1.Predictive Modeling of Chronic Kidney Disease with Hypertension or Diabetes Based on Machine Learning Algorithms
Huijuan ZENG ; Bo TIAN ; Hongling YUAN ; Jie HE ; Guanxi LI ; Guojia RU ; Min XU ; Dong ZHAN
Journal of Kunming Medical University 2024;45(3):99-105
Objective To build the early predictive model for chronic kidney disease(CKD)in hypertension and diabetes patients in the community.Methods The CKD patients were recruited from 4 health care centers in 4 urban areas in Kunming.The control group was residents without hypertension and diabetes(n = 1267).The disease group was residents with hypertension and/or diabetes(n = 566).The questionnaire survey,physical examination,laboratory testing,and 5 SNPs gene types in the PVT1 gene.The risk factors,which were filtered with logistics regression,were used to build predictive models.Four machine learning algorithms were built:support vector machine(SVM),random forest(RF),Na?ve Bayes(NB),and artificial neural network(ANN)models.Results Thirteen indicators included in the final diagnostic model:age,disease type,ethnicity,blood urea nitrogen,creatinine,eGFR from MDRD,ACR,eGFR from EPI2009,PAM13 score,sleep quality survey,staying-up late,PVT1 SNP rs11993333 and rs2720659.The accuracy,specificity,Kappa value,AUC of ROC,and PRC of ANN are greater than those of the other 3 models.The sensitivity of RF is the highest among 4 types of machine learning.Conclusions The ANN predictive model has a good ability of efficiency and classification to predict CKD with hypertension and/or diabetes patients in the community.
2.A multicenter study of neonatal stroke in Shenzhen,China
Li-Xiu SHI ; Jin-Xing FENG ; Yan-Fang WEI ; Xin-Ru LU ; Yu-Xi ZHANG ; Lin-Ying YANG ; Sheng-Nan HE ; Pei-Juan CHEN ; Jing HAN ; Cheng CHEN ; Hui-Ying TU ; Zhang-Bin YU ; Jin-Jie HUANG ; Shu-Juan ZENG ; Wan-Ling CHEN ; Ying LIU ; Yan-Ping GUO ; Jiao-Yu MAO ; Xiao-Dong LI ; Qian-Shen ZHANG ; Zhi-Li XIE ; Mei-Ying HUANG ; Kun-Shan YAN ; Er-Ya YING ; Jun CHEN ; Yan-Rong WANG ; Ya-Ping LIU ; Bo SONG ; Hua-Yan LIU ; Xiao-Dong XIAO ; Hong TANG ; Yu-Na WANG ; Yin-Sha CAI ; Qi LONG ; Han-Qiang XU ; Hui-Zhan WANG ; Qian SUN ; Fang HAN ; Rui-Biao ZHANG ; Chuan-Zhong YANG ; Lei DOU ; Hui-Ju SHI ; Rui WANG ; Ping JIANG ; Shenzhen Neonatal Data Network
Chinese Journal of Contemporary Pediatrics 2024;26(5):450-455
Objective To investigate the incidence rate,clinical characteristics,and prognosis of neonatal stroke in Shenzhen,China.Methods Led by Shenzhen Children's Hospital,the Shenzhen Neonatal Data Collaboration Network organized 21 institutions to collect 36 cases of neonatal stroke from January 2020 to December 2022.The incidence,clinical characteristics,treatment,and prognosis of neonatal stroke in Shenzhen were analyzed.Results The incidence rate of neonatal stroke in 21 hospitals from 2020 to 2022 was 1/15 137,1/6 060,and 1/7 704,respectively.Ischemic stroke accounted for 75%(27/36);boys accounted for 64%(23/36).Among the 36 neonates,31(86%)had disease onset within 3 days after birth,and 19(53%)had convulsion as the initial presentation.Cerebral MRI showed that 22 neonates(61%)had left cerebral infarction and 13(36%)had basal ganglia infarction.Magnetic resonance angiography was performed for 12 neonates,among whom 9(75%)had involvement of the middle cerebral artery.Electroencephalography was performed for 29 neonates,with sharp waves in 21 neonates(72%)and seizures in 10 neonates(34%).Symptomatic/supportive treatment varied across different hospitals.Neonatal Behavioral Neurological Assessment was performed for 12 neonates(33%,12/36),with a mean score of(32±4)points.The prognosis of 27 neonates was followed up to around 12 months of age,with 44%(12/27)of the neonates having a good prognosis.Conclusions Ischemic stroke is the main type of neonatal stroke,often with convulsions as the initial presentation,involvement of the middle cerebral artery,sharp waves on electroencephalography,and a relatively low neurodevelopment score.Symptomatic/supportive treatment is the main treatment method,and some neonates tend to have a poor prognosis.
