1.Construction and validation of ARIMA model for predicting emergency volume in a certain psychiatric hospital
Cuiling ZHANG ; Songkang LIU ; Suiyun WENG ; Min YU ; Xiaoyu ZHANG ; Cuiwei CHEN ; Miaoling JIANG
Chinese Journal of Hospital Administration 2024;40(6):477-482
Objective:To construct a prediction model for the emergency volume of the psychiatric hospital, and analyze the changes of psychiatric emergency visits, so as to provide references for optimizing the allocation of emergency service resources.Methods:This study extracted data of the visit time of emergency patients, etc from the information system of a certain psychiatric hospital from 2018 to 2023. The monthly emergency visits (emergency volume) from 2018 to 2022 were used to construct the autoregressive integrated moving average model (ARIMA), and the monthly emergency volume from 2023 was used to validate the predictive performance of the model.Results:After model construction and screening, seasonal ARIMA (0, 1, 0) (1, 1, 1) 12 was determined as the optimal model. The predicted values of the model were in good agreement with the actual values, with an average relative error fluctuation of 1.6% to 26.8% and an average absolute error fluctuation of 9 to 159 person-time. Conclusions:The seasonal ARIMA model could accurately predict the emergency volume of a certain psychiatric hospital and provide references for human resource allocation and emergency response. However, this prediction model was suitable for short-term forecasting. If long-term forecasting was needed, continuous data fitting was necessary to ensure the effectiveness of the prediction.
3.Application value of serum LDH in advanced non-small cell lung cancer patients treated with EGFR-TKI
Liping ZHENG ; Yidan CHEN ; Nan ZHANG ; Wen QUAN ; Junxiang DU ; Cuiwei LIANG ; Wuxing GONG
Journal of International Oncology 2019;46(6):337-341
Objective To investigate the value of serum lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) in advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) treated with epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR)-tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI).Methods Pretreatment LDH level,pathological characteristic,tumor staging and treatment situation of 190 advanced NSCLC patients with EGFR sensitive mutation confirmed by pathology were retrospectively collected in Zhuhai People's Hospital of Guangdong Provice from July 2011 to July 2015.All the patients were divided into LDH normal group (LDH ≤252 U/L,n =78) and elevated group (LDH > 252 U/L,n =112) according to pretreatment LDH level.Inaging evaluations of the patients were performed regularly,and the progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were recorded.The survival curves were plotted by Kaplan-Meier method and survival difference between patients with different LDH level was compared by logrank test.Cox regression analysis was used to analyze prognostic factors for mortality.Results The objective response rate of the LDH normal group was 76.9% (60/78),and the elevated group was 71.4% (80/112),with no statistically significant difference (x2 =0.716,P =0.398).The disease control rate of the LDH normal group was 89.7% (70/78),and the elevated group was 85.7% (96/112),with no statistically significant difference (x2 =0.676,P =0.411).The median PFS of the LDH normal group was 11.5 months,and the elevated group was 9.7 months (x2 =5.92,P =0.015).The median OS was 31.0 months in the LDH normal group,and 26.1 months in the elevated LDH group (x2 =4.79,P =0.029).Both PFS and OS of patients with elevated LDH were shorter than those of patients with normal LDH.Cox multivariate regression analysis showed that tumor staging (HR =1.652,95% CI:1.386-2.259,P =0.018),PS score (HR =2.248,95% CI:1.507-3.846,P < 0.001),carcino-embryonic antigen (CEA) level (HR =1.250,95% CI:1.066-1.703,P =0.037) and LDH level (HR =1.771,95 % CI:1.324-1.947,P =0.015) were independent prognostic factors in patients with advanced NSCLC.Conclusion Pretreatment serum LDH can not affect the objective response rate and disease control rate of EGFR-TKI in the treatment of advanced NSCLC,but can affect the PFS and OS of patients.Pretreatment serum LDH is an independent prognostic factor.
4.Rhythm analysis of body surface potential mapping recordings from atrial fibrillation patients based on autocorrelation function.
