1.Aromatic Substances and Their Clinical Application: A Review
Yundan GUO ; Lulu WANG ; Zhili ZHANG ; Chen GUO ; Zhihong PI ; Wei GONG ; Zongping WU ; Dayu WANG ; Tianle GAO ; Cai TIE ; Yuan LIN ; Jiandong JIANG
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2025;31(22):264-272
Aromatherapy refers to the method of using the aromatic components of plants in appropriate forms to act on the entire body or a specific area to prevent and treat diseases. Essential oils used in aromatherapy are hydrophobic liquids containing volatile aromatic molecules, such as limonene, linalool, linalool acetate, geraniol, and citronellol. These chemicals have been extensively studied and shown to have a variety of functions, including reducing anxiety, relieving depression, promoting sleep, and providing pain relief. Terpenoids are a class of organic molecules with relatively low lipid solubility. After being inhaled, they can pass through the nasal mucosa for transfer or penetrate the skin and enter the bloodstream upon local application. Some of these substances also have the ability to cross the blood-brain barrier, thereby exerting effects on the central nervous system. Currently, the academic community generally agrees that products such as essential oils and aromatherapy from aromatic plants have certain health benefits. However, the process of extracting a single component from it and successfully developing it into a drug still faces many challenges. Its safety and efficacy still need to be further verified through more rigorous and systematic experiments. This article systematically elaborated on the efficacy of aromatic substances, including plant extracts and natural small molecule compounds, in antibacterial and antiviral fields and the regulation of nervous system activity. As a result, a deeper understanding of aromatherapy was achieved. At the same time, the potential of these aromatic substances for drug development was thoroughly explored, providing important references and insights for possible future drug research and application.
2.Current status of radiological Kashin-Beck disease among school-aged children in Chamdo City, Tibet
Jiaxiang GAO ; Hu LI ; Liyi ZHANG ; Zihao HE ; Ziyi YANG ; Zhichang LI ; Kai WANG ; Yan KE ; Qiang LIU ; Shu ZHANG ; Xiaobo CHENG ; Shuai CHAI ; Zhaoyang MENG ; Lipeng SUN ; Qunwei LI ; Hongqiang GONG ; Jianhao LIN
Chinese Journal of Orthopaedics 2024;44(1):33-40
Objective:This study aimed to explore the status of radiological Kashin-Beck disease (KBD) among school-aged children in Chamdo City, Tibet, through a 3-year monitoring survey, providing epidemiological evidence for prevention and control strategies.Methods:The target areas for this study were Luolong, Bianba, and Basu counties in Chamdo City, Tibet Autonomous Region, identified as having the most severe historical cases of KBD. Children aged 7-12 years attending school were enrolled as study subjects. Anteroposterior X-ray films of the right-hand were taken, and radiological diagnoses were made based on the "Diagnosis of Kashin-Beck Disease" criteria (WS/T 207-2010). Two experienced researchers independently reviewed the X-rays, and intra- and inter-group consistency were assessed using weighted Kappa values and percentage agreement. Cross-sectional surveys were conducted in 2017 and 2020 to describe the X-ray detection rates of KBD, and logistic regression analysis was employed to construct a predictive model of risk factors for radiological KBD cases.Results:In 2017, a total of 5,711 children aged 7-12 years in Chamdo City, Tibet, participated in the baseline cross-sectional survey (average age 9.2 years, 48.0% female), with 28 cases of radiological KBD. The age- and gender-standardized prevalence rate was 0.527%. In 2020, 6,771 participants (average age 9.3 years, 49.5% female) underwent a second cross-sectional survey, with 9 cases of radiological KBD and a standardized prevalence rate of 0.134%. Logistic regression analysis indicated that older age [ OR=2.439, 95% CI(1.299, 4.580), P=0.006] and female gender [ OR=8.157, 95% CI(1.016, 65.528), P=0.048] were independent risk factors for radiological KBD cases. Conversely, higher residential altitude, under the premise of Tibet's high altitude, was a protective factor [ OR=0.995, 95% CI(0.990, 0.999), P=0.032). Conclusion:The radiographically positive detection rate of KBD among school-aged children in Chamdo City, Tibet Autonomous Region, is at an extremely low level and showing a declining trend, reaching the historical standard in 2020. Considering the absence of positive signs in affected children, it suggests that local KBD has been effectively eliminated.
