1.Early prediction of severe acute pancreatitis based on improved machine learning models
Long LI ; Liangyu YIN ; Feifei CHONG ; Ning TONG ; Na LI ; Jie LIU ; Xiangjiang YU ; Yaoli WANG ; Hongxia XU
Journal of Army Medical University 2024;46(7):753-759
Objective To establish an early prediction model for the diagnosis of severe acute pancreatitis based on the improved machine learning models,and to analyze its clinical value.Methods A case-control study was conducted on 352 patients with acute pancreatitis admitted to the Gastroenterology and Hepatobiliary Surgery Departments of the Army Medical Center of PLA and Emergency and Critical Care Medicine Department of No.945 Hospital of Joint Logistics Support Force of PLA from January 2014 to August 2023.According to the severity of the disease,the patients were divided into the severe group(n=88)and the non-severe group(n=264).The RUSBoost model and improved Archimead optimization algorithm was used to analyze 39 routine laboratory biochemical indicators within 48 h after admission to construct an early diagnosis and prediction model for severe acute pancreatitis.The task of feature screening and hyperparameter optimization was completed simultaneously.The ReliefF algorithm feature importance rank and multivariate logistic analysis were used to analyze the value of the selected features.Results In the training set,the area under curve(AUC)of the improved machine learning model was 0.922.In the testing set,the AUC of the improved machine learning model reached 0.888.The 4 key features of predicting severe acute pancreatitis based on the improved Archimedes optimization algorithm were C-reactive protein,blood chlorine,blood magnesium and fibrinogen level,which were consistent with the results of ReliefF algorithm feature importance ranking and multivariate logistic analysis.Conclusion The application of improved machine learning model analyzing the laboratory examination results can help to early predict the occurrence of severe acute pancreatitis.
2.Validation and evaluation of the predictive accuracy of the caspofungin blood concentration prediction model in patients with fungal infections in the haematology department
Dong XIE ; Chong-Wen BI ; Rong DUAN ; Yi-Hao WANG ; Heng-Jie YUAN ; Zheng-Xiang LI
The Chinese Journal of Clinical Pharmacology 2024;40(12):1822-1826
Objective To study the factors influencing the blood concentration of caspofungin(CPFG),construct a prediction model,and validate the predictive effect of the model,so as to provide reference for the individualised dosing of patients with fungal infections in haematology.Methods Seventy-five patients admitted to the Department of Haematology,General Hospital of Tianjin Medical University,who were treated with CPFG for antifungal therapy during the period of March 2021 to June 2022 were selected as the study subjects,and CPFG blood concentration monitoring was carried out to explore the influencing factors of CPFG blood concentration and to construct a prediction model accordingly.Hosmer-Lemeshow(H-L)was used to test the goodness-of-fit of the model,and another 30 patients were selected as the verification group,and the predictive effect of the model was verified by the receiver's operating characteristics(ROC)curve.Results The mean blood concentrations of the patients at 0.5,9 and 24 h were(12.54±4.38),(6.80±2.76),(4.13±2.16)μg·mL-1,and the mean AUC0-24h were(152.05±57.60)μg·mL-1·h.AUC0-24h was lower than the reference value(98 μg·mL-1·h)in two patients.The results of correlation analysis showed that gender showed a correlation with 0.5 h blood concentration(P<0.05),and there was no correlation with the rest of the two time points blood concentration and AUC0-24h(P>0.05).Body weight and albumin(Alb)concentration showed correlation with 0.5,9,24 h blood drug concentration and AUC0-24 h(P<0.05),and the rest of the indicators showed no correlation with blood drug concentration and AUC0_24h at each time point(P>0.05).The results of multifactorial analysis showed that the factors influencing the patients'0.5 h blood concentration were gender,Alb concentration and body weight,and the factors influencing the 9 and 24 h blood concentration and AUC0-24h were Alb concentration and body weight(P<0.05).Correlation analysis showed that the daily dose was positively correlated with the plasma concentration of CPFG at 0.5,9 and 24 h and AUC0-24h(P<0.05).The results of multivariate analysis showed that the daily dose was also one of the influencing factors of the plasma concentration of CPFG(P<0.05).ROC curve shows that the model has good prediction ability.Conclusion Body weight and Alb are significantly associated with CPFG blood concentrations and area under the drug-time curve,which can be used as a basis for preventive risk avoidance.