3.Five-year outcomes of biodegradable versus second-generation durable polymer drug-eluting stents used in complex percutaneous coronary intervention.
Na XU ; Lin JIANG ; Yi YAO ; Jingjing XU ; Ru LIU ; Huanhuan WANG ; Ying SONG ; Lijian GAO ; Zhan GAO ; Xueyan ZHAO ; Bo XU ; Yaling HAN ; Jinqing YUAN
Chinese Medical Journal 2023;136(3):322-330
BACKGROUND:
There are few data comparing clinical outcomes of complex percutaneous coronary intervention (CPCI) when using biodegradable polymer drug-eluting stents (BP-DES) or second-generation durable polymer drug-eluting stents (DP-DES). The purpose of this study was to investigate the safety and efficacy of BP-DES and compare that with DP-DES in patients with and without CPCI during a 5-year follow-up.
METHODS:
Patients who exclusively underwent BP-DES or DP-DES implantation in 2013 at Fuwai Hospital were consecutively enrolled and stratified into two categories based on CPCI presence or absence. CPCI included at least one of the following features: unprotected left main lesion, ≥2 lesions treated, ≥2 stents implanted, total stent length >40 mm, moderate-to-severe calcified lesion, chronic total occlusion, or bifurcated target lesion. The primary endpoint was major adverse cardiac events (MACE) including all-cause death, recurrent myocardial infarction, and total coronary revascularization (target lesion revascularization, target vessel revascularization [TVR], and non-TVR) during the 5-year follow-up. The secondary endpoint was total coronary revascularization.
RESULTS:
Among the 7712 patients included, 4882 (63.3%) underwent CPCI. Compared with non-CPCI patients, CPCI patients had higher 2- and 5-year incidences of MACE and total coronary revascularization. Following multivariable adjustment including stent type, CPCI was an independent predictor of MACE (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]: 1.151; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.017-1.303, P = 0.026) and total coronary revascularization (aHR: 1.199; 95% CI: 1.037-1.388, P = 0.014) at 5 years. The results were consistent at the 2-year endpoints. In patients with CPCI, BP-DES use was associated with significantly higher MACE rates at 5 years (aHR: 1.256; 95% CI: 1.078-1.462, P = 0.003) and total coronary revascularization (aHR: 1.257; 95% CI: 1.052-1.502, P = 0.012) compared with that of DP-DES, but there was a similar risk at 2 years. However, BP-DES had comparable safety and efficacy profiles including MACE and total coronary revascularization compared with DP-DES in patients with non-CPCI at 2 and 5 years.
CONCLUSIONS
Patients underwent CPCI remained at a higher risk of mid- to long-term adverse events regardless of the stent type. The effect of BP-DES compared with DP-DES on outcomes was similar in CPCI and non-CPCI patients at 2 years but had inconsistent effects at the 5-year clinical endpoints.
Humans
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Drug-Eluting Stents/adverse effects*
;
Myocardial Infarction/complications*
;
Polymers/therapeutic use*
;
Treatment Outcome
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Coronary Artery Disease/complications*
;
Percutaneous Coronary Intervention/adverse effects*
;
Absorbable Implants
;
Prosthesis Design
4.Risk or Beneficial Factors Associated with Unplanned Revascularization Risk Following Percutaneous Coronary Intervention: A Large Single-Center Data.