3.Traditional Chinese Medicine Syndrome Element, Evolutionary Patterns of Patients with Hepatitis B Virus-Related Acute on Chronic Liver Failure at Different Stages: A Multi-Center Clinical Study
Simiao YU ; Kewei SUN ; Zhengang ZHANG ; Hanmin LI ; Xiuhui LI ; Hongzhi YANG ; Qin LI ; Lin WANG ; Xiaozhou ZHOU ; Dewen MAO ; Jianchun GUO ; Yunhui ZHUO ; Xianbo WANG ; Xin DENG ; Jiefei WANG ; Wukui CAO ; Shuqin ZHANG ; Mingxiang ZHANG ; Jun LI ; Man GONG ; Chao ZHOU
Journal of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2024;65(12):1262-1268
ObjectiveTo explore the syndrome elements and evolving patterns of patients with hepatitis B virus-related acute on chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) at different stages. MethodsClinical information of 1,058 hospitalized HBV-ACLF patients, including 618 in the early stage, 355 in the middle stage, and 85 in the late stage, were collected from 18 clinical centers across 12 regions nationwide from January 1, 2012 to February 28, 2015. The “Hepatitis B-related Chronic and Acute Liver Failure Chinese Medicine Clinical Questionnaire” were designed to investigate the basic information of the patients, like the four diagnostic information (including symptoms, tongue, pulse) of traditional Chinese medicine (TCM), and to count the frequency of the appearance of the four diagnostic information. Factor analysis and cluster analysis were employed to determine and statistically analyze the syndrome elements and patterns of HBV-ACLF patients at different stages. ResultsThere were 76 four diagnostic information from 1058 HBV-ACLF patients, and 53 four diagnostic information with a frequency of occurrence ≥ 5% were used as factor analysis entries, including 36 symptom information, 12 tongue information, and 5 pulse information. Four types of TCM patterns were identified in HBV-ACLF, which were liver-gallbladder damp-heat pattern, qi deficiency and blood stasis pattern, liver-kidney yin deficiency pattern, and spleen-kidney yang-deficiency pattern. In the early stage, heat (39.4%, 359/912) and dampness (27.5%, 251/912) were most common, and the pattern of the disease was dominated by liver-gallbladder damp-heat pattern (74.6%, 461/618); in the middle stage, dampness (30.2%, 187/619) and blood stasis (20.7%, 128/619) were most common, and the patterns of the disease were dominated by liver-gallbladder damp-heat pattern (53.2%, 189/355), and qi deficiency and blood stasis pattern (27.6%, 98/355); and in the late stage, the pattern of the disease was dominated by qi deficiency (26.3%, 40/152) and yin deficiency (20.4%, 31/152), and the patterns were dominated by qi deficiency and blood stasis pattern (36.5%, 31/85), and liver-gallbladder damp-heat pattern (25.9%, 22/85). ConclusionThere are significant differences in the distribution of syndrome elements and patterns at different stages of HBV-ACLF, presenting an overall trend of evolving patterns as "from excess to deficiency, transforming from excess to deficiency", which is damp-heat → blood stasis → qi-blood yin-yang deficiency.