3.Associations of onset age, diabetes duration and glycated hemoglobin level with ischemic stroke risk in type 2 diabetes patients: a prospective cohort study
Xikang FAN ; Mengyao LI ; Yu QIN ; Chong SHEN ; Yan LU ; Zhongming SUN ; Jie YANG ; Ran TAO ; Jinyi ZHOU ; Dong HANG ; Jian SU
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2024;45(4):498-505
Objective:To investigate the associations of onset age, diabetes duration, and glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) levels with ischemic stroke risk in type 2 diabetes patients.Methods:The participants were from Comprehensive Research on the Prevention and Control of the Diabetes in Jiangsu Province. The study used data from baseline survey from December 2013 to January 2014 and follow-up until December 31, 2021. After excluding the participants who had been diagnosed with stroke at baseline survey and those with incomplete information on onset age, diabetes duration, and HbA1c level, a total of 17 576 type 2 diabetes patients were included. Cox proportional hazard model was used to calculate the hazard ratio ( HR) and 95% CI of onset age, diabetes duration, and HbA1c level for ischemic stroke. Results:During the median follow-up time of 8.02 years, 2 622 ischemic stroke cases were registered. Multivariate Cox proportional risk regression model showed that a 5-year increase in type 2 diabetes onset age was significantly associated with a 5% decreased risk for ischemic stroke ( HR=0.95, 95% CI: 0.92-0.99). A 5-year increase in diabetes duration was associated with a 5% increased risk for ischemic stroke ( HR=1.05, 95% CI: 1.02-1.10). Higher HbA1c (per 1 standard deviation increase: HR=1.17, 95% CI: 1.13-1.21) was associated with an increased risk for ischemic stroke. Conclusion:The earlier onset age of diabetes, longer diabetes duration, and high levels of HbA1c are associated with an increased risk for ischemic stroke in type 2 diabetes patients.
4.Hepatitis C virus infection:surveillance report from China Healthcare-as-sociated Infection Surveillance System in 2020
Xi-Mao WEN ; Nan REN ; Fu-Qin LI ; Rong ZHAN ; Xu FANG ; Qing-Lan MENG ; Huai YANG ; Wei-Guang LI ; Ding LIU ; Feng-Ling GUO ; Shu-Ming XIANYU ; Xiao-Quan LAI ; Chong-Jie PANG ; Xun HUANG ; An-Hua WU
Chinese Journal of Infection Control 2024;23(1):1-8
Objective To investigate the infection status and changing trend of hepatitis C virus(HCV)infection in hospitalized patients in medical institutions,and provide reference for formulating HCV infection prevention and control strategies.Methods HCV infection surveillance results from cross-sectional survey data reported to China Healthcare-associated Infection(HAI)Surveillance System in 2020 were summarized and analyzed,HCV positive was serum anti-HCV positive or HCV RNA positive,survey result was compared with the survey results from 2003.Results In 2020,1 071 368 inpatients in 1 573 hospitals were surveyed,738 535 of whom underwent HCV test,4 014 patients were infected with HCV,with a detection rate of 68.93%and a HCV positive rate of 0.54%.The positive rate of HCV in male and female patients were 0.60%and 0.48%,respectively,with a statistically sig-nificant difference(x2=47.18,P<0.001).The HCV positive rate in the 50-<60 age group was the highest(0.76%),followed by the 40-<50 age group(0.71%).Difference among all age groups was statistically signifi-cant(x2=696.74,P<0.001).In 2003,91 113 inpatients were surveyed.35 145 of whom underwent HCV test,resulting in a detection rate of 38.57%;775 patients were infected with HCV,with a positive rate of 2.21%.In 2020,HCV positive rates in hospitals of different scales were 0.46%-0.63%,with the highest in hospital with bed numbers ranging 600-899.Patients'HCV positive rates in hospitals of different scales was statistically signifi-cant(X2=35.34,P<0.001).In 2020,12 provinces/municipalities had over 10 000 patients underwent HCV-rela-ted test,and HCV positive rates ranged 0.19%-0.81%,with the highest rate from Hainan Province.HCV posi-tive rates in different departments were 0.06%-0.82%,with the lowest positive rate in the department of pedia-trics and the highest in the department of internal medicine.In 2003 and 2020,HCV positive rates in the depart-ment of infectious diseases were the highest,being 7.95%and 3.48%,respectively.Followed by departments of orthopedics(7.72%),gastroenterology(3.77%),nephrology(3.57%)and general intensive care unit(ICU,3.10%)in 2003,as well as departments of gastroenterology(1.35%),nephrology(1.18%),endocrinology(0.91%),and general intensive care unit(ICU,0.79%)in 2020.Conclusion Compared with 2003,HCV positive rate decreased significantly in 2020.HCV infected patients were mainly from the department of infectious diseases,followed by departments of gastroenterology,nephrology and general ICU.HCV infection positive rate varies with gender,age,and region.
