1.Application of ARIMA model in predicting the incidence of hepatitis E in Yunnan Province
Bilian ZHU ; Yingmei TANG ; Zhengrong DING ; Jibo HE ; Weimin BAO ; Qinnian LI
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2025;36(4):37-41
Objective To explore the application of the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model in predicting the number of reported hepatitis E cases in Yunnan Province,to use this model to predict the incidence trend of hepatitis E, and to provide reference for the scientific prevention and control of hepatitis E. Methods Monthly reported cases of hepatitis E in Yunnan Province from 2012 to 2021 were collected. The ARIMA model was established using SPSS 27.0, and the model was validated and parameters were optimized with data from January 2022 to December 2022. The optimal fitting model was used to predict the incidence of hepatitis E in 2023. Results Hepatitis E incidence in Yunnan Province showed a certain seasonal distribution, with most cases concentrated from March to August. All parameters of ARIMA(3,1,4)(1,1,1)12 passed statistical tests. The Ljung-Box test showed statistic Q =10.050, P = 0.346, residual sequence was a white noise sequence, and goodness-of-fit index stationary R² was 0.591. The model extrapolation effect was verified with 2022 data, and MAPE was 14.747, indicating that the model extrapolation effect was effective. The number of hepatitis E cases in Yunnan Province in 2023 was expected to be 1,086. Conclusion The ARIMA (3,1,4)(1,1,1)12 model shows good fitting performance for hepatitis E cases in Yunnan Province and can effectively predict short-term disease trends, providing a theoretical basis for formulating prevention and control measures for hepatitis E.
2.Application of 8-ring traction-assisted endoscopic submucosal dissection for gastric lesions
Dandan ZHU ; Xiaotan DOU ; Huimin GUO ; Min CHEN ; Lei WANG ; Chenggong YU
Chinese Journal of Digestive Endoscopy 2024;41(1):65-67
To evaluate the effectiveness and safety of 8-ring assisted traction in endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD), a total of 13 patients with 15 gastric lesions who underwent 8-ring traction-assisted ESD in Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital from July 2021 to January 2022 were included in the retrospective cohort study. All patients successfully completed the operation. The median procedure time was 56 min, and the dissected area per unit time was 0.20±0.02 cm 2/min. The en bloc resection rate, the complete resection rate and the curative resection rate were 93.3% (14/15), 80.0% (12/15) and 80.0% (12/15), respectively. There were no ESD-related complications, such as delayed bleeding or intraperative and postoperative perforation. No deaths occurred. As a novel internal traction technology, 8-ring traction method is simple to operate, providing a good field of vision during ESD to improve the dissection efficiency and reduce complications, which is worthy of further clinical research and promotion.
3.Evolving landscape of treatments targeting the microenvironment of liver metastases in non-small cell lung cancer
Lingling ZHU ; Xianzhe YU ; Xiaojun TANG ; Chenggong HU ; Lei WU ; Yanyang LIU ; Qinghua ZHOU
Chinese Medical Journal 2024;137(9):1019-1032
Liver metastases (LMs) are common in lung cancer. Despite substantial advances in diagnosis and treatment, the survival rate of patients with LM remains low as the immune-suppressive microenvironment of the liver allows tumor cells to evade the immune system. The impact of LMs on the outcomes of immune checkpoint inhibitors in patients with solid tumors has been the main focus of recent translational and clinical research. Growing evidence indicates that the hepatic microenvironment delivers paracrine and autocrine signals from non-parenchymal and parenchymal cells. Overall, these microenvironments create pre- and post-metastatic conditions for the progression of LMs. Herein, we reviewed the epidemiology, physiology, pathology and immunology, of LMs associated with non-small cell lung cancer and the role and potential targets of the liver microenvironment in LM in each phase of metastasis. Additionally, we reviewed the current treatment strategies and challenges that should be overcome in preclinical and clinical investigations. These approaches target liver elements as the basis for future clinical trials, including combinatorial interventions reported to resolve hepatic immune suppression, such as immunotherapy plus chemotherapy, immunotherapy plus radiotherapy, immunotherapy plus anti-angiogenesis therapy, and surgical resection.
4.Efficacy and outcomes analysis of endoscopic ultrasound-guided early removal of lumen-apposing metal stent in the treatment of pancreatic walled-off necrosis
Songting WU ; Xiaotan DOU ; Na LI ; Saifei XU ; Hao ZHU ; Lei WANG ; Chenggong YU ; Mingdong LIU
Chinese Journal of Pancreatology 2024;24(5):332-337
Objective:To evaluate the efficacy and outcomes of early removal of lumen-apposing metal stent (LAMS) in the treatment of pancreatic wall-off necrosis (WON).Methods:A retrospective analysis was performed on 51 patients with WON who underwent endoscopic ultrasound (EUS)-guided transluminal drainage (ETD) and direct endoscopic necrosectomy (DEN) using LAMS at Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital from January 2018 to December 2022. Patients were divided into the early removal group (within two weeks, n=24) and the traditional removal group (after two weeks, n=27) based on the timing of LAMS removal. The short-term effects, safety and long-term outcomes of WON were compared between the two groups. Results:The technical success rate of LAMS placement in 51 patients reached 100%, and all patients underwent ETD and DEN. The median number of necrosectomy sessions in the early removal group was significantly lower than in the traditional removal group, 2.0 sessions vs 3.0 sessions and the difference was statistically significant ( P<0.05). Postoperatively, 15.7% of patients required percutaneous catheter drainage (PCD) and 5.9% required surgery, with no significant difference between the two groups. The clinical success rate and mortality rate in the early removal group were 79.2% and 8.3%, respectively, compared to 81.5% and 3.7% in the traditional removal group, with no statistically significant difference. In terms of safety, the early removal group exhibited a significantly lower rate of adverse events during stent retention with statistically significant difference (12.5% vs 37.0%, P<0.05) compared to the traditional removal group. A total of 46 patients were followed up for six months. In the early removal group, the rates of disease recurrence, need for endoscopic reintervention and occurrence of long-term complications were 20.0%, 10.0% and 20.0%, respectively. These rates did not show a significant increase compared to the traditional removal group, which were 7.7%, 3.8% and 38.5%, respectively, without significant differences between the groups. Conclusions:In the treatment of WON, early removal of LAMS is safe and effective to a certain extent. In comparison to the traditional practice of removing LAMS after two weeks, early removal does not reduce clinical success rates, nor does it increase the rates of disease-related mortality, recurrence, or long-term complications. On the contrary, it may reduce the occurrence of adverse events during stent retention and decrease the number of necrosectomy procedures subsequently.
5.Application of single metal clip traction to endoscopic submucosal dissection for duodenal lesions
Dandan ZHU ; Xiaotan DOU ; Huimin GUO ; Min CHEN ; Lei WANG ; Chenggong YU
Chinese Journal of Digestive Endoscopy 2024;41(9):707-711
Objective:To assess the safety and efficacy of single metal clip traction-assisted endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) for the treatment of duodenal lesions.Methods:Data of 45 patients with duodenal lesions who underwent ESD in Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital, the Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing University Medical School between April 2021 and October 2022 were retrospectively recruited. Among them, 19 patients received single metal clip traction- assisted ESD while 26 patients received traditional ESD. The incidence of complications, dissection speed, en bloc resection rate and R0 resection rate of the two groups were mainly observed. Secondary observation indexes included specimen longer diameter, shorter diameter and area.Results:All 45 procedures were successfully completed, with the procedure time of 44.0 (27.0, 67.0) min for the single metal clip traction- assisted ESD group and 34.0 (24.0, 43.5) min for the traditional ESD group ( Z=-1.678, P=0.093). In the single metal clip traction-assisted ESD group, 2 cases (10.5%) had complications, including 1 intraoperative perforation and 1 postoperative bleeding (approximately 20 mL). There were three cases (11.5%) of complications in the traditional ESD group, including 1 case of postoperative bleeding (approximately 50 mL) and 2 cases of postoperative perforation, with no significant intergroup variation ( P=1.000). The dissection speed of the single metal clip traction-assisted ESD group was 16.0 (11.0, 25.8) mm 2/min, significantly larger than that of the traditional ESD group [5.3 (2.2, 21.1) mm 2/min, Z=-2.287, P=0.022]. The en block resection rate and R0 resection rate of the single metal clip traction-assisted ESD group were both 100.0% (19/19). Additionally, the specimen longer diameter, shorter diameter and area of the single metal clip traction-assisted ESD group were 34.0 (22.0, 45.0) mm, 25.0 (20.0, 34.0) mm, and 745.8 (380.0, 1 342.4) mm 2, respectively, significantly larger than those of the traditional ESD group of 20.0 (12.8, 30.3) mm ( Z=-3.119, P=0.002), 14.0 (8.8, 21.3) mm ( Z=-3.417, P=0.001), 190.4 (84.0, 498.7) mm 2 ( Z=-3.275, P=0.001). Conclusion:Single metal clip traction is safe and effective for duodenal ESD, demonstrating a notable improvement in the dissection speed, especially suitable for large duodenal lesions.
6.Stratified Treatment in Pediatric Anaplastic Large Cell Lymphoma: Result of a Prospective Open-Label Multiple-Institution Study
Tingting CHEN ; Chenggong ZENG ; Juan WANG ; Feifei SUN ; Junting HUANG ; Jia ZHU ; Suying LU ; Ning LIAO ; Xiaohong ZHANG ; Zaisheng CHEN ; Xiuli YUAN ; Zhen YANG ; Haixia GUO ; Liangchun YANG ; Chuan WEN ; Wenlin ZHANG ; Yang LI ; Xuequn LUO ; Zelin WU ; Lihua YANG ; Riyang LIU ; Mincui ZHENG ; Xiangling HE ; Xiaofei SUN ; Zijun ZHEN
Cancer Research and Treatment 2024;56(4):1252-1261
Purpose:
The risk stratification of pediatric anaplastic large cell lymphoma (ALCL) has not been standardized. In this study, new risk factors were included to establish a new risk stratification system for ALCL, and its feasibility in clinical practice was explored.
Materials and Methods:
On the basis of the non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma Berlin–Frankfurt–Munster 95 (NHL-BFM-95) protocol, patients with minimal disseminated disease (MDD), high-risk tumor site (multiple bone, skin, liver, and lung involvement), and small cell/lymphohistiocytic (SC/LH) pathological subtype were enrolled in risk stratification. Patients were treated with a modified NHL-BFM-95 protocol combined with an anaplastic lymphoma kinase inhibitor or vinblastine (VBL).
Results:
A total of 136 patients were enrolled in this study. The median age was 8.8 years. The 3-year event-free survival (EFS) and overall survival of the entire cohort were 77.7% (95% confidence interval [CI], 69.0% to 83.9%) and 92.3% (95% CI, 86.1% to 95.8%), respectively. The 3-year EFS rates of low-risk group (R1), intermediate-risk group (R2), and high-risk group (R3) patients were 100%, 89.5% (95% CI, 76.5% to 95.5%), and 67.9% (95% CI, 55.4% to 77.6%), respectively. The prognosis of patients with MDD (+), stage IV cancer, SC/LH lymphoma, and high-risk sites was poor, and the 3-year EFS rates were 45.3% (95% CI, 68.6% to 19.0%), 65.7% (95% CI, 47.6% to 78.9%), 55.7% (95% CI, 26.2% to 77.5%), and 70.7% (95% CI, 48.6% to 84.6%), respectively. At the end of follow-up, one of the five patients who received maintenance therapy with VBL relapsed, and seven patients receiving anaplastic lymphoma kinase inhibitor maintenance therapy did not experience relapse.
Conclusion
This study has confirmed the poor prognostic of MDD (+), high-risk site and SC/LH, but patients with SC/LH lymphoma and MDD (+) at diagnosis still need to receive better treatment (ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT03971305).
7.Tumor immune microenvironment-modulated nanostrategy for the treatment of lung cancer metastasis.
Lingling ZHU ; Juan WU ; Honglin GAO ; Ting WANG ; Guixiu XIAO ; Chenggong HU ; Qing LIN ; Qinghua ZHOU
Chinese Medical Journal 2023;136(23):2787-2801
As one of the most malignant tumors worldwide, lung cancer, fueled by metastasis, has shown rising mortality rates. However, effective clinical strategies aimed at preventing metastasis are lacking owing to its dynamic multi-step, complicated, and progressive nature. Immunotherapy has shown promise in treating cancer metastasis by reversing the immunosuppressive network of the tumor microenvironment. However, drug resistance inevitably develops due to inadequate delivery of immunostimulants and an uncontrolled immune response. Consequently, adverse effects occur, such as autoimmunity, from the non-specific immune activation and non-specific inflammation in off-target organs. Nanocarriers that improve drug solubility, permeability, stability, bioavailability, as well as sustained, controlled, and targeted delivery can effectively overcome drug resistance and enhance the therapeutic effect while reducing adverse effects. In particular, nanomedicine-based immunotherapy can be utilized to target tumor metastasis, presenting a promising therapeutic strategy for lung cancer. Nanotechnology strategies that boost the immunotherapy effect are classified based on the metastatic cascade related to the tumor immune microenvironment; the breaking away of primary tumors, circulating tumor cell dissemination, and premetastatic niche formation cause distant secondary site colonization. In this review, we focus on the opportunities and challenges of integrating immunotherapy with nanoparticle formulation to establish nanotechnology-based immunotherapy by modulating the tumor microenvironment for preclinical and clinical applications in the management of patients with metastatic lung cancer. We also discuss prospects for the emerging field and the clinical translation potential of these techniques.
Humans
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Lung Neoplasms/therapy*
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Tumor Microenvironment
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Neoplasms/drug therapy*
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Immunotherapy/methods*
8.Chinese expert consensus on clinical treatment of adult patients with severe traumatic brain injury complicated by corona virus disease 2019 (version 2023)
Zeli ZHANG ; Shoujia SUN ; Yijun BAO ; Li BIE ; Yunxing CAO ; Yangong CHAO ; Juxiang CHEN ; Wenhua FANG ; Guang FENG ; Lei FENG ; Junfeng FENG ; Liang GAO ; Bingsha HAN ; Ping HAN ; Chenggong HU ; Jin HU ; Rong HU ; Wei HE ; Lijun HOU ; Xianjian HUANG ; Jiyao JIANG ; Rongcai JIANG ; Lihong LI ; Xiaopeng LI ; Jinfang LIU ; Jie LIU ; Shengqing LYU ; Binghui QIU ; Xizhou SUN ; Xiaochuan SUN ; Hengli TIAN ; Ye TIAN ; Ke WANG ; Ning WANG ; Xinjun WANG ; Donghai WANG ; Yuhai WANG ; Jianjun WANG ; Xingong WANG ; Junji WEI ; Feng XU ; Min XU ; Can YAN ; Wei YAN ; Xiaofeng YANG ; Chaohua YANG ; Rui ZHANG ; Yongming ZHANG ; Di ZHAO ; Jianxin ZHU ; Guoyi GAO ; Qibing HUANG
Chinese Journal of Trauma 2023;39(3):193-203
The condition of patients with severe traumatic brain injury (sTBI) complicated by corona virus 2019 disease (COVID-19) is complex. sTBI can significantly increase the probability of COVID-19 developing into severe or critical stage, while COVID-19 can also increase the surgical risk of sTBI and the severity of postoperative lung lesions. There are many contradictions in the treatment process, which brings difficulties to the clinical treatment of such patients. Up to now, there are few clinical studies and therapeutic norms relevant to sTBI complicated by COVID-19. In order to standardize the clinical treatment of such patients, Critical Care Medicine Branch of China International Exchange and Promotive Association for Medical and Healthcare and Editorial Board of Chinese Journal of Trauma organized relevant experts to formulate the Chinese expert consensus on clinical treatment of adult patients with severe traumatic brain injury complicated by corona virus infection 2019 ( version 2023) based on the joint prevention and control mechanism scheme of the State Council and domestic and foreign literatures on sTBI and COVID-19 in the past 3 years of the international epidemic. Fifteen recommendations focused on emergency treatment, emergency surgery and comprehensive management were put forward to provide a guidance for the diagnosis and treatment of sTBI complicated by COVID-19.
9.Research progress in detection and clinical significance of three envelope proteins of hepatitis B virus
Chenggong ZHU ; Qishui OU ; Can LIU
Chinese Journal of Laboratory Medicine 2022;45(4):403-407
The pre-S/S gene of hepatitis B virus (HBV) can encode for the production of large, medium and small surface protein. Different protein expression levels and their composition ratios have certain influences on the diagnosis, treatment and outcome of HBV infection. It is of great significance to clarify the functions of large, medium and small surface protein as serum markers and to explore their value in the diagnosis and treatment of HBV infection. In this paper, the expression status, detection methods and clinical significance of the three HBV proteins were reviewed.
10. Clinical characteristics and diagnosis of early hydatidiform mole
Lanzhou JIAO ; Shuyan YOU ; Yaping WANG ; Chenggong ZHU ; Jiyong JIANG
Chinese Journal of Obstetrics and Gynecology 2019;54(11):756-762
Objective:
To evaluate the clinical characteristics and diagnostic strategies of early hydatidiform mole.
Methods:
A retrospective cohort study was conducted of 526 women with hydatidiform mole who underwent suction curettage and were confirmed by histopathology in Dalian Maternal and ChildHealth Care Hospital from Feb. 2013 to Feb. 2018, including 484 women with gestational age less than or equal to 12 weeks (the early group) and 42 women with gestational age greater than 12 weeks (the late group). The clinical characteristics between the two groups were compared, and the pathological diagnosis and pre-evacuation ultrasound examination of the early group were further discussed.
Results:
Compared with the late group, the clinical characteristics of the early group tended to be atypical, and the incidence of vaginal bleeding, excessive uterine size, theca lutein cysts (>6 cm) and pregnancy complications decreased significantly (all


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