1.Forecasting the burden of disease from diabetes under the scenarios of specific risk factors control in China in 2030.
Yan Hong FU ; Ting Ling XU ; Zhen Zhen RAO ; Jiang Mei LIU ; Ruo Tong LI ; Min LIU ; Shi Cheng YU ; Mai Geng ZHOU ; Wen Lan DONG ; Guo Qing HU
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2023;44(4):581-586
Objective: To forecast mortality, age-standardized mortality, and probability of premature mortality from diabetes, and to simulate the impact of controlling risk factors by 2030 in China. Methods: We simulated the burden of disease from diabetes in six scenarios according to the development goals of risk factors control by the WHO and Chinese government. Based on the theory of comparative risk assessment and the estimates of the burden of disease for China from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015, we used the proportional change model to project the number of deaths, age-standardized mortality, and probability of premature mortality from diabetes under different scenarios of risk factors control in 2030. Results: If the trends in exposures to risk factors from 1990 to 2015 continued. Mortality, age-standardized mortality, and probability of premature mortality from diabetes would increase to 32.57/100 000, 17.32/100 000, and 0.84% by 2030, respectively. During that time, mortality, age-standardized mortality and probability of premature mortality for males would all be higher than for females. If the goals of controlling risk factors were all achieved, the number of deaths from diabetes in 2030 would decrease by 62.10% compared to the predicted numbers based on the historical trends in exposure to risk factors, and the probability of premature mortality would drop to 0.29%. If only the exposure to a single risk factor were achieved by 2030, high fasting plasma glucose control would have the greatest impact on diabetes, resulting in a 56.00% reduction in deaths compared to the predicted numbers based on the historical trends, followed by high BMI (4.92%), smoking (0.65%), and low physical activity (0.53%). Conclusions: Risk factors control plays an important role in reducing the number of deaths, age-standardized mortality rate, and probability of premature mortality from diabetes. We suggest taking comprehensive measures to control relevant risk factors for certain populations and regions, to achieve the goal of reducing the burden of disease from diabetes as expected.
Male
;
Female
;
Humans
;
Risk Factors
;
Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiology*
;
Mortality, Premature
;
Smoking
;
Cost of Illness
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Global Burden of Disease
2.Risk factors for inpatient Hypoglycemia in a tertiary care hospital in Indonesia
Chici Pratiwi ; Martin Rumende ; Ida Ayu Made Kshanti ; Pradana Soewondo
Journal of the ASEAN Federation of Endocrine Societies 2022;37(2):28-33
Introduction:
Hypoglycemia is an important and harmful complication that often occurs in inpatient and outpatient settings. This study aims to assess the incidence of inpatient hypoglycemia and its related factors. We also assessed mortality and length of hospital stay.
Methodology:
We performed a retrospective cohort study among patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus admitted to a tertiary hospital in Indonesia. Using multivariate regression, we analyzed age, sex, body mass index, comorbidities, history of hypoglycemia, hyperglycemia treatment administered, nutritional intake, and medical instruction as the related risk factors for inpatient hypoglycemia.
Results:
From 475 subjects, 80 (16.8%) had inpatient hypoglycemia, of which, 7.4% experienced severe hypoglycemia. We found that patients with a history of hypoglycemia (RR: 4.6; 95% CI: 2.8-7.6), insulin and/or sulfonylurea treatment (RR 6.4; 95% CI: 1.6-26.5), and inadequate nutritional intake (RR 2.6; 95% CI: 1.5-4.3) were more likely to have hypoglycemic events compared to those who did not. The length of hospital stay for patients in the hypoglycemic group is significantly longer than those in the non-hypoglycemic group (13 vs 7 days, p<0.001), but their mortality rates did not differ (16% vs 10.9%, p=0.18).
Conclusion
Inpatient hypoglycemia may be affected by a history of hypoglycemia and inadequate nutritional intake. Patients who had inpatient hypoglycemia tend to have a longer median length of hospital stay.
