1.Global, Regional, and National Trends in Liver Disease-Related Mortality Across 112 Countries From 1990 to 2021, With Projections to 2050:Comprehensive Analysis of the WHO Mortality Database
Jong Woo HAHN ; Selin WOO ; Jaeyu PARK ; Hyeri LEE ; Hyeon Jin KIM ; Jae Sung KO ; Jin Soo MOON ; Masoud RAHMATI ; Lee SMITH ; Jiseung KANG ; Damiano PIZZOL ; Mark A TULLY ; Elena DRAGIOTI ; Guillermo F. LÓPEZ SÁNCHEZ ; Kwanjoo LEE ; Yeonjung HA ; Jinseok LEE ; Hayeon LEE ; Sang Youl RHEE ; Yejun SON ; Soeun KIM ; Dong Keon YON
Journal of Korean Medical Science 2024;39(46):e292-
Background:
Liver disease causes over two million deaths annually worldwide, comprising approximately 4% of all global fatalities. We aimed to analyze liver disease-related mortality trends from 1990 to 2021 using the World Health Organization (WHO) Mortality Database and forecast global liver disease-related mortality rates up to 2050.
Methods:
This study examined age-standardized liver disease-related death rates from 1990 to 2021, employing data from the WHO Mortality Database across 112 countries across five continents. The rates over time were calculated using a locally weighted scatter plot smoother curve, with weights assigned based on the population of each country. Furthermore, this study projected liver disease-related mortality rates up to 2050 using a Bayesian age-periodcohort (BAPC) model. Additionally, a decomposition analysis was conducted to discern influencing factors such as population growth, aging, and epidemiological changes.
Results:
The estimated global age-standardized liver disease-related mortality rates surged significantly from 1990 to 2021 across 112 countries, rising from 103.4 deaths per 1,000,000 people (95% confidence interval [CI], 88.16, 118.74) in 1990 to 173.0 deaths per 1,000,000 people (95% CI, 155.15, 190.95) in 2021. This upward trend was particularly pronounced in low- and middle-income countries, in Africa, and in populations aged 65 years and older.Moreover, age-standardized liver disease-related mortality rates were correlated with a lower Human Development Index (P < 0.001) and sociodemographic index (P = 0.001). According to the BAPC model, the projected trend indicated a sustained and substantial decline in liver disease-related mortality rates, with an estimated decrease from 185.08 deaths per 1,000,000 people (95% CI, 179.79, 190.63) in 2021 to 156.29 (112.32, 214.77) in 2050. From 1990 to 2021, age-standardized liver disease-related deaths surged primarily due to epidemiological changes, whereas from 1990 to 2050, the impact of population aging and growth became the primary contributing factors to the overall increase.
Conclusion
Global age-standardized liver disease-related mortality has increased significantly and continues to emerge as a crucial global public health issue. Further investigation into liver disease-related mortality rates in Africa is needed, and updating policies is necessary to effectively manage the global burden of liver disease.
2.Global, Regional, and National Trends in Liver Disease-Related Mortality Across 112 Countries From 1990 to 2021, With Projections to 2050:Comprehensive Analysis of the WHO Mortality Database
Jong Woo HAHN ; Selin WOO ; Jaeyu PARK ; Hyeri LEE ; Hyeon Jin KIM ; Jae Sung KO ; Jin Soo MOON ; Masoud RAHMATI ; Lee SMITH ; Jiseung KANG ; Damiano PIZZOL ; Mark A TULLY ; Elena DRAGIOTI ; Guillermo F. LÓPEZ SÁNCHEZ ; Kwanjoo LEE ; Yeonjung HA ; Jinseok LEE ; Hayeon LEE ; Sang Youl RHEE ; Yejun SON ; Soeun KIM ; Dong Keon YON
Journal of Korean Medical Science 2024;39(46):e292-
Background:
Liver disease causes over two million deaths annually worldwide, comprising approximately 4% of all global fatalities. We aimed to analyze liver disease-related mortality trends from 1990 to 2021 using the World Health Organization (WHO) Mortality Database and forecast global liver disease-related mortality rates up to 2050.