Ru LIU ; Zhan GAO ; Li Jian GAO ; Xue Yan ZHAO ; Jue CHEN ; Shu Bin QIAO ; Yue Jin YANG ; Run Lin GAO ; Bo XU ; Jin Qing YUAN
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2020;33(6):431-443
Objective:
To analyze factors associated with unplanned revascularization (UR) risk in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) who underwent percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI).
Methods:
A total of 10,640 cases with CAD who underwent PCI were analyzed. Multivariate COX regressions and competing risk regressions were applied.
Results:
The patients who underwent UR following PCI in 30 days, 1, and 2 years accounted for 0.3%, 6.5%, and 8.7%, respectively. After multivariate adjustment, the number of target lesions [hazard ratio ( ) = 2.320; 95% confidence interval ( ): 1.643-3.277; < 0.001], time of procedure ( = 1.006; 95% : 1.001-1.010; = 0.014), body mass index ( = 1.104; 95% : 1.006-1.210; = 0.036), incomplete revascularization (ICR) ( = 2.476; 95% : 1.030-5.952; = 0.043), and age ( 1.037; 95% : 1.000-1.075; = 0.048) were determined as independent risk factors of 30-day UR. Factors, including low-molecular-weight heparin or fondaparinux ( = 0.618; 95% : 0.531-0.719; < 0.001), second-generation durable polymer drug-eluting stent ( 0.713; 95% : 0.624-0.814; < 0.001), left anterior descending artery involvement ( = 0.654; 95% : 0.530-0.807; < 0.001), and age ( = 0.992; 95% : 0.985-0.998; = 0.014), were independently associated with decreased two-year UR risk. While, Synergy Between Percutaneous Coronary Intervention with Taxus and Cardiac Surgery score ( = 1.024; 95% : 1.014-1.033; < 0.001) and ICR ( = 1.549; 95% : 1.290-1.860; < 0.001) were negatively associated with two-year UR risk.
Conclusion
Specific factors were positively or negatively associated with short- and medium-long-term UR following PCI.
Adult
;
Aged
;
China
;
Coronary Artery Disease
;
surgery
;
Female
;
Humans
;
Male
;
Middle Aged
;
Myocardial Revascularization
;
adverse effects
;
statistics & numerical data
;
Percutaneous Coronary Intervention
;
adverse effects
;
statistics & numerical data
;
Risk Factors
;
Treatment Outcome
5. Impact of short-time anticoagulant therapy after selective percutaneous intervention on prognosis of patients with coronary artery disease
Ying SONG ; Xiaofang TANG ; Jingjing XU ; Huanhuan WANG ; Ru LIU ; Ping JIANG ; Lin JIANG ; Lijian GAO ; Yin ZHANG ; Lei SONG ; Lianjun XU ; Xueyan ZHAO ; Zhan GAO ; Jue CHEN ; Runlin GAO ; Shubin QIAO ; Yuejin YANG ; Bo XU ; Jinqing YUAN
Chinese Journal of Cardiology 2019;47(2):108-116
Objective:
To observe the safety and impact of short-term anticoagulant therapy on prognosis after selective percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in patients with coronary artery disease.
Methods:
From January 2013 to December 2013, 9 769 consecutive patients underwent selective PCI in Fuwai Hospital were retrospectively included in this study. Patients were divided into two groups, including non-post-PCI anticoagulant therapy group and low-dose and short-time post-PCI anticoagulant therapy group (enoxaparin 0.4 ml/12 h or fondaparinux 2.5 mg/day by subcutaneous injection for 2-3 days after PCI). All patients were evaluated at 30 days, 180 days and 12 months for major adverse coronary and cerebral events (MACCE) including all-cause death, myocardial infarction, revascularization and stroke as well as in-stent thrombosis and bleeding events. Data from 1 755 pairs of patients were analysis after propensity score matching. The clinical outcomes were compared between groups by using Kaplan-Meier survival analysis before and after propensity score matching. Multivariable Cox analysis was used to define the impact and determinants of post-PCI anticoagulation on clinical outcomes.