4.Screening of active components of Polygonum orientale flower against myocardial ischemia-reperfusion injury in rats under physiological and pathological states
Shasha REN ; Jianchun HU ; Yuanxian ZHANG ; Qingqing CHEN ; Chunhua LIU ; Lin ZHENG ; Zipeng GONG ; Yong HUANG ; Yang JIN ; Yueting LI
China Pharmacy 2024;35(16):1957-1963
OBJECTIVE To screen the potential active components of Polygonum orientale flower against myocardial ischemia- reperfusion injury (MIRI) in rats based on physiological and pathological states. METHODS SD rats were divided into normal control group, normal administration group, MIRI control group and MIRI administration group, with 5 rats in each group. After drug intervention or modeling and drug intervention, chromatographic separation plasma samples were collected, and chromatographic separation and mass spectrometry data collection were performed by using UPLC-Q-TOF/MS. The prototype components and metabolites were analyzed by comparing the reference substance maps, the maps of each plasma sample, and the relevant literature. At the same time, the common peaks in plasma samples of rats in normal administration group and MIRI administration group were identified. Combined with principal component analysis and orthogonal partial least square-discriminant analysis, the differential transitional components were screened out according to the value of variable importance in the projection (VIP)>1, to speculate the potential active components of P. orientale flower in rats under physiological and pathological states. The SD rats were divided into control group, MIRI group, positive control group (Compound danshen tablets 0.2 g/kg, 3 times a day), and potentially active compound groups (10 mg/kg, twice a day), with 5 rats in each group. The rats in administration groups were given relevant medicine intragastrically, for 3 consecutive days. The activity of superoxide dismutase (SOD), the leakages of lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), creatine kinase isoenzyme-MB (CK-MB) and cardiac troponin Ⅰ (cTnⅠ) in plasma were detected after the last administration. RESULTS Twenty-six main chromatographic peaks were obtained from the total ion chromatogram of the extract of P. orientale flower, and 14 of them were determined, including gallic acid, catechin, protocatechuic acid and so on. There were fifteen (including 6 absorbed prototype components and 9 metabolites) and nineteen transitional components (including 6 absorbed prototype components and 13 metabolites) in the plasma sample of normal rats and MIRI rats. Eight transitional components were detected in both normal rats and MIRI rats, and the VIP values of kaempferol glucuronidation metabolites, quercetin carbonylation metabolites and N-p-paprazine to the corresponding peak were higher than 1. Compared with MIRI group, the activities of SOD were increased significantly in the plasma of MIRI rats in each potential active compound group (P<0.01), and the leakages of LDH, CK-MB, and cTnⅠ in the plasma of MIRI rats were reduced significantly (P<0.01). CONCLUSIONS The potential anti-MIRI active components in extract of P. orientale flower are N-p-paprazine, quercetin, kaempferol and kaempferol-3-O-β-D-glucoside.
5.Bone immunity and bone metabolism
Caopei GUO ; Piaotao CHENG ; Chengbing YANG ; Shouhang GONG ; Jiaze PENG ; Lin ZHANG ; Jiachen PENG
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2024;28(14):2261-2266
BACKGROUND:Osteoporosis is a disease in which bone density and structure are destroyed and fractures are caused by increased bone fragility,leading to high clinical disability and mortality rates. OBJECTIVE:To review the research progress in the role of bone immunity in physiological and pathological processes related to bone metabolism,providing ideas for the research and clinical application of bone immunity in bone diseases. METHODS:The first author searched PubMed and CNKI databases in November 2022 for relevant literature using the keywords of"osteoimmunology,immuno-skeletal interface,bone metabolism,skeletal metabolism,lymphocyte,immune factor"in English and Chinese,respectively.The time range of retrieval was mainly from January 2010 to November 2022,and a small number of classical long-term literatures were included.After reading the topic and abstract for preliminary screening and excluding repetitive studies,low-quality journals and unrelated literature,81 documents were finally included for review. RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:Osteoimmunology refers to that bone and immune cells share the same microenvironment and interact with each other to jointly perform the"bone immune system,"which includes all cells in the bone marrow.Immuno-skeletal interface has protective effects on bone under physiological conditions,but it may lead to bone destruction under pathological conditions.Osteoprotegerin is mainly derived from B cells and can inhibit osteoclast metabolism.However,when the body is in an inflammatory state,T cells and B cells work together to promote bone resorption.In addition,interleukin-1,interleukin-6 and tumor necrosis factor-α regulate the expression of receptor activator of nuclear factor-κB ligand in vivo and affect bone metabolism.In most clinical diseases(such as rheumatoid arthritis,estrogen deficiency,HIV infection,and hyperparathyroidism),the immuno-skeletal interface interacts with the bone immune system,resulting in the regulation of bone metabolism.In terms of clinical prospect,the interaction between bone immunity and bone metabolism should be studied in order to propose new strategies for therapeutic intervention to reduce the risk of fracture.