Methods:
This study examined age-standardized liver disease-related death rates from 1990 to 2021, employing data from the WHO Mortality Database across 112 countries across five continents. The rates over time were calculated using a locally weighted scatter plot smoother curve, with weights assigned based on the population of each country. Furthermore, this study projected liver disease-related mortality rates up to 2050 using a Bayesian age-periodcohort (BAPC) model. Additionally, a decomposition analysis was conducted to discern influencing factors such as population growth, aging, and epidemiological changes.
Results:
The estimated global age-standardized liver disease-related mortality rates surged significantly from 1990 to 2021 across 112 countries, rising from 103.4 deaths per 1,000,000 people (95% confidence interval [CI], 88.16, 118.74) in 1990 to 173.0 deaths per 1,000,000 people (95% CI, 155.15, 190.95) in 2021. This upward trend was particularly pronounced in low- and middle-income countries, in Africa, and in populations aged 65 years and older.Moreover, age-standardized liver disease-related mortality rates were correlated with a lower Human Development Index (P < 0.001) and sociodemographic index (P = 0.001). According to the BAPC model, the projected trend indicated a sustained and substantial decline in liver disease-related mortality rates, with an estimated decrease from 185.08 deaths per 1,000,000 people (95% CI, 179.79, 190.63) in 2021 to 156.29 (112.32, 214.77) in 2050. From 1990 to 2021, age-standardized liver disease-related deaths surged primarily due to epidemiological changes, whereas from 1990 to 2050, the impact of population aging and growth became the primary contributing factors to the overall increase.
Conclusion
Global age-standardized liver disease-related mortality has increased significantly and continues to emerge as a crucial global public health issue. Further investigation into liver disease-related mortality rates in Africa is needed, and updating policies is necessary to effectively manage the global burden of liver disease.
3.Global, Regional, and National Trends in Liver Disease-Related Mortality Across 112 Countries From 1990 to 2021, With Projections to 2050:Comprehensive Analysis of the WHO Mortality Database
Jong Woo HAHN ; Selin WOO ; Jaeyu PARK ; Hyeri LEE ; Hyeon Jin KIM ; Jae Sung KO ; Jin Soo MOON ; Masoud RAHMATI ; Lee SMITH ; Jiseung KANG ; Damiano PIZZOL ; Mark A TULLY ; Elena DRAGIOTI ; Guillermo F. LÓPEZ SÁNCHEZ ; Kwanjoo LEE ; Yeonjung HA ; Jinseok LEE ; Hayeon LEE ; Sang Youl RHEE ; Yejun SON ; Soeun KIM ; Dong Keon YON
Journal of Korean Medical Science 2024;39(46):e292-
Background:
Liver disease causes over two million deaths annually worldwide, comprising approximately 4% of all global fatalities. We aimed to analyze liver disease-related mortality trends from 1990 to 2021 using the World Health Organization (WHO) Mortality Database and forecast global liver disease-related mortality rates up to 2050.
Methods:
This study examined age-standardized liver disease-related death rates from 1990 to 2021, employing data from the WHO Mortality Database across 112 countries across five continents. The rates over time were calculated using a locally weighted scatter plot smoother curve, with weights assigned based on the population of each country. Furthermore, this study projected liver disease-related mortality rates up to 2050 using a Bayesian age-periodcohort (BAPC) model. Additionally, a decomposition analysis was conducted to discern influencing factors such as population growth, aging, and epidemiological changes.