Qingzhou ZHANG ; Cuiwei YANG ; Baodan BAI
Journal of Biomedical Engineering 2018;35(2):161-170
The study of atrial fibrillation (AF) has been known as a hot topic of clinical concern. Body surface potential mapping (BSPM), a noninvasive electrical mapping technology, has been widely used in the study of AF. This study adopted 10 AF patients' preoperative and postoperative BSPM data (each patient's data contained 128 channels), and applied the autocorrelation function method to obtain the activation interval of the BSPM signals. The activation interval results were compared with that of manual counting method and the applicability of the autocorrelation function method was verified. Furthermore, we compared the autocorrelation function method with the commonly used fast Fourier transform (FFT) method. It was found that the autocorrelation function method was more accurate. Finally, to find a simple rule to predict the recurrence of atrial fibrillation, the autocorrelation function method was used to analyze the preoperative BSPM signals of 10 patients with persistent AF. Consequently, we found that if the patient's proportion of channels with dominant frequency larger than 2.5 Hz in the anterior left region is greater than the other three regions (the anterior right region, the posterior left region, and the posterior right region), he or she might have a higher possibility of AF recurrence. This study verified the rationality of the autocorrelation function method for rhythm analysis and concluded a simple rule of AF recurrence prediction based on this method.
5.Clinical study of capecitabine or S-1 as maintenance treatment to patients with advanced gastric cancer
Liping ZHENG ; Nan ZHANG ; Ying PAN ; Cuiwei LIANG ; Wuxing GONG
The Journal of Practical Medicine 2017;33(16):2757-2760
Objective To evaluate the efficacy and adverse effect caused by capecitabine compared with S-1 as maintenance treatment of patients with advanced gastric cancer (AGC). Methods A total of 123 AGC patients who did not suffer disease progression after first-line chemotherapy were randomized into three groups. The capecitabine group(Cap)received maintenance chemotherapy with capecitabine(1000 mg/m2 twice daily for 14 days,21 days/cycle),and the S-1 group(S1)received S-1(40,50,or 60 mg according to the body surface area and orally administered twice a day for 14 days ,21 days/cycle). The observation group was given the support-ive treatment. Patients kept this chemotherapy regimens until disease progressed or with intolerant toxicity. Re-sults The disease control rate was 70.7%in the Cap group and 80.5%in the S1 group(P=0.304). The median time of progression was 8.3 months in the Cap group and 8.5 months in the S1 group(P = 0.448). Maintenance chemotherapy groups showed better responses in the treatment group than the observation group ,which demonstrat-ed a median progression of 6.7 months(P<0.001). The median overall survival time was 15.3 months in the Cap group and 15.7 months in the S1 group(P = 0.637). Maintenance chemotherapy groups showed better responses than the observation group ,which demonstrated a median survival of 12.8 months (P < 0.05). The main side effects included hyperpigmentation,bone marrow suppression,nausea and vomiting and hand-foot syndrome. No death occurred in relation to the therapy. Conclusion The effectiveness of capecitabine and S-1 as maintenance chemotherapy in AGC patients after the first-line chemotherapy are similar,and both can prolong the time of overall survival. And the adverse reactions can be tolerated.
6.Application of WeChat's official accounts of medical imaging in continuing medical education
Song ZHANG ; Dong ZHANG ; Qichuan ZHANG ; Li WEN ; Cuiwei LIAO ; Liguang ZOU
Chinese Journal of Medical Education Research 2017;16(8):831-834
This paper introduced the current situation of WeChat's official accounts of medical imaging.According to the operation agents,they can be divided into different categories,including professional societies,hospitals and departments,medical companies,academic journals,medical imaging websites and personal accounts.This paper also analyzed the advantages and disadvantages of WeChat's official accounts of medical imaging.Some measures were proposed to improve their application value in continue medical education (CME),such as establishing a platform of WeChat's official account with high approval and authority to award CME credit,integrating various kinds of network resources,strengthening the abundance,systematicness,chronergy and practicality of the resources,setting up and improving the evaluation mechanism of CME credit award,so as to provide a CME platform for the staff of medical imaging.