5.Spinal infection caused by Prevotella intermedia:analysis of misdiagnosis and literature review
Chong WANG ; Yi YANG ; Dai-Jun LI ; Hua-Hua FAN ; Jia-Qiang YAN ; Rui-Chun WANG ; Xiao-Jun CAI ; Yu-Qiang CAI ; Hou-Jie SUN
Chinese Journal of Infection Control 2024;23(1):86-94
Objective To explore the clinical characteristics and treatment scheme of patients with spinal infection caused by Prevotella intermedia(P.intermedia).Methods Clinical diagnosis and treatment processes of a patient with spinal infection caused by P.intermedia admitted to the spinal surgery department of a hospital were summa-rized,and relevant literature was retrieved from database for reviewing.Results The patient,a 50 year old male,was admitted to the hospital due to"lumbago pain complicated with pain in double lower extremities for 2 months".The lesion tissue was taken for metagenomic next-generation sequencing(mNGS)detection,which detected P.in-termedia,and the patient was diagnosed with P.intermedia spondylitis.After treatments with open lesion clea-rance,tube rinsing+autologous bone transplantation fusion internal fixation,intravenous drip of ceftriaxone sodium and metronidazole,as well as metronidazole rinsing,infection was under control.A total of 16 available papers were retrieved,together with this case,a total of 17 patients were included,with 7 males and 10 females.The main risk factors were diabetes and history of corticosteroid use(35.3%).The most common invasion sites were lumbar ver-tebra(n=12)and thoracic vertebra(n=6).13 cases were positive for pathogen culture,3 cases were positive for molecular detection,and 1 case was positive for staining microscopy.17 patients received anti-anaerobic bacteria treatment,with 14 cases receiving combined surgical treatment.One case died,with a mortality of 5.9%;5 cases had partial neurological impairment,with a disability rate of 29.4%.The survival rate of patients who received treatment of anti-anaerobic bacteria combined with surgery was 92.8%,3 patients only with anti-anaerobic bacteria treatment but without surgery were all cured.Conclusion P.intermedia is an opportunistic pathogeanic bacteria which often causes infection in immunocomprised individuals and is prone to be misdiagnosed.It is recommended to perform mNGS detection to identify the pathogen as early as possible and seize the opportunity for treatment to reduce mortality.
6.Analysis of HIV confirmation test results in Chaoyang District,Beijing,2013-2022
Ping HUANG ; Ling-Li SUN ; Chong LI ; Li LI ; Jie LIU
Chinese Journal of Zoonoses 2024;40(5):478-482
This study analyzed the positive HIV confirmation test results in Chaoyang District,Beijing from 2013 to 2022,to understand the HIV testing work in this area.A total of 13 128 HIV-positive samples sent by 58 screening laboratories in the jurisdiction were confirmatory by western blotting(WB).SPSS22.0 was used to statistically analyze the experimental results.From 2013 to 2022,8 417 HIV-1 antibody positive samples,1 263 uncertain samples,and 3 448 negative samples were detec-ted in this confirmatory laboratory.No HIV-2 positive samples were identified.Among the HIV-1 antibody positive samples,94.32%were in males,and the sex difference was statistically significant.A total of 48.65%were in the 19-30 year age group;Full band and sub-full band accounted for 96.92%of WB bands,with a detection rate of 99.94%for gp160 and 99.67%for gp120.In Chaoyang District,Beijing,from 2013 to 2022,HIV-1 antibody positive cases were mainly males,and the age range was primarily 19-30 years.The proportion of HIV-1 antibody uncertainty among age,sex,occupation,and testing groups was relatively small.The WB band of HIV-1 antibody positive samples showed the highest full band and sub-full band proportions.
