1.Comparison of aspirin treatment strategies for primary prevention of cardiovascular diseases: A decision-analytic Markov modelling study.
Ming Lu ZHANG ; Qiu Ping LIU ; Chao GONG ; Jia Min WANG ; Tian Jing ZHOU ; Xiao Fei LIU ; Peng SHEN ; Hong Bo LIN ; Xun TANG ; Pei GAO
Journal of Peking University(Health Sciences) 2023;55(3):480-487
OBJECTIVE:
To compare the expected population impact of benefit and risk of aspirin treatment strategies for the primary prevention of cardiovascular diseases recommended by different guidelines in the Chinese Electronic Health Records Research in Yinzhou (CHERRY) study.
METHODS:
A decision-analytic Markov model was used to simulate and compare different strategies of aspirin treatment, including: Strategy ①: Aspirin treatment for Chinese adults aged 40-69 years with a high 10-year cardiovascular risk, recommended by the 2020 Chinese Guideline on the Primary Prevention of Cardiovascular Diseases; Strategy ②: Aspirin treatment for Chinese adults aged 40-59 years with a high 10-year cardiovascular risk, recommended by the 2022 United States Preventive Services Task Force Recommendation Statement on Aspirin Use to Prevent Cardiovascular Disease; Strategy ③: Aspirin treatment for Chinese adults aged 40-69 years with a high 10-year cardiovascular risk and blood pressure well-controlled (< 150/90 mmHg), recommended by the 2019 Guideline on the Assessment and Management of Cardio-vascular Risk in China. The high 10-year cardiovascular risk was defined as the 10-year predicted risk over 10% based on the 2019 World Health Organization non-laboratory model. The Markov model simulated different strategies for ten years (cycles) with parameters mainly from the CHERRY study or published literature. Quality-adjusted life year (QALY) and the number needed to treat (NNT) for each ischemic event (including myocardial infarction and ischemic stroke) were calculated to assess the effectiveness of the different strategies. The number needed to harm (NNH) for each bleeding event (including hemorrhagic stroke and gastrointestinal bleeding) was calculated to assess the safety. The NNT for each net benefit (i.e., the difference of the number of ischemic events could be prevented and the number of bleeding events would be added) was also calculated. One-way sensitivity analysis on the uncertainty of the incidence rate of cardiovascular diseases and probabilistic sensitivity analysis on the uncertainty of hazard ratios of interventions were conducted.
RESULTS:
A total of 212 153 Chinese adults, were included in this study. The number of people who were recommended for aspirin treatment Strategies ①-③ was 34 235, 2 813, and 25 111, respectively. The Strategy ③ could gain the most QALY of 403 [95% uncertainty interval (UI): 222-511] years. Compared with Strategy ①, Strategy ③ had similar efficiency but better safety, with the extra NNT of 4 (95%UI: 3-4) and NNH of 39 (95%UI: 19-132). The NNT per net benefit was 131 (95%UI: 102-239) for Strategy ①, 256 (95%UI: 181-737) for Strategy ②, and 132 (95%UI: 104-232) for Strategy ③, making Strategy ③ the most favorable option with a better QALY and safety, along with similar efficiency in terms of net benefit. The results were consistent in the sensitivity analyses.
CONCLUSION
The aspirin treatment strategies recommended by the updated guidelines on the primary prevention of cardiovascular diseases showed a net benefit for high-risk Chinese adults from developed areas. However, to balance effectiveness and safety, aspirin is suggested to be used for primary prevention of cardiovascular diseases with consideration for blood pressure control, resulting in better intervention efficiency.
Adult
;
Humans
;
Aspirin/therapeutic use*
;
Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology*
;
Gastrointestinal Hemorrhage
;
Myocardial Infarction/prevention & control*
;
Primary Prevention/methods*
;
Middle Aged
;
Aged
2.Effectiveness of statin treatment strategies for primary prevention of cardiovascular diseases in a community-based Chinese population: A decision-analytic Markov model.
Chao GONG ; Qiu Ping LIU ; Jia Min WANG ; Xiao Fei LIU ; Ming Lu ZHANG ; Han YANG ; Peng SHEN ; Hong Bo LIN ; Xun TANG ; Pei GAO
Journal of Peking University(Health Sciences) 2022;54(3):443-449
OBJECTIVE:
To evaluate the effectiveness of statin treatment strategies based on risk assessment for the primary prevention of cardiovascular diseases by the Western guidelines in a community-based Chinese population from economically developed areas using data from the Chinese electronic health records research in Yinzhou (CHERRY) study.