Results:
one thousand seven hundred and fifty-five (18.0%) patients didn′t receive post-PCI anticoagulation and 8 014 (82.0%) patients received post-PCI anticoagulation, 5 666 (58.0%) patients received enoxaparin and 2 348 (24.0%) patients received fondaparinux. Patients were younger and incidence of female patients was less, incidence of renal dysfunction and acute coronary syndrome were higher in low-dose and short-time post-PCI anticoagulant therapy group than in non-post-PCI anticoagulation group (all
6. Impact of coronary artery lesion calcification on the long-term outcome of patients with coronary heart disease after percutaneous coronary intervention
Yin ZHANG ; Lei SONG ; Ying SONG ; Lianjun XU ; Huanhuan WANG ; Jingjing XU ; Xiaofang TANG ; Ping JIANG ; Ru LIU ; Xueyan ZHAO ; Zhan GAO ; Lijian GAO ; Jue CHEN ; Yuejin YANG ; Runlin GAO ; Shubin QIAO ; Bo XU ; Jinqing YUAN
Chinese Journal of Cardiology 2019;47(1):34-41
Objective:
To investigate the impact of coronary lesion calcification on the long-term outcome of patients with coronary heart disease after percutaneous coronary intervention.
Methods:
In this prospective observational study, a total of 10 119 consecutive patients with coronary heart disease undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention from January 1 to December 31, 2 103 in our hospital were enrolled. The patients were divided into non/mild calcification group (8 268 cases) and moderate/severe calcification group (1 851 cases) according to the angiographic results. The primary endpoint was one-year major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), including all-cause death, myocardial infarction, and target vessel revascularization.
Results:
The patients were (58.3±10.3) years old, and there were 2 355 females (23.3%). Compared with non/mild calcification group, patients in the moderate/severe calcification group were older ((60.0±10.6) years vs. (57.9±10.2) years,
7. Predictive value of neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio on long-term outcomes of acute myocardial infarction patients with multivessel disease
Na XU ; Xiaofang TANG ; Jingjing XU ; Yi YAO ; Ying SONG ; Ru LIU ; Lin JIANG ; Ping JIANG ; Huanhuan WANG ; Xueyan ZHAO ; Jue CHEN ; Zhan GAO ; Shubin QIAO ; Yuejin YANG ; Runlin GAO ; Bo XU ; Jinqing YUAN
Chinese Journal of Cardiology 2019;47(1):42-48
Objective:
Patients with acute coronary syndrome due to multivessel disease (MVD) were at the highest risk of adverse cardiovascular events. Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) was proposed as a marker of cardiovascular risk. Present study evaluated the independent predictive value of NLR for acute myocardial infarction (AMI) patients with MVD.
Methods:
AMI patients with MVD (
8.Comparison of Long-term Outcomes in Patients with Premature Triple-vessel Coronary Disease Undergoing Three Different Treatment Strategies: A Prospective Cohort Study.
Jing-Jing XU ; Yin ZHANG ; Lin JIANG ; Jian TIAN ; Lei SONG ; Zhan GAO ; Xin-Xing FENG ; Xue-Yan ZHAO ; Yan-Yan ZHAO ; Dong WANG ; Kai SUN ; Lian-Jun XU ; Ru LIU ; Run-Lin GAO ; Bo XU ; Lei SONG ; Jin-Qing YUAN
Chinese Medical Journal 2018;131(1):1-9
BACKGROUNDPatients with premature triple-vessel disease (PTVD) have a higher risk of recurrent coronary events and repeat revascularization; however, the long-term outcome of coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG), percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI), and medical therapy (MT) alone for PTVD patients is controversial. The aim of this study is to evaluate the long-term outcome of PTVD patients among these three treatment strategies, to find out the most appropriate treatment methods for these patients.
