (95% CI)], and mortality (including crude mortality, age?adjusted standardized mortality and 95% CI) of colorectal cancer were calculated. Standardized incidence and mortality of colorectal cancer were calculated using the Segi′s world standard population, adjusted with age and gender. JoinPoint regression and Cochran?Armitage trend test were used to determine the statistical significance of differences in mortality trend. Results A total of 31 376 new onset cases and 14 893 death cases of colorectal cancer were observed in Tianjin from 1999 to 2015. Colorectal cancer incidence increased from 1999 to 2015 with a standardized rate from 9.66/100 000 to 15.36/100 000 [annual percent change(APC)=3.48%, Z=23.21, P<0.001]. Colorectal cancer mortality increased from 1999 to 2015 with a standardized rate from 5.18/100 000 to 6.11/100 000 (APC=1.24%, Z=5.69, P<0.001). Both showed an increasing trend. The death proportion of colon cancer increased (39.67% in 1999 and 50.33% in 2015), while the death proportion of rectal caner decreased (60.33% in 1999 and 48.57% in 2015). The median age of colorectal cancer onset fluctuated steadily around 66 years old (APC=0.16, T=1.75, P=0.100); the median age of death increased from 69 to 73 years old (APC=0.43, T=8.81, P<0.001). From 1999 to 2015, the mortality of colorectal cancer showed a downward trend (all P<0.05) in the age groups of<35 and 35?44 years, while an upward trend (all P<0.05) in the age groups of 45?54 years, 55?64 years and≥65 years. Colorectal cancer mortality in males increased with a standardized rate of 5.53/100 000 in 1999 to 7.33/100 000 in 2015 (APC=2.29%, Z=7.86, P<0.001), while colorectal cancer mortality in females flatted with a standardized rate of 4.83/100 000 in 1999 to 4.89/100 000 in 2015 (APC=0.10%, Z=?0.30, P=0.752). Colorectal cancer mortality increased with a standardized rate of 6.75/100 000 in 1999 to 7.33/100 000 in 2015 (APC=0.54%, Z=1.98, P=0.048) in urban areas and of 3.18/100 000 in 1999 to 4.38/100 000 in 2015 (APC=2.47, Z=6.46, P<0.001) in rural areas, whose differences were significant. Standardized mortality rate in rural area was lower but the rising velocity was faster as compared to urban area. Conclusions Crude mortality and standardized mortality of colorectal cancer increase from 1999 to 2015 in Tianjin population. The people of elder, male and urban area have higher mortality. The mortality in people of male and rural area presents a faster rising state. Further efforts to reduce colorectal cancer mortality in Tianjin are needed to prevention and control of colorectal cancer.
8.Analysis on trend of leukemia mortality from 1999 to 2015 in Tianjin, China
Dezheng WANG ; Shuang ZHANG ; Hui ZHANG ; Zhongliang XU ; Chong WANG ; Ying ZHANG ; Guide SONG ; Chengfeng SHEN ; Shuo PANG ; Guohong JIANG
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2019;53(3):319-322
From 1999 to 2015, there were 6 186 cases of leukemia deaths in tianjin residents, the males accounted for 58.28% (3 605) and 52.31% (3 236) deaths lived in urban areas; the crude mortality rate of Leukemia increased from 3.47/100 000 to 4.28/100 000 [t=7.09, P<0.001, annual percent change (APC)=1.30%] and the standardized mortality rate decreased from 3.15/100 000 to 3.01/100 000 (t=-2.95, P=0.006, APC=-0.65%). Special attention should be focused on children, the elderly, males and rural residents.