Results:
The estimated global age-standardized liver disease-related mortality rates surged significantly from 1990 to 2021 across 112 countries, rising from 103.4 deaths per 1,000,000 people (95% confidence interval [CI], 88.16, 118.74) in 1990 to 173.0 deaths per 1,000,000 people (95% CI, 155.15, 190.95) in 2021. This upward trend was particularly pronounced in low- and middle-income countries, in Africa, and in populations aged 65 years and older.Moreover, age-standardized liver disease-related mortality rates were correlated with a lower Human Development Index (P < 0.001) and sociodemographic index (P = 0.001). According to the BAPC model, the projected trend indicated a sustained and substantial decline in liver disease-related mortality rates, with an estimated decrease from 185.08 deaths per 1,000,000 people (95% CI, 179.79, 190.63) in 2021 to 156.29 (112.32, 214.77) in 2050. From 1990 to 2021, age-standardized liver disease-related deaths surged primarily due to epidemiological changes, whereas from 1990 to 2050, the impact of population aging and growth became the primary contributing factors to the overall increase.
Conclusion
Global age-standardized liver disease-related mortality has increased significantly and continues to emerge as a crucial global public health issue. Further investigation into liver disease-related mortality rates in Africa is needed, and updating policies is necessary to effectively manage the global burden of liver disease.
4.Global, Regional, and National Trends in Liver Disease-Related Mortality Across 112 Countries From 1990 to 2021, With Projections to 2050:Comprehensive Analysis of the WHO Mortality Database
Jong Woo HAHN ; Selin WOO ; Jaeyu PARK ; Hyeri LEE ; Hyeon Jin KIM ; Jae Sung KO ; Jin Soo MOON ; Masoud RAHMATI ; Lee SMITH ; Jiseung KANG ; Damiano PIZZOL ; Mark A TULLY ; Elena DRAGIOTI ; Guillermo F. LÓPEZ SÁNCHEZ ; Kwanjoo LEE ; Yeonjung HA ; Jinseok LEE ; Hayeon LEE ; Sang Youl RHEE ; Yejun SON ; Soeun KIM ; Dong Keon YON
Journal of Korean Medical Science 2024;39(46):e292-
Background:
Liver disease causes over two million deaths annually worldwide, comprising approximately 4% of all global fatalities. We aimed to analyze liver disease-related mortality trends from 1990 to 2021 using the World Health Organization (WHO) Mortality Database and forecast global liver disease-related mortality rates up to 2050.
Methods:
This study examined age-standardized liver disease-related death rates from 1990 to 2021, employing data from the WHO Mortality Database across 112 countries across five continents. The rates over time were calculated using a locally weighted scatter plot smoother curve, with weights assigned based on the population of each country. Furthermore, this study projected liver disease-related mortality rates up to 2050 using a Bayesian age-periodcohort (BAPC) model. Additionally, a decomposition analysis was conducted to discern influencing factors such as population growth, aging, and epidemiological changes.
Results:
The estimated global age-standardized liver disease-related mortality rates surged significantly from 1990 to 2021 across 112 countries, rising from 103.4 deaths per 1,000,000 people (95% confidence interval [CI], 88.16, 118.74) in 1990 to 173.0 deaths per 1,000,000 people (95% CI, 155.15, 190.95) in 2021. This upward trend was particularly pronounced in low- and middle-income countries, in Africa, and in populations aged 65 years and older.Moreover, age-standardized liver disease-related mortality rates were correlated with a lower Human Development Index (P < 0.001) and sociodemographic index (P = 0.001). According to the BAPC model, the projected trend indicated a sustained and substantial decline in liver disease-related mortality rates, with an estimated decrease from 185.08 deaths per 1,000,000 people (95% CI, 179.79, 190.63) in 2021 to 156.29 (112.32, 214.77) in 2050. From 1990 to 2021, age-standardized liver disease-related deaths surged primarily due to epidemiological changes, whereas from 1990 to 2050, the impact of population aging and growth became the primary contributing factors to the overall increase.
Conclusion
Global age-standardized liver disease-related mortality has increased significantly and continues to emerge as a crucial global public health issue. Further investigation into liver disease-related mortality rates in Africa is needed, and updating policies is necessary to effectively manage the global burden of liver disease.