6.Mechanisms by which baicalein protects against steriod-induced osteonecrosis of the femoral head in rats
Wanli MA ; Hongsheng YANG ; Bo QU ; Zhengdong ZHANG ; Kai GONG ; Yanshui LIN
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2024;28(23):3661-3668
BACKGROUND:The development of steroid-induced osteonecrosis of the femoral head is a complex process involving multiple mechanisms.There is still no standard therapeutic drug for early intervention of this disease.Current studies have shown that baicalein has various pharmacological activities such as regulating lipid metabolism,bone metabolism,apoptosis and anti-oxidative stress,which provides an idea for the prevention and treatment of steroid-induced osteonecrosis of the femoral head. OBJECTIVE:To observe the preventive effect of baicalein against steroid-induced osteonecrosis of the femoral head and to investigate its possible mechanism. METHODS:Thirty-six 10-week-old male Sprague-Dawley rats were randomly divided into three groups(n=12 per group):blank control group,model group,and baicalein intervention group.In the model group and baicalein intervention group,intraperitoneal lipopolysaccharide and intramuscular injection of methylprednisolone sodium succinate were performed for modeling,while normal saline was used as a substitute for the modeling drug in the blank control group.Baicalein 300 mg/kg was administered by gavage(once a day for 6 weeks)at the time of initial intramuscular glucocorticoid injection in the baicalein intervention group,and baicalein was replaced by normal saline in the other two groups.The serum level of malondialdehyde in rats was detected at 2 weeks of the experiment.Blood lipid indicators and bone formation metabolic markers were detected at 6 weeks of the experiment,the histomorphometric changes of the femoral head were analyzed by hematoxylin-eosin staining,anti-tartaric acid phosphatase staining and TUNEL staining,and the femoral head was subjected to Micro-CT scanning and three-dimensional reconstruction of the bone in order to analyze the alterations of bone tissue structure and parameters. RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:The serum levels of malondialdehyde,triglyceride,β-collagen type Ⅰ carboxy-terminal peptide were increased and the serum levels of bone specific alkaline phosphatase and pre-collagen type Ⅰ amino-terminal peptide were decreased in the model group compared with the blank control group(P<0.05).The serum level of malondialdehyde decreased in the baicalein intervention group compared with the model group(P<0.05),but there was no significant difference between the baicalein intervention group and blank control group(P>0.05).The serum level of triglyceride was higher in the baicalein intervention group than the blank control group(P<0.05),but had no significant difference between the baicalein intervention group and model group(P>0.05).There were also no significant differences in the levels of bone specific alkaline phosphatase and β-collagen type Ⅰ carboxy-terminal peptide between the baicalein intervention group and the other two groups(P>0.05).The serum level of the baicalein intervention group was lower in the baicalein intervention group than the blank control group(P<0.05)but had no significant difference between the baicalein intervention group and model group(P>0.05).Histomorphological analysis of the femoral head showed that the rate of bone empty lacuna,osteoclast counting and cell apoptosis rate in the femoral head of model group rats were significantly higher than those of the other two groups(P<0.05).There was a significant increase in the number of adipocytes in the bone marrow cavity of the femoral head,bone trabeculae were thinned and sparsely arranged with more disruptions in the continuity.The incidence of osteonecrosis was higher in the model group(75%)than in the baicalein intervention group(25%;bilateral and unilateral exact significance results were both 0.05).There was also an increase in the number of adipocytes in the bone marrow cavity of the femoral head in the baicalein intervention group,and the trabecular changes were roughly similar to those in the model group.Micro-CT results showed that bone volume fraction,trabecular thickness,trabecular number,and bone mineral density decreased and trabecular separation increased in the model group compared with the blank control group(P<0.05).Overall significant bone mass loss was observed in the model group.Bone tissue parameters in the baicalein intervention group were significantly improved than those in the model group,which were reflected in bone volume fraction,trabecular thickness and trabecular separation(P<0.05),and trabecular number and bone mineral density had no significant difference between the baicalein intervention group and blank control group(P>0.05).Although baicalein failed to significantly ameliorate dyslipidemia and promote bone formation in rats with steroid-induced osteonecrosis of the femoral head,it could reduce the incidence of steroid-induced osteonecrosis of the femoral head by reducing oxidative stress damage,decreasing cell apoptosis,inhibiting osteoclasts,suggesting its effectiveness in the early prevention of steroid-induced osteonecrosis of the femoral head.