9.Analysis on the alterative trend of colorectal cancer mortality from 1999 to 2015 in Tianjin of China
Dezheng WANG ; Shuang ZHANG ; Hui ZHANG ; Chengfeng SHEN ; Ying ZHANG ; Guide SONG ; Shuo PANG ; Chong WANG ; Zhuo WANG ; Guohong JIANG
Chinese Journal of Gastrointestinal Surgery 2019;22(6):579-586
Objective To investigate the mortality of colorectal cancer and its trend from 1999 to 2015 in Tianjin, China, and to explore the mortality features in different populations in order to provide data for prevention and control strategies of colorectal cancer. Methods Colorectal cancer mortality data between 1999 and 2015 were collected from Tianjin population?based mortality surveillance system maintained by the Tianjin Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). Population data of permanent residents were collected from Tianjin Municipal Public Security Bureau. The number of new cases and deaths, incidence [including crude incidence, age?adjusted standardized incidence and 95% confidence interval (95% CI)], and mortality (including crude mortality, age?adjusted standardized mortality and 95% CI) of colorectal cancer were calculated. Standardized incidence and mortality of colorectal cancer were calculated using the Segi′s world standard population, adjusted with age and gender. JoinPoint regression and Cochran?Armitage trend test were used to determine the statistical significance of differences in mortality trend. Results A total of 31 376 new onset cases and 14 893 death cases of colorectal cancer were observed in Tianjin from 1999 to 2015. Colorectal cancer incidence increased from 1999 to 2015 with a standardized rate from 9.66/100 000 to 15.36/100 000 [annual percent change(APC)=3.48%, Z=23.21, P<0.001]. Colorectal cancer mortality increased from 1999 to 2015 with a standardized rate from 5.18/100 000 to 6.11/100 000 (APC=1.24%, Z=5.69, P<0.001). Both showed an increasing trend. The death proportion of colon cancer increased (39.67% in 1999 and 50.33% in 2015), while the death proportion of rectal caner decreased (60.33% in 1999 and 48.57% in 2015). The median age of colorectal cancer onset fluctuated steadily around 66 years old (APC=0.16, T=1.75, P=0.100); the median age of death increased from 69 to 73 years old (APC=0.43, T=8.81, P<0.001). From 1999 to 2015, the mortality of colorectal cancer showed a downward trend (all P<0.05) in the age groups of<35 and 35?44 years, while an upward trend (all P<0.05) in the age groups of 45?54 years, 55?64 years and≥65 years. Colorectal cancer mortality in males increased with a standardized rate of 5.53/100 000 in 1999 to 7.33/100 000 in 2015 (APC=2.29%, Z=7.86, P<0.001), while colorectal cancer mortality in females flatted with a standardized rate of 4.83/100 000 in 1999 to 4.89/100 000 in 2015 (APC=0.10%, Z=?0.30, P=0.752). Colorectal cancer mortality increased with a standardized rate of 6.75/100 000 in 1999 to 7.33/100 000 in 2015 (APC=0.54%, Z=1.98, P=0.048) in urban areas and of 3.18/100 000 in 1999 to 4.38/100 000 in 2015 (APC=2.47, Z=6.46, P<0.001) in rural areas, whose differences were significant. Standardized mortality rate in rural area was lower but the rising velocity was faster as compared to urban area. Conclusions Crude mortality and standardized mortality of colorectal cancer increase from 1999 to 2015 in Tianjin population. The people of elder, male and urban area have higher mortality. The mortality in people of male and rural area presents a faster rising state. Further efforts to reduce colorectal cancer mortality in Tianjin are needed to prevention and control of colorectal cancer.
10.Analysis on trend of leukemia mortality from 1999 to 2015 in Tianjin, China
Dezheng WANG ; Shuang ZHANG ; Hui ZHANG ; Zhongliang XU ; Chong WANG ; Ying ZHANG ; Guide SONG ; Chengfeng SHEN ; Shuo PANG ; Guohong JIANG
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2019;53(3):319-322
From 1999 to 2015, there were 6 186 cases of leukemia deaths in tianjin residents, the males accounted for 58.28% (3 605) and 52.31% (3 236) deaths lived in urban areas; the crude mortality rate of Leukemia increased from 3.47/100 000 to 4.28/100 000 [t=7.09, P<0.001, annual percent change (APC)=1.30%] and the standardized mortality rate decreased from 3.15/100 000 to 3.01/100 000 (t=-2.95, P=0.006, APC=-0.65%). Special attention should be focused on children, the elderly, males and rural residents.

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