Hypoglycemia
;
Diabetes Mellitus
;
Insulin
;
Mortality
;
Length of Stay
3.Analysis on mortality and premature death rates of 4 major chronic diseases in Ji'nan, 2015-2020.
Lin ZHOU ; Ying WANG ; Xian Hui ZHANG ; Xia MA ; Shu Ping GONG ; Jun ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2022;43(3):354-358
Objective: To understand the characteristics and trend of the premature death rate of 4 major chronic diseases in Ji'nan from 2015 to 2020. Methods: The death cause surveillance data and population data during 2015-2020 in Ji'nan were collected, and abbreviated life table, Joinpoint regression analysis and other methods were used to analyze the characteristics and change trends of the premature death rates of 4 major chronic diseases. Results: The crude mortality rate and age standardized mortality rate changes for the 4 major chronic diseases from 2015 to 2020 range from 568.65/100 000 to 604.06/100 000 and 366.77/100 000 to 432.48/100 000, respectively. The annual premature death rate of 4 major chronic diseases declined by 3.33% averagely from 2015 to 2020 (95%CI: -6.25%--0.32%), which might be explained by the declines of the premature death rates of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases [average annual percentage change (AAPC)=-3.23%, 95%CI: -6.32%--0.05%] and cancer (AAPC=-3.58%,95%CI:-6.83%--0.21%). The average decline rate in women (AAPC=-4.19%,95%CI:-7.56%- -0.70%) was higher than that in men (AAPC=-2.92%,95%CI: -5.65%--0.11%). Conclusions: The premature death rate of 4 major chronic diseases showed a downward trend in Ji'nan from 2015 to 2020. Men should be considered as a key population in the prevention and control of 4 major chronic diseases, and attention should also be paid to the non-significant declines in the premature death rates of chronic respiratory diseases and diabetes.
Cerebrovascular Disorders
;
Chronic Disease
;
Diabetes Mellitus
;
Female
;
Humans
;
Male
;
Mortality, Premature
;
Regression Analysis
4.Association Between Metformin Use and Mortality Among Patients with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus Hospitalized for COVID-19 Infection
Angeli Nicole Ong ; Ceryl Cindy Tan ; Maria Teresa Cañ ; ete ; Bryan Albert Lim ; Jeremyjones Robles
Journal of the ASEAN Federation of Endocrine Societies 2021;36(2):133-141
Introduction:
Metformin has known mechanistic benefits on COVID-19 infection due to its anti-inflammatory effects and its action on the ACE2 receptor. However, some physicians are reluctant to use it in hypoxemic patients due to potential lactic acidosis. The primary purpose of the study was to determine whether metformin use is associated with survival. We also wanted to determine whether there is a difference in outcomes in subcategories of metformin use, whether at home, in-hospital, or mixed home/in-hospital use.
Objectives:
This study aimed to determine an association between metformin use and mortality among patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus hospitalized for COVID-19 infection.
Methodology:
This was a cross-sectional analysis of data acquired from the COVID-19 database of two tertiary hospitals in Cebu from March 1, 2020, to September 30, 2020. Hospitalized adult Filipino patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus who tested positive for COVID-19 via RT-PCR were included and categorized as either metformin users or metformin non-users.
Results:
We included 355 patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus in the study, 186 (52.4%) were metformin users. They were further categorized into home metformin users (n=109, 30.7%), in-hospital metformin users (n=40, 11.3%), and mixed home/in-hospital metformin users (n=37, 10.4%). Metformin use was associated with a lower risk for mortality compared to non-users (p=0.001; OR=0.424). In-hospital and mixed home/in-hospital metformin users were associated with lower mortality odds than non-users (p=0.002; OR=0.103 and p=0.005; OR 0.173, respectively). The lower risk for mortality was noted in metformin, regardless of dosage, from 500 mg to 2 g daily (p=0.002). Daily dose between ≥1000 mg to <2000 mg was associated with the greatest benefit on mortality (p≤0.001; OR=0.252). The survival distributions between metformin users and non-users were statistically different, showing inequality in survival (χ2=5.67, p=0.017).