7.Relationship between preoperative serum bilirubin concentration and postoperative delirium in patients undergoing knee or hip replacement
Shuhui HUA ; Mengya ZHANG ; Shanling XU ; Yunchao YANG ; Haoran ZHANG ; Chuan LI ; Yanan LIN ; Rui DONG ; Hongyan GONG ; Xu LIN ; Yanlin BI ; Bin WANG
Chinese Journal of Anesthesiology 2024;44(3):286-291
Objective:To evaluate the relationship between preoperative serum bilirubin concentrations and postoperative delirium (POD) in the patients undergoing knee or hip replacement.Methods:Medical records from 413 patients undergoing knee or hip arthroplasty were selected from August 2020 to October 2023 at Qingdao Municipal Hospital using a nested case-control design based on the PNDABLE study cohort. The patients were divided into POD group ( n=77) and non-POD group ( n=336) according to whether POD occurred. Univariate analysis was used to analyze the influencing factors. Logistic regression was used to identify the risk factors for POD. The significance of mediation effect was tested. The receiver operating characteristic curve was drawn to evaluate the accuracy of risk factors in predicting POD. Results:There were significant differences in age, education time, ratio of diabetes history, Memorial Delirium Assessment Scale score, total bilirubin concentration, direct bilirubin concentration, indirect bilirubin concentration, Aβ 42 concentration, p-tau concentration, t-tau concentration, Aβ 42/p-tau ratio and Aβ 42/t-tau ratio between POD group and non-POD group ( P<0.05). The results of logistic regression analysis showed that preoperative serum total bilirubin, direct bilirubin and indirect bilirubin were risk factors for POD ( P<0.05). The results of mediation effects showed that the concentration of total tau protein in CSF partly mediated the relationship between high serum total bilirubin, direct bilirubin and indirect bilirubin concentrations and POD. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of total bilirubin, direct bilirubin and indirect bilirubin combined with CSF biomarker concentrations in predicting POD was 0.83 ( P<0.001). Conclusions:Preoperative elevated concentrations of total bilirubin, direct bilirubin and indirect bilirubin are risk factors for POD in the patients undergoing knee or hip replacement. CSF t-tau concentration has a partly mediating role in the association between serum total bilirubin, direct bilirubin and indirect bilirubin concentrations and the development of POD.
8.Effectiveness research of opportunistic screening for osteoporosis based on chest CT and deep convolutional neural network
Jing PAN ; Pengcheng LIN ; Kun ZHANG ; Shenchu GONG ; Bosheng HE ; Ze WANG ; Yujuan ZHANG ; Rui CAO ; Lin WANG
Journal of Practical Radiology 2024;40(1):145-150
Objective To analyze the feasibility and efficacy of a deep convolutional neural network(DCNN)model based on chest CT images to evaluate bone mineral density(BMD).Methods A total of 1 048 health check subjects'2 096 central level images of lumbar 1 and 2 vertebral bodies were used for experiments and analysis in this retrospective study.According to the results of quanti-tative computed tomography(QCT)BMD measurement,the subjects were divided into three categories:normal,osteopenia,osteopo-rosis(OP).Herein,a DCNN segmentation model was constructed based on chest CT images[training set(n=1 096),tuning set(n=200),and test set(n=800)],the segmentation performance was evaluated using the Dice similarity coefficient(DSC)to com-pare the consistency with the manually sketched region of vertebral body.Then,the DCNN classification models 1(fusion feature construction of lumbar 1 and 2 vertebral bodies)and model 2(image feature construction of lumbar 1 alone)was developed based on the training set(n=530).Model performance was compared in a test set(n=418)by the receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve analysis.Results When the number of images in the training set(n=300)was adopted,the DSC value was 0.950 in the test set.The results showed that the sensitivity,specificity and area under the curve(AUC)of model 1 and model 2 in diagno-sing osteopenia and OP were 0.716,0.960,0.952;0.941,0.948,0.980;0.638,0.954,0.940;0.843,0.959,0.978,respectively.The AUC value of normal model 1 was higher than that of model 2(0.990 vs 0.983,P=0.033),while there was no significant difference in AUC values between osteopenia and OP(P=0.210,0.546).Conclusion A DCNN may have the potential to evaluate bone mass based on chest CT images,which is expected to become an effective tool for OP screening.