METHODSOne thousand seven hundred and ninety-two patients with PTVD (age: men ≤50 years and women ≤60 years) were enrolled between 2004 and 2011. The primary end point was all-cause death. The secondary end points were cardiac death, myocardial infarction, stroke, or repeat revascularization.
RESULTSPCI, CABG, and MT alone were performed in 933 (52.1%), 459 (25.6%), and 400 (22.3%) patients. Both PCI and CABG were associated with lower all-cause death (4.6% vs. 4.1% vs. 15.5%, respectively, P < 0.01) and cardiac death (2.8% vs. 2.0% vs. 9.8%, respectively, P < 0.01) versus MT alone. The rate of repeat revascularization in the CABG group was significantly lower than those in the PCI and MT groups. After adjusting for baseline factors, PCI and CABG were still associated with similar lower risk of all-cause death and cardiac death versus MT alone (all-cause death: hazard ratio [HR]: 0.35, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.23-0.53, P < 0.01 and HR: 0.35, 95% CI: 0.18-0.70, P = 0.003, respectively, and cardiac death: HR: 0.32, 95% CI: 0.19-0.54, P < 0.01 and HR: 0.36, 95% CI: 0.14-0.93, P = 0.03, respectively).
CONCLUSIONSPCI and CABG provided equal long-term benefits for all-cause death and cardiac death for PTVD patients. Patients undergoing MT alone had the worst long-term clinical outcomes.
TRIAL REGISTRATIONClinicalTrials.gov; Identifier: NCT02634086. https://www.clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/record/NCT02634086?term=NCT02634086&rank=1.
9.Association of CDKN2B-AS1 Polymorphisms with Premature Triple-vessel Coronary Disease and Their Sex Specificity in the Chinese Population.
Jing Jing XU ; Lin JIANG ; Lian Jun XU ; Zhan GAO ; Xue Yan ZHAO ; Yin ZHANG ; Ying SONG ; Ru LIU ; Kai SUN ; Run Lin GAO ; Bo XU ; Lei SONG ; Jin Qing YUAN
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2018;31(11):787-796
OBJECTIVE:
The aim of this study is to establish whether cyclin-dependent kinase inhibitor 2B antisense RNA 1 (CDKN2B-AS1) gene polymorphisms are associated with premature triple-vessel disease (PTVD).
METHODS:
Nine single-nucleotide polymorphisms (rs1063192, rs10757274, rs1333042, rs1333049, rs2285327, rs3217986, rs3217992, rs4977574, and rs9632884) were genotyped in 884 PTVD patients and 907 control subjects (males ⪕ 50 years old and females ⪕ 60 years old) using the improved multiplex ligase detection reaction method.
RESULTS:
The allele frequencies of rs10757274 G, rs1333049 C, rs4977574 G (all P < 0.001), and rs3217986 G (P = 0.040) were significantly higher in the PTVD group than in the control group, but those of rs1063192 A, rs1333042 G, and rs9632884 C (all P < 0.001) were significantly lower in the former than in the latter. Logistic regression analysis revealed that homozygote AA of rs1333042 is associated with decreased risk for PTVD (OR = 0.42, 95% CI: 0.22-0.82, P = 0.011). In addition, the allele frequencies observed differed between genders. The G allele of rs3217986 was associated with increased risk for PTVD in male patients only (OR = 2.94, 95% CI: 1.27-6.80, P = 0.012) in the dominant model, and no positively mutated allele was found in female patients.
CONCLUSION
Polymorphisms of the CDKN2B-AS1 gene are associated with the incidence of PTVD in the Chinese population. Furthermore, the frequencies of mutated alleles differed between genders.