7.Detection and clinical research of FMS-like tyrosine kinase-3, NPM1 and c-kit genes in bone marrow slides of patients with acute myeloid leukemia
Ying PAN ; Wuxing GONG ; Cuiwei LIANG ; Junxiang DU ; Dongxu PENG ; Yun XIE ; Liping ZHENG ; Nan ZHANG ; Sichao HUANG
Journal of Leukemia & Lymphoma 2016;25(3):163-168,173
Objective To study the FMS-like tyrosine kinase-3 (FLT3) gene, NPM1 gene and c-kit gene mutations in acute myeloid leukemia (AML) by extracting DNA from the storage of bone marrow slides, and to investigate the relationship between the three gene mutations and clinical features in AML. Methods The bone marrow slides of 55 patients diagnosed with AML were enrolled in this study. The PCR, DNA sequencing and molecular cloning were used to detect and analyse the FLT3-ITD, NPM1 and c-kit gene mutations. Patients' remission, progression and survival time were also recorded. Results The DNA was successfully extracted from the bone marrow slides with -20 ℃ frozen storage without Wright stained, chemically fixed, and room temperature storage Wright stained discoloured by phenol ∶ chloroform ∶ isoamyl alcohol method, which can be used in PCR, direct sequencing and molecular cloning sequencing analysis. 10 of the 55 cases (18.2 %) were FLT3-ITD positive, including 9 cases with heterozygous mutations and 1 case with homozygous mutation. FLT3-ITD positive group had lower complete remission (CR) rate, shorter event-free survival (EFS) time and overall survival (OS) time than the negative group (P< 0.05). 9 of the 55 cases (16.4 %) had NPM1 heterozygous gene mutations, all belonging to type A. The EFS rate of the patients with NPM1 mutation was higher in 10 months and the OS rate was higher in 19 months (P< 0.05). 3 of 9 NPM1 mutations patients were FLT3-ITD positive. The CR rates of the four groups after initial remission induction therapy in order were NPM1+FLT3-ITD-, NPM1-FLT3-ITD-, NPM1-FLT3-ITD+, NPM1+FLT3-ITD+(P<0.05). Besides, NPM1-FLT3-ITD+was a risk factor affecting the OS (RR=1.250, P=0.005). 2 of the 55 cases (3.6 %) had c-kit gene mutations, namely mutant D816H and mutant D816V. The c-kit gene mutations were not found in patients with FLT3-ITD and NPM1 mutations. Conclusions The FLT3-ITD mutation is a poor prognosis molecular marker in AML, and NPM1 mutation is a good factor for the prognosis. NPM1-FLT3-ITD+is a risk factor affecting OS. The rate of c-kit gene mutation is low in AML, without the overlap of FLT3 and NPM1 mutations.
8.Effect of motivational interviewing health education on the self-efficacy of diabetes patients
Shuai? ZHANG ; Yingjun GUO ; Hongliang ZHANG ; Cuiwei GAO ; Chunge LIU
Chinese Journal of Modern Nursing 2015;21(4):427-430
Objective To evaluate the effect of health education through motivational interviewing on the self-efficacy of diabetes patients. Methods From January to June in 2013, 120 patients with type 2 diabetes who were extracted conveniently from our hospital were randomly divided into the experimental group ( n=60 ) and control group (n=60). Diabetes specialist nurses who had been trained in motivational interview were the interviewers. After the baseline evaluations for patients, motivational interview, the traditional health education and the telephone follow-up were used for the patients in the experimental group, but only traditional education and telephone follow-up for those in the control group. The self-efficacy and the Diabetes Management Self-Efficacy Scale was evaluated before intervention, after 3 months and 6 months intervention respectively. Results Before the intervention, the score of self-efficacy was not significantly different between the two groups (P>0. 05). After 3 and 6 months intervention, the total scores of self-efficacy in the experimental group were (20.13 ±3.78) and (24.93 ±4.38), which were significantly higher than those before the intervention (t=4. 397, 11. 716, respectively;P <0. 05). Compared with the scores before the intervention, the scores of the self-efficacy were significantly different after 3 and 6 months intervention (F = 81. 850,P < 0. 05). Conclusions Health education through motivational interviewing can improve the self-efficacy of patients with type 2 diabetes.
9.The correlation analysis of the epicardial signals by Shannon entropy.
Chinese Journal of Medical Instrumentation 2014;38(3):165-167
This paper applied the Shannon Entropy based on the cross correlation to analyze the epicardial signals from anterior wall of the canine atria. The result demonstrated that during sinus rhythm, the stability level of the correlation among signals from anterior right atria is much higher than the signals from anterior left atria. All the signals from the anterior wall descended when the rhythm changed from sinus rhythm to atrial fibrillation(AF). However, there were some regions still having a stable correlation during AF. The results will be helpful to enhance understanding of the correlation characteristic of AF.
Animals
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Atrial Fibrillation
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physiopathology
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Dogs
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Entropy
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Heart Atria
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physiopathology
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Pericardium
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physiopathology
10.The Correlation Analysis of the Epicardial Signals by Shannon Entropy
Chinese Journal of Medical Instrumentation 2014;(3):165-167
This paper applied the Shannon Entropy based on the cross correlation to analyze the epicardial signals from anterior wal of the canine atria. The result demonstrated that during sinus rhythm, the stability level of the correlation among signals from anterior right atria is much higher than the signals from anterior left atria. Al the signals from the anterior wal descended when the rhythm changed from sinus rhythm to atrial fibril ation(AF). However, there were some regions stil having a stable correlation during AF. The results wil be helpful to enhance understanding of the correlation characteristic of AF.

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