5.Long-term gastrointestinal and hepatobiliary outcomes of COVID-19: A multinational population-based cohort study from South Korea, Japan, and the UK
Kwanjoo LEE ; Jaeyu PARK ; Jinseok LEE ; Myeongcheol LEE ; Hyeon Jin KIM ; Yejun SON ; Sang Youl RHEE ; Lee SMITH ; Masoud RAHMATI ; Jiseung KANG ; Hayeon LEE ; Yeonjung HA ; Dong Keon YON
Clinical and Molecular Hepatology 2024;30(4):943-958
Background/Aims:
Considering emerging evidence on long COVID, comprehensive analyses of the post-acute complications of SARS-CoV-2 infection in the gastrointestinal and hepatobiliary systems are needed. We aimed to investigate the impact of COVID-19 on the long-term risk of gastrointestinal and hepatobiliary diseases and other digestive abnormalities.
Methods:
We used three large-scale population-based cohorts: the Korean cohort (discovery cohort), the Japanese cohort (validation cohort-A), and the UK Biobank (validation cohort-B). A total of 10,027,506 Korean, 12,218,680 Japanese, and 468,617 UK patients aged ≥20 years who had SARS-CoV-2 infection between 2020 and 2021 were matched to non-infected controls. Seventeen gastrointestinal and eight hepatobiliary outcomes as well as nine other digestive abnormalities following SARS-CoV-2 infection were identified and compared with controls.
Results:
The discovery cohort revealed heightened risks of gastrointestinal diseases (HR 1.15; 95% CI 1.08–1.22), hepatobiliary diseases (HR 1.30; 95% CI 1.09–1.55), and other digestive abnormalities (HR 1.05; 95% CI 1.01–1.10) beyond the first 30 days of infection, after exposure-driven propensity score-matching. The risk was pronounced according to the COVID-19 severity. The SARS-CoV-2 vaccination was found to lower the risk of gastrointestinal diseases but did not affect hepatobiliary diseases and other digestive disorders. The results derived from validation cohorts were consistent. The risk profile was most pronounced during the initial 3 months; however, it persisted for >6 months in validation cohorts, but not in the discovery cohort.
Conclusions
The incidence of gastrointestinal disease, hepatobiliary disease, and other digestive abnormalities increased in patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection during the post-acute phase.
6.Revised Korean Cough Guidelines, 2020: Recommendations and Summary Statements
Hyonsoo JOO ; Ji-Yong MOON ; Tai Joon AN ; Hayoung CHOI ; So Young PARK ; Hongseok YOO ; Chi Young KIM ; Ina JEONG ; Joo-Hee KIM ; Hyeon-Kyoung KOO ; Chin Kook RHEE ; Sei Won LEE ; Sung Kyoung KIM ; Kyung Hoon MIN ; Yee Hyung KIM ; Seung Hun JANG ; Deog Kyeom KIM ; Jong Wook SHIN ; Hyoung Kyu YOON ; Dong-Gyu KIM ; Hui Jung KIM ; Jin Woo KIM
Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases 2021;84(4):263-273
Cough is the most common respiratory symptom that can have various causes. It is a major clinical problem that can reduce a patient’s quality of life. Thus, clinical guidelines for the treatment of cough were established in 2014 by the cough guideline committee under the Korean Academy of Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases. From October 2018 to July 2020, cough guidelines were revised by members of the committee based on the first guidelines. The purpose of these guidelines is to help clinicians efficiently diagnose and treat patients with cough. This article highlights the recommendations and summary of the revised Korean cough guidelines. It includes a revised algorithm for the evaluation of acute, subacute, and chronic cough. For a chronic cough, upper airway cough syndrome (UACS), cough variant asthma (CVA), and gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) should be considered in differential diagnoses. If UACS is suspected, first-generation antihistamines and nasal decongestants can be used empirically. In cases with CVA, inhaled corticosteroids are recommended to improve cough. In patients with suspected chronic cough due to symptomatic GERD, proton pump inhibitors are recommended. Chronic bronchitis, bronchiectasis, bronchiolitis, lung cancer, aspiration, intake of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor, intake of dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitor, habitual cough, psychogenic cough, interstitial lung disease, environmental and occupational factors, tuberculosis, obstructive sleep apnea, peritoneal dialysis, and unexplained cough can also be considered as causes of a chronic cough. Chronic cough due to laryngeal dysfunction syndrome has been newly added to the guidelines.