9.Artificial intelligence model for diagnosis of coronary artery disease based on facial photos
Li LIN ; Tingfeng XU ; Yaodong DING ; Yang ZHANG ; Jichao WANG ; Yaxin ZUO ; Gong ZHANG ; Minxian WANG ; Yong ZENG
Chinese Journal of Cardiology 2024;52(11):1272-1276
Objective:To develop and validate an artificial intelligence (AI) diagnostic model for coronary artery disease based on facial photos.Methods:This study was a cross-sectional study. Patients who were scheduled to undergo coronary angiography (CAG) at Beijing Anzhen Hospital and Beijing Daxing Hospital from August 2022 to November 2023 were included consecutively. Before CAG, facial photos were collected (including four angles: frontal view, left and right 60° profile, and top of the head). Photo datasets were randomly divided into a training set, a validation set (70%), and a testing set (30%). The model was constructed using Masked Autoencoder (MAE) and Vision Transformer (ViT) architectures. Firstly, the model base was pre-training using 2 million facial photos obtained from the publicly available VGGFace dataset, and fine-tuned by the training and validation sets; the model was validated in the test set. In addition, the ResNet architecture was used to process the dataset, and its outputs were compared with those of the models based on MAE and ViT. In the test set, the area under the operating characteristic curve ( AUC) of the AI model was calculated using CAG results as the gold standard. Results:A total of 5 974 participants aged 61 (54, 67) years were included, including 4 179 males (70.0%), with a total of 84 964 facial photos. There were 79 140 facial photos in the training and validation sets, with 3 822 patients with coronary artery disease; there were 5 824 facial photos in the test set, with 239 patients with coronary artery disease. The AUC value of the MAE and ViT model initialized with pre-training model weights was 0.841 and 0.824, respectively. The AUC of the ResNet model initialized with random weights was 0.810, while the AUC of the ResNet model initialized with pre-training model weights was 0.816. Conclusion:The AI model based on facial photos showes good diagnostic performance for coronary artery disease and holds promise for further application in early diagnosis.
10.A multicenter prospective study on early identification of refractory Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia in children
Dan XU ; Ailian ZHANG ; Jishan ZHENG ; Mingwei YE ; Fan LI ; Gencai QIAN ; Hongbo SHI ; Xiaohong JIN ; Lieping HUANG ; Jiangang MEI ; Guohua MEI ; Zhen XU ; Hong FU ; Jianjun LIN ; Hongzhou YE ; Yan ZHENG ; Lingling HUA ; Min YANG ; Jiangmin TONG ; Lingling CHEN ; Yuanyuan ZHANG ; Dehua YANG ; Yunlian ZHOU ; Huiwen LI ; Yinle LAN ; Yulan XU ; Jinyan FENG ; Xing CHEN ; Min GONG ; Zhimin CHEN ; Yingshuo WANG
Chinese Journal of Pediatrics 2024;62(4):317-322
Objective:To explore potential predictors of refractory Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia (RMPP) in early stage. Methods:The prospective multicenter study was conducted in Zhejiang, China from May 1 st, 2019 to January 31 st, 2020. A total of 1 428 patients with fever >48 hours to <120 hours were studied. Their clinical data and oral pharyngeal swab samples were collected; Mycoplasma pneumoniae DNA in pharyngeal swab specimens was detected. Patients with positive Mycoplasma pneumoniae DNA results underwent a series of tests, including chest X-ray, complete blood count, C-reactive protein, lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), and procalcitonin. According to the occurrence of RMPP, the patients were divided into two groups, RMPP group and general Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia (GMPP) group. Measurement data between the 2 groups were compared using Mann-Whitney U test. Logistic regression analyses were used to examine the associations between clinical data and RMPP. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to analyse the power of the markers for predicting RMPP. Results:A total of 1 428 patients finished the study, with 801 boys and 627 girls, aged 4.3 (2.7, 6.3) years. Mycoplasma pneumoniae DNA was positive in 534 cases (37.4%), of whom 446 cases (83.5%) were diagnosed with Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia, including 251 boys and 195 girls, aged 5.2 (3.3, 6.9) years. Macrolides-resistant variation was positive in 410 cases (91.9%). Fifty-five cases were with RMPP, 391 cases with GMPP. The peak body temperature before the first visit and LDH levels in RMPP patients were higher than that in GMPP patients (39.6 (39.1, 40.0) vs. 39.2 (38.9, 39.7) ℃, 333 (279, 392) vs. 311 (259, 359) U/L, both P<0.05). Logistic regression showed the prediction probability π=exp (-29.7+0.667×Peak body temperature (℃)+0.004×LDH (U/L))/(1+exp (-29.7+0.667×Peak body temperature (℃)+0.004 × LDH (U/L))), the cut-off value to predict RMPP was 0.12, with a consensus of probability forecast of 0.89, sensitivity of 0.89, and specificity of 0.67; and the area under ROC curve was 0.682 (95% CI 0.593-0.771, P<0.01). Conclusion:In MPP patients with fever over 48 to <120 hours, a prediction probability π of RMPP can be calculated based on the peak body temperature and LDH level before the first visit, which can facilitate early identification of RMPP.

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