Conclusion
Metformin was associated with a lower risk for mortality in persons with type 2 diabetes mellitus hospitalized for COVID-19 disease compared to non-users. Use of metformin in-hospital, and mixed home/in-hospital metformin use, was also associated with decreased risk for mortality. The greatest benefit seen was in those taking a daily dose of ≥1000 mg to <2000 mg.
Metformin
;
Diabetes Mellitus
;
COVID-19
;
Mortality
5.Diabetic kidney disease: seven questions
Journal of the Korean Medical Association 2020;63(1):6-13
Diabetic kidney disease is a microvascular complication of diabetes mellitus and the leading cause of end-stage renal disease resulting in renal replacement therapy. Approximately 30% to 40% of diabetic patients have diabetic kidney disease, which contributes to a significant increase in morbidity and mortality. Microalbuminuria is considered the gold standard for diabetic kidney disease diagnosis; however, its predictive value is restricted. Although blood glucose control, blood pressure control, and angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitors have been the primary treatment strategies, there are no definitive treatment modalities capable of inhibiting the progression of kidney dysfunction in these patients. This study was undertaken to answer seven questions regarding the various aspects of diabetic kidney disease. Why does it develop? what kind of factors affect its development? How is it diagnosed? What are its possible biomarkers? When is a kidney biopsy necessary? What are the preventive and therapeutic options? And what are the novel treatments?
Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme Inhibitors
;
Biomarkers
;
Biopsy
;
Blood Glucose
;
Blood Pressure
;
Diabetes Mellitus
;
Diabetic Nephropathies
;
Diagnosis
;
Humans
;
Kidney
;
Kidney Failure, Chronic
;
Mortality
;
Renal Replacement Therapy
6.Characteristics of chemotherapy-induced diabetes mellitus in acute lymphoblastic leukemia patients.
Shan-Shan SUO ; Chen-Ying LI ; Yi ZHANG ; Jing-Han WANG ; Yin-Jun LOU ; Wen-Juan YU ; Jie JIN
Journal of Zhejiang University. Science. B 2020;21(9):740-744
Acute lymphocytic leukemia (ALL) is one of the most common malignancies, especially in young people. Combination chemotherapy for ALL typically includes corticosteroids (Kantarjian et al., 2000). Hyperglycemia is a well-recognized complication of corticosteroids, and chemotherapy-induced diabetes (CID) is not uncommon (27.5%-37.0%) during the treatment of ALL (Hsu et al., 2002; Weiser et al., 2004; Alves et al., 2007). Besides the effect of corticosteroids, potential factors triggering hyperglycemia in ALL also include direct infiltration of the pancreas by leukemia cells and β cell dysfunction induced by chemotherapeutic agents such as L-asparagine (Mohn et al., 2004).
Adolescent
;
Adult
;
Age Factors
;
Aged
;
Antineoplastic Agents/adverse effects*
;
Diabetes Mellitus/chemically induced*
;
Female
;
Humans
;
Male
;
Middle Aged
;
Precursor Cell Lymphoblastic Leukemia-Lymphoma/mortality*
;
Young Adult
7.Risks factors for death among COVID-19 patients combined with hypertension, coronary heart disease or diabetes.
Hang YANG ; Lin Cheng YANG ; Rui Tao ZHANG ; Yun Peng LING ; Qing Gang GE
Journal of Peking University(Health Sciences) 2020;52(3):420-424
OBJECTIVE:
The pathogenesis of myocardial injury upon corona virus disease 2019 (COVID-19) infection remain unknown,evidence of impact on outcome is insufficient, therefore, we aim to investigate the risk factors for death among COVID-19 patients combined with hypertension, coronary heart disease or diabetes in this study.