7.18F-FDG PET/CT semi-quantitative parameters for predicting clinical stage Ⅰa—Ⅲa lung adenocarcinoma spreading through air spaces
Zhenzhen WANG ; Xiaotian LI ; Xingyu MU ; Yulong ZENG ; Weixia CHONG ; Jie QIN ; Zuguo LI ; Xueqin ZHAO ; Yang WU ; Cuiping XU ; Wei FU
Chinese Journal of Medical Imaging Technology 2024;40(5):735-739
Objective To observe the value of 18F-FDG PET/CT semi-quantitative parameters for predicting spread through air spaces(STAS)of clinical stage Ⅰa—Ⅲa lung adenocarcinoma.Methods Data of 85 patients with clinical stage Ⅰa—Ⅲ a lung adenocarcinoma who underwent preoperative 18F-FDG PET/CT were retrospectively analyzed.The patients were divided into positive group(n=23)or negative group(n=62)according to whether pathology showed STAS or not.Clinical and PET/CT data were compared between groups,and logistic analysis was performed to explore the efficacy of each parameter for predicting STAS.Results Significant differences of gender,carcinoma embryonic antigen,clinical stage,pathological grade,micropapillary growth and proportion were found between groups(all P<0.05).The maximum,the mean,the peak standard uptake value(SUVmax,SUVmean,SUVpeak),as well as the maximum,the mean and the peak standard uptake value normalized by lean body mass(SULmax,SULmean,SULpeak),also the total lesion glycolysis(TLG)in positive group were all significantly higher than those in negative group(all P<0.05).Patients'gender,proportion of micropapillary growth,SUVmax and SULmax were all independent risk factors of STAS of clinical stage Ⅰa—Ⅲa lung adenocarcinoma.The area under the curve(AUC)of the above parameters for predicting STAS was 0.666,0.912,0.839 and 0.842,respectively,and of the combination was 0.957.Conclusion 18 F-FDG PET/CT semi-quantitative parameters SUVmax and SULmax were helpful for predicting STAS of clinical stage Ⅰa—Ⅲ a lung adenocarcinoma,and further combination of gender and proportion of micropapillary growth could improve diagnostic efficacy.
8.Analytic method of the characteristics of acupuncture manipulation based on ultrasound imaging
Jie CHEN ; Jun ZHAO ; Yuhe WEI ; Yang BAI ; Jiyu HE ; Ziyi CHEN ; Liming SUN ; Lei WANG ; Jingli LI ; Yanan ZHANG ; Yan SHEN ; Chong SU
China Medical Equipment 2024;21(10):10-18
Objective:To construct an analytic method aimed at the characteristics of the commonly method of supplementing and pouring of acupuncture based on the analysis and modeling of ultrasound images around acupoint region in the process of acupuncture.Methods:A total of 7 healthy subjects who underwent physical examination in Beijing Zhongguancun Hospital from June,2022 to June,2023 were selected,and their Kongzui acupoints were acupunctured by 10 acupuncturists with associate senior title as 4 kinds of acupuncture manipulations included reinforcing by twisting and rotating(RFTR),reducing by twisting and rotating(RDTR),reinforcing by lifting and thrusting(RFLT),and reducing by lifting and thrusting(RDLT).The B-ultrasound diagnostic device was used to collect the images of muscle and fascial tissue below the acupoint,so as to construct the model of images.The definition of virtual acupuncture point was adopted to study the regulation of perturbation of subcutaneous tissue that was caused after the skin was acupunctured by needle.The change regulation of the virtual acupuncture point of muscle bundle below skin at Zuikong acupoint of subjects was analyzed.Results:The difference value of average absolution value between peak and trough of the trajectory of virtual acupuncture point of twisting and rotating was 0.066±0.045,and the average value of amplitude of this method was less than that(0.428±0.276)of lifting and thrusting method,and the twisting and rotating method was uniform and symmetrical,and there was difference between two kinds of acupuncture methods.The characteristics of computer graphics was used to qualify the work effect of lifting and thrusting,and reinforcing and reducing,which showed the heavy insertion and light lifting of RFLT,and showed heavy lifting and light insertion of RDLT,thus distinguished the two methods[(RFLT)and(RDLT)].Conclusions:The ultrasound imaging and computer graphics can be used to analyze the regularity of the common"reinforcing and reducing"method of acupuncture and moxibustion.
