1.Incidence of venous thromboembolism in esophageal cancer: a real-world study of 8 458 cases
Kunyi DU ; Xin NIE ; Kexun LI ; Changding LI ; Kun LIU ; Zhiyu LI ; Kunzhi LI ; Simiao LU ; Kunhan NI ; Wenwu HE ; Chenghao WANG ; Jialong LI ; Haojun LI ; Qiang ZHOU ; Kangning WANG ; Guangyuan LIU ; Wenguang XIAO ; Qiang FANG ; Qiuling SHI ; Yongtao HAN ; Lin PENG ; Xuefeng LENG
Chinese Journal of Digestive Surgery 2024;23(1):109-113
Objective:To investigate the incidence of venous thromboembolism (VTE) in patients with esophageal cancer (EC).Methods:The retrospective cohort study was conducted. The clinicopathological data of 8 458 EC patients who were admitted to Sichuan Cancer Hospital from January 2017 to December 2021 were collected. There were 6 923 males and 1 535 females, aged (64±9)years. There were 3 187 patients undergoing surgical treatment, and 5 271 cases undergoing non-surgical treatment. Observation indicators: (1) incidence of VTE in EC patients; (2) treatment and outcomes of patients with VTE. Measurement data with normal distribution were represented as Mean± SD, and comparison between groups was analyzed using the t test. Measurement data with skewed distribution were represented as M(range), and comparison between groups was analyzed using the nonparameter rank sum test. Count data were expressed as absolute numbers or percentages, and comparison between groups was analyzed using the chi-square test or Fisher exact probability. Comparison of ordinal data was analyzed using the nonparameter rank sum test. Results:(1) Incidence of VTE in EC patients. Of 8 458 EC patients, 175 cases developed VTE, with an incidence rate of 2.069%(175/8 458). Among 175 VTE patients, there were 164 cases of deep venous thrombosis (DVT), 4 cases of pulmonary embolism (PE), 7 cases of DVT and PE. There were 59 surgical patients and 116 non-surgical patients. There was no significant difference in thrombus type between surgical and non-surgical EC patients with VTE ( χ2=1.95, P>0.05). Of 3 187 surgical patients, the incidence of VTE was 1.851%(59/3 187), including an incidence of 0.157%(5/3 187) of PE. PE accounted for 8.475%(5/59) of surgical patients with VTE. Of 5 271 non-surgical patients, the incidence of VTE was 2.201%(116/5 271), including an incidence of 0.114%(6/5 271) of PE. PE accounted for 5.172%(6/116) of non-surgical patients with VTE. There was no significant difference in the incidence of VTE or PE between surgical patients and non-surgical patients ( χ2=1.20, 0.05, P>0.05). (2) Treatment and outcomes of patients with VTE. Among 175 EC patients with VTE, 163 cases underwent drug treatment, and 12 cases did not receive treatment. Among 163 cases with drug therapy, 158 cases underwent anticoagulant therapy, 5 cases were treated with thrombolysis. All the 163 patients were improved and discharged from hospital. Conclusions:The incidence of VTE in patients with EC is relatively low, as 2.069%. There is no significant difference in the incidence of VTE or thrombus type between surgical EC patients and non-surgical EC patients.
2.Establishment of Risk-Prediction Model for Axillary Lymph-Node Metastasis in Microinvasive Breast Cancer Based on SEER Database
Chenghao LIU ; Ting LU ; Fang QIAN ; Yuanbing XU ; Chaohua HU ; Haoyuan SHEN
Cancer Research on Prevention and Treatment 2024;51(9):750-755
Objective To analyze the factors influencing axillary lymph-node metastasis(ALNM)in microinvasive breast cancer(MIBC)patients,as well as to establish the risk-prediction model of ipsilateral ALNM in MIBC patients.Methods A total of 4475 primary female MIBC diagnosed by pathology from 2010 to 2015 were searched and screened from the SEER database.The obtained data were used to establish a prediction model for ALNM of MIBC.A total of 2266 primary female MIBC patients diagnosed by pathology from 2018 to 2020 in the SEER database were screened as the external validation cohort.The clinicopathological data of the enrolled MIBC patients were collected.Univariate analysis was used to screen out the factors affecting ALNM in MIBC patients.Statistically significant variables in univariate analysis were included in multivariate logistic regression analysis.The independent factors influencing ALNM in MIBC patients were screened out,and a nomogram was established.The area under the curve(AUC)was calculated by plotting the ROC curve.After plotting the calibration curve,the model was evaluated by Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test.Results A total of 309 patients were diagnosed with ipsilateral ALNM among the 6741 MIBC patients,accounting for about 4.58%.Univariate analysis of the modeling group showed that age,ethnicity,histological grade,pathological type,molecular subtype,and lateral side were associated with ALNM in MIBC patients(P<0.05).Results of multivariate analysis showed that the risk of ALNM was higher in MIBC patients≤40 years old,black people,histological grade Ⅱand Ⅲ,and primary right side(P<0.05).Subtype is an independent factor influencing ALNM in MIBC patients.However,the difference in ALNM risk was not statistically significant between the subtype of HR+HER2+,HR-HER2+,HR-HER2-and HR+HER2-subtypes.The AUC of the modeling group was 0.716(95%CI:0.682-0.750),the best cut-off value was 0.045,the sensitivity was 0.733,and the specificity was 0.608.The newly established nomogram model was used for the validation cohort,and its AUC was 0.722(95%CI:0.667-0.777).The P values of the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test of the calibration curves in the modeling and validation groups exceeded 0.05.Conclusion The risk-prediction model of ALNM in MIBC patients established by the SEER database has good predictive ability and can thus be expected to serve as a reference for clinical practice.
3. Research progress of lactate dehydrogenase A in digestive system tumors and related drugs
Siyu WANG ; Jiawei LI ; Chenghao LI ; Ling LI ; Qingyang GUO ; Lu QIU ; Shiqin ZHOU ; Yongqi LIU ; Jiawei LI ; Ling LI ; Yongqi LIU ; Jiawei LI
Chinese Journal of Clinical Pharmacology and Therapeutics 2023;28(4):445-454
Malignant tumors of digestive system are highly prevalent malignant tumors that seriously threaten human health around the world. At present, the curative efficacy and prognosis of traditional treatment methods cannot reach the expectation, so it is urgent to find new targets for cancer treatment and realize targeted therapy for tumors. Abnormal energy metabolism in tumor cells is regarded as a hallmark of cancer, and malignant tumor cells absorb glucose through aerobic glycolysis pathway, and obtain a small amount of energy and produce lactate under the catalysis of a series of enzymes. Lactate dehydrogenase A (Lactate dehydrogenase A, LDHA), as a key enzyme in the aerobic glycolysis pathway of tumor cells, plays an important role in the metabolic changes of tumor cells. Studies have demonstrated that LDHA has high expression characteristics in a variety of tumor cells,and its high expression in clinic is often related to the poor prognosis and high metastasis rate of tumors, which is expected to be a new target for cancer therapy. This article reviews the role of LDHA in the development of digestive system tumors and the research progress of related drugs.
4.Research trends on the effects of different nutritional components on depression disorder
Simin YI ; Chenghao LU ; Feihong WENG ; Shen LI
Chinese Journal of Nervous and Mental Diseases 2023;49(10):620-624
Depression disorder(DD)is one of the major mental health problems worldwide,and special nutrients such as amino acids,vitamins,fatty acids,probiotics,etc.can affect the emotional state and disease prognosis of DD patients.Amino acids such as tryptophan and S-adenosylmethionine have been shown to improve stress levels in DD patients through various mechanisms,including vitamin B and vitamin C,while unsaturated fatty acids and probiotics have also been shown to have the same effect.This article reviews the mechanisms by which these nutrients improve DD,with the aim of providing new clues for treatment of DD.
5.Epidemiological characteristics, diagnosis, treatment and prognosis of gallbladder cancer in China: a report of 6 159 cases
Xuheng SUN ; Yijun WANG ; Wei ZHANG ; Yajun GENG ; Yongsheng LI ; Tai REN ; Maolan LI ; Xu'an WANG ; Xiangsong WU ; Wenguang WU ; Wei CHEN ; Tao CHEN ; Min HE ; Hui WANG ; Linhua YANG ; Lu ZOU ; Peng PU ; Mingjie YANG ; Zhaonan LIU ; Wenqi TAO ; Jiayi FENG ; Ziheng JIA ; Zhiyuan ZHENG ; Lijing ZHONG ; Yuanying QIAN ; Ping DONG ; Xuefeng WANG ; Jun GU ; Lianxin LIU ; Yeben QIAN ; Jianfeng GU ; Yong LIU ; Yunfu CUI ; Bei SUN ; Bing LI ; Chenghao SHAO ; Xiaoqing JIANG ; Qiang MA ; Jinfang ZHENG ; Changjun LIU ; Hong CAO ; Xiaoliang CHEN ; Qiyun LI ; Lin WANG ; Kunhua WANG ; Lei ZHANG ; Linhui ZHENG ; Chunfu ZHU ; Hongyu CAI ; Jingyu CAO ; Haihong ZHU ; Jun LIU ; Xueyi DANG ; Jiansheng LIU ; Xueli ZHANG ; Junming XU ; Zhewei FEI ; Xiaoping YANG ; Jiahua YANG ; Zaiyang ZHANG ; Xulin WANG ; Yi WANG ; Jihui HAO ; Qiyu ZHANG ; Huihan JIN ; Chang LIU ; Wei HAN ; Jun YAN ; Buqiang WU ; Chaoliu DAI ; Wencai LYU ; Zhiwei QUAN ; Shuyou PENG ; Wei GONG ; Yingbin LIU
Chinese Journal of Digestive Surgery 2022;21(1):114-128
Objective:To investigate the epidemiological characteristics, diagnosis, treat-ment and prognosis of gallbladder cancer in China from 2010 to 2017.Methods:The single disease retrospective registration cohort study was conducted. Based on the concept of the real world study, the clinicopathological data, from multicenter retrospective clinical data database of gallbladder cancer of Chinese Research Group of Gallbladder Cancer (CRGGC), of 6 159 patients with gallbladder cancer who were admitted to 42 hospitals from January 2010 to December 2017 were collected. Observation indicators: (1) case resources; (2) age and sex distribution; (3) diagnosis; (4) surgical treatment and prognosis; (5) multimodality therapy and prognosis. The follow-up data of the 42 hospitals were collected and analyzed by the CRGGC. The main outcome indicator was the overall survival time from date of operation for surgical patients or date of diagnosis for non-surgical patients to the end of outcome event or the last follow-up. Measurement data with normal distribu-tion were represented as Mean±SD, and comparison between groups was conducted using the t test. Measurement data with skewed distribution were represented as M( Q1, Q3) or M(range), and com-parison between groups was conducted using the U test. Count data were described as absolute numbers or percentages, and comparison between groups was conducted using the chi-square test. Univariate analysis was performed using the Logistic forced regression model, and variables with P<0.1 in the univariate analysis were included for multivariate analysis. Multivariate analysis was performed using the Logistic stepwise regression model. The life table method was used to calculate survival rates and the Kaplan-Meier method was used to draw survival curves. Log-rank test was used for survival analysis. Results:(1) Case resources: of the 42 hospitals, there were 35 class A of tertiary hospitals and 7 class B of tertiary hospitals, 16 hospitals with high admission of gallbladder cancer and 26 hospitals with low admission of gallbladder cancer, respectively. Geographical distribution of the 42 hospitals: there were 9 hospitals in central China, 5 hospitals in northeast China, 22 hospitals in eastern China and 6 hospitals in western China. Geographical distribution of the 6 159 patients: there were 2 154 cases(34.973%) from central China, 705 cases(11.447%) from northeast China, 1 969 cases(31.969%) from eastern China and 1 331 cases(21.611%) from western China. The total average number of cases undergoing diagnosis and treatment in hospitals of the 6 159 patients was 18.3±4.5 per year, in which the average number of cases undergoing diagnosis and treatment in hospitals of 4 974 patients(80.760%) from hospitals with high admission of gallbladder cancer was 38.8±8.9 per year and the average number of cases undergoing diagnosis and treatment in hospitals of 1 185 patients(19.240%) from hospitals with low admission of gallbladder cancer was 5.7±1.9 per year. (2) Age and sex distribution: the age of 6 159 patients diagnosed as gallbladder cancer was 64(56,71) years, in which the age of 2 247 male patients(36.483%) diagnosed as gallbladder cancer was 64(58,71)years and the age of 3 912 female patients(63.517%) diagnosed as gallbladder cancer was 63(55,71)years. The sex ratio of female to male was 1.74:1. Of 6 159 patients, 3 886 cases(63.095%) were diagnosed as gallbladder cancer at 56 to 75 years old. There was a significant difference on age at diagnosis between male and female patients ( Z=-3.99, P<0.001). (3) Diagnosis: of 6 159 patients, 2 503 cases(40.640%) were initially diagnosed as gallbladder cancer and 3 656 cases(59.360%) were initially diagnosed as non-gallbladder cancer. There were 2 110 patients(34.259%) not undergoing surgical treatment, of which 200 cases(9.479%) were initially diagnosed as gallbladder cancer and 1 910 cases(90.521%) were initially diagnosed as non-gallbladder cancer. There were 4 049 patients(65.741%) undergoing surgical treatment, of which 2 303 cases(56.878%) were initially diagnosed as gallbladder cancer and 1 746 cases(43.122%) were initial diagnosed as non-gallbladder cancer. Of the 1 746 patients who were initially diagnosed as non-gallbladder cancer, there were 774 cases(19.116%) diagnosed as gallbladder cancer during operation and 972 cases(24.006%) diagnosed as gallbladder cancer after operation. Of 6 159 patients, there were 2 521 cases(40.932%), 2 335 cases(37.912%) and 1 114 cases(18.087%) undergoing ultrasound, computed tomography (CT) or magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) examination before initial diagnosis, respec-tively, and there were 3 259 cases(52.914%), 3 172 cases(51.502%) and 4 016 cases(65.205%) undergoing serum carcinoembryonic antigen, CA19-9 or CA125 examination before initially diagnosis, respectively. One patient may underwent multiple examinations. Results of univariate analysis showed that geographical distribution of hospitals (eastern China or western China), age ≥72 years, gallbladder cancer annual admission of hospitals, whether undergoing ultrasound, CT, MRI, serum carcinoembryonic antigen, CA19-9 or CA125 examination before initially diagnosis were related factors influencing initial diagnosis of gallbladder cancer patients ( odds ratio=1.45, 1.98, 0.69, 0.68, 2.43, 0.41, 1.63, 0.41, 0.39, 0.42, 95% confidence interval as 1.21-1.74, 1.64-2.40, 0.59-0.80, 0.60-0.78, 2.19-2.70, 0.37-0.45, 1.43-1.86, 0.37-0.45, 0.35-0.43, 0.38-0.47, P<0.05). Results of multivariate analysis showed that geographical distribution of hospitals (eastern China or western China), sex, age ≥72 years, gallbladder cancer annual admission of hospitals and cases undergoing ultrasound, CT, serum CA19-9 examination before initially diagnosis were indepen-dent influencing factors influencing initial diagnosis of gallbladder cancer patients ( odds ratio=1.36, 1.42, 0.89, 0.67, 1.85, 1.56, 1.57, 0.39, 95% confidence interval as 1.13-1.64, 1.16-1.73, 0.79-0.99, 0.57-0.78, 1.60-2.14, 1.38-1.77, 1.38-1.79, 0.35-0.43, P<0.05). (4) Surgical treatment and prognosis. Of the 4 049 patients undergoing surgical treatment, there were 2 447 cases(60.435%) with complete pathological staging data and follow-up data. Cases with pathological staging as stage 0, stage Ⅰ, stage Ⅱ, stage Ⅲa, stage Ⅲb, stage Ⅳa and stage Ⅳb were 85(3.474%), 201(8.214%), 71(2.902%), 890(36.371%), 382(15.611%), 33(1.348%) and 785(32.080%), respectively. The median follow-up time and median postoperative overall survival time of the 2 447 cases were 55.75 months (95% confidence interval as 52.78-58.35) and 23.46 months (95% confidence interval as 21.23-25.71), respectively. There was a significant difference in the overall survival between cases with pathological staging as stage 0, stage Ⅰ, stage Ⅱ, stage Ⅲa, stage Ⅲb, stage Ⅳa and stage Ⅳb ( χ2=512.47, P<0.001). Of the 4 049 patients undergoing surgical treatment, there were 2 988 cases(73.796%) with resectable tumor, 177 cases(4.371%) with unresectable tumor and 884 cases(21.833%) with tumor unassessable for resectabi-lity. Of the 2 988 cases with resectable tumor, there were 2 036 cases(68.139%) undergoing radical resection, 504 cases(16.867%) undergoing non-radical resection and 448 cases(14.994%) with operation unassessable for curative effect. Of the 2 447 cases with complete pathological staging data and follow-up data who underwent surgical treatment, there were 53 cases(2.166%) with unresectable tumor, 300 cases(12.260%) with resectable tumor and receiving non-radical resection, 1 441 cases(58.888%) with resectable tumor and receiving radical resection, 653 cases(26.686%) with resectable tumor and receiving operation unassessable for curative effect. There were 733 cases not undergoing surgical treatment with complete pathological staging data and follow-up data. There was a significant difference in the overall survival between cases not undergoing surgical treatment, cases undergoing surgical treatment for unresectable tumor, cases undergoing non-radical resection for resectable tumor and cases undergoing radical resection for resectable tumor ( χ2=121.04, P<0.001). (5) Multimodality therapy and prognosis: of 6 159 patients, there were 541 cases(8.784%) under-going postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy and advanced chemotherapy, 76 cases(1.234%) under-going radiotherapy. There were 1 170 advanced gallbladder cancer (pathological staging ≥stage Ⅲa) patients undergoing radical resection, including 126 cases(10.769%) with post-operative adjuvant chemotherapy and 1 044 cases(89.231%) without postoperative adjuvant chemo-therapy. There was no significant difference in the overall survival between cases with post-operative adjuvant chemotherapy and cases without postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy ( χ2=0.23, P=0.629). There were 658 patients with pathological staging as stage Ⅲa who underwent radical resection, including 66 cases(10.030%) with postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy and 592 cases(89.970%) without postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy. There was no significant difference in the overall survival between cases with postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy and cases without postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy ( χ2=0.05, P=0.817). There were 512 patients with pathological staging ≥stage Ⅲb who underwent radical resection, including 60 cases(11.719%) with postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy and 452 cases(88.281%) without postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy. There was no significant difference in the overall survival between cases with postoperative adjuvant chemo-therapy and cases without post-operative adjuvant chemo-therapy ( χ2=1.50, P=0.220). Conclusions:There are more women than men with gallbladder cancer in China and more than half of patients are diagnosed at the age of 56 to 75 years. Cases undergoing ultrasound, CT, serum CA19-9 examination before initial diagnosis are independent influencing factors influencing initial diagnosis of gallbladder cancer patients. Preoperative resectability evaluation can improve the therapy strategy and patient prognosis. Adjuvant chemotherapy for gallbladder cancer is not standardized and in low proportion in China.
6.Biomechanical Analysis on Different Methods of Growing Rod Fixation for Early Onset Scoliosis
Peiyan HE ; Baoqing PEI ; Wei WANG ; Da LU ; Chenghao MA
Journal of Medical Biomechanics 2021;36(6):E849-E854
Objective To study the effects of selecting different fixing segments on biomechanical characteristics of the spine during the treatment of early onset scoliosis(EOS) by growing rod technique. Methods By using finite element method, four spine models (C6-S1 segments) fixed by growing rod were established: preoperative model, T1-L4 fixed model, T2-L4 fixed model, T3-L4 fixed model. Then 7 N·m torque load and 1 rad angular displacement load were applied on superior surface of C6 segment to analyze biomechanical characteristics for adjacent structure of the fixed vertebral body. Results The whole spinal range of motion (ROM) decreased significantly after operation. When the T2-L4 segment was fixed, the spine activity was mostly restricted, the compensatory activity of adjacent vertebrae increased significantly, and the intervertebral disc stress increased significantly. Conclusions When T2 segment is selected as the upper instrumented segment, the risk of proximal junctional kyphosis and spinal degeneration is the highest, which should be avoided in clinical surgery.
7.Comparison between ropivacaine and lidocaine in prostatic peripheral nerve block anesthesia
Xuefei DING ; Yuexing HAN ; Shengming LU ; Yang LUAN ; Liangyong ZHU ; Chenghao GUO ; Tianbao HUANG ; Haopeng CHEN ; Zhong LIU ; Hai ZHU ; Zhen LIU
Chinese Journal of Urology 2021;42(12):932-934
The present study retrospectively analyzed the clinical data of 137 patients who underwent prostate in North Jiangsu People's Hospital from June 2020 to May 2021. All patients underwent peripheral prostatic nerve block anesthesia (PPNB). The observation group received 1% ropivacaine 32 ml local, and the control group received the same dose of lidocaine. There was no significant difference in general data before puncture between the two groups ( P>0.05). All 137 cases were performed by the same surgeon. The number of puncture needles in the observation group and the control group was (20.2±2.8) and (20.2±2.9), respectively, and the difference was not statistically significant ( P>0.05). The visual analogue scores (VAS-1) of pain during puncture in the observation group and the control group were (2.62±0.74) and (2.48±0.79) points, respectively. The visual numeric score (VNS-1) was (3.03±0.88) points and (3.15±0.80) points, respectively, and there was no significant difference ( P>0.05). 30 min after puncture, VAS-2 was (0.48±0.53) points and (0.30±0.47) points, VNS-2 was (3.31±0.48) points and (3.55±0.71) points, respectively.The differences were statistically significant ( P<0.05). There was no significant difference in overall complication rate between the two groups ( P=0.661).
8.Influence of the nasolabial subunit on visual sensitivity: a preliminary study
Cheng LU ; Hao GUAN ; Qingge MA ; Lu LIU ; Chenghao LI ; Bing SHI
Chinese Journal of Medical Aesthetics and Cosmetology 2020;26(3):189-192
Objective:To explore the sensitivity of the normal population to nasolabial subunits.Methods:From 2016 to 2017, we took frontal photos of 25 (20 to 40 years old) people with basically normal nasolabial subunits in West China Hospital of Stomatology. The lip subunits were adjusted at 1.1, 1.2, and 1.3 times magnification or translation to obtain photos of different degrees of malformation of the nasal and lip subunits. A total of 189 young healthy people [96 males, 93 females; age (20.00±1.32) years old] without correction surgery and no maxillofacial deformities were selected to judge the facial aesthetic visual effect of their vision on the nasolabial subunit.Results:The peak sensitivity of nasolabial subunits is the nostril symmetry and columella deviation followed by lip symmetry.Conclusions:Young healthy people have high aesthetic visual effects on nostril symmetry and nasal column translation facial translation, average facial visual effects on lip symmetry and the lowest facial aesthetic visual effects on lip peak symmetry.
9.Analysis of missed diagnosis and risk factors in patients with negative initial prostate biopsy with PI-RADS score>3
Liangyong ZHU ; Xuefei DING ; Yang LUAN ; Tianbao HUANG ; Shengming LU ; Chenghao GUO ; Yaozong XU ; Fei WANG
Chinese Journal of Urology 2020;41(9):667-671
Objective:To analyze the risk of missed diagnosis in patients with PI-RADS score>3 and negative prostate initial biopsy and to explore its risk factors.Methods:The clinical data of 268 patients with negative prostate biopsy in Northern Jiangsu People's Hospital from May 2013 to December 2018 were retrospectively analyzed. The patients were divided into observation group (PI-RADS score>3) and control group (PI-RADS score≤ 3) according to different PI-RADS scores. There were insignificant differences in age [(67.4(60.0, 74.0)years and 65.6(66.5, 72.0)years], prostate volume of initial biopsy [62.4(40.0, 72.0)ml and 60.8(38.0, 77.0)ml], biopsy cores [ 20.6(18.0, 22.0)cores and 20.4(18.0, 22.0)cores] between the observation group (n=124) and the control group(n=144)(all P>0.05). But there were significant differences in PSA [17.5(6.5, 23.0)ng/ml and 11.5(6.3, 12.0)ng/ml], PSAD[0.316(0.128, 0.363)ng/ml 2 and 0.211(0.106, 0.256)ng/ml 2], prostate inflammation of the initial biopsy [70 (56.5%) and 32 (22.2%)] between the observation group and the control group(all P<0.05). According to the follow-up results after the initial biopsy, the two groups of repeated biopsy were compared.Furthermore, Logistic regression was used to conduct univariate and multivariate analysis to explore the risk factors of patients with PI-RADS>3 for positive repeated biopsy. At the same time, the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC curve) was used to analyze the accuracy of the risk factors. Results:There were significant differences in repeated biopsy rate [ 27.4%(34/124)and 14.6%(21/144)], CsPCa detection rate[ 41.4%(14/34) and 4.8%(1/21)]between the observation group and the control group(all P<0.05). The positive rate of repeated biopsy in the observation group (41.1%) was higher than that in the control group (23.8%), but there was no statistical difference ( P=0.248). The risk of positive repeated biopsies in the observation group was 2.24 times than that in the control group. Univariate analysis found repeated biopsy PSA ( P =0.02, OR=1.438, 95% CI 1.161-1.896), PSA ratio (repeated biopsy PSA/initial biopsy PSA) ( P=0.011, OR=10.087, 95% CI 1.714-59.36) were risk factors for positive of repeated biopsy in patients with PI-RADS score >3. Multivariate analysis also found that repeated biopsy PSA ( P=0.017, OR=1.15, 95% CI 1.076-2.123), PSA ratio ( P=0.032, OR=10.2, 95% CI 0.883-116.168) were risk factors for positive repeated biopsy. ROC curve analysis, the accuracy of repeated biopsy PSA (AUC=0.971, P<0.001, 95% CI 0.926-1.000), PSA ratio (AUC=0.839, P=0.001, 95% CI0.707-0.971) to predict positive of repeated biopsy were high. The cut-off values were 21.3 ng/ml and 1.4, respectively. The accuracy was higher when combines repeated biopsy PSA with PSA ratio (AUC=0.993, P<0.001, 95% CI 0.974-1.000). Conclusions:Patients with negative PI-RADS score > 3 have a higher risk of missed diagnosis of CsPCa than those with PI-RADS score≤3. When PSA>21.3 ng/ml and PSA ratio>1.4 during follow-up, the possibility of missed diagnosis in the initial biopsy is high.
10.Nomogram for Predicting Central Lymph Node Metastasis in Papillary Thyroid Cancer: A Retrospective Cohort Study of Two Clinical Centers
Zheyu YANG ; Yu HENG ; Jianwei LIN ; Chenghao LU ; Dingye YU ; Lei TAO ; Wei CAI
Cancer Research and Treatment 2020;52(4):1010-1018
Purpose:
Central lymph node metastasis (CNM) are highly prevalent but hard to detect preoperatively in papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) patients, while the significance of prophylactic compartment central lymph node dissection (CLND) remains controversial as a treatment option. We aim to establish a nomogram assessing risks of CNM in PTC patients, and explore whether prophylactic CLND should be recommended.
Materials and Methods:
One thousand four hundred thirty-eight patients from two clinical centers that underwent thyroidectomy with CLND for PTC within the period 2016–2019 were retrospectively analyzed. Univariate and multivariate analysis were performed to examine risk factors associated with CNM. A nomogram for predicting CNM was established, thereafter internally and externally validated.
Results:
Seven variables were found to be significantly associated with CNM and were used to construct the model. These were as follows: thyroid capsular invasion, multifocality, creatinine > 70 μmol/L, age < 40, tumor size > 1 cm, body mass index < 22, and carcinoembryonic antigen > 1 ng/mL. The nomogram had good discrimination with a concordance index of 0.854 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.843 to 0.867), supported by an external validation point estimate of 0.825 (95% CI, 0.793 to 0.857). A decision curve analysis was made to evaluate nomogram and ultrasonography for predicting CNM.
Conclusion
A validated nomogram utilizing readily available preoperative variables was developed to predict the probability of central lymph node metastases in patients presenting with PTC. This nomogram may help surgeons make appropriate surgical decisions in the management of PTC, especially in terms of whether prophylactic CLND is warranted.

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