METHODS:
A Markov model was used to evaluate the effectiveness of the following statin treatment strategies, including: (1) usual care without cardiovascular risk assessment(Strategy 0); (2) using the World Health Organization (WHO) non-laboratory-based risk charts with statin treatment for high-risk group (risk ≥ 20%) (Strategy 1); (3) using the WHO laboratory-based risk charts with statin treatment for high-risk group (risk ≥ 20%) (Strategy 2); and (4) using the Prediction for Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease Risk in China (China-PAR) model with statin treatment for high-risk group (risk ≥ 10%, Strategy 3). According to the guidelines, adults in the medium-risk group received lifestyle intervention, and adults in the high-risk group received life-style intervention and statin treatment under these strategies. The Markov model simulated different strategies for ten years (cycles) using parameters from the CHERRY study, published data, meta-analyses and systematic reviews for Chinese. The number of cardiovascular events or deaths, as well as the number need to treat (NNT) with statin per cardiovascular event or death prevented, were calculated to compare the effectiveness of different strategies. One-way sensitivity analysis on the uncertainty of incidence rate of cardiovascular diseases, and probabilistic sensitivity analysis on the uncertainty of hazard ratios of interventions were conducted.
RESULTS:
Totally 225 811 Chinese adults aged 40-79 years without cardiovascular diseases at baseline were enrolled. In contrast to the usual care without risk assessment-based statin treatment strategy, Strategy 1 using the WHO non-laboratory-based risk charts could prevent 3 482 [95% uncertainty interval (UI): 2 110-4 661] cardiovascular events, Strategy 2 using the WHO laboratory-based risk charts could prevent 3 685 (95%UI: 2 255-4 912) events, and Strategy 3 using the China-PAR model could prevent 3 895 (95%UI: 2 396-5 181) events. NNTs with statin per cardiovascular event prevented were 22 (95%UI: 14-54), 21 (95%UI: 14-52), and 27 (95%UI: 17-67), respectively. Strategy 3 could prevent more cardiovascular events, while Strategies 1 and 2 required fewer numbers need to treat with statin per cardiovascular event prevented. The results were consistent in the sensitivity analyses.
CONCLUSION
The statin treatment strategies based on risk assessment for the primary prevention of cardiovascular diseases recommended by the Western guidelines could achieve substantive health benefits in adults from developed areas of China. Using the China-PAR model for cardiovascular risk assessment could prevent more cardiovascular diseases while using the WHO risk charts seems more efficient.
Adult
;
Cardiovascular Diseases/prevention & control*
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Cost-Benefit Analysis
;
Humans
;
Hydroxymethylglutaryl-CoA Reductase Inhibitors/therapeutic use*
;
Primary Prevention
3.Effectiveness of different screening strategies for type 2 diabete on preventing cardiovascular diseases in a community-based Chinese population using a decision-analytic Markov model.
Jia Min WANG ; Qiu Ping LIU ; Ming Lu ZHANG ; Chao GONG ; Shu Dan LIU ; Wei Ye CHEN ; Peng SHEN ; Hong Bo LIN ; Pei GAO ; Xun TANG
Journal of Peking University(Health Sciences) 2022;54(3):450-457
OBJECTIVE:
To evaluate the effectiveness of different screening strategies for type 2 diabetes to prevent cardiovascular disease in a community-based Chinese population from economically developed areas based on the Chinese electronic health records research in Yinzhou (CHERRY) study.
METHODS:
A Markov model was used to simulate different systematic diabetes screening strategies, including: (1) screening among Chinese adults aged 40-70 years recommended by the 2020 Chinese Guideline for the prevention and Treatment of Type 2 Diabetes (Strategy 1); (2) screening among Chinese adults aged 35 to 70 years recommended by the 2022 American Diabetes Association Standard of Medical Care in Diabetes (Strategy 2); and (3) screening among Chinese adults aged 35-70 years with overweight or obesity recommended by the 2021 United States Preventive Services Task Force Recommendation Statement on Screening for Prediabetes and Type 2 Diabetes (Strategy 3). According to the guidelines, individuals who were screened positively (fasting plasma glucose ≥ 7.0 mmol/L) would be introduced to intensive glycemic targets management (glycated hemoglobin < 7.0%).The Markov model simulated different screening scenarios for ten years (cycles) with parameters mainly from the CHERRY study or published literature. Number of cardiovascular disease events or deaths could be prevented and number needed to screen (NNS) were calculated to compare the effectiveness of the different strategies. One-way sensitivity analysis on the sensitivity of screening methods and probabilistic sensitivity analysis on uncertainties of diabetes incidence, the sensitivity of screening methods, and intensive glycemic management effects were conducted.