7.Revised Korean Cough Guidelines, 2020: Recommendations and Summary Statements
Hyonsoo JOO ; Ji-Yong MOON ; Tai Joon AN ; Hayoung CHOI ; So Young PARK ; Hongseok YOO ; Chi Young KIM ; Ina JEONG ; Joo-Hee KIM ; Hyeon-Kyoung KOO ; Chin Kook RHEE ; Sei Won LEE ; Sung Kyoung KIM ; Kyung Hoon MIN ; Yee Hyung KIM ; Seung Hun JANG ; Deog Kyeom KIM ; Jong Wook SHIN ; Hyoung Kyu YOON ; Dong-Gyu KIM ; Hui Jung KIM ; Jin Woo KIM
Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases 2021;84(4):263-273
Cough is the most common respiratory symptom that can have various causes. It is a major clinical problem that can reduce a patient’s quality of life. Thus, clinical guidelines for the treatment of cough were established in 2014 by the cough guideline committee under the Korean Academy of Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases. From October 2018 to July 2020, cough guidelines were revised by members of the committee based on the first guidelines. The purpose of these guidelines is to help clinicians efficiently diagnose and treat patients with cough. This article highlights the recommendations and summary of the revised Korean cough guidelines. It includes a revised algorithm for the evaluation of acute, subacute, and chronic cough. For a chronic cough, upper airway cough syndrome (UACS), cough variant asthma (CVA), and gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) should be considered in differential diagnoses. If UACS is suspected, first-generation antihistamines and nasal decongestants can be used empirically. In cases with CVA, inhaled corticosteroids are recommended to improve cough. In patients with suspected chronic cough due to symptomatic GERD, proton pump inhibitors are recommended. Chronic bronchitis, bronchiectasis, bronchiolitis, lung cancer, aspiration, intake of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor, intake of dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitor, habitual cough, psychogenic cough, interstitial lung disease, environmental and occupational factors, tuberculosis, obstructive sleep apnea, peritoneal dialysis, and unexplained cough can also be considered as causes of a chronic cough. Chronic cough due to laryngeal dysfunction syndrome has been newly added to the guidelines.
8.Clinical Characteristics of Chronic Cough in Korea
Tai Joon AN ; Jin Woo KIM ; Eun Young CHOI ; Seung Hun JANG ; Hwa Young LEE ; Hye Seon KANG ; Hyeon Kyoung KOO ; Jong Min LEE ; Sung Kyung KIM ; Jong Wook SHIN ; So Young PARK ; Chin Kook RHEE ; Ji Yong MOON ; Yee Hyung KIM ; Hyun LEE ; Yong Hyun KIM ; Je Hyeong KIM ; Sang Haak LEE ; Deog Kyeom KIM ; Kwang Ha YOO ; Dong Gyu KIM ; Ki Suck JUNG ; Hui Jung KIM ; Hyoung Kyu YOON ;
Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases 2020;83(1):31-41
9.Clinical Characteristics of Chronic Cough in Korea
Tai Joon AN ; Jin Woo KIM ; Eun Young CHOI ; Seung Hun JANG ; Hwa Young LEE ; Hye Seon KANG ; Hyeon Kyoung KOO ; Jong Min LEE ; Sung Kyung KIM ; Jong Wook SHIN ; So Young PARK ; Chin Kook RHEE ; Ji Yong MOON ; Yee Hyung KIM ; Hyun LEE ; Yong Hyun KIM ; Je Hyeong KIM ; Sang Haak LEE ; Deog Kyeom KIM ; Kwang Ha YOO ; Dong Gyu KIM ; Ki Suck JUNG ; Hui Jung KIM ; Hyoung Kyu YOON ;
Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases 2020;83(1):31-41
BACKGROUND:
Chronic cough is defined as a cough lasting more than 8 weeks and socio-economic burden of chronic cough is enormous. The characteristics of chronic cough in Korea are not well understood. The Korean Academy of Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases (KATRD) published guidelines on cough management in 2014. The current study evaluated the clinical characteristics of chronic cough in Korea and the efficacy of the KATRD guidelines.
METHODS:
This was a multi-center, retrospective observational study conducted in Korea. The participants were over 18 years of age. They had coughs lasting more than 8 weeks. Subjects with current pulmonary diseases, smokers, ex-smokers with more than 10 pack-years or who quit within the past 1 year, pregnant women, and users of cough-inducing medications were excluded. Evaluation and management of cough followed the KATRD cough-management guidelines.
RESULTS:
Participants with chronic cough in Korea showed age in the late forties and cough duration of more than 1 year. Upper airway cough syndrome was the most common cause of cough, followed by cough-variant asthma (CVA). Gastro-esophageal reflux diseases and eosinophilic bronchitis were less frequently observed. Following the KATRD cough-management guidelines, 91.2% of the subjects improved after 4 weeks of treatment. Responders were younger, had a longer duration of cough, and an initial impression of CVA. In univariate and multivariate analyses, an initial impression of CVA was the only factor related to better treatment response.
CONCLUSION
The causes of chronic cough in Korea differed from those reported in other countries. The current Korean guidelines proved efficient for treating Korean patients with chronic cough.
10.Clinical Characteristics of Chronic Cough in Korea
Tai Joon AN ; Jin Woo KIM ; Eun Young CHOI ; Seung Hun JANG ; Hwa Young LEE ; Hye Seon KANG ; Hyeon Kyoung KOO ; Jong Min LEE ; Sung Kyung KIM ; Jong Wook SHIN ; So Young PARK ; Chin Kook RHEE ; Ji Yong MOON ; Yee Hyung KIM ; Hyun LEE ; Yong Hyun KIM ; Je Hyeong KIM ; Sang Haak LEE ; Deog Kyeom KIM ; Kwang Ha YOO ; Dong Gyu KIM ; Ki Suck JUNG ; Hui Jung KIM ; Hyoung Kyu YOON ;
Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases 2020;83(1):31-41
BACKGROUND:
Chronic cough is defined as a cough lasting more than 8 weeks and socio-economic burden of chronic cough is enormous. The characteristics of chronic cough in Korea are not well understood. The Korean Academy of Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases (KATRD) published guidelines on cough management in 2014. The current study evaluated the clinical characteristics of chronic cough in Korea and the efficacy of the KATRD guidelines.
METHODS:
This was a multi-center, retrospective observational study conducted in Korea. The participants were over 18 years of age. They had coughs lasting more than 8 weeks. Subjects with current pulmonary diseases, smokers, ex-smokers with more than 10 pack-years or who quit within the past 1 year, pregnant women, and users of cough-inducing medications were excluded. Evaluation and management of cough followed the KATRD cough-management guidelines.
RESULTS:
Participants with chronic cough in Korea showed age in the late forties and cough duration of more than 1 year. Upper airway cough syndrome was the most common cause of cough, followed by cough-variant asthma (CVA). Gastro-esophageal reflux diseases and eosinophilic bronchitis were less frequently observed. Following the KATRD cough-management guidelines, 91.2% of the subjects improved after 4 weeks of treatment. Responders were younger, had a longer duration of cough, and an initial impression of CVA. In univariate and multivariate analyses, an initial impression of CVA was the only factor related to better treatment response.
CONCLUSION
The causes of chronic cough in Korea differed from those reported in other countries. The current Korean guidelines proved efficient for treating Korean patients with chronic cough.

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