METHODS:
This was a single-centered, retrospective, observational study. Patients of Sino-French Eco-City section of Tongji Hospital, Wuhan, China attended by Peking University Supporting Medical Team and admitted from Jan. 29, 2020 to Mar. 20, 2020 were included. The positive nucleic acid of COVID-19 virus and combination with hypertension, coronary heart disease or diabetes were in the standard. We collected the clinical data and laboratory examination results of the eligible patients to evaluate the related factors of death.
RESULTS:
In the study, 94 COVID-19 patients enrolled were divided into the group of death (13 cases) and the group of survivors (81 cases), the average age was 66.7 years. Compared with the survival group, the death group had faster basal heart rate(103.2 beats/min vs. 88.4 beats /min, P=0.004), shortness of breath(29.0 beats /min vs. 20.0 beats /min, P<0.001), higher neutrophil count(9.2×109/L vs. 3.8×109/L, P<0.001), lower lymphocyte count(0.5×109/L vs. 1.1×109/L, P<0.001), creatine kinase MB(CK-MB, 3.2 μg/L vs. 0.8 μg/L, P<0.001), high sensitivity cardiac troponin Ⅰ(hs-cTnⅠ, 217.2 ng/L vs. 4.9 ng/L, P<0.001), N-terminal pro brain natriuretic peptide(NT-proBNP; 945.0 μg/L vs. 154.0 μg/L, P<0.001), inflammatory factor ferritin(770.2 μg/L vs. 622.8 μg/L , P=0.050), interleukin-2 recepter(IL-2R, 1 586.0 U/mL vs. 694.0 U/mL, P<0.001), interleukin-6(IL-6, 82.3 ng/L vs. 13.0 ng/L, P<0.001), interleukin-10(IL-10, 9.8 ng/L vs. 5.0 ng/L, P<0.001)were higher than those in the survival group. Univariate logistic regression analysis showed that the risk factors for death were old age, low non oxygen saturation, low lymphocyte count, myocardial injury, abnormal increase of IL 2R, IL-6, and IL-10. Multivariate regression showed that old age (OR=1.11, 95%CI=1.03-1.19, P=0.026), low non oxygen saturation(OR=0.85, 95%CI=0.72-0.99, P=0.041), and abnormal increase of IL-10(>9.1 ng/L, OR=101.93, 95%CI=4.74-2190.71, P=0.003)were independent risk factors for COVID-19 patients combined with hypertension, coronary heart disease or diabetes.
CONCLUSION
In COVID-19 patients combined with hypertension, coronary heart disease or diabetes, the risk factors for death were old age, low non oxygen saturation, low lymphocyte count, myocardial injury, and abnormal increase of IL-2R, IL-6, and IL-10. Old age, low non oxygen saturation and abnormal increase of IL-10 were independent risk factors.
Aged
;
Betacoronavirus
;
COVID-19
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Coronary Disease/complications*
;
Coronavirus Infections/mortality*
;
Diabetes Mellitus
;
Humans
;
Hypertension/complications*
;
Pandemics
;
Pneumonia, Viral/mortality*
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Risk Factors
;
SARS-CoV-2
8.Years of Life Lost due to Premature Death in People with Disabilities in Korea: the Korean National Burden of Disease Study Framework.
Young Eun KIM ; Ye Rin LEE ; Seok Jun YOON ; Young Ae KIM ; In Hwan OH
Journal of Korean Medical Science 2019;34(2):e22-
BACKGROUND: Several studies have been conducted regarding people with disabilities, however no studies have estimated the disease burden due to premature death. As such, we aimed to compare the years of life lost (YLLs) due to premature death between a population with disabilities and the total population of Korea. METHODS: To calculate the YLLs in people with disabilities, we combined disability registration data from the 2002–2011 Ministry of Health and Welfare of Korea and the causes of mortality data by Statistics Korea for 3,158,231 people. RESULTS: YLLs of people with disabilities were 517,337, which accounted for 23.4% of YLLs of the total population. YLLs per 100,000 people with disabilities were approximately 3.8 times higher than those in the total Korean population. Ischemic stroke was associated with the highest YLLs per 100,000 people, followed by ischemic heart disease, hemorrhagic, and other non-ischemic stroke, diabetes mellitus, and self-harm. Among individuals with physical disabilities, ischemic heart disease was associated with the highest YLLs. For intellectual disability, epilepsy contributed to the most YLLs. For individuals with mental disability, self-harm was the largest contributor to YLLs. CONCLUSION: The burden of disease was higher in the population with disabilities than that in the general population. Cardiovascular diseases and cancer had a higher burden of disease than did other diseases in the population with disabilities; thus, overall, non-communicable diseases have a higher burden of disease than communicable diseases or injuries in the population with disabilities than in the general population.