RESULTS:
Totally 289 245 Chinese adults aged 35-70 years without cardiovascular diseases or diagnosed diabetes at baseline were enrolled. In terms of the number of cardiovascular disease events could be prevented, Strategy 1 for systematic diabetes screening among the adults aged 35-70 years was 222 (95%UI: 180-264), Strategy 2 for systematic diabetes screening among the adults aged 40-70 years was 227 (95%UI: 185-271), and Strategy 3 for systematic diabetes screening among the adults aged 35-70 years with obesity or overweight (body mass index ≥ 24 kg/m2) was 131 (95%UI: 98-164), compared with opportunistic screening. NNS per cardiovascular disease event for the strategies 1, 2 and 3 were 1 184 (95%UI: 994-1 456), 1 274 (95%UI: 1 067-1 564) and 814 (95%UI: 649-1 091), respectively. Compared with Strategy 1, NNS per cardiovascular disease event for Strategy 2 increased by 90 (95%UI: -197-381) with similar effectiveness of cardiovascular prevention; however, NNS per cardiovascular disease event for Strategy 3 was reduced by 460 (95%UI: 185-724) in contrast to the Strategy 2, suggesting that the Strategy 3 was more efficient. The results were consistent in multiple sensitivity analyses.
CONCLUSION
Systematic screening for diabetes based on the latest guidelines in economically developed areas of China can reduce cardiovascular events and deaths. However, merely lowering the starting age of screening from 40 to 35 years seems ineffective for preventing cardiovascular disease, while screening strategy for Chinese adults aged 35-70 years with overweight or obesity is recommended to improve efficiency.
Adult
;
Cardiovascular Diseases/prevention & control*
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Cost-Benefit Analysis
;
Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/prevention & control*
;
Humans
;
Mass Screening/methods*
;
Obesity
;
Overweight
;
United States
4.Biomechanical effects of different bone cement diffusion patterns after vertebroplasty:finite element analysis.
Gong YAO ; Yi-Xin SHEN ; Min LI ; Bing CAI
China Journal of Orthopaedics and Traumatology 2021;34(8):732-737
OBJECTIVE:
To investigate the biomechanical effects of different bone cement diffusion patterns in the treatment of osteoporotic vertebral compression fractures.
METHODS:
One volunteer with L1 osteoporotic vertebral compression fracture was selected, male, aged 68 years old, heighed 172 cm, weighted 60 kg, and healthy before. CT scans were used from T
RESULTS:
After the establishing the finite element model of osteoporotic vertebral compression fracture in the thoracolumbar segment, it was found that the deformation of three different bone cement distribution models above was not significantly different. In L
CONCLUSION
The bone cement contact with both upper and lower endplates can effectively absorb and transfer the stress level brought by the load, reduce the stress level of cancellous bone, and reduce the possibility of refracture of the operative vertebral body.
Aged
;
Bone Cements
;
Finite Element Analysis
;
Fractures, Compression/surgery*
;
Humans
;
Male
;
Spinal Fractures/surgery*
;
Vertebroplasty
5.Chronic stress induces fur color change from dark to brown by decreasing follicle melanocytes and tyrosinase activity in female C57BL/6 mice.
Xiao-Liang SHEN ; Yun-Zi LIU ; Hong GONG ; Yi ZHANG ; Teng-Yun WU ; Min XIA ; Chun-Lei JIANG
Acta Physiologica Sinica 2020;72(2):139-147
Increasing evidence suggests that stress may induce changes in hair color, with the underlying mechanism incompletely understood. In this study, female C57BL/6 mice subjected to electric foot shock combined with restraint stress were used to build chronic stress mouse model. The melanin contents and tyrosinase activity were measured in mouse skin and B16F10 melanoma cells. The enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) was used to determine the content of tumor necrosis factor α (TNF-α), interleukin- 1β (IL-1β) and interleukin-6 (IL-6) in the mouse skin. The content of nuclear factor κB (NFκB)/p65 subunit in mouse skins was valued by immunofluorescence staining. The results demonstrated that under chronic stress, the fur color turned from dark to brown in C57BL/6 mice due to the decrease of follicle melanocytes and tyrosinase activity in C57BL/6 mouse skin. Simultaneously, inflammatory responses in skins were detected as shown by increased NFκB activity and TNF-α expression in stressed mouse skin. In cultured B16F10 melanoma cells, TNF-α reduced the melanogenesis and tyrosinase activity in a dose-dependent manner. These findings indicate that chronic stress induces fur color change by decreasing follicle melanocytes and tyrosinase activity in female C57BL/6 mice, and TNF-α may play an important role in stress-induced hair color change.