9.Association between Fruit and Vegetable Intake and Arterial Stiffness: The China-PAR Project.
Shuai LIU ; Fang Chao LIU ; Jian Xin LI ; Ke Yong HUANG ; Xue Li YANG ; Ji Chun CHEN ; Jie CAO ; Shu Feng CHEN ; Jian Feng HUANG ; Chong SHEN ; Xiang Feng LU ; Dong Feng GU
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2023;36(12):1113-1122
OBJECTIVE:
This study aimed to investigate the association between fruit and vegetable intake and arterial stiffness.
METHODS:
We conducted a cohort-based study comprising 6,628 participants with arterial stiffness information in the Prediction for Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Risk in China (China-PAR) project. A semi-quantitative food-frequency questionnaire was used to assess baseline (2007-2008) and recent (2018-2021) fruit and vegetable intake. We assessed changes in fruit and vegetable intake from 2007-2008 to 2018-2021 in 6,481 participants. Arterial stiffness was measured using the arterial velocity-pulse index (AVI) and arterial pressure-volume index (API). Elevated AVI and API values were defined according to diverse age reference ranges.
RESULTS:
Multivariable-adjusted linear regression models revealed that every 100 g/d increment in fruit and vegetable intake was associated with a 0.11 decrease in AVI ( B= -0.11; 95% confidence interval [ CI]: -0.20, -0.02) on average, rather than API ( B = 0.02; 95% CI: -0.09, 0.13). The risk of elevated AVI (odds ratio [ OR] = 0.82; 95% CI: 0.70, 0.97) is 18% lower in individuals with high intake (≥ 500 g/d) than in those with low intake (< 500 g/d). Furthermore, maintaining a high intake in the past median of 11.5 years of follow-up was associated with an even lower risk of elevated AVI compared with a low intake at both baseline and follow-up ( OR = 0.64; 95% CI: 0.49, 0.83).
CONCLUSION
Fruit and vegetable intake was negatively associated with arterial stiffness, emphasizing recommendations for adherence to fruit and vegetable intake for the prevention of arterial stiffness.
Humans
;
Vascular Stiffness
;
Fruit
;
Vegetables
;
Atherosclerosis
;
China
10.Spontaneous intracranial hypotension caused by high-flow spinal cerebrospinal fluid leaks: analysis of 6 patients
Yanfang DAI ; Zhen WANG ; Zheng WANG ; Tengda LIU ; Kang WANG ; Chong SHEN ; Yan LI ; Jie WU ; Dezhou QI ; Tianxinyu XIA ; Hong YE ; Junjie LI ; Liyong WU
Chinese Journal of Neurology 2023;56(2):178-186
Objective:To analyze the clinical features of 6 patients with spontaneous intracranial hypotension caused by high-flow spinal cerebrospinal fluid leaks.Methods:The clinical characteristics, auxiliary examinations, treatment, and outcomes in 6 patients of spontaneous intracranial hypotension caused by high-flow spinal cerebrospinal fluid leaks enrolled in the Xuanwu Hospital, Capital Medical University from February 2021 to April 2022 were retrospectively reviewed.Results:All the 6 patients had orthostatic headaches. Brain magnetic resonance imaging showed dural enhancement and brain sagging and magnetic resonance myelography showed longitudinal extradural collection in all the patients. The high-flow spinal cerebrospinal fluid leaks were demonstrated in upper thoracic segments by the dynamic myelography. The headache disappeared after conservative treatment in 2 patients and treatment with targeted epidural blood patch in 4 patients.Conclusions:The diagnosis of spontaneous intracranial hypotension caused by high-flow spinal cerebrospinal fluid leaks with typical orthostatic headache and brain magnetic resonance imaging and myelography findings is not difficult. However, the localization of the site of high-flow spinal cerebrospinal fluid leaks in spontaneous intracranial hypotension depends on the dynamic myelography. Targeted epidural blood patch is effective, but conservative treatment does not always work.

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