Cardiovascular Diseases
;
Communicable Diseases
;
Diabetes Mellitus
;
Disabled Persons*
;
Epilepsy
;
Humans
;
Intellectual Disability
;
Korea*
;
Mortality
;
Mortality, Premature*
;
Myocardial Ischemia
;
Stroke
9.Type 2 Diabetes and Testosterone Therapy.
The World Journal of Men's Health 2019;37(1):31-44
A third of men with type 2 diabetes (T2DM) have hypogonadotrophic hypogonadism (HH) and associated increased risk of cardiovascular and all-cause mortality. Men with HH are at increased risk of developing incident T2DM. We conducted MEDLINE, EMBASE, and COCHRANE reviews on T2DM, HH, testosterone deficiency, cardiovascular and all-cause mortality from May 2005 to October 2017, yielding 1,714 articles, 52 clinical trials and 32 randomized controlled trials (RCT). Studies with testosterone therapy suggest significant benefits in sexual function, quality of life, glycaemic control, anaemia, bone density, fat, and lean muscle mass. Meta-analyses of RCT, rather than providing clarification, have further confused the issue by including under-powered studies of inadequate duration, multiple regimes, some discontinued, and inbuilt bias in terms of studies included or excluded from analysis.
Bias (Epidemiology)
;
Bone Density
;
Cardiovascular Diseases
;
Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2
;
Humans
;
Hypogonadism
;
Male
;
Mortality
;
Quality of Life
;
Testosterone*
10.Association between incidence of fatal intracerebral hemorrhagic stroke and fine particulate air pollution.
Yifeng QIAN ; Huiting YU ; Binxin CAI ; Bo FANG ; Chunfang WANG
Environmental Health and Preventive Medicine 2019;24(1):38-38
OBJECTIVE:
Few studies investigating associations between fine particulate air pollution and hemorrhagic stroke have considered subtypes. Additionally, less is known about the modification of such association by factors measured at the individual level. We aimed to investigate the risk of fatal intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) incidence in case of PM (particles ≤ 2.5 μm in aerodynamic diameter) exposure.
METHODS:
Data on incidence of fatal ICH from 1 June 2012 to 31 May 2014 were extracted from the acute stroke mortality database in Shanghai Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention (SCDC). We used the time-stratified case-crossover approach to assess the association between daily concentrations of PM and fatal ICH incidence in Shanghai, China.
RESULTS:
A total of 5286 fatal ICH cases occurred during our study period. The averaged concentration of PM was 77.45 μg/m. The incidence of fatal ICH was significantly associated with PM concentration. Substantial differences were observed among subjects with diabetes compared with those without; following the increase of PM in lag2, the OR (95% CI) for subjects with diabetes was 1.26 (1.09-1.46) versus 1.05 (0.98-1.12) for those without. We did not find evidence of effect modification by hypertension and cigarette smoking.
CONCLUSIONS
Fatal ICH incidence was associated with PM exposure. Our results also suggested that diabetes may increase the risk for ICH incidence in relation to PM.
Air Pollutants
;
analysis
;
Cause of Death
;
Cerebral Hemorrhage
;
mortality
;
China
;
epidemiology
;
Diabetes Mellitus
;
mortality
;
Environmental Exposure
;
statistics & numerical data
;
Female
;
Humans
;
Incidence
;
Male
;
Particle Size
;
Particulate Matter
;
analysis
;
Stroke
;
mortality


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