Animal Fur
;
Animals
;
Color
;
Female
;
Melanins
;
Melanocytes
;
enzymology
;
Melanoma, Experimental
;
Mice
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Mice, Inbred C57BL
;
Monophenol Monooxygenase
;
metabolism
;
Pigmentation
;
Skin
;
physiopathology
;
Stress, Physiological
6.Correlative study between the typing of MSCT and prognosis in infant with interstitial pneumonia
Qingshan HONG ; Xiaosong JIANG ; Min SHEN ; Li ZHANG ; Shu GONG ; Songxin WU ; Xuezhen GUO
Journal of Practical Radiology 2019;35(10):1648-1650
Objective To explore the relationship between the typing of MSCT and prognosis in infant with interstitial pneumonia (IP).Methods MSCT features of 44 infants with IP were analyzed retrospectively and classified according to the pathological pro-gress.The relationship between the MSCT typing and clinical prognosis was statistically analyzed.Results The result of the MSCT typing was as follows:the exudation in 22 cases,the proliferation in 18 cases and the ruin in 4 cases.There was significant difference for the clinical prognosis among the different MSCT groups (P<0.01 ).And there was a significant correlation between the MSCT typing and clinical prognosis (r=0.784,P<0.01).The prognosis of the exudation type was better than the proliferation type,and both of them were better than the ruin type.Conclusion Based on the MSCT features,MSCT typing reveals the inflammatory patho-logical process of the infant IP,which plays an important role in treatment options decision and prognosis prediction.
7.The analysis of MRI findings and prognosis in meconium peritonitis prenatal
Min SHEN ; Shu GONG ; Chengwei LI ; Hong’en LI ; Yihui ZENG ; Kuiming JIANG
Journal of Practical Radiology 2019;35(11):1813-1816
Objective To discuss the prenatal MRI features and the fetal outcomes of meconium peritonitis (MP).Methods The clinical data of 23 cases with MP were collected.The prenatal MRI features and fetal outcomes were analyzed retrospectively.Results Prenatal MRI features included meconium peritonitis pseudo-cyst (9/23,39.1%),fetal ascites (23/23,100.0%),bowel dilatation (9/23,39.1%), meconium leakage (3/23,13.0%),scrotal effusion (2/23,8.7%)and polyhydramnios (2/23,8.7%).Of the 23 fetuses,2 were induced and 2 1 were delivered.In 2 1 neonates,7 cases received surgical treatment,1 3 cases received conservative treatment and 1 case was dead due to treatment refusal of the family.Neonates with bowel dilatation and meconium leakage all underwent surgery,neonates with meconium peritonitis pseudo-cyst and fetal ascites underwent conservative treatment,and the rate of operation was 100%,100%,22.2% and 35.0%,respectively. Conclusion Prenatal MRI findings of MP are characteristic.Bowel dilatation,meconium leakage,growing meconium peritonitis pseudo-cyst and meconium peritonitis pseudo-cyst connectted with adjacent intestine are highly suggestive of early surgical intervention in neonate.
8.Clinical Features and Prognosis of t(8;21) AML Patients in China: A Multicenter Retrospective Study.
Dan GONG ; Wei LI ; Liang-Ding HU ; Jian-Min LUO ; Jian-Liang SHEN ; Mei-Yun FANG ; Qing-Ming YANG ; Heng-Xiang WANG ; Xiao-Yan KE ; Hui-Ren CHEN ; Zhao WANG ; Hui LIU ; Feng LIU ; Yi-Gai MA ; Jing-Wen WANG ; Hong-Hua LI ; Quan-Shun WANG ; Yu JING ; Xiao-Ning GAO ; Li-Ping DOU ; Yong-Hui LI ; Li YU
Journal of Experimental Hematology 2017;25(4):980-986
OBJECTIVETo summarize the clinical characteristics of peripheral blood, immune phenotypes, fusion genes and cytogenetics of patients with t(8;21) acute myeloid leukemia(AML) through the retrospective analysis of 586 patients with t(8;21) AML from 15 blood disease research centers in Northern area of China.
METHODSThe factors affecting prognosis of patients with t(8;21) AML were investigated by using univariate and multivariate COX regression.
RESULTSThe immune type of t(8;21) AML patients was mainly with HLA-DR, CD117, CD34, MPO, CD38, CD13and CD33(>95%), part of them with CD19and CD56; the most common accompanied mutation of t(8;21) AML patients was C-KIT mutation (37.8%); in addition to t(8;21) ectopic, the most common chromosomal abnormality was sex chromosome deletions (38.9%). The univariate analysis revealed a significant survival superiority of OS and PFS in t(8;21) AML patients of WBC≤3.5×10/L without C-KIT mutation, the newly diagnosed ones achieved HSCT(P<0.05), only survival superiority on OS in t(8;21) AML patients with extramedullary infiltration and CD19 positive; the results of multivariate analysis showed a significant survival superiority on OS and PFS in t(8;21) AML patients with WBC≤3.5×10/L(P<0.05).
CONCLUSIONThe clinical features of t(8;21) AML patients in China are similar to those in other countries, WBC≤3.5×10/L is a good prognostic factor while the C-KIT mutation is a poor one in t(8;21) AML patients.
9.Clinical trial of bromfenac sodium eye drop in the treatment of postoperative inflammation of cataract
Zhi-Shu BAO ; Jin LI ; Yin-Fei YU ; Gong-Min SHEN ; Yan JIN ; Yun-E ZHAO
The Chinese Journal of Clinical Pharmacology 2017;33(10):877-879,883
Objective To evaluate clinical efficacy and safety of domestic and imported bromfenac sodium eye drops in the treatment of posto-perative inflammation of cataract.Methods A total of 134 cataract patients were divided into treatment group (n =66) and control group (n =68).Control group was treated with imported bromfenac sodium eye drops,and treatment group was given domestic bromfenac sodium eye drops,1 drop in morning and evening respectively.All patients were treated for 14 d.The clinical efficacy and adverse drug reactions in two groups were compared.Results After treatment,the cured rate and effective rate in treatment group were 53.97% (34/63 cases),46.03% (29/63 cases).The cured rate and effective rate in control group were 67.74% (42/62 cases),32.26% (20/62 cases).There was no significant difference between two groups (P > 0.05).There were no statistical differences between the two groups in ocular tolerance,burning sensation,ophthalmic itching and corneal epithelium spotting at 3,7,14 d after treatment (P > 0.05).There were 1 case of eye discomfort,2 cases of liver function abnormal and 2 cases of urine leukocyteabnormalin control group,with the incidence rate of 7.35% (5/68 cases).There were 1 case of infection in urinary system,1 case of dizziness,1 case of pathogenesis of primary acute angle-closure glaucoma in right eye,1 case of floating cells in anterior chamber,with the incidence rate of 6.06% (4/66 cases,P >0.05).Conclusion The clinical efficacy of domestic bromfenac sodium eye drops in the treatment of cataract patients is comparable to imported bromfenac sodium eye drops.The clinical efficacy is exactly,with lower adverse drug reactions and price.
10.Clinical features of autoinflammatory diseases in 3 patients
Chinese Journal of General Practitioners 2014;13(10):832-834
Patient one was a 19-year-old woman of periodic fever with urticaria during the first week of life.And there were typicalfacies,oligoarthritis and central nervous system involvement.She also exhibited a persistent elevation of acute phase reactants.The diagnosis of chronic infantile neurological cutaneous and articular syndrome was made.Short-term dosing of tumor necrosis factor-α receptor antagonist was administrated and was substituted by glucocorticoid and methotrexate.Another two males had an earlyonset of increased acute phase reactants during inflammation attacks.One of them had recurrent fever with urticaria-like rash,arthralgia and headache.Muckle-Wells syndrome was diagnosed on basis of NLRP3 gene mutation (c.92A > T).And another had recurrent urticaria-like rash with conjunctivitis,oligoarthritis,hepatosplenomegaly and increased serum IgD.The clinical diagnosis was mevalonate-kinase deficiency.Autoinflammatory diseases should be suspected by physicians and diagnosed with a combination of phenotype and genotype.Biological agents,especially interleukin-1 antagonist,have broad prospects in the therapy of autoinflammatory diseases.

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