Adult
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Asian Continental Ancestry Group
;
genetics
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China
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Coronary Artery Disease
;
genetics
;
Cyclin-Dependent Kinase Inhibitor p15
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genetics
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Female
;
Gene Frequency
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Genetic Predisposition to Disease
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Humans
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Male
;
Middle Aged
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Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide
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RNA, Antisense
;
genetics
;
Sex Factors
10.Comparison of Efficacy and Safety between First- and Second-Generation Drug-Eluting Stents in Patients with Acute Coronary Syndrome.
Yuan-Liang MA ; Xiao-Fang TANG ; Yi YAO ; Na XU ; Ying SONG ; Ping JIANG ; Jing-Jing XU ; Huan-Huan WANG ; Lin JIANG ; Ru LIU ; Xue-Yan ZHAO ; Jue CHEN ; Zhan GAO ; Shu-Bin QIAO ; Yue-Jin YANG ; Run-Lin GAO ; Bo XU ; Jin-Qing YUAN
Chinese Medical Journal 2018;131(12):1397-1405
Background:
It remains undetermined whether second-generation drug-eluting stents (G2-DESs) outperform first-generation DESs (G1-DESs) in patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS). We aimed to compare the efficacy and safety of G1-DES and G2-DES in ACS patients in a high-volume cardiovascular center.
Methods:
In 2013, 10,724 consecutive patients underwent percutaneous coronary intervention in our institution. We included 4037 patients with ACS who underwent exclusively G1-DES or G2-DES implantation (n = 364 and n = 3673, respectively). We used propensity score matching to minimize the imbalance between the G1-DES and G2-DES groups and followed patients for 2 years. The efficacy endpoints were major adverse cardiac events (MACEs) and its components including target vessel-related myocardial infarction (TV-MI), target vessel revascularization/target lesion revascularization (TVR/TLR), and cardiac death. The safety endpoint was stent thrombosis. Continuous variables were compared by Mann-Whitney U-test, and categorical variables were compared using Pearson's Chi-square or Fisher's exact test. Kaplan-Meier curves were constructed to compare the event-free survival rates, and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was used to assess whether stent type was an independent risk factor for the efficacy and safety endpoints.
Results:
At the 2-year follow-up, the results for MACE and it components, as well as stent thrombosis, were similar for G1-DES and G2-DES (MACE, 5.2% vs. 4.3%, χ = 0.514, P = 0.474; TV-MI, 0.8% vs. 0.4%, P = 0.407; TVR, 4.9% vs. 3.7%, χ = 0.939, P = 0.333; TLR, 3.8% vs. 2.5%, χ = 1.610, P = 0.205; cardiac death, 0.3% vs. 0.5%, P = 0.670; and stent thrombosis, 0.5% vs. 0.4%, P > 0.999). Kaplan-Meier analysis indicated similar event-free survival rates between G1-DES and G2-DES after propensity score matching (all: log-rank P > 0.05). Multivariate analysis demonstrated that stent type was not an independent risk factor for the efficacy and safety endpoints (MACE, hazard ratio [HR] = 0.805, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.455-1.424, P = 0.456; TV-MI, HR = 0.500, 95% CI: 0.101-2.475, P = 0.395; TVR, HR = 0.732, 95% CI: 0.403-1.330, P = 0.306; TLR, HR = 0.629, 95% CI: 0.313-1.264, P = 0.193; cardiac death, HR = 1.991, 95% CI: 0.223-17.814, P = 0.538; and stent thrombosis, HR = 0.746, 95% CI: 0.125-4.467, P = 0.749).
Conclusion
G1-DES and G2-DES have similar efficacy and safety profiles in ACS patients at the 2-year follow-up.
Acute Coronary Syndrome
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surgery
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Aged
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Coronary Thrombosis
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surgery
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Drug-Eluting Stents
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Female
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Humans
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Kaplan-Meier Estimate
;
Male
;
Middle Aged
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Myocardial Infarction
;
surgery
;
Percutaneous Coronary Intervention
;
methods
;
Prospective Studies

